Buy BTC,it still has the potential to reboundBTC experienced a sharp short-term decline, breaking lower; however, the downward momentum has significantly slowed. Importantly, the recent pullback has not disrupted the broader upward consolidation structure, with the 84500-83500 zone continuing to provide strong support.
Once the bearish sentiment fully subsides, I anticipate a relief rally or a technical rebound. Therefore, this pullback could present an excellent opportunity to go long on BTC.
Consider entering long positions around the 84500-83500 support zone, targeting an initial upside move toward the 86000-86500 range.
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Cryptomarketcap
Bitcoin Breakout Confirmed, Aiming for $160K
Chart Analysis:
Bitcoin has just confirmed a major breakout above a key resistance zone, signaling a strong bullish continuation. Let’s dive into the details:
1.Ascending Triangle Breakout:
BTCUSD had been consolidating within an ascending triangle pattern since late 2024, with the upper resistance around $80,000 and a rising support trendline (highlighted in yellow).
The breakout above $80,000 on strong volume confirms the bullish pattern, which is typically a precursor to significant upward moves.
2. Accumulation Zone:
Before the breakout, Bitcoin spent several months in an accumulation zone between $53,837 and $80,000. This phase allowed buyers to build positions, setting the foundation for the current rally.
3.Price Targets:
The measured move of the ascending triangle (height of the pattern) projects a target around $160,000. The height of the triangle is approximately $26,163 (from the base at $53,837 to the resistance at $80,000). Adding this to the breakout point ($80,000 + $26,163) gives a target of ~$106,163. However, considering Bitcoin’s historical tendency to overshoot during bull runs and the psychological significance of $160,000 (as noted on the chart), this level seems like a realistic target.
4. Support Levels:
The previous resistance at $80,000 now acts as strong support. If BTC pulls back, this level should hold to maintain the bullish structure.
Additional support lies around $70,000, aligning with the lower boundary of the recent consolidation range.
5. Momentum Indicators:
While the chart doesn’t display specific indicators like RSI or MACD, the sharp upward move suggests strong momentum. Traders should monitor for overbought conditions on RSI (above 70) as BTC approaches higher levels, which could indicate a potential pullback.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Current price around $84,599.61 (post-breakout confirmation).
Stop Loss: Below $78,000 (to account for minor pullbacks while staying above the breakout zone).
Take Profit: $160,000 (primary target based on the pattern projection and psychological level).
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:12, making this a high-probability setup.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $100,000 (psychological), $120,000, $160,000 (target).
Support: $80,000 (new support), $70,000 (secondary support).
Market Context:
Bitcoin’s breakout aligns with a broader crypto market uptrend, potentially fueled by positive fundamentals such as institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, or macroeconomic factors like inflation concerns driving demand for BTC as a store of value. Ethereum’s recent breakout (as seen in similar charts) also supports the bullish sentiment across the crypto market.
Conclusion:
BTCUSD has broken out of a multi-month consolidation pattern, confirming a bullish trend with a target of $160,000. The $80,000 level should now act as strong support, and any pullbacks to this zone could offer additional buying opportunities. Stay cautious of overbought conditions as BTC approaches higher resistance levels. Let’s see how far this rally can go!
CRAIUSDT - An interesting coin!CRAI token is a part of Cryptify AI project
Cryptify AI uses AI and blockchain to analyze influencer performance on social media, helping businesses make more accurate and transparent marketing decisions using the CRAI token.
A strong and interesting project with a unique idea.
On the chart, it has formed a descending channel, and the 0.236 resistance has been broken on the 3-day chart.
The price movement is expected as shown in the chart
Best regards Ceciliones🎯
BTCUSDT - it's breakout ? What's next??#BTCUSDT.. market just broke our resistance and going to close above that.
Keep close that because 85100 is now our supporting area and if market holds that then further bounce expected.
Note: keep in mind that below 85100 we will cut n reverse on confirmation .
Good luck
Trade wisely
MARKETS week ahead: March 24 – 30Last week in the news
The Fed held interest rates unchanged during their FOMC meeting held the previous week, and stuck to its previous plan of two rate cuts during the course of this year. Still, uncertainties regarding moves from the US Administration are strongly interfering investors decisions, in which sense, markets are still in a wait-and-see mood. The S&P 500 modestly gained during the week, ending it at the level of 5.667. The US Treasury yields remained relatively quiet, finishing the week at 4,25%. The price of gold reached a fresh, new all time highest level at $3.050. The crypto market was also traded in a mixed mood, with BTC ending the week above the $84K.
The most important event during the previous week was the FOMC meeting. Fed officials decided to leave interest rates unchanged, as was highly expected by market participants. Current economic sentiment, under the influence of trade tariffs are perceived as “uncertainty around the economic outlook has increased” so the risks have aroused around both sides of Fed's dual mandate. The GDP projection for this year was corrected by 0,4% to the level of 1,7%. Despite uncertainties, the Fed is still on the track of a 0,5 percentage point decrease in interest rates during this year, which would account for two rate cuts.
The Fed noted in its policy statement rising uncertainties around economic outlook caused by radical decisions of the new US Administration, while companies are starting to project their corrected earnings and growth for the future period. In this sense a company Nike noted expectations on decreased earnings originating from drop in sales due to trade tariffs. Shares of a consulting firm Accenture dropped by 7,3%, affected by the measures taken by the US DOGE amid cuts in spending.
Some good news for Ripple and its four years long battle with the SEC. As per news officially posted during the previous week, the SEC officially dropped the lawsuit against Ripple over its XRP token. As this was positive news, XRP coin jumped in value by 11%.
During the previous week Reuters published the news that the United Arab Emirates committed to the US Government to make $1,4 trillion investments into the US economy. The investments would be in the field of AI infrastructure, semiconductors industry, energy and local manufacturing. The investment is set for a period of next 10 years.
MicroStrategy finalized the sale of a series of preferred stocks, in total value of $711M. The fresh funds will be used for purchase of BTC, and is expected that the company will then hold a total 500.000 BTC tokens.
Crypto market cap
The uncertainty is currently the main word on financial markets, which influence the sentiment of investors. After turbulent last few weeks, the crypto market relatively calmed down. During the previous week, it was traded in a relatively shorter range, with almost equal number of altcoins with both positive and negative end of the week. Total crypto market capitalization remained flat during the previous week, with an modest outflow of $ 10B on a weekly basis. Daily trading volumes were further decreased to the level of around $92B on a daily basis, from $102B traded a week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -16%, with $520B outflow of funds.
Regardless of short move toward the higher ground, BTC ended the week flat on a weekly basis, without a significant change in its market cap. On the opposite side was ETH, who managed to modestly increase its value by 2,3%, adding $5,5B to its capitalization. Other altcoins were traded in a mixed manner. On a positive territory was EOS, with a weekly gain of almost 9%, Tron was traded higher by 5,8% w/w and Maker was higher by 3% on a weekly basis. Uniswap gained the most with an increase of more than 12% in value. Market favorite Solana dropped in value by 4,3%, losing $ 3B in cap. ADA was down by 6%, erasing $1,6B in its value.
The highest weekly move in circulating coins had Uniswap, who not only increased its market cap by 12%, but also increased circulating coins by 4,6%. This was one of the largest increases of circulating coins for Uniswap in the recent period. IOTA also had an increase in coins on the market by 0,5% w/w, while Solana`s number of coins surged by 0,2%, same as Algorand and Filecoin.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market was aligned with the spot market during the previous week. BTC futures were traded lower by more than 1% on a weekly basis. BTC futures maturing in December this year ended the week at the level of $89.355, while December 2026 was last traded at $98.005.
