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Price & Market overview current of BTCKey Insights from the Data: 1. Price & Market Overview BTC Price: Trading between $102,900 and $103,000, down ~1.1% from recent highs ($104k+). Market Sentiment: Fear & Greed Index at 77 (+2.67%), reflecting a strong "Greed" sentiment. Bitcoin Dominance at 57.04% (+1.15%), indicating BTC's growing market share. Macro Environment: Gold Futures: Down -0.48% ($2701.55), showing minor weakness. USD Index (DXY): +0.35% (109.200), a mild headwind for risk assets like BTC. 2. On-Chain Metrics Exchange BTC Balances: ~1.81M BTC on exchanges, slightly down (-0.06%), indicating ongoing outflows. BTC Spot Inflows/Outflows: Recent net outflows totaling ~$221M over 4–6 hours suggest reduced selling pressure. Implication: Fewer BTC on exchanges reduces immediate sell pressure but doesn't guarantee price increases if sentiment weakens. 3. Derivatives Overview Open Interest (OI): $147.74B (+1.41%), showing new positions are being opened. Funding Rates: Binance BTC/USDT: ~0.0100% (mildly positive, bullish tilt). OKX BTC/USDT: ~0.0114% (similar trend). Liquidations: 24h Liquidations: $484.49M (+45.89%), reflecting increased volatility. Long/Short Ratios: Binance Traders: 1.64 (net-long), but sentiment is weakening. OKX Accounts: 0.66 (net-short), showing mixed market views across platforms. 4. Technical Indicators Price Action: BTC corrected from $104.6k to ~$102.3k and struggles to reclaim $103.5k. Moving Averages: 1h 50 MA ($103.6k): BTC below this level; bearish pressure persists. 1h 200 MA ($101.8k): Key support if downward pressure intensifies. Momentum Oscillators: MACD: Strongly negative histogram (-333), indicating bearish momentum. RSI: ~48–50, teetering around neutral, with potential bearish confirmation below 45. Volatility Indicators: Bollinger Bands: Price in the lower half, signaling a slight downward bias. 5. Likely Scenarios (Next 12–24 Hours) Bearish Continuation (~40% Probability): BTC fails to reclaim $103.5k, falling toward $101.8k–$102k (200 MA). Potential for further downside to $100k if selling accelerates. Neutral Range (~35% Probability): BTC consolidates between $102k and $103.5k with subdued volume. Bullish Recovery (~25% Probability): Buyers push BTC above $103.5k, potentially retesting $104.5k–$105k. 6. Confidence Level Moderately Bearish (~55%) due to: Negative MACD, struggles to break above short-term MAs, and rising liquidation volumes. Macro bullish factors (high greed index, long-term outflows) provide a supportive backdrop, but immediate technical signals remain weak. Final Recommendations Monitor $103.5k for potential recovery or rejection. Watch for high-volume breaks below $101.8k, which could trigger further downside. Stay cautious of sudden volatility spikes due to increased liquidations and mixed sentiment across derivatives platforms.
by titankarma
TradeCityPro | LDOUSDT Identifying a Re-Entry Point for Buying👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s analyze LDO again, which I uploaded for you before the New Year, and review the triggers we had set. Thanks to TradingView for choosing that analysis as an Editor's Pick! Scroll Down to Check Out the Analytical Chart as Well! 🌐 Overview Bitcoin As always, before starting the altcoin analysis, we take a look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. All our entry triggers have been activated, and we currently hold a position from our primary trigger at 95554. I personally moved the stop-loss to the entry point. Bitcoin dominance also increased with this move, which is excellent news. Personally, I believe we might see Bitcoin registering a new ATH with its dominance rising. It feels like Bitcoin could reach around $115,000, and then we’ll see an altcoin season. 🕵️‍♂️ Previous Analysis Updating our previous analysis, we provided a spot-buy entry point for this coin with a breakout at 1.345. This trigger was activated, and currently, we are up by about 50%. For now, I suggest holding your position, and even if your stop-loss is hit, continue staying with it. 📊 Weekly Timeframe We are still within our long-term range box and transitioning from smaller boxes to larger ones. For weekly timeframe buying, the logical and safe trigger is at 2.553, and you can confirm the breakout with an increase in volume. Set your stop-loss below 0.935. For selling, the most logical and prudent exit would be below 0.935. Until then, I will continue to hold this coin and search for new entry triggers. 📈 Daily Timeframe In the previous analysis, we were in the daily box ranging between 0.909 and 1.361. For spot buying, we provided a trigger with a breakout at 1.361. Personally, I purchased at this breakout and am currently holding the coin, being 50% up in profit. At present, this coin, like other coins in our market category, is one of those altcoins trading above its daily range after a breakout. This is a good sign. Moreover, several pullbacks to the 1.361 support level with rapid upward reversals indicate strong buyer presence. We already have a spot-buy trigger, but for those looking for a new one, a risky entry can be made after breaking 2.096, while a safer entry can be made after breaking 2.44, setting your stop-loss at 1.361. ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe After hitting 1.395 and breaking the 1.68 long trigger, the price moved toward the 2.096 resistance and is currently below this daily resistance. 📈 Long Position Trigger instead of entering a spot buy at 2.096, I would open a futures position with a breakout at this trigger and later use the futures profit to buy spot positions with a breakout above 2.44. 📉 Short Position Trigger currently, I am not searching for short positions in this market. However, if Bitcoin changes its trend, we will revisit and analyze the possibilities together. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
