Altseason Indicator Total 3 - capitalization without BTC and ETHLogarithm. Time frame 1 month. The chart shows two major and one minor cycle of pumping alts and the market as a whole. This chart emphasizes the time of alts pumping without taking into account the heavyweights BTC and ETH , which occupy a huge share of the crypto market.
That is, directly makes it clear when the long-awaited alt season begins. All major previous and future alt season on the chart. Note that these are the maximum prices for most altcoins in a certain phase of the market. Be sure to clean out your pockets alts during these times.
The capitalization of these assets has long been in a squeeze - consolidation, there is a direct correlation with the accumulation zones. We are in the final accumulation phase.
Note that there has been no real capitulation (perhaps there won't be, and if there is, it will be V figuratively , but that's not the point).
That is, as soon as the reversal levels (marked in yellow) are broken through - the prices of these groups of assets begin to rise. The "participation" phase is launched on the market. That is the price movement to the distribution zones.
As a rule, by this phase of the market ( distribution ) capitalization grows 10 times , prices accordingly. This is the time - "the hamster is not scared", i.e. the time when one should get rid of (lock in super profits) from "promising crypto garbage".
Below provided is a basic variation of asset group grading on tradingview that makes sense to monitor and use as true market indicators. This gives insight into potential asset group pumps/dumps or market phase changes. These types of "ideas" are done once and for many years. Because relevance is never lost if you understand the point
1) Market capitalization of different assets:
Crypto total cap - total market capitalization of the market in $
Crypto total cap 2 - market capitalization excluding BTC in $
Crypto total cap 3 - market capitalization excluding BTC and ETH in $
2) DeFI projects:
Crypto total cap DeFI - DeFI cryptocurrency capitalization in $
Crypto total cap DeFI.D - capitalization in % terms of DeFi dominance to the market
3) Major Stablecoins:
Market cap USDT - USDT capitalization in $
Market cap USDT % - capitalization in % terms of dominance to the whole market
Market cap USDC - USDC capitalization in $
Market cap USDC % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market.
4) Bit cocaine
Market cap BTC $ - capitalization of BTC in $
Market cap BTC dominannce % - capitalization in % dominance expression to the whole market.
5) Ethereum
Market cap ETH $ - capitalization of ETH in $
Market cap ETH dominannce % - capitalization in % expression of dominance to the whole market.
6) USD index (DXY)
The US Dollar cyrrency index is the most important indicator of the pamp/dump markets as a whole (more globally, not just crypto).
Market cycles are humans behavior, what is displayed on the price chart and which lends itself to cyclical thinking/actions, which shapes the market direction. .
Below I will publish similar ideas — indicators that I have published previously for several years and that for obvious reasons remain relevant. I will also make analysis of new groups of assets by capitalization from the list, which have not been analyzed before. But, I will do all the analysis of instruments only when I have free time.
Cryptocurrencysignals
MobileCoin (MOB) completed setup for upto 19.50% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of MobileCoin (MOB) with US Dollar pair.
In recent trade the price of MOB was moved slightly down than buying zone, however, recovered soon and pumped almost 20% as below:
Now on a 4-hr time frame, MOB has formed a bullish Cypher move for the next pump.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
WEMIXUSD Targeting $6.000 after the next pull-back.WEMIX (WEMIXUSD) broke yet above another Resistance (2.7675) yesterday as well as the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. It is about to complete a +160% rise from the previous Low, which is the % range that the previous two bullish legs have registered before pulling back since the August 17 low. The next Resistance level is at 4.700 almost exactly on the 0.618 retracement level, but after the expected pull-back now, our target will be higher, another +160% leg at $6.000.
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RSK Infrastructure Framework (RIF) | A setup for upto 22.50%Hi friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of RSK Infrastructure Framework (RIF).
Recently we caught almost 42% pump of RIF as below:
Now on a 2-hr time frame, RIF with BTC pair has formed a bullish Shark move for a bullish reversal move.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
BITCOIN Megaphone breached! How high can the price go?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke yesterday above the Bullish Megaphone pattern that kept it at bay since the October 24 High. The previous Bullish Megaphone of September - October technically served as a consolidation belt before the price broke upwards to deliver a +31.86% peak from the Megaphone's last Higher Low and +40.50% from its first Low.
The ROC shows a similar behavioral structure between the two patterns. If it continues this way, then a new +31.50% leg will make a perfect contact on 48220, which is the March 28 2022 High, essentially the Bear Cycle's first Lower High and a key Resistance level of the current Bull Cycle. Technically, as long as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) holds (has been doing so since Sep 28), that is a realistic end target for this bullish wave.
