ETHUSD Break- Test- GO!!! Nothing Changed! 3rd EditionI have been warning about this for some time. Please visit my previous two posts for more info and updates.
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Cryptomarket
XRP is making moves!Will it break $3, or drop back to $2? Previous Cycles showed that a correction might be next in line for the crypto market as a whole. Which means, if it happens, altcoins will get affected a lot...Do not get shaken out, after the correction expect a huge rally, but for now...it might be a perfect point to secure some profit.
Not investment advice.
#xrp #bitcoin #crypto #short #analysis
Bitcoin Looks Ready for LiftoffBitcoin is showing a textbook bullish continuation.
After breaking out of a long-term downtrend line, CRYPTOCAP:BTC came back for a clean retest — just like it did during the last breakout phase. That previous breakout led to a massive rally, and now we're seeing a very similar setup again.
The retest around $94K held perfectly, confirming strong demand and validating the breakout. Since then, price has pushed higher with momentum, now trading above $117K.
If this pattern continues to play out like before, Bitcoin could be eyeing $130K and beyond in the coming weeks.
The structure is strong, the trend is intact, and bulls are clearly in control.
Viction Hits Bottom, 1,228% Growth Potential or HigherViction produced the highest volume ever on the 10-March week. All the other weeks have insignificant volume compared to this one and this session ended closing green. This is a strong signal.
A large part of the altcoins market produced a bottom 10-March.
Another signal that favors the bulls and the development of a bullish wave is the fact that bearish volume is very low as the market moves to produce lower lows. The final bottom happened last week and this week VICUSDT is full green.
There is a falling wedge pattern.
Seeing marketwide action and knowing the year is 2025 and we are already late for the bull market phase, we can be ready and should be prepared for maximum growth.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
[CRYPTO] - Last Pump of the BULL CYCLE is ComingWe can see a highly organised bull cycle , with each multi-month consolidation wedge followed by a major leg upward, ending in breakout and continuation.
At the moment the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL is breaking through the descending resistance again and ready to break thorough the 0.786 Fibo level as well - clear sign of the new up-rally beginning. Prior patterns (Q3 2023 and Q2 2024) led to vertical rallies , and the current structure suggests another leg may target the $6T+ zone in coming quarters.
What makes this different from past cycles is the underlying strength in Ethereum and other Altcoins. CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has started to roll off highs, while projects like CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:SUI and AI-related chains ( NYSE:FET , GETTEX:TAO , EURONEXT:RNDR ) are gaining TVL and developer traction. This is not just retail speculation—institutional capital is increasingly driving flows.
Moreover , Bitcoin ETF keeps getting huge daily inflows, the narrative of Coinbase including in S&P500 and Stablecoins velocity rising helps in spreading the crypto narrative between insituational & retail investors.
You can read more about why I expect a ton of money to inflow crypto in the next 6 - 12 months in one of the previous ideas: Again/
Overall , the chart structure, macro catalysts, and expanding adoption point toward a potential parabolic leg into late 2025 or early 2026. As long as the market holds above $3.3T, the breakout is valid and bulls are in control. The target is $5.5T —and possibly higher.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #125👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this Bitcoin analysis, I want to switch to a higher timeframe and analyze the daily chart because a very significant resistance has been broken and it’s important to take a closer look.
📅 Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, as you can see, a bullish trend started around the 80000 level and in the first leg moved up to 110183. After a prolonged correction, the price has now managed to break that previous high and begin a new bullish leg.
⚡️ As shown, volume was sharply decreasing during the correction phase, but in the past few candles, significant buying volume has entered the market, enabling the price to break above 110183.
💥 The RSI oscillator is entering the Overbuy zone in today’s candle, which could be a sign of continuation of this bullish move. The next RSI resistance is around 78.47.
🎲 Meanwhile, based on Fibonacci levels, 120140 and 134922 are key zones that could mark the end of this bullish leg. The price is currently very close to 120140, and we need to watch for the market's reaction to this level.