ETH futures ended the week in a positive territory, around 2% higher from the end of the previous week. ETH futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $2.095, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $2.252.
MARKETS week ahead: March 17 – 23Last week in the news
Tariffs-on, tariffs-off continues to shape market sentiment. The US equity markets tried to cover some weekly losses, where S&P 500 ended the week at the level of 5.638, after the index reached its lowest weekly level at 5.508. Considering uncertainty, the price of gold reached another all time highest level at $3K. The US Dollar continues to lose in strength, while US Treasuries are digesting latest inflation data and Michigan Consumer Sentiment with higher inflation expectations. The 10Y US benchmark is ending the week at the level 4,32% and is preparing for the forthcoming FOMC meeting on March 19th. The crypto market had a mixed week, with a lower start and an attempt to close the week higher. BTC passed the $80K resistance, ending the week above the $84K.
The US inflation data for February was in the spotlight of the market during the previous week. Inflation of 0,2% for the month was in line with market expectations, bringing the inflation to the level of 2,8% when compared to the previous year. On a positive side were also jobs figures, where a total of 7,74M new jobs were opened in February, above market expectations of 7,63M. However, surprising figures came from the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index, which was much lower from the market forecast. Preliminary figure for March was standing at 57,9, lower from estimated 64,7. At the same time, inflation expectations were increased to the level of 4,9%. The FOMC rate decision is scheduled for March 19th, when Fed officials will also discuss the current market conditions and forecasts.
The integration of the crypto market into the mainstream markets continues through new exchange traded funds, which large investment fund managers are currently filling for with the SEC. As per news published during the previous week, VanEck, a large US investment firm, has filed with SEC a launch of the exchange traded fund which will follow the Avalanche avax coin. Previously, Franklin Templeton, another investment firm, filed a launch of the ETF which will follow the price of XRP, while in February this year, the fund also filed a launch of an ETF following Solana`s spot price.
BTC related convertible bonds are now available to retail investors through the REX exchange traded fund. The convertible bonds of Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy represent the majority of funds assets. Other holdings include convertible bonds from several crypto miners. The REX ETF was launched on NASDAQ (BMAX), with 0,85% expense ratio and total AUM of $25M.
Crypto market cap
Tariffs-on, tariffs-off were the major driver of the sentiment on financial markets during the previous period. The crypto market was also driven by the generally negative mood of investors which were trying to position for the uncertain future developments. The fear of potential negative effects of imposed tariffs is embedded into current positioning of investors. The crypto market continued with the downtrend during the start of the previous week, but then tried to recover as the week passed on. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by a modest 2% on a weekly basis, losing total $50B in value. Daily trading volumes were also modestly increased to the level of $129B on a daily basis, a shy increase from around $102B traded a week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -16%, with $510B outflow of funds.
The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. Some altcoins managed to recover from losses incurred from the start of the week. In this sense, BTC managed to close the week in a red territory with a minor loss of around 1,5% on a weekly basis, where its total cap was decreased by $25B. ETH had a stronger weekly loss of more than 10%, where $ 26B was wiped out in its market value. Polygon and Uniswap were both down by around 10% in value during the week, while Algorand and Maker ended the week more than 8% lower. On the opposite trading side was XRP, who managed to add to its value 4% w/w, increasing its cap by $5,5B. BNB was also one of coins with a solid week, as it increased its market cap by 5,7% or $4,77B. OMG Network should be specially mentioned, as the coin increased its value by more than 13% during the week.
There has been a modest development with coins in circulation of certain altcoins. Tether had an increase of its value and also its circulating coins by 0,5% w/w. LINK made an increase of its coins on the market by 3%, while Solana, Algorand and Filecoin had an increase of 0,2%, each. On the opposite side was Maker, with a decrease of -0,5% of its total coins on the market.
Crypto futures market
Although Friday's trading session brought some positive sentiment to the crypto market, still, futures did not manage to catch up with a positive territory. Both BTC and ETH futures ended the week in red compared to the end of the previous week. BTC futures were traded lower by around 2,8% for all maturities. In this sense, December 2025 was closed at the price of $90.950, and December 2026 closed the week at $98.945.
ETH futures had a stronger drop in value compared to the previous week, between 10% and 11%. ETH futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $2.057, and those maturing a year later closed the week at $2.211.
TOTAL Marketcap at important support?Upcoming period could be more positive?
Many cryptocurrency dominance charts, as well as Nasdaq and stock charts too, showing the same pattern. Is the reversal starting?
We’ll see.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research.
Wishing you best.
-YusufDeli
MARKETS week ahead: March 10 – 16Last week in the news
The February US NFP data were below market expectations, however, the market sentiment is still highly under the influence of US trade tariffs. The US equity market had a correction during the previous week, with S&P 500 closing the week at the level of 5.770. The weakening of the US Dollar stopped further surge in the price of gold, but it still ended the week with a weekly gain, reaching the level of $2.909. The US Treasury yields reversed after reaching the lowest weekly level at 4,1%, ending the week at 4,30%. BTC is still in a roller coaster mood, testing the $90K, but still ending the week around the $86K.
The US Nonfarm payrolls data for February came a bit lower from the market forecast. The US economy added 151K new jobs, while the market was expecting to see a figure of around 170K. At the same time, the unemployment rate for February was modestly increased to the level of 4,1%, from 4,0% posted previously. Regardless of a weaker than expected jobs data in February, the major concern of investors continues to be trade tariffs of the US Administration toward the main trading partners, including Mexico, Canada, China and the European Union.
The trade war started by the US Administration is spilling its effects on other countries. As per latest news, China is planning to impose sanctions on some Canadian goods, including agriculture and oil products, from 100% to 25%, depending on the goods. Tariffs are scheduled to come into force on March 20th. At the same time, Canada imposed 100% tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, which came into force in October last year.
“We do not need to be in a hurry, and are well positioned to wait for greater clarity” said Fed Chair Powell at a Policy forum during the previous week. This comment was made on the latest trade tariffs of the US Administration, noting that the combination of measures in the sphere of tariffs, immigration, fiscal policy and regulation will have a combined effect on the US economy.
During the previous week, the US President signed an executive order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a US Digital Asset Stockpile. The BTC market had only a mild reaction to this news.
UBS analysts are noting in their research that China might experience its own “GPT moment”. They noted that Chinese start-ups are rapidly innovating and integrating AI technology. The bank emphasized a product called Monica.ai Manus as a standout example of a program capable of doing many tasks including data analysis and coding.
Crypto market cap
The crypto market was following general sentiment on financial markets during the previous week. The correlation with the US equity market continues as the crypto market entered the mainstream. The US President signed the executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, however, the market reaction was relatively mild. Total crypto market capitalization remained relatively flat during the previous week, regardless of a higher volatility within the week. Daily trading volumes were also relatively flat compared to the week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -14%, with $460B outflow of funds.
BTC had a relatively volatile week, however, it managed to close the previous week relatively flat compared to the week before. ETH had a modest drop in the market cap of 2,2%, with an outflow of $ 6B in funds. Other major altcoins also had a relatively negative week. DOGE was traded down by 8,4%, decreasing its total market cap by $2B. Solana had also a modest drop of 2,3% w/w, decreasing its cap by $1,6B. BNB was down by 3%, with a decrease in the value of $1,6B. On the opposite side was ADA, who managed to end the week in positive territory, with a surge in value of 22% or $5,1B. Tron also had a good week, increasing its value by 13,6%, or $2,7B. Other altocins were traded in a mixed manner.
