BTC Double Top Idea (2025 Q4)Not my base case but a possible scenario for a wildcard cycle with diminishing returns. While ETFs flows are adding noise, on chain metrics are still a great sanity/narrative checks. Will be looking to layer exits based on key price targets as well as time based profit taking (Q2 2025).
Key On Chain Metrics are MVRV, Puell, Value Days Destroyed (VDD), Realized Cap HODL Waves and some others.
Let me know what you think.
Cryptomarket
CRYPTO Market Cap Hits $3 trillion! Double Top!The Crypto market cap is breaking $3 trillion but it is also double topping.
Even though we may get a pullback here, I would not panic sell out. I would instead add to my BTC long position as I think it will be short-lived.
I did not post my long trade here on TV as it was only for my subscribers.
To be updated as needed.
BTC swing thesis by Titan_KarmaPrediction( investment_thesis='**News Analysis:** Currently, there is no significant news impacting the BTCUSDT pair. This lack of news suggests that the market may be driven more by technical factors and existing sentiment rather than new developments. Traders should remain vigilant for any emerging news that could influence market dynamics. **Market Sentiment Analysis:** The market sentiment for BTCUSDT is mixed, with a slight bullish inclination. The increase in long positions, particularly in the 4-hour and daily timeframes, indicates a growing confidence among traders. However, the high price level and significant trading volume suggest that the market is actively engaged, which could lead to increased volatility. Traders should be prepared for potential rapid price movements and adjust their strategies accordingly. **Technical Analysis:** The technical indicators present a mixed picture. The RSI is approaching overbought levels, and the Stochastic Oscillator indicates overbought conditions, especially in shorter timeframes. The MACD shows bearish momentum in the 1d and 1h timeframes but bullish momentum in the 4h timeframe, suggesting potential short-term volatility. The ADX indicates a strong trend in the 1d timeframe, but weaker in the 4h timeframe. The price is near the upper Bollinger Band in the 1h timeframe, indicating potential resistance. Overall, while the long-term trend is bullish, caution is advised due to short-term overbought conditions and potential resistance levels. **Fundamental Analysis:** The fundamental outlook remains positive, with a strong upward trend observed over the past few months. However, the recent consolidation around the $101,000 level suggests potential resistance. Without new fundamental developments, the market may continue to rely on technical indicators and existing sentiment to guide price movements. **Risk Management Strategy:** Given the mixed technical signals and potential for short-term volatility, a cautious approach is recommended. Set a stop-loss slightly below the recent support level to protect against downside risks. Consider taking profits if the price approaches the resistance levels, especially if overbought conditions persist. For new entries, wait for a confirmed breakout above resistance or a pullback to support for a better risk-reward ratio. **CONFIDENCE_LEVEL:** 72% The confidence level reflects the mixed technical signals and the absence of significant news, indicating a moderate-risk trade. ##**TRADE RECOMMENDATION** ```json { "OUTCOME": "HOLD_BUY", "STOP_LOSS": "$99,500.00", "TAKE_PROFIT": "$105,000.00", "CONFIDENCE_LEVEL": "72%", "EXIT_POINT": "$104,000.00", "ENTRY_CRITERIA": { "TIMEFRAME": "4h", "RSI": "below 70", "MACD": "above 0, 4h", "ATR": "0.005, 4h" }, "CURRENT_OPEN_LONG_POSITIONS": 1, "CURRENT_OPEN_SHORT_POSITIONS": 0, "OPEN_POSITION": "$101,836.11" } ```' )
WIF Long Spot Trade (Consolidation Opportunity)Market Context:
WIF is currently consolidating in a favorable zone, offering an excellent opportunity to ladder into a long spot trade. With proper risk management and a clear upward target, this setup provides strong potential for upside continuation.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Around $2.90
Take Profit Targets:
First target: $3.50
Second target: $3.90
Stop Loss: $2.50
This trade setup presents a clear structure with defined risk and reward, aligning with current market conditions.
Momentum GrowingThe crypto industry and Bitcoiners in particular will remember 2024 as a very successful year. That final bastion of TradFi acceptance, ETFs, was taken. Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have attracted more than $34 billion in inflows. Bitcoin crossed that big psychological barrier of $100,000 and is now a 6-figure asset. Total crypto market capitalization exceeded a remarkable $3.6 trillion. BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, has become the most successful ETF ever launched on the market.
