BITCOIN (BTC/USD)Bias: Bullish
This idea is based round the idea of a long ranging period, which then leads to a large push higher.
bias change
If bias was to change, then a push below 92-90k would be expected.
Unless specifically timed with a low chance of alteration by external forces, anticipating the exact timing of events is unrealistic.
Cryptomarket
February's Bitcoin Advantage: A Month Traders Can Count OnWhat Does February Tell Us?
As we zoom in on February, it stands out as one of Bitcoin's strongest months historically.
Positive Trend: Over the past 10 years, 90% of Februarys have been positive! This is one of the highest success rates across all months.
Average Return: February has delivered an impressive average gain of +15.51%, making it a standout month for traders.
Low Volatility: With a standard deviation of just 16.17, February tends to be less volatile compared to other months like March or October.
What Can Traders Expect in February 2025?
While no pattern guarantees future performance, February's strong historical record suggests a high probability of gains. Traders should watch for potential bullish setups and prepare to capitalize on upward trends. Keep an eye on broader market conditions and fundamental catalysts, as these could amplify February's seasonality advantage.
With February just around the corner, this data offers a strategic edge—don’t miss the opportunity!
Note:
Studies are for educational purposes only.
We will not be responsible for any of your Profits & Losses.
Please trade with a proper risk management strategy to avoid huge capital loss.
TRUMP #LONGThe past few days have been incredibly interesting. I already have TRUMP in my wallet, but now it’s time to take a gamble.
I see that the inauguration has passed, and TRUMP is now trading at 50% below its all-time high. There also seems to be some support forming in the $28–$33 range.
However, let’s not forget—this is pure speculation, akin to chasing fairy dust. But as the saying goes, “Third time’s the charm,” and I’m ready to make my third attempt.
Here’s the plan: I’m entering a trade with a $35 margin, using cross leverage at 20x, for a position size of $700.
Is the Tide Turning for OMNIUSDT? Key Levels and Signals to WatcThe cryptocurrency market is alive with intrigue as OMNIUSDT hovers at $9.493, a far cry from its all-time high of $33.523, marking a dramatic 71% deviation from its peak. But the story doesn’t end there. With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stabilizing near neutral at 45, the asset teeters between oversold and recovery zones. Could this be the calm before a storm?
Recent price patterns, including a "Sell Volumes Take Over," suggest a market grappling with direction but rich with opportunity. Resistance looms at $11.135 and $11.646, key battlegrounds that traders are closely eyeing for breakouts. Meanwhile, the 233-day Moving Average hints at a robust floor, offering potential support for buyers looking to capitalize on discounted prices.
So, is this your moment to seize the next big move? The market seems ripe with possibilities, but only decisive action can turn speculation into strategy. As the technical indicators align, the question lingers: are you ready to ride the wave?
Roadmap: Tracing OMNIUSDT Through the Lens of Price Patterns
1. Sell Volumes Take Over (2025-01-20 19:00 UTC)
The pattern "Sell Volumes Take Over" signaled a buy direction, closing at $10.405. The price movement showed resilience, creating a momentum of +0.89%. However, the next pattern “Increased Sell Volumes” didn’t confirm this direction, as the closing price dropped to $10.025. This suggests the trigger point wasn’t activated, and this pattern might be skipped.
2. Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-20 17:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Sell
This pattern played out effectively as the subsequent price dropped from $10.025 to $9.785 in the following “VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd.” With a -0.84% move, the pattern's bearish signal validated the sell momentum.
3. VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd (2025-01-20 10:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Sell
This pattern confirmed its bearish stance with a closing price of $9.785 and a further dip into the range of $9.516 as identified by the subsequent “Increased Buy Volumes” pattern. Despite the downtrend, the market signaled a possible reversal, indicating that sellers were losing grip.
4. Increased Buy Volumes (2025-01-20 09:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Buy
As predicted, the price shifted upward, closing at $9.864. This marked a successful trigger, supported by a movement above the $9.516 low. This confirmation established a bullish foothold, preparing for the "VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st."
5. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (2025-01-20 02:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Buy
The market responded to this signal, showcasing a confident rise to $8.717 (following a minor dip). The sequence indicated that buyers were slowly accumulating strength, aligning with the directional trigger from the previous setup.