During the previous week Tron had an increase in the market value, but it also increased its coins in circulation by 10% on a weekly basis. This was one of the highest weekly increases for this coin. Stablecoin Tether is back on a positive territory, with an increase of circulating coins of 0,3% this week. Solana and IOTA also had an increase in the number of coins on the market by 0,3% each.
Crypto futures market
The general market sentiment impacted the crypto futures market to trade in a mixed manner during the previous week. Although BTCs spot market remained flat, still, its futures market gained above 3% for all maturities. In this sense, futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $93.550 and those maturing a year later were last traded at $101.800.
On the opposite side were ETH futures which closed the week around 3% lower from the week before. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded around 3,2% lower, at $2.298. At the same time, futures maturing in December 2026 were traded lower by 2,7%, closing the week at $2.470.
Bitcoin Goes "Red Days Again" since "Relief Rally" Has Been NullBitcoin's price has experienced significant fluctuations over last "Intl Women's Day" weekend, reflecting the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market. To understand these movements, it's essential to consider both the broader economic context and specific events that have influenced investor sentiment.
Background: Economic and Political Factors
In recent weeks, Bitcoin's price has been heavily influenced by economic indicators and political announcements. The U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, particularly comments from Jerome Powell, has been closely watched by investors.
Political factors have also played a crucial role. For instance, Donald Trump's re-election and his proposals related to cryptocurrency, including the creation of a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve," have contributed to market optimism and price increases. However, these developments also introduce uncertainty, as regulatory environments and geopolitical tensions can quickly shift investor confidence.
Recent Price Movements
As of the last weekend, Bitcoin's price has shown a decline of nearly 5%. This decrease is part of a larger trend where Bitcoin's price has struggled to maintain consistent gains, often experiencing sharp drops followed by rebounds. For example, on March 9, 2025, Bitcoin's price was noted to be choppy, trading around $81,500.
Bitcoin's price initially dropped but then rebounded slightly. This rebound was likely driven by renewed optimism in the altcoin market and strategic purchases by entities like Metaplanet, which has been actively buying Bitcoin. However, the overall sentiment remains cautious due to ongoing economic uncertainties and the potential for further interest rate hikes.
Key Events Influencing Price
Mt. Gox Bitcoin Movement: The recent transfer of over $1 billion worth of Bitcoin from Mt. Gox to an unmarked address has raised concerns about potential market impact. Such large movements can lead to increased volatility as investors speculate about the intentions behind these transactions.
Regulatory and ETF Developments: The ongoing efforts to establish a U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF have seen mixed results, with periods of significant outflows followed by brief moments of positive inflows. These developments can influence investor confidence and, consequently, Bitcoin's price.
Global Economic Conditions: Trade tensions and economic stimulus measures, particularly those involving China, have also played a role in shaping Bitcoin's price. As investors seek safe-haven assets, Bitcoin's performance relative to traditional assets like gold can impact its value.
Technical challenge
The fluctuations in Bitcoin's price over the last weekend reflect the complex interplay of economic, political, and market-specific factors. As investors continue to navigate these uncertainties, Bitcoin's price is likely to remain volatile. The influence of major economic data releases, political announcements, and strategic investments will continue to shape the cryptocurrency's trajectory in the coming days and weeks.
The main technical 1-day resolution graph indicates that Bitcoin Goes "Red Days Again" since recent "relief rally" has been Null.
Ahead of upcoing week our "super-duper" @PandorraResearch Team is Bearishly calling to numbers between $30 000 to $50 000 per Bitcoin, that is correspond to major current support of 200-week SMA.
Conclusion
In summary, Bitcoin's price movements are a testament to the dynamic and speculative nature of the cryptocurrency market, where sentiment can shift rapidly based on a wide array of factors. As the market continues to evolve, understanding these influences will be crucial for investors seeking to navigate the volatile landscape of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
--
Best 'Jojoba oil' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
MARKETS week ahead: March 2 – 8Last week in the news
Markets continue to be in an uncertain mood, impacted by geopolitics, trade tariffs, inflation and interest rate levels. A major correction occurred during the previous week, where the majority of financial assets ended the week with a stronger weekly loss. The US equity markets finished the week in red, with S&P 500 losing 1,4% since the beginning of February, ending the month at the level of 5.954. Funds from equity markets fled toward the US Treasury bonds, where the 10Y US benchmark reached the 4,2% level. Although the US Dollar modestly gained in strength, still, the price of gold entered into a major short term correction, reaching the level of $2.856. As BTC is now part of the mainstream, a major break toward the downside occurred on the same grounds as with other financial assets. BTC shortly touched the $78K, but ended the week around the $85K resistance line.
The major macro data for the US released during the previous week was the PCE data for January, however, were left in a shadow of geopolitical developments. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge came with no significant surprises from market expectations. The PCE was increased by 0,3% in January, leading to yearly increase of 2,5%. The core PCE was also at the level of 0,3% for the month. The personal income was higher by 0,9% for the month and personal expenditures decreased by -0,2% in January, compared to the previous month. These figures were in line with market expectation, in which sense, there has not been much market movements on the release of data. However, the stronger impact came from geopolitics.
Recently the word “tariffs” became the spookiest word on financial markets. Although it is still unclear whether the US Administration will indeed introduce trade tariffs toward Canada, Mexico, China and Europe, markets are strongly reacting to any news related to this topic. During the previous week, Reuters published the news. Officials from Mexico proposed to introduce a 10% import tariffs on goods from China in order to match the US tariffs. At the same time, the US President noted that he might double current tariffs to China, which means a total of 20% tariffs on imported goods from China.
The Intel company was in the spotlight of the market during the previous year, when the company missed the opportunity to catch up with the increasing AI demand, causing its shares to suffer almost 60% loss in value. Since then the company is trying to correct the past mistake, with plans to open a chip manufacturing facility in Ohio. However, the latest news is showing a potential delay in construction, so that a $100 billion complex would most probably start operating in 2030.
Amid pre-election promises, the US President Donald Trump will host the first crypto roundtable at the White House on March 7th. As noted in the White House release, “attendees will include prominent founders, CEOs and investors from the crypto industry, as well as members of the President's Working Group on digital Assets”.
Crypto market cap
A major break toward the downside occurred during the previous week. Although, charts look painful with such a significant drop, still, for the crypto market historically it represents necessary consolidation for the future move toward the upside. These situations occur several times in the past, and will most certainly, occur also in the future period. The most important is that the crypto market managed to become part of mainstream markets, which was the historical win for the crypto market. However, it also means that the crypto market will react to any news which affects the traditional mainstream markets. This is exactly what happened during the previous week, where the total crypto market capitalization decreased by additional 12% on a weekly basis, erasing a total $370B from its market cap. Daily trading volumes also decreased to the level of $144B on a daily basis, from $239B traded a week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -14%, with $450B outflow of funds.
During the previous week the majority of crypto coins lost in value, only a few managed to finish the week in green. BTCs value significantly dropped during the week, where the largest crypto coin lost over $216B in value, decreasing its market cap by 11,3%. For BTC, this represents a significant correction. ETH was also in the red group, with a loss of $ 68B or even 20,5% w/w, which is also a significant correction for this coin. Among market favourites, Solana dropped its market cap by almost $ 13B or 15,3%, BNB was down by $ 9B or 9,3%, DOGE lost more than $ 6B in value or 16,8% and XRP was down by 13% losing $19,7B in value of its market cap. At the same time, two coins which actually managed to post a significant increase in value were ZCash with an weekly increase in value of 10,6% and Maker who managed to add almost 8% to its value.
