Cryptocurrrency
USDT dominance. (USDC is similar). 03 2025Time frame 1 week. Crypto market dominance to % USDT. I showed this for the first time on 03 2022, nothing has changed since then, everything is the same and the logic is identical.
USDT dominance. USDT pumping indicator to the market 03 2022
USDT dominance. Indicator of USDT pumping to and from the market 05 2022
✔️Stablecoin dominance is falling — the market is growing.
✔️Stablecoin dominance is growing — the market is falling.
It cannot be otherwise (capital movement), until the time when ETFs with the US dollar are not massively introduced and popular, they will draw some of the liquidity to themselves. Which will slightly change the logic of this trend itself. Comparable, in terms of impact on the market, as before the introduction of trading pairs to alts/USDT instead of BTC/alts (everyone was like that). Until then, USDT was needed.
You need to understand that the main " transitional dollar for the people ", that is, USDT , - reflects the trend of all stablecoins. In particular, the main "competitor" - USDC, all the others (a temporary phenomenon) do not matter. Until USDT exists and can be used to track the direction of the money flow, that is, the direction of the cryptocurrency market.
In 2022 09, I also showed this game of liquidity flow into ideas with the combined dominance of USDC + USDT + BTC chart. But this is already a complication, everything is already visible and clear on the dominance of USDT.
Domination of USDT + USDC and lows/maxims of BTC. Correlation 2022 09
Remember, any stablecoin is an alt. The experience with UST (Moon Falling into an Urn) has taught many not to equate stablecoins to a real dollar.
The price stability of any stablecoin depends only on people's faith in its stability. This faith is projected by marketing activity, and first of all by the real capital that stands behind the creators. Everything conceived and implemented has a beginning and an end.
Bitcoin dominance to alts.
I will duplicate my latest idea on Bitcoin dominance here once again. I used it before (it was rational), before 2020 (I used to make a lot of ideas about local zones as triggers for market reversals). Now it doesn't do much. But I see people are fixated on this, not understanding the essence, and why it was so effective before and childishly clear when the market would be reversed (there were no pairs to USDT, but only alts to BTC).
Before 2018 (100% efficiency), before 2020 (partial), the dominance of Bitcoin to other alts was such an indicator of the pump/dump of the market. As it was the main direction of money flow. Almost all alts were traded only to Bitcoin.
Доминация BTC к альткоинам. Доминация стейблкоинов и памп рынка. 07 2022
Have a plan and understand what you are doing, observing money and risk management. As a result, you will be calm and satisfied with your profit from the market, if you are an adequate person.
Alt dominance.
And this is the idea of training/work (understanding the reversal zones of the crypto market of secondary trends) in 2023 on alts. That is, the dominance of alts without stablecoins, bitcoin and ether, which take away most of the market capitalization as a whole. The dominance is growing, naturally money is pouring into alta and vice versa. There are also similar ideas (look for publications in 2023) for certain groups of assets. That is, the point is to catch the hype, by groups of candy wrappers or, on the contrary, the threshold of stopping the flow of money into another hype.
BTC dominance to altcoins. Dominance of stablecoins and market pump . 07 2022
Without pain, there is no way for someone to gain benefits in the speculative market. Who will experience pain and who will gain benefits depends only on the qualities of the person who decided to engage in trading. That is, the totality of his positive/negative qualities that project his actions in the market. Everything is extremely simple and honest.
Dollar Index.
There are a series of interrelated ideas (three, detailed explanation), about the dollar index, that is, the larger cyclicality of the markets in general, and the crypto market as a small projection. Also, all publications of 2022-2023.
DXY Dollar Index USA. Recession and Pump/Dump Market Indicator 09 2022
DXY (Dollar Index) and Pump/Dump BTC. Market Cycles . 09 2022
ONYXUSDTBased on this wave count and other considerations, we are probably in wave 4 and the areas indicated on the chart are ideal ranges for the bottom of wave 4 and the hunt for wave 5.