6. Increased Sell Volumes (2025-01-19 15:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Sell
Closing at $9.846, this pattern accurately forecasted the subsequent dip below $9.62. Sellers successfully pushed the market lower, aligning with bearish projections.
7. Buy Volumes Max (2025-01-19 14:00 UTC)
Main Direction: Buy
A notable spike followed, closing at $10.084 and validating this pattern. This was the point where buyers reclaimed control, driving momentum upward.
Key Observations for Traders and Investors :
Patterns with accurate main directions provided clear entry and exit signals, reducing market noise.
The mix of "VSA Buy" and "Sell Volumes" emphasized the dynamic shifts between accumulation and distribution.
Investors should watch for sequences where confirmed directions align to spot high-probability trades.
This roadmap serves as a historical guide to the effectiveness of pattern analysis for OMNIUSDT, emphasizing actionable insights and validation techniques. For traders, recognizing these sequences can unlock significant profit potential while avoiding misleading setups. Stay tuned for more updates!
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels
When it comes to OMNIUSDT, the chart is speaking volumes. Here’s a breakdown of critical levels that traders need to keep on their radar. Remember, if these levels fail to hold, they’ll flip into resistance zones, creating headwinds for any bullish momentum.
Support Levels:
9.305 – A crucial short-term support. If it folds, expect sellers to drive the price further south.
7.900 – A deeper retrace zone that could be the last line of defense for buyers.
Resistance Levels:
11.135 – The first wall bulls need to crack to regain control.
11.646 – A tougher ceiling that could see significant sell pressure.
12.039 – Breaking this would put the market back into bull territory.
Powerful Support Levels:
12.212 – This level has historically held strong, but if breached, it’s lights out for buyers in the short term.
17.693 – A key area from a macro perspective. Losing this would signal a broader bearish shift.
24.832 – The line in the sand for long-term bulls.
Powerful Resistance Levels:
6.984 – A level that’s been tested and rejected before. If the price drops below, it’ll likely struggle to reclaim this zone.
Pro Tip for Traders:
Failing supports are not just signs of weakness—they’re prime spots for bears to set up camp. Watch for price action around these zones. If a level flips, it’s an early warning to adjust your strategy.
Stay tuned for updates, and keep these levels on lock—trading is a game of precision, and these are the keys to the next big move.
Trading Strategies Based on Rays: Optimistic and Pessimistic Scenarios
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept introduces a structured approach to trading based on Fibonacci principles and dynamic market factors. Each ray represents a potential boundary where price action signals a reversal or continuation. Here’s how to use this proprietary method for trading OMNIUSDT.
Concept of Rays
Fibonacci Rays are drawn from the start of movement patterns, adjusting dynamically with new trends or corrections. These rays act as guideposts for price movement, creating ascending and descending channels that define potential trade zones. Their interaction with price, combined with key Moving Averages and VSA patterns, signals the beginning of actionable trades.
Optimistic Scenario
Price reacts positively to Fibonacci rays, respecting support levels and initiating bullish momentum.
Initial Support Interaction: $9.305 – If price bounces from this level, the first target aligns with the next ray at $11.135.
Continuation Above Resistance: $11.135 – Break and close above this level sets the next target at $12.039.
Breakout into Powerful Resistance: $12.212 – Strong bullish momentum could aim for $17.693 as the long-term objective.
Pessimistic Scenario
Price fails to respect support levels and interacts negatively with descending rays, confirming bearish sentiment.
Initial Resistance Interaction: $11.135 – If price rejects here, the first downside target aligns with $9.305.
Break Below Key Support: $9.305 – Breach of this level points to $7.900 as the next target.
Interaction with Powerful Support: $6.984 – A deeper correction may lead to testing this key level, signaling potential capitulation.
Key Trades and Comments
Bullish Trade: From $9.305 to $11.135
Entry: Post-bounce from $9.305 and confirmation of upward movement.
Comment: Use this zone for scaling in as the first ray interaction aligns with bullish continuation.
Bearish Trade: From $11.135 to $9.305
Entry: On clear rejection from $11.135, signaling a reversal.