But as is usual in Crypto, the journey was far from straightforward. Ethereum, and many other Altcoins, lagged behind. Solana paced ahead of other Altcoins and saw more than 300% growth. Memecoins took off. In some parts of the industry, mania took hold. Pump.fun, a platform that enables anyone with a $5 wallet and an idea to create a token in two minutes, saw 4.5 million tokens launched. The Phantom wallet, commonly used for on-the-go memecoin trading, reached top positions in the App store. A particularly low point was reached when Pump.fun temporarily launched a live-streaming feature. When things deteriorated rapidly, pump.fun had to quickly disable the feature. In the last few weeks, momentum accelerated as some of the users who had quit the market with FTX' collapse returned. The prices of 'old' coins such as XRP, Cardano and others, took off.
Traders continue to wait for possible pull-backs of BTC to the $80,000-90,000 range. But for now, momentum seems to be building and instead, Bitcoin has ranged above $100k for the longest time so far over the past 24-48 hours. More momentum could be on the way. A very crypto-friendly US administration is coming. US regulatory winds against crypto are likely to shift. All the while, interest rates are likely to drop further, leading to more available liquidity in the market.
We all know that History does not repeat but it can rhyme. Bitcoin's price cycles regularly included one year of decline followed by three years of growth. If this trend continues, then 2025 may be the last, and possibly the most explosive year of this bull-cycle. For now at least we can say: momentum is growing.
SOL / USDT :approaching trendline resistance, expecting breakoutSOL/USDT is nearing a critical trendline resistance level. The price has been consolidating recently, setting the stage for a potential breakout. If the price successfully breaks above this resistance, it could trigger a significant bullish move.
Key Points:
* Trendline Resistance: SOL/USDT is approaching a key resistance level that has previously halted upward momentum.
* Volume Surge: A significant increase in trading volume during the breakout would confirm strong buying interest.
* Momentum Indicators: Positive trends in momentum indicators like RSI and MACD suggest bullish potential.
Confirming the Breakout:
* Clear Candle Close: A decisive 4-hour or daily candle close above the trendline is crucial.
* Volume Spike: A surge in trading volume during the breakout indicates strong buying pressure.
* Retest of Resistance: A retest of the broken resistance level as support strengthens the bullish case.
Risk Management:
* Stop-Loss Orders: Implement stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
* Position Sizing: Adjust position size to align with your risk tolerance and overall trading strategy.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
XRP / USDT: Poised for a breakout as it approaches resistance XRP/USDT is poised for a potential breakout as it approaches a crucial trendline resistance zone. The price has been consolidating recently, setting the stage for a possible bullish move. If a breakout occurs, we could witness a significant upward trend.
Key insights:
* Trendline resistance: XRP/USDT is nearing a long-term trendline that has historically acted as a price ceiling. A break above this could signal the start of a strong uptrend.
* Volume surge: A substantial increase in trading volume during the breakout would confirm strong buyer interest.
* Bullish signals: Momentum indicators like RSI and MACD are trending positively, supporting the case for a bullish breakout.
Steps to confirm the breakout:
* Look for a clear 4H or daily candle closing above the trendline.
* A noticeable spike in volume during the breakout can signal strong buying activity.
* A retest of the broken resistance as a new support zone adds credibility to the move.
* Be cautious of fake breakouts, such as sharp reversals or wicks above the trendline.
Risk management strategies:
* Use stop-loss orders to manage your risk effectively.
* Ensure position sizing aligns with your overall trading strategy.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making investment decisions.
ADA/USDT 1H AnalysisADA/USDT 1H Analysis: Bullish Momentum in Play
On the 1-hour time frame, ADA has just broken out of a bullish pennant pattern, and the price is moving upward. However, there are key levels to monitor if you're holding a long position:
Black line: This level represents the Daily Point of Control (POC) and the Weekly Open, making it a critical area to watch for potential resistance.
Pink resistance zone: A significant resistance level where price action may slow or reverse.
If you're currently long, exercise caution as the price approaches these levels. Confirmation of a breakout beyond these zones could signal further upside potential.
Let me know your thoughts and feel free to share your feedback! 👍
TIA / USDT : poised for a breakout as it approaches resistance tia/usdt: poised for a breakout as it approaches trendline resistance
TIA/USDT is gearing up for an intriguing move 📈 as it holds a crucial middle support level and heads towards trendline resistance 📊. The price action suggests a potential breakout could be on the horizon 💥. If this breakout occurs, we might witness a robust bullish trend emerge 🚀. Keep a close watch 👀 on this pair and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Key insights:
1. Middle support: TIA/USDT is currently maintaining a key support level, which could provide a solid foundation for the upcoming rally.
