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ETHUSDT: Balancing at the Edge of Momentum - A Key Moment?Ethereum is holding the line at $3223.29, a remarkable 21.6% dip from its historic high of $4111.26 just a month ago​. While the RSI hovers at a balanced 54.14, hinting at neither extreme overbought nor oversold conditions, the market stands at a crossroads. The 50-day Moving Average ($3162.63) supports the current price, but the 200-day Moving Average looms above at $3281.81, underscoring potential upward resistance​. A recent sequence of VSA manipulation patterns has pointed toward intense selling pressure, adding complexity to Ethereum’s near-term trajectory​​. Yet, amidst this technical tug-of-war, the fundamental backdrop remains pivotal—global economic concerns and investor sentiment around interest rate hikes could be the catalysts for Ethereum’s next major move. Will ETH surge to reclaim the $3339.24 resistance level, or could this be the start of a deeper retracement? Traders, are you ready for the challenge? The clock ticks on Ethereum’s decisive moment. Let’s dive deeper and navigate this potential breakout—or breakdown—together! Roadmap of Ethereum Patterns: Turning Points in Price History Let’s break down the sequence of Ethereum patterns, highlighting only those that successfully hit their triggers and followed their forecasted main directions. This roadmap dives into the real action, showing traders and investors how these patterns shaped Ethereum’s recent market moves. 1. January 13, 12:00 UTC: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st - The Spark Ignites This pattern marked the start of a strong upward move. The price opened at $3055.18 and closed slightly lower at $3045.18 but held within the bullish trigger zone. The main direction was clear: Buy. Following this, the price made a confirmed move above the trigger point and climbed further over the next three bars. The bulls were in control, as forecasted. 2. January 13, 14:00 UTC: Sell Volumes Max - Bearish Pressure Builds The sell volumes surged, signaling potential downward pressure. Price action confirmed this bearish sentiment as Ethereum fell from $3058.53 to $3033.22. The main direction, Sell, played out perfectly, setting the stage for the next critical level. Bears were roaring, and the market listened. 3. January 13, 18:00 UTC: VSA Buy Pattern Extra 2nd - A Bullish Comeback Ethereum rebounded with this pattern, opening at $3018.99 and closing at $3006.29. Although the price dipped initially, the bullish main direction held firm, leading to a bounce. The pattern accurately predicted the upward momentum that followed as Ethereum retested higher levels over the next six bars. 4. January 14, 00:00 UTC: VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 1st - A Pivot Moment This pattern predicted a significant sell-off, and Ethereum didn’t disappoint. Starting at $3136.39 and closing at $3133.03, the price broke below the critical low of $2985.01, confirming the bearish trigger. The next few bars saw Ethereum sliding further, validating this as a pivotal moment for sellers. 5. January 15, 00:00 UTC: VSA Sell Pattern 1 - Final Bearish Push The latest pattern in the sequence delivered another bearish confirmation. Ethereum opened at $3224.18 and closed at $3220.41, staying within the bearish direction. The move aligned perfectly with its trigger, proving its predictive accuracy as Ethereum continued lower into subsequent sessions. Takeaway for Traders and Investors This roadmap highlights how these VSA patterns played a critical role in identifying Ethereum’s turning points. Each successful pattern not only confirmed its direction but also gave traders clear levels to act on. By understanding and leveraging these patterns, you can stay ahead of the market’s twists and turns. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Here’s the ultimate cheat sheet for Ethereum’s current technical setup. These levels are where the action happens—support zones where buyers might step in and resistance levels that could cap any rally. If these levels don’t hold, flip the script: they’ll likely act as the next hurdles on the price’s journey. Let’s get tactical. Support Levels 2985.01: This level has been tested multiple times and remains a strong foothold. A break below, and we’re looking at trouble. 3124.14: A critical mid-level to watch during pullbacks. If lost, sellers could gain full control. 3193.21: Buyers are eyeing this area for a potential bounce. Weak hands could turn this into resistance fast. Resistance Levels 3339.24: Key overhead resistance; bulls need to break and hold above this for continuation. 3440.51: The next line of defense for bears. 3656.32: A major barrier to new highs. Watch for a breakout test. Powerful Support Levels 3891.38: This is the safety net—the final level that could catch any deep dive. Losing this, and we’re swimming in uncharted waters. Powerful Resistance Levels 2397.87: A fortress above the current price. Any test here could be met with serious sell pressure. 2029.05: Another heavy ceiling. Bulls must stay strong to clear this. 1833.19: Where reversals might stall—either break through or get knocked back. 1628.42: Sellers have fortified this zone. 1539.07: The ultimate boss level—expect big reactions if tested. Bottom Line If these levels fail to perform, the market could flip them into resistance, turning the tables on traders. Stay sharp, watch the reactions, and let price action do the talking! Concept of Rays: Strategies for Trading Fibonacci Rays The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept is a proprietary analysis method based on dynamic levels constructed from Fibonacci principles. These rays predict precise asset movements, identifying key zones for interaction, where price shows the highest probability of a reversal or continuation. Let’s explore how traders can leverage these insights with both optimistic and pessimistic scenarios. How Rays Work Fibonacci Rays: Built from the start of movement patterns, reflecting natural proportions. Dynamic Adaptability: Rays adjust as new trends or corrections emerge, creating updated movement boundaries. Interaction Zones: Rays act as channels—price moves from one ray to the next, signaling trade setups. Integration with Moving Averages: MA50, MA100, MA200, and MA233 offer dynamic confirmation of ray intersections, enhancing predictive accuracy. VSA Confirmation: Rays align with VSA patterns to validate entry and exit strategies, ensuring precise execution. Trading Scenarios Optimistic Scenario: Aiming Higher The optimistic scenario involves price interacting with key rays and moving upward to higher dynamic levels. Entry: Near $3193.21 (support ray) after bullish confirmation, such as a bounce or strong VSA buy pattern. Target 1: $3339.24 (next Fibonacci ray and MA233 intersection). Target 2: $3440.51 (continuation with dynamic momentum). Target 3: $3656.32 (final major resistance in this range). Comment: Bulls dominate when price clears each ray, moving toward the next with consistent volume support and strong RSI divergence. Watch for consolidation near key Moving