There has also been an increased development when coins in circulation are in question. In this sense, Solana had a weekly increase of 3,9% of new coins on the market. Filecoin continues to increase its circulating coins each week, adding this time 0,6% of new coins.
Crypto futures market
In line with the spot market developments, the crypto futures market also experienced some major correction during the previous week. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded significantly lower compared to the week before.
BTC futures ended the week above 11% lower for all maturities. There has also been some significant correction for longer term futures, which all dropped below the $100K target. In this sense, futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $90.650, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $98.695.
Similar situation was with ETH futures who ended the week by more than 15% lower, dropping below the $3K target for longer maturities. ETH futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $2.374, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $2.540.
MARKETS week ahead: February 23 – March 1Last week in the news
There are currently several words which shape investors sentiment, including trade tariffs, inflation, slower economic growth. All three words are active for come time, which impact market moves during the previous week. Fears of inflation, after a release of Michigan Consumer Sentiment on Friday, pushed the US equities strongly toward the downside. The S&P 500 dropped by 1,7% within a day, after reaching the new all time highest level. The index closed the week at the level of 6. 013. Investors were looking more at the safe-haven assets, in which sense, the price of gold again reached the new highest level at 2.954, while the 10Y US Treasury benchmark sharply dropped to the level of 4,43%. The crypto market was a bit traded aside, where BTC continues to move within a channel between $ 96K-$ 98K levels.
The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index final for February was the one that shook the markets. Surprisingly lower data from estimated, were the ones which supported investors fears from future inflation. The Index level of 64,7 was lower from expected 67,8. On the other hand, inflation expectation data were the ones that surprised investors. Namely, US consumers are expecting inflation at the levels of 4,3%, while five years inflation expectations were increased to the level of 3,5% from 3,2% posted during previous releases. Investors were not at all happy with such inflation development, not even as an expectation, which showed by a significant drop in US equity indexes.
A lot of news attention during the previous week was on the earnings report of Berkshire Hathaway. The most famous investor on the market, Warren Buffet had stockpiled more cash for another quarter through sale of stocks. As per reports, its cash position currently stands at $334B. Regardless of this move, the Buffet noted that Berkshire Hathaway will always prefer stocks over cash, without too much further explanation. During his previous comments, he sort of criticized the market, calling it too expensive at this moment and only a few buying opportunities. Nevertheless, shares of Berkshire Hathaway continue to gain in value, adding 5% from the start of this year. At the same time, Reuters reported that Buffets company will most probably increase stake in five Japanese trading houses, which he currently holds in portfolio, including Itochu, Marubeni, Mitsubishi, Mitsui and Sumitomo.
As of the week-end a news hit the market that crypto exchanger Bybit was under a huge cyber attack, where estimated, $1,5 billion worth of ether was stolen. As news is reporting, an entity from North Korea was suspected. The stolen coins were then transferred into BTC. Although Bybit reacted promptly, still, the exchanger faced significant withdrawal requests from its clients.
Crypto market cap
There was another volatile week on the crypto market. After significant gains two weeks ago, the previous week was in a mood of corrections. The crypto coins were traded in a mixed manner. There were almost equal numbers of both coins which finished the week in red and in green. However, total crypto market capitalization decreased by 1% on a weekly level, losing total $30B in value. Daily trading volumes were modestly increased to the level of $239B on a daily basis, from $170B traded two weeks ago. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -2%, with $80B outflow of funds.
Despite the both winners and losers during the week, still, the crypto market ended the week with a total loss of $30B on a weekly basis. The coin with highest participation, BTC, was traded modestly down by 0,9%, losing total $17B in value. On the opposite side was ETH, who managed to gain $ 10B in value, increasing it by 3,2% w/w. Other significant movers in nominal terms were XRP, which was traded down by 6%, dropping its market cap by $9,8B. Solana was also traded lower, dropping by 10,7% w/w or $10,1B. Another coins with significant drop was DOGE, who managed to decrease its cap by $ 4B or 9,9%. Among gainers Maker should be especially mentioned, as this coin increased its value by 55% within a single week. At the same time, this coin increased the number of its coins in circulation by 1,9%. Several of other weekly winners were ZCash, with a surge of 7,9% w/w, while a portion of other smaller altcoins managed to gain below 1% on a weekly level.
When coins in circulation are in question, Maker was already mentioned with its increase of 1,9%. At the same time, ZCash decreased its circulating coins by 2,7%. Filecoin added 0,8% of new coins to the market, while IOTAs increase was 0,6%.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market was traded lower compared to the end of the previous week. BTC futures were traded around 3% lower, while ETH futures ended the week around 4% lower.
BTC futures maturing in December this year closed the week at the level of $101.875, and those maturing a year later at the level of $111.380. Despite the drop, it is still positive that investors are perceiving the BTC price at levels higher from $100K in the future period.
ETH futures maturing in December 2025 were last traded at the level of $2.807, and those maturing in December 2026 closed the trading week at $3.017.
Where is ALT season ? Narket Cap Data shows clear direction
It is a question that has been asked for a while now.
What on earth has happened to the Fabled ALT Season ? The Time of Quick and Fast earnings on ALT coins.
Market Cap data shows us very clearly how Bitcoin alone is responsible for the lack of ALT Season so far.
In summery we see that, using the Market Cap charts, the recent pull backs since December 2024, Bitcoin has pulled back a lot less than the others and that ETH is a big losser here also.
Pull back %'s in Crypto Market Caps
TOTAL = - 15.51%
TOTAL 2 = -25.98 % ( Excluding BTC )
TOTAL 3 = -22.61 % ( Excluding BTC % ETH )
OTHERS = - 40.57% ( Top 125 coins minus top 10 by Dominacne )
We can see from the difference between the TOTAL 2 and TOTAL 3 charts how ETH is responsible for a 3% Drop in the TOTAL market cap ...Thats a Big amount for one single coin.
We can also see how the Biggest Loosers so far this cycle are the Mid Cap ALT coins.
The Big question now is, will They recover and will we get an ALT Season ?
Lets Look at the charts to see where we are
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap
PA is above Support, back in the Green zone and with room to move before resistance needs to be broken
TOTAL 2 Crypto Market Cap
In trouble. Below Resistance in two places. There is currently a push up and PA is about to hit that line od resistance. We will know in the next few days the outcome of this.
ETH needs to show strength here to help support the idea of an ALT Season
TOTAL 3 Crypto Market Cap
The ALTS themselves are in an area that has Support below but are about to hit resistance. However, there is strength there as we can see PA broke out of the rannge at one point but the market pulled back and took them with it. this chart shows us ALL the Alts and is very likely supported by the Huge impact of the Meme craze and Solana. As was mentioned above, This was a smaller pullback than the ETH & ALT chart above.
OTHERS Crypto Market Cap
This is the chart that surprises me the most.
The well know Mid Cap Alts took the biggest hit since December 2024 - Nearly double the losses of the Total 3 ALT market - Could this also be showing us that ALTS on the ETH network were liable to bigger losses. ? Coins like AVAX, LINK etc
PA here has just bounced off support but has run straight into resistance. This really Needs to break through as Sentiment needs to be improved.
But the BIGGEST thing that needs to break, to allow an ALT SEASON is of course, Bitcoin Dominance. BTC.D
ALT seasons are in the times after Bitcoin Halving when BTC Dominance Drops and money flowed into ALTS>
But these days, Corporation and institutions are buying Bitcoin and HOLDING, as are the sensible little people like you and me. You can see this Very clearly on the chart - BTC.D just cntinues to climb.
So where is the money for ALT season going to come from ?
