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Crypto Alpha Report - January 7Happy Tuesday, friends! With the current AI Agent narrative likely leaving your heads spin as you scramble to deploy capital, let’s reflect on how to truly make money consistently in this market, regardless of what the meta is. Well, what’s the secret? Scrolling X all day and night? Buying whatever your favorite influencer shills? Listening to every Bankless podcast to keep up on the current alpha? While all of those things can sometimes get you into profitable positions, if you can’t define your strategy to me within 60 seconds, you are unlikely to achieve long-term success in this market. Countless cryptocurrencies will go up and come down. You do not, nor does anyone, have the capacity to be involved in every successful project. You only have so much time in the day. You must narrow your focus. You must narrow your entry and exit conditions. You need, in short, an actual strategy. Trading without a strategy is riding turbulent waves of emotions: utter joy when your portfolio goes up, utter terror and uncertainty when it goes down. Inevitably, you will make emotional, impulsive decisions on whether to buy or sell, often determined by others’ “alpha.” There is no single successful trader out there who outsources their decision like this. Every successful trader I’ve met and interviewed can define their strategy within 60 seconds. That doesn’t mean the strategy has to be simple, but it has to be definable and actionable. Example: “I monitor high-volume projects fitting the current meta-narrative. I then wait for a bullish MA cross on the 1H timeframe and go in with x profit target and x stop loss. My win rate is X. My average win per win is X. My average loss per loss is X.” There could have been a few more sentences to describe the entry and exit conditions; some traders don’t use hard stops or profit targets and instead rely on alerts or technical signals. There’s nothing wrong with this. But your strategy needs to, in essence, be quantifiable like this. Otherwise, you’re just randomly buying and selling. Your strategy is luck. Unfortunately, this market does not reward those who depend on luck; it rewards those who put in the hard work. If you know you’re just relying on luck, I challenge you. Spend one week trading a simple strategy. It can be on Bitcoin, on any timeframe, or Solana meme coins. I don’t care. Just sit down and define a strategy. If you can’t be bothered, I’ll supply you with one. 1H Timeframe: Bullish EMA Cross - 21/55. Your buy condition is active when the 21 EMA crosses over the 55 EMA. That’s your overall “we can buy” signal. Entry Signal: 5-Minute Timeframe: Buy when the 5-minute RSI is oversold (below 30%). Exit Signal: 5-Minute Timeframe: Buy when the 5-minute RSI is overbought (above 70%). Sell at a loss if the One-Hour 21 EMA crosses below the 55 EMA. It is a simple technical strategy that works very well in bull markets. I’m not promising you’ll make money, but you have a good chance to. But I want you to focus on your mental and emotional state over the week of this challenge. You will notice how in control you feel and how calculating you become. You will no longer be gripped by anxiety or a feeling of missing out. You will simply be waiting for your opportunities. Ultimately, you can reflect on what went well, what went wrong, and how you could improve. This is the mindset I want you to carry forward because once you start trading with a strategy, you’re unlikely to look back. Onwards and upwards, friends! Crypto Market Update Stablecoin Dominance There is a sizeable move up in this metric today, +4.80%. Daily Momentum returned to the upside after our momentum oscillator neared -2.00% conditions. This metric is still in a downtrend, and we need to see a significant market pivot to reverse that trend. Bitcoin + Stablecoin Dominance A movement up of 0.35%, so we know this movement is dominated mainly by the significant increase in Stablecoin Dominance. In other words, there is a big glut of profit taking on Bitcoin. It's still in a bearish trend. Altcoin Performance Relative to Bitcoin Altcoins are also taking a slight hit today, as this metric is down by -0.55%. Still in a bullish trend, so I still expect altcoins to perform favorably. Bitcoin Bitcoin is experiencing a lot of profit-taking today, as traders capitalize on the ‘Bull Trap’ zone above $100,000. Trends 5M: Bearish 30M: Neutral 1H: Bullish 4H: Bullish D: Bullish W: Bullish Significant selling pressure has caused Bitcoin to lose its lower timeframe bullish trends. Although the selling today was quite dramatic, there’s not too much concern for alarm technically. Daily and Weekly bullish trends remain intact, with trend support from $92,000 - $94,000. The 4H chart suggests ranging price action, oscillating around the 4H 200 SMA. A higher low above $94,000 would confirm a local bottom and a second push above $100,000 - likely beginning to form a bottom within the next few days. Key Levels POC: $93,637 VWAP: $99,514 Value Area High: $101,524 - $103,455 Value Area Low: $95,570 - $97,500 Next Liquidity Zone Above: $100,400 - $101,120 Next Liquidity Zone Below: $95,499 - $95,770 The bottom shelf of the Liquidity Zone Bitcoin currently trades in terminates at $96,331. There is a void in liquidity slightly below that at $95,900. The first group of buyers have stepped in on Bitcoin between $97-$98K. Strategy: Significant liquidity was just tapped, as stops below $97,500 support just got taken out. There is potential to see a short-term bounce to $99,000; however, that’s a much higher risk. Catching falling knives is dangerous, particularly with Bitcoin. Big picture: a higher low above $94,000 is necessary for continued price appreciation throughout the next week in January. This is a bit early cycle-wise to expect a reversal in Bitcoin’s price; we currently estimate that early January should be bullish for Bitcoin - however, rules exist to be broken. Regardless, our first limit fill at $97,000 was just filled, and we have an additional order at $96,000. Our target for BTC in January is $105-108,000.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by CrackingCryptocurrency
