BTCUSD BTCUSD ( Bitcoin / U.S Dollar )
Change of Characteristics
Point of Interest ( POI )
Completed " 1234 " Impulsive Waves
Break of Structure
Fibonacci Level - 23.80%
Order Block
Cryptocurrencysignals
Could the Bitcoin drop from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 95,881.12
1st Support: 91.430.48
1st Resistance: 99.592.22
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BITCOIN rejected on the 1st real Resistance of the Bull Cycle.Yesterday's brutal Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rejection caught the majority of the market off guard. There are a few fundamental reasons, there is the exhaustion of the post-election euphoria, there is the psychological weight of the $100000 barrier. However there is one major technical reason that has gone under the radar and we'll explain it to you below.
** The Fibonacci Channel and the 0.236 Fib **
As you can see on this chart, the underlying pattern has been a Fibonacci Channel going through the last 3 Cycles (including the current one). The pattern started with a strong rebound on its bottom (green circle) that formed the December 2013 Top. That Cycle Top was on the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the Cycle and that is a level that rejected rallies during Bull Cycles on June 24 2019 and May 11 2024.
** The '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' **
That is the Fib trend-line that (more recently) rejected the uptrend on November 22. We can call this the '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' as this is the first major rejection level that a Bull Cycle faces before the eventual Top. That high during the last 2 Cycles has been on the 0.0 Fibonacci level, technically the top of the Channel (red circles). The red spot on the current Cycle in late 2025 doesn't represent a projection but is an illustration for comparison purposes.
** Top timing and the 1W MA50 **
On a side-note, it is interesting to observe that the duration of each of the past Bull Cycles has been roughly 150 weeks (1050 days) so a repeat of this pattern would give us a High towards the end of September/ early October. It is much better to try to time the High and sell that put an actual price tag on it. Equally interesting is the fact that even though BTC is on a technical rejection, the current rally started on the August 05 2024 Low, exactly on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Technically, as long as this trend-line holds, the cyclical bullish wave should stay intact.
But what do you think? Do you think the 0.236 Fib i.e. the '1st Real Resistance of the Bull Cycle' will extend the correction? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN - A detailed Important scenario of what will happen!Anyone who puts 2025 as the end of the cycle is wrong, in my view In this analysis, I will list for you all the next steps, starting from now.
- Altcoins and Bitcoin will rise to 85k, and it will happen from here until the end of June - the beginning of July.... This will coincide with TOTAL3 reaching 900B - 1T.
-There will be a strong correction for the entire market, and Bitcoin will return to 72k and TOTAL3 will return to 700B - 730B. - In the period between August and October, Bitcoin will rise alone, and alternative currencies will begin to rise slightly
- Trump wins the US elections, and remember what he said two days ago regarding cryptocurrencies, and this would bring great positivity to the market.
At the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025, Bitcoin will reach 125k - 150k, and that will be the peak of that cycle, and your greed will then reach the sky, but don't take your profits... When that happens, you will find those calling for 200k for Bitcoin, or posts tells 1M for BTC !
Then the following will happen:
- Distribution of bitcoins to ALTS for two or three weeks with great ALTseason...Greed will reach its peak, and I will be attacked and anyone who tells " this is the peak, and you must take your profits and make them 100% cash".
- Then there will be a complete collapse of the market and the American markets, and a decline that will continue for years, and this collapse will be less severe for Bitcoin, reaching areas between 50k - 45k, and most other currencies will disappear completely (90-99% decline).
best regard Ceciliones🎯
Expecting the Peak of Altcoin Season Starts in Q1 Hello,
Based on historical trends, I've observed that January and February are typically bullish months in the cryptocurrency market. During past bull runs, like 2021, altcoins often outperformed Bitcoin, driven by increased retail and institutional investment in smaller-cap cryptocurrencies. I anticipate that the peak of the altcoin season will likely begin in Q1 of the upcoming year.
Alikze »» NEIRO | Ascending Channel - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending Channel - 1D
📣 MEXC:NEIROCTOUSDT currency is currently moving in an ascending channel on the daily time frame after a price jump.
🟢 Considering the reactions at the bottom and top of the channel and considering the momentum, if there is a positive reaction at the bottom of the ascending channel, it can grow at least to the specified area.
🟢 If the bottom of the ascending channel breaks, it can continue to correct in the green box area and, if demand is created, continue its movement to the top of the ascending channel.
💎In addition, considering the movement cycle, this wave can continue to the specified supply area.
⚠️ In addition, if the price breaks the green box area downwards and touches the blue bar area, the ascending scenario is validated and should be re-examined and updated ⚠️
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Alikze »» BRETT | Ascending Channel - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending Channel - 1W
📣 COINEX:BRETTUSDT It is moving in an ascending channel on the weekly time frame.
