GRT Main trend. 23 02 2025Logarithm. Main trend. Time frame 1 week (no need for less). Hype will be when they promote everything related to artificial intelligence. It may go against the general trend in this regard.
But, at the moment, behind the market, which is logical. I imposed dynamic support/resistance zones of the Gann fan for orientation with the intersection of ordinary key levels (as everyone sees). I showed formations that can be formed and key reversal zones, percentages to them.
Previous closed trading idea +311% / +890%
1️⃣exactly in the designated zones of the planned first “hamster pump” +311%
2️⃣and the maximum pump (planned dump zone) 700-900%
GRT/USDT Main trend. Descending wedge. 8 02 2023
Local trading situation now.
Locally, after collecting long stop-loss at a large % (-27), this zone is held. If the market as a whole is positive, then this zone with 3 trend support points will be the main support for the development of the upward trend.
If this zone is broken, and the price consolidates below the “neck” level, then a decline to the 0.78 zone, that is, the formation of a descending wedge in the secondary trend. There will be a “double bottom” globally. Then, a breakthrough of the wedge resistance, and aggressive pumping under the hype of all that sort of thing.
Scam. Unlikely . Lower declines (implementation of "head and shoulders" without a squeeze) — the likelihood of a scam, that is, tales of hacking and "closure of the project". What is unlikely is how the project is traded in the US on Coinbase, and for this there are consequences for the creators.
Cryptocurrrency
ZkSync Main Trend. L2 for ETH. $458 million funds 21 02 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days.
🟢Reversal zone. At the moment, there is a fractal repetition with the previous reversal zone. The logic and key local levels on which the direction of the secondary trend will depend are shown with arrows.
🔴Also showed the range and future levels of an unlikely extremely negative scenario. That is, a breakthrough of the long stop collection zone of a large squeeze (this happens very rarely, since it is irrational, but since in the news background earlier during the listing - funds of 458 million investments, then why not) and the formation of a capitulation channel under the channel with a full range (hold the chart and pull it down), or only from its median (dotted, more likely if we go this way).
Also, regardless of the implementation of scenario 1 or 2, the maximums of this cycle are shown (hold the chart and pull it up). Or rather, the zone. The percentage itself will be different, the "levels" of the zone, most likely, will not.
zkSync Fresh L2 coin for ETH. 458 million $ investment by fundsLogarithm. Time frame 1 day. Since the coin is fresh (people sell freebies), and it was recently listed, if the market will be dominated by a downtrend until October, a downtrend channel will be formed in case of a break of the key support.
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Most importantly:
1️⃣ There was aerdrop manipulation , the community got a very small % of the promised coins, which is in the hands of developers and crypto funds (after shaking out now, there will be full control over the price).
2️⃣ It is worth noting that crypto funds “invested” (with speculative interest) 458 million dollars in the asset. Which is an absolute record.
The first and second are extremely positive for the maximum prices of the asset in the cycle in the future. Consequently, the asset is interesting for investment and position trading, and it does not matter what will happen now locally for a couple of months. Work from the average buy/sell price.
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The chart shows the key resistance levels for the first significant pumping after the trend break, as well as the maximum distribution zone targets of this cycle.
The price potential will be “unlocked” similarly naturally not now, but when the solution will be implemented, there will be media PR, smart money will partially “exit” from the asset. The potential is naturally great, it is shown, who is attentive.
Let me remind you, L2 is a solution for scaling the ETH network. When this is implemented and PR'd and ETH is in its first distribution zone, then pump in similar small capitalization assets.
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Work from the average price of purchases , so in the future sales and no minimums and maximums (even if you are sure that you know and understand how “exactly” it will be, I note that most people who do everything by reverse think so), as this is the fate of true hamsters. At the same time, you need to understand the zones where it is cheap and where it is expensive, and what the general trend in the market is developing.
⏰ Profit from the local game (not necessarily to work this way) is not big (you “spin the volume” part of the allocated money to a certain zone of the asset - work). But, such local work gives you to overcome fear, because you always have money to increase coins.
⚠️ Do not abuse stop loss , where it is not necessary, because everything will be taken away on the “flat place”.
⚠️ Prefer spot trading , which forgives elementary mistakes, if you are not a very good trader. With margin and futures, your risk must be justified. If you are a ludomaniac (most sick people won't admit it, maybe you are one/one of them) then leave this high risk trading.