Buying spot this currency around $0.011 to $0.0125 seems low-risk and reasonable.
March 5th to 10th is an ideal time zone for the end of wave 4.
Just an analysis that could easily be wrong.
zkSync Fresh L2 coin for ETH. 458 million $ investment by fundsLogarithm. Time frame 1 day. Since the coin is fresh (people sell freebies), and it was recently listed, if the market will be dominated by a downtrend until October, a downtrend channel will be formed in case of a break of the key support.
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Most importantly:
1️⃣ There was aerdrop manipulation , the community got a very small % of the promised coins, which is in the hands of developers and crypto funds (after shaking out now, there will be full control over the price).
2️⃣ It is worth noting that crypto funds “invested” (with speculative interest) 458 million dollars in the asset. Which is an absolute record.
The first and second are extremely positive for the maximum prices of the asset in the cycle in the future. Consequently, the asset is interesting for investment and position trading, and it does not matter what will happen now locally for a couple of months. Work from the average buy/sell price.
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The chart shows the key resistance levels for the first significant pumping after the trend break, as well as the maximum distribution zone targets of this cycle.
The price potential will be “unlocked” similarly naturally not now, but when the solution will be implemented, there will be media PR, smart money will partially “exit” from the asset. The potential is naturally great, it is shown, who is attentive.
Let me remind you, L2 is a solution for scaling the ETH network. When this is implemented and PR'd and ETH is in its first distribution zone, then pump in similar small capitalization assets.
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Work from the average price of purchases , so in the future sales and no minimums and maximums (even if you are sure that you know and understand how “exactly” it will be, I note that most people who do everything by reverse think so), as this is the fate of true hamsters. At the same time, you need to understand the zones where it is cheap and where it is expensive, and what the general trend in the market is developing.
⏰ Profit from the local game (not necessarily to work this way) is not big (you “spin the volume” part of the allocated money to a certain zone of the asset - work). But, such local work gives you to overcome fear, because you always have money to increase coins.
⚠️ Do not abuse stop loss , where it is not necessary, because everything will be taken away on the “flat place”.
⚠️ Prefer spot trading , which forgives elementary mistakes, if you are not a very good trader. With margin and futures, your risk must be justified. If you are a ludomaniac (most sick people won't admit it, maybe you are one/one of them) then leave this high risk trading.
🐹 Psychology . If, you feel that you, like everyone else, will do, when not necessary under psychological pressure and news some not logical bullshit, it is better not to trade at all, and invest. “Hold” coins for a couple months, dividing the amount of the entry into 2-3 parts. When the market is distributed, you will sell with a big profit. Maximum targets (not necessarily, as depends on a lot of factors), is the zone 0,6 - 1 dollar.
Crypto Total Market Cap Analysis – The Final Ride is ComingMarket Context
The chart represents the Total Crypto Market Cap (CRYPTOCAP) on a 1W timeframe.
Historical price action shows cyclical bull and bear market trends driven by market sentiment, liquidity cycles, and macroeconomic factors.
A similar pattern to 2020’s breakout is forming, suggesting a potential parabolic rally ahead.
Current Market Position
We're here: The chart marks the current phase as a consolidation after a strong upward move.
A similar pause and accumulation phase occurred in late 2020 before the explosive 2021 bull run.
Market cap is hovering around $3.19T, forming a temporary resistance zone within the red-circled area.
Key Technical Indicators
Higher Lows & Higher Highs: A bullish structure remains intact.
Breakout Setup: Price consolidating near resistance often precedes a strong continuation.
Potential Target: The projected move suggests a rally towards $5.75T+ based on historical patterns.
Market Sentiment & Catalysts
Upcoming Bitcoin Halving (2024-2025): Historically sparks massive inflows into the crypto market.
ETF Approvals & Institutional Demand: Driving liquidity and mainstream adoption.