KMNO Long OpportunityMarket Context: Following its mid-2024 launch and a 500% rally to ATH, KMNO is undergoing a retracement. The current bounce zone aligns with: 61.80% Fibonacci retracement 200-day EMA A flipped resistance line now acting as support. These confluences suggest a potential opportunity for a continuation to the upside. Trade Details: Entry Zone: $0.11 – $0.098 Take Profit Targets: TP1: $0.20 TP2: $0.35 TP3: $0.40 Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.085 This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with significant upside potential from this technical support zone. 📈
Long
by Richtv_official
RUNE Long Opportunity Market Context: RUNE is showing signs of strength after consolidating near support and reclaiming the 200-day EMA, with a higher low further reinforcing the bullish structure. Holding above key trendlines, the setup indicates a potential continuation to the upside. Trade Details: Entry Zone: $4.30 – $4.70 Take Profit Targets: TP1: $6 TP2: $8 TP3: $13 Stop Loss: Daily close below $4 This setup offers an opportunity to position for a potential breakout while managing risk effectively. 📈
Long
by Richtv_official
Ethereum INVERSED H&S pattern ! Must watch !Hello holders and traders, as you have seen from my previous calls we have had some nice bullish time with BTC hitting an 100K plus ATH. What will happen now? let me tell you :). Trump is taking office soon at 20th January. Until then the price will somewhat correct here and there have some bullish and bearish action. This is to make weak hands lose faith and sell before we can gain more upward momentum. It was the year 2021 when I had the exact same analysis when the price of crypto had a sharp correction, A lot of people were mentally abused by all the price fluctuations. my go to plan in these kind of cases is , ZOOM OUT. Yes we may go to 90k with BTC in this case ETH could touch 3k, but all the pain will be ending soon. Market makers are smart, they know how to make the average investor nervous with sudden declines in price. As you guys can see from my profile TOTAL2 and TOTAL3 chart history is repeating itself. Don't get shaken out, Be like the rich, Michael Saylor, KULR, and many more buy billions, what are your scared of? ;)
Long
by BlackSeaFish61
#Monero $XMRUSD One Year AnalysisCRYPTO:XMRUSD Keylevels / Range $120: Lowest trend price. If the price closes below this level, it would signal a bearish trend. $163: Lowest range price. A close below this level would unlock a new lower zone extending down to $120. $203: Current price. $233: Upper limit of the current channel/wedge. $370: Long-term target. Analysis: Monero has been trading within a range of $183 to $206 for the past two weeks. The price has closed above $197 for the first time since May 2022. This move potentially unlocks a new range, reaching at least $233, where the upper limit of the current channel/wedge and a monthly/weekly supply zone are located. A weekly close above $237 would strongly indicate the unlocking of a new charted zone extending from $237 to $370. Coin Bio: Monero (XMR), is a privacy-focused cryptocurrency launched in April 2014. It was originally forked from the Bytecoin blockchain. Unlike many other cryptocurrencies, Monero's primary focus is on ensuring the anonymity and untraceability of transactions. Key features include: Ring Signatures: Obfuscate the sender's identity. Ring Confidential Transactions (RingCT): Hide the transaction amount. Stealth Addresses: Create unique, one-time addresses for each transaction, obscuring the receiver's identity. These features make Monero attractive to individuals seeking financial privacy and are a core differentiator in the cryptocurrency space. It's developed by an anonymous community of developers and has gained significant traction for its commitment to private and fungible transactions. While its focus on privacy can be controversial, it remains a prominent cryptocurrency with a dedicated user base. XRMUSD specifically refers to the trading pair of Monero against the US Dollar. #CRYPTO #MONERO #XMRUSD #XMR #CRYPTOCURRENCY #AHMEDMESBAH
CRYPTO:XMRUSD
by AhmedMesbah
How to Analyze a Stock ? Key Questions to Ask Before You InvestShould I invest in this stock ? This is a common question investors face many times But where do you begin? What should you look for, and what pitfalls should you avoid? This guide will walk you through the essential steps to analyze a stock, focusing on the business itself rather than the stock chart. Since earnings per share (EPS) growth drives returns, it’s crucial to understand how revenue growth and margin expansion contribute over time. Before buying any stock, ask yourself these six critical questions: 1.Company: What does the business do? 2.Economics: How does it generate revenue? 3.Opportunities: What are the potential upsides? 4.Risks: What challenges could it face? 5.Financials: What do the numbers reveal? 6.Valuation: Is the price justified? 1.What’s the Business? - Mission: A clear mission drives long-term success. For example, Google’s mission, “to organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful,” is simple yet powerful. Does the company’s mission align with a growing trend or an unmet need? - Leadership: Effective leadership, especially from founder-led teams or CEOs with a strong track record, often outperforms. Assess the team’s vision, execution skills, and employee approval ratings. - Products: Are the company’s offerings essential, innovative, or part of a growing market? Consider their uniqueness, potential obsolescence, and innovation history. 2.How Do They Make Money? - Revenue Mix: Is the company’s revenue diversified or reliant on a single product or customer? A diverse mix offers stability, while over-reliance can be risky. - Unit Economics: Examine profitability metrics like gross margin and operating margin. Where does the bulk of profit come from? - Key Metrics: Identify metrics like annual recurring revenue (ARR) for subscriptions or gross merchandise value (GMV) for e-commerce that best reflect the company’s performance trends. 