🐹 Psychology . If, you feel that you, like everyone else, will do, when not necessary under psychological pressure and news some not logical bullshit, it is better not to trade at all, and invest. “Hold” coins for a couple months, dividing the amount of the entry into 2-3 parts. When the market is distributed, you will sell with a big profit. Maximum targets (not necessarily, as depends on a lot of factors), is the zone 0,6 - 1 dollar.
Crypto Total Market Cap Analysis – The Final Ride is ComingMarket Context
The chart represents the Total Crypto Market Cap (CRYPTOCAP) on a 1W timeframe.
Historical price action shows cyclical bull and bear market trends driven by market sentiment, liquidity cycles, and macroeconomic factors.
A similar pattern to 2020’s breakout is forming, suggesting a potential parabolic rally ahead.
Current Market Position
We're here: The chart marks the current phase as a consolidation after a strong upward move.
A similar pause and accumulation phase occurred in late 2020 before the explosive 2021 bull run.
Market cap is hovering around $3.19T, forming a temporary resistance zone within the red-circled area.
Key Technical Indicators
Higher Lows & Higher Highs: A bullish structure remains intact.
Breakout Setup: Price consolidating near resistance often precedes a strong continuation.
Potential Target: The projected move suggests a rally towards $5.75T+ based on historical patterns.
Market Sentiment & Catalysts
Upcoming Bitcoin Halving (2024-2025): Historically sparks massive inflows into the crypto market.
ETF Approvals & Institutional Demand: Driving liquidity and mainstream adoption.
AI & Blockchain Innovation: Continued growth in real-world use cases enhances long-term fundamentals.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin remains in a neutral and range-bound trend, currently trading below a key resistance zone. At this stage, two possible scenarios can unfold, as illustrated in the analysis:
1. Bullish Scenario: If the price successfully breaks above the resistance level, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend. In this case, entering long positions after a confirmed breakout would be a more strategic move.
2. Bearish Scenario: If Bitcoin fails to break the resistance, a rejection could lead to a decline towards lower levels. Therefore, it is advisable not to enter buy positions until the breakout is confirmed.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Alikze »» QNT | Price compression within a consolidation - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Price compression within a consolidation - 1D
📣 BINANCE:QNTUSDT On the daily timeframe, it has encountered a corrective structure after a rise to the $171 area.
🟢 It is currently in a consolidation.
💎 If it can consolidate the consolidation with a broken zigzag correction above the $100 area, it will be able to reach the supply zone.
⚠️ However, if the OB area breaks and consolidates below it, a complex composite zigzag correction will occur, which can extend this correction to the green box. ⚠️
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NFP Main Trend Low -90% Descending Channel 02 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days.
Line chart for clarity of the downward trend.
Marker, conditionally, showed the logic of price movement from key support/resistance zones — breakthrough/not breakthrough, consolidation/not consolidation. Understanding this, you should build your trading strategy.
Now is a good entry point, subject to risk management. I would advise leaving 20-30% of the money from the position in case the price falls (implementation of scenario B) to the -93-96% zone, immediately or through price growth, to the resistance of the local downward channel (which does not exist yet).
If plan A is implemented, then I would advise locally exiting part of the position at the mirror resistance zone of 0.18-0.27. There will be a reversal, and the implementation of plan B, or a cut of the zone, and then an exit.
In the long term, the “key” resistance of the pump is 0.0609, it is rational to exit there with most of the position, possibly with a protective stop, or a grid of limit orders, if there is an aggressive price movement.
Breaking the structure of the descending channel of the main trend — its reversal, which is logical. I showed it with an arrow, but it is unlikely to happen in the near future.
Locally, this is a reversal zone .
BTC MARKET ANALYSIS (4H(TF)) | Bitcoin Update BTC Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe)
As you can see on the chart, I’ve marked three key zones for BTC:
Strong Resistance – The current market structure’s upper boundary.
Central Zone – A critical area acting as a pivot point.
Strong Support – The lower boundary of the current structure.
Since breaking out of the 70-80 zone, BTC has established a new structure, which is clearly visible on the chart. Over the past few days, BTC has been circulating within this zone. Today, it tested the support level and showed a healthy reversal, which is a positive sign. This zone has historically acted as a strong support area, and the market has repeatedly reversed from here, as seen in the price action between 91,260 and 89,260.
