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Making Sense of BTCHopefully this is an easy to understand prediction of whats really going on - We have a H+S with the neck more or less around our current support at 91-92k. Market has been very dissonant and so formation of the left shoulder, the tops, all seem funny looking but as you can see the overall price action averages out to the lines drawn. The cup is even more of an approximation than the H+S, but if you try to fit it well the end of the cup usually always ends around 102-104k. Right now we are riding up the right shoulder and the top which I haven't spent too much time trying to figure out could maybe be anywhere from 97.7k to a little over 99k. The net money flow from now until the tip of the shoulder might really determine if the price will break low enough below the neckline to take us below 91k. If you don't want to see under 91K, I might suggest to avoid buying above 96k under all circumstances, unless it can break 102 with enough momentum to probably break 104k as well. Probably unlikely in the next few days. On the way down from the right shoulder if the price makes a strong rebound around the 93kish level with strong volume and also holds for at least a couple days it could be a bullish signal that the 91k support is moving up. Below 92k again would make me pretty bearish. If our runup right now doesnt take us back above 96k and instead stops and reverses from 96k, this setup is most likely invalidated and reversal at 96 might mean sideways consolidation between 91-98k for a while longer or perhaps something much more bearish. If you've contemplated such a scenario please do leave a comment or link below.
by sadture
1
PENGU Last Chance!The two longs I presented are what I believe Pengus' last bullish scenarios. If PA breaks through the Bullish equilibrium level, I will extend my long position past the hidden liquidity and find an entry to share there. However, if the price should fail to reach that price I will look at the demand zone below (0.786 fib) for my next entry. Obviously, I will take into consideration crypto market conditions but for the short term, I expect to see some upside. Thanks
Long
by JJRoyalist
1
TradeCityPro | XRP : Positive News & complement Analysis👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to examine the XRP coin for you. This coin is one of the oldest in the crypto world, and the most complete chart I could find was from Bitstamp. I intend to analyze this coin comprehensively across different timeframes. 📅 Weekly Timeframe: Reaching ATH After Years In the weekly timeframe, we are observing several large and powerful weekly candles that started from the support level at $0.48111, which also coincided with the trendline bottom. This movement continued up to $2.71639, resulting in growth of more than 450%. 🔍 Previously, the price was in a range from $0.48111 to $0.73056, which was broken after nearly 18 months. After breaking through the top of the box and with an influx of buying volume and the RSI moving into overbuy territory, it even surpassed the previous bull run's peak at $1.5761 and reached the main ATH at $2.71639. 📰 This coin was one of the few that did not reach its ATH in the last bull run, mainly due to the lawsuits it faced in the United States. Despite numerous legal cases and being surrounded by negative news, this project managed to survive. In recent months, the court rulings have started to favor XRP, and it is expected that the final verdict will be issued in July 2025. From the documents available, it seems that the case will likely end in favor of XRP. ✨ Another piece of news that benefited this project and definitely influenced this pump was the unveiling and launch of the stablecoin RLUSD, which also helped to bring in volume and bullish momentum to the market and has reached a market cap of $50 million so far. 🔼 If this news continues, the price might break the resistance at $2.71639 and establish new ATHs. However, it's also possible that the price might range until July as market participants wait for both a new price structure to develop and the final legal resolution. 📊 If the resistance at $2.71639 is broken without any correction, it is currently impossible to set a target for a new ATH based on Fibonacci, but if the price creates some structure and corrects a bit, both the health of the trend would be confirmed and the next targets could be determined. 🥸 To find the next corrective areas, it would be better to go to the daily timeframe to see more details. 📅 Daily Timeframe: Beginning of Rest After the Uptrend In this timeframe, we can draw Fibonacci retracement. As you can see, the price is ranging between $2.03599 and $2.71639, mainly giving a time correction without much price retracement compared to the trend it had. 🔽 If a price correction starts, the first area would be the 0.236 Fibonacci level, still considered a shallow correction. The main correction zones would be 0.382, 0.5, and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. The pre-existing support on our chart at $1.26887 lies between the 0.382 and 0.5 Fibonacci zones, which strengthens this area. 