3.What Could Go Right? - Market Growth: Does the company operate in a growing industry, such as AI or renewable energy? -Innovation: Look for ongoing R&D and a track record of successful product launches. -Moat Expansion: Assess the company’s competitive advantage, whether it’s a strong brand, proprietary technology, or cost leadership. 4. What Could Go Wrong? -Market Disruption: Is the company prepared for sudden changes, like new technologies or regulations? -Competition: Strong rivals can erode market share. Analyze customer reviews and competitor benchmarks. - Moat Erosion: A shrinking competitive edge—such as declining pricing power or poor retention—can signal trouble. 5.What Do the Numbers Say? - Profitability: Check revenue growth, gross margins, and net income for consistent improvements. - Solvency: Assess the balance sheet for debt-to-equity ratios, cash reserves, and financial stability. - Liquidity: Positive and consistent cash flow indicates sustainability and growth potential. 6.Is the Price Right? - Valuation Metrics: Use Price to Earnings (P/E), Price to Sales (P/S), or other relevant metrics depending on the company’s growth stage. Compare these to peers and market standards. -Investment Horizon: Longer investment timelines can justify higher valuations if growth potential exists. -Focus on Fundamentals: Valuation matters only if the business is strong. Avoid being tempted by low prices without underlying value. By breaking a company into these six dimensions, you can turn complex decisions into actionable insights. Start with the business fundamentals, evaluate opportunities and risks, and finish by assessing valuation. What stock will you analyze next? Let’s put this framework into action now
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by moonypto
ACT/USDT Descending Channel Breakout The chart highlights a bullish Descending Channel pattern, signaling a potential upward breakout. The price is consolidating near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting strong momentum buildup. A 4-hour candle close above the trendline would confirm the breakout, triggering a potential rally. Key Observations A well-defined descending channel indicates a bullish reversal setup. The current price near $0.43 is poised for a breakout with strong momentum. Target for the move lies at $0.60, aligning with prior resistance levels. Strategic Implications Wait for a confirmed 4-hour candle close above the upper trendline for long entries. A retest near the $0.40 support zone could offer a favorable risk-reward entry. Utilize proper stop-loss levels to mitigate risks and avoid false breakouts.
Long
by wsaetos
BTC 4H viewBTC H4 Kinda thinking we see something like this As far as I'm concerned, BTC is trading in a range between about 90k and 105k We also had a smaller range from mid-December until now, which price has just broken out from In both ranges, we are trading at or above range high Equal highs above so imo you gotta wait for those to be taken before shorting. But shit tons of liquidity below. We actually never really took any proper sellside liquidity when we revisited the lows in December, we basically printed some very awkward looking equal lows instead Not saying we go to 90k this month lol, but it's definitely a target. I think bulls celebrating here are doing so prematurely. And I say that as someone with literally zero short exposure and high 6 figs of long exposure Also conscious that the month, quarter, and year have just opened with a pretty huge pump. BTC is +$11k in a week (+12%). Would be surprised if price continued to chad higher without correction, these kind of moves to open a period often get retraced tl;dr — treating this like a range and we're currently trading at range high so mild bearish bias or at least starting to risk off, up only to start the year, would be surprised if we run ATHs from here without some kind of correction
by Shady_charts
IMX in short term!BINANCE:IMXUSDT It's ranging in a Broadening wedge pattern so the price should stay in it for now! It might retest the bottom of it before ascending further! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly. 👉 Follow me for daily updates, 💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts, 📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources! Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Long
by CRYPTONIC_trend
TradeCityPro | Deep Search In-Depth Of The Open Network👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I will perform a Deep Search on the TON token. In this category of analysis (Deep Search), projects are fully reviewed. 🔍 TON is an advanced, multi-purpose blockchain network designed to provide a fast, secure, and scalable system capable of processing millions of transactions per second. 💵 The project includes various components such as a multi-layer blockchain, distributed storage, a proxy layer for anonymity, and a payment network. 📝 TON functions as a multi-blockchain platform with features like Turing-complete smart contracts, dynamic sharding, and a "fast routing" mechanism for inter-blockchain messaging. 📚 Additionally, the network supports decentralized DNS services and rapid payment channels.This project falls under the Blockchain and Distributed Technologies category, encompassing subcategories such as Smart Contracts, Decentralized Storage, and Payment Services. ✨ The Open Network (TON) distinguishes itself within the blockchain ecosystem through several unique features: 1️⃣ Integration with Telegram: Originally developed by Telegram, TON seamlessly integrates with the messaging platform, granting its vast user base direct access to blockchain services. FLAGSHIP 2️⃣Advanced Sharding and Scalability: TON employs dynamic sharding, allowing the blockchain to automatically split and merge to accommodate varying loads, ensuring efficient processing even during high demand. WIKIPEDIA 3️⃣ Comprehensive Ecosystem Services: Beyond standard blockchain functionalities, TON offers services like TON Storage for decentralized file storage, TON DNS for human-readable addresses, and TON Payments for swift off-chain value transfers, enhancing its versatility compared to other platforms. WIKIPEDIA 4️⃣High Transaction Throughput: With its multi-layered architecture and Proof-of-Stake consensus mechanism, TON can process millions of transactions per second, surpassing many existing blockchains in terms of speed and efficiency. 