KASUSD Can the 1D Death Cross really save the day???KASPA (KASUSD) has been trading within a Falling Wedge pattern since the July 31 top and is almost on the Higher Lows trend-line that started on the January 23 2024 Low. The key development of the day however, is the formation of the 1D Death Cross, a technically bearish pattern.
Last time it was formed though (May 16), it provided the basis for a strong rally that made a new High. Interestingly enough, the price was also coming off a Falling Wedge at the time that successfully broke above its top. In the meantime the 1D RSI was after a Bullish Divergence, essentially a bottoming process. In fact, it was the same formation of that the Falling Wedge before it (November - December 2023) had, that also broke aggressively above its top.
As a result, we have a potential triple bullish signal and as long as the Higher Lows hold, there are high probabilities of seeing the price break above the Wedge and target at least the previous High at 0.20800.
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Cryptocurrencysignals
BTC reacting at trend line on Daily TFPA touched the trend line that I've been anticipating for the past few days and now showing a nice reaction. This could potentially be the beginning of the retrace on the daily TF that I've been waiting for. There is also the possibility of a minor retrace then continue momentum upwards, if that happens, I'll jump into market longs at semi-large positions.
However, if it does retrace from here, I've marked the potential reversal points in yellow circles for reference. Trade safely!
*Summary: I'm currently bearish during this retrace until PA proves that the momentum continues upwards.*
Alikze »» ENS | Corner pattern formation - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Corner pattern formation - 4H
- It is moving in a corner pattern in the 4-hour time frame.
- Due to the formation of the Double Bottom pattern, higher floors and higher ceilings have been formed in the range of 15.80.
- Therefore, it can continue its growth with pullback to the range of 17.50 to the dynamic trigger and form a newer ceiling.
- In addition, with the failure of the dynamic trigger, it can continue to grow until the supply area.
💎 Alternative scenario:
If the green box is broken sharply, it can continue its dynamic correction (origin of movement) until the bottom of the trigger.
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BINANCE:ENSUSDT
Alikze »» CATS | Wave 3 or C bullish scenario - 2H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C bullish scenario - 2H
- In the 2H time frame, it is moving in an ascending channel, which is recently seen in the 0.38 Fibo retracement range of the previous wave of a morning star candlestick pattern.
- Therefore, if the Fibo range is not broken, it can have an upward wave according to the current momentum up to the middle range of the channel.
💎 In the future, with the continuation of the upward pattern, it will have the ability to reach the supply range.
⚠️ In addition, if the bottom of the previous wave is touched, the bullish scenario will be invalidated. ⚠️
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KUCOIN:CATSUSDT
Alikze »» GMX | Ascending Channel - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending Channel - 1H
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the one-hour time frame.
Due to the formation of a Double Top pattern in the range of 24 dollars, it has faced selling pressure.
Therefore, it can face demand by continuing the correction in the OB area of 22.40 or by pulling back to the previous ceiling.
- So, in the case of a pullback to the previous ceiling and the OB zone of $22, it can face demand and continue its growth up to the supply range of $25.
🟩 Support ranges: 22.27 - 22.40
♻️ Return zone: 21.68
⛳️ TP: 23.44 - 24.20 - 24.60 - 25 -25.40
⚠️ In addition, if it penetrates and stabilizes below the range of 21.68, the bullish scenario will be invalid. Therefore, as long as the candles are above the range of 21.68, the upward trend can continue. ⚠️
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BINANCE:GMXUSDT
BITCOIN 'Angle Theory' unlocking this Cycle. Is $140k the top?Exactly 1 year ago (October 02 2023, see chart below), we published a renewed approach on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) historic Cycles, using the 'Angles Theory' on the logarithmic curve to make a more accurate roadmap of the current Cycle:
Back then, the price was 'just' $28000 and a few months later it catapulted to almost $74000. Below we present again the basics of that analysis, in order to refresh your memory.
** Cycle Peaks and angles **
BTC's Cycle peaks in historical order have been $32, $1250, $19800, $69800. They all made contact with the Logarithmic top Growth Curve, a historic pattern that is holding since BTC's inception.
Every peak-to-peak measurement appears to be roughly half of the previous peak. The automatic angle measurements on the (red) dotted lines may differ based on the screen's display and how the horizontal/ vertical axis move but on ours (and the screenshot of the idea) goes like this: 42°, 22°, 11°. We estimate a 7° angle for the new Cycle peak on the log Growth Curve.
** Next Cycle peak? **
If we take all previous Cycles and apply them to fit the new price action towards the top of the Log Growth Curve, that 7° line gives a projected Cycle peak within $140000 - 160000 (slightly updated from our study a year ago). It is also interesting to apply the same angle principle to the Cycle bottoms. We can see that those (green dotted lines) can also roughly be half of what the previous bottom was (though the variations are higher). The new bottom is estimated to be on a 8° angle.
Remarkably the angles of the tops and bottoms of each Cycle have approximately the same measurements, indicating that despite being logarithmic within a curve, they can be viewed separately in Channels.