🟢 It has had several positive reactions with demand at the bottom of the ascending channel.
🟢 Given the current momentum that is in the supply area and the middle of the ascending channel.
💎 If the current area is broken, it can grow to the 0.41 area.
⚠️ Given the recent zigzag correction at the bottom of the channel, it has encountered buying pressure candles that can be considered the LVL Invalidation range as invalidating the bullish trend analysis. ⚠️
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ICPUSD 1D Golden Cross can kickstart an amazing +250% rally!Internet Computer (ICPUSD) is about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame. The long-term prevailing pattern seems to be a Channel Up since the February 19 2023 High and November 04 2024 is a technical Higher Low.
The previous one was also formed a few weeks before a 1D Golden Cross, which kickstarted a non-stop rally to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The 1.382 Fib is at +250% from the current level at $32.00 and that is our current long-term Target.
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Alikze »» MOVR | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Super cycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 MEXC:MOVRUSDT currency has encountered demand after a zigzag correction in the 3.61 range, which has had a rapid upward rally
🟢 After that, the price has had a double complex zigzag correction to the origin of the third upward wave.
🟢 Again, in the origin of the third movement, with a three-wave movement, it has encountered demand again in the area of the bottom of the ascending channel.
🟢 Currently, selling pressure is also observed in the ceiling of the ascending channel and the supply area.
💎 If this correction is broken in the form of a zigzag to the minor ceiling, it can be extended to the minor ceiling. It can again encounter demand and an upward rally to the minor ceiling of the previous rally.
💎 Depending on the momentum, this cycle can be a super cycle wave 3 or C to touch the red box area.
⚠️In addition, if the area touches the bottom of the previous wave, the bullish scenario is invalidated and should be re-examined and updated.⚠️
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FETUSD Buy it while it is still cheap.Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FETUSD), commonly known as Fetch.ai, has been trading within a 4.5-year Channel Up since the March 2020 market bottom and following the 2022 Inflation Crisis that bottomed on the week of November 21 2022, it has entered a new Channel Up.
That is technically the new Bullish Leg of the 4.5 year Channel Up, which is the new Bull Cycle. Naturally, it shares many common characteristics with the previous Bullish Leg/ Cycle. The symmetry between its Legs (blue Arcs) is strong and so is their tendency to reach the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level upon pull-backs and then rebound.
It appears that right now we are at the final stage of the Channel Up, where after finding Support on the 0.5 Fib and more importantly holding the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) on the August 05 Low, it is aiming for the last rebound.
Based on the % rise of the previous Bullish Legs, this should be on a +1050% minimum, so our Target is $8.000.
It is interesting also to notice the MACD squeeze, after the last 2 Bullish Crosses, which is a clear bottom sign.
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Alikze »» ORDI | Ascending channel - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 1D
BINANCE:ORDIUSDT In the daily time frame, it is moving in an ascending channel, which has faced selling pressure in the supply area after hitting the ceiling of the channel.
- In the analysis presented in the previous post , the alternative path was realized, which was corrected up to the $29 range and met with demand again by creating a Double Bottom.
💎Currently, due to the momentum and bullish guard, it can meet the demand again with a zigzag correction in the green box range and break the first supply area towards the specified targets.
💎Therefore, the reversal can be a broken pullback to the swing.
⚠️ In addition, if the correction is sharp and sharp, there will be a possibility of breaking the zone, so if the Invalidation LVL zone is touched, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and should be checked and updated again. ⚠️
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Alikze »» MINA | Ascending Channel - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending Channel - 1D
📣 BINANCE:MINAUSDT currency is moving in an ascending channel on the daily time frame.
🟢 It is currently within the range of the previous minor ceiling.
🟢 Considering the collisions at the ceiling of the ascending channel and the creation of selling pressure, it can continue to move within the current range to the ceiling of the channel and the dynamic trigger.
💎After hitting the dynamic trigger and the ceiling of the ascending channel, there will be a possibility of a negative reaction and selling pressure, so any return can, with a pullback to the previous broken ceiling, continue its path to the neckline and the red box area if confirmed.
⚠️ In addition, if the corrective wave enters the Invalidation LVL area, it will be checked and updated. ⚠️
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Alikze »» ETC | Scenario 3 or C bullish - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario of wave 3 or C in the ascending channel
BINANCE:ETCUSDT In the daily timeframe, according to the analysis presented earlier , it encountered demand after reaching the Buyer zone, which led to the breakdown of the descending channel and the touch of the target of $25.