Comment: Ideal for short trades with tight risk management.
Breakout Trade: From $11.135 to $12.039
Entry: After a confirmed close above $11.135.
Comment: Look for a strong move to $12.039 with possible pullbacks for additional entry points.
Deep Correction Trade: From $9.305 to $7.900
Entry: If price breaks below $9.305, targeting the next ray at $7.900.
Comment: A defensive trade for bearish conditions, with strict stop-losses in place.
Long-Term Bullish Trade: From $12.212 to $17.693
Entry: After a confirmed breakout above $12.212 and sustained momentum.
Comment: This level marks a shift in market dynamics, targeting the upper ray with high confidence.
How to Use This Framework
Wait for price interaction with the rays and Moving Averages.
Enter trades only after confirmation of movement from the ray to the next predefined target.
Adjust positions dynamically as new patterns emerge, ensuring flexibility in changing market conditions.
Let’s Connect and Trade Smarter Together!
Hey traders! If you’ve made it this far, you’re already ahead of the game. Got questions or insights? Drop them right in the comments—I’d love to hear your thoughts and help fine-tune your trading strategy.
If this idea resonated with you, don’t forget to hit Boost and save it for later. This way, you can revisit and see how price action plays out according to my analysis. Watching price respect key levels and rays in real time is one of the best ways to master your trading skills!
By the way, the indicator-strategy I use, which auto-plots all these rays and levels, is a private tool. If you’d like access to it, send me a message—I’m happy to chat about how you can use it to elevate your trading game.
Need analysis for a specific asset? No problem! Whether you’re looking for a general post or a private breakdown tailored to your needs, we can make it happen. Some things I’ll gladly share publicly, while other ideas can stay exclusive—just let me know what works for you.
And here’s the best part: these rays work on all assets. If there’s a particular one you’re trading, comment below with the ticker and your thoughts. I’ll prioritize requests with Boosts, so don’t forget to show some love!
Finally, make sure you follow me here on TradingView. This is where all my best ideas and strategies land first. Together, we can navigate the markets with clarity and confidence. Let’s trade smart—looking forward to connecting with you all! 🚀
Bitcoin - Lofty Promises, Disturbing Results: My Crypto Journey.I make no claim to know where Bitcoin is headed. All I know is my opinion on it, and my feelings about cryptocurrencies in general, especially how they've evolved over the years. My sense continues to tell me that things are very wrong with crypto, and that eventually it's going to fade into the uncomfortable past, a kind of failed experiment. Back in 2022, I thought that if it gets bigger and bigger, it's a general symptom of wealth concentration, exploitation, and mass delusion. I don't think this technology is beneficial to society, as it extracts both attention and resources from its participants. Unless, of course, you can manage to be one of those who profits and then turns their profits into material wealth and/or positive change.
Looking at my own personal timeline for my sentiment about crypto, let's see how I ended up here:
November, 2017 : I am out of college for over a year now. I've been working a tough sales job for a year and I'm beginning to get burned out. I hear about Bitcoin from a friend. "if you buy in at $10K, sell at $20k and double your money." I then learn about Bitcoin and think, well, things are pretty bleak in the world right now. I don't know what I'm doing with my life. What if the banks collapse and I'm left with nothing? Bitcoin seems like a viable alternative. I buy out of fear, around $13.8k. Then, I see my value go up. Greed takes over. I go down a rabbit hole, learning about altcoins such as XRP, XLM, and LTC. Even XRB, which later becomes Nano. What if any of these becomes the next Bitcoin?
January, 2018: I think that I should have just cashed out. I must have bought the top. But, what if it all comes back even stronger? I could be rich. I pull out part of my initial investment and watch the rest continue to spiral downwards. I quit my job out of burnout.
May, 2018: Bitcoin continues to make lower highs. I start working that crazy sales job again part-time, as I need the money while the bear market persists.
December, 2018: All hope seems lost. I quit my sales job, again out of burnout and deciding I don't want to do this the rest of my life. I'm 25 years old. Then, I decide to look for reasons price might go up again, which would also then save me from having to go back to work again. I could just be an artist full time. I get into TA, thinking that it's kind of like art. Instead of working on my actual art or writing as much as I want to, I create all sorts of trendlines and other visual and fundamental reasons crypto could come back even stronger than before. I prepare. I buy ETH around $100. I'm now posting regularly on TradingView. I start figuring out which coins I want to load up on for the next bull run.