AI & Blockchain Innovation: Continued growth in real-world use cases enhances long-term fundamentals.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin remains in a neutral and range-bound trend, currently trading below a key resistance zone. At this stage, two possible scenarios can unfold, as illustrated in the analysis:
1. Bullish Scenario: If the price successfully breaks above the resistance level, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend. In this case, entering long positions after a confirmed breakout would be a more strategic move.
2. Bearish Scenario: If Bitcoin fails to break the resistance, a rejection could lead to a decline towards lower levels. Therefore, it is advisable not to enter buy positions until the breakout is confirmed.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Alikze »» QNT | Price compression within a consolidation - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Price compression within a consolidation - 1D
📣 BINANCE:QNTUSDT On the daily timeframe, it has encountered a corrective structure after a rise to the $171 area.
🟢 It is currently in a consolidation.
💎 If it can consolidate the consolidation with a broken zigzag correction above the $100 area, it will be able to reach the supply zone.
⚠️ However, if the OB area breaks and consolidates below it, a complex composite zigzag correction will occur, which can extend this correction to the green box. ⚠️
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NFP Main Trend Low -90% Descending Channel 02 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days.
Line chart for clarity of the downward trend.
Marker, conditionally, showed the logic of price movement from key support/resistance zones — breakthrough/not breakthrough, consolidation/not consolidation. Understanding this, you should build your trading strategy.
Now is a good entry point, subject to risk management. I would advise leaving 20-30% of the money from the position in case the price falls (implementation of scenario B) to the -93-96% zone, immediately or through price growth, to the resistance of the local downward channel (which does not exist yet).
If plan A is implemented, then I would advise locally exiting part of the position at the mirror resistance zone of 0.18-0.27. There will be a reversal, and the implementation of plan B, or a cut of the zone, and then an exit.
In the long term, the “key” resistance of the pump is 0.0609, it is rational to exit there with most of the position, possibly with a protective stop, or a grid of limit orders, if there is an aggressive price movement.
Breaking the structure of the descending channel of the main trend — its reversal, which is logical. I showed it with an arrow, but it is unlikely to happen in the near future.
Locally, this is a reversal zone .
BTC MARKET ANALYSIS (4H(TF)) | Bitcoin Update BTC Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe)
As you can see on the chart, I’ve marked three key zones for BTC:
Strong Resistance – The current market structure’s upper boundary.
Central Zone – A critical area acting as a pivot point.
Strong Support – The lower boundary of the current structure.
Since breaking out of the 70-80 zone, BTC has established a new structure, which is clearly visible on the chart. Over the past few days, BTC has been circulating within this zone. Today, it tested the support level and showed a healthy reversal, which is a positive sign. This zone has historically acted as a strong support area, and the market has repeatedly reversed from here, as seen in the price action between 91,260 and 89,260.
For now, BTC is respecting this support level and following the current structure. A breakdown below this zone could lead to a bearish move, but as of now, the support is holding strong.
Central Zone: The Key Pivot Area
The Central Zone is a crucial part of the current structure, acting as both support and resistance (SR/Rs interchange). It provides valuable insights into BTC’s price action, indicating when the price is likely to test resistance or support.
Currently, BTC has faced minor rejection from the Central Zone. However, given the strong bounce from the support level, there’s a possibility that BTC could break through the Central Zone. If this happens, the price may move toward the resistance level again.
Supply and Demand Dynamics
From a supply and demand perspective, BTC is currently showing strong demand near the support level. This demand could push the price toward the resistance level. However, for this upward move to sustain, BTC needs to break the downtrend choch (swing high) between resistance and support. This break is likely to occur if the Central Zone is breached.
If the Central Zone breaks, the demand could fully play out, and BTC may retest the resistance level.
Needed Volume: A Critical Factor
At the bottom of the chart, I’ve marked the “needed volume” level. This is an important area that cannot be ignored. For the needed volume to fill, the market might retrace lower.