But what do you think? Do you agree that this is a likely extension for this rally before the price pulls back or you expect a pull back now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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HNTUSD 1W MA100 only barrier before $12.500Helium (HNTUSD) is on an enormous rise that just reached the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the Bear Cycle correction, headed towards the Supply/ Demand Equilibrium Zone. That's also trading towards that Zone is the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), the last long-term Resistance of the market. We expect a rejection there and a pull-back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) to attract new buyers. Once HNT closes a 1W candle above the 1W MA100, we will target 12.500, which is both the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the June 10 2022 High.
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Tron (TRX) completed setup for upto 16% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Tron (TRX) with BTC pair.
Previously we caught more than 10% pump of TRX as below:
Now on a daily time frame, TRX formed a bullish AB=CD move for the next pump.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
BITCOIN Hello April 2022! 40k cleared!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above the psychological 40000 mark, trading now even above 41k. Those are levels that we haven't seen since the week of April 18 2022! And we don't know yet where this euphoric (on Fed, ETF anticipation) candle will stop.
Technically, the next Resistance level is the 48220 High that was the first Lower High made after the November 2021 All Time High, on the week of March 28 2022. With the current trend structure it is not unrealistic to hit this zone as the pattern remains a Channel Up since the November 2022 market bottom. The current bullish leg resembles that of March 2023 and the price action now is on a course to price the new Higher High near the 48220 Resistance.
Beyond that it is high speculation but if it continues to repeat the waves of the Channel Up and the sequence after the April 10 2023 High, we could see a Falling Wedge bottoming close to Halving 4 (expected in April 2024) and as you are all aware of, the supply shock that the Halving causes to BTC, should gradually set in motion the Parabolic Rally of the Bull Cycle.
In addition to the above, BTC is about to complete in the next 2-3 weeks the first ever Golden Cross on the 1W time-frame, which is when the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). It will be really interesting to see how the market will react for the first time to such a bullish technical pattern.
But what do you think? Do you think that Channel Up is too scripted to be true? If not, can Bitcoin test 48k next straight away or a pull-back to test the middle/ bottom of the Demand Zone would be more realistic? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Gitcoin (GTC) completed setup for the next pumpHi dear friends , hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Gitcoin (GTC) token with USD pair.
Previously we caught almost 23% of GTC as below:
Now on a 4-hr time frame, GTC formed a bullish BAT move for the next pump.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
Trade signal | Aergo completed setup for upto 22.50% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Aergo token.
Previously we caught almost 87% pump of AERGO as below:
Now on a 4-hr time frame, AERGO with BTC pair has formed a bullish Gartley move for the next pump.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
TAOUSDT If this line holds, it can reach $580.00Bittensor (TAOUSDT) is on a remarkable parabolic rally since the October 19 bottom, supported by a Higher Lows trend-line. Below that, is the natural technical Support, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Technically every bullish leg of TAO during this run targets the +0.5 Fibonacci interval, where it consolidates until the next rally to the +0.5 Fib. As you can see, the first consolidation was on the 1.5 Fib, then the 2.5 Fib, where it currently trades sideways.
As long as the Higher Lows trend-line holds, we will target the 3.5 Fib extension at $580. If the Higher Lows trend-line breaks, we will take the loss and target a potential contact with the 1D MA50, with current projection estimates putting a target at $175.00 (but can change as the 1D MA50 rises).
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BITCOIN on the verge of a global money supply rally.On today's study we plot Bitcoin (BTCUSD) against two unique formulae that encompass the basic essence of the global money supply. The formula in blue has a differentiation towards Chinese bond yields while the orange on the Chinese Yuan. Both are regressed against the U.S. Dollar and the batch of the U.S. Balance Sheet, Chinese Central Bank Balance Sheet and the ECB's Assets.
BTC bottoms exactly when the orange trend-line bottoms and it starts the parabolic rally of its Bull Cycle when the blue trend-line bottoms on a Lower Low. Right now blue has started to rise after just bottoming on a Lower Low.
This is contrary to common belief and traditional Halving theory, but according to the above monetary metrics BTC may just be starting a new parabolic rally much earlier than anticipated.
Do you agree or it's too soon and you'll wait for the Halving? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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STXUSD Strong bullish extension short-term.Stacks (STXUSD) has closed above the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) for the first time since March 23 and even though it remains within an 8-month Channel Down, we expect to finally break it upwards as the 1D MACD formed the first Bullish Cross above the 0.00 level since since the start of the Channel Down itself.
To make the bullish case stronger, this is coming off the first 1D Golden Cross in 9 months and we can clearly see a technical Channel Up emerging. We consider this a strong short-term buy opportunity towards Resistance 1 at 0.886750.