The proposed increase of ETF's on ALT coins could push this in a very selected way. i.e. the proposed Litecoin ( THE original ALT COIN ) has been trying to push the price of LTC higher.
XRP is another
But this is NOT the ALT Season we all expereinced in previous cycles and, infact, if you look close, you will see that ALT season has been getting smaller and smaller.
It was once said that Crpyto was a bubble that Will burst like the Dot Com bubble........and I think we may see this......the rubbish ALT coins falling away and the BTC and utility ALTs coming through.
But no ALT Season as we once knew...........OR WILL TRUMP MAKE IT HAPPEN ?
Only time will tell
MARKETS week ahead: February 17 – 23Last week in the news
Fed Chair Powell’s testimony in front of the US Congress, US inflation data in January and Retail Sales were the main topics which shaped the market sentiment during the previous week. The US Dollar lost some of its strength, but the price of Gold also eased by 1% at Friday's trading season, following the profit-taking. The positive sentiment on the US equity markets was back, where S&P 500 almost reached its all time highest level, ending the week at 6.114. The US Treasury yields reacted on January inflation data and significant drop in retail sales in January, bringing down the 10Y Treasury yields toward the 4,47%. Many concerns of investors put aside the crypto market, where since the beginning of February BTC continues to trade in a channel between the $ 98K and $95K.
At the beginning of the previous week markets were closely watching Fed Chair Powells testimony in front of the US congress. The key takeaways from a two days Congressional hearing include points that Fed is not in a hurry to cut interest rates and that the Fed's policy will not be impacted by the US Administration, alluding to a question regarding US President request for immediate cut of interest rates. Generally, there was no new significant information which was not previously communicated with the public. As for macro data during the previous week, the US January inflation data surprised markets with a 0,5% increase for the month, higher from forecasted 0,3%. The PPI also rose 0,4% in January, again higher from market estimate. Still, the retail sales of -0,9% improved market mood, with a figure much higher from market estimate of -0,1%. This was a signal that the current inflation level might not impact too much Fed's decisions over future course of interest rates.
During the previous week markets were talking about the final payout of the fallen crypto exchange FTX during the week ahead. This represents a part of FTX restructuring program, where first in line will be claims up to $50.000. Analysts are providing their assumption over its potential impact on crypto markets and specific tokens, however, there are also those who anticipate that this payout will not have a significant impact on the price of major crypto coins.
A lot of news covered the bid of Elon Musk for purchase of Open AI. He offered a figure of $97,4 billion for shares of Open AI in case that this company stays non-profitable. The latest news published by Reuters on Friday states that OpenAI rejected the bid from Elon Musk, noting that the company is not for sale and that any future bid will be also rejected.
Crypto market cap
After almost three consecutive weeks in red, the crypto market finally ended the week in green. However, it could be noted that the volatility with altcoins run at relatively higher levels during the past few weeks. At the same time, BTC remained volatile within the channel between levels of $ 98K and $95K from the beginning of February. Whether the final break is ahead is about to be seen, still, the total crypto market capitalization managed to recover a bit during the previous week, but it still holds in a -2% negative territory from the beginning of this year. During the previous week, total crypto market capitalization increased by 2% on a weekly basis, adding $ 70B to the total market cap. Daily trading volumes dropped a bit from the week earlier, to the level of $170B on a daily basis. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -2%, with $50B outflow of funds.
It was a volatile week, but with a positive end. BTC gained $ 23B on a weekly basis increasing its cap by 1,2%. ETH also had a modest increase in capitalization of almost $ 8B or 2,5%. Altcoins were the ones which drove market capitalization to the higher grounds. DOGE was traded higher by 9%, adding more than $ 3B to its market cap, same as ADA, which increased its value by 12,7%. This week BNB managed to add almost $ 5B to its market cap, increasing it by 5,4%. Among higher gainers was for one more time XRP, with an astonishing increase in market cap of $ 20B or 14,5%. Litecoin should be mentioned as the coin had a very good week, where it added $ 2B to its market cap, which was an increase of 25,5%. The majority of other altcoins managed to add up to 10% to their market value.
When it comes to circulating coins, it was one of relatively calmer weeks. Tether added 0,2% of new coins to the market, increasing by this percentage its market capitalization. Polkadot decreased the number of coins on the market by 0,4%, while Filecoin had an increase of 0,6%. The majority of other coins had an increase of 0,1% or less of their coins on the market.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures had finally one green trading week. BTC futures were higher by around 1,6% for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at the price of $105.185, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $114.370.
ETH futures had a higher rebound of approximately 5,4% for all maturities. In this sense, December 2025 was closed at the level of $2.914, and maturities in December 2026 were last traded at $3.131. It is positive that the ETH long term futures were back for one more time at levels above the $3K.
MARKETS week ahead: February 10 – 16Last week in the news
The US jobs data posted on Friday increased investors' concerns over a potential increased inflation in the US in the coming period. The US equity markets reacted with a negative sentiment, pushing the S&P 500 0,95% to the lower grounds, where the index ended the week at the level of 6.025. The US Treasury yields also reacted to the potential increase in inflation by reaching for one more time levels of 4,5%. The price of gold continues its positive track for the six consecutive weeks, reaching a fresh new all time highest level at $2.860, still fearing trade tariffs imposed by the US Administration. The crypto market was quite volatile during the week, with BTC dropping down to the levels of $96K.
The main macro data released during the previous week were the ones related to the US jobs market. The non-farm payrolls reached 143K in January, which was lower from the market estimate of 170K. Still, the main concern related to inflation came from the unemployment rate of 4,0% in January, which was lower by 0,1 percentage point from December and from average hourly earnings which came at the level of 0,5% increase for the month, and higher from market estimate. Although all these figures are positive for the US economy, markets were not happy. Simply, by calculating that higher employment in combination with higher earnings will push the spending higher as well as inflation. In this scenario, the Fed will have no options to decrease interest rates, which will be held at current levels for a longer period of time. The S&P 500 ended Friday trading session by 0,95% lower, while US 10Y Treasury yields reached 4,5% on the data release.
The AI race continues among tech companies. As per published news, Meta, Amazon, Alphabet and Microsoft are planning to invest $320 billion into artificial intelligence only during this year. These funds will be used to build up large data centers and other AI related infrastructure, which will support further development of the AI segment in these companies. Not only big techs are in the race for AI. As per news, SoftBank will invest $ 40B, with $260B valuation, into Open AI. Part of these funds will be used to further support the Stargete, a partnership project with Oracle.
The new US Administration is evidently bringing back large companies back to the US. The latest one which announced its return of focus toward the US market is a beauty-company L`Oreal. The company was a bit disappointed with its sale on the China market, in which sense, defined the US “as the land of opportunity”, switching back their focus from China to the US market.
Crypto market cap
The start of the previous week was promising, however, the second part of the week was not so nice for the crypto market. The US jobs data was the one to heat inflation fears, in which sense, investors reacted in a negative manner. All crypto coins ended the week in red, with BTC leading the drop in the crypto market capitalization in nominal terms. This week, there was a huge drop in the value of the crypto market, where $260B or 8% of the market capitalization was erased. Daily trading volumes remained almost flat in relation to the week before, moving around $ 230B on a daily basis. Total crypto market cap increase from the end of the previous year entered into a negative territory, with an actual decrease of 4%, where $120 was withdrawn from this market.