If the Central Zone breaks, the needed volume will likely fill after testing the resistance. However, if the Central Zone holds and rejects the price, BTC could retrace to fill the needed volume level. In this scenario, the market might also break the current structure, targeting the 89,000–91,000 zone.
Summary : Two Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: The Central Zone breaks, and BTC moves toward the resistance level.
Bearish Scenario: The Central Zone rejects the price, and BTC retraces to fill the needed volume level.
These are the two primary scenarios to watch for. The market is currently straightforward, and no additional complexities are at play.
Note: My goal is to simplify the chart and help you understand the price action clearly. I avoid overloading the chart with unnecessary indicators or creating confusion. My analysis focuses on keeping the chart clean and straightforward.
Thank you!
XRP - Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet!It looks like XRP is stuck in a multi-day consolidation between $3.02 to $3.14. Consolidation usually means a big move, it could also mean everyone is in consolidation mode waiting to see what will come out of the SEC closed door meetings.
"Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet." – Aristotle Or as my mother used to say, "Good things come to those that wait."
I can feel it in my bones that the XRP fruit will be extremely sweet.
Alikze »» INJ | Bullish Diamond Pattern - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Diamond Pattern on Daily Timeframe, Sideway Price Movement
📣 BINANCE:INJUSDT In the analysis presented in the 12-hour timeframe , it was noted that the INJ currency is moving in an ascending channel.
🟢 After reaching the $25 area, the price corrected, which extended to the green box area, and then in the green box area, with demand, the price advanced to the supply area.
🟢 Currently, in the daily timeframe, the price corrected with a zigzag correction to the Fibonacci 1.618 area after reaching the supply area and the ceiling of the ascending channel.
💎 After that, the price had a sideways movement and has now formed an ascending diamond pattern.
💎 Therefore, we expect the price to continue its growth again in accordance with the movement path to the supply area before the $35 area.
🔔It should also be noted that if the price breaks the Fibonacci 1.618 area, the bullish scenario will be invalid and must be reviewed and updated again.
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Alikze »» SOL | Ascending channel - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 2 correction in the ascending channel and after its completion, the third upward wave will begin
📣 KUCOIN:SOLUSDT
🟢 Solana was reviewed on the daily timeframe in the previous post, where it faced demand after reaching the golden zone and continued its growth to the supply zone.
💎 Solana is currently facing selling pressure in the supply zone, which could face demand as a pullback to the swing and break the previous supply zone towards the $350 ~ 380 target.
🔔 In addition, if Solana touches the golden zone again, the bullish scenario should be re-examined and revised.
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Alikze »» AI| Bullish Scenario - 1H🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Scenario - 1H
📣 BINANCE:AIUSDT
🟢 If this price reversal meets support and reversal to the green box area and the Invalidation LVL bar is not touched. The currency correction is complete.
🟢 In the medium term, it will be ready to continue the upward rally.
🟢 If the area is touched. The correction will continue, which in the higher time frame can continue to the bottom of the ascending channel and the blue bar of the 0.39 range and be ready to continue the upward trend by forming a reversal pattern.
💎 The second scenario, if the Entry Area area is touched, it can have an upward trend in the short term by creating demand.
💎 In addition, if the Entry Area is broken, there is a possibility of further correction.
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Alikze »» DOGE|Ascending channel - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 1D
📣 BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
🟢 It is moving in an ascending channel that has had positive reactions to the trend line several times.
🟢 It is currently in the important area of 39 cents. If the price can stabilize above the 39 range, it can touch the nearby targets of 43 and 48 cents.
🟢 Therefore, by stabilizing in the 39 cents area, it will be able to break the supply area for the mentioned nearby targets.
💎 BINANCE:DOGEUSDT in the weekly timeframe:
💎Considering that in the weekly timeframe, Dogecoin has succeeded in breaking the triangle density, therefore, Dogecoin can continue its growth in this upward rally to the height of the triangle, which this growth from the golden area of the previous wave can touch the target of the previous major ceiling and the $ 1.2 range.