6
TradeCityPro | OKB: Uptrend in HWC with Fresh Bullish Momentum👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, I want to examine the coin OKB, the official cryptocurrency of the OKX exchange, one of the world's largest exchanges. Currently, with $4 billion in daily spot trading volume and $34 billion in futures, it ranks fourth among crypto exchanges globally. 📅 Weekly Timeframe: Long-Term Ascending Structure In the weekly timeframe, we are witnessing a long-term uptrend in a High Wave Cycle (HWC), which has been evident since the coin's launch, moving within an ascending channel. Initially, the price moved to a resistance at $33.45, and after breaking this level, it created a new high at $67.87 and has pulled back to $33.45 once. 🔍 Currently, the price is in a range between $33.45 and $67.87. After reaching $33.45, this area aligned with the channel's lower trend line, and considering the proximity to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, it formed a very strong Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), propelling the price upward again. The price is now moving towards $67.87, a strong supply area and the coin's all-time high (ATH) resistance. 🚀 If this area is broken, the price could potentially move towards $110 and $230, targets based on Fibonacci levels. With a market cap of $3.5 billion, if this project enters the top 20 and pushes its market cap above $10 billion, these targets could be easily reached. Entry into overbuy conditions on the RSI could assist in reaching these targets. 🔽 If the price corrects further and breaks below $33.45, the next areas would be the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels. However, if $33.45 is broken, it could introduce a strong bearish momentum into the market, possibly turning the HWC into a bearish trend. 📅 Daily Timeframe: Reintroduction of Bullish Momentum In the daily timeframe, we are observing a momentum shift starting from the price reaction at $33.45. After breaking $43.33, more volume and momentum entered the market, and the price has since pulled back to the SMA99 twice. 👀 Today’s candle is a large green one, approximately 20% in size, reaching up to resistance at $62.01. If the RSI enters overbuy conditions and $62.01 is broken, the price could move towards $72.68. If this resistance is also broken, as mentioned, the price could register new ATHs. In addition to the targets outlined in the weekly timeframe, the middle line of the ascending channel could serve as a new target. 🧩 For now, I see no signs of a trend reversal and suggest if you hold this coin and are in profit, keep it as long as the price stays above the channel's lower line. A break below 50 on the RSI could increase the likelihood of this scenario unfolding. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Futures Triggers I've discussed various scenarios in higher timeframes, and in this timeframe, I want to outline just the futures triggers. 🔼 For long positions, first, I must note that since the RSI is in overbuy territory, I personally prefer not to open a long position and wait until this oscillator returns to a normal range. Then, wait for the price to stabilize above $60.67 before opening your position, with a potential target of $72.68. 🔽 For short positions, I recommend not opening a short on this coin due to the clearly bullish trend seen in the weekly and daily timeframes. If you insist on shorting, breaking supports at $51.30 and $45.21 could serve as triggers, but as mentioned, I will not be joining you in this as it goes against the main market trend. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
5
BITCOIN PREDICTION - BTC GAME PLANI’d like to share my plan for BTC with you guys. We’ve recently broken the bullish trendline that had been supporting the price for a while and maintaining the uptrend. This break occurred with strong momentum, which I consider a bearish signal. However, there’s still a larger bullish daily trendline just below us. I expect a strong momentum push up from that level, so the current situation isn’t a major concern for me. Here’s my outlook: I anticipate a run on the equal lows just below the current price. This move should provide enough energy for the price to push up and retest the recently broken trendline. That retest is likely to confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. If we fail to break above the trendline with momentum, I expect the price to fall below the December 5th wick and then get rejected. This phase may create a ranging environment, potentially building momentum for altcoins. Eventually, I anticipate testing the daily HTF bullish trendline, which should provide a strong rejection and begin the journey to new all-time highs. This is my game plan based on my experience, and I’ll be monitoring the price closely to adapt if needed. Key Notes: I expect early January to bring strong bullish momentum across all crypto markets. For now, we’re in a choppy zone. If BTC breaks back above the trendline we just lost, I’d expect the price to reach $99,500 and likely face rejection there. Breaking above $100K would strongly signal a bullish trend. I’ll then watch closely for any rejection at the marked blue line and purple zone on the chart. This is how I’m approaching the market. Manage your risk accordingly!
