Late night thoughts on XRPJust sharing some insights on what I have been seeing. I have been getting a feeling XRP can pop at any moment. Ideally I wanna see XRP reach AT LEAST $5 this market cycle. But we will see what happens!
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Cryptolevels
Bitcoin Intraday Thesis – February 10, 2025Market Context & Decision
Current BTC price: $97,336
Position: HOLD BUY (Entry: $95,414)
Target: $98,500 📈 | Stop-loss: $94,800
Key Insights
🔹 Bullish Sentiment – Financial data and historical trends suggest strong upward momentum.
🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals, with BTC showing short-term overbought conditions, requiring caution.
🔹 Derivatives Data –
Funding Rate: -0.02% (Slight negative bias, but not strongly bearish).
Open Interest: 75,758 BTC (Healthy market activity).
Price Expectations & Strategy
📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (80% Confidence)
BTC pushes towards $98,500 if bullish sentiment continues.
Strong historical & financial backing supports the upward move.
📊 Scenario 2: Short-Term Correction
If BTC fails to break GETTEX:98K , overbought conditions may trigger a pullback.
Support at $96K-$95K remains key for continued bullish structure.
Conclusion
HOLD BUY remains the optimal strategy.
BTC likely to test $98,500, but traders should monitor support levels in case of volatility.
Keep an eye on funding rates & open interest for further confirmation.
🚀 Will Bitcoin reach $98,500 or face a pullback? Let’s discuss! 👇
#SPELLUSDT continuation of the downtrend📉 SHORT BYBIT:SPELLUSDT.P from $0.0009866
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.0010430
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:SPELLUSDT.P remains in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. The price failed to hold above $0.0010000, signaling weak buying momentum.
➡️ POC at $0.0010250 suggests that major volume accumulation is above the current price, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
➡️ If the price stays below $0.0009866, a continuation towards $0.0009485 and $0.0008901 is expected.
➡️ Volume remains moderate, indicating declining demand and a likely continuation of the downtrend.
⚡ Plan:
📉 Bearish Scenario:
➡️ Enter SHORT from $0.0009866 if price confirms rejection at resistance.
➡️ Risk management with Stop-Loss at $0.0010430, above key resistance.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $0.0009485 — first profit-taking level.
🔥 TP2: $0.0008901 — major support zone.
🚀 BYBIT:SPELLUSDT.P Expecting a continuation of the downtrend!
📢 BYBIT:SPELLUSDT.P remains under selling pressure. If the price holds below $0.0009866, further downside movement towards $0.0009485 and then $0.0008901 is expected.
📢 However, if the price reclaims $0.0010430, the bearish scenario could be invalidated, leading to a potential upward correction.
TIA SHORT/LONGTIA has dropped below $3.7, the lower boundary of its range, which isn't necessarily a bad thing.
If the price manages to reclaim $3.7, it would confirm a major fakeout, potentially pushing the price back up to $5-$6.
In the short term, we might see a small bounce toward the 21 EMA on the daily timeframe, accompanied by a bullish cross on the Stoch RSI.
After that, another pullback could happen, setting up a second bullish cross on the Stoch RSI—which, historically, has often led to stronger upward moves.
ATOM WEEKLY PART I The ATOM weekly chart is exciting. Every time the Stoch RSI oscillator is about to make a bullish cross but gets rejected, the price drops by at least 40%—this has happened the last two times.
However, the first time this fake cross occurred, the price increased by 68% before dropping by 74%.
Considering that on February 3, we saw a high-volume rejection from $3.7 (a 34% drop), I believe there is still room for the price to go lower, possibly even below $3.7.
If you flip the chart, it looks like it could reach around $3.2.
Timing the End of the Altcoin Bull MarketHello,
BTC dominance is currently around 55%. From my analysis, the altcoin bull market typically ends when BTC dominance drops to the 47%-40% range. At that point, it’s wise to prepare for selling altcoins, while also monitoring the total market cap for signs of a decline. For now, the bull market remains active.
As always, remember to stick to risk management.
BR,
Thesis: Bitcoin Intraday Trade StrategyTrade Setup
Outcome: Open Long
Entry Price: $97,070
Stop Loss: $96,000
Take Profit: $100,000
Confidence Level: 75%
Market Context & Justification
🔹 Bullish Sentiment & Long-Short Ratio – Positive trader sentiment and a 1.2 buy/sell ratio on Binance Perpetuals suggest more long positions entering the market.
🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals:
RSI: Neutral (no clear overbought/oversold signals).
MACD: Negative on 1h and 15m, but showing signs of recovery on the daily timeframe.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels
Price is near support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
A breakout above $98,869 could fuel further upside toward the take-profit level at $100,000.
🔹 Options & Liquidity Impact
CME Max Pain Price at $95,000 may act as a pullback zone if BTC faces short-term selling pressure.