- Currently, after exiting the congestion, it is moving within an ascending channel, which is currently at the ceiling of the first channel.
💎 In case of correction, at the ceiling of the first ascending channel, it can encounter demand in the middle range of the channel or the OB zone and continue its growth to the ceiling of the second channel.
⚠️ In addition, in the bullish scenario, the Invalidation LVL zone should not be touched. ⚠️
💎In case of touching the mentioned zone, the currency's movement path should be reviewed and updated again.
BITCOIN rally cant get caught anymore and SPXRUT ratio shows whyIt's beyond doubt now that Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started the new Parabolic Rally (PR), technically the most aggressive phase of the Bull Cycle. We've made numerous analyses in the past explaining on time why we expected this break-out to take place after 7 months of accumulation.
What we bring to you today is the SPX/RUT ratio, the correlation of the S&P500 (SPX) and Russell 2000 (RUT) indices against BTC and how it confirms that this rally will now accelerate to a pace that it won't be easy to get caught (i.e. bought).
The SPX/RUT ratio is displayed by the blue trend-line. The ratio is particularly helpful during Bitcoin's Parabolic Rally phase as their correlation is mostly a negative one, meaning when the ratio falls, Bitcoin rises. On this chart, this correlation is present on a cyclical basis. This means that during every Cycle, it displays a behavioral pattern that is common.
The key characteristic here is the Lower Highs pattern that the ratio forms every Cycle around the Halving time. As you can see, when SPX/RUT peaks (red circle) and starts forming Lower Highs, Bitcoin stars its Parabolic Rally (green arc). On the 1st Lower High, BTC's rally is already underway and has entered the stage where due to the sheer buying pressure and aggression, getting an entry is difficult. The Lower Highs on SPX/RUT also signify a shift from big capitalization stocks to low, i.e. an increasing appetite for riskier assets and that transcends to the Bitcoin market as well.
So what do you think? Does the SPX/RUT ratio indicate that we've started the part of BTC's rally that is hard to catch? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ETH Swing Long Prediction - Ethereum AnalysisI think we are very close to seeing a retracement on ETH, as well as across all altcoins. I expect the price to pull back to around 2812, possibly hitting the weekly demand zone (marked in purple). From that zone, I will be looking for swing-long opportunities, with a potential target of 4088 (the March 2024 high).
Make sure to look for LTF confirmations before initiating any trades.
WifBINANCE:WIFUSDT
WIF Coin Analysis 📉:
Currently, the price of WIF Coin is facing resistance around the 4.50 level 🚫. This price point has recently been rejected, meaning the coin couldn't maintain a higher value and is now correcting downward. If the price fails to recover or break above this level, we could see more downside movement.
At this moment, the current support area is at 3.000 🛑. This is the level where buyers might step in to prevent further decline. If the price holds around 3.000, there’s a chance for a bounce 🔄 or consolidation to form, potentially setting the stage for an upward move. If this support level holds strong, we could see a price reversal that pushes the coin back toward the 4.50 resistance area soon. 🚀
However, if the price fails to hold at the 3.000 support level and breaks lower, the next support would be around 1.961 🔻. This would be a critical area for the coin. A break below 1.961 might indicate further downside pressure, and the coin could potentially decline even further, so it’s essential to monitor this level closely. If the price falls through this support area, it could test even lower levels, which could signal a prolonged downtrend.
That being said, if the price respects the 3.243 area 💪 (a slight resistance zone) and shows signs of stability, there’s a high likelihood that the coin will move upward towards the 4.50 resistance level again. A breakout above 4.50 would signal the potential for further gains and a continuation of the upward trend 🚀. Watch for signs of a breakout, like an increase in buying volume or a strong price push above this level, which could confirm a bullish trend.
In summary, the price is at a critical juncture. If it holds 3.000, the upward potential toward 4.50 could be on the horizon 🔼. If it breaks lower, watch for 1.961 as the next critical support. Ultimately, it all depends on whether the price can respect these levels or break through them, so stay alert to market movements and plan accordingly.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice ⚠️. Always make sure to do your own research and analysis before making any decisions in the market. 📊💡
BONKUSD going at least x10 from here!Bonk (BONKUSD) just formed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame and having broken above its current ATH Resistance (March 04 High), it is expected to rise parabolically from here.
To back this up, that is exactly what took place after the previous 1D Golden Cross a year ago (November 08 2023), when again the price broke above Resistance 1 and turned parabolic to the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, completing a +20200% rise from its bottom.