Averages before continuation. Pessimistic Scenario: Testing Lower Levels The pessimistic scenario focuses on downward movement, testing lower rays and supports. Entry: Near $3339.24 (resistance ray) after bearish confirmation, such as a rejection or VSA sell pattern. Target 1: $3193.21 (next Fibonacci ray and MA50 support). Target 2: $3124.14 (continuation to the lower dynamic boundary). Target 3: $2985.01 (final key support before a significant breakdown). Comment: Bears strengthen as price rejects resistance rays and moves to test lower levels. A break of MA50 signals further downside potential. Monitor volume spikes for a reversal signal. Potential Trade Opportunities Long at $3193.21 with targets at $3339.24 and $3440.51: Ideal for optimistic traders betting on a bullish breakout. Short at $3339.24 with targets at $3193.21 and $3124.14: Leverage bearish rejection for downside momentum. Scalp between rays: Use intraday movements, such as bounces at $3124.14 or rejections at $3440.51, for short-term gains. Trend-following entries: Align trades with MA direction, e.g., buy when price crosses above MA100 or sell when crossing below MA50. Key Insight These strategies ensure movement flows predictably from one ray to the next. Each interaction marks an actionable trade setup. Remember, the secret lies in waiting for confirmation before entering, allowing rays and Moving Averages to guide the way. Let’s Keep the Conversation Going! Got questions? Drop them in the comments! I love hearing your thoughts, ideas, and even your challenges with the market. Let’s make this a space to learn, grow, and trade smarter together. If you found value in this analysis, give it a Boost and save it to your favorites—then check back to see how price respects these levels and rays. Understanding those critical points is what trading is all about, and following the journey is a key part of mastering it. By the way, my proprietary indicator draws these Fibonacci rays and levels automatically, making analysis smoother and faster. It’s available privately, so if you’re interested in using it, feel free to message me directly for details. Need an analysis of a specific asset? I’m open to requests! Whether it’s a public breakdown or a private, custom layout just for you, we can figure out the best approach. Remember, these rays work across all assets—yes, all. Whatever your focus, I can map out the key levels for you. For those who want to stay in the loop with my latest ideas and updates, don’t forget to follow me here on TradingView. That’s where all the action happens, and I’d love for you to be part of it. So, hit that Boost, share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s trade smarter—together!
by brandlabelden
FIL on the Rise Eyeing a Breakout to $6+Key Observations 1. Channel Formation The price is attempting to move within an ascending channel formation. The lower trendline acts as support, while the upper trendline serves as resistance. 2.Current Price Action The price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel. To confirm bullish momentum, a strong 4-hour candle close above the channel is essential. 3. Resistance and Target A breakout above the channel indicates a bullish continuation, with the immediate target around $6+. $5.50 might act as minor resistance before the target. 4.Support Levels If the price fails to break out, the lower channel line (around $5.00) will serve as a critical support zone. A break below this support could invalidate the bullish scenario. 5. Volume Confirmation Monitor trading volume for confirmation. A breakout with high volume increases the likelihood of reaching the target. 6. Market Sentiment Current sentiment aligns with a potential bullish breakout if external factors like Bitcoin movement or news events don’t cause significant volatility. Strategy Entry: Wait for a confirmed 4-hour candle close above the upper trendline with support retest. Target: $6.00+ Stop-Loss : Below the channel’s lower boundary (e.g $4.90) The setup looks promising, but caution is advised due to market volatility. Always use proper risk management when trading.
by wolfchemist
BTC on the Edge Falling Wedge Breakout & CPI Impact Awaited !The chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, moving within a falling wedge pattern The falling wedge pattern is a bullish continuation/reversal formation, where the price compresses within converging trendlines. BTC has been respecting the pattern's boundaries, suggesting a potential breakout. The immediate resistance zone at $97,200 has been tested multiple times, but the price has faced consistent rejections, indicating strong selling pressure in this area. For a bullish breakout, we need a 4-hour candle close above $97,200. If this happens, it could trigger a strong upward momentum, with a target potentially extending towards the $104,000 region, aligning with previous highs. The presence of CPI (Consumer Price Index) data release today adds an external factor of volatility. Economic data like CPI can significantly impact the market sentiment, especially in crypto, as it reflects inflation levels and can influence risk-on or risk-off market behavior. Traders should exercise caution and consider these key factors Monitor the wedge breakout closely. Await a confirmed 4-hour candle close above $97,200 before entering a long position. Use proper risk management, as the market is expected to be volatile due to the CPI data. BTC is on the verge of a potential breakout. However, external factors like CPI data can amplify volatility. Wait for confirmation and trade cautiously.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by wolfchemist
The market's energy is fueling a new wave of growth!Yesterday was a significant moment for the crypto market. 🌐 We received clear confirmation of the emergence of a new wave of growth. The upward flow of energy confirmed the intention of buyers, and the result of the day consolidated the volumes and showed the readiness to move to new heights. 📈 🎯 Key levels of support and resumption of growth: - 3525 is the level where a local suspension of movement is possible to accumulate energy. - 3443 is a zone that can become a key support and a starting point for the resumption of upward movement. 🔍 Chart analysis: On the daily timeframe, we can see how the price is organically forming a base for continued growth. Yesterday brought progress with a clear buyer's volume, which supports the upward trend. The energy flow is now focused on forming new support points for further upward movement. 🔥 ⚡️ What to expect next? A new wave of growth is already gaining strength, and the buyer is showing stability in intentions. Keep an eye on the situation and the price reaction at key levels. Be prepared for further opportunities that the market opens up! 🌟
Long
by WVitalievich
