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BITCOIN Today's monthly closing can start a rally to $81000!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is closing the monthly (1M) candle today and to the surprise of most, it is near the November 2021 All Time High (ATH). In fact it is exactly at the level where the ATH monthly candle (Nov 2021) made its closing. As a result if the month of February closes today above it, we will have a new ATH monthly closing! ** The importance of the monthly closing ** Why is that so important? Because every time in history BTC closed a 1M candle above the closing of the previous ATH candle closing, it started the Parabolic Rally Phase of the Bull Cycle and never looked back until the Cycle top. This is a key level as there were 2 times it got tested but as the 1M candle didn't close above the previous ATH candle closing (August 2012 and June 2019), the price got rejected and took numerous more months before the next test and eventual break-out. ** The 1M RSI and Fib bands ** It is important to highlight that on the tests that were successful and made a new 1M candle close above the previous ATH candle closing, the 1M RSI was overbought above 70.00 (blue circle and arrow), while the 2 times it failed, the RSI was below 70.00. Also during those successful tests, the 1M candle was recently detached from the Fib MA Multiple 3 (blue trend-line) and in reached Multiple 5 (yellow trend-line) within the next 2 months maximum. ** What's next if successful? ** This indicates that if today's monthly candle closes above our critical level, we should see $81000 by April! And if you want to make a rough estimate of the top of the Cycle, it should be at or marginally below Multiple 7 (red trend-line) with a fair projection being $150000. You should also consider to start profit taking once the 1M RSI approaches its historic Lower Highs trend-line, which has timed the pricings of all Cycle tops. And with the exception of the last one, that was on a Double Top on the Lower Highs. But what do you think? Will Bitcoin makes a closing above the ATH 1M candle closing today and if so, will it hit 81k by April? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
8
BITCOIN on the quickest ATH test! Is this a narrative breaker?A few weeks ago we published an analysis regarding the importance of the .786 Fibonacci retracement level in cyclical terms, showing that historically, every time Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has closed a 1W candle above that Fib level, it never looked back and it always tested the All Time High (ATH) soon after. Fast forward to today, BTC has already closed 2 straight 1W candles above that level. On this analysis on the 5D time-frame, we see the completion of the Golden Cross, which has always been present once on every Cycle, this time though formed the closest ever to the ATH. In fact Bitcoin is 'only' another +20% away from its ATH and technically in should get hit within the next handful of weeks. In that case, we will have the quickest rise from a Cycle Bottom (RSI based) to ATH since the 2012 - 2013 Cycle, which was Bitcoin's first and of course not a representative Cycle sample as it was on its first years and naturally on a very aggressive rise due to being a brand new market on low cap. If we do count however from the actual November 2022 bottom (460 days up to now), then the current Cycle goes head-to-head even with 2012 - 2013 (it was 466 days until the ATH)! In any case, this is a remarkable run for the market with still more than a month left until the new Halving! Of course much of this rally is attributed to the newly approved ETF, which is attracting historic attention and capital inflows on Wall Street. Just a side-note, it is worth paying attention to the 5D RSI. A Resistance Zone test can be a first bell that the top is in or very close. But what do you think? How long before we test the ATH? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
BITCOIN Is it about to 'Ride the Bollinger Wave'?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on the 3rd straight month that the 1M candle has touched the top of the Bollinger Bands (BB). At the same time the Bollinger Bands Width (BBW) is on the rise while the 1M MACD is well past its Bullish Cross. When all those three catalysts took place together in the past, BTC has extended the rally on top of the BB, which is something we historically call 'Riding the Bollinger Wave'. Technically this should give at most a 2-month pull-back, which would of course be a buy opportunity, until the Cycle tops. Will you continue buying every pull-back without fear? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
4
FLR/USDT Major trend. Downward channel. 21 10 2023Main trend. Time frame 3 days. Due to airdrop and the general trend of alts movement, the trend is pronounced downward. The price is moving in a descending channel. With a high probability in the near future may occur after a significant drop in price corrective movement to it, so as not to spoil the logic of the channel for the market maker. The percentages have shown. It is worth noting that locally can be formed as before candle “hammer” (bullish signal). Line chart. Local trading situation at the moment . Time frame 1 day. You should always have a $ reserve of 30% of your position in case the Corona-dump 2020 fractal occurs.