For now, BTC is respecting this support level and following the current structure. A breakdown below this zone could lead to a bearish move, but as of now, the support is holding strong.
Central Zone: The Key Pivot Area
The Central Zone is a crucial part of the current structure, acting as both support and resistance (SR/Rs interchange). It provides valuable insights into BTC’s price action, indicating when the price is likely to test resistance or support.
Currently, BTC has faced minor rejection from the Central Zone. However, given the strong bounce from the support level, there’s a possibility that BTC could break through the Central Zone. If this happens, the price may move toward the resistance level again.
Supply and Demand Dynamics
From a supply and demand perspective, BTC is currently showing strong demand near the support level. This demand could push the price toward the resistance level. However, for this upward move to sustain, BTC needs to break the downtrend choch (swing high) between resistance and support. This break is likely to occur if the Central Zone is breached.
If the Central Zone breaks, the demand could fully play out, and BTC may retest the resistance level.
Needed Volume: A Critical Factor
At the bottom of the chart, I’ve marked the “needed volume” level. This is an important area that cannot be ignored. For the needed volume to fill, the market might retrace lower.
If the Central Zone breaks, the needed volume will likely fill after testing the resistance. However, if the Central Zone holds and rejects the price, BTC could retrace to fill the needed volume level. In this scenario, the market might also break the current structure, targeting the 89,000–91,000 zone.
Summary : Two Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: The Central Zone breaks, and BTC moves toward the resistance level.
Bearish Scenario: The Central Zone rejects the price, and BTC retraces to fill the needed volume level.
These are the two primary scenarios to watch for. The market is currently straightforward, and no additional complexities are at play.
Note: My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward.
Thank you!
XRP - Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet!It looks like XRP is stuck in a multi-day consolidation between $3.02 to $3.14. Consolidation usually means a big move, it could also mean everyone is in consolidation mode waiting to see what will come out of the SEC closed door meetings.
"Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet." – Aristotle Or as my mother used to say, "Good things come to those that wait."
I can feel it in my bones that the XRP fruit will be extremely sweet.
Alikze »» INJ | Bullish Diamond Pattern - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Diamond Pattern on Daily Timeframe, Sideway Price Movement
📣 BINANCE:INJUSDT In the analysis presented in the 12-hour timeframe , it was noted that the INJ currency is moving in an ascending channel.
🟢 After reaching the $25 area, the price corrected, which extended to the green box area, and then in the green box area, with demand, the price advanced to the supply area.
🟢 Currently, in the daily timeframe, the price corrected with a zigzag correction to the Fibonacci 1.618 area after reaching the supply area and the ceiling of the ascending channel.
💎 After that, the price had a sideways movement and has now formed an ascending diamond pattern.
💎 Therefore, we expect the price to continue its growth again in accordance with the movement path to the supply area before the $35 area.
🔔It should also be noted that if the price breaks the Fibonacci 1.618 area, the bullish scenario will be invalid and must be reviewed and updated again.
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Alikze »» SOL | Ascending channel - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 2 correction in the ascending channel and after its completion, the third upward wave will begin
📣 KUCOIN:SOLUSDT
🟢 Solana was reviewed on the daily timeframe in the previous post, where it faced demand after reaching the golden zone and continued its growth to the supply zone.
💎 Solana is currently facing selling pressure in the supply zone, which could face demand as a pullback to the swing and break the previous supply zone towards the $350 ~ 380 target.
🔔 In addition, if Solana touches the golden zone again, the bullish scenario should be re-examined and revised.
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Alikze »» AI| Bullish Scenario - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Scenario - 1H
📣 BINANCE:AIUSDT
🟢 If this price reversal meets support and reversal to the green box area and the Invalidation LVL bar is not touched. The currency correction is complete.
🟢 In the medium term, it will be ready to continue the upward rally.
🟢 If the area is touched. The correction will continue, which in the higher time frame can continue to the bottom of the ascending channel and the blue bar of the 0.39 range and be ready to continue the upward trend by forming a reversal pattern.
💎 The second scenario, if the Entry Area area is touched, it can have an upward trend in the short term by creating demand.
💎 In addition, if the Entry Area is broken, there is a possibility of further correction.
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Alikze »» DOGE|Ascending channel - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 1D
📣 BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
🟢 It is moving in an ascending channel that has had positive reactions to the trend line several times.