🔑 The RSI has exited the overbought area, and re-entering this zone could trigger another price jump. Conversely, breaking below 50 in the RSI increases the likelihood of a correction scenario. As long as the price remains above $0.73056, the trend isn’t considered finished, but if trend reversal is confirmed using Dow Theory in higher zones, we might swiftly shift our market outlook. 🚀 To establish higher targets, as mentioned, we must wait for the $2.71639 ceiling to break to determine the main correction zone and use the Fibonacci extension tool. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Futures Triggers In this timeframe, I want to specify the futures triggers for you. 📈 For long positions, a trigger at $2.48971 seems appropriate given the overall market trend, and upon breaking this area, the first price target could be $2.77913. The main trigger would be breaking the ATH, where breaking $2.77913 could potentially lead to a new ATH. 🔽 For short positions, the first trigger at $2.26574 is very risky given the bullish trend, so be mindful of risk management. I personally prefer not to short a coin with such significant upward momentum, but if you decide to short, the next area for shorting would be below $2.01756. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by tradecitypro
38
TradeCityPro | NEARUSDT Calm before the storm👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go to a day when financial markets are closed and update one of our previously analyzed altcoins, NEAR, and find new triggers together. Scroll Down to Check Out the Analytical Chart as Well! 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting our analysis, as always, let’s check Bitcoin in the 1-hour timeframe, where the candles have become significantly smaller, the range of our fluctuations has narrowed, and the 1-hour candles now show 0.2% fluctuations. This observation, along with our hourly volume, indicates that there is practically no movement, and no one is deciding to trade. For now, it’s better not to make any decisions and just observe the market from a distance. However, this doesn’t mean abandoning the market entirely and coming back to the chart only after the market moves. 🕵️‍♂️ Previous Analysis In our previous analysis uploaded to the channel last month in the weekly timeframe, it can be said that almost nothing has happened. Our spot entry triggers were not activated, and we were simply rejected from the $8.289 resistance, fluctuating within the $3.73 to $8.28 range. 📊 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, as we said, nothing special has happened to our chart. Currently, we are simply ranging within the weekly box, and breaking the support or resistance of this box can result in a sharp move. This week's weekly candle has one day left to close, and if it stays like this, it will engulf the previous two candles, suggesting that we are moving towards the $3.73 support. 📈 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, we are also in a smaller box than our main box, ranging between $4.88 and $6.05, where it might range for a while. On the other hand, the $6.057 resistance can be considered a risky but promising trigger for spot buying, considering that the resistance at the top of the box, or $8.289, is likely to be broken sharply and whale-like. For exiting this coin, I currently suggest doing so below $3.544. Personally, after breaking $4.883, I prefer to open futures positions rather than sell my spot coins. If you pay attention to the $4.883 support, it is the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which is highly significant for our trend. If we rise from this level and break the $6.057 resistance, we can start a good upward move. ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe In the 4-hour timeframe, after being rejected from the $6.058 resistance and printing a red candle, we moved back towards the $4.914 support. Currently, it can be said that we are stuck in a box ranging between $4.914 and $5.156. 📉 Short Position Trigger our trigger is entirely clear, and after breaking $4.914, we can open a short position, targeting $4.5 and $4.05. 📈 Long Position Trigger however, currently, both the volume is very low, and the chart has a very bearish vibe. But if we continue ranging in this short-term box and the sellers lose strength, staying here for a long time, or faking the $4.914 support, after breaking $5.156, we can open a long position—but with a small stop loss and quick profit-taking. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
14
Pepe/UsdtBINANCE:PEPEUSDT Pepe looks **bullish** 📈 and is forming a good structure. Right now, it's facing key **resistance levels** 🏔️, where the price might struggle to go higher: - **0.00001845** 🔴 #Resistance1 - **0.00001932** 🔴 #Resistance2 - **0.00001950** 🔴 #Resistance3 If the price can't break through these resistance levels, we might see it pull back. If it holds above those levels, the price could continue to move higher 🚀. In case the price doesn’t hold and starts to drop, the next key **support levels** 🔻 are: - **0.00001750** 🔵 #Support1 - **0.000016834** 🔵 #Support2 📉 **Resistance** = The ceiling. If the price hits resistance, it might fall back down. 📈 **Support** = The floor. If the price hits support, it could bounce back up. If the price stays above resistance, we could see further bullish momentum, but if it drops below support, it might continue to decline. Disclaimer : This is just analysis and not financial advice! Always do your own research. 💡