April, 2019: The market is back. I'm pretty sure the bottom is in. I'm gonna make it. I continue to post about various cryptocurrencies on tradingview, although I begin to feel worried about altcoins. Will they survive through the next cycle?
October, 2019: The market is volatile. Bitcoin finally hits $10K again, though there's something strange going on. Is price being manipulated?
February, 2020: Things are starting to feel precarious. ETH has done better now, boosting my portfolio back towards break even for the first time. The COVID crash is immanent. I've decided on a career to pursue.
March, 2020: Panic. Markets are screwed. I'm going down with the ship. I'm too scared to buy more because everything feels apocalyptic.
September, 2020: I begin grad school. While working mostly from home and attending classes remotely, I have a lot of time on my hands to post crypto analysis. I want to invest more, but I have very little income as a student. I feel that price is about to explode upwards. However, in grad school I'm also learning a lot about systems and becoming more and more skeptical about whether crypto would bring about any positive change to financial systems.
February, 2021: ETH has broken all-time high. I'm in significant profit. I'm checking my portfolio all the time. Will the altcoins rally soon?
Spring - Summer 2021: There's a huge amount of dumping. What's going on here? Why does Elon Musk have so much influence over this market? I thought it was supposed to be decentralized. Tweets are having a huge effect on the market. Should I sell? No, I think it's just a correction. I'm right, at least for now.
December, 2021: I'm feeling pretty bullish. Bitcoin made a significant new all-time high. But, something is tingling underneath my skin. I can't quite shake it. What's going on with this LUNA coin? A number of things are starting to unravel in my mind. For example, El Salvador recently made Bitcoin legal tender, but the response was very tepid. It's not seeming very practical at all. If it's not a viable currency, then what is it? I think about Elon Musk. I think about Michael Saylor and his defrauding of investors during the dotcom boom. I allow the cognitive dissonance I've been experiencing completely take over.
January - February, 2022: My feelings culminate. I decide to let go of all my crypto, realizing that it's not playing out ideally how I'd hoped. Plus, I'm in significant profit now. The forces that have taken advantage and control in traditional markets and the broader economy have latched themselves onto the cryptocurrency market, where investors are easily exploitable. The Super Bowl happens. Crypto starts to feel more and more like a joke. Who is really profiting from all this? NFT's are also irking me.
May, 2022: I finish grad school. Terra LUNA collapses, shortly after I speculated it would. For the rest of the year, I feel validated in my feelings about crypto. FTX collapses later that year, and although in hindsight it marked the bottom of the bear market, I'm hopeful that people will stay far away from this market in years to come. I am optimistic about my own financial future, as I now have a stable career. Later in the year, I make some money day trading, but I eventually stop since it's distracting me from my work.
July, 2023: I continue with my new career in the mental health field. I'm 30 years old. XRP was deemed not a security when sold to retail investors, but a security when sold to initial institutional investors. I am disappointed in this outcome, as I disagree and believe many altcoins like XRP are clear securities. I'm glad to be paying less attention to the crypto market.
January, 2024: Against my speculation and to my disappointment, Bitcoin ETF's are approved. I stubbornly stay away from the market, believing the ETFs to be another cash grab and an opportunity for existing holders to cash out, particularly those whales who have been on the stablecoin side of things - the orchestrators behind USDD, USDT, etcetera.
August, 2024: Ripple is only fined a tiny fraction of the initial request by the SEC for selling unlicensed securities. This opens the floodgates for money to pour back into altcoins, and for more ETFs to eventually be created.
November, 2024: Bitcoin finally makes a significant new all-time high after Trump is re-elected. It had been consolidating for much of the year, seeming at times that it would break down and not push past its previous high.