✅ If 120140 is broken, Bitcoin will likely head toward 134922. In that case, I believe this leg could be the final bullish leg of this bull run, since I’ve previously mentioned that my target range for Bitcoin in this cycle is between 130000 and 180000.
📊 The curved trendline I’ve drawn is very important in this leg. As long as the price remains above this trendline, the market momentum will stay bullish, and the likelihood of continued upward movement increases.
🔽 If this trendline is broken, we could see the first signal of a trend reversal. A close below 110183 would confirm that the breakout was fake, and a break below 100763 would open the door for a longer-term short position.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
btcusdtReaching this price was made available in a strong manner. 134713.16$ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Of course, there is a possibility of a temporary correction at the current price, but the target is $134,713.
#btc
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently in wave 3 of a 5 (Elliott Wave)BTC/USD experienced a halving last year on April 20, 2024. We have been seeing the typical post-halving cycle with exponential upside, followed by deep pullbacks. The price action we've seen to date follow Elliott Wave Cycle quite nicely. I believe we are in wave 3 of a bull cycle that has really been in place since Sep 2024.
- Wave 1: Sep 2024 - Jan 2025 - parabolic upside from $54K to $109K - absolutely explosive!
- Wave 2: Jan 2025 - Apr 2025 - we saw price peak and pull back all the way to the 61.8% Fibonacci level right around $75K. Remember, that in wave 2, a healthy pullback is 50% - 61.8% of the first wave.
- Wave 3: Apr 2025 - we have since rallied to around $109K as of this analysis. We are likely in subwave 3. Subwave 1 was from the low in April to the high in May (around $112K). Subwave 2 was a very nice 3-wave zig zag (reaching low of $98.3K in June). I believe we are currently in the middle of wave 3.
My next price target based on Fibonacci extension is $118K-$120K with the $78.6% level right at $119K. Note current resistance that we need to turn into support ($109.7K level) is the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level. I do expect a meaningful pullback after the peak of wave 3, which would be wave 4. The rest is TBD and I will continue to update this idea.
Remember, Elliott Wave theory is one tool in the toolbox. I do believe there is a larger post-halving cycle narrative that is dominant and most reliable, especially since BTC has largely followed this blueprint that we see every four years, but as of now EWT fits in quite nicely. I also look at the pi cycle top indicator and believe we need to use multiple indicators to understand where we are in the cycle.
BTC/USDT : Breaks Out – New Highs In Sight After Smashing $111K!By analyzing the Bitcoin (BTC) chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price has finally started to rally as expected—successfully hitting the $111,700 target and even printing a new high at $111,999 with an impressive pump.
This analysis remains valid, and we should expect new all-time highs soon.
The next bullish targets are $124,000 and $131,800.
THE WEEKLY TF ANALYSIS :
BYCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Bitcoin?
Bitcoin has broken above its descending trendline and formed a new higher high. The price is now in a consolidation phase, taking a short pause after the breakout.
We expect the bullish trend to remain intact. After a pullback to the broken trendline and some consolidation in the support zone, Bitcoin is likely to resume its upward move toward higher levels and new all-time highs.
The overall market structure remains bullish, and this consolidation phase could present a buy-the-dip opportunity.
Is Bitcoin ready for the next leg higher, or will the pullback go deeper? Share your view below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Skeptic | Why did Bitcoin grow? What’s the next move?Unemployment rate’s up...
lemme explain short and sweet. When unemployment —a key factor for setting interest rates —rises, the Federal Reserve’s got no choice but to lower rates so companies can hire. Lower rates = more liquidity = Bitcoin and stocks go up.
What’s the next move?
Around $ 120,000 , there’s about 1 billion in short liquidity positions. also it overlaps with the weekly pivot point level 4 . I see a high chance of correction or ranging here. Personally, I opened a position before the $ 110,513 breakout ( i shared in this analysis ) and only took profits. If you’re still holding, I suggest not closing yet—once the $ 110,000 resistance broke, Bitcoin’s major weekly trend woke up, so we could see more growth.