Large liquidation clusters at $95,000 could trigger stops if downside volatility increases.
🔹 Funding & Open Interest Data
Funding Rate: Slightly positive at 0.02%, indicating mild bullish positioning.
Open Interest: 76,232 BTC, showing active participation in the market.
Conclusion
Despite mixed technicals, strong sentiment and positioning data support a long entry at $97,070, with a stop loss at $96,000 to mitigate downside risk. If resistance at $98,869 is broken, BTC has a high probability of reaching $100,000. However, traders should monitor liquidation clusters and options expiry effects for potential volatility.
SHIBUSDT Price Action - Liquidity & Order Block AnalysisPremium Zone Rejection:
Price is approaching a FVG (Fair Value Gap), which could act as a resistance zone.
If rejection occurs, smart money may be engineering liquidity to take out lower levels.
Liquidity Levels to Watch:
Feb 3 High (0.000016980): A significant level where liquidity is resting. A potential raid could occur if price breaks structure to the upside.
Feb 2 Low (0.000013080): A key downside liquidity pool where price may seek orders.
Feb 3 Low (0.000011590): The ultimate downside draw on liquidity if price continues distributing lower.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case: A clean break and hold above 0.000015764 could lead to a liquidity grab towards the Feb 3 High.
Bearish Case: Failure to reclaim the fair value gap could send SHIB lower to test 0.000013080, possibly even targeting the Feb 3 Low.
"February Momentum: Is Bitcoin Set to Soar Again?"Geopolitical Tailwinds
Trump’s tariffs accelerate dedollarization. Bitcoin’s neutrality and censorship resistance make it the ultimate geopolitical hedge. Retaliatory measures will destabilize fiat corridors, forcing institutions to rebalance into BTC.
February Seasonality
Historical 15.6% average
FBullish Bias: Bitcoin remains historically strong in February and institutions continue to accumulate.
Bitcoin Game Plan - BTC PREDICTIONHello folks, it's time to update the BTC game plan.
My previous Bitcoin game plan worked precisely. The timing and price levels were 100% accurate, and as expected, we saw a new all-time high (ATH). I hope you managed to make some profits!
I’ve attached the previous BTC game plan below—feel free to give it a look.
New Game Plan:
Bitcoin has set a new ATH, but it seems we’ve encountered significant selling pressure at that level, and we couldn’t close above it. This indicates Bitcoin doesn’t yet have enough liquidity to expand higher.
From this perspective, I expect the price to retrace slightly, grab some liquidity from the buy side, and then continue its upward journey.
Scenario 1:
Price grabs the lows below and hits the purple line (Range High) before bouncing to a new high. (Less likely)
Scenario 2: (Marked on the chart)
Price grabs the lows completely and retraces to the blue bullish trendline, bouncing from there. We might even create a deviation below the blue line, trapping bears who aggressively short after a trendline break, and bounce from the green zone marked just below the blue line. (This is my preferred scenario.)
Scenario 3:
Price retraces further to grab all the way down to the lows and bounces from the black trendline we previously broke.
I’m sharing all three potential scenarios for clarity.
Also, with a pro-crypto president currently in office, any significant bullish news could send Bitcoin skyrocketing. Keep this in mind.
I remain overall bullish on Bitcoin. I firmly believe we haven’t seen the top yet. Despite the panic and sell-off from some gurus on X and TradingView who claim we’ve topped, I personally think we’re not even close to the peak.
SUSDT - a pattern as text bookS looks bullish as it breakout the trendline in 4h chart
consolidation a v bottom pattern as text book... price acton expected to be a shown in chart
(breakout the neckline , retest then continuation in bullish)..
expected 25% bullish rally in coming days
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
GIGA Long Swing OpportunityMarket Context:
GIGA stands out as one of the strongest meme coins, holding within a major support zone despite market fluctuations. This support area offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio for a long swing trade.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: $0.05 (support zone)
Take Profit Targets:
$0.071
$0.095
Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.045
This trade leverages GIGA's resilience, with profit targets set at key resistance levels. Exercise disciplined risk management! 📈
Bitcoin analysis: does the trend continue?hello friends
Considering the good upward trend we have in Bitcoin
Now, the price has made a pattern with the correction that it has made, which seems to be a continuous trend, and with the valid failure of the pattern, we can enter into a purchase transaction with capital management...
We have specified the goals for you in order.
*Trade safely with us*
TradeCityPro | AXS: Axie Infinity's Play to Earn Dynamics👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I want to discuss the coin AXS, which belongs to the project Axie Infinity. This coin gained a lot of hype during the previous bull run as part of a Play to Earn game.
📅 Weekly Time Frame
In the weekly time frame, we see a very large and long-term range box where the price has been oscillating between 4.221 and 12.610 since late 2022.