XRP: Poised at the Edge of Momentum – What's Next?The cryptocurrency market never sleeps, and XRP is the perfect reflection of this restless spirit. Currently trading at $2.8295, XRP finds itself teetering on the brink of a crucial breakout, with just a 2.9% gap from its all-time high of $2.9138, achieved 43 days ago​. The question on every trader's mind: is this the moment of ignition, or will the asset take a breather? Recent patterns highlight a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns reveal the persistence of increased buy volumes, though intermittent sell-offs indicate a battle for control​. From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 74.95, signaling that XRP is flirting with overbought territory​. Yet, this could either confirm a surge or warn of an impending pullback. Fundamentally, Ripple’s ongoing legal clarity and the adoption of RLUSD stablecoin are boosting market confidence​. Combined with the upward trend supported by key moving averages—MA50 at $2.5597 and MA100 at $2.5201—XRP could be primed for its next big leap​. Your Move: XRP's future is a coin flip between testing its psychological barriers at $3.00 and retracing to stronger support at $2.66. Are you ready to seize the opportunity as XRP prepares to define its next chapter? Stay tuned, as the market reveals its hand. XRP Tradingmap: Patterns in Motion Step 1: The Build-Up Begins - Buy Volumes Max (01:00 UTC) The sequence kicks off with the "Buy Volumes Max" pattern. At this point, the price opened at $2.6765 and closed higher at $2.7918, signaling strong buying momentum. The main_direction was bullish, validated by the immediate follow-up pattern. This set the stage for the next price action. Step 2: Rally Confirmed - Increased Buy Volumes (02:00 UTC) True to the bullish call of the previous pattern, the price climbed further, opening at $2.7918 and closing higher at $2.8474. This confirms the integrity of the earlier pattern and keeps the bullish sentiment alive. Trigger points were respected as prices didn’t dip below the lows of the previous three bars ($2.6383). Confidence grows as buyers continue to dominate. Step 3: Profit-Taking Warning - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (03:00 UTC) Here comes a shift. The market signals caution with a "VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern." Despite opening high at $2.8474, the price closed lower at $2.8304. The main_direction flipped bearish, and this was confirmed as the subsequent pattern saw a slight price drop. Traders who spotted this sell signal had a chance to lock in gains before the retracement deepened. Step 4: Brief Reprieve - Increased Buy Volumes (17:00 UTC) Bulls briefly regained control, as prices opened at $2.6146 and closed higher at $2.6553. However, the movement lacked the strength seen in earlier buy patterns. While the main_direction of this pattern was bullish, subsequent price action indicates that this bounce was fleeting—a classic bull trap for unprepared traders. Step 5: The Market Takes a Turn - VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern (19:00 UTC) The sell-off resumes with another VSA sell pattern. The price slid lower, respecting the bearish direction outlined earlier. Opening at $2.682 and closing at $2.6626, this pattern further solidified bearish control. Trigger points were cleanly activated as prices failed to regain previous highs, providing traders with an opportunity to ride the downtrend. Step 6: Strategy Reset - The Bigger Picture Emerges The sequence highlighted above demonstrates the power of reading patterns within a cohesive framework. Early buy signals paved the way for strong upward momentum, but the subsequent sell patterns hinted at deeper corrections. By following the roadmap, investors could have avoided traps and maximized profits during the transition from bullish to bearish phases. What’s Next? XRP’s roadmap reveals its inherent volatility. Each pattern offers insight into market behavior, but success comes from aligning these signals with a broader strategy. Stay tuned for the next move—will bulls or bears take the crown? Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Support Levels: $2.6666 – First line of defense. If this level doesn’t hold, it’s likely to flip into resistance, attracting sellers like bees to honey. $2.5783 – A deeper support level where buyers might regroup. If broken, expect it to act as a ceiling for any bounces. $2.2748 – Critical zone for bulls to keep control. If this level is lost, momentum shifts decisively in favor of the bears. $2.1349 – The market’s last-ditch effort to keep things afloat. Failure here could open the floodgates. $1.9667 – A psychological barrier where value hunters might step in. But remember, if it cracks, it’s a wall on the way up. Resistance Levels: While the chart doesn’t scream significant resistance levels, any failed support will naturally transform into tough barriers for a comeback rally. Powerful Resistance Levels: $1.1047 – A long-term level where sellers are likely to dig in their heels. Watch for strong rejections here. $0.5538 – Key zone for the long game. If this level is reached and rejected, the bears could strengthen their grip. $0.5032 – An area that will attract big players if prices retrace this far. Keep an eye on the price action here. $0.3646 – The fortress of resistance. If bulls manage to breach this, it’s a signal of a major shift in market sentiment. Trading Strategies Using Rays: A Path Through the Fibonacci Framework Concept of Rays The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" approach is a unique method that applies Fibonacci-based geometric principles to map the dynamics of price movement. These rays act as predictive tools, marking zones where significant price interactions occur—either signaling a continuation or a reversal. By focusing on interactions with these rays, traders can better gauge probabilities without attempting to pinpoint exact levels in a nonlinear financial system. How Rays Work Fibonacci Rays: Constructed at mathematically significant angles starting from the initial movement, not extremum points. This increases accuracy in trending or corrective phases. Dynamic Levels: These rays adapt to new patterns, automatically updating ranges for potential price movements. Moving Averages as Dynamic Factors: Key levels align with Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200), providing strong zones of interaction. Ascending and Descending Rays: These define movement boundaries, marking pathways for price to travel from one ray to another. Optimistic Scenario Entry Point: Interaction with a descending ray around $2.6666 (support). If the price bounces above this ray and confirms with a close above MA50 at $2.5597, the movement could head upward. Target 1: $2.8295 – Interaction with the next ray above creates an opportunity to scale out partial profits. Target 2: $2.9138 – Absolute high from recent history; a breakout here could extend gains toward higher Fibonacci levels. Dynamic Factors: If RSI remains above 70 while interacting with ascending rays, the bullish scenario strengthens. Pessimistic Scenario Entry Point: Price interaction with an ascending ray near $2.6666, but fails to close above MA50, confirming bearish sentiment. Target 1: $2.5783 – Initial support zone becomes the first profit target in the downtrend. Target 2: $2.2748 – Second ray below and the next potential reaction level for a partial