Long
by Wolftrader1337
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 10, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: Bitcoin has surpassed our crucial Mean Resistance of 99500 in this week's trading session by plunging sharply back to a critical Mean Support of 91800. This decline suggests that a significant interim pullback may be underway, potentially bringing the cryptocurrency to the Outer Coin Dip 83400 before any resurgence in the bull market occurs. However, an interim strong upside move to Mean Res 97300 might be in the works.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
I take $SOLUSDT LONGBINANCE:SOLUSDT - Opening a #LONG position The trade with TON could have been left open, but I decided that fundamentally SOL is stronger in case of a dip. Currently, the market is in a sideways trend, deciding where to move next. For BTC, the support level is around 92-93k, but it doesn’t seem very strong. SOL is 14% off its previous high and has recovered less than TON. TON is currently down 45%, and while I could have held it, I feel that if things go well, SOL could reach $218. Considering the growing popularity of memecoins, I think Solana has better chances to deliver solid gains. Duration: This trade can be either short-term or long-term, depending on your goals. You can also consider entering as an investor in the SOL ecosystem to average down your costs in case of a failed trade. The key is to monitor funding rates. Target: Achieve 100% profit. Entry made on Binance with 25x leverage. Margin used: $29.77. Total position size: $744.32. Risk: Medium, especially if you’re ready to use dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to manage your position. I’m not setting stop-losses because I currently see a high probability of growth. If it doesn’t work out, this was essentially a $29 lottery ticket.
BINANCE:SOLUSDLong
by themr-im
1
Crypto Alpha Report - January 10, 2025Happy Friday, friends! Is the Bull Market over or on the verge of epic continuation? Join us for Fundamentals Friday as we dive deep into the evidence and find what side of the market we should be on. Let’s re-iterate a powerful metric: Bitcoin Balance on Exchanges. Currently, in January 2025, we have the lowest balance of Bitcoin on exchanges we’ve seen since January of 2019 - which was the bottom of the 2018/19 Bear Market. Liquidity and the order books are thin when the Exchange Balance is very low. This means price is subject not only to wild price swings (which is why being careful with leverage here is crucial) but also sets up price for rapid price appreciation if a surge of fresh buying comes in. However, the knife cuts both ways, as it also means less buy-side liquidity to absorb market sell orders. However, on the positive side, we analyze how this metric has helped predict Bitcoin’s price movements, whether bullish or bearish. We notice that since 2019, prolonged periods of Bitcoin Balance declining have led to bullish price action, and it’s only once the Balance on Exchanges begins to rise again that it calls the Euphoria Phase of the Market Cycle - when prices increase rapidly. Secondly, the long-term holder distribution of Bitcoin seems to have peaked and is currently declining - reaching peaks we’ve seen in previous cycles. In the 2017 market cycle, this metric peaked in August of 2017, when we saw a pullback in Bitcoin’s price from $4,000 to $3,600 - then we continued to rally to $19,000. In 2021, this metric peaked in January, which saw Bitcoin’s price pullback from $40,000 to $32,000 - we then rallied to $63,000. In 2024, this metric peaked on Dec. 10th, which has seen Bitcoin’s price pullback from $105,000 to $90,000 - we then rallied to ???,??? in 2025. Here’s to a frothy future! Crypto Market Update Stablecoin Dominance So far, a swat down from resistance and a decline of -2.17%. Buyers indeed stepped in, supporting Bitcoin’s price specifically and key altcoins. If this is the beginning of a rally, expect this metric to move as low as 5% again - but fair warning: a sustained close above 6% means a breakdown in risk on crypto assets. Bitcoin + Stablecoin Dominance It was an indecisive day for this metric, putting in a doji right below our 200 DMA. With altcoin buyers stepping in tentatively, this metric could go either way. Altcoin Performance Relative to Bitcoin Altcoin buyers have stepped in tentatively, as this metric has increased by 50 bps. This is the zone we should anticipate altcoins to bounce back - so I’m currently feeling optimistic about this metric rising following the deep deviation we had several weeks ago. Bitcoin Bitcoin put in an amazing rally from $91,000 to $95,000 overnight, printing more consecutive bullish hourly candles than we’ve seen since 2017. Trends 5M: Bullish 30M: Bullish 1H: Bearish 4H: Bearish D: Bullish W: Bullish Bitcoin has reclaimed a bullish 5M and 30M trend following an epic rally off of the lows. While the Hourly trend has yet to flip bullish, we have reclaimed the key moving averages of the 1H trend, and the dip to $94,000 looks like a liquidity grab before a move higher up. Key resistance at $95,900 - a break above would confirm just a test of the bottom of Bitcoin’s consolidation range and a pushback to $100,000. Key Levels Point of Control: $93,972 VWAP: $93,988 Value Area High: $94,848 - $95,675 Value Area Low: $92,301 - $93,127 Next Liquidity Zone Above: $$96,393 - $98,487 Next Liquidity Zone Below: $87,000 - $90,200 Strategy: Continue to hold long positions. 