2. Trendline resistance: The pair is nearing a significant trendline that has capped upward movements in the past. A breach above this could signal a strong upward trajectory.
3. Bullish indicators: Momentum indicators, including RSI and MACD, are showing positive trends ⚡, bolstering the case for a breakout.
Steps to confirm the breakout:
- Monitor for a clear 4H or daily candle closing above the trendline 📍.
- A notable increase in trading volume during the breakout can indicate strong buyer interest 📊.
- A retest of the broken resistance turning into a new support area will add validity to the move ✅.
- Stay alert for potential false breakouts, such as sudden reversals or wicks above the trendline ⚠️.
Risk management strategies:
- Implement stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively 🔒.
- Ensure your position sizing aligns with your overall trading strategy 🎯.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) 🔍 before making investment decisions.
$NEAR Ready to Rocket: Last Chance Before New All-Time Highs!Last chance to enter CRYPTOCAP:NEAR before new all-time highs. It's been consolidating above the mid-level for a while and has now reclaimed the previous range low.
I'm adding below $6.5 and targeting above $20, planning for a one- to two-month hold, depending on how it moves. While I still prefer NYSE:FET , this is a solid setup.
BINANCE:NEARUSDT
$NAKAUSDT - Bullish Reversal Setup - $6 in The Horizon!KUCOIN:NAKAUSDT - Bullish Reversal Setup
Weekly Chart: KUCOIN:NAKAUSDT is showing strong signs of a trend reversal and has confirmed multiple bullish triggers.
Although the monthly chart is not yet ready, we are seeing an attempt to break above the 2024 Open, which could signal a potential move upward.
I’ve entered a small position at current levels, with larger bids set between 1.45 - 1.33 in case of a retracement.
Performance of my sentiment cycle indicator (PAID)“Discover the power of the Sentiment Cycle Indicator! With its ability to pinpoint bullish and bearish trends, avoid sideways markets, and capture major market moves like 4,400 and 2,400+ points, this tool is a game-changer for traders. Don’t just take our word for it—test it yourself and see how it can enhance your trading decisions. Whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned trader, this indicator is designed to give you the edge. Start your journey to smarter trading today!”
Signal Accuracy: The green (buy) and red (sell) markers show precise entry and exit points in alignment with the sentiment cycles.
Sideways Market Filtering: The “no trading zone” effectively filters out signals during non-trending phases, preventing unnecessary trades.
$BRETT - Entry in Demand Zone, Target Above 50c$BRETT is currently in a small correction within a demand zone. Any price under 14c is a good entry point, with 12c being an excellent opportunity. If we see a drop to 12c, treat it as a gift.
Looking to sell above 50c, targeting a strong upside once the price rebounds from this zone.
$FET is the Sleeping Giant Awaiting a 5x!I've been fond of NYSE:FET , and this is one of the last chances to enter. Anything close to $1.55 is a great entry point.
Looking at the weekly and monthly charts, everything is aligned for higher prices. I've made two previous posts with different entry points, and I believe this is the last opportunity to enter before it moves up.
I plan to close this position if it closes below $1.27 on the weekly, which is just below the weekly mode. My goal is to hold this all the way to just under $10.
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December is for buying. So I think we will get a couple chances to add to it.
XRP/USDT 4-Hour AnalysisXRP/USDT 4-Hour Analysis
On the 4-hour time frame, XRP/USDT is forming a small bullish pennant pattern. Using the height of the previous leg as a projection, the first target is in the green zone 1.
To change the current structure of lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH), the price needs to form a new higher high (HH). This also requires breaking through the pink resistance zone, which is a critical level to watch.
Targets:
First target (green zone 1): $2.87
Second target (green zone 2): $3.35
It’s essential to monitor the breakout of the resistance zone and confirm bullish momentum to reach these levels.
ETH/USDT IN 15 minutes AnalysisETH/USDT 15-Minute Analysis
On the 15-minute time frame, ETH/USDT has successfully broken out of a triangle pattern, indicating potential bullish momentum. If the breakout is supported by strong volume and sustained buying pressure, we can expect the price to move toward the green target zone.
Target zone:
The green zone is the current target area, aligning with the measured move from the triangle breakout.
At this moment, it’s crucial to monitor whether the price finds support at the breakout level to confirm the continuation of the trend.