💰Total Raised: $ 58.00M 🎯 TON's Roadmap: ◾️2018: ▪️Telegram, led by Pavel Durov, decided to design a Layer 1 blockchain capable of supporting its vast user base.The project was launched under the name Telegram Open Network (TON).Telegram raised $1.7 billion in one of the largest ICOs in history. ◾️2019: ▪️Testnets and Design DocumentsThe first testnet of TON was launched in Spring 2019.In November 2019, the second testnet, named testnet2, went live.Key project documentation, including the blockchain’s design and mechanisms, was published. ◾️2020-2021: ▪️Transition and Community RevivalIn 2020, Telegram ceased the project due to SEC lawsuits and paid a $18.5 million fine.The NewTON team, an open-source developer group, took over the project and rebranded it as TON Foundation.In 2021, testnet2 was renamed mainnet and became a stable blockchain. ◾️2022: TON DNS: Introduced a decentralized domain name system.TON Payments: Launched a fast and scalable payment network.TON Proxy: Privacy tools for user transactions. ◾️2023: ▪️Integration with Telegram: TON Wallet became directly accessible in Telegram Messenger.TON Space Wallet Pay: Enabled payments via wallets in Telegram.Transaction Record: TON achieved over 100,000 transactions per second in its first performance test. ◾️2024: ▪️Consolidation and ExpansionDevelopment of decentralized staking and governance tools.Optimization of deflationary mechanisms to reduce token inflation.Introduction of lockup and vesting tools for developers. ◾️2025: " Current Phase " ▪️Stablecoin Toolkit: Adding support for stablecoins within the network.Jetton Bridge: Enabling token transfers between TON and other blockchains.Validator and Collator Separation: Enhancing network efficiency.Sharding Tools: For better chain management.Slashing Optimization: Improved penalty mechanisms for underperforming validators. 👥 Team : ▪️Pavel Durov: Founder of Telegram and the Russian social network VK. ▪️Nikolai Durov: Brother of Pavel Durov and a lead developer in both Telegram and TON projects. ▪️Steve Yun: President of the Foundation Council at TON Foundation. ▪️Barbara Schüpbach: Member of the Foundation Council at TON Foundation. ▪️Manuel Stotz: Member of the Foundation Council at TON Foundation and founder of Kingsway Capital. ▪️Bill Qian: Chairman of Cypher Capital and member of the TON Foundation board. ▪️Tal Kol: Co-founder of Orbs and Hexa, and recognized as a TON ambassador. ▪️Oleg Andreev: Co-founder of Tonkeeper and core developer of the TON blockchain, also serving as a TON ambassador. 📊On-chain Data: ▪️From an on-chain resistance and support perspective, the price range of $5.6 to $5.74 contains a significant volume of coins at a loss, making it a potential major resistance zone. Conversely, the range of $5.42 to $5.25 holds approximately 100 million TON tokens in profit, which could serve as solid support. However, the higher volume of coins at a loss suggests a relatively moderate risk. ▪️Regarding large transactions, there has been a noticeable spike coinciding with the price drop, likely reflecting whale activity. Despite reduced network activity, partly due to the Christmas holidays, there have been substantial inflows into the wallets of major holders. Additionally, the balances of large addresses have increased, which could have a positive mid-term impact. Notably, approximately 66% of TON tokens are held by whales, further emphasizing their influence on the network. 📌 TVL: ▪️In terms of TVL (Total Value Locked), the long-term downward trend continues, with this decline intensifying particularly in December. However, from late December, specifically on the 26th, there was a notable increase of approximately 4 million TON 👝Some wallets that support TON : ▪️Tonkeeper ▪️Tonhub ▪️TON Wallet (Telegram Integrated) ▪️Trust Wallet ▪️Ledger (via Tonkeeper) ▪️MyTonWallet ▪️Atomic Wallet ▪️SafePal 💵 DEX: ▪️STON.fi v2 ▪️DeDust ▪️Uniswap v3 (Ethereum) ▪️PancakeSwap v3 (BSC) ▪️PancakeSwap v2 (BSC) ▪️THENA FUSION ▪️ Biswap v2 ▪️Nomiswap ▪️SqaudAwap v2 You can use platforms like STON.fi & DeDust to provide liquidity and hipofinance & tonstakers to stake your toncoin token 🔔 The blockchains supported by TON for interoperability and integration include: ▪️Ethereum ▪️BNB Smart Chain ▪️Bitcoin ▪️Solana ▪️Polygon ▪️Avalanche ⛏️ How to Set Up a Full Node on the TON Network: ▪️Setting up a node on the TON network requires familiarity with Linux systems and software configurations. Below is a simplified guide to help you get started. 👁‍🗨Prerequisites: 📌Hardware Requirements: ▪️CPU: Minimum 16 cores. ▪️RAM: Minimum 128 GB. ▪️Storage: 1 TB NVMe SSD (preferably with 64K+ IOPS). ▪️Internet: 1 Gbit/s bandwidth with a fixed IP and 16 TB monthly traffic. 🖥 Recommended Operating Systems: ▪️Ubuntu 20.04 or 22.04 ▪️Debian 11 💻Necessary Software: ▪️Required libraries and compilers for TON. ▪️MyTonCtrl tool for node management. 💡Simpler Alternative ▪️Using NOWNodes: If you prefer a hassle-free setup, you can use the NOWNodes service. 1️⃣ Sign up and get an API key. 2️⃣ Use this key to connect to the node via API. 🔔No need for manual node management. ▪️This chart indicates that trading volume has significantly declined since the beginning of December 2024, dropping from approximately $49.8 million to $14.06 million. This represents a substantial decrease in trading activity. ▪️With the start of 2025, there are signs of recovery, and trading volume has rebounded to $13.5 million, showing relative improvement compared to the end of December. These changes could indicate shifts in user confidence or market conditions. 