If this analysis helped you, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
DXY (USD Basket) - 3 Month - Short Squeeze In Play?Technicals:
The last 3-month candle closed above the major resistance that tends to hold according to historic levels going back to the year 1967.
Golden Cross is almost complete (50 MA crossing the 200 MA).
Fundamentals:
The dollar has only been more shorted once in history (2018), setting things up for a potential "Short Squeeze" and triggering a "Risk Off" scenario. Tends to hurt risk assets quite hard—for example, tech stocks, crypto, and other leverage plays.
A rise in the DXY could potentially trigger a "Short Squeeze" for foreign countries, companies, and investors that borrow in USD, creating "economic panic" in other countries that get their currency devalued relative to their obligations.
Countries that need USD to service their debt. With the current tariffs, the flow of dollars in the world will change. The question is: what will the effect look like in August when these tariffs start to go live? Like I mentioned before, other countries need the dollars in order to service their debt. If it gets more expensive for US consumers to import (caused by the tariffs), the exporting countries won’t get those dollars—setting it up for a buying cycle that could potentially drive the USD (DXY) higher, even to all-time highs.
Current narrative:
The narrative right now is that the USD will get "worthless," setting the stage to take more risk and use more leverage, maybe without even hedging. A surprise variable to this narrative could be devastating to the financial markets—not just in the US, but even to the world. IF/When this happens, everyone will hunt the USD once again, creating a new bullish narrative for the USD, and everyone will be forced to return to the reserve currency.
Nothing in this post should be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and analysis before investing.
ZEN/USDT Daily Chart: Accumulation Before the Big Move? Hey traders! Let’s dive into this daily ZENUSDT chart. Horizon is in a sideways accumulation phase, forming an Expanding Wedge right after a massive bullish Falling Wedge breakout.
We’re also seeing a small inverted head and shoulders at the bottom support range of $7.08-$10.08 , with the neckline at $10.08 . ZEN recently revisited this level, and a confirmed breakout could propel it toward $18.08-$28.94 , with a major target at $41.15 .
If the breakout fails, we might see a pullback to the neckline at $10.08 or the shoulder support at $8.28 .
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $18.08, $28.94, $41.15
Support: $8.28
Breakout Target: $41.15
Breakdown Risk: $8.28
Is ZEN about to skyrocket, or will this breakout fail? Let’s hear your thoughts below!
The Final Parabola: What History Says About Bitcoin’s July MovesIf you’ve been following here for a while, you know we’ve been nearly pinpoint in calling all the moves for Bitcoin. The altcoin market, not so much, but check out previous TAs to catch up on my perspective.
The two wave counts you see on the main chart have been in place for many months, I believe since around October 2024. As you can see, things have been playing out perfectly so far. The four year cycle continues to follow its path.
If the same thing happens this cycle like the last two, we should see a top sometime between October and December 2025, anywhere from 185K to 225K, followed by a cycle low somewhere around 48K in October 2026.
Bitcoin’s Julys
Every July during the 4th cycle year, Bitcoin begins its final parabolic run. This has happened without fail since the beginning of the Bitcoin Index chart. July consistently marks a major bottom, and then it's off to the races. The “only up” period that follows typically lasts 4 to 6 months and happens just once every four years like clockwork.
Here we are once again, the 4th year of the cycle, in July. Bitcoin has just hit all time highs and we've had a Hash Ribbon buy signal.
The perfect storm is brewing. Like always, the stars align in the second half of the 4th year of the Bitcoin cycle.
Time Cycles and Fibs
Looking at this time wave chart, we can see that every two waves like clockwork have marked a top. The next major wave appears to land in December 2025.
If we zoom into this smaller time wave, it has pinpointed the bottom of every small wave so far. The fact that we are once again at a bottom in July during the 4th year of the Bitcoin cycle is just another sign of the magical stars aligning.
This smaller Fibonacci sequence I’ve been tracking has already hit twice and predicted two major moves. The next dates to watch are August 2025 and January 2026.
