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BTCUSDT Trade LogBTCUSDT – Bullish Rebound Setup Market Context: BTC is currently trading near a 4H Fair Value Gap, with multiple wicks indicating buyers are stepping in. The 4H Kijun and the FVG overlap provide a strong confluence area for a potential bounce. Despite recent bearish pressure, a range-bound environment suggests a bullish bias could play out if price holds above this support region. Trade Idea (Long): – Entry: Look to buy on a retest of the 4H FVG or once the 4H Kijun confirms support. – Stop: Place just below the recent wicks or the lower boundary of the FVG. – Risk: 1% of account (or per your risk plan). – Target: Aim for a minimum of 1:2 RRR, targeting the next key structure high or daily supply zone. Risk Management: If price decisively breaks below the FVG and invalidates the Kijun support, exit the trade and wait for another setup. Remain watchful of macro news as it can spark sudden volatility.
Long
by Fondera
LINK Long Spot OpportunityMarket Context: LINK has retraced into a major support zone, setting up a potential retest and bounce. Given its historical price behavior at these levels, this provides a strong risk-to-reward opportunity for a long spot position. Trade Details: Entry Zone: $14.50 - $16.50 Take Profit Targets: $19.40 - $21.50 $27.00 - $30.00 Stop Loss: Just below $12.00 This setup aligns with historical support zones and potential continuation of the uptrend. Manage risk accordingly and stick to the plan! 📈🔥
Long
by Richtv_official
SOL Long Spot OpportunityMarket Context: SOL has retraced to the bottom of its range support, offering a favorable entry for a long spot trade. Given its strong trend, this could be a high-probability setup for continuation to the upside. Trade Details: Entry Zone: $160 - $180 (bottom of range support) Take Profit Targets: $200 - $225 $260 - $275 Stop Loss: Just below $155 This setup provides a strong risk-to-reward ratio, with price consolidating near a key level before a potential breakout. Manage risk accordingly and stay disciplined! 📈🔥
Long
by Richtv_official
TradeCityPro | BCH: Breakout or Deeper Correction?👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I’ll be reviewing BCH. This coin is one of the older assets in the market, with chart data available since 2018. However, the chart I’m analyzing today is from Binance, which provides data from 2020 onward. 📅 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, we observe an uptrend that began at a low of 97.7. The first bullish leg pushed the price to 293.9, followed by a correction down to 189.6, and then another leg up to 693. 🔍 Currently, the price has tested the 693 resistance twice. At the same time, we have an ascending trendline, which was broken in the last weekly candle. The price has also formed a shadow towards the 293.9 support level. 🔽 If the price continues to decline and stabilizes below 293.9, we can confirm a double-top pattern. If this support breaks, the price could move down to 189.6. If the downward momentum continues, we could even see a decline to 97.7. ✨ For a short position, you can enter if 293.9 breaks, accompanied by increasing sell volume. The target for this short position would be 189.6. However, since the overall trend remains bullish, it’s important to manage risk carefully to avoid excessive losses. A break of the 41.72 RSI support could confirm bearish momentum. 📈 On the other hand, if the price stabilizes above 693, it has the potential to move up to 1414.7, which is the highest resistance in this chart and a key level. While BCH’s actual ATH occurred in 2019 and is not visible on this chart, this resistance remains crucial, and the price may react to it. 📅 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, we see a ranging box between 293.9 and 488.8, with the price now reaching the lower boundary. ⚡️ Following the breakdown of the 407.2 support, the price printed a large red candle, dropping straight to the bottom of the range. A significant support zone exists between 293.9 and 314.6. 