Cryptomarket
Arbitrum-ARBUSD Periodic Analysis (Issue 55)The analyst believes that the price of { ARBUSD } will increase in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
BTC shows a 6% potential in the last 3 days of 2024.It seems we are back to the initial thesis, which is great since we already profited from the previous trade entry. Now, it feels like we’re seeing the same situation unfold again. Key indicators such as the Bollinger Bands, the 50-day moving average, the volume spikes from November 13th, sufficient corrections, and the support lines are all aligning similarly.
On a fundamental note, I’d like to add the following: with just three days left until the end of 2024, there’s the “Santa Rally” phenomenon, along with the prevailing sentiment in crypto communities that it would be exciting to close the year with BTC reaching $100k. Such a milestone could act as a psychological boost, potentially fueling a strong movement for the entirety of 2025.
The $100k level is also a significant psychological barrier. Taking all this into account, I believe this is a good opportunity to enter a position with the potential for short-term profit—up to 6%—over the next few days.
However, we need to take into account the 80% correlation with the S&P 500, which is currently at its peak levels. That said, hedge funds and institutional investors are closing deals to meet their KPIs, which could provide additional support.
Hopefully, this will sustain the overall positive vibe for the last 3 days of the year.
Yours sincerely,
Mister iM
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin exhibited fluctuations within the newly defined Mean Resistance of 99500 and Mean Support of 91800. The analysis suggests a high probability that the cryptocurrency will experience a decline to the Inner Coin Dip 88500 prior to initiating a significant rebound. This rebound is expected to facilitate the re-establishment of its bullish trend. It is essential to consider that a rebound bull movement may indeed occur from the Mean Support 91800.
Crypto Alpha Report - December 27, 2024Friday Alpha Report
2024 12 27
Opening Bell:
As I reflect on this year, and the upcoming year to come, I ask myself the same question many likely are.
“Are we really going to get alt season?”
“Should I really be all-in on alts right now?”
“What if this is the top?”
Specifically with altcoins, I find it’s very helpful to reflect on MARKETCAP, instead of price, as that is the #1 metric IMHO for evaluating how much farther a token can go, and at what levels price taking should occur.
Here are some market caps we reached during the previous bull market:
Cardano (ADA) - FWB:95B (now: $30.8B)
Dogecoin (DOGE) - $88.7B (now: $46.3B)
Solana (SOL) - $77B (now: $94.5B)
Polkadot (DOT) - $56B (now: $10.6B)
Shiba Inu (SHIB) - $41.1B (now: $13.4B)
Terra (LUNA) - GETTEX:41B (now: $307M)
Avalanche (AVAX) - $30B (now: $15.9B)
Cronos (CRO) - $22.7B (now: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:4B )
Uniswap (UNI) - $22.5B (now: $8.3B)
Chainlink (LINK) - $22B (now: $15.4B)
Polygon (MATIC) - $19.7B (now: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:4B )
Axie Infinity (AXS) - $10.4B (now: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B )
FTX Token (FTT) - SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B (now: $0)
Sandbox (SAND) - $6.8B (now: $1.3B)
These were some of the best-performing coins of the 2020/2021 Bull Market Cycle, with some only reaching their peak market caps in early 2022.
When I look at the current Marketcaps of Crypto today, only the top 11 coins have a market cap over $20B.
Looking back at the 2020/2021 cycle, the top narratives (categories of crypto) were:
Layer 1 Blockchains (Why? Serious need for scaling solutions and cheaper alternatives to ETH)
Layer 1 Blockchains reached market cap highs of $50-90B.
DeFi (Why? Shiny new thing, hype around yield and “safer” way to earn in crypto)
DeFi projects reached market cap highs of $10-20B.
Memecoins (Why? GME/AMC “stick it to the man” movement)
Memecoin projects reached market cap highs of $5-10B with DOGE & SHIB outliers reaching 40-80B.
NFTs & Metaverse (Why? “Mainstream” adoption of digital art/gaming items, hype around metaverse with major brands entering the space)
NFT & Meraverse tokens reached marketcap highs of $5-15B.
Exchange Tokens (Why? Benefits like trading fees/rewards/token burns, increased trading volume during bull market)
Exchange tokens reached marketcap highs of $5-10B.
Well, what are the current narratives poised to erupt in 2025? This is where we enter the realm of speculation, but I would bet the following categories are likely to experience further growth:
AI Agents (current combined MC of $12B, top project MC of $3.5B)
Meme (current combined MC of $105B, top project MC of FWB:46B )
Infrastructure (current combined MC of $45B, top project MC of $13.9B)
DePIN (current combined MC of FWB:32B , top project MC of $3.6B)
Gaming (current combined MC of $24B, top project MC of $2.4B)
Zero Knowledge (current combined MC of GETTEX:13B , top project MC of $2.4B)
Real World Assets (current combined MC of $19B, top project MC of $3.5B)
As you can see, if we see anything like the growth we saw in the 2020/2021 cycle - we are a long ways away from bull market highs, and these sectors have a lot of room to grow. Of course, the challenge as always is conviction. It’s really not timing, for those with a longer time horizon. Often, hyper focusing on the timing just leaves you sidelined. Focus instead on the quality, your conviction, and your targets.