January, 2025: Trump is back in office. There's volatility across the market. Many are hopeful that his presidency will bear fruit for crypto holders. Meanwhile, he creates his own meme tokens and profits enormously from them, not unlike the numerous crypto grifters from years past, the grifters that took hold of the market and told me to stay away. I feel upset that price went against my speculation, though also vindicated. Crypto is exactly what I realized it was. My opinion has not changed. It's just another bulky asset, though one where the corruption is far more transparent than it is in the world of traditional finance. Even though it's there for all to see, not much is being done about it. Typical, really, of this current era of deregulation and apathy. Michael Saylor continues to hoard more and more. It's just the plaything of the wealthy now. It's what some people always wanted Bitcoin to become, but the antithesis of what many thought it represented.
I'm happy with my career, and I feel good knowing I invested in myself and did not continue to chase cryptocurrencies. After all, it's better to be able to generate capital myself than wait for someone else to do it for me. It's a more certain future for me, with much less speculation. I'm also able to pay off everything from grad school with my profits from the last bull market.
Bitcoin active addresses have not grown since 2017. studio.glassnode.com
It is hoarding, and hoarding through custodians. Plus, those who were already into it just kept buying. A few left entirely. And a few wealthy players began accumulating.
Now for a little TA:
This is the structure I'm looking at for Bitcoin. Failure to push back above that orange trendline has resulted in a rejection so far. This chart should give an idea as to the various extremes price can take over the coming days/weeks:
This is the longer term BLX chart, showing diminishing returns curved trendlines. If Bitcoin continues to follow this shape, the peak could be limited to $160-170K if reached this year. That is, if it has not already hit the top.
The bottom of this structure is comfortably at a major level - near $30k.
This bullish structure would need to break down to confirm a bearish period:
Right now, the chart LOOKS bullish, but it's important to pay attention to the other signals, the other things going on behind the scenes. Public perception is important as well. The monthly chart appears bullish until the 9 EMA (near $80k now) is lost. The ultimate oscillator continues to show a longer term bearish divergence:
The weekly chart can look like a tweezer top with a failed high if price cannot push back above $108k later this week.
If that push up is successful, I think price can rally up towards $160k before profit taking begins in real earnest again.
Let's see what happens!
Thank you for going on this journey with me, especially if you've followed me since the earlier days. As always, this post represents my personal opinion and is in no way intended as financial advice.
-Victor Cobra
$WIFUSDT: Third and Final Entry – Aiming for 4.8!Entries below 1.3 are welcomed. This is my third and final entry at these levels.
Aiming for a move towards 4.8, as we're currently in a ranging scenario.
Accumulating at range lows and watching for a breakout at the range highs if the mid-level is reclaimed. Above $3, $4.8 is an easy target.
Planning to accumulate through the end of January and into mid-February.
BINANCE:WIFUSDT still alive, in my opinion.
$CAT on Sale: Eyes on the 0.00003 Test!Excited for lower prices on $CATUSDT.
This looks similar to previous price actions on other coins, like MEW before it expanded.
I want to see this test the 0.00003 area before any reaction. Any bids within the two orange lines are welcome, as long as the price doesn't make new lows.
The weekly trend is still intact, and that’s the area where I expect to see some support on this chart.
Solana - Pay Very Close Attention Now!Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) is perfectly rejecting the all time high:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we saw the creation of the previous all time high back in 2021, Solana just recently actually broke above the major resistance and is now retesting this new support area. So far we are seeing the perfect break and retest and new all time highs will simply follow.
Levels to watch: $200, $500
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Crypto Alpha Report - January 20, 2025Happy Monday, friends! It’s Trump’s Inauguration Day, and the markets are exploding. Let’s dive in and see how far we can go.
Over the past week, we’ve seen a complete flip of ETF inflows. A clear trend has been established; while it seemed that many were fading the market in anticipation of today, that sentiment appears to have flipped moving into the end of last week.
While Trump’s inauguration was initially seen as a ‘Sell the News’ event, it’s now being viewed as a ‘Buy the News’ event. Primarily for Bitcoin, I believe much of this hinges on the possibility of Trump signing an Executive Order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
Bitcoin has now broken out of its consolidation wedge formation, and with three strong days of ETF inflows, I favor a spot Bitcoin long position.