💥 The RSI oscillator is currently in the oversold zone, meaning we should wait for a structure to form before taking a position. If the price breaks below 314.6 and 293.9, it could provide a short entry opportunity. 💫 For a long position, patience is required until the price establishes a new structure. If that happens, entering a long position upon a breakout of the structure’s high would be a valid strategy. The next resistance levels at 407.2 and 488.8 can serve both as targets for lower triggers and as new long-entry points. 🔼 The key supply zone is between 618.8 and 700.9—an extremely strong resistance area. If the price manages to break above this zone and hold, it could initiate the next bullish leg, with targets already identified in the weekly timeframe. ⭐️ A break above 56.81 on the RSI would serve as strong confirmation for a long position. Overall market volume is currently declining, so any volume surge accompanying a breakout would help validate the position. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
6
Thesis: Bitcoin Intraday Trade StrategyTrade Setup Outcome: Open Long Entry Price: $97,070 Stop Loss: $96,000 Take Profit: $100,000 Confidence Level: 75% Market Context & Justification 🔹 Bullish Sentiment & Long-Short Ratio – Positive trader sentiment and a 1.2 buy/sell ratio on Binance Perpetuals suggest more long positions entering the market. 🔹 Technical Indicators – Mixed signals: RSI: Neutral (no clear overbought/oversold signals). MACD: Negative on 1h and 15m, but showing signs of recovery on the daily timeframe. 🔹 Support & Resistance Levels Price is near support, increasing the likelihood of a bounce. A breakout above $98,869 could fuel further upside toward the take-profit level at $100,000. 🔹 Options & Liquidity Impact CME Max Pain Price at $95,000 may act as a pullback zone if BTC faces short-term selling pressure. Large liquidation clusters at $95,000 could trigger stops if downside volatility increases. 🔹 Funding & Open Interest Data Funding Rate: Slightly positive at 0.02%, indicating mild bullish positioning. Open Interest: 76,232 BTC, showing active participation in the market. Conclusion Despite mixed technicals, strong sentiment and positioning data support a long entry at $97,070, with a stop loss at $96,000 to mitigate downside risk. If resistance at $98,869 is broken, BTC has a high probability of reaching $100,000. However, traders should monitor liquidation clusters and options expiry effects for potential volatility.
Long
by titankarma
My Insight on DOT came True! what's next?BINANCE:DOTUSDT as I expected, Dot reached the support level I mentioned before! Now I expect it ascend from here and reach around 6.3! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly. 👉 Follow me for daily updates, 💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts, 📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources! Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Long
by CRYPTONIC_trend
SHIBUSDT Price Action - Liquidity & Order Block AnalysisPremium Zone Rejection: Price is approaching a FVG (Fair Value Gap), which could act as a resistance zone. If rejection occurs, smart money may be engineering liquidity to take out lower levels. Liquidity Levels to Watch: Feb 3 High (0.000016980): A significant level where liquidity is resting. A potential raid could occur if price breaks structure to the upside. Feb 2 Low (0.000013080): A key downside liquidity pool where price may seek orders. Feb 3 Low (0.000011590): The ultimate downside draw on liquidity if price continues distributing lower. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Case: A clean break and hold above 0.000015764 could lead to a liquidity grab towards the Feb 3 High. Bearish Case: Failure to reclaim the fair value gap could send SHIB lower to test 0.000013080, possibly even targeting the Feb 3 Low.