** Last year compared to now **
So how has this Theory worked out compared to last year? Well beyond doubt, the Cycle was much more aggressive that the previous two (blue and orange) due to mainly the Bitcoin ETF launch, and is certainly more similar to the first Cycle (black). That suggests that it will top by January 2025 but the Sine Waves Tops, which have caught Bitcoin's cyclical peaks with incredible accuracy, indicate it will be around November 2025. As you can see, this is exactly where the projection of the blue and orange fractals show.
But what do you think? Will the current Cycle peak at the end of 2025 and if show will it be at a minimum of $140000 and a maximum of $1600000, as the 7° angle on the Log Curve suggests? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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The new ALTSEASON is starting. Will you miss the train?We see many indicators both technical and fundamental this week that point out the alt coin market may be on the verge of a price explosion, what we most commonly refer to as 'Altseason'. So far on this Cycle we've had the 1st from June 2023 to March 2024. The 2nd however that completes the Bull Cycle, tends to be more aggressive.
On this chart we view the Crypto Total Market Cap excluding the Top 10 on the 2W time-frame. As you can see, the price found support on the MA50 (blue trend-line) for 4 consecutive candles and now with higher closings, looks ready to make the decisive break-out.
Relative to the previous two Cycles, it appears that we are on the exact part on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, where both final Parabolic Rallies (altseason) started. The RSI and MACD in particular showcase significant resemblance with December 2016. A MACD Bullish Cross, is the only indicator left to confirm the rally.
Since both of those historic rallies reached at least the -1.5 Fibonacci extension, there is no reason yet to expect otherwise. As a result, a 3T target towards the end of 2025 appears to be feasible.
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FETUSD on the Channel Up bottom. Buy opportunity.The Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FETUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 05 bottom. The price is currently at the bottom of the Channel Up and around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), where the last Higher Low was priced (September 06).
The proper Support is offered by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), marginally below. This price action appears to be an attempt to form the new bottom, but since the previous two Bullish Legs were confirmed upon a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, you may wait for such confirmation.
The Target is at least 2.000 (proportional % rise compared to the previous Bullish Legs. Since however the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) provided the last rejection on the September 25 Higher High and is essentially holding as Resistance since June 27, you may wait until this breaks (candle closing above it) and then commit to a long. Trade based on your risk appetite.
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Falling towards pullback support?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance level which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 66,121.96
1st Support: 64,682.99
1st Resistance: 68,372.50
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DOGEUSD Hit its 1DMA200. Rejection or breakout? Pick your poisonDogecoin (DOGEUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 29. A little before that date on the last High (July 21), the Lower Highs trend-line started, which is currently exactly on the 1D MA200.
As a result today's pull-back is so far a double level rejection (1D MA200 and Lower Highs trend-line). As long as it stays intact, there are more probabilities to pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again, which held twice this month already (closed all candles above it). In that case, our Target is 0.11000.
If on the other hand the 1D MA200 breaks first, we will accept the loss on the short (tight SL anyway) and buy the break-out targeting 0.14380 (Resistance 1). The 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross on Monday, which favors the bullish break-out.
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ICPUSD Trade the break-out of this Triangle.Internet Computer (ICPUSD) is trading within a Triangle pattern since the July 05 bottom, with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) acting as its pivot. The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is almost right on its top (Lower Highs trend-line).
Our approach on such patterns is to trade to the direction of the first break-out. A break above the 1D MA200 would be a bullish break-out signal, targeting 21.00 (Resistance 1), while a break below the Higher Lows trend-line would be a bearish break-out signal, targeting 6.00 (Support 1).
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Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 67.990.52
1st Support: 66,408.69
1st Resistance: 69,468.14
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTCUSDT H4After the intersection of the moving average levels 200 and 50 in the general upward direction and breaking the resistance levels at 6500 and 66000, stability above them strongly supports the upward trend. Accordingly, we are looking to buy after the first decline in the buying area from levels 64900 and 63800 with a stop loss of an hourly candle below levels 63600 with large targets extending to levels 70000 and 76580.
BITCOIN One year later, the pattern is repeated and leads to 88kThis is not the first time we make a case for October being the start of an aggressive rally for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and lately we have presented you the evidence on the long-term 1W time-frame.
This time we want to focus on the 1D chart, where a more detailed analysis can be made on the fractals that lead to this rally. It was the very same pattern that helped us catch last year the amazing October 2023 - March 2024 rally, as you can see on our September 28 2023 post (see chart below):
As you can see both fractals (2023 and 2024) traded initially within a Triangle pattern that bottomed on an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The bottom took place at the same time of the 1D Death Cross formation. Throughout the whole process, they were supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Right now on the October 2024 fractal we are at the point where BTC just broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle. On the 2023 fractal that led to a brutal rise that only took a 'break' after reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, right after forming a 1D Golden Cross.