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Alikze »» LINK| Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 BINANCE:LINKUSDT currency on the daily timeframe touched its targets in accordance with the analysis presented earlier, the scenario of the first of 3 bullish waves.
🟢 Chainlink touched its target after breaking out of the short-term descending channel.
🟢 It is currently in the supply zone on the daily and weekly timeframes.
💎Given the bullish momentum, this bullish leg, after breaking the supply zone, will have the ability to grow to the large supply zone of $60-$100.
💎In the first step after breaking the supply zone, the target will be $38 and $55.
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Alikze »» ETC | Scenario 3 or C bullish - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario of wave 3 or C in the ascending channel
BINANCE:ETCUSDT In the daily timeframe, according to the analysis presented earlier , it encountered demand after reaching the Buyer zone, which led to the breakdown of the descending channel and the touch of the target of $25.
- Currently, after exiting the congestion, it is moving within an ascending channel, which is currently at the ceiling of the first channel.
💎 In case of correction, at the ceiling of the first ascending channel, it can encounter demand in the middle range of the channel or the OB zone and continue its growth to the ceiling of the second channel.
⚠️ In addition, in the bullish scenario, the Invalidation LVL zone should not be touched. ⚠️
💎In case of touching the mentioned zone, the currency's movement path should be reviewed and updated again.
Alikze »» SOL | Ascending channel - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Last corrective leg, to the order block area
📣 BINANCE:SOLUSDT was analyzed and reviewed in the 4-hour and 8-hour time frames in previous posts, which touched their targets.
🟢 It is currently moving in an ascending channel on the daily time frame, which is correcting again to the bottom of the descending channel after reaching the channel ceiling and an unsuccessful breakout.
🟢 Given the current corrective structure, it can have two movement scenarios.
💎 Scenario 1: If it cannot break the red box area, it can continue the correction to the order block area.
💎 Scenario 2: If the red box area is not broken, the correction to the bottom of the channel and with a lower leg, it can meet demand and retest the previous ceiling.
🔔 If the behavior and structure change, the post will be updated.
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Alikze »» MOVR | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Super cycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 MEXC:MOVRUSDT currency has encountered demand after a zigzag correction in the 3.61 range, which has had a rapid upward rally
🟢 After that, the price has had a double complex zigzag correction to the origin of the third upward wave.
🟢 Again, in the origin of the third movement, with a three-wave movement, it has encountered demand again in the area of the bottom of the ascending channel.
🟢 Currently, selling pressure is also observed in the ceiling of the ascending channel and the supply area.
💎 If this correction is broken in the form of a zigzag to the minor ceiling, it can be extended to the minor ceiling. It can again encounter demand and an upward rally to the minor ceiling of the previous rally.
💎 Depending on the momentum, this cycle can be a super cycle wave 3 or C to touch the red box area.
⚠️In addition, if the area touches the bottom of the previous wave, the bullish scenario is invalidated and should be re-examined and updated.⚠️
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1D:GRT- POTENTIAL SETUP. GRT ALWAYS FOLLOWS TECHNICALS!GRT Potential Long Setup-\
FYI- This is technically not a valid harmonic pattern, however it is within reasonable parameters, BUT...
IF you seen my last GRT setup, you would know what GRT can do these similar conditions. GRT has reached the .86 retrace from last swing high/low and corrected accordingly. Now we yet again a similar structure along with the Bullish Divergence on the 1D chart.
GRT needs to retest the .20 cent mark and retain this price to have the best likely chance of another strong push.
AGAIN, NOT CONFIRMED YET
NEED TO RETAIN AND RETEST 0.20 LEVELS IF YOU ARE RISK ADVERSE. YOU COULD ENTER HERE, HOWEVER A TIGHT STOP LOSS WOULD BE A GOOD IDEA JUST IN CASE...
I attached my prior setup I posted here for the last GRT Long
GLHF
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,085.31
1st Support: 2,805.94
1st Resistance: 3,540.71
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