BITCOIN in trouble? check this out first... There is no doubt that Bitcoin is in a downward trending channel. As you can see in this analysis, Bitcoin has been in a bearish sequence since the highest point (#1), bouncing within the channel until it was rejected at point #5, which did not break through our green confirmation zone and instead dropped to the purple inefficiency zone.
If you look closely, the purple inefficiency zone has shown significant strength for months (since April). It's a crucial area because when the price reaches it, there is a strong volume and buying pressure.
There are only two possible moves the price could make this week:
Move 1: The price could stay in our purple inefficiency zone and consolidate, accumulating for its next bullish trend. Note: Point #5 was a total rejection and decided to disrupt the sequence that Bitcoin had from point #1.
Move 2: The price could simply respect a large-scale supply and demand zone, in which case we might see the price continue to drop, allowing it to enter a demand zone and then take off into a bullish market.
What will happen? We really don't know, but what we can conclude from this postis that since the beginning of this analysis several weeks ago, the price has moved in our favor just by using basic price action concepts.I am very satisfied with this analysis, and I'm glad you were able to benefit from it, if you have been following this analysis closely, The price has been moving according to our prediction, And whenever I see these kinds of charts or analyses, I remember the words my mentor used to tell me: always remember that the price action is always right.
I sincerely appreciate your trust and support in my study.
I send you a warm greeting, and always stay alert for the next move.
-RM
Cryptolevels
RUNE - BIG GAIN (BIG PICTURE)Dear friends,
I will show another coin next to the LINK where I see Elliot wave expressed.. For LINKCHAIN, you have an analysis below this post..
First I would like to show my old projections related to RUNE and the exact take profit and return to DCA on it..
Here is a projection of profit taking.. and an accurately expressed mass jump of the first wave..
Then marked zones for returning to the market.
Now that all that has happened, I have scenario A and B. The first scenario is that the bottom is behind us and that the first purchase is an excellent decision, on the other hand, we also have plan B because there is great resistance at $5.
If the price does not show strength, the last buying target would be 2.2. Below that there is a very large volume and below that the door opens for a big risk (FOR NOW I'M VERY BULLISH)
The first target will be scalar from $30 and on.
This will all happen only if BTC manages to break the ATH
BITCOIN (BTCUSD) Bearish Confirmation? Oops!Like Ive mentioned in my previous BTC analysis, that $61,500 was critical zone and if it drops below that level, we will see further downward movement and this is exactly how it turned out.
The SHORT position targets are marked on the chart using the Risological swing trader.
Stay safe and all the best.
BTC to rebound - bullish potential for the next 24 hours The price of Bitcoin fell more than 6 percent to $59,290 over the past 24 hours, trading as low as $58,564 over this period, Trading View’s Bitcoin chart shows.
Yet, a strong sun will shine over Bitcoin in the next 24 hours, signaling bullish market conditions. ☀️
“Today's drop is intriguing and presents a potential opportunity for those looking to capitalize on a tactical rally. Entering at $59,000 with a tight stop at $58,000 might seem overly cautious to some, but tactical opportunities like this are rare in a market lacking a clear bullish trend,” the crypto intelligence firm 10xResearch said in its daily note.
The number of Bitcoin millionaires increased by 111 percent last year and exceeded 85,000 people, Henley & Partners annual Crypto Wealth Report 2024 shows. Eleven persons hold more than $1 billion in Bitcoin. The CEO of MicroStrategy Michael Saylor, the CEO of Coinbase Brian Armstrong and Binance’s founder, currently serving a prison term in the US for money laundering violations, Changpeng Zhao (CZ) are part of this exclusive club.
Follow us for more crypto news and weather reports!
Fantom (FTMUSDT) Bullish - 1st Target Done!Fantom coin (FTMUSDT)
Got an entry at 4049
Stoploss - 3322
Trailing Stop Loss at 3997
Upper targets (Resistance) - 4947 - 6399 - 7852 - 8750
Good luck traders! God bless you!
BITCOIN UPDATE - NOT Yet BullishHello guys,
Current BTC position: SHORT
Sorry, I have been busy trading the Indian stocks and options and not trading a lot of Crypto after the recent WazirX exchange Hack!
On 4H time frame the BTC is still not in the bullish zone.
Bullish confirmation is only above the price $62,000
Support and resistance levels have been marked on the chart for your reference.
$DADDY forecast (part 1) “LateAtNight on bed looking at charts”"IF" $DADDY is really going to the moon we can expect something like this.
> More than likely we can expect the daily low getting cooked with a wick, but no body closure. (0.04831)
> After the low gets cooked price can trade back into the previous range. (Yes, "can"we don't assume or hope; we trade what we see, not what we think. Based on this being a HTF long-term forecast, anything is possible. I am charting what I see as likely to occur when price approaches these areas.)
(These price tags indicate my personal expectations for possible turn arounds/ targets in price.)
> We want to see price close above the daily fractal high, located at (0.07449) for a potential pullback and then continuation to the upside.
> (0.16529) can have a larger pullback than what l drew, but I can rather see a smaller pullback to then head to the
(0.19585) area and then for price to push back to the (0.12458) “area” and then trade higher. (note: price can go a little bit lower than (0.12458) before trading higher back to those highs, to eventually violate them.