exit. Target 3: $2.1349 – A critical area where price may consolidate or reverse. Dynamic Factors: Watch for Moving Averages flipping into resistance zones, confirming further downward pressure. Trade Ideas Using Rays Long Trade from $2.6666 to $2.8295: Enter long when price interacts with the ray at $2.6666, confirming with a bullish close above MA50. Scale out at $2.8295, targeting the upper ray. Short Trade from $2.6666 to $2.5783: Enter short if price interacts with $2.6666 but fails to break above MA50. Target $2.5783 for a clean exit at the next ray. Breakout Trade above $2.9138: Go long if price cleanly breaks $2.9138, with a tight stop below the breakout candle. Use dynamic Fibonacci rays to set extended targets. Reversal Trade at $2.1349: A bounce off the $2.1349 ray could signal a countertrend move. Enter with confirmation from price closing above MA200, targeting $2.2748. Trading is all about finding those key levels where the magic happens, and now it's your chance to engage. Have questions about the analysis? Drop them right in the comments—I’m here to discuss, clarify, and brainstorm with you! Found this idea helpful? Don’t forget to hit Boost and save it for later so you can track how price moves along the rays. Observing these levels in real-time will not only sharpen your skills but also deepen your understanding of how market dynamics work. Curious about my indicator? The strategy you see here, drawing all the rays and levels automatically, is part of a private setup. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to reach out to me via direct message—I’ll explain how we can make that happen. Need a custom analysis for your favorite asset? Whether you want it shared publicly or kept private for your eyes only, I’m open to discussing options. Just let me know in the comments or via DM, and I’ll do my best to help. Remember, these rays work across all assets, and the price often respects them like clockwork. If you want me to mark up specific assets for you, write in the comments and don’t forget to hit Boost. I’ll tackle requests as time permits. Finally, make sure to follow me here on TradingView for more in-depth ideas and strategies. This is where I share all my updates, and I’d love to have you as part of my trading community. Let’s trade smarter together! 🚀
Long
by brandlabelden
1
Bitcoin Inches Closer to Breaking Point: What’s Next?Bitcoin Faces a Decisive Moment: Will It Break Through? Bitcoin is trading at 96,829.3, marking a 10.7% drop from its all-time high of 108,421.6, achieved just 29 days ago. Market indicators paint a mixed picture: RSI14 at 60.2 signals an approach to overbought territory, while MFI remains steady at 54.8, hinting at moderate market momentum. Adding to the tension, a VSA Sell Pattern 2 has emerged, suggesting a potential short-term pullback. The critical levels to watch are 94,568 as support and 100,606 as resistance—key points that could determine the direction of Bitcoin’s next major move. Will the bulls regain control and push Bitcoin beyond its resistance, or will the bears drive a correction toward the lower support levels? The stakes are high, and today could set the stage for weeks to come. Are you ready to navigate this pivotal moment? Bitcoin Pattern Roadmap: Key Moves and What They Mean Understanding Bitcoin’s recent price movements through the lens of patterns provides traders with valuable insights into the market's rhythm. Below is a detailed roadmap based on the sequential analysis of VSA and volume-based patterns. Only the patterns that correctly confirmed their trigger points and main directions are included to give you a focused view of the market’s true behavior. January 13, 2025 – VSA Sell Pattern 2 : This sell pattern emerged with a main direction of downward pressure, starting from an open of 97,150.0 and closing at 96,655.5. The next price action confirmed the bearish sentiment as the market continued to dip, validating this signal. January 13, 2025 – Increased Buy Volumes : Just hours later, buy volumes spiked, signaling potential recovery. The open at 91,080.9 led to a close of 91,784.8, and this bullish momentum carried through the following session, reinforcing confidence in this pattern’s accuracy. January 13, 2025 – Sell Volumes Takeover : Although the main direction suggested bullish activity, this pattern didn’t fully validate, as subsequent candles demonstrated indecision. This indicates it might have been a false signal. January 12, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 1 : This key pattern predicted upward momentum with an open at 93,862.8 and a close at 93,973.9. Its main direction played out as expected, with prices climbing steadily in subsequent bars, cementing its effectiveness. January 11, 2025 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 : Marking another bullish signal, this pattern triggered upward movement from 94,024.2 to 94,323.5. The continuation of this trend confirmed it as a reliable forecast for the short term. What Does This Mean for Traders? Each pattern, when validated by subsequent price action, adds to the roadmap of Bitcoin’s trajectory. The market’s consistent respect for key support and resistance levels underscores the reliability of technical patterns. Use this roadmap to position yourself strategically, keeping an eye on similar setups to anticipate the next big move. Are you ready to align with the market’s flow? Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels When it comes to Bitcoin, traders know the game revolves around critical support and resistance zones. These levels act as battle lines between bulls and bears, determining the market’s next big move. Let’s break them down: Support Levels: 94,568 – A short-term safety net; losing this could bring the price closer to bearish territory. Resistance Levels: 100,606 – The immediate hurdle for bulls; cracking this will likely spark another rally. 106,064.7 – A critical zone, closely tied to Bitcoin’s previous highs. Powerful Support Levels: 76,701.7 – A major fallback point for long-term bulls; losing this would signal deeper corrections. 67,838.7 – A heavy-duty level that has historically held strong. 60,295.6 – The last line of defense before bears fully take over. Powerful Resistance Levels: 47,122.4 – A significant cap that has consistently rejected upward momentum in prior moves. 