ETH: This May Be Your Last Chance Before Exploding to Upside !!Don't lose hope; it's not time yet. As you can see, there are still signs of potential price growth in the higher time frames. If you really have patience, start buying gradually during these price drops and have a hope . This exprience coming from someone who has seen Ethereum at $50.
Give me some energy !!
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Cryptomarket
Bulls & Bears cycles of #Bitcoin.Good day, dear investors.
We present to your attention the analysis of the last 2 #Bitcoin growth cycles and the forecast for the beginning of the bear cycle.
The data demonstrated a surprising coincidence of numbers:
- the bull cycle (the growth of the asset from the minimum quote, to which the asset has not returned) is 1050 days on average.
- the bear cycle consists of 365 days on average.
At the same time, with each cycle, the depth of the asset correction also decreases:
- 2017/2018 loss of 85% of the value of Bitcoin and 95% of Ether.
- 2021/2022 loss of 75% of the value of Bitcoin and 80% of Ether.
Our conservative forecast for the value of Bitcoin is 150,000. A positive forecast, in the event of the adoption of the "Law on the Strategic Reserve" - 250,000.
William Abagnale
Cryptanalyst of Vokcapital.
AI Agent Virtual's - The potential of DAO Hedge funds- Bull CaseExtremely bullish on AI victuals
AI Agents assign trust scores to everyone that interacts with them, enabling an order book of the most reliable alpha from every conversation.
Some prices i see as attainable moving into the trump inauguration and beyond.
The future is here. Read further below price points for a in depth look into Agent virtuals
5 Billion Market Cap: $4.78
10 Billion Market Cap: $9.56
15 Billion Market Cap: $14.33
50 Billion Market Cap: $47.78
Support : $1.66
First resistance: $1.88
Resistance: $2.88
Midterm target: $3.88
Paper Summary:
Core Idea: Proposes a "Marketplace of Trust" system to evaluate the reliability of information.
Mechanism:
User Recommendations: Human users provide recommendations (e.g., investment advice, content moderation).
AI Agent Trading: An AI agent places bets in a virtual market based on these recommendations.
Trust Score Calculation: Real-world outcomes of the AI's bets determine each user's "trust score."
Social Reinforcement: Publicly displayed trust scores incentivize users to provide reliable information.
Key Goals:
Align individual incentives with honest participation.
Leverage collective intelligence to surface trustworthy information.
Applications:
Investing, trading, content moderation, decentralized governance, open source development.
Trading Thesis:
Market Context:
Attractive Sector: AI Virtual likely belongs to a growing sector (AI/Virtual Reality) within the broader cryptocurrency market.
Market Cap: $2 billion within a $15 billion sector and a $4 trillion crypto market suggests potential for significant growth.
Thesis: Long-Term Growth Potential with High Risk.
Bullish Arguments:
First-mover Advantage: If the "Marketplace of Trust" concept gains traction and is successfully implemented, AI Virtual could become a leading player in this niche.
Sector Growth: The AI Virtual sector is poised for significant growth driven by advancements in AI, VR/AR technologies, and increasing demand for immersive experiences.
Cryptocurrency Adoption: Continued growth of the cryptocurrency market could significantly boost the value of AI Virtual.
Bearish Arguments:
Competition: The AI Virtual sector is likely to become increasingly competitive with new entrants and innovative technologies.
Technological Risks: The success of the "Marketplace of Trust" depends heavily on the effectiveness of the AI agent and the robustness of the system against manipulation.
Regulatory Uncertainty: The cryptocurrency market faces regulatory uncertainty, which could negatively impact the performance of AI Virtual.
Trading Strategy:
Long-Term Investment: For long-term investors, AI Virtual may offer significant upside potential, but with increased risk tolerance.
Diversification: Diversify holdings within the AI Virtual sector and the broader cryptocurrency market to mitigate risk.
Continuous Monitoring: Closely monitor the development and adoption of the "Marketplace of Trust" technology, competitive landscape, and regulatory developments.
Disclaimer: This is a general market analysis and not financial advice. Conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Key Considerations:
Team: Evaluate the strength of the development team, their track record, and their ability to execute the project.
Technology: Assess the technological feasibility and potential of the "Marketplace of Trust" system.
Community: Analyze the size and engagement of the community surrounding AI Virtual.
By carefully considering these factors and conducting thorough due diligence, not financial advice.
"OMG BTC IS DEAD"Are you still sure about that??