- ChartMarkup done on mobile phone.
August 22nd, 2024
NOTUSDT ( INSIDE DESCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)NOTUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level at 0.013 & 0.015 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 0.015 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 0.013 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 0.017 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 0.020, for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 0.009, for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 0.005 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 0.1353 , have two scenario , first corrective 0.15, before dropping to touch a 0.13 , then 0.009, second corrective 0.013 to reach a 0.015 , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.017 , 0.020 ,
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.009 , 0.005 .
THE BREAK OF NEIROETH - NEIRONEIRO/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
NEIRO has the possibility to break.
BENDOG/USDT GOING FOR THE NEXT BREAKBENDOG/USDT shows the low time frame possibility for new volume which can affect the price for an uptrend. ( depend all on high chance) There are no guarantees in the markets.
The new increase volume updates always start with interest if there is a confirmation to follow and if there is a building with a hold for a time.
90% of coins this time are not building coins. Some % also show a start fake trend and return to where it started. time frame confirmation + high levels building is important for a healthy coin.
There is a good chance for a break, the chart shows 3the possible break, which can affect over 50%, the coming time frame we should follow for exact data.
The first focus target is
BTC scalp - August scalping journey trade Nr. 2 Trying this risky setup on BTC after 30min FVG got tagged and we are at the 3D VAH. Aiming for the 3D VWAP but please recognise the risk here.
Break up of the setup 👇
30-Minute Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The 30-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a key level identified on the chart. This gap indicates an area where the price moved rapidly without much trading in between, creating a potential zone for price to revisit and balance out the prior inefficiency.
3-Day Value Area High (3D VAH):
The current price is at the 3-Day Value Area High (3D VAH). This is a significant point derived from volume profile analysis over a three-day period, indicating the upper boundary of the price range where the majority of trading volume occurred.
Price Action and RSI:
The price has shown a recovery from a recent low, moving upwards to tag the 30-minute FVG. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is displayed at the bottom, providing insight into potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Point:
The entry is based on the price revisiting the 30-minute FVG, an area often revisited for price correction and liquidity purposes.
Target:
The primary target for this setup is the 3-Day VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price). The 3D VWAP is a dynamic indicator representing the average price of the asset over the last three days, adjusted by volume. It is a key level where the price is likely to find support or resistance.
Going to take profits on the way down and moving my stop loss to break even.
Considering the high-risk nature of this trade, appropriate position sizing is essential. Avoid over-leveraging and ensure that the potential loss is within your risk tolerance.
TOTAL3 - Bulls taking a napTOTAL3 began forming a descending parallel channel (Bull Flag) on March 31 and has been trading within it.
We recently had the third touch at the top of the channel, but it failed to break, showing signs of exhaustion indicating a greater probability of decline in the short term.
I will continue to monitor, but I only believe in all-time highs for altcoins when this channel is broken, but I wouldn't be surprised if we visit 450-480B before that happens.
Black Swan Incoming (Part 2)The series continues as Bitcoin fails to invalidate my thesis. This is most likely the start of the crash rather than the end. The first diagonal support comes in at 45-48k.
Check out Part 1 above first.
The Topping Fractal Strikes Again
The entire move is orchestrated time and time again. You can see from Part 1 that 7-10 year wallets shifted massive amounts of Bitcoin right when we get this same topping pattern appearing. Coincidence? I think not. This is the third time it's happened now.
You can see from the chart above we failed to break retracement levels.
Chainlink Fractal
What you are currently seeing above is REAL, it is happening. I thought about this possibly happening when I was actively trading this fractal back in 2023.
This is the Chainlink fractal from last cycle overlaid to this current cycle.
I traded this fractal back in 2023 and when I overlaid and saw that the Covid crash lined up with my Fib time, I thought, is it possible we get a crash in August 2024?
I was going over this possibility in 2023! Mind-blowing. If the fractal plays out, that means that the bottom is basically in for LINK and the bull market starts now, with a top in September 2025. Anyways, I will post a different TA on LINK.
The Million Dollar Question
Is the double bottom in or not? I have wrestled with this question for months, over a year maybe. While all other analysts and everyone else is convinced that the double bottom is in, I have never been 100% sold on it.
What do I mean? Well, since the first Bitcoin cycle, we have formed a double bottom before the bull market starts.
As you can see, we always form a double bottom. If we repeat history, that means that Bitcoin will retest the 20k area.
Everyone is convinced that this is the double bottom, but I have never been sold on this theory, especially when we have a CME GAP at 21k!
Mayer Multiple Bands
We can see that the last band is at 26k. For now, the worst case would be that price point.
USDT Dominance Chart
I was watching this closely. We were forming an ascending channel for a while. Bullish for USDT dominance means bad for the market. What is interesting is that we hit the same level in March 2022.
Very interesting.
Hash Ribbon First Failure?
Will the hash ribbon fail completely this time? Last time it fired off a buy signal, it dumped 17% before going on a massive multi-month rally. We are currently down 29% since its buy.
Fear and Greed
Conclusion
"IF" we even get a bull market, it will most likely start in 2025.
We need to get interest rates under 2.5% at least. We have never had a bull market with rates so high. First cycle: 0%, second: 0.5-2.5%, and third cycle: 0%.