🔑Key Points: 1️⃣ Sharp Decline in December: This drop might have occurred due to holiday effects or decreased market confidence. 2️⃣ Recovery in Early 2025: The increase in trading volume may be attributed to traders returning to the market at the start of the new year. 3️⃣Overall Pattern: Significant fluctuations in trading volume during the final months of 2024 highlight notable changes in user behavior and market dynamics. 💵 TON presale: ▪️Token Price: 1 TON = $0.5 ▪️Minimum Purchase: 0.02 TON ▪️Maximum Purchase: 5,000,000 TON ▪️Platform: Ethereum (ETH) 🗓 Presale Dates: Started on August 7, 2018, and ended on March 3, 2019 ● Presale 15.00% ● Token mainsale 30.00% ● User acquisition 15.00% ● Exchange listings 15.00% ● Team 10.00% ● ACT Foundation contributors 5.00% ● dExperts 🖇Popular Tokens on the TON Blockchain 1️⃣ Toncoin (TON) ▪️Price: $5.73 ▪️24h Trading Volume: $197,810,118 ▪️Weekly Growth: 3.9% ▪️Market Cap: $14,525,127,671 2️⃣ Notcoin (NOT) ▪️Price: $0.006768 ▪️24h Trading Volume: $80,489,304 ▪️Weekly Growth: 10.0% ▪️Market Cap: $692,498,083 3️⃣ Dogs (DOGS) ▪️Price: $0.0005621 ▪️24h Trading Volume: $29,306,279 ▪️Weekly Growth: 10.3% ▪️Market Cap: $290,189,623 4️⃣ Hamster Kombat (HMSTR) ▪️Price: $0.003342 ▪️24h Trading Volume: $19,115,054 ▪️Weekly Growth: 14.0% ▪️Market Cap: $214,964,346 5️⃣ GoMining Token (GOMINING) ▪️Price: $0.4956 ▪️24h Trading Volume: $11,901,223 ▪️Weekly Growth: 3.1% ▪️Market Cap: $204,983,516 6️⃣ WATCoin (WATC) ▪️Price: $0.001587 ▪️24h Trading Volume: $23,901.32 ▪️Weekly Growth: 6.3% ▪️Market Cap: $79,466,205 7️⃣ Catizen (CATI) ▪️Price: $0.3839 ▪️24h Trading Volume: $22,506,372 ▪️Weekly Growth: 6.4% ▪️Market Cap: $78,969,044 8️⃣ Bitget Wallet Token (BWB) ▪️Price: $0.5168 ▪️24h Trading Volume: $4,467.86 ▪️Weekly Growth: 9.0% ▪️Market Cap: $73,821,308 🪙 Tokenomics and Unlock overview: ▪️Total Supply: 5 billion TON. ▪️Initial Allocation: Team: 72.5 million TON (1.45%). ▪️Pre-mined: 4.9275 billion TON (98.55%). Locked Tokens: ▪️Believers Fund: About 1.317 billion TON locked for five years (two-year cliff, three-year linear release). 🔓Unlocking: ▪️begins in October 2025, with 37 million TON added monthly over 36 months. Approximately 2.4 billion TON temporarily removed from circulating supply through locking mechanisms. 📣 Conclusion ▪️Overall, in terms of on-chain data, fundamentals, and rankings on various platforms such as CertiK, TON has received good scores. Recently, Telegram announced achieving profitability for the first time, with its revenue surpassing $1 billion in 2024. This success was driven by innovative strategies like in-app advertising, premium subscriptions, and new features, along with premium subscribers exceeding 12 million. This milestone could be an indicator of potential growth for TON. Therefore, in the medium term, if macroeconomic conditions remain favorable, TON could experience significant growth ✨ Now,lets dive into technical analysis 📅 Weekly Timeframe: Reaccumulation Box? In the weekly timeframe, we observe an upward trend that is currently in correction mode. Additionally, the price has formed a curved upward trendline, and it is currently near this level. 🔍 The price correction started from the $7.98 resistance and has continued to $4.778, which overlaps with the 0.382 Fibonacci level. If this support zone, which has reacted twice so far, is broken, the next supports will be at the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. If the market sees more correction and declines, the next support will be at $2.491. 🧩 If the RSI falls below 41.89, the likelihood of a corrective scenario increases significantly. Volume plays a significant role in this move, and the selling volume in the market must exceed the buying volume. 🛒 For spot buying, the best trigger is breaking the $7.98 resistance. Additionally, a reaction to the curved trendline or $4.778 could provide a good buy trigger depending on your strategy. Breaking 62.42 on RSI is also very important and could bring significant momentum into the market. 🚀 To determine new targets, I drew a Fibonacci extension for you. According to this, potential targets are at $18 and $42. However, from a market cap perspective, I believe the logical target lies in the $18-$20 range if $7.98 is broken. 📅 Daily Timeframe: More Details In this timeframe, we see more details of the price move. Recently, volume has decreased significantly over a few candles, and the price is fluctuating between the weekly curved trendline and the $5.918 short-term resistance. Breaking either of these zones will likely determine the next LWC or even MWC. 📈 For long positions, the triggers are breaking $5.918 and $6.955, and the ATH resistance ($8.191) will also be a suitable trigger. 🔽 For short positions, the best trigger is breaking $4.616. However, this support is a very strong demand zone, and breaking it is unlikely. If it does break, the next supports will be at the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, approximately between $3.5 and $4. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
34
APT/USDT Key Support Level in Focus for Potential Bullish RThe chart showcases a potential breakout scenario for APT/USDT, as the price is attempting to establish $10 as a solid support level. A successful confirmation of this level on higher timeframes could pave the way for a bullish rally. Key Observations 1. The price is consolidating around the critical $10 zone, attempting to flip it into support. 2. Confirmation of $10 as support on a higher timeframe is essential to validate upward momentum. 3. Aptos remains undervalued below $10, presenting a favorable accumulation zone. Strategic Implications Monitor closely for higher timeframe confirmation of the $10 support level. A sustained hold above this level may trigger an upward move, making it a strong candidate for a long position. Be cautious of false breakouts and ensure adequate risk management in case of unexpected price dips.