28,696.9 – The line in the sand for lower-range movements. What Happens If Levels Break? In trading, it’s all about respecting the levels. If these supports don’t hold, you can bet they’ll flip to resistance zones, making it harder for bulls to reclaim lost ground. Conversely, breaking through resistance means these levels often become strong floors, giving momentum traders something solid to lean on. Always keep an eye on these key points—they’re your roadmap to understanding where the action will heat up next. Concept of Rays: Precision Trading with Dynamic Levels The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept revolutionizes technical analysis by leveraging Fibonacci-based rays that dynamically adapt to market conditions. Unlike traditional methods, these rays are drawn from the origin of a movement pattern, allowing traders to anticipate price reactions with unmatched precision. Let’s dive into how this works and explore two trading scenarios for Bitcoin using data from the latest analysis. Core Concept: Trading with Rays Price interactions with rays signal high-probability zones for either reversals or continuations. These interactions, combined with moving averages and VSA patterns, create a powerful framework for identifying entry and exit points. The first movement usually extends from one ray to the next, offering defined profit targets at each level. Two Scenarios for Trading Rays Optimistic Scenario: Bitcoin breaks through resistance at 100,606 (MA50 intersection) after interacting with an ascending ray. This move could target the next ray and establish: First target: 106,064.7 (Resistance Level). Second target: A retest of the 108,421.6 all-time high. If momentum sustains, price may form a new trend, requiring recalibration of rays to extend future targets. Pessimistic Scenario: Bitcoin fails to hold support at 94,568 and interacts with a descending ray, initiating a deeper correction. Likely targets: First target: 76,701.7 (Powerful Support Level). Second target: 67,838.7, marking a significant bearish continuation zone. In this case, descending rays will guide the market lower, adjusting with each corrective phase. Trade Opportunities Based on Rays Long Trade : Enter at 94,568 support after confirming interaction with an ascending ray and bullish VSA pattern. First target: 100,606; Second target: 106,064.7. Short Trade : Enter below 94,568 after interaction with a descending ray and bearish VSA confirmation. First target: 76,701.7; Second target: 67,838.7. Breakout Long : Position after a confirmed breakout above 100,606, targeting 106,064.7 as the next ray intersection. Reversal Short : Look for rejection at 106,064.7 and enter a short trade, targeting a return to 100,606. Key Insights for Traders The power of rays lies in their adaptability. Whether in bullish or bearish conditions, rays dynamically update to reflect new patterns. Traders can confidently position themselves after price interaction with these rays, knowing that the movement will likely extend to the next ray. Each target is clearly defined, providing a structured path for managing risk and reward. Combine these strategies with the VSA patterns visible on your charts to sharpen your execution and stay ahead of the market. Are you ready to trade with precision? What’s Next? Let’s Talk and Trade Together If you’ve got questions or want to dive deeper into this analysis, drop them in the comments below—I’m always happy to discuss and share insights. Don’t forget to give this post a Boost and save it to revisit later. Watching how the price respects the rays and levels is one of the best ways to truly understand trading and refine your strategy. My proprietary indicator draws all the rays and levels automatically, but it’s available only privately. If you’re interested in using it, just send me a message—I’ll walk you through how it works. And yes, the same approach applies to any asset, not just Bitcoin. If there’s a particular market you’d like analyzed, let me know! Some analyses I can share openly, while others can be done privately, tailored to your needs. Finally, if you’re curious about how price moves along these rays or want me to chart a specific asset for you, make sure to Boost this idea and share your request in the comments. I’ll do my best to cover as many as possible. Follow me here on TradingView to stay updated—this is where I share my ideas and insights regularly. Let’s trade smarter, together!
Long
by brandlabelden
Crypto Alpha Report - January 14, 2025Happy Tuesday, friends! As the market digests a favorable PPI print today in anticipation of tomorrow’s CPI print - I’d like to remind you of the most important tool you can possess to grow your trading and investment account. It’s not alpha information (although that can help). Allow me a quick minute to rant about ‘alpha,’ even though I understand the perceived irony of ranting about the concept of alpha while the title of my report is the Alpha Report—mea culpa. The idea of Alpha is often referred to in the trading and investment circles as the Holy Grail. To be frank, within crypto, most people perceive alpha as Knowing when a token will pump and when it will dump. In traditional finance, there’s a word for that: insider information/insider trading. There is a lot of that inside crypto. Whales or insiders can easily manipulate low-market-capitalization projects. The VC strategy of token allocation is successful in traditional finance and cryptocurrency. The prevalence of pump-and-dump groups also highlights the “success” of this process. However, for you, the retail trader at the end of the totem pole, little alpha information is likely to come your way. Nothing you read on Crypto X is alpha; by the time it’s there, the actual alpha has already been acted upon. That’s why you never see a post of a MIL:1M MC project going sideways, but you’ll see tons of posts once that same token has pumped to $10-$100M. When ‘alpha’ becomes public, it’s generally just bait for exit liquidity. I want to use this example to highlight something that both pump and dumpers and “whale insiders” have in common, at least the successful ones: a strategy. Sure, it’s not the most admirable strategy, but I guarantee you that if you talk to those successful traders within those circles, what they do, they don’t do randomly. They have a strategy; they stick to it, the strategy makes money, and they repeat the process. Suppose you want to be privy to inside information. In that case, you need to embark on a long journey of rubbing elbows, entrenching yourselves within communities, and providing value to receive value in return. However, this is a dangerous strategy as there is no guarantee of success. Even if you are “lucky” enough to receive some inside information, you still have to pull the trigger at the right time. Nobody is going to spoon-feed you a profitable trade or investment. I don’t recommend you follow this path; instead, I recommend you learn this lesson from the preceding: successful people faithfully execute a winning strategy when the odds are in their favor. If you’re serious about turning your trading into a business, the same should be true. You’re not here to baselessly speculate every single day. You’re here to sharpen your saw, niche down your strategy, and faithfully execute it whenever an opportunity appears where you have positive Expected Value. You’re not here to force a trade, gamble just to be in a trade, or baselessly speculate. You’re here to make money. The only way to do that consistently is to define, refine, and execute a strategy. Whether you want to trade leveraged high caps, spot buy meme coins, or invest in early-stage start-ups, you need a strategy. Make today the day you commit to strategic trading and move away from senseless gambling. To a better and brighter future, friends! Crypto Market Macro Analysis Stablecoin Dominance After a scary wick to the upside