Sure BTC, worst-case scenario, may even fall to 74k FVG or 85k Fibonacci-support at short-term and that'll imply BTC pierced with full force its current Ichimoku support, but you're missing the big picture...
BTC ultimate potential for this year as per Elliot-Wave theory and Fibonacci levels is to reach 333k around 4/20... And yes I'm not joking, if we reach that ultimate Elliot-Wave impulse wave then we can talk about a proper correction in the first half-of the year and then the second Primary Elliot-Wave impuse comes...
If I ask if I'm still sure about something: I'd say that Seeing is believing...
DYOR/NFAD
Chiliz - The Best Sports Crypto Im going to be breaking-down what I feel are the best long-term holds in each sector/category of crypto. This is the Sports/Entertainment category. I will tell you the pros and cons of each project.
Chiliz
When looking at the chart we can see that Chiliz has been moving in a downward trend for quite some time. On the weekly chart we can see the CHZ has formed a strong bullish divergence. The sports narrative has not yet picked up any steam but once it does, you can bet that CHZ will lead the pack.
Pros of Chiliz (CHZ)
Fan Tokens: Through partnerships with sports teams, especially in football (soccer), Chiliz allows fans to own tokens that can be used for things like voting in polls, receiving merchandise, or influencing minor team decisions, increasing fan loyalty and engagement.
Real-World Use Cases:
Partnerships with Major Sports Organizations: Chiliz has forged partnerships with prominent sports teams, such as FC Barcelona, Juventus, Paris Saint-Germain (PSG), and many others, integrating the platform into the fan experience in meaningful ways.
Socios.com: Chiliz powers Socios.com, a leading platform that lets fans buy and trade tokens from sports clubs. This ecosystem enhances the use of CHZ and contributes to the growing adoption of the project.
Expanding Ecosystem: The project has continued to expand its roster of partnerships with sports leagues, which helps it grow both in the number of users and in the diversity of tokens it offers.
Cons of Chiliz (CHZ)
Niche Focus: Chiliz’s focus on sports and entertainment means its success is tied to these industries. If fan engagement in sports decreases or the tokenization model doesn't take off as expected, it could significantly affect CHZ’s value and relevance.
Legal and Regulatory Risk: Like other cryptocurrencies, Chiliz faces regulatory uncertainty. Countries and jurisdictions are still figuring out how to regulate fan tokens, NFTs, and cryptocurrencies, which could affect Chiliz’s operations and its partnerships with sports teams.
Potential for Regulatory Crackdown: If the legal landscape becomes stricter, there could be negative consequences for Chiliz and other crypto projects in the sports and entertainment space.
All in all, this is not financial advice and instead just my opinion. Thanks for viewing my post and make sure to check out my other ideas!
Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100: Key Support Holds as Bulls The Nasdaq 100 (NAS100) is currently trading at 21,100, with a target price of 23,000, suggesting a bullish outlook and a potential rise of 1,900 points. The price is holding above a key trendline, which acts as a strong support level. This trendline's role is significant, as the recent bounce from this support confirms its reliability. The pattern indicates that the index may continue its upward trajectory if no major resistance levels hinder its movement. Such a setup suggests the market sentiment remains positive. A break above intermediate resistance levels could accelerate the rally. However, traders must remain cautious of external factors like earnings reports or Federal Reserve policy updates that might affect momentum. Proper risk management is essential to navigate potential volatility.
Bitcoin monthly candles starting to look spookyBitcoin has given up its gains made in the initial days of the year following a very strong performance last year. But in December, BTC/USD formed an inverted hammer candle at technically overbought levels, potentially providing a bearish signal for the early parts of this year.
Each time the monthly RSI has risen above 70.00 it has invariably dropped back because of a sell-off in BTC/USD rather than a mere consolidation. We could see another drop to work off its overbought conditions before the next bull run potentially starts in the months ahead.
What makes Bitcoin more interesting this time is the fact the bearish monthly signal has been formed around a major milestones of $100K.
If the December low of $91,271 breaks, and BTC holds below that level, then we could see the onset of a correction. While the dip could ultimately prove to be shallow this time because of the impact of Trump and Musk, prices could still dip towards long-term support levels such as $74K or even $65K. Should we get to these levels, I would then expect to see a potential low and the onset of another rally. But we will cross that bridge if and when we get there.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
BTC head and shoulders? (-.-)To me, this head and shoulders has many issues such as not being symmetrical, no actual head and a weak looking left shoulder.
We haven't even touched the neckline yet and people are freaking out about it.