Ultimately, price is unfolding as we have expected throughout all of January. We anticipated prices rising following a dovish inflation print; we expected price to pump into Trump’s inauguration. Moving forward, we expect some headwinds into January’s FOMC on the 29th, where I expect Powell to remain hawkish on inflation.
However, I’m now less concerned with the market reversing in any significant way following that, and I am more confident about the rally continuing. Ethereum is concerning, and I might parlay my ETH positions into short calls or another play as activity on ETH continues to drop.
Ultimately, market structure and flow suggest a continuation of this rally. At the same time, catalysts, depending on what Trump signs into action today, could significantly ignite pumps moving into the end of January.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Key Technical UpdateCurrent Price Action:
Bitcoin is testing a critical breakout point from a rectangle continuation pattern. If the breakout occurs, the next target range is $115,000–$120,000.
The bullish trend remains intact, supported by the formation of a higher low on January 13, and the strong support zone between $90,000–$92,000.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
$90,000–$92,000: This support zone has proven crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. As long as Bitcoin stays above this level, the market remains bullish.
Resistance:
$115,000–$120,000: This is the immediate target range if the breakout from the rectangle pattern confirms. A successful move into this zone would signal continued bullish strength.
Market Implications:
A successful breakout would likely push Bitcoin toward new all-time highs, further confirming the strength of the bullish trend.
Support at $90,000–$92,000 needs to hold for continued upside. A drop below this zone would challenge the bullish structure and necessitate a reevaluation of the trend.
Outlook:
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the upper boundary of the rectangle pattern would trigger a rally toward $115,000–$120,000, with new all-time highs likely.
Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold $90,000–$92,000 could lead to a deeper pullback, challenging key levels and potentially signaling a trend reversal.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is at a critical point. A confirmed breakout from the rectangle continuation pattern would open the door to significant upside, with a potential move toward $115,000–$120,000. As long as $90,000–$92,000 holds as support, the bullish outlook remains strong.
BTC Price & Market Overview 1. Price & Market Overview
BTC Price: Trading between $108,550 and $108,600, up +3.5% in the past 24 hours.
Intraday high: ~$109,588, reflecting strong upward momentum from ~$100k earlier this week.
Market Sentiment:
Fear & Greed Index: 76 (still in "Greed," slightly down by -1.3% from the previous day).
Bitcoin Dominance: 57.54% (+0.05%), maintaining a strong position in the crypto market.
Macro Context:
Gold Futures: +0.29% ($2709.31), indicating slight risk-hedge interest.
USD Index (DXY): -0.28% (108.900), a weaker USD favors risk-on assets like BTC.
2. On-Chain & Spot Flows
Exchange Balances:
~1.81M BTC on exchanges, down -0.06%, consistent with long-term outflows but no dramatic changes.
Spot Flows:
Moderate net outflows over the last 8–12 hours suggest potential accumulation off-exchange.
Implication: Reduced exchange balances decrease immediate selling pressure, supporting price increases if demand holds steady.
3. Derivatives Overview
Open Interest (OI):
$153.81B (+2.14%), indicating strong trader interest as prices climb.
Futures Volume (24h):
$550.56B (+77.71%), a sharp increase, often linked to significant price movements like short squeezes.
24h Liquidations:
$1.05B (+83.93%), reflecting a wave of short liquidations above $105k–$107k.
Funding Rates:
Generally positive (e.g., Binance BTC/USDT ~0.0308%), reflecting a net-long bias.
Extremely high funding could signal an overheated market and precede a correction.
CME Futures:
OI: $20.79B (+3.82%), highlighting institutional trader interest. Watch for weekend-related gaps causing volatility upon reopening.
4. Technical Indicators
Price Action:
BTC broke above $105k resistance, surging toward ~$109k.
Consolidating near $108.5k, with next key resistance at $110k.
MACD: Bullish crossover with a positive histogram (~706.79 on 1h), signaling strong upward momentum.
RSI: In the 66–68 range, nearing overbought levels but not extreme.
Bollinger Bands: Price near the upper band, suggesting a possible short-term pullback or consolidation after rapid gains.
5. Notable Events & Highlights
Short Squeeze:
Massive liquidations of short positions (10x–25x leverage) above $105k–$107k fueled the rally.