If a new +20200% rise seems unrealistic to you (it would however form a perfect Higher High at the top of the long-term Channel Up), then you can target the 3.0 Fibonacci extension at $0.0006650, which represents a +1100% rise from the current levels. A x10 opportunity indeed.
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Alikze »» ALGO | Scenario 3 or C bullish - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario of the first cycle bullish wave 3 or C - 1W
BINANCE:ALGOUSDT In the daily time frame, the ascending channel is moving.
- In the analysis presented in the previous post , after reaching the dynamic trigger, it faced selling pressure and, after a correction of 0.23 Fibo of the previous wave, it was able to continue the upward movement to the supply area.
- Considering the previous movement structure, which had an upward cycle to the 33 cent range, after which it made a three-wave downward correction cycle.
💎After that, by forming a Double Bottom, it was able to touch the middle of the channel and the neckline by creating demand.
💎Considering the momentum, this movement cycle can continue to the ceiling area of the ascending channel and the supply area, and then with a temporary correction in the middle of the channel, it can continue the upward path to the second supply area.
⚠️In addition, if the price enters the Invalidation LVL range during this upward phase, the bullish scenario is invalidated and must be re-examined and updated.⚠️
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BITCOIN Pi Cycle Theory aiming at $120k at least!Following Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) new All Time High in the aftermath of the U.S. elections, we've established on previous posts that we've entered the final year (12 months) of this Bull Cycle. This is clearly visible by the use of the Sine Waves as shown on this 1W chart.
** Pi Cycle **
The new aspect we're bringing to you today is the Pi Cycle indicator, which has proven to be as consistent as any other at projecting the long-term price action of Bitcoin. As you can see every Cycle Top has been considerably above the Top Pi Band (red trend-line) and we're currently trading $30k below where this level is now. This means that it is only a matter of time for BTC to 'attack' $120k and break it.
** 1W RSI kickstarting the aggression **
We are at a point where the new rally phase that started after the price tested, held and rebounded on the 1W MA50 back in early August, will start getting more and more aggressive. The final bullish signal was given last week after the 1W RSI closed above 70.00 (vertical orange dashed line). As you can see, during the previous two Cycles, every time Bitcoin closed the 1W RSI above 70.00, the Cycle peaked 54 weeks later (roughly 365 days). There is no reason to expect otherwise this time also, as this projected date (week of November 24 2025) falls exactly on the Sine Wave's Top.
Notice also that during the most aggressive part of the Parabolic Rally, the 1D MA100 (blue trend-line) tends to Support. And before that, when that crosses above the Bottom Pi band (green trend-line), the indicator gives a confirmed buy signal for the whole Cycle.
** Timing the market is everything **
The question now is how high can the price get? Well according to those estimates, a peak above the Top Pi Band can be anywhere within the $150k - $200k range, and that could be a conservative estimate. But lucky enough, with technical tools like the one we present to you today, we can time the market (thus our exits/ sells) almost perfectly and get out as high as possible, without having an absolute Target in mind.
But what do you think? Are you also expecting the rally to start getting even more aggressive and break above $120k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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CARDANO 1D Golden Cross pushing for Resistance breakout to $1.40Last time we looked at Cardano (ADAUSD) was on September 24 (see chart below), when we called for the strongest buy signal in a year:
It couldn't have been more timely as we went from a 0.3690 price to 0.8200, a +120% rise. This High is also testing the March 14 2024 High, currently Resistance 2. The market just formed a 1D Golden Cross and last time it had one was exactly 1 year ago (November 18 2023). Soon after Resistance 2 broke and the price reached a little above the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Even the 1D RSI is on a similar fractal.
As a result, once ADA closes a 1D candle above Resistance 2, we will target $1.400 (Fibonacci 2.0 extension).
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Bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 2,920.42
1st Support: 2,692.59
1st Resistance: 3,382.58
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Alikze »» SKL | Wave 3 or rising C scenario - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or rising C scenario
News:
SKALE to Participate in Sawadee Web3 Gaming in Bangkok on November 12th
- It is moving in an upward channel in the weekly time frame.
- It is currently in the Support Zone with the formation of a higher floor.
-The previous corrective wave has completed a full cycle in the Support Zone.
💎 Considering that the previous correction wave corrected the previous wave by 0.23 fibo and a higher floor was formed, if the candlestick is confirmed in the weekly time frame, it can enter the broken structure first by breaking the trigger line and then pullback. Ascending phase.
💎Therefore, if there is no stabilization below the area, the scenario of wave 3 or rising C with the specified targets will be accessible.
⚠️ In addition, if the Support Zone or Fibo 0.23 of the previous wave is broken, the bullish scenario will be invalidated. ⚠️
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BINANCE:SKLUSDT
