BITCOIN Overbought but it doesn't matter!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is rising strongly today, against the majority's sentiment which after the ETF fake news earlier, was calling for (much) lower prices. We are almost on Monday's High, with the 1D RSI overbought above the 70.00 territory, but that may not matter at all, in case you are expecting a technical correction.
Assuming the 1 year pattern is a Channel Up, the current rise is the technical bullish leg towards a new Higher High. It is supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and now by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) as well. The previous bullish leg was also confirmed after breaking above the Lower Highs trend-line but didn't stop despite turning overbought on the 1D RSI. On the contrary it needed to form a Bearish Divergence of Lower Highs, before the first pull-back took place.
As a result, we don't expect a correction now, despite the overbought RSI but rather will wait for at least 3 Lower Highs, in order to take profit and wait for a 1D MA100 correction. That will be the buy with which we will target a symmetrical Higher High at 35500 on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
But what do you think? Does it matter that BTC is overbought or not and we will see much higher prices now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrencysignals
STXUSD above the 1D MA200 after 3 months!Stacks (STXUSD) broke above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 20. Our target last time (see chart below) on September 19 was 0.65000, which is the 0.618 Fibonacci level:
The price is now on important crossroads. If the 1D candle closes above the 0.618, we will buy again and target the previous High at 0.89000. On the first closing below the 0.618 Fib though (or if it never closes above the 0.618 in the first place) we will sell and target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at 0.52500.
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BITCOIN 7 months of PAIN coming to an end??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke this week above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since the weekly candle of May 02 2022. The weekly candle closing is of particular interest as the price has quickly pulled back so far below the 1W MA100 (cointelegraph's fake news tweet). If it closes above it, then we may finally see an end to BTC's painful 7-month consolidation that is loosely supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
Along with the 1W MA100, we may also get a huge bullish signal from the 1W RSI, which broke above its Lower Highs trend-line (that is in effect throughout the whole consolidation), and if the week closes above it, will give the early buy. An emerging Bullish Cross on the 1W MACD, will come as the icing on the cake to confirm the bullish break-out.
But what do you think? Do you think this 7-month agony is about to end on this week's closing? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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$STRAX near to BREAKOUT What Is A Demand Zone?
A demand zone is a support area where traders buy. This is often lower than the current spot price and can be near a psychological level such as $15,000, $20,000, or more.
Institutional supply and demand zones are often placed at flat numbers, and the price usually moves up or down depending on the trend.
BITCOIN Just accept that we are NOT going any LOWER than this!Kind of catchy title but 100% true nonetheless, at least according to this chart. On today's analysis we see Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1W time-frame, supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
Every time on these Cycles you see it broke above the previous Resistance (dashed line) and turned it into Support without breaking it, while the 1W MA50 was supported and a 1W MACD Bullish Cross took place above the 0.0 neutral mark, BTC never reached any prices lower than that and instead initiated a parabolic rally. We can see that when the Resistance-turned-Support broke due to the COVID crash, the 1W MA50 had also broken already (November 2019), while the 1W MACD Bullish Cross took place below 0.0. Thus not a sign of a parabolic rally.
These set of parameters show that indeed BTC won't be going lower than last months bottom any more. Do you think that will be the case and we can call September's low a bottom? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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LDOUSDT 16/10Pair : LDOUSDT
Description :
Bearish Channel in Short Time Frame and Breakout the Upper Trend Line and Completed the Retracement. Consolidation Phase as Correction in LTF if it Breaks Upper Trend Line then it will Reach its Daily Descending Trend Line
Entry Precautions :
Wait Until it Breaks or Rejects from Consolidation Phase
BITCOIN Have you forgotten what LOGARITHMIC is all about??In the early days Bitcoin (BTCUSD) charts were very often about its parabolic rallies not just on a large Cycle scale but also shorter term. That's because its been having a Logarithmic Growth since its inception.
Lately though it appears that most have forgotten all about this. Let's refresh our memory on that logarithmic truly means for Bitcoin. On this 1W chart, we display BTC's heavy benchmarks on the logarithmic (log) scale. $1 gave way to $10 (leg a) in 17 weeks (119 days), then it took 96 weeks (679 days) to reach the (psychologically critical for the time) $100 benchmark (leg b). $1000 (leg c) was reached in 34 weeks (238 days), while $10000 (leg d) took 209 weeks (1463 days) after that to get hit.
Pure logarithmic growth, nothing more nothing less. An interesting observation here is that $100-to-$1000 (leg c) took double the time of leg a (c = a*2). In same fashion, leg d ($1000-to-$10000) was also almost twice as leg b (d = b*2). Could it be that the next leg (e), i.e. $10000 to $100000 (which is seen by the market as the new psychological level/ benchmark in Bitcoin's evolution) would be twice as lengthy as leg d, i.e. e d*2? This is translated to a time range of 418 weeks (2926 days), which gives us a rough projection of December 08 2025.