Long
by wsaetos
GOAT/USDT Elliott Wave Analysis Short-Term The chart highlights a descending channel pattern integrated with Elliott Wave analysis, indicating possible short-term price movements. Currently, the price is navigating through Wave 4 and nearing a key resistance zone. Key Observations The price action reflects an Elliott Wave corrective structure within a descending channel. The ongoing Wave 4 suggests an upward move towards $0.69, a significant resistance level. After testing this resistance, the price could retrace to $0.32, completing Wave 5. Strategic Implications Watch for potential rejection or breakout signals around the $0.69 resistance zone for short-term opportunities. The projected dip to $0.32 could be a better area to re-enter for short-term trades. Focus on confirmation of Wave 5 completion to reassess the trend and strategy. Short-term traders should remain cautious and agile as the pattern unfolds.
by wsaetos
1
LTC/USDT Descending Triangle Breakout with Retest OppurtunityKey Observations 1. The chart illustrates a Descending Triangle breakout, where the price has successfully moved above the descending trendline, confirming a bullish continuation. 2. The breakout has brought the price above the horizontal resistance zone at $115, which now acts as support. 3. A retest of the breakout zone ($115–$116) could provide an ideal entry opportunity for buyers. Strategic Implications Monitor the price action closely around the $115–$116 level for signs of a successful retest. If the support holds, it may lead to further upside, with the next target zone around $130–$140, aligning with previous highs. Use a stop-loss below $110 to manage risk effectively, as a breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish setup. Look for volume confirmation during the retest to reinforce the strength of the breakout.
Long
by wsaetos
SOL - Time to Short?For traders looking to capitalize on short opportunities, it’s essential to evaluate the market using technical signals. Here are four critical indicators suggesting it might be time to consider shorting: Weak Volumes Volume is one of the most reliable measures of market strength. When an asset is trading on low or weakening volumes, it indicates a lack of conviction among buyers to push the price higher. This could signify a potential reversal or that upward momentum is running out of steam, providing a signal for short-sellers to take notice. 50 MA Acting as Resistance The 50-day moving average (50 MA) is a widely followed indicator in technical analysis. When the price approaches the 50 MA from below and fails to break above it, the line acts as a resistance level, signaling a potential barrier for further upward movement. Upper Bollinger Band Line Bollinger Bands are used to measure market volatility and overbought/oversold conditions. When the price hits or hovers near the upper Bollinger Band, it often suggests the asset is overbought and may face downward pressure. Combined with other bearish signals, this strengthens the short bias. 50% Fibonacci Retracement Level Fibonacci retracement levels are crucial for identifying potential reversal zones in an asset’s price movement. The 50% retracement line is a key level where many traders expect the price to encounter resistance during a correction within an overall trend. If the price struggles at this level, it’s often seen as confirmation of a bearish move. Be Cautious! My mantra is to never short, but this time, I’ve decided to enter the trade alongside this analysis. I opened a position on the SOL/USDC pair with 25x leverage, a total size of $309, and a margin of $15. However, please note that SOL is fundamentally strong and could defy all the technical indicators mentioned above.
BINANCE:SOLUSDShort
by themr-im
ICP/USDT Bull Flag Breakout is Loading....The chart highlights a classic Bull Flag pattern, which signifies a potential continuation of the upward trend. At present, the price is consolidating within the confines of the flag, indicating a phase of market indecision as it builds momentum for a breakout. Key Observations 1. The Bull Flag structure remains well-defined, with the price oscillating inside a descending channel. 2. Support is evident along the lower boundary around the $11.5 mark, offering a logical entry point for buyers. 3. A decisive breakout above the upper boundary of the flag would confirm the bullish outlook and could trigger a strong upward surge. 4. The projected target for this move lies above $14, aligning with significant resistance levels observed previously. Strategic Implications Patience and vigilance are crucial. Focus on identifying a breakout above the upper boundary, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume to affirm the move. In the event of a retest near the $11-$11.5 support zone, it could provide a favorable opportunity for initiating long positions. Be mindful of potential false breakouts and use risk management strategies, such as setting appropriate stop-loss levels, to protect your capital.