Short
by StockSurgeonX
Bitcoin’s Incoming Bear Market!🚀 Bitcoin’s Bullish Phase: The Final Push Before the Fall? Bitcoin is currently in the parabolic uptrend phase of its halving cycle, with price action closely following historical patterns. Since the last halving on April 15, 2024, Bitcoin has mined approximately 42,480 blocks, pushing the market closer to the 70,000-block threshold where the trend historically reverses into a deep bear market. Based on historical patterns, Bitcoin’s next major bull market peak is expected around 150,000 USD, approximately 70,000 blocks post-halving (projected for August 2025). However, investors must prepare for what follows—a severe bear market fuelled by miner capitulation. 🔥The 70,000-Block Bearish Reversal: Why It Happens Every Cycle 1. The Mining Difficulty Trap & Rising Costs Bitcoin’s mining difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks (~2 weeks) to maintain the 10-minute block interval. As BTC price surges in the bull market, more miners join the network, driving competition and difficulty higher. This raises mining costs and squeezes profit margins, making it harder for smaller miners to stay afloat. ✅ Bull Market (~0-70,000 Blocks Post-Halving) High BTC prices offset increased difficulty, allowing miners to hold rather than sell. Low sell pressure from miners keeps Bitcoin in an uptrend. ❌ Bear Market (~70,000 Blocks Post-Halving) After BTC peaks, prices decline but difficulty remains high. Mining costs remain constant, while block rewards drop. Weaker miners can’t afford to mine at a loss and are forced to sell their BTC holdings to cover operational expenses. 2. The Snowball Effect: How Miner Capitulation Triggers a Crash Once inefficient miners begin selling, a chain reaction unfolds: 1️⃣ Bitcoin price starts declining after the cycle peak (~12-18 months post-halving). 2️⃣ Miners struggle to remain profitable due to high difficulty and lower block rewards. 3️⃣ Miners begin offloading BTC to cover expenses, increasing supply in the market. 4️⃣ More BTC supply leads to further price drops, triggering panic selling. 5️⃣ Additional miners shut down operations, selling off reserves, further flooding the market. 6️⃣ Capitulation accelerates, causing a cascading effect similar to leveraged liquidations seen in past bear markets. 🔄 This cycle repeats until enough miners exit, difficulty adjusts downward, and BTC stabilizes. 3. Historical Proof: How Miner Capitulation Has Marked Every Bear Market Each Bitcoin bear market aligns with major miner capitulation events. Here’s how past cycles have played out: 📌 2012 Halving: Bull top in late 2013, miner capitulation in 2014, BTC fell -80%. 📌 2016 Halving: Bull top in late 2017, miner capitulation in 2018, BTC fell -84%. 📌 2020 Halving: Bull top in late 2021, miner capitulation in 2022, BTC fell -78%. 📌 2024 Halving: Expected bull top in late 2025, miner capitulation likely in 2026?, BTC decline TBD but estimated to be around -60%. 🔹 In all cases, BTC topped ~70,000 blocks after the halving, followed by a deep drawdown driven by miner capitulation. 🔹 The selling pressure from miners perfectly aligns with the start of major market crashes. 4. The Accumulation Phase: What Follows the Crash? After miners capitulate and difficulty adjusts downward, Bitcoin enters a sideways accumulation phase (~140,000-210,000 blocks post-halving). Weaker miners have already exited, reducing sell pressure. Surviving miners adjust to lower rewards and stop mass selling BTC. Smart money (whales & institutions) begin accumulating at undervalued prices. The MVRV ratio drops below 1, signalling a market bottom. Bitcoin stabilizes, setting the stage for the next bull cycle. This predictable recovery cycle lays the groundwork for Bitcoin’s next exponential rally into the next halving period. The Bitcoin Bear Market Prediction for 2025-2026 ✅ Bitcoin is currently on track to peak near ~$150,000 around 70,000 blocks post-halving (August 2025). ✅ Following this, BTC is expected to enter its bear market, with prices potentially falling to ~$60,000 (by December 2026). ✅ The primary catalyst for this crash will be miner capitulation, just as it has been in every prior cycle. Final Thoughts If history repeats, the Bitcoin market is set to follow a sharp parabolic rise to ~$150,000 before undergoing a 70,000-block miner-driven selloff into a multi-month bear market. Investors should be aware of this pattern and plan accordingly. Sources & Data Validation The insights presented in this article are based on historical Bitcoin price cycles, on-chain analytics, and mining difficulty trends from various sources, including: Blockchain Data (Glassnode, CoinMetrics) Historical BTC Halving Data (Bitcoin Whitepaper, Blockchain Explorers) Market Analysis Reports (Messari, Arcane Research) Macroeconomic Influences (Federal Reserve Reports, Global Liquidity Cycles) Disclaimer: Not an Investment Recommendation This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Theperfectionist