🟢 It is currently in the important area of 39 cents. If the price can stabilize above the 39 range, it can touch the nearby targets of 43 and 48 cents.
🟢 Therefore, by stabilizing in the 39 cents area, it will be able to break the supply area for the mentioned nearby targets.
💎 BINANCE:DOGEUSDT in the weekly timeframe:
💎Considering that in the weekly timeframe, Dogecoin has succeeded in breaking the triangle density, therefore, Dogecoin can continue its growth in this upward rally to the height of the triangle, which this growth from the golden area of the previous wave can touch the target of the previous major ceiling and the $ 1.2 range.
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Alikze »» LINK| Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 BINANCE:LINKUSDT currency on the daily timeframe touched its targets in accordance with the analysis presented earlier, the scenario of the first of 3 bullish waves.
🟢 Chainlink touched its target after breaking out of the short-term descending channel.
🟢 It is currently in the supply zone on the daily and weekly timeframes.
💎Given the bullish momentum, this bullish leg, after breaking the supply zone, will have the ability to grow to the large supply zone of $60-$100.
💎In the first step after breaking the supply zone, the target will be $38 and $55.
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Alikze »» ETC | Scenario 3 or C bullish - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario of wave 3 or C in the ascending channel
BINANCE:ETCUSDT In the daily timeframe, according to the analysis presented earlier , it encountered demand after reaching the Buyer zone, which led to the breakdown of the descending channel and the touch of the target of $25.
- Currently, after exiting the congestion, it is moving within an ascending channel, which is currently at the ceiling of the first channel.
💎 In case of correction, at the ceiling of the first ascending channel, it can encounter demand in the middle range of the channel or the OB zone and continue its growth to the ceiling of the second channel.
⚠️ In addition, in the bullish scenario, the Invalidation LVL zone should not be touched. ⚠️
💎In case of touching the mentioned zone, the currency's movement path should be reviewed and updated again.
Alikze »» SOL | Ascending channel - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Last corrective leg, to the order block area
📣 BINANCE:SOLUSDT was analyzed and reviewed in the 4-hour and 8-hour time frames in previous posts, which touched their targets.
🟢 It is currently moving in an ascending channel on the daily time frame, which is correcting again to the bottom of the descending channel after reaching the channel ceiling and an unsuccessful breakout.
🟢 Given the current corrective structure, it can have two movement scenarios.
💎 Scenario 1: If it cannot break the red box area, it can continue the correction to the order block area.
💎 Scenario 2: If the red box area is not broken, the correction to the bottom of the channel and with a lower leg, it can meet demand and retest the previous ceiling.
🔔 If the behavior and structure change, the post will be updated.
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Alikze »» MOVR | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Super cycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 MEXC:MOVRUSDT currency has encountered demand after a zigzag correction in the 3.61 range, which has had a rapid upward rally
🟢 After that, the price has had a double complex zigzag correction to the origin of the third upward wave.
🟢 Again, in the origin of the third movement, with a three-wave movement, it has encountered demand again in the area of the bottom of the ascending channel.
🟢 Currently, selling pressure is also observed in the ceiling of the ascending channel and the supply area.
💎 If this correction is broken in the form of a zigzag to the minor ceiling, it can be extended to the minor ceiling. It can again encounter demand and an upward rally to the minor ceiling of the previous rally.
💎 Depending on the momentum, this cycle can be a super cycle wave 3 or C to touch the red box area.
⚠️In addition, if the area touches the bottom of the previous wave, the bullish scenario is invalidated and should be re-examined and updated.⚠️
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1D:GRT- POTENTIAL SETUP. GRT ALWAYS FOLLOWS TECHNICALS!GRT Potential Long Setup-\
FYI- This is technically not a valid harmonic pattern, however it is within reasonable parameters, BUT...
IF you seen my last GRT setup, you would know what GRT can do these similar conditions. GRT has reached the .86 retrace from last swing high/low and corrected accordingly. Now we yet again a similar structure along with the Bullish Divergence on the 1D chart.
GRT needs to retest the .20 cent mark and retain this price to have the best likely chance of another strong push.
AGAIN, NOT CONFIRMED YET
NEED TO RETAIN AND RETEST 0.20 LEVELS IF YOU ARE RISK ADVERSE. YOU COULD ENTER HERE, HOWEVER A TIGHT STOP LOSS WOULD BE A GOOD IDEA JUST IN CASE...