Litecoin, Shitecoin: An OpportunityAs much as I blast Litecoin, I think there's a trading opportunity here. Some other OG cryptocurrencies have gone up 5x recently - XLM and XRP, for instance. I don't mind this, because I actually think those coins are at least a little more viable as currencies than Bitcoin.
I'm keeping this short. Just taking advantage of volatility. A 40%+ pullback with the potential of a 200% move? I'll take it. Here to have fun, not here to question things right now.
Litecoin active addresses are stable around 300k, though having steadily moved up over the last couple of years from 200K. bitinfocharts.com
Bitcoin active addresses have climbed a bit recently up to 750K, after actually declining the last couple years. bitinfocharts.com
As crappy as price behavior has been for LTC over the years, I like its growth pattern to an extent.
It's important to keep in mind that while on a very slow long term uptrend, Litecoin has broken down out of its major long term uptrend (orange) This was why I had assumed more downside was to come.
Given that LTC tends to pump last in the cycle, I'm taking a gamble on this thing flying back into the long term uptrend. There's A LOT of resistance overhead, especially at the broken uptrend, near $150-160 currently. Here's the shorter term structure, with some bullish arrows drawn.
Taking out the recent low near $85 would be a bearish sign and could send price quickly back to $66 support.
Let's see what happens. If the market has already topped, oh well. Risking a neglegable amount here. R/R seems decent to me.
This meant for speculation and entertainment only.
-Victor Cobra
Xrp - Another +100% Pump Is Starting!Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) is sill just getting started:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Xrp is so far perfectly following the repetition of cycles after we saw a beautiful breakout candle of November with an insane move of +280%. Looking at previous behaviour, it is now actually very likely that Xrp breaks the previous all time high and continues its strong rally.
Levels to watch: $3.0, $5.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XRP/USDT: Preparing for the Next ImpulseMarkets move in cycles of Impulse ➡️ Correction ➡️ Impulse, and XRP is no exception. Since December 3, we’ve been in a correction phase, consolidating after the recent strong rally.
The structure is tightening, and the market is “cooking” something interesting. Watch for potential breakouts as we approach the next impulse phase.
📊 Let’s see how this unfolds—stay sharp and ready!
#CryptoAnalysis #XRP #TradingView
EURCAD BUY| Idea Trading AnalysisEURCAD is moving in an ascending channel.
The chart broke through the dynamic resistance, which now acts as support.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURCAD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
Daily Analysis of Ethereum – Issue 239The analyst believes that the price of { ETHUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Daily Analysis of Bitcoin - Issue 239The analyst believes that the price of { BTCUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend.
Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
Strong Alt Coins Season on the Horizon!
The total altcoin market cap has reached its previous all-time high (ATH) level of $1.15 trillion and faced rejection at the resistance level. Currently, the price is consolidating below the resistance line. A breakout above this level could generate bullish sentiment, potentially leading to a strong altcoin season following the $1.15 trillion resistance breakout.
Altcoin Predictions for 2025What’s Next After BTC’s Stellar 2024 Performance?
The crypto market is buzzing as we wrap up an unforgettable 2024. Bitcoin (BTC) stole the show this year, gaining an impressive 130% during a bull run driven by the crypto-friendly atmosphere created by the U.S. elections and the dynamic combination of Donald Trump and Elon Musk. While this explosive growth in BTC caught many by surprise, it left the altcoin market largely in the shadows.
So, as we look ahead to 2025, what should we expect? Especially for altcoins?
The BTC-Altcoin Divergence
Bitcoin and altcoins seemed to operate on entirely separate dimensions in 2024. BTC’s decentralized nature and its position as a “secure” bet made it the star of the crypto world. Altcoins, on the other hand, struggled to gain meaningful traction, highlighting their higher risks and their dependence on centralized teams or networks for development. This divergence raises a key question: will altcoins continue to lag behind in 2025, or is there a recovery on the horizon?
The Financial Markets’ Influence on Crypto
A fundamental driver of crypto markets is their strong correlation with traditional financial markets—around 80% historically. The past two years have seen unprecedented growth in financial markets, with the S&P 500 delivering over 60% returns. This momentum fed directly into BTC’s meteoric rise, but altcoins didn’t experience the same lift.
As history shows, sustaining such bullish momentum for three consecutive years is rare. If financial markets enter a period of consolidation or correction in 2025, this could trickle down to crypto markets. Based on this correlation, a mild correction in BTC or a sideways trend seems more likely than another year of exponential growth.