yesterday, this metric closed firmly underneath resistance. Today, it has pulled back by -2.58% as markets surge broadly. Daily Momentum has turned to the downside, indicating that markets will likely continue to push higher. Bitcoin + Stablecoin Dominance Similarly, yesterday's large wick to the upside was driven by fears of a market breakdown; today, this metric is down -0.40% as of writing. This is potentially putting in a lower high, foreshadowing a lower low to come. Daily Momentum is hinting at a turn to the downside. This is a higher-risk play for capital rotation back into alts, but if this plays out, it will be lucrative. Altcoin Price Performance Relative to Bitcoin This metric is moving into oversold conditions while testing its 200 DMA as support. Currently, it is just a Daily Doji Candle, so it is more indecisive than a strong buy. However, it is an early indication of the potential wisdom of rotating back into altcoins for a higher push. Bitcoin A powerful rally from yesterday’s sweep of December’s Lows. In last week’s report, I highlighted the necessity of structuring long positions such that a sweep of $88,000 could be endured. Last night’s price action proves my previous analysis correct. Bitcoin is beginning to show promising reversal signs, and if tomorrow’s CPI print proves positive (which I expect it will), we should be able to trade up to $100,000 safely by the weekend. Trends 5M: Bullish 30M: Bullish 1H: Bullish 4H: Bearish D: Bullish W: Bullish Bitcoin has regained a Bullish Trend on all timeframes except the 4H; however, we have notably reclaimed our medium-term moving averages on the 4H time frame. The last time Bitcoin broke above our 4H moving averages, we rallied to $102,000 within the next three days. While Bitcoin remains in a consolidation regime, strong support at $90,000 has been reconfirmed. Long trades have a good R/R here for this week as long as the 4H moving averages act as uptrend support. Key Levels POC: $94,275 VWAP: $96,057 Value Area High: $96,952 - $97,811 Value Area Low: $94,304 - $95,163 Next Liquidity Zone Above: $97,544 - $98,547 Next Liquidity Zone Below: $93,685 - $95,124 Currently, Bitcoin is in a meso uptrend. Price action shows consolidation above our 30M moving averages in a Lower High, Lower Low pattern. The market is reaccumulating; however, as we are still in a time of low liquidity, keep leverage low and trade cautiously, as wild price swings are still possible. For today, it’s important for the 30M moving averages to act as support; closing below them would kill the current momentum. Therefore, I would close positions if price were to close below $94,800. Strategy Continue to hold long positions accumulated at or below ~$95,000. New breakout entries can be entered on a 30M close above $97,000. New pullback entries can be entered at or around $95,000 - however, monitor price closely - if we close below $94,800, I would go flat, as price would likely test $92-$93,000 at that point, and there’s no need to sit through that drawdown.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by CrackingCryptocurrency
TradeCityPro | FILUSDT Money Stuck in the Weekly Range Box👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s analyze another altcoin of the week amidst a market day where interest rate decisions weakened the dollar and strengthened crypto. Scroll Down to Check Out the Analytical Chart as Well! 🌐 Overview Bitcoin As always, we begin by looking at Bitcoin. On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has bounced off the $90,655 support and is currently sitting below the $97,343 resistance. After breaking this resistance, there’s potential for new positions. To decide whether to open a long position on Bitcoin or altcoins, we examine Bitcoin dominance. Currently, while Bitcoin is green, dominance is red. However, when the $97,434 trigger is broken, check Bitcoin dominance; if it remains bearish, Bitcoin’s movement can act as confirmation for long positions on your altcoins. 📊 Weekly Timeframe On the weekly timeframe, FIL is clearly stuck in a range, fluctuating within a box for about 900 days over two years. We’ve repeatedly discussed the importance of avoiding purchases within range boxes and instead buying with momentum. While buying at the bottom of the box might offer numerically better entries, how does the risk of capital dormancy in this immature market compare? Remember, in a market like this, coins you hold could face extreme risks, as we saw with LUNA. For exiting this coin, patience is key. If it breaks below $3.214, consider liquidating your holdings and exiting , For re-entry, the primary and ideal trigger is a breakout above $10.163. After such a major accumulation phase, breaking out of the range box can signal a significant upward movement. Look for increased volume and RSI entry as confirmations. 📈 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, after exiting our accumulation zone and breaking $4.791, FIL initiated an upward trend that reached $8.082. This highlights the importance of buying with momentum, such as the “break the box” candle marked on the chart. Currently, the price has returned to $4.791, a significant support level that was previously the box's ceiling and resistance but has now turned into strong support. It also aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, further emphasizing its importance. For future purchases in the daily timeframe, the best triggers are $8.082 and $11.559, in that order. A riskier trigger would be the $6.199 breakout, but this carries higher uncertainty. For exits, activating your stop-loss below $3.214 is more logical for now. After breaking $4.791, I might consider opening a futures position. ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe On the 4-hour timeframe, it seems FIL has faked out the $4.803 support and is forming a V-pattern. This pattern will activate upon breaking $5.217. 📈 Long Position Trigger i would personally take the risk and open one after breaking $5.217, staying aligned with the move. 📉 Short Position Trigger I currently have no plans. However, if FIL gets rejected from this resistance and moves downward again with momentum and volume, I might consider a short position after breaking $4.803. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
10