As a result, it is possible to see $88000 (Fib 2.0 ext) in December, before the market 'cools' again. Much of course will depend upon how the markets will digest the November U.S. elections but as we've shown you in analytical charts here, the result of event tends to make little difference.
So what do you think? Can this break-out lead to 88k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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APTUSD Next pull-back will be a huge buy opportunity.Aptos (APTUSD) is about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame and last time it did so (November 30 2023), it has already started the new Bullish Leg of the Rectangle it's been trading in since January 26 2023.
The Bullish Megaphone inside which the price traded at the time of the Golden Cross, gave one final pull-back before rallying aggressively towards the top. As a result, we will wait for the next buy opportunity on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), to take a lower risk buy and target 19.000.
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Alikze »» ENJ | Ascending channel - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 4H
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the 4-hour time frame.
- A Double Bottom pattern is formed in the range of the green box by creating higher floors (HL).
Meanwhile, the creation of higher ceilings (HH) can be met with a correction in the 0.14 zones or the bottom of the channel with demand and create a newer ceiling (HH) up to the supply zone.
- Currently, in the middle range of the channel, it can continue its growth with a correction in the range of 0.14 to the supply area.
💎 Alternative scenario:
In addition, if there is a stabilization below the 0.14 candlestick area and if the correction continues up to the specified areas and the green box, there is a possibility of breaking the green box area.
Therefore, if the correction is sharp, the bullish scenario is invalidated and can form a new floor.
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BINANCE:ENAUSDT
PEPEUSD The 1W MA50 will push it to new Highs.Pepe (PEPEUSD) has already recovered all of last week's losses and appears that it can break above September's 0.000012 High. All this bullish strength is technically fueled by the hold the crypto made just above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) last month.
Technically that is the start of the new Bullish Leg of Pepe's historic Channel Up, however it is possible to make one last pull-back towards the 1W MA50 in December, like it did during the previous accumulation phase in December 2023.
Now as far as targets are concerned, the previous two Bullish Legs rose at least by +2525% and reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (Higher High to Higher Low). As a result, the more realistic Target at the moment is 0.000030 (1.618 Fib).
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BITCOIN Channel Up starting the new Bullish Leg!Four months ago (June 07, see chart below) we published a post on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) calling it an 'Unpopular opinion' as despite a on ongoing rebound in May, we signaled a correction as, based on the long-term Channel Up since November 2022, it was technically possible to see a pull-back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then extended consolidation until a potential bottom on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line):
Even though the Channel Up had to be readjusted, the price action delivered the exact pattern of the previous 6-month (April 11 - October 16 2023) consolidation and almost tested the 1D MA100, forming a bottom on August 04 2024.
The similarities between those two fractals are more evident on their 1D RSI sequences. This shows that right now we could be before a break-out similar on the October 16 2023 candle. Regardless of that, it appears that the new Bullish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up is accelerating and a new High above 66500 would confirm it.
We have had 3 major Bullish Legs so far, more or less around the same levels (+92.27% to +101.57%). So a bad case scenario would be to see a +92.27% rally from the August 04 Low, which would still give us a $94500 Target.
So what do you think? Is the Channel Up just heating up and can the new Bullish Leg reach 94.5k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bearish drop?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 2,493.86
1st Support: 2,396.64
1st Resistance: 2,566.10
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ETHUSDT LongOn Ethereum vs US dollar we had a upwards trade but now in this anylisis i want to confess that the pair is in bearish trend but as i am seeing the pair is going to atleast complete Lower high and in H4 to H1 its in a Bullish trend due to its lower high completion so we will be having a long trade over this price and then will start a bearish continuation
UNIUSD Will it break above the ultimate Resistance cluster?Uniswap (UNIUSD) broke yesterday above its 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 03 but failed to close above it. The reason is the presence there of another strong Resistance level, the Lower Highs trend-line started on the March 06 High.
Those two form the ultimate Resistance cluster and only a 1D candle close above both can confirm the start of a new long-term rally. Technically the pattern is a Channel Up since late 2022 and a new rally would be its Bullish Leg.
The previous Bullish Leg rose by +337.70% so if we get that closing confirmation, we will turn bullish again, targeting a Higher High at $20.000 (just below the +337.70% mark).
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Alikze »» SOL | Wave 3 or C scenario - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C scenario - 4H
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the 4-hour time frame.
- It is currently in wave 3 or c, which can continue its growth up to the top of the channel.
- A zigzag correction is observed in the corrective microwaves at the bottom of the channel, which has moved a three-wave towards the supply range.
- After that, a 5-wave correction has extended to the bottom of the channel in the golden zone.
- Wave a has a three-wave cycle and wave b has a five-wave cycle.
- Therefore, wave c can extend to the region of the roof of the channel and the red box.
💎 According to the structure, the minimum growth up to the first supply area, the middle range of the channel and after its failure up to the second red box, the ceiling of the channel can continue its growth.
⚠️ In addition, if the region 133.181 is touched, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and should be updated again. ⚠️
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KUCOIN:SOLUSDT