CME Futures Risk:
Weekend gaps may lead to volatility when traditional markets reopen on Monday.
Regulatory News:
No immediate developments, but speculation around favorable policies or interventions continues to influence sentiment.
6. Likely Scenarios (Next ~12–24 Hours)
Continuation to $110k+ (~40% Probability):
Sustained bullish momentum and high volume could drive BTC to test or break $110k.
Sideways Consolidation (~35% Probability):
BTC consolidates between $106k and $109k, digesting recent gains.
Pullback/Correction (~25% Probability):
Profit-taking or market cooling pushes BTC toward $105k or $103k.
Watch for negative funding or large exchange inflows as warning signs.
7. Overall Confidence Level
Market Bias: Moderately Bullish (~60% confidence).
Upside Drivers: Positive funding rates, high volume, and continued short liquidations.
Risks: Overbought RSI, CME gap risk, potential profit-taking near $110k.
Final Note
Monitor $110k resistance closely for a breakout or rejection. Pay attention to liquidation clusters, funding rate spikes, and any significant exchange inflows. A decisive move above $110k could trigger another wave of liquidations, while a failure could lead to a pullback. Maintain disciplined risk management practices.
Trump Inauguration - To the Moon or Sell the News?Crypto Market Cap Nears ATH – Is Another Sell-Off Brewing? 🚀
The total cryptocurrency market cap is currently sitting at $3.62 trillion, inching closer to its all-time high of $3.73 trillion. Bitcoin has been leading the charge, smashing its ATH with renewed bullish momentum. However, recent patterns suggest caution—sell-offs have often followed Bitcoin breakouts this cycle, as traders lock in profits.
Altcoins have also been making headlines. Solana (SOL) has seen an impressive rise, solidifying its place in the top crypto rankings. Meanwhile, the newly hyped Trump Coin has debuted on Robinhood, sparking interest and controversy alike.
With the market cap on the verge of breaking records, it’s a crucial moment to keep an eye on key support and resistance levels. Will we see another sell-off, or is this the start of the next leg up? Our best guess? Some choppinenss around the corner but ultimately the most bullish crypto administration ever will bring in the ATHs! 🚀
Join the discussion below and let’s navigate this market together! 🚀💸
BTC at major Resistance Zone? Will it drop to 102,100 $?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading in a robust resistance zone that aligns with prior price rejections and key supply levels. This area has in the past attracted strong selling interest, making it a critical point to watch.
If bearish confirmation appears, such as strong upper wicks or bearish candlestick patterns, I anticipate a move toward 102,100. Conversely, a break above this level could signal further upside and invalidate the bearish setup.
Traders should carefully evaluate price action at this zone before entering positions. Do you see this playing out similarly?
Let’s discuss in the comments below!
#ETH forming an Inv H&S 1WETH has been forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern since Mar '24. It tagged and has clearly formed a shoulder pattern/line and tagged it on May '24 and again in Dec. '24. When measured from head to shoulder, we show a possibility of an 88.37% increase in price. Target: $7487.
Alikze »» DOGE|Ascending channel - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 1D
📣 BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
🟢 It is moving in an ascending channel that has had positive reactions to the trend line several times.
🟢 It is currently in the important area of 39 cents. If the price can stabilize above the 39 range, it can touch the nearby targets of 43 and 48 cents.
🟢 Therefore, by stabilizing in the 39 cents area, it will be able to break the supply area for the mentioned nearby targets.
💎 BINANCE:DOGEUSDT in the weekly timeframe:
💎Considering that in the weekly timeframe, Dogecoin has succeeded in breaking the triangle density, therefore, Dogecoin can continue its growth in this upward rally to the height of the triangle, which this growth from the golden area of the previous wave can touch the target of the previous major ceiling and the $ 1.2 range.
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TradeCityPro | SEI: Tracing the Ascending Trend Lines👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, I'm going to delve into the SEI coin, with an examination across weekly, daily, and 4-hour timeframes.
📅 Weekly Timeframe: Approaching the Ascending Trend Line
In the weekly timeframe, we are witnessing a strong upward trend that has moved up to 0.9856, then retraced to the support at 0.2477, forming an ascending trend line. Currently, after reaching a high of 0.6957, it has pulled back to this trend line.