Long
by SpartaBTC
2
BITCOIN Below the 4H MA50. Where does it go from here?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has broken 3 days ago below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 weeks and so far remains under it, unable to regain the bullish momentum of the first half of February. But how bad can that be? Does it jeopardize the long-term bullish trend? For now not. Even though the February 15 High was technically a rejection on the Higher Highs trend-line that started on December 05 2023, the medium-term pattern remains a 1-month Channel Up. That pattern is similar to the Channel Up from October 13 2023 to December 17 2023, which broke sideways after a 1D candle closing below the 4H MA100 (green trend-line). The 4H MA100 is currently at 49656, with additional support levels Support 1 (48400) and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (47800), which provided the necessary support on the December 11 2023 Low. As a result, we have a strong candidate zone as the new Support Base that can technically extend the bullish trend of the Channel Up. The short-term target is the Higher Highs trend-line at 55000 and if we get a 1D candle closing above it, Channel Up extension to its top at 60000. Note that the 4H RSI offers a very strong buy signal on its 30.00 oversold barrier. Every time it was hit in the last several months, the price rebounded (even in the cases January 13, 14 and 18, when it was just short-term rebounds). But what do you think? Will BTC provide a bullish extension on the current Channel Up? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
1
BITCOIN New rally about to start! Similarities with 2020/21.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has rebounded strongly since the 39000 Low and has left the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) significantly behind, with many wondering if a correction back to it is due. That would technically be reasonable and an optimal level to add more buys but it is not necessary to happen. A simple comparison with the 2020/ 2021 Bull Phase (right chart) offers critical insight on a potential rally structure. ** Fibonacci levels and CCI ** As you can see (both charts are on the 1D time-frame), during the 2020/21 rally BTC pulled back below the 1D MA50 only after it broke above the $60k level. Even during the short-term correction within the 6.0 - 5.0 Fibonacci extension levels (dotted Channel Down), the 1D MA50 held. The 1D CCI pattern since the start of 2023 has been identical so far to BTC's price action since the March 2020 COVID bottom. ** The structure of today vs 2020/21 ** The symmetry between the two is remarkable, they both started on a (dotted) Channel Down that broke below the 1D MA50, then a consolidation phase in the form of an Arc within our base 1.0 - 0.0 Fib levels and then a rally to the more recent (blue circle) consolidation within the 3.0 - 2.0 Fib extensions. That is the structure that the February rally left behind and if 2021 continues to be our guide, it should now start a new rally first to the 4.0 Fib (65000) and then to the 6.0 Fib (a little above 100000) for the new dotted Channel Down correction. ** Is such strong rally so fast realistic? ** Of course $100k by April would mean reaching those levels by the Halving event, which seems unrealistic (of course that is relative) even with the current ETF inflows which are surpassing every prior estimate. But of course it is a solid framework to have as a guide even if the current Cycle proves to be less aggressive than the previous and symmetry starts breaking. But what do you think? Is it possible for Bitcoin to continue replicating 2021 and reach 100k so fast? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
10
FILUSD Just flashed the strongest long-term bullish signal!Filecoin (FILUSD) closed last week's 1W candle above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since the January 10 2022 1W candle! That alone is a major long-term bullish signal that validates the transition to the Bull Cycle. A further closing above the Lower Highs trend-line, would confirm the bullish break-out signal without any additional hurdles in front of it. This basically resembles the February 10 2020 candle of the previous Cycle that closed above the 1W MA100. As you can see, it failed to close immediately above the Lower Highs and as a result pulled-back to the historic Support Zone (red) before starting the sustainable Parabolic Rally (of course that was during the March 2020 COVID market crash). A Bullish Cross between the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA100 took place. That's something we are still missing on the current Cycle but estimates show we can get one by the end of April - beginning of May. As a result, we are prepared to buy if the price breaks and closes above the Lower Highs trend-line and target the bottom of the Symmetrical Resistance Zone at 23.000. If rejected, expect a pull-back near the 1W MA50 and then start of the Parabolic Rally to test the 126.000 All Time High. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:FILUSDLong
by TradingShot
3