Could that be the correct timing for hitting Bitcoin's Holy Grail target or is it too late? Do you think its always good to keep an eye on the basics of Bitcoin's logarithmic growth? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Haven't we seen this before??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) tends to repeat its historic patterns. Not always in the exact same way but some principles remain. Since March 2023 we see a consolidation/ accumulation pattern which in our opinion draws comparisons with April - June 2020.
A Falling Wedge gave way to an aggressive break-out that formed an arc top, which then declined again below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). At the moment we are in the phase where the price is again above the 1D MA50. As you can see the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) has been supporting this whole time, since it formed a Bullish Cross with the 1D MA50. The RSI patterns between the two fractals are also similar.
We are well aware that 2020 was a Halving year while 2023 is not, but at least on a micro level, do you think that if the 1D MA50 holds, it will give way to some type of short-term rise? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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RUNEUSD Megaphone rebound aiming higher.THORChain (RUNEUSD) is testing the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as short-term Resistance after a clear-cut bounce at the bottom of the Megaphone pattern and just above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). This mobilizes the 1W MA levels to come into focus and justifies a short-term (at least) buy towards 2.5000 (top of Megaphone and expected contact with the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line)).
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$FXS Performing Falling wedge CRYPTOCAP:FXS Performing Falling wedge in 1D Keep eye on Breakout
Falling Wedge
The falling wedge can either be a reversal or continuation signal.
As a reversal signal, it is formed at a bottom of a downtrend, indicating that an uptrend would come next.
As a continuation signal, it is formed during an uptrend, implying that the upward price action would resume. Unlike the rising wedge, the falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern.
In this example, the falling wedge serves as a reversal signal. After a downtrend, the price made lower highs and lower lows.
Notice how the falling trend line connecting the highs is steeper than the trend line connecting the lows.
If we placed an entry order above that falling trend line connecting the pair’s highs, we would’ve been able to jump in on the strong uptrend and caught some pips!
A good upside target would be the height of the wedge formation.
BITCOIN & Chinese stocks. The Divergence that happens mid-Cycle.This is another very informative study that brings together Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and this time, the Chinese stock market (CN50 - blue trend-line). We are looking into the last two Cycles and how in particular the Chinese stocks often lead BTC moves before they happen.
Our focus is in the phase after the Bear Cycle bottom and before the Halvings. As you can see during both of the last market bottoms, the Chinese stocks started to rise first and a few weeks after BTC followed. This led us to the Divergence phases (then 2019 now 2023), which precede the Halving events. During those phases, we see the two assets diverge. In 2019 the Chinese stocks kept rising while BTC fell. In 2023 the Chinese stocks are declining but on a low pace, while BTC mostly rose.
Theoretically, the closer we will get to the Halving, the more the two should converge. But does this mean that a potential rise on Chinese stocks will first make BTC decline more? Or it will resume the norm that China will lead BTC moves again, i.e. BTC will follow with a rise of itself?
What do you think, which scenario will take place first? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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GALAUSD Short-term buy signal on a Bullish DivergenceGala (GALAUSD) is trading within a Channel Down pattern since early January and recently got rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Despite the declining trend, the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows, i.e. a strong Bullish Divergence.
The Lower Highs trend-line has been broken, and the previous two times it did so within the Channel Down after a bearish leg, a counter-rebound took place. As a result we consider this a buy signal towards the top of the Channel Down. We don't wish to exceed the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), thus our target will be contained at 0.0170.
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BITCOIN Yuan & China bonds tell you everything you need to know!This is not the first time we emphasize the strong correlation of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) with Yuan (USDCNY) and the Chinese Bond Yields (CN02Y and CN20Y). We made an analysis right in the aftermath of the FTX crash, indicating why those indicators have all aligned, paving the way for BTC's new Bull Cycle. As you see that happened and this time we incorporate two mixed elements, the USDCNY/CNY20Y (red trend-line) and the CN02Y/CN20Y (blue trend-line).
** The CN02Y/CN20Y ratio **
Every time the CN02Y/CN20Y ratio's Lower Highs broke in the past, Bitcoin started the second phase of the Bull Cycle. Typically this was achieved while BTC was within a Channel Up (green). Right now the CN02Y/CN20Y ratio is testing its Lower Highs trend-line.
** The USDCNY/CN20Y ratio **
The CN02Y/CN20Y break-out has historically taken place a little after the USDCNY/CN20Y ratio peaked and started to decline. Not unexpected based on hard economics as a cheaper currency favors capital flowing to risky assets (such as Bitcoin). Right now the USDCNY/CN20Y ratio has started to decline but not emphatically yet, even though the 2023 rally is very similar to the ratio's peak rallies of January - March 2020 and June - October 2016.