Long
by wsaetos
2
Crypto Alpha Report - January 06Happy Monday, friends! In today’s issue, I want to cover the grind and the mindset necessary to succeed in 2025. Love it or hate it, you are not a computer. You are a biological meat bag filled with swirling hormones, fluids, and organic components. While many of us favor philosophy, the pursuit of truth/wisdom, and self-improvement, we’re still hindered by our biology regarding stress, anxiety, motivation, and discipline. You see, the answers don’t all live up in your mind. The answers often live inside your body. There will be days you don’t want to trade, days you don’t want to backtest, and days you don’t want to scan the markets. While being kind to ourselves is essential, it’s equally important not to let poor planning and overreliance on our “feelings” dictate our actions. Just as it is essential to set clear profit targets and goals for our trades and investments BEFORE entering a position, it’s equally important to set a pre-planned schedule and routine for our trading and investment activities. Too often, I would wake up early and be excited to get to the markets. I would log onto my computer and immediately consume all of my alpha newsletters, telegram & discord chats, and then start scrolling X searching for Alpha. Before I knew it, it would be the afternoon, and while I “felt” like I had done something productive for my trading account, I hadn’t done a thing but scroll social media. Knowledge without action is pointless. It doesn’t do you a bit of good to listen to a long podcast about motivation if you don’t use that knowledge to make any fundamental changes in your life. Similar in crypto, while it’s helpful to have a baseline knowledge of the ecosystem, at the end of the day, we’re not working in the marketing department for any project or giving long lectures or TED talks about cryptocurrency evangelism. We’re here to make money. Researching all these new projects and trading strategies isn’t helpful if it doesn’t inspire direct action. You will be much more sane AND profitable if you restrict your knowledge-gathering activities to more actionable intel. There’s only so much time in the day, and you can’t be good at everything. It is better to niche down, focus on what you’re going to trade, and focus on the chains you’re holding positions on than to get spread too thin knowing a little bit about a lot. Here’s to niching down for riches in 2025 friends. Crypto Market Update Macro Stablecoin Dominance A nice clean breakdown from our consolidation area and a Lower Low. Happy days for altcoin holders. Our portfolios are up nicely because of it. This metric is getting close to being oversold, so I expect a corrective move up to re-test the breakdown point of 5.75% within the next 3-5 days. Use this metric to take short-term profits on higher-risk, lower-conviction positions. Stablecoin + Bitcoin Dominance This metric got oversold over the weekend, and today, it is putting in a nice bounce. As we already saw that Stablecoin Dominance is down, we know this is purely capital rotation back into Bitcoin, as people are beginning to finally buy back into Bitcoin with some size and conviction and dump stables. Altcoin Performance Relative to Bitcoin This metric is taking a hit today as altcoins pull back as capital rotates back into Bitcoin. This pullback will likely last a few more days, so there is an opportunity to cycle altcoin gains back into Bitcoin until this metric stabilizes. However, you can also hold your altcoin positions as this metric is still in an uptrend, and the long-term potential for overperformance is very high. Bitcoin Bitcoin had a beautiful day today, successfully reclaiming $100,000. We have regained bullish momentum on all timeframes and should continue to see overall price appreciation dominating throughout the week. Expect prices to pull back this weekend into early next week in anticipation of the Interest Rate print coming out on the 15th, but should that print be positive, we should rally into Trump’s inauguration. Trends 5M: Bullish 30M: Bullish 1H: Bullish 4H: Bullish D: Bullish W: Bullish Bitcoin has successfully regained its bullish trend in all timeframes. The 1H Guppies have been dominating as the pullback entry zone for this current rally. That range is currently $99,200 - $100,000. Limit bids for re-entry can be stacked there and at the 4H pullback zone of $97,200 - $98,000. Key Levels POC: $93,634 VWAP: $100,481 Value Area High: $102,185 - $103,823 Value Area Low: $97,139 - $98,777 Next Liquidity Zone Above: $103,550 - $104,267 Next Liquidity Zone Below: $96,522 - $98,580 Generally, following big breakouts like this, Bitcoin does not pullback very much and just continues aggressively. Nevertheless, this is a higher-risk type of entry. I recommend setting limit bids at $99,700 as I see a liquidity gap (likely a dip target). If Bitcoin keeps pushing, we should move rapidly for the next liquidity zone above. Strategy: While enthusiastic, discipline as a trader and following our pre-plan is essential for long-term success. We still face a potential bull trap between $100,000 - $108,000, and Bitcoin has key catalysts coming up in the form of the Interest Rate Print (15th), Trump’s Inauguration (20th), and FOMC Decision (29th). As I originally outlined, I don’t expect the Fed to pivot on interest rate decisions until March or May, which means Bitcoin is unlikely to sustain a continued rally above the current ATH until that event occurs. While I would love to be wrong, I expect a reversal in Bitcoin’s price somewhere around $105,000 - $108,000 unless something crazy happens following Trump’s inauguration (sighing of SBR on day one?). Therefore, I recommend taking partial profits on Bitcoin longs opened up at or below $95,000. Move your Stop Loss to $95,000 or slightly above, and continue to hold positions. Look for re-entries on pullbacks to the key levels identified above.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by CrackingCryptocurrency
XRP/USD Long-TERM Bullish TA 2025-2035It is time to update our long-term technical analysis for XRP. The mathematical principles remain unchanged, but the time intervals have been adjusted. We present you with an updated chart for the next 10 years. Regarding prices, we anticipate a price range of $28 to $60 during the current cycle, which is expected to conclude within the next 12 months. Subsequently, we anticipate a correction between $3 and $5, followed by another substantial increase to $25. After that, we enter a prolonged period of low prices for #Bitcoin, which we expect to bottom out in the range of $1 to $3 between 2027 and 2030. These prices will serve as potential purchase opportunities prior to the commencement of the next altcoin cycle, which is projected to begin in 2032 and continue until 2035. During this cycle, Ripple is expected to attain the coveted price of $600. Historically, XRP was launched in 2012 by Ripple Labs as part of a vision to revolutionize global payments. Its innovative consensus ledger and transaction protocol offered faster and more cost-effective cross-border transactions, setting it apart from its peers. Over the years, XRP has forged strategic alliances with financial institutions worldwide, enhancing its credibility and adoption. Despite facing regulatory challenges, particularly with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in 2020, XRP has demonstrated resilience, maintaining its relevance within the crypto ecosystem. It is imperative to recognize that this journey will be protracted and challenging, but it is worthwhile to pursue it at a steady pace. Best regards, Earliers! Check my other Charts to be informed!