📊 The market volume is currently in favor of buyers and the upward trend, with the price maintaining a bullish nature. If it breaks and consolidates above the resistance at 0.9856, a significant upward momentum will enter the market, likely pushing the price to set new ATHs.
🚀 For higher targets for a new ATH, it's best to wait until the price first breaks the ceiling of 0.9856 and then determine the significant ranges based on the corrections made.
📉 If the trend line breaks, the first trigger for a potential breakdown would be at 0.3423, considered a risky trigger in this timeframe, and the main downtrend will begin after breaking 0.2477. This could even lead the price to drop as low as 0.1026.
📅 Daily Timeframe: Ready to Move
In this timeframe, as seen, the price has reacted to the weekly trend line, piercing through it in today’s candle and rising from the support at 0.3642. This area is a significant support level and has previously seen a robust upward trend to 0.7082 after a fake breakout.
🧩 Currently, the volume of the last bearish leg is decreasing, and with the appropriate bullish momentum entering, the price could be supported again from this area. The first trigger for a breakout would be 0.4714, and breaking the 50 in the RSI would confirm the entry of bullish momentum.
📉 If the trend line and the 0.3642 support break, bearish momentum could enter the market, potentially driving the price towards the 0.2615 support. Since the selling volume is decreasing, it’s challenging to determine a definite bearish target, so it’s better to wait for a clear bearish momentum to see how low the price could go after breaking 0.3642.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Futures Triggers This timeframe shows a descending channel that isn’t very clean, with the price having already made a fake breakout at the bottom. Currently, the price hasn’t reached the top of the box and is pulling back to the mid-line of the channel after reaching the box’s bottom again.
✨ For short positions, there appears to be more momentum in the market, and the trigger for this position is at 0.3697. However, this support isn’t precisely determined yet, so it's better to wait for the price to reach this area again and react before setting a new definite support level. The next trigger would be at 0.3365, with a break of 30 in the RSI serving as a good confirmation.
📈 For long positions, it’s advisable to wait until the price breaks the channel and bullish momentum enters the market. The first trigger for a long position would be breaking the resistance at 0.4738. However, if you wish to take a riskier position within the channel, breaking the trigger at 0.4233 could be appropriate.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Alikze »» LINK| Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D
📣 BINANCE:LINKUSDT currency on the daily timeframe touched its targets in accordance with the analysis presented earlier, the scenario of the first of 3 bullish waves.
🟢 Chainlink touched its target after breaking out of the short-term descending channel.
🟢 It is currently in the supply zone on the daily and weekly timeframes.
💎Given the bullish momentum, this bullish leg, after breaking the supply zone, will have the ability to grow to the large supply zone of $60-$100.
💎In the first step after breaking the supply zone, the target will be $38 and $55.
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Alikze »» ETC | Scenario 3 or C bullish - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Scenario of wave 3 or C in the ascending channel
BINANCE:ETCUSDT In the daily timeframe, according to the analysis presented earlier , it encountered demand after reaching the Buyer zone, which led to the breakdown of the descending channel and the touch of the target of $25.
- Currently, after exiting the congestion, it is moving within an ascending channel, which is currently at the ceiling of the first channel.
💎 In case of correction, at the ceiling of the first ascending channel, it can encounter demand in the middle range of the channel or the OB zone and continue its growth to the ceiling of the second channel.
⚠️ In addition, in the bullish scenario, the Invalidation LVL zone should not be touched. ⚠️
💎In case of touching the mentioned zone, the currency's movement path should be reviewed and updated again.
Bull Flag on BTC Daily!!!The cryptocurrency market is once again at the edge of a seismic shift. Following the recent uptrend, Bitcoin (BTC) has established a formidable Bull Flag on the daily chart. By utilizing a trend-based Fibonacci extension on top of the current Bull Flag, we can identify the coveted 'golden pocket' positioned at $126,000, with the subsequent target level at an impressive $185,000.
If historical patterns hold true, this year is set to be another record-breaking period for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Investors and enthusiasts alike should prepare for a potentially parabolic movement. Fasten your seat belts, an exciting journey awaits.