** The harmony of the Sine Waves **
It is very interesting to point out the high degree of symmetry between those CN02Y/CN20Y break-outs and USDCNY/CN20Y rejections. We have applied the Sine Waves tool on them and the trend turns out so harmonic, almost like a Cycle itself. This shows that at the bottom of the Sine Waves, it has never been a bad idea to buy historically.
This mix is incredibly bullish for Bitcoin technically and it prompts to a new parabolic rally as we get closer to the next Halving, the likes of which we may have not seen in the past. But what do you think? Is this pattern good enough for you to buy when the ratio's Lower Highs break-out takes place? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Alpaca Finance (ALPACA) forming Shark for upto 45.50% pumpHi dear members , hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Alpaca Finance (ALPACA) with US Dollar pair.
Recently we caught almost 48% pump of ALPACA as below:
Now on a 4-hr time frame, ALPACA is about to complete a bullish Shark move for the next price reversal.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
XTZUSD Extinct crypto starting to move?Tezos (XTZUSD), a long forgotten market favorite, is posting today the strongest 1D green candle since February 22 2023. This is backed up by a long 1D RSI Bullish Divergence. As long as the 0.6300 Support holds, we expect XTZ to target first the Lower Highs 2 (dashed) trend-line and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and finally the strongest long-term Resistance Cluster, the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) along with the 0.92500 Resistance.
Our target is 0.9000. Notice the similarities between the current mid-2023 Triangle, with that a year ago in 2022. That broke the Support to the downside and extended to the 2.0 Fibonacci level, while the current is breaking above the Triangle. Keep that in mind however, in case the 0.63000 Support breaks.
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BITCOIN The Gaussian giving one of the rarest buys you can get.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within the (now green) Gaussian Channel since the mid-August decline. It is no surprise that it held that low and trade basically sideways as once the Gaussian turns green historically, it has signaled the phase of the bull market before the Halving. It shouldn't turn red again before the new Bear Cycle.
Last time BTC dipped inside a green Gaussian Channel after breaking into while red, was in October 2019. December - January 2020 followed with a strong rise before the non-technical and outside of any model's reach Black Swan event of COVID (which is an irregularity and doesn't count on our models).
As a result, such Gaussian green dip and trade is a rare buy opportunity during a Bull Cycle while prices are still relatively low. For reference, such an opportunity didn't emerge in the 2016 - 2017 Bull Cycle. Perhaps a 1W RSI at 40.00 would be the most ideal buy entry (lowest risk/ highest return).
But what do you think? Is this Gaussian pattern good enough for you to buy? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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PHB Phoenix Global forming a bullish AB=CD for upto 26% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of PHB Phoenix Global (new) with US Dollar pair.
Previously we caught more than 26% pump of PHB as below:
Now on a daily time frame, PHB is about to complete a bullish AB=CD move for the next price reversal.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade.
LQTYUSD Some more fuel left to burn on this rise.Liquity (LQTYUSD) broke yesterday above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 14. That is the 2nd major bullish break-out signal since the breaking over the Bear Cycle's Lower Highs trend-line on October 01. The presence of the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level now shouldn't stop this rally, but Resistance 1 (1.8200) could. As a result we are only willing to take the risk until 1.8000, as the 1D RSI is vastly overbought (85.00). After that, look for the best buy opportunity on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again.
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BITCOIN May not face again a Resistance Zone as strong as this!!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is consolidating within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the last 10 days. This neutrality, this sideways price action may be directly attributed to the presence of the Lower Highs trend-line since the top of the previous Bull Cycle.
But it's not only that double hurdle level that BTC needs to overcome. Directly above it, we have the 31800 Resistance (July 13 2023 High), which is also the Mega Pivot Zone between the two Cycles, as it started as a Support Zone (closing all 1W candles from May - July 2021 above it with emphasis) and since May 2022 has been the Resistance to beat.
It becomes obvious that this is a quadruple Resistance level and quite frankly the strongest obstacle BTC has faced thus far during the 2023 recovery phase and quite possibly a Resistance Cluster the likes of which may not face again during this new Bull Cycle.
But what do you think? Is this the most critical Resistance Zone for Bitcoin and if so, will it break now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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$CREAM still so look bullish$CREAM Performed Bullish Symmetrical in 1D TF
What is a Symmetrical Triangle
A symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern characterized by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs. These trend lines should be converging at a roughly equal slope. Trend lines that are converging at unequal slopes are referred to as a rising wedge, falling wedge, ascending triangle, or descending triangle.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Symmetrical triangles occur when a security's price is consolidating in a way that generates two converging trend lines with similar slopes.
The breakout or breakdown targets for a symmetrical triangle is equal to the distance between the initial high and low applied to the breakout or breakdown point.
Many traders use symmetrical triangles in conjunction with other forms of technical analysis that act as a confirmation.