10
DOMINANCE - the manipulation!The weekly chart clearly shows a confirmed breakdown of the rising wedge pattern. Everyone was waiting for a retest to buy in, expecting dominance to drop and altcoins to rally—but that never happened. Why? Because when everyone expects a move, the market does the opposite. What actually happened? -The market shocked everyone with a parabolic dominance surge to 64%. -Over $182 billion was drained from the market in just two days. -Altcoins suffered a brutal crash, with some dropping over 50%. -Most assets hit extreme lows, forcing mass panic selling at heavy losses—which we predicted a week in advance. -A sharp altcoin rebound happened the same day, while dominance dropped from 64% to 61%, stabilizing at this level. What’s next? The rising wedge pattern is still in play, but its targets won’t be hit without manipulation. I expect heavy market manipulation in the coming days, with dominance fluctuating between 60% and 63%, designed to drain traders’ portfolios—especially futures traders. The expected price action is outlined in this chart. Take a look, and you'll clearly see how manipulation operates in this market. Best regards Ceciliones🎯
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by ceciliones
22
Business CycleAll the credits to Ostium labs insights. Found here Intuition behind different indicators NFCI - NATIONAL FINANCIAL CONDITIONS INDEX Note y axis is inverted. Rising NFCI here suggests loosening of financial conditions. Btc outperform in loose conditions. DRTSCILM - NET % OF BANKS TIGHTENING LENDING STANDARDS Note y axis is inverted. This tracks changes in the willingness of banks to lend, where tightening lending standards is indicative of caution, whereas looser lending standards suggest economic confidence. Here the graph is inverted - a rise shows improving willingness to lend and a fall shows tighter lending standards. HYG Real time proxy for demand of junk bonds which is a good proxy for risk appetite in the market. Demand for junk bonds is correlated with the rest of the risk curve, with Bitcoin tending to outperform during periods of strength for HYG, and vice-versa. BAMLH0A0HYM2 - HY ICE CREDIT SPREADS Note y axis is inverted. This measures the premium demanded by investors over government bonds. As one would imagine, wider credit spreads mean that more yield is being demanded to invest in junk bonds vs safe bonds, which itself is suggestive of risk in the economy. Narrow spreads, meanwhile, are indicative of confidence. The graph is inverted such that the peaks are the tightest spread. If credit spreads are narrow, risk appetite is high, which means assets further out the risk curve benefit. This is also suggestive of expansion vs contraction in the business cycle, where widening spreads would be suggestive of downturn and narrowing spreads of continued growth. USMNO/USNMNO - US MANUFACTURING ORDERS / NON-MANUFACTURING ORDERS Manufacturing New Orders growing faster than Non-Manufacturing New Orders is generally indicative of early recovery in a business cycle, whereas late cycle dynamics are more heavily weighted towards services, largely driven by consumer spending and therefore this ratio would begin to contract, as Non-Manufacturing New Orders dominate. USBC0I - US PMI A composite of the Manufacturing and Services sectors in the US economy. Above 50 = expansion and below 50 = contraction. T10YIE - 10-YEAR INFLATION BREAKEVENS A market-based measure of average expected inflation over the next 10 years. Bitcoin likes it very much when the average expected inflation rate has bottomed and is trending higher and it generally underperforms when 10-year inflation breakevens are declining. Bitcoin also tends to front-run peaks in 10-year inflation breakevens by about 6-9 months, which in turn tend to peak after Global M2 YoY growth has peaked and is turning lower. This measure also is useful for understanding what is likely to happen to financial conditions - tighter after peaks and looser after bottoms. The clearest correlation here is not to the downside but the upside: when breakevens have bottomed out and cycle higher, Bitcoin tends to do very well indeed. DFII10 - 10-YEAR REAL YIELD Note y axis is inverted What is interesting here is that whilst there is not a strong correlation as real yields rise, there is a clearer correlation as real yields fall. Falling real yields tend to be supportive of Bitcoin, whilst rising real yields have occurred whilst BTC has outperformed and underperformed historically. This one is not as key for mapping out the market cycle, but still worth keeping an eye on.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Oxfirefist