If anything a better light to reframe this in is a potential triple topping pattern. That makes more sense than any kind of buzz word pattern we're forcing a bias onto the chart when it's not even fulfilled. If the neckline doesn't break, it's not a fulfilled pattern.
Bitcoin | How to Master Ranges ?In our latest analysis ( BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs ) about ranges we had concluded that high leveraged longs would be liquidated, this was due to the belief of the indicators (cdv, volume footprint, etc.) that there were buyers.
However, the lack of buyers in the current picture is a big problem, the data currently says so, but the data is not stable, it can change, you can follow this from volume footprints, cumulative delta volume, liquidation heatmaps. If you do not know how to use these, you can visit my profile, you can contact me, I explain how I use all these tools completely free of charge.
My opinion today is that the price will sell nicely from the red line and the decline will deepen, and everyone who follows me knows that I have been repeating this opinion since $103,000.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
My Previous Analysis
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🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
Crypto Alpha Report - January 08, 2025Happy Wednesday, friends! Today, I want to discuss the discipline necessary to consistently succeed in this market.
It’s Wednesday morning, and I’ve been up since 5 am. I’ve worked out, showered, breakfasted, cared for my kid, and am already about an hour into my work day. I have a clear idea of what capital rotations I will make and what trades I’m considering putting on, and I’ve consumed my morning data.
I don’t tell you this to toot my own horn. I’m showing you an example of what efficiency looks like, of what discipline looks like. Many mornings, I just want to stay in bed, not hit the weights, not hit the charts, and not read another newsletter. I don’t get out of bed because I want to but because I’ve made it a moral imperative.
That was the trick to re-wiring my brain. Focus less on being “disciplined” and instead, make self-improvement and being consistent a moral issue for myself. That seemed to do the trick for me, as I have had a long history of battling depression and apathy.
There’s no such thing as overnight success (at least long-lasting). Consistent results come from consistent inputs. You have to put in the work to be successful. I don’t find a trade every day, hell, most days. But the fact that I put in the time in front of my computer every day means that when an opportunity does come in front of me, I’m prepared to act on it with conviction.
We’ll talk about conviction in tomorrow’s newsletter, but for today, let’s stick to discipline.
To be a successful trader, you must put in the time every day. In the beginning stages, it will be about learning and backtesting. You need to carve out at least 1-2 hours per day to do it. You will have to sacrifice other things you want to do. But if you want this, you must make time to become good at it. That will only come with consistently putting in the time.
If you want to start playing guitar, you won’t be so great in the beginning. But one hour of practice a day and after a few months, you won’t be so terrible. After two years, you’ll be jamming and the center of joy for the campsite (assuming your singing voice isn’t awful).
It’s the same with trading and investing. Whether you want to full portfolio high conviction plays 1-2 times per year or risk 2% taking 2-3 trades per week, whatever your strategy or edge is, the market will not reward you if you don’t put the time in.
Make this the year of buckling down, concentrating your efforts, and making this a serious occupation, not just a moonshot hobby.
Onwards and upwards, friends!
Crypto Market Update
Stablecoin Dominance
A continued movement up from this metric, +1.45% today. Daily momentum is still turned to the upside; however, we remain on a bearish trend with negative momentum—resistance at 5.96% of MC. This is a potential early warning sign of lengthier consolidation, but we’re currently just oscillating around the current Point of Control and the previous local high.
Bitcoin + Stablecoin Dominance
After three days of advance, this metric puts in a Doji indecision candle. Since we saw stablecoin dominance increasing, capital is rotating into altcoins. This is a good early sign of altcoin recovery moving forward.
Altcoin Performance Relative to Bitcoin
This metric is down -0.83% today, conflicting slightly with our previous metric. Potentially putting in a Hammer Reversal Candle, indicating buyers are beginning to step back into altcoins on this dip.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin continued to sell off throughout the night and early morning. However, buyers have stepped in and front-run support at $93,000. I do not expect Bitcoin to break down from our current trading range of $92,000 - $103,000 until January’s catalysts are out of the way.
Trends
5M: Bearish
30M: Bearish
1H: Bearish
4H: Bullish
D: Bullish
W: Bullish
While Bitcoin remains in a bearish short-term trend, Bullish Divergence is printing on the 30M and 1H timeframe, with 4H Volatility, maxed out and nearly oversold. Bitcoin is also now trading above daily VWAP, with a prolonged period of consolidation from $94-$95,000. Expecting either a recovery move upwards, however, it is still likely to re-test the range lows again.