USDC Leads Stablecoin Market Cap Growth in 2024, Surpassing USDT The year 2024 witnessed a significant shift in the stablecoin landscape, with Circle's USD Coin (USDC) demonstrating a remarkable resurgence and outperforming its main competitor, Tether's USDT, in terms of market capitalization growth. This surge marks a significant milestone for USDC, which had faced a considerable setback in 2023 following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). This article delves into the factors contributing to USDC's impressive recovery and its implications for the broader stablecoin market. USDC's Rocky Road to Recovery USDC's journey in recent years has been a rollercoaster ride. In 2023, the stablecoin experienced a substantial downturn, with its market cap plummeting by 45%. This decline was largely attributed to the collapse of SVB, where Circle had a portion of its reserves held. The bank's failure triggered a crisis of confidence in USDC, leading to significant withdrawals and a temporary de-pegging from the US dollar. This event cast a shadow over USDC's future and raised concerns about the stability of stablecoins in general. However, USDC's performance in 2024 tells a different story. The stablecoin not only recovered from the SVB-induced slump but also surpassed USDT in market cap growth. This remarkable turnaround underscores USDC's resilience and the growing trust in its underlying mechanisms. Factors Driving USDC's Growth Several factors have contributed to USDC's impressive growth in 2024: 1. Increased Regulatory Clarity: The evolving regulatory landscape surrounding stablecoins has been crucial in USDC's resurgence. As governments worldwide are increasingly focusing on establishing clear frameworks for stablecoin operations, USDC's commitment to transparency and compliance has resonated with investors and users. This regulatory clarity has fostered a more favorable environment for USDC, attracting both institutional and retail adoption. 2. Focus on Trust and Transparency: Circle has prioritized building trust and transparency in its operations. The company regularly publishes attestations of its reserves, providing assurance to users that USDC is fully backed by traditional assets. This commitment to transparency has been instrumental in restoring confidence in USDC following the SVB crisis. 3. Expansion of Blockchain Infrastructure: The continuous development and expansion of blockchain infrastructure have also contributed to USDC's growth. As more blockchain networks integrate USDC, its utility and accessibility increase, driving adoption and market capitalization. 4. Growing Institutional Adoption: USDC has witnessed increasing adoption among institutional investors. These investors are drawn to USDC's stability, transparency, and regulatory compliance, making it a preferred choice for various use cases, including trading, lending, and payments. 5. Market Demand for Diversification: The stablecoin market has been increasingly seeking diversification beyond USDT. Concerns about the composition of Tether's reserves and its lack of transparency have led investors to explore alternative stablecoins. USDC, with its focus on transparency and regulatory compliance, has emerged as a leading beneficiary of this trend. USDC vs. USDT: A Closer Look USDC and USDT are the two dominant stablecoins in the market, but they differ significantly in their approach and underlying mechanisms. • Transparency and Audits: USDC has been lauded for its transparency, with regular audits and attestations of its reserves. In contrast, Tether has faced criticism for its lack of transparency and the composition of its reserves. • Regulatory Compliance: Circle has actively engaged with regulators and prioritized compliance, while Tether has faced regulatory scrutiny in various jurisdictions. • Market Capitalization: While USDT still holds the largest market share, USDC has been steadily closing the gap, driven by its strong growth in 2024. Implications for the Stablecoin Market USDC's surge has significant implications for the broader stablecoin market: • Increased Competition: USDC's growth has intensified competition in the stablecoin market, challenging USDT's dominance. This competition is healthy for the market, driving innovation and improving standards. • Focus on Transparency and Compliance: USDC's success has reinforced the importance of transparency and regulatory compliance in the stablecoin industry. This trend is likely to continue, with stablecoin issuers prioritizing these aspects to gain trust and adoption. • Growing Institutional Interest: The increasing institutional adoption of USDC signals a growing acceptance of stablecoins as a legitimate asset class. This trend is likely to attract more institutional investors to the stablecoin market, further driving its growth. Conclusion Circle's USDC has demonstrated a remarkable recovery and growth in 2024, outperforming Tether's USDT in market cap surge. This resurgence can be attributed to several factors, including increased regulatory clarity, a focus on trust and transparency, expansion of blockchain infrastructure, growing institutional adoption, and market demand for diversification. USDC's success has significant implications for the stablecoin market, intensifying competition, emphasizing transparency and compliance, and attracting growing institutional interest. As the stablecoin market continues to evolve, USDC is poised to play a leading role, shaping its future and driving its adoption in the broader financial ecosystem.
CRYPTOCAP:USDCLong
by bryandowningqln
ENA/USDT on the Edge Major Breakdown Signals Big Moves Ahead!The chart showcases ENA/USDT breaking down from a well-established channel pattern, signaling potential bearish momentum. This breakdown indicates a shift in market sentiment, as bulls have failed to hold the key support levels. The price action now reflects a retest of the broken channel's lower boundary, which is likely to act as a significant resistance area. ENA has exited the channel pattern, with the price moving decisively below the structure. This breakdown is a critical bearish signal, as it invalidates the previous trend's upward momentum. The levels of $0.84 and $0.89 will act as key resistance points. The $0.84 level represents the immediate resistance derived from the channel's lower boundary, while $0.89 aligns with a historical supply zone, where sellers are likely to dominate if the price approaches this level. A failure to reclaim these levels will reinforce the bearish bias, encouraging sellers to push the price lower. If the price fails to reclaim the resistance levels, the bearish breakdown could extend toward $0.73, which is the first significant demand zone, followed by $0.66, a mid-level support identified from previous accumulation zones, and $0.58, the ultimate bearish target if selling pressure accelerates. The breakdown has been accompanied by increased sell-side volume, indicating strong participation by sellers. Any attempts to reclaim the resistance levels must also show increasing volume on the buy side to invalidate the bearish structure. The breakdown below the channel has likely shaken bullish confidence. When the price retests the resistance zone between $0.84 and $0.89, short positions may dominate, targeting the lower support levels. Traders should watch for price action near the $0.84 to $0.89 resistance range. A clear rejection at this zone, coupled with low bullish volume, will confirm the bearish continuation. Conversely, if bulls manage to reclaim and hold above $0.89, it could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a recovery toward $1.00. ENA/USDT has shown significant bearish signs with the channel breakdown and subsequent retest of resistance levels. The likelihood of further downside remains high unless bulls reclaim the $0.89 level. Traders should exercise caution and focus on price action around the key resistance and support zones for optimal trade entries.