There has been a significant drop in the value of the crypto market, where almost all coins lost in value. BTC, as the coin with the highest market cap, decreased its value by 4,6% on a weekly basis, decreasing its cap by $92B. ETH also suffered a loss during the week, with a drop in value of 16,5% or $63B. XRP recently reached an ATH, however, this week the coin dropped by 16,%%, decreasing its value by almost $28B. DOGE was one of the main coins which suffered a higher loss of 19% w/w or $8,8B. Cardano was also down by 22,6% w/w or $7,2B. Market-favorite Solana also suffered the loss of 8,9% or $9,3B. TRUMP coins continue to lose value, with an additional drop in price of 11,7%.
As per coins in circulation, there have been some interesting developments with Polygon. Namely, the number of Polygons coins on the market increased by an incredible 24% during the single week. There is still no information regarding the cause of such a high increase of circulating coins. As for other altcoins, there has been an increase of 0,5% of the number of circulating coins of IOTA, while Solana increased its coins by 0,2%. At the same time, Maker decreased the number of coins in circulation by 0,7% w/w.
Crypto futures market
The sentiment from the spot market was transferred to the futures market. As of the weekend the crypto futures market was traded significantly lower when compared to the week before. BTC futures were traded lower by some 6% for all maturities. The futures maturing in December this year closed the week at the level of $103.705, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $112.745. This was the highest correction of expectation for the two years since the beginning of this year.
ETH futures also experienced a significant drop on a weekly basis of more than 22% for all maturities. All futures prices dropped below $3K. In this sense, futures maturing in December this year dropped to the level of $2.764, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $2.970.
SOLUSDT: Long or Trap? Breaking Down the Setup
🔥 ** BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P ** is bouncing off the support zone, showing strength from the bulls! After a sharp dump, price held a key level and is now pushing up. The big question — is this a true reversal or just a "bearish retest" before another drop?
---
🔑 **Key Levels:**
**Support:**
**171.06 USDT** — strong demand zone.
**160.23 USDT** — critical level, breaking below could trigger more downside.
**Resistance:**
**199.55 USDT** — local resistance; breaking above could accelerate movement.
**272.53 USDT** — key target for profit-taking.
**295.16 USDT** — strong supply zone; breaking above opens the door to 300 USDT+.
---
🚀 **Trading Strategy:**
**Entry Point:**
- Long from **171.06 USDT** with volume confirmation.
- Conservative entry after a breakout of **199.55 USDT**.
**Stop-Loss:**
- Below **160.23 USDT** to avoid stop hunts.
**Take-Profit Targets:**
**198.45 USDT** — first target to reduce risk.
**272.53 USDT** — primary target for the bullish move.
**295.16 USDT** — extended target if the uptrend continues.
---
📈 **Technical Analysis:**
Increasing volume on the bounce signals strong buyer interest.
A breakout above **199.55 USDT** confirms bullish momentum.
If price drops below **171.06 USDT**, expect a potential retest of **160.23 USDT**.
---
💡 **Conclusion:**
SOLUSDT.P is showing bullish reversal signs, but without breaking **199.55 USDT**, we can't confirm a full trend shift yet. Is this just a retest before another sell-off or the start of a new uptrend? Let’s discuss! 🚀💬
MARKETS week ahead: February 3 – 9Last week in the news
The week was full of macro news and some surprises in the AI field coming from China. Also the spooky word “tariffs” is back on the Presidential table in the US. Markets are ending this week with a mixed sentiment and concerns over a tariffs potential impact on the inflation and future Fed moves. The US equity market ended the Friday's trading session lower, with S&P 500 ending the week modestly above the 6K level. Tariffs supported the price of gold to reach a new ATH above the $2,8K, while US Treasury yields reverted to the higher grounds at Friday's trading session, closing the week at 4,54%. The crypto market is struggling to hold ground, with BTC managing to end the week above the $101K.
Central bankers had a pretty busy week. The Fed left interest rates unchanged, as expected. Some of the topics, Fed Chair Powell mentioned was that inflation remained solid on the goal of 2%, but remained a bit elevated, the job market is cooling down and the economic activity continues to expand at a solid pace. Housing sector weakness seems to be stabilized. As expected, the first question from journalists in a press conference after the FOMC meeting, came with respect to President Trump's address in Davos, where he noted the request to decrease interest rates immediately. Fed Chair Powell provided a clear answer that it would be inappropriate to make any comments to addresses of the US President, but he is certain that the Fed will continue its job and fulfil its mandate.
The ECB decreased reference interest rates by 25 bps, as widely expected by market participants. As inflation is gradually slowing down in the EuroZone, the pain of the economic slowdown continues to hold. As per policy statement, there has not been almost any change from its December statement. Still, the majority of analysts are of the opinion that the ECB would need to cut significantly in the coming period, considering the ongoing weakness in the EuroZone economy.
A huge surprise hit the market on Monday, when China released a new AI powered tool, called DeepSeek. The initial news was that this program is much superior in relation to other similar tools. Another issue for the tech industry was that the program was released by a privately owned Chinese company with funds of only $6 million. Within a day from its release, DeepSeek hit number one download app on the Apple store. This was a huge alarm to US companies, and a wake-up call to increasing competition coming from the rest of the world. The shares of tech companies started the week in negative territory, while Nvidia was hitted the most, with a drop of $600 billion in the value of the company.
A spooky word “tariffs” is back in the wording of the US Administration. First in line are Canada and Mexico. As announced by the US President, the tariffs of 25% on imported goods will come into effect on Saturday and will not include oil. The simple rationale for such a measure is a huge US deficit with these countries, as per President Trump. In response to these measures, the Bank of Canada cut interest rates to 3% this week.
Surprising news is coming from the National bank of the Czech Republic. As news is reporting, its Governor, Ales Michl, stated that the CNB could create a part of national reserves which will be held in cryptocurrencies. This idea will be presented to the National bank Board next week. He also noted that the Bank could hold up to 5% in Bitcoin. At the same time, ECB President Lagarde commented that ECB will not hold any crypto coins on its balance sheet.
Crypto market cap
Previous week did not start well on financial markets. The news “out of nowhere” hit the market that the Chinese start up company DeepSeek took over the first place on the Apple store as the app with the most downloads. Although this app does not have any impact on crypto coins, still, the market reacted in a negative manner. The rest of the week, the crypto market tried to consolidate, but it still ended the week with a small loss in its total market capitalization. It has decreased by 4% on a weekly basis, losing around $160B in value. Daily trading volumes remained relatively flat on a weekly basis, moving around $200B daily. Total crypto market cap increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at 4%, where $140B has been added.
Most of the coins on the market ended the week in red. BTC led the market with a drop of 3,5% w/w, losing total $74B in value. Ether followed the path of BTC, with a weekly loss of $17,5B or 4,4%. Previously, XRP was holding relatively solid, however, during this week, the coin lost almost $12B in the market cap, decreasing it by 6,7%. Solana was again one of the highest weekly losers, with a drop in value of $18,2B or 14,7%. DOGE was in SOLs club, with a weekly drop of 11.2% or $5,8B in value. Still, speaking in relative terms, TRUMP was the coin with a significant weekly drop of 33,4%. Interestingly, Monero and Polygon were rare coins which finished the week in a positive territory. Monero managed to gain 6,3% on a weekly basis, while Polygon increased its value by 11,5%, but at the same time, the coin decreased the number of its coins on the market by 19,3% within the single week.
Crypto futures market
Although the spot market was relatively volatile during the previous week, there were some interesting developments on the crypto futures market. In line with the spot market, BTC futures closed the week by more than 3% higher from the end of the week before. On a positive side is that long term futures are still holding at relatively higher levels. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at the level of $110.280 and those maturing a year later were last traded at $119.880.
ETH had a weekly drop in value of 4,3%, however, ETH futures ended the week almost flat compared to the week before. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $3.559, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $3.823.