30M chart shows a liquidity void was just tapped at $95,700, but our local Point of Control held before that. If this is a bottom, there’s no need to re-test support. It looks like they pushed the price back down to $94,000 to fill orders before letting the price send.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by CrackingCryptocurrency
TradeCityPro | ATOMUSDT NFP Report Explanation👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Today, as the NFP news comes out, I want to provide an explanation about this report and analyze today’s altcoin, which I frequently use for futures positions. The U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report was released today, Friday, January 10, 2025. According to this report, 256,000 jobs were created in December, exceeding the forecast of 164,000. The unemployment rate also dropped from 4.2% to 4.1%. This strong data indicates a continued improvement in the U.S. job market and may push the Federal Reserve to continue its tight monetary policies. As a result, the U.S. dollar strengthened, and interest in high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies decreased. After the release of this report, the cryptocurrency market reacted , Bitcoin initially rose to $95,827 but then dropped back to $95,760. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting today’s analysis, let’s look at Bitcoin in the 1-hour timeframe. It has been almost lifeless since last night, with very small and weak upward candles. With the announcement of the news, it experienced a volatile candle within a small range. Currently, it is below the $95,753 trigger level. With this event, Bitcoin dominance continues to move weakly upward. If this continues and the market declines, altcoins will experience sharper declines. However, if Bitcoin rises, it is better to open a long position on Bitcoin or an altcoin paired positively with Bitcoin. 📊 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, this coin rebounded from the $3.789 support with an engulfing candle and made a relatively good upward move, reaching the $10.149 resistance. This led to a rejection from entering the overbought zone. Like most altcoins, no significant movement has occurred, and it has been range-bound within its box for a long time. The topic of stagnant funds is also relevant here. For re-entry in spot trading, you can buy after breaking $10.149, and if you miss that, after breaking $15.738. If you are holding this coin, the logical exit point in the weekly timeframe remains below $3.789. 📈 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, it has performed better than other altcoins. After breaking the $4.923 resistance, which was the top of its daily range, it made a good move up to $10. Currently, while most coins have returned to their previous daily range boxes, ATOM is on a support level one step higher than the $4.923 support. After being rejected from $10.451, it formed lower highs and lower lows. The last rejection was from the $7.447 resistance, leading to a lower high than $10.451 and making this resistance more significant. If $6.115 breaks, we will see both lower highs and lower lows, and the price will move past the 0.618 Fibonacci support level, possibly reaching $4.923. For a re-entry, conditions are similar to AVAX. After breaking $7.447, you can enter with a stop-loss at $6.115. For a more secure entry, wait for $10.451 to break, or look for reactions at lower levels. However, if $6.115 does not break and the price stays in this daily range for a longer time, the $7.447 resistance will become more significant. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
13
BTC Consolidates Near Support Amid Bearish SignalsBitcoin is currently trading near a crucial horizontal support zone, as marked on the chart. The price recently pulled back from its highs, forming a bearish divergence on the RSI, which suggests weakening momentum. However, the key support level around $90,700–$92,500 is holding firm for now, providing potential for a bounce. If BTC manages to sustain above this support zone, we could see a recovery attempt. However, a breakdown below this critical level might trigger further downside, with the next possible target around $85,000. Traders should closely monitor the RSI and volume for confirmation of either a bounce or a break below the marked support.
Short
by unichartz