Short
by wolfchemist
TradeCityPro | ALGO Unraveling Trends and Forecasting the Next👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to examine the ALGO coin for you. Algorand blockchain is one of the layer 1 networks. 📅 Daily Timeframe: Correction and Rest After 375% Growth In the daily timeframe, we have seen a significant price increase from $0.1085 to $0.5138. After bottoming out at $0.1085, coinciding with the breakout of Bitcoin's ATH, it started its movement and after breaking $0.1602, it began its main movement and reached the resistance at $0.5138. 📈 During this movement, due to high momentum and very high buying volume, it easily broke through the very important resistance at $0.3220. Now, after reaching $0.5138, we have entered a market correction phase. 🔍 Currently, after exiting Overbuy, its momentum has decreased and it has corrected to the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which overlaps with $0.3220. It has hit this area several times and each time it has managed to stay above this area, and this support has not yet been broken. 🔽 If $0.3220 breaks, the next areas are the 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 Fibonacci levels, which we will see how the price reacts to. After these areas, the next supports are $0.1602 and the last support at $0.1085. A break of 41.63 in the RSI increases the likelihood of a correction occurring. 📊 If the resistance at $0.5138 is broken, the next resistance will be $0.7414. Entry of buying volume and a break of 70 in the RSI can help break $0.7414. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
8
SOL waiting for 180,1$I closed my TON position with a +22.5% profit a nd SOL with +39.55% profit , all within one day. This was during an extremely volatile period, making it one of the most challenging trades, as both the stock and crypto markets faced significant pushback yesterday. At one point, I saw a -100% unrealized loss, but the order setup allowed me to recover and secure profits. Currently, the market appears to be leaning downward, with bulls trying to defend key levels: BTC at $90k-$93k, SOL at $180, and TON at $5-$5.2. These levels have been tested multiple times, but liquidity ultimately dictates the game. For now, I’m staying cautious and I do not enter into a deal. However, I’m setting an order for Solana at $180 with 25x leverage and a $30 margin, assuming SOL might dip again and recover quickly.
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by themr-im
ETH/USDT Chart Update:ETH/USDT Chart Update: Ethereum is trading within a descending triangle on smaller timeframes, a structure often associated with bearish continuation. However, it could also signal accumulation if support holds. Immediate support lies between $3,100 – $3,050, where buyers are attempting to prevent further declines. Near-term resistance aligns at $3,200, followed by the upper boundary of the descending triangle near $3,300. A breakout above $3,300 could trigger a rally towards $3,400 – $3,500, which would invalidate the bearish structure. A break below the $3,050 level could see ETH retesting the psychological level of $3,000 or deeper support zones. Volume and momentum indicators should be monitored closely to confirm any breakout or breakdown. Low-volume breakouts may lack sustainability. Wait for a decisive move beyond the triangle pattern before entering. Bullish bias above $3,300; bearish continuation below $3,050. This update shows the short-term dynamics and important levels for ETH/USDT in the upcoming sessions. Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments! DYOR. NFA
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Resistance Broken? BTC Aims for $96K!Falling Trendline Breakout Bitcoin has broken above a descending trendline resistance, indicating a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Entry Zone The recommended buy zone is $91,500 to $90,500. Price is currently within this range, making it an ideal area for a long entry. Stop Loss A tight stop-loss at $89,500 helps minimize downside risk if the breakout fails. Targets Target 1: $92,000 Target 2: $93,000 Target 3: $94,000 Target 4: $95,000 Target 5: $96,000 Risk Management Stop-loss placement is critical to avoid potential losses, with a strong downside risk below $89,500. Recommendation Watch for a sustained close above the breakout level and monitor volume confirmation for continued upside momentum. This trade aligns well with a bullish reversal structure and offers multiple profit-taking levels.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by wolfchemist
1
1D:GRT- POTENTIAL SETUP. GRT ALWAYS FOLLOWS TECHNICALS!GRT Potential Long Setup-\ FYI- This is technically not a valid harmonic pattern, however it is within reasonable parameters, BUT... IF you seen my last GRT setup, you would know what GRT can do these similar conditions. GRT has reached the .86 retrace from last swing high/low and corrected accordingly. Now we yet again a similar structure along with the Bullish Divergence on the 1D chart. GRT needs to retest the .20 cent mark and retain this price to have the best likely chance of another strong push. AGAIN, NOT CONFIRMED YET NEED TO RETAIN AND RETEST 0.20 LEVELS IF YOU ARE RISK ADVERSE. YOU COULD ENTER HERE, HOWEVER A TIGHT STOP LOSS WOULD BE A GOOD IDEA JUST IN CASE... I attached my prior setup I posted here for the last GRT Long GLHF
by BShellhammer
Is Bitcoin Heading to $78K? Key Patterns Explained! ''BTC/USD: Key Supply Zone in Focus'' This chart highlights a significant supply zone between $94,858.98 and $95,979.83, marked by previous price rejections (indicated by the arrows). This zone represents a key area of resistance where selling pressure has historically dominated. If the price revisits this zone, there’s a high probability of another rejection, potentially leading to a downward movement. Traders should monitor this area closely for potential short opportunities or signs of a breakout. 👉 What’s your take on this supply zone? Will it hold, or are we breaking through? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! "BTC/USD: Bearish Head and Shoulders Pattern" This chart showcases a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, often regarded as a bearish signal. The price has already broken the neckline, indicating a potential continuation to the downside. The target for this pattern lies near $78,490.59, calculated based on the height of the structure. Combined with the current price action, this setup suggests further bearish momentum could be on the horizon. 👉 Do you agree with this bearish outlook? Or do you see a reversal coming? Share your analysis in the comments below!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by ProcessAndIntercept