MARKETS week ahead: January 26 – February 1Last week in the news
The US inflation is not as scary as investors previously thought. In this sense, they adjusted previous expectations and returned positive sentiment to financial markets. The US equity markets recovered from losses carried two weeks ago. The S&P 500 ended the week at the level of 5.996. The US Dollar continued to gain in strength, but due to general uncertainty, the price of gold also surged back to the $2,7K levels. The US Treasury yields reacted strongly on inflation figures, bringing back the 10Y US benchmark to the level of 4,62%. In the dawn of the US new Administration inauguration, the crypto market also reacted positively, bringing BTC back above the level of $100K.
The main event during the previous week on financial markets was related to the inauguration of a new US Administration. There was a question whether all promises from the pre-election period will be fulfilled? For one more time, markets reacted positively, bringing US equities to the higher grounds, where S&P 500 reached its fresh all-time highest level. The US Dollar weakened a bit, bringing the price of gold close to its ATH, ending the week at the level of $6.101. In anticipation of the FOMC meeting next week, the US Treasuries headed toward the upside, ending the week at the level of 4,61%. The presidential order for a formation of a cryptocurrency working group with the target to draft a new digital asset regulation, boring BTC toward the fresh, new ATH at the $109K.
During the previous week there has not been currently important macro data scheduled for a release, however, the inauguration of the new US President was the main event which shaped the market sentiment. One of the most important topics for markets was whether the new President will impose tariffs on imported goods, as promised in the pre-election period, especially tariffs on goods from China? This represents the most fearful event for investors, as they are anticipating that tariffs might bring inflation in the US toward the upside, which will affect Fed to keep interest rates at current levels longer than it is now expected. Still, the idea of tariffs still holds in the new US Administration, in which sense, the investors fear is for the moment just postponed.
One of the major moves of the new US Administration was related to the crypto market. Namely, within the first days in the office, the US President signed an presidential order for the creation of the cryptocurrency working group, whose aim will be to draft the first regulation in the US on digital assets while exploring the creation of a cryptocurrency stockpile on the national level. This order is also important as it bans the topic of creation of a central bank digital currency in the US.
With the focus of the new US Administration on the crypto, there are some major movements of the capital on the international scene. As Cointelegraph is reporting, one of the prominent venture capital companies, Andreessen Horowitz will close its office in the United Kingdom in order to focus on the US market. Its London office was opened in 2023.
As expected and announced, the Bank of Japan increased its target interest rate by 25bps to the level of 0,5%. Such a move was supported by BoJ inflation expectations in 2025 and 2026. The expected increase in rates was previously fully priced by market, in which sense, there has not been any higher movements on financial markets in Japan and US.
Crypto market cap
Another volatile week on the crypto markets which ended with a positive sentiment. All investors' eyes were on the inauguration of the new US Administration and moves which will be taken during first days in the office. For the crypto market, the most important information was related to the Presidential order for a formation of the cryptocurrency working group. This group will work in the future period on a development of the crypto regulation in the US, as well as the potential for the creation of the cryptocurrency stockpile on the national level. Such a move brought back investors confidence, bringing the total crypto market capitalization to the higher grounds as of the weekend. Still, considering the previous drop in the value, the crypto market capitalization is ending this week relatively flat, compared to the week before. There has been a small drop of nearly 1%, decreasing total crypto cap by $40B. Daily trading volumes were also modestly decreased to the level of around $200B on a daily basis, from $340B traded a week before. Total crypto market cap increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at 9%, where $300B has been added.
The majority of crypto coins finished the week in red, however, there were also several altcoins which managed to gain during the week. BTC finished the week relatively flat, compared to the week before. On the other hand, ETH lost some 3% in value, decreasing its cap by $12B. BNB was also on a losing side, dropping its value by 2,8% w/w, or $2,8B. Interestingly, Solana was among significant losers, with a drop in value of 4,7%, decreasing its cap by $6,1B. This group also includes DOGE, with a drop in value of 10% or $5,8B. The majority of other altcoins had a weekly drop around 10%. On the opposite side were coins like Tron, which gained 4,2% in value, Monero surged by 4,3% w/w. After a significant surge in the value prior to inauguration, the Trump meme coin lost 54% in value in an after-inauguration period.
When coins in circulation are in question, the highest weekly move had BNB, which decreased the number of circulating coins by 1,1%. At the same time, the number of Tether coins increased by 0,7%. Iota had a surge of 0,5% while Stellar, Algorand and Filecoin increased the number of coins on the market by 0,2% each.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market was a reflection of spot developments during the previous week. In this sense, BTC futures ended the week only with a small drop in prices for most of the maturities. They ended the week almost flat. In this sense, futures maturing in December this year were last traded at the level $114.040, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $123.950.
On the opposite side were ETH futures, which ended the week around 5,5% lower from the week before, for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at the level of $3.575, while those maturing in December 2026 for one more time dropped below the level of $ 4K, and closed the week at $3.840.
Trump Inauguration - To the Moon or Sell the News?Crypto Market Cap Nears ATH – Is Another Sell-Off Brewing? 🚀
The total cryptocurrency market cap is currently sitting at $3.62 trillion, inching closer to its all-time high of $3.73 trillion. Bitcoin has been leading the charge, smashing its ATH with renewed bullish momentum. However, recent patterns suggest caution—sell-offs have often followed Bitcoin breakouts this cycle, as traders lock in profits.
Altcoins have also been making headlines. Solana (SOL) has seen an impressive rise, solidifying its place in the top crypto rankings. Meanwhile, the newly hyped Trump Coin has debuted on Robinhood, sparking interest and controversy alike.
With the market cap on the verge of breaking records, it’s a crucial moment to keep an eye on key support and resistance levels. Will we see another sell-off, or is this the start of the next leg up? Our best guess? Some choppinenss around the corner but ultimately the most bullish crypto administration ever will bring in the ATHs! 🚀
Join the discussion below and let’s navigate this market together! 🚀💸
MARKETS week ahead: January 20 – 26Last week in the news
The US inflation is not as scary as investors previously thought. In this sense, they adjusted previous expectations and returned positive sentiment to financial markets. The US equity markets recovered from losses carried two weeks ago. The S&P 500 ended the week at the level of 5.996. The US Dollar continued to gain in strength, but due to general uncertainty, the price of gold also surged back to the $2,7K levels. The US Treasury yields reacted strongly on inflation figures, bringing back the 10Y US benchmark to the level of 4,62%. In the dawn of the US new Administration inauguration, the crypto market also reacted positively, bringing BTC back above the level of $100K.
The US inflation figures were posted during the previous week, which was the major macro event. The inflation rate in December was standing at 0,4% for the month, bringing the inflation figure to 2,9% on a yearly basis. Both figures were in line with market forecasts. At the same time, core inflation was lower from market estimate, reaching 0,2% for the month and 3,2% on a yearly basis. This was information that changed market sentiment from negative to positive. Namely, strong jobs figures initiated a fear among investors that inflation might be higher than previously estimated, in which sense, the Fed will halt further cuts of interest rates. The current situation signals that the market was wrong with previous estimates, and that inflation in the US is on a clear down trend, in which sense, the Fed might continue with planned two rate cuts during the course of this year. The US 10Y Treasury yields also had a strong reaction to inflation data, bringing yields from the 4,8% down to 4,62%. level.
During the previous week markets were discussing a new meme coin issued by a new US President-elected, whose inauguration is scheduled for January 20th. The meme coin was issued on a Solana blockchain, where this coin surged by 12% on Saturday and 23% on Friday. News is reporting that this coin currently has a market cap of nearly $5 billion and is the largest coin on the Solana chain.