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ZEC/USDT Secondary trend -94%. Downward wedge. 29 11 2023Logarithm. Time frame is 3 days. Linear for clarity. Secondary trend that formed a descending wedge (bullish potential). This is all down -94% from last cycle's highs of $369.18 Halving (second one in history) will approximately be 17 11 2024. The chart for orientation to key resistance areas has shown the percentages that are very likely to be reached in 2024 (pardon my French).
Major trend. Time frame 1 month.
ZEC/USDT Major trend. 2 halving 17 11 2024. 17/160,18
Simplifying the complex is the key to success.
Simplifying the simple is a guarantee of misconceptions and mistakes.
The key to good work of a trader is knowledge and experience, which always leads to simplification of actions, not to complication !!!!.
ZEC/USDT Major trend. 2 halving 17 11 2024. 17/160,18Major trend. Large time frame for clarity. Old exchange Poloniex (low liquidity) due to long trading history to show everything clearly. As you can see with each cycle the highs are decreasing....
Cycles of life and death . This cryptocurrency is going into its third cycle. It will most likely be the last because of its anonymity. In a decentralized super centralized world, nothing can be anonymous! Am I wrong? States don't need anything anonymous. The demands of market regulation will “strangle” anything anonymous. But, this is later, and before the halving, which will happen on 17 11 2024 with a high probability they will pump up to 160.18$, and maybe even higher, if the card falls.
Saving "dirty money" when CBDC is introduced by banks . Some people think that when CBDC of central banks is introduced, through anonymous coins like ZEC, HMR and so on, big capital will "save" their shadow money. A fairy tale for school children. I have little faith in it. I think such money has been saved long ago. Although this story to create a news background as a reason to pump has a place ....
It's worth noting that BCH and BTC will first halve in April 2024.
News from Satoshi . By the way, "rumor has it" that closer to the summer of 2024, according to the plot of our crypto movie called good/bad, a new “Satoshi Nakamoto”. Will be announced, who will plunge everyone into “uncertainty of actions/consequences” in the market. Rumors also claim it will be the universally hated villain, Craig Wright). Do you think the role will go to another villain, Roger Ver? Or have these two characters already played out and the role will go to someone else? Or maybe the plot itself will be canceled? Perhaps. Time will tell, the manipulators can come up with anything, that's not the point.
Immunity from news nonsense. The main thing is to treat such "crypto stories", even if there is a real imitation of provability, with the utmost equanimity. Remember, no matter what is going on, it is all a hoax to capitalize on the direction of the trend. The news background that is created to accompany price movement.
Line chart.
Secondary trend. Timeframe 3 days
Coinbase Gearing Up for its next MoveHi guys! This is an Update on recent Technical developments found for Coinbase (COIN).
I've successfully identified the Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern. Check out that idea down below.
We have completed the Return Rally back to test Support on the Neckline. Now ive been assessing if there are signs that we continue the Inverse Head and Shoulders with our final explosive breakout move.
This analysis is done on the 1 day timeframe.
As you can see we have tested and CONFIRMED Support on the Neckline.
After doing so we have inched higher.
Notice now, we are ABOVE the 21 EMA.
With the last 3 days of candles, forming LOWER WICKS off the 21 EMA.
This is a great sign of SUPPORT.
We must continue to stay ABOVE the 21 EMA.
Being Above the 21 EMA on any timeframe indicates that we will most likely have an UPTREND in price.
Notice also the Orange Rectangle. This highlights a consolidation zone. This shows to me that we are building up momentum for our final rally of the Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern.
A confirmation ABOVE the Upper Border of Rectangle, will indicate Rally may be starting.
To keep us on our toes, just remember that if price action goes BELOW the Lower Border of the Rectangle, we risk testing the Neckline again. Which is always a possibility . As long as we maintain the Neckline as Support, we good.
Watch VOLUME -> We need it to start picking up for indication of the major move.
This move will essentially lead to trend reversal for COIN, confirming the bottom.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on COIN in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
BLURUSD First 1D Golden Cross in history formed!Blur (BLURUSD) formed yesterday its first ever Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crossed above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This alone is an incredibly bullish signal and since the price is trading inside a Bullish Megaphone, the ideal buy entry is closer to its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line), namely the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Our target is the 0.85850 Resistance.
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Trade signal | Ontology Gas (ONG) setting up for upto 30% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Ontology Gas (ONG) with US Dollar pair.
Recently we caught almost 55% pump of ONG as below:
Now on 1-hr time frame, ONG is completing the final leg of a bullish BAT move for the next pump.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
Venus (XVS) completed setup for the next pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Venus (XVS) with US Dollar pair.
In the previous trade setup the priceline slightly moved down than buying zone, however, recovered soon and pumped almost 100%.
Now on 1-hr time frame, XVS has formed a bullish Gartley move for the next pump.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.