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by CryptoPtoTA
1
Trading Psychology: How Does Your Mind Matter In Making Money?Trading Psychology: Mastering Your Emotions for Success The renowned book on trading psychology, Tradingpsychologie, aptly states: “The greatest enemy of the trader is fear. He who is afraid loses.” This succinctly encapsulates the importance of managing emotions in trading. As a trader, you’ve likely experienced emotions such as fear, greed, regret, hope, overconfidence, doubt, and nervousness. While every trader faces these emotional challenges, successful traders understand that letting emotions dictate their decisions is a recipe for failure. The essence of trading psychology lies in controlling your emotions to make sound investment decisions. In this article, we’ll delve into the concept of trading psychology and provide practical tips to help you trade with confidence. What is Trading Psychology? Trading psychology refers to a trader’s emotional and mental state, which influences their trading actions. Emotions like hope and confidence can be beneficial, but those like fear and greed must be managed. A common emotional challenge in financial markets is the fear of missing out, or FOMO. To become a successful trader, it’s crucial to cultivate a sharp mindset, coupled with knowledge and experience. Let’s explore the key psychological factors that impact a trader’s mindset and pro-tips to manage them effectively. Key Psychological Factors in Trading 1. Fear Fear arises when something valuable is at risk. In trading, risks may include: Negative news about a stock or the market A trade going in the wrong direction The potential loss of capital Fear often leads traders to overreact and prematurely liquidate their holdings. A strong trading psychology means not letting fear dictate your buy/sell strategy. What should you do? Identify the root cause of your fear and address it in advance. Reflect on these issues so that when fear arises, you can address it logically. Focus on not letting the fear of loss hinder potential profits. 2. Greed Greed emerges when you seek excessive profits. Remember, Rome wasn’t built in a day, and neither will your trading fortune. A winning streak can quickly turn into a disaster if greed takes over. What should you do? Combat greed by setting predefined profit-taking levels. Before entering a trade, establish your stop-loss and profit-booking levels to avoid impulsive decisions. A sound trading psychology involves being satisfied with reasonable profits and avoiding the pursuit of irrational gains. 3. Regret Regret manifests in two ways: Regretting a trade that didn’t succeed Regretting not taking a trade that could have succeeded Trading based on regret can lead to poor decision-making. What should you do? Accept that you can’t capture every market opportunity. The trading equation is simple: you win some, you lose some. Embracing this mindset will help you develop a healthier trading psychology. 4. Hope Many traders equate trading with gambling, hoping to win all the time. When they don’t, they feel dejected. What should you do? To succeed, cultivate a trading psychology that doesn’t rely on hope. Don’t let hope keep you invested in a losing trade. Be practical and book losses at the right time to protect your capital. How to Improve Your Trading Psychology 1. Get Yourself in the Right Mindset Before starting your trading day, remind yourself that markets are inherently volatile. Good days and bad days are inevitable, but the bad days will pass. Take time to build a robust trading strategy unaffected by market sentiment. 2. Build a Solid Knowledge Base Improving your trading psychology begins with increasing your market knowledge. A strong knowledge base empowers you to overcome negative emotions and make informed decisions. Remember, knowledge is power. 3. Recognize the Reality of Real Money It’s easy to forget that the numbers on your screen represent real money. While it’s natural to take risks in hopes of generating returns, always approach trading with caution and make well-thought-out decisions. 4. Learn from Successful Traders The stock market treats every trader differently. Observe the habits of successful traders not to replicate them, but to glean insights. Incorporating some of their strategies into your trading approach can significantly enhance your performance. 5. Practice, Practice, Practice The most reliable way to strengthen your trading psychology is through practice. Consistent practice helps you build effective strategies and prepares you for market ups and downs. Final Thoughts Developing a robust trading psychology takes time and consistent effort. Continuously refine your approach to manage your emotions and improve your decision-making. To summarize, remember these three golden principles of trading psychology: Be disciplined. Be flexible. Never stop learning. I’d love to hear your thoughts and see your charts in the comments section. Let’s grow together as traders! Thank you for reading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
14
DOT 1hr with TA by GrokAI Given the chart provided and your interest in cryptocurrency trading, here's an in-depth technical analysis (TA) of the DOT/USDT chart: Price Action & Trend: The price is currently near a resistance level around 7,732 USDT. This level has been tested multiple times, indicating strong resistance. There's a visible uptrend before hitting this resistance, suggesting bullish momentum leading up to this point. Moving Averages (MA): The 20-period SMA (Simple Moving Average) is above the 50-period SMA, which is typically a bullish sign, indicating short-term momentum is stronger than the long-term trend. The price has crossed below the 20-period SMA, which might suggest a potential reversal or correction phase if the resistance at 7,732 holds. Volume: There's a noticeable increase in volume at the resistance level, which could indicate either a strong push to break through or a rejection at this price level. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is approaching overbought territory but hasn't crossed into it yet. This suggests that while the asset is gaining strength, it's not yet at a level where a significant pullback is imminent due to overbought conditions. Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO): The CMO shows momentum is positive but has started to decline, which could be early signs of weakening bullish momentum. Fibonacci Retracement: If we consider the recent uptrend from the low around 7,112 to the high at 7,732, the Fibonacci levels could be: 23.6% at around 7,270 38.2% at around 7,380 50% at around 7,422 (which is also a psychological level) 61.8% at around 7,464 These levels could act as support if the price pulls back from the current resistance. Support and Resistance: Immediate support could be found around the 20-period SMA, which is currently around 7,700 and descending. Stronger support might be around the 50-period SMA, which is lower, around 7,650. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the 7,732 resistance with strong volume, it could target the next psychological level around 7,800 or higher. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break the resistance and volume decreases, we might see a correction towards the Fibonacci levels or the moving averages. Given your interest in cryptocurrencies and previous posts about market movements, it's crucial to watch for confirmation of a breakout or breakdown. If you're looking to make a decision based on this chart: For Long Positions: Consider waiting for a confirmed breakout above 7,732 with increased volume for a safer entry point. For Short Positions: Look for a failure to break the resistance followed by a decrease in volume and price action confirming a move lower. Always remember to use stop-loss orders to manage risk, especially in markets known for volatility like cryptocurrencies.
Long
by jasonciviello