🔍 The SMA 99 has even entered the range, indicating a severe ranging market. I do not recommend buying this coin as it has very high inflation, and the coin has a consumptive and reward aspect in the game, leading most users to sell the coin they earn, which is why it has not been able to break out of its range box yet.
🔽 If the price breaks below the support at 4.221, it will be very challenging for AXS as a sharp and heavy drop is very likely, and selling pressure will significantly increase. The only support area below this is at 1.355.
✅ If the price manages to break the resistance at 12.610, the potential for an uptrend increases. The next resistances are at 19.426 and 44.596. The major resistance near the ATH is at 161.591.
📅 Daily Time Frame
In the daily time frame, we can observe the price behavior in more detail. As you can see, there is a descending trend line that has been driving the price downward after reaching a high of 9.534, starting as a correction but turning into a downward movement due to the volume of sales.
🔽 If support at 5.439 is broken, it confirms the end of the uptrend, and the price will return to the box between 4.306 and 5.439. If support at 4.306 is broken, the situation will worsen for AXS as, as seen in the weekly frame, there is no significant support until 1.355.
🧩 Conversely, if the price can regain upward momentum and buying volume enters the market, we can expect the price to rise. The first significant trigger is the breaking of the descending trend line, which could introduce momentum into the market. Breaking above the 50 area in RSI could also assist in this upward movement.
📈The main trigger for a price increase is breaking through 7.366, a risky move, with primary buying triggers at the resistances of 9.534 and 12.610.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
PNUTUSDT: Near Its Critical Pivot – Will the Market Make Its MovPNUTUSDT is sitting on the edge of a key threshold at $0.3188, just a breath away from its absolute low of $0.3044, set today. With an 87% plunge from its all-time high of $2.5084, the asset is signaling a potential turning point. RSI at 41.17 indicates a mildly oversold condition, setting the stage for either a rebound or a deeper dive.
Recent patterns, including VSA Buy signals and volume surges, suggest that bullish energy might be brewing just under the surface. Yet, the heavy resistance levels above at $0.3668 and $0.4176 could act as significant tests for any upward momentum. With macroeconomic factors steady but market sentiment edgy, PNUTUSDT traders face the pressing question: is this the bottom, or could another leg down be imminent?
This is a critical moment for both short-term traders eyeing quick reversals and long-term investors evaluating the larger picture. Will you seize the potential rebound or wait for clearer confirmation? Stay tuned – the next move could define the trend for weeks to come!
PNUTUSDT Roadmap: Patterns That Defined the Price Action
PNUTUSDT has been a rollercoaster for traders recently, with distinct patterns revealing the market’s intentions. Let’s dive into the key candle patterns and how they played out, separating the noise from actionable moves.
1. The "Increased Sell Volumes" Pattern (January 25, 2025)
Direction: Sell
Price opened at $0.3182 and closed at $0.3051. This bearish setup pushed the price near the asset's absolute low of $0.3044. The sell-off was decisive, as subsequent price action confirmed the direction with a continuation towards the $0.3044 low, validating the main direction of the pattern.
2. "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st" (January 24, 2025)
Direction: Buy
Opening at $0.3239, the price moved higher briefly but closed at $0.3182. While the main direction indicated a buy opportunity, the following sell-off undermined its potential, indicating this pattern failed to confirm its trigger.
3. "Increased Sell Volumes" (January 23, 2025)
Direction: Sell
Opening at $0.3561 and closing at $0.3527, the pattern confirmed its sell bias as the price dipped further in subsequent candles, aligning with the bearish sentiment. This gave traders an ideal short entry opportunity.
4. "Buy Volumes Takeover" (January 23, 2025)
Direction: Buy
Despite the bullish direction, this pattern struggled for validation as sell-side pressure dominated immediately afterward. This pattern underperformed, marking a skip in actionable moves.
5. "VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 4th" (January 22, 2025)
Direction: Buy
This was the turning point. The price moved higher, confirming its trigger by closing above the previous resistance level and aligning with the predicted bullish move. Traders who caught this shift enjoyed a strong recovery rally.
Key Takeaways from the Roadmap:
"Increased Sell Volumes" patterns have consistently delivered, highlighting a reliable bearish trigger.
"Buy Volumes Takeover" patterns often need clearer confirmation to provide actionable trades.
"VSA Manipulation Buy Patterns" showed strength in directional accuracy, offering robust opportunities when validated.
This roadmap emphasizes how selective trading, focused on validated patterns, helps cut through the market's noise and capture meaningful moves. For traders, knowing when to act—and when to stay out—is the game changer.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
The PNUTUSDT market is heating up, and every trader knows that nailing the key levels can make or break your strategy. Here’s a breakdown of the most critical support and resistance zones on the radar right now. If these levels don’t hold, expect them to flip and act as barriers for price action—classic support-turns-resistance and vice versa.