Key Levels
POC: $93,637
VWAP: $95,768
Value Area High: $96,540 - $97,282
Value Area Low: $94,253 - $94,995
Next Liquidity Zone Above: $96,313 - $97,198
Next Liquidity Zone Below: $93,258 - $94,126
Bitcoin is showing substantial bullish divergence in both the 30M and 1H timeframes and some buying strength. There is potential for some recovery today. However, I still expect us to test range lows before making another push for $100,000 or even a bigger breakout, depending on January’s catalysts.
Strategy:
6/10 Conviction that we push up today. I wouldn’t structure a trade here with tight invalidation. Indeed, I think it’s likely we will test $91,000 - $92,000 before pushing back up significantly like we saw moving into Monday morning. Bitcoin is in a consolidation pattern, trading in a wedge formation, and it will likely be later in January that we get a resolution. I expect buyers to keep price above $90,000 until Trump’s inauguration; there’s just too much potential juice left in the market. I would focus on building a swing position to the upside over the next couple of days.
AVAX Long OpportunityMarket Context:
AVAX is retracing in line with the broader market, reaching a key support zone that offers a solid entry point for a long spot trade.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Between $30.50 – $35.00
Take Profit Targets:
$40.00 – $45.00
$52.00 – $55.00
Stop Loss: Just below $28.00
This trade takes advantage of the retracement into support, with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for potential upside momentum. 📈
DOGE ANALYSIS🔮 #DOGE Analysis
🌟🚀 #DOGE is trading in an Ascending Triangle Pattern and here we can see that #DOGE testing the ascending trendline. Also there is an instant major support zone. We can see a pullback from its major support zone.
🔖 Current Price: $0.34820
⏳ Target Price: $0.41960
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀
#DOGE #Cryptocurrency #Breakout #DYOR
UNI/USDT hit the targets perfectly hooray!UNI/USDT hit the targets perfectly hooray!
Everyone who followed my analysis can now book a whopping profit of 35.3% with 10x leverage. As always, we partially closed our position at every 10% profit milestone while moving the stop-loss to breakeven.
For more free trade ideas like this, follow me here: @wsaetos .
Don’t forget to boost this post if you enjoyed this trade.
Stay tuned for more updates!"
TOTAL3 ChartHey,
This is really a text book chart, together with many others in the crypto atm..
A lot of fear and greed is currently in the market, you see that in the PA.
But that is old news, cuz I shared that a long time ago already.
For me more upside from this zone is very likely, if it fails...
I have to go back to the drawing board and see what is the next area of weekly or monthly demand to time when and where price is likely to move towards.
Have a good one, more charts soon.
Make sure you follow us :)
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
TON - Time to long ASAPIf you’re looking for a potential entry point, the current setup presents a compelling case to heavily long. Let’s break down the technical and fundamental factors that suggest an upward reversal could be imminent:
Fundamentally Strong Asset
The foundation of any trade starts with the fundamentals. This asset has strong underlying value, making it more likely to recover after recent volatility. It’s crucial to align technical indicators with the strength of the asset’s intrinsic value.
Significant Drop Within 3 Days
A sharp decline over the last three days indicates potential overselling. Rapid price drops often bring assets into undervalued territory, creating an opportunity for a strong bounce, especially when combined with key support levels.
Triple-Tested Support Line
The price has tested the same support level three times, which strengthens the credibility of this level as a firm floor. Repeated tests without a breakdown often signal a potential reversal, as sellers struggle to push the price lower.
Outside Bollinger Bands
The current price is trading outside the lower Bollinger Band, a classic sign that the asset is oversold. This indicates that bearish momentum could be exhausting, and a mean reversion back to the center of the bands is likely.
Below All Moving Averages (MAs)
The price is sitting below all major Moving Averages (e.g., 50 MA, 100 MA, 200 MA). While this may seem bearish at first, it also shows the asset is in an extreme position, making it ripe for a snapback rally when momentum shifts.
MACD and RSI Signaling a Turnaround
Both MACD and RSI are signaling potential bullish momentum:
MACD: Shows signs of convergence or a potential crossover, often a precursor to upward momentum.
RSI: In oversold territory, suggesting the asset is undervalued and due for a recovery.
Too many factors are saying that we should be bullish.
Time term > could be short and long depending on your needs. You can enter as investor into TON ecosystem too, so in case bad trade you can just DCA.
Target > to get 100%
Entered with Binance x25 leverage
Margin 30$
Total size 770$
Risk: Medium in case you are ready to make DCA
Falling towards pullback support?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 3,314.10
1st Support: 3,213.30
1st Resistance: 3,501.74
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.