There’s plenty of talk about an extended cycle. But during the last bull run, many traders and analysts said the same thing. In the end, Bitcoin topped out at exactly the same timeframe as the previous cycles.
If we reach the top of this model in Q4 2025, and we see a Pi Cycle Top signal along with a Mayer Multiple over 2.0, that will be our trigger.
If you've been sidelined this entire time, it's now or never. You don’t want to be the one buying in at 185K in Q4 2025 when everyone is calling for a million dollars. The time to act is now.
BTCUSDTBitcoin may be looking to complete the downward correction from the $101,000 price range to $99,000 and then begin a long-term upward trend. Pay close attention to the extent of the correction and don't give in to fear or greed.
In any case, it should go to $1300,000.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin Smashes Records, Hits $117,000Bitcoin has climbed to a new all-time high of approximately $117,000, gaining further credibility as an institutional asset class. Strong demand from ETFs, growing mainstream adoption, and a favourable stance from President Trump regarding crypto regulation are all contributing to this momentum.
As Bitcoin grows in market cap and adoption, its volatility has been slightly dampened, but it remains highly reactive at technical pivot points.
Technical View (BTC/USD):
The next resistance sits at $118,000, which also coincides with the 161% Fibonacci extension level. If price stalls here, expect potential pullbacks toward $114,000 or even down to $110,000. However, a confirmed breakout above $118,000 could re-establish a new bullish leg.
ETH ( Ethereum ) lovers looking strong for long term ETH -----Daily counts indicate Excellent bullish wave structure.
Both appear to be optimistic and this stock invalidation number (S L) wave 2 low
target short / long term are already shared as per charts
correction wave leg seems completed
Investing in declines is a smart move for short/ long-term players.
Buy in DIPS recommended
Long-term investors prepare for strong returns over the next two to five years.
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Every chart is for educational purposes.
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109K Launch Zone? Bitcoin Update Now LiveHey everyone,
Here's my latest Bitcoin analysis for you. The current price action is unfolding within an ABC corrective wave.
🔍 I've identified the optimal buy zone between 108,349 and 109,682.
📉 Once the price pulls back into this range, my limit orders will be triggered and the position will open.
🎯 In this scenario, my target level is 118,157.
Below are the exact levels for my entry, targets, and stop-loss:
- 🟩 Entry Level: 109,027
- 🟥 Stop-Loss: 105,876
- 🎯 TP1: 111,156
- 🎯 TP2: 113,607
- 🎯 TP3: 118,362
- ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.00
(This is based on a swing trade model, so reaching this level may take some time)
--------
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
Wings of Opportunity: LINK’s Harmonic Setup Unfolding🦋 Title: A Butterfly on the Edge – But Only with Confirmation
On the 2H timeframe, a Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is unfolding. The wave structure (X → A → B → C → D) aligns closely with harmonic principles, and point D lies above X, within the 1.27 to 1.618 Fibonacci extension of XA — reinforcing the pattern’s validity.
📌 No entry has been triggered yet.
We are currently waiting for price to break and hold above the key resistance at 13.60 to confirm the bullish scenario.
🔹 Bullish Scenario (our primary and preferred outlook):
Given the strong reaction around the 12.74 demand zone and the harmonic structure completion, we are primarily focused on a long opportunity, if and only if confirmation is achieved above 13.60.
📥 Entry Zone: 13.05 – 13.65
🎯 Target 1: 17.94
🎯 Target 2: 18.76
🛑 Stop-Loss: Below 12.74 (structural invalidation)
🔻 Alternative Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to break 13.60 and instead loses the 12.74 support, the bullish setup becomes invalid, and the market could enter a deeper correction phase.
Potential downside targets in that case:
📉 11.80
📉 10.90 – 10.30 (if bearish momentum continues)
📊 Risk Management Notes:
Position sizing should not exceed 1% of total capital
Avoid early entries before confirmation
Prefer partial entries after breakout and retest
Stick to the invalidation level strictly
📈 While both scenarios are on the table, we are currently favoring the bullish setup, as long as price action supports it. Discipline and patience are key — confirmation first, trade second.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin has once again failed to break above its previous high and entered a corrective phase. The price is now moving within a channel and is approaching the lower boundary of that channel.