I attached my prior setup I posted here for the last GRT Long
GLHF
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,085.31
1st Support: 2,805.94
1st Resistance: 3,540.71
Risk Warning:
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
HMSTR Main Trend. Trader's Tactics and Risk Control 01 2025Logarithm. Time interval 1 day. A triangle is being formed, almost in the final phase of its formation. The price is in its lower zone. A breakthrough of the triangle resistance is a big pump, the minimum is its % from the base.
⚠️ It is worth noting that locally there may be a “dump” under the dynamic support of the formation for collecting liquidity. Although, in fact, this has already happened a little earlier. But, if the market allows, this can happen again. Just take this into account in your risk management.
It is worth emphasizing, for those who have tolerance, that in the center of the triangle (its integral part) a double bottom with a flat top (projection of forced actions of the market maker) has formed, which, as a rule, has a very positive effect on long-term goals (they are "not" on the chart).
There is a local correction of bitcoin and the market as a projection as a whole. A good time to accumulate altcoins . This is one of the candidates for accumulation. You can buy in parts (an acceptable average price is important):
1️⃣ That is, according to the market now, the first zone. 1/3 of the volume.
If you are afraid, then wait for a breakout of the triangle , that is, a breakout of the downtrend. You can set trigger orders for a breakout so as not to “freeze” money. If on your exchange, where you trade “dinosaur functionality” (for example, Binance), then in this zone you set a regular stop loss for buying (breakout).
2️⃣ The other part (you set trigger or limit orders) as the price decreases to collect liquidity, depending on the market situation. Zone 2 is the zone where everyone sets a stop loss, that is, everything is the other way around. It is displayed as a capitulation zone.
3️⃣ Third zone — in case of deep price slippage due to low liquidity (optional and unlikely). You simply place a grid of orders.
If you use trigger orders , which do not freeze money in the order, then you can also use this volume for a breakout. That is, resistance in the form of a triangle, and in the case of a negative scenario, key resistance levels that will form when the price falls, the breakout of which determines the trend reversal.
Linear for trend clarity and formation without market noise.
Don't get stuck in the market noise, as well as in the noise of the majority opinions, which is formed by the breath of micro-market movements and news FUD of deception, which forms the anti-logic of the market behavior at the moment, radically, to the opposite, and so many times.
If, conditionally, you are isolated from all this meaningless “important”, then as a consequence, you will have: a clear mind, a healthy psyche and many times greater profit over the distance.
Always stick to your trading plan and control risks, regardless of the news flow, and the opinions of others who want to convince you and incline you to their "correct" opinion.
Your trading plan should not change from the opinion of the majority or "unforeseen market movements".
If this is observed, then admit that you have no trading plan (hard work and intelligence), and you hope for luck, like most of those who "give to the market", and in the end you drain your life energy to the “golden Baal”. It will work once, the second time, in the end, the end is still the same - a negative sacrificial emotional explosion and devastation.
That is, your luck (Fortune-Tyche-chance) will turn away from you, and emotionally rape your psyche, empty your pocket (a resource for the realization of your desires on merit earlier), and the time previously spent on "I'll risk the last time". If a person deceives himself like this, encourages himself, then the last time turns into a trip with many alternations of stops - "good" / "a little painful", to the final stop, called — "big unbearable pain") ...
FIL/USDT Local trend. Wedge. Price squeeze. 30 06 2024Logarithm. Time frame 1 day.
🟣 Local trend . Part of the secondary trend, horizontal channel zone with a step of 372% external channel /180% internal channel, in which a descending wedge is formed. Now there is a local price squeeze, at the support zone of the inner channel.
Also superimposed is a slightly modified Gann fan, to understand the dynamic support/resistance zones during trend development and the time of reaching the price range. Percentages to key support/resistance levels are shown in cases of exit/non-exit from this zone are shown.
Line chart (without market noise).
🔵 Main trend . Formation of a large pump bowl, price in the second phase, that is in a horizontal channel (accumulation zone).
FIL/USD Major trend. From a high of $237 -99% Published on 01/22/2023 (1.5 years ago).
All current. A set range has formed.
Follow the link and click play on the chart.
Any buying expensive / cheap in this range is acceptable from the position of not only the main, but also the secondary trend of price movement development. But, still set adequate targets from the position of the trend and time of development of the cycle. US.
Main trend (without market noise) of this American cryptocurrency for 06 2024