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
Alikze »» MOVR | Supercycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Super cycle Bullish Wave 3 or C Scenario - 1D 📣 MEXC:MOVRUSDT currency has encountered demand after a zigzag correction in the 3.61 range, which has had a rapid upward rally 🟢 After that, the price has had a double complex zigzag correction to the origin of the third upward wave. 🟢 Again, in the origin of the third movement, with a three-wave movement, it has encountered demand again in the area of ​​the bottom of the ascending channel. 🟢 Currently, selling pressure is also observed in the ceiling of the ascending channel and the supply area. 💎 If this correction is broken in the form of a zigzag to the minor ceiling, it can be extended to the minor ceiling. It can again encounter demand and an upward rally to the minor ceiling of the previous rally. 💎 Depending on the momentum, this cycle can be a super cycle wave 3 or C to touch the red box area. ⚠️In addition, if the area touches the bottom of the previous wave, the bullish scenario is invalidated and should be re-examined and updated.⚠️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea 💡 with a LIKE 👍 and COMMENT 💬 if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email 📧 in the future. 🙏Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Long
by alikze
7
Key Insights from the BTC Market Analysis1. Market Overview BTC Price: $102,624.90, up +3.83%. Market Cap: $2.03T, with 24h Volume at $103.12B (+13.99%), signaling robust trading activity. Dominance: 56.34% (+0.43%), showing BTC’s growing share of the market. 2. Indicators of Sentiment Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 75, indicating strong "Greed" and bullish market sentiment. Exchange Balances: BTC exchange balance slightly decreased (-0.06%), suggesting hodling and reduced selling pressure. 3. Derivatives Insights Open Interest (OI): Up +5.39% to $149.62B, showing new positions are opening, potentially setting up larger moves. Funding Rates: Positive across major exchanges, indicating more bullish positions. Long/Short Ratio: Mixed sentiment with Binance net long (1.66) and OKX net short (0.67), which may lead to pockets of volatility. 4. Technical Indicators Support: $101k–$101.5k, deeper support near $100k if a pullback occurs. Resistance: $103k–$103.3k. Breaking above this could push BTC toward $105k. RSI: Cooling slightly (~58–60), signaling consolidation or potential pullback after recent gains. 5. Short-Term Scenarios Bullish: A reclaim of $103k could push BTC to $105k. Neutral: Consolidation between $100k and $103k. Bearish: Profit-taking near $103k might drop BTC to $100k or lower. 6. Confidence Level Overall Bias: Moderately bullish. Positives: Increasing OI, reduced exchange balances, and bullish funding rates. Cautions: Slightly cooling RSI and large options OI increase (+45.30%) suggest potential for high volatility. Final Thoughts BTC remains in a strong position as long as it holds above $101k. A breakout above $103k could lead to further upside, but cautious risk management is essential given mixed sentiment across derivatives and short-term cooling indicators.