The correction is expected to continue toward the support zone and the bottom of the channel, where we may see buying interest and a bullish reaction.
If Bitcoin breaks above the channel resistance and key supply zone, it could trigger a strong upward move and lead to new all-time highs.
Key Note:
Price action near the channel support and demand zone will be crucial. A successful rebound from this area may signal the start of the next bullish leg.
Will Bitcoin hold the channel and bounce higher, or is a deeper correction ahead? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Phemex Analysis #96: Pro Tips for Trading Ripple (XRP)Since our previous analysis on XRP , Ripple’s native token [ PHEMEX:XRPUSDT.P ] successfully broke above the significant $2.45 resistance level, subsequently establishing a higher low around $1.90 on June 22nd. Encouragingly, XRP has surged 10% over the past two days, once again decisively breaking the $2.45 barrier, and is currently trading at around $2.57.
Given XRP’s recent bullish performance and evolving market dynamics, let's explore several potential scenarios that traders should closely monitor.
Possible Scenarios
1. Continued Bullish Momentum (Breakout Scenario)
If XRP maintains its current bullish strength, it’s likely to break above its recent high at $2.65. Such a breakout would signal strong buying interest and may push the price further toward the resistance zones at $2.96 and $3.12.
Pro Tips:
Entry Strategy: Consider entering or scaling positions upon confirmation of a breakout above $2.65, supported by increased trading volume.
Profit-Taking: Strategically take partial profits as XRP approaches the next resistance levels at $2.96 and especially $3.12 to secure gains effectively.
2. Rejected by Strong Resistance Levels (Pullback Scenario)
While the recent rally is promising, broader market conditions currently exhibit limited bullish momentum, indicating caution. XRP may face strong selling pressure at resistance levels like $3.12, leading to a potential price rejection.
In this scenario, XRP could retreat to establish a higher low above the important support at $2.15.
Pro Tips:
Buying Opportunities: Long-term investors might consider gradually accumulating positions if XRP forms a confirmed higher low above the critical support zone around $2.15.
Patience: Wait for clear stabilization signs at support before increasing positions, rather than rushing entries during active retracements.
3. Consolidation within Defined Range (Neutral Scenario)
XRP might enter a period of price consolidation, oscillating between support at $1.91 and resistance at $2.65. This scenario is common when market sentiment is uncertain or awaiting clearer directional cues.
Pro Tips:
Grid Trading Strategy: Utilize grid trading bots to profit systematically from predictable range-bound price movements. Initiate Long Grid bots near support at $1.91 and Short Grid bots near resistance around $2.65.
Stop-Loss: Always set clear stop-losses outside the consolidation range, ensuring protection against unexpected breakouts or breakdowns.
Conclusion
Ripple (XRP) currently offers compelling trade opportunities across different market scenarios. By closely monitoring bullish breakout signals above $2.65, potential pullbacks toward $2.15, and consolidation opportunities within $1.91–$2.65, traders can strategically position themselves to capitalize effectively while managing risks prudently. Always maintain a disciplined approach, pay close attention to broader market trends, and carefully execute trades based on well-defined scenarios.
🔥 Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
Bitcoin Breaks Out — Major Momentum ShiftBTC/USDT has officially broken out of the descending channel it was consolidating in for over a month. The breakout was strong, clearing the horizontal resistance at $111,862, flipping it into support.
Chart Structure:
Descending channel broken to the upside
Horizontal resistance is flipped to support
Volume confirmed breakout momentum
Key Levels:
Support: $111,862 → Newly flipped support
Resistance Zones Ahead:
$116,818
$122,342
Upside Targets:
Immediate: $116,818
Extended: $122,342
Caution: Avoid FOMO. Wait for a retest near $111,800–$112,200 to confirm breakout strength.
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: 4H
Wait for confirmation before fresh entries.
DYOR | Not financial advice
#BTC #Bitcoin
