Cryptoforecast
ETHBTC Forecast based on Cycle HistoryI charted this on 20 May and had not looked at it since.
What I wanted to know was should I be holding more BTC, or more ETH? What will grow more according to the charts regardless of my opinion of their fundamentals or adoption ?
If the charts are a representation of the psychology of the masses, then psychology tells us : the best prediction for future behavior is past behavior.
Thus, I'm a big believer price action rhyming with previous BTC halving cycles.
You've probably heard chartists say "history rhymes but never repeats"
While I am aware that ETH was just getting started in the markets peak in 2017/2018... and it will likely far outperform BTC, I have charted a conservative forecast mimicking the previous cycle.
I've pointed out the previous ATH of BTC and ETH as well as where I think we can expect them in the months to come.
The past 2 seem to have been on track in a general sense.
Let me know your thoughts
BITCOIN: BREAKOUT BEARISH FLAG|PRICE WILL CONTINUE TO DROP DOWN?Welcome back Traders, Investors, and Community!
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Elon's Tweet or Obvious Price Action ?This is an update to my previous Idea linked below. Previously on 4H chart. I've zoomed out to a 1D chart to get some greater perspective.
BTC failed to break its resistance - indicating an inevitable downward movement.
Then came Elon's tweet, catalyzing the downward momentum.
I don't really think his tweet had much to do with this drop as TA already told us to expect it.
I view his tweets as catalysts to what is already expected as per TA.
On the chart, I've delayed the time estimated to reach "spring".
Using the 1D RSI I'm more confident that we will likely break support in the week to come before trending up for the long term.
My ideal price movement is marked in green.
Comments and criticism welcome
BITCOINThe king tries for the third time in 2 days to reach 37,000 again. However, it seems that fear and caution are still strong in the Square. If it goes above 37,500, we can see another leg up, if it goes below 35,000, we can expect it to retest the previous lows. Basically the 2 values can represent SL / TP as the case may be. Long cautious for Bitcoin today.