Support Levels
First Support: $0.3044 — The absolute low and a key battleground. If buyers fail to defend this level, the bears might take full control. Second Support: $0.3668 — A short-term cushion for buyers to regroup. Losing this zone signals trouble for the bulls.
Resistance Levels
First Resistance: $0.3668 — If price fails to reclaim this level, it’ll act as a headwind for bullish momentum.
Second Resistance: $0.4176 — A crucial ceiling for bulls. Breakout above could open doors to new highs. Third Resistance: $0.4513 — A make-or-break zone for major trend shifts. Fourth Resistance: $0.5165 — Only serious bullish strength can push past this level. Fifth Resistance: $0.6692 — The long-term target for any meaningful upside.
Powerful Support Levels
Critical Zone: $0.6521 — This level must hold if the bulls want to regain control of the narrative. If breached, expect a deeper pullback.
Powerful Resistance Levels
Currently Undefined — Keep an eye on momentum and price reaction at the aforementioned resistance zones.
As always, respect these levels and watch for confirmations—breakouts need follow-through, and false moves can wreck your game. Trade smart, manage risk, and don’t chase—let the market come to you!
Trading Strategies Using Fibonacci Rays
Understanding the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept allows traders to harness the natural dynamics of Fibonacci proportions and geometric levels. These rays provide a dynamic framework to identify key zones for price interactions, predicting possible reversals or continuations with precision. Let’s explore how to use these rays for your trading strategy.
Concept of Rays
Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, providing dynamic levels that adapt as the market evolves. They rely on Fibonacci angles to establish critical zones where price interaction is likely to occur. Key insights include:
Price Interaction: Signals either reversal or continuation but requires confirmation from dynamic factors, such as patterns or volume shifts.
Adaptability: Rays adjust as new patterns emerge, creating a flexible approach to identifying key movement boundaries.
Complementary Analysis: Crossing points with moving averages (MA50, MA100, MA200, etc.) strengthen the significance of ray zones.
Two Scenarios: Optimistic and Pessimistic
Optimistic Scenario
Interaction with $0.3668 (Resistance Level): If price breaks this ray and confirms with volume and pattern, we could see a continuation to $0.4176 (next ray).
Interaction with MA100 at $0.3557: A confirmed close above this moving average signals a bullish trend with the potential to aim for $0.4513.
Final Target: $0.5165 as a long-term ray and Fibonacci convergence zone.
Pessimistic Scenario
Failure at $0.3668 Resistance: Price interaction signals rejection and a probable pullback to $0.3044 (Support Level).
Interaction with MA200 at $0.4328: A failure to break above could lead to a deeper sell-off to retest $0.3044.
Break Below $0.3044: A move below this level indicates strong bearish momentum, with $0.6521 becoming the next significant resistance as the price reverses.
Suggested Trades
Trade 1: Buy Breakout at $0.3668
Target 1: $0.4176
Target 2: $0.4513
Comment: Wait for a confirmed breakout with volume above the ray.
Trade 2: Short at Rejection Near $0.4176
Target 1: $0.3668
Target 2: $0.3044
Comment: Watch for bearish patterns or volume declines to confirm entry.
Trade 3: Buy Near $0.3044 Support Zone
Target 1: $0.3668
Target 2: $0.4176
Comment: Confirm with interaction at the ray and a bullish reversal pattern.
Trade 4: Short After MA200 Failure at $0.4328
Target 1: $0.3668
Target 2: $0.3044
Comment: Momentum loss and price rejection confirm bearish continuation.
Key Takeaway:
Trade between rays like stepping stones, moving from one target to the next. Confirm entries after interaction with rays and dynamic factors like volume or MA crossings. Each ray represents not just a technical level but a gateway to the next movement zone. Use this framework to navigate the market with confidence and precision!
Let’s Stay Connected and Trade Smarter Together!
Got questions or thoughts about the analysis? Drop them in the comments below—I’m always happy to chat and help clarify anything! Your feedback and discussions are what keep this trading journey exciting and collaborative.
If you found this idea useful, don’t forget to hit Boost and save it to track how the price moves along these mapped-out levels. Understanding the points where trades make sense is key to growing as a trader, so let’s watch the market evolve together.
By the way, the rays and levels in this strategy are drawn automatically using my custom indicator—it’s available privately. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to message me directly for details. I also offer analysis on any asset you’d like, whether it’s a free post here or a personal, private breakdown for your unique ideas.
The beauty of this strategy is its versatility—it works across all assets, and price always respects these dynamic rays. If you have a specific asset you’d like analyzed, hit Boost, leave a comment, and I’ll do my best to prioritize it.
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