by titankarma
XRP’s Bullish Breakout: Is a $100+ Price Target Within Reach?The XRP/USD monthly chart offers a comprehensive view of its price action, highlighting significant patterns and potential for future gains. This analysis examines the cryptocurrency's historical performance, current trajectory, and the implications of its recent breakout. The monthly timeframe provides a long-term perspective, with each candlestick representing a full month of trading activity. This timeframe is particularly useful for identifying overarching trends and minimizing the noise of short-term price fluctuations. Key levels on the chart include XRP's current price of $3.24, a potential accumulation zone around $0.70, and a long-term price target of $131. Historically, XRP's price movements have been defined by two primary patterns. The first is a wedge pattern that occurred between 2014 and 2016. This pattern marked a phase of consolidation before the price broke out sharply, culminating in a peak around $3.17. This initial breakout laid the groundwork for the subsequent ascending triangle pattern that has developed since 2017. The ascending triangle is a bullish continuation pattern that features a horizontal resistance line at approximately $3.17 and an ascending trendline connecting higher lows. This formation signals increasing buying pressure and accumulation over time. The recent price movement shows a breakout above the resistance level, suggesting that the pattern is playing out as expected. The projected price target, calculated based on the height of the triangle, points to a potential long-term valuation of $131. The chart highlights two critical zones: the red box and the green box. The red box, located below the ascending triangle around $0.70, represents a potential accumulation zone and serves as a critical support level. Traders often use this area as a stop-loss point to minimize risk. Meanwhile, the green box above the breakout level indicates the potential price projection, with a target near $131.4. Reaching this zone would represent a dramatic upside from current levels. While the recent breakout above $3.17 is an encouraging signal, further confirmation is required to ensure the move is sustained. A consistent upward trajectory beyond the resistance level will validate the bullish pattern and strengthen confidence in the price target. However, achieving this target will likely take a considerable amount of time, as the monthly timeframe suggests a long-term horizon, potentially spanning months or even years. Market sentiment and fundamental factors remain crucial to XRP's future performance. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, adoption developments, and regulatory news can significantly influence its trajectory. Additionally, the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets means short-term dips are always possible, even within a bullish trend. In conclusion, the XRP/USD monthly chart reveals a promising ascending triangle breakout, signaling the potential for significant long-term gains. With a price target of $131 in sight, XRP could deliver substantial returns for long-term investors. However, careful risk management, patience, and a comprehensive approach that combines technical and fundamental analysis are essential for navigating this opportunity. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. This analysis is purely for informational purposes and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading involves risk, and you should consult with a financial professional before making any decisions.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by SigmaSignals
Is GLMR Gearing Up for a Bullish Reversal? A Monthly Chart ViewThe monthly chart for GLMR/USDT provides a long-term perspective on its price trend, showcasing a significant evolution in price action over the years. Initially, the chart reveals a sharp decline, followed by a prolonged period of sideways movement, and now a potential attempt to reverse the downtrend. A clear downward trendline, drawn in white, connects multiple price highs, reflecting consistent selling pressure throughout the observed period. However, a recent breakout above this downtrend line, indicates a possible shift in market sentiment. Breakouts of this nature can signal a reversal of the prevailing downtrend, with a subsequent retest of the trendline often used to confirm the breakout's validity. The chart also highlights a price target, represented by a large green rectangle, pointing to an ambitious upward goal of 53.4477 USDT. Despite the current price of GLMR being 0.2285 USDT, this target underscores the potential for a significant recovery if bullish momentum builds. Key observations suggest that price volatility, initially marked by a steep decline, has tapered off over time into smaller fluctuations. While the breakout and retest signal a potential bullish trend, the risk remains that the price could fail to hold above the trendline and resume its downward trajectory. This analysis spans several years, starting in 2022 and extending to January 2025, emphasizing that such movements could require a considerable amount of time to unfold. Each candlestick represents a month of trading, providing a broad and slow-reacting view of market dynamics that is less sensitive to short-term fluctuations. In conclusion, the breakout and retest point towards a promising shift in GLMR’s long-term trend. However, investors should remain cautious and consider the possibility of rejection at the retest level while keeping in mind the extended timeframe for the target projection. Moonbeam is an EVM-compatible and substrate-based blockchain, which operates as a Polkadot parachain. Glimmer (GLMR) is the utility and governance token of the network, users can participate in governance, paying transaction fees, earning rewards through providing liquidity, and staking. Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. This analysis is purely for informational purposes and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading involves risk, and you should consult with a financial professional before making any decisions.
Long
by SigmaSignals
1