Total DEFI to $300B? I believe that in the near future, the total DeFi market cap could reach $300 billion. 📈 ✅ Key factors driving this growth: • The rise of LSDs (Liquid Staking Derivatives) and real yield in DeFi • Increasing institutional interest in DeFi solutions • Growing liquidity as L2s integrate deeper with major blockchains • Expansion of RWA (Real-World Assets) and tokenization The chart shows a strong setup: the local support level is holding, and the upside potential is significantly greater than the downside risk. ❓ What do you think? Will we see TOTAL DEFI at $300B by the end of 2025? #DeFi #Crypto #TotalValueLocked #CryptoMarket 🚀
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALDEFILong
by egorfedorov
TradeCityPro | RAY: Key Levels and Market Scenarios Unfolding👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I’ll be reviewing the RAY coin, which belongs to the Raydium project—one of the leading DEXs on the Solana network, processing a significant volume of transactions on the chain. 📅 Weekly Timeframe On the weekly chart, we observe a strong uptrend that began at 0.162. The first leg of this rally pushed the price to 2.724, followed by a correction, and then another leg extending to 7.215. Currently, the price is consolidating near this resistance level. 🔍 The 7.215 level coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci Extension, making this a crucial Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). If this level is broken, the next bullish leg could begin, with a minimum target of 15.803. The next major resistance aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci level at 21.995. If the uptrend continues beyond this point, further targets will be identified in future analyses. 🕯 On the downside, considering the declining volume and shrinking candlestick size, the probability of a correction is notable. The first support level to watch is 2.724. Additionally, the RSI is hovering near a critical support at 58.34—if this level breaks, the likelihood of a correction increases. 🔽 The next and most significant support level is 0.94. If the price falls below this point, it could signal a shift in the high-wave cycle, leading to a significant downtrend. 📅 Daily Timeframe On the daily chart, the latest bullish leg started at 1.399 and extended to 6.363. The price is currently ranging between this resistance and the 4.352 support level, which also aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement, making it a key PRZ in this timeframe. ✨ Yesterday’s candlestick showed a sharp downward move accompanied by panic selling, followed by a recovery back toward the 6.363 resistance. 🔼 For a long position, the first breakout trigger would be 6.363, which I consider the primary trigger. The next breakout level is 8.090, but this was formed due to a fake move. If you miss the breakout above 6.363, you could consider entering upon the breakout of 8.090. 📉 However, yesterday’s volatility liquidated many long positions, causing significant fear among buyers. As a result, there are currently fewer buy orders in the support zones, which could allow the price to continue its downward move. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️ If the RSI breaks below 38.94, the probability of a corrective move increases. In such a scenario, the price could retrace to key Fibonacci levels such as 0.382, 0.5, and 0.618. A deeper correction could lead to the 2.724 support level, and if this level breaks, the market trend could turn bearish for an extended period.
Long
by tradecitypro
7
Cookie / USDT: On the verge of a Breakout above trendlineCOOKIE/USDT: On the Verge of a Breakout Above Trendline Resistance COOKIE/USDT is setting up for a major move 📈 as it nears a key trendline resistance zone 📊. After a period of tight consolidation, the conditions are aligning for a potential breakout 💥. If confirmed, we could see a strong bullish rally unfold 🚀. Stay alert and watch for confirmation before making a move. Key Insights: 1️⃣ Trendline Resistance: COOKIE/USDT is testing a significant trendline that has historically acted as a barrier. A successful breakout could trigger a sustained bullish trend. 2️⃣ Volume Surge: Watch for a spike in trading volume during the breakout to confirm strong buyer momentum 🔥. 3️⃣ Bullish Signals: Indicators like RSI and MACD are showing bullish momentum ⚡, increasing the likelihood of an upward breakout. Steps to Confirm the Breakout: ✅ Look for a clear 4H or daily candle closing above the trendline. ✅ A notable volume surge during the breakout will indicate strong buying pressure. ✅ A successful retest of the broken resistance as a new support zone adds credibility to the move. ⚠️ Be cautious of fake breakouts—wicks above the trendline without follow-through can indicate rejection. Risk Management Strategies: 🔒 Use stop-loss orders to protect your position. 🎯 Adjust your position sizing to fit your risk tolerance and strategy. This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always DYOR before making investment decisions 🔍.
Long
by Crypto-By-Ghazi