The Bank of Japan is again in the spotlight of investors' attention. Namely, there are an increasing number of news reports noting a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan in order to support the decreasing value of its currency. Reuters mentioned sources from BoJ which noted higher probability that the BoJ will increase its reference rates on a meeting as of the end of January. Market participants are currently pricing 80% chances for a rate hike at the forthcoming BoJ meeting. Due to the significant amount in carry trades, there is a higher probability that the markets in the US might react in a negative manner to this BoJ action.
There was a lot of dust in the media regarding the TikTok ban in the US during previous weeks. However, Reuters posted the latest news that the new President-elect Trump will allow TikTok to operate in the US only if US investors hold 50% stake in the company.
Crypto market cap
As inflation in the US is clearly under control and on its way down, and as inauguration of a new President-elect is coming due, the crypto market turned to the positive hype for one more time. The majority of crypto coins were traded in a positive sentiment during the previous week, increasing total crypto market capitalization by 11% on a weekly level, adding a new $340B to it. Daily trading volumes were also significantly increased to the level of $382B on a daily basis, from $130B traded a week before. Total crypto market cap increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at 11%, where $340B has been added.
Almost all crypto coins ended the week in a positive territory. The highest increase in market cap came from Bitcoin, which increased its value by more than 11% on a weekly basis, adding a new $211B to it. A new $19B came from ETH, which was a weekly increase of around 5% for this coin. XRP was also in the spotlight of the market, which managed to increase its market value by 27% w/w, adding $38B to its market cap. This time Solana should be specially mentioned. Namely, the coin surged by more than 44% after a new meme coin TRUMP was issued on this network, which represents the highest coin on this blockchain. Eventually, the market has a new favorite coin on the market, called TRUMP, issued by the current US President-elect. In only a few days, this coin managed to collect $ 13B in the market cap, and currently takes 16th place on the list of most valuable coins, based on data from Coinmarketcap. The TRUMP coin surged by an incredible 918% for the last seven days.
In line with the significant surge in the market cap, Solana also increased the number of its coins in circulation by 0,5% on a weekly basis. Stellar and Algorand had an increase in circulating coins by 0,2%, each. The number of Tether stablecoins increased by 0,7% during the previous week.
Crypto futures market
The crypto hype is for one more time on the crypto market, but this time also on the crypto futures market. Some interesting developments occurred with BTC futures during the previous week. Namely, all maturities were traded higher by more than 10% on a weekly basis, where futures maturing in December 2026 reached the price of $124.045. This represents the highest ever quoted price for BTC, indicating that the market is extremely positively oriented toward this coin. Futures maturing in December this year ended the week at the level of $114.145.
ETH futures were traded higher around 7,5% for all maturities. Futures maturing as of the end of this year ended the week at the level of $3.778. Those futures maturing in December 2026 managed to cross the $ 4K level, ending the week at $4.057.
SOL & Memes | Is Solana season here ?From Weekend Hero to Market King
Sol szn is here ? YESS, We are 70% up since our last analysis and recent data strongly suggests we might be entering the early days of SOL mania, Here’s why
1.SOL Outperformed BTC and ETH This Weekend: Solana delivered significantly better returns compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum over the weekend. don't let me compare it with Eth cuz it will break Eth holders Soul
2.Market Cap Milestone: Solana's total market capitalization hit an all time high earlier today, now making up 3.53% of the entire cryptocurrency market with a valuation of $114.3 billion.
3.Dominating Daily Net Inflows: As of now, SOL tops the leaderboard for daily net inflows.
4.Revenue Growth: Last week, Solana’s Real Economic Value (the revenue it generates) doubled its previous all-time high.
5.Meme coins often choose the Solana blockchain for a variety of reasons, primarily due to its unique technical advantages and its growing ecosystem. Here’s why: Low Transaction Costs, High Throughput and Scalability, Fast Transaction Speed, Strong Community and Ecosystem,Developer-Friendly Environment, Early Mover Advantage...
6.Weekend Trading Volumes: Between Saturday and Sunday night, SOL trading volumes surpassed those of all major altcoins.
All of this recent movement is huge for two specific groups of people:
-My wife, who has been worried sick since I told her I invested 100% of my life savings in Solana!
-Our followers, who got worded up on SOL around this time last year and load the dip at 20$
But will these trends hold, especially after ETH and BTC ETFs wrap up their first trading day of the week? Probably not but it’s worth noting how impressive this is, given Ethereum’s market cap is 3.3x larger than Solana’s, and Bitcoin’s is a staggering 16x bigger!
As you can see Sol ready for correction and pullback then it gets ready for Sol Mania
The TOTAL3 Breakout: Does This Signal the Start of Altseason? This chart displays the price action of what's labeled as "TOTAL3," which represents the combined market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum. Essentially, it tracks the overall value of the altcoin market.
The chart depicts the price action of the "Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC and ETH" (referred to as TOTAL3 in the label) over a period from October 2024 to April 2025. We can see a clear uptrend followed by a period of consolidation, and then a breakout from that consolidation pattern.
Key Observations
Initial Uptrend: The chart shows a strong, steep uptrend that begins around November 18, 2024. This indicates a period of significant buying pressure and increasing valuation for altcoins (crypto excluding BTC and ETH).
Consolidation: Around early December 2024, the upward momentum slows, and the price enters a consolidation phase. This is characterized by a rangebound pattern that appears to be forming a descending triangle.
The white trendlines clearly define this descending triangle pattern, with a descending resistance line and a horizontal support line. This pattern is typically considered bearish.
Bullish Breakout: Around mid-January 2025, the price breaks above the descending resistance line of the triangle. This is a bullish breakout, indicating that buying pressure has overcome the previous selling pressure. The price rises above the upper trend line and confirms the breakout.
Timeframe: The chart is using a daily (1D) timeframe, which is suitable for mid- to long-term analysis.
Interpretation and Potential Implications
Bullish Signal: The breakout from the descending triangle suggests a continuation of the initial uptrend and is considered a bullish signal. It implies that the market may be entering another phase of price appreciation for altcoins (excluding BTC and ETH).
Confirmation Needed: While the breakout looks valid, it would be beneficial to monitor volume activity to confirm the strength of the breakout.
Possible targets: The length of the base of the descending triangle could be added to the breakout point for a possible target, assuming it continues upwards.
Risk Management: As always, with any price pattern, a successful breakout is never guaranteed. Traders may consider setting a stop-loss below the breakout line as part of their risk management strategy.
Total market cap 2 - macro analysis ( expect $BTCUSD ) Hi 👋🏻 it's me your " Raj_crypt0 " is back 🔙 🎩
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 ( TOTALMAKETCAP2 ) crypto long run analysis ⏰ was here ..... ❣️
" It's important to close strong monthly above $1.71T " which makes bullish road clear "
🎯 ¹ - $2.5T ( 2.5 trilion dollars )
( When $2.5T was done before APRIL 2025 then , we aim for target 2 , if not it will turn as TOP 🔝 )
🎯 ² - $3.77T ( expecting potential TOP around 4 trillion dollar 💰 )
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Note >>
don't think 🤔 all coins will complete " BULL RUN " 🔝 target's at index TOP 🎩
It depends on currency some complete " BULL RUN " at 1st target 🎯 some complete 💯 at 2nd target 🎯 INDEX ☝🏻 always show way to get exit and entry on entire portfolio 💰
( Yes 🙌🏻 i provided even " BEAR RUN " target 🎯 also but we can discuss later based on 🔝 )