The Altcoin Outlook: Challenges Ahead
Altcoins face a tougher road ahead. While BTC is bolstered by announcements of central banks planning to add Bitcoin to their reserves—potentially injecting massive liquidity into the market—altcoins lack this institutional tailwind.
Key challenges for altcoins in 2025 include:
1. Market Fragmentation: The growing divergence between BTC and altcoins highlights a maturing market where Bitcoin increasingly serves as a “store of value” akin to digital gold, while altcoins are perceived as speculative assets.
2. Regulatory Pressure: As governments worldwide refine their crypto policies, altcoins—often more centralized—could face stricter scrutiny than Bitcoin.
3. Limited Institutional Adoption: While BTC is gaining traction among institutional players, altcoins remain largely retail-driven, making them more susceptible to volatility and less likely to see large-scale capital inflows.
What to Expect in 2025
Given these factors, here’s a summary of our expectations for the crypto market in 2025:
1. BTC to Hold Steady or See Modest Growth: With central banks exploring BTC reserves and its growing status as a safe-haven asset, Bitcoin’s price could remain stable or see mild upward movement, even in a lackluster broader financial market.
2. Altcoins to Face Headwinds: The altcoin market is likely to face increased scrutiny, limited momentum, and the challenges of differentiating itself from Bitcoin. Only projects with strong fundamentals, clear use cases, and active communities are likely to outperform. Here is my wild guess: SOLANA.
3. Sideways or Corrective Market Movement: With the financial markets cooling off after two frenzied years, crypto markets may follow suit, resulting in a year of consolidation or minor corrections across the board
Final Thoughts
While 2024 will be remembered as a banner year for Bitcoin, 2025 may mark a period of recalibration for the broader crypto market. BTC’s growing institutional adoption and status as a macroeconomic hedge will likely ensure its resilience. However, altcoins could struggle to find their footing unless they can offer compelling value propositions beyond speculative trading.
As always, crypto markets remain highly dynamic, and unexpected catalysts could reshape these predictions. Investors should stay vigilant, keeping an eye on both macroeconomic trends and developments within individual crypto projects.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis. BTC appears to be trading within an ascending channel. The chart shows a bullish medium-term structure.
The price is currently testing the lower trendline support within the channel.
A crucial support area is marked between $94,000 – $92,000 (green area). This is a crucial level for a bounce.
Any break below this support could invalidate the channel and lead to further upward pressure.
Resistance lies around $100,000 – $102,000 (orange area), which has been tested multiple times.
A breakout above this level could spark a bullish push towards the upper trendline of the channel or new highs.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
MUBI Looking for Reversal Here!MUBI is approaching the falling wedge, and with the RSI showing potential to sustain its momentum, I anticipate the chart to follow this trajectory. If it doesn't play out as expected, I'll reassess and update accordingly. Wishing everyone the best of luck this altseason!
GRTUSDT : Market Sentiment and Trade Analysis BINANCE:GRTUSDT : 24-Hour Market Sentiment and Trade Analysis
I spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
Market Overview (Last 24 Hours):
- BINANCE:GRTUSDT has activated the entry price at $0.2392, showing bullish potential as trading volumes and on-chain metrics increase.
- Recent momentum in altcoins suggests growing retail interest, which could drive price action further toward the take-profit levels.
Technical Overview:
- Support Levels: $0.2000, $0.0740 (Stop-Loss)
- Resistance Levels: $0.8527 (TP1), $1.8007 (Long-Term TP2)
- Indicators: RSI is climbing steadily but remains below overbought territory, while MACD shows sustained bullish momentum.
Fundamental Catalysts:
- On-Chain Metrics: Increased transaction volume and wallet activity signal growing adoption and investor interest in BINANCE:GRTUSDT .
- Tokenomics Overview: GRT’s staking rewards and decreasing circulating supply continue to support scarcity-driven value.
- Community Sentiment: Social media platforms reflect positive sentiment for GRT, especially as part of broader AI and blockchain narratives.
- Liquidity: Current trading volumes provide favourable conditions for significant price movements.
Scenario Planning:
- Bullish Scenario: Sustained momentum could see BINANCE:GRTUSDT reaching TP1 ($0.8527) and possibly the long-term target TP2 ($1.8007).
- Risk Scenario: Broader crypto market corrections or declining trading volume could test the SL at $0.0740.
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.2392 (Activated)
- Stop-Loss: $0.0740
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $0.8527
- TP2 (Long-Term): $1.8007
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
Xrp - The First Of Two Massive Breakouts!Xrp ( BITSTAMP:XRPUSD ) is still creating bullish structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the overall crypto market weakness Xrp is still holding and even rejecting the lower support trendline of the symmetrical triangle pattern. Xrp also created another short term triangle within the long term triangle, so two major breakouts might happen pretty soon.
Levels to watch: $0.6, $1.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)