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Cryptomarketcap

Total Market Cap Weekly Chart: Ready to Explode?Hey traders! Let’s dive into this weekly TOTAL Crypto Market Cap chart. The headline says it all— Total Market Cap Is About to Explode , and we’re here to break it down! We’re seeing a massive expanding triangle formation, with the market cap currently at 3.21T , right at retest of triangle resistance. Historically, these patterns have led to parabolic moves — check out the 2019 - 2020 breakout! If history repeats, a breakout could send the market cap soaring toward 8.0T or even higher! However, if the breakout fails, we might see a pullback to the previous level of support around 2T . Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 3.66T (ATH) Support: 2T Breakout Target: 8.1T+ Breakdown Risk: 1.20T (latest strong resistance below 2.6T) Is the market cap about to go parabolic, or are we in for a fakeout? Let’s hear your thoughts below!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by ArShevelev
Depth Study of Bitcoin's Value Trends: The Evolutionary CodeIn-Depth Study of Bitcoin's Value Trends: The Evolutionary Code Across Four Halvings Authors: SanTi Li, Nahida, Legolas Abstract: This paper focuses on Bitcoin's four halving events from 2012 to 2024, systematically reviewing the halving mechanism, inflation rate trends, and analyzing market performance before and after each halving to explore their impact on price movements. Through historical data analysis and macro comparisons, it is highlighted that Bitcoin has entered a cycle where its inflation rate is lower than that of gold, emphasizing its scarcity and establishing a long-term value logic comparable to traditional assets. Additionally, from the perspective of the four halving cycles, although the price increase post-2024 halving has been moderate, it is still in the accumulation phase, with the real window potentially opening between 2025 and 2026. The article concludes by discussing Bitcoin's core value foundations, including scarcity, decentralization mechanisms, and deflationary models, indicating its maturing logic as "digital gold." 1.Bitcoin Halving Cycle: Block Rewards and Inflation Rate Bitcoin, designed by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2009, has a fixed total supply of 21 million coins. Initially, miners received 50 BTC per successfully mined block, with this reward halving approximately every 210,000 blocks (about four years), gradually reducing the new issuance. The halving cycle officially began in 2012, with subsequent halvings every four years. In 2024, the block reward became 3.125 BTC, leading to an annual inflation of 52,560 x 3.125 = 164,250 BTC, accounting for approximately 0.782% of the total supply. This inflation rate is already lower than that of most developed countries and gold, which has an annual production inflation rate of about 1.5%-2%. Currently, Bitcoin has entered a cycle with an inflation rate lower than that of gold. Fig.1 Bitcoin Halving Cycle Rewards and Inflation Rate Chart As shown in the chart: When each block reward was 50 BTC, the annual increase was approximately 52,560 x 50 = 2.628 million BTC, about 12.5% of the total 21 million supply. In 2025, with a 6.25 BTC reward per block, the annual increase is 52,560 x 6.25 = 328,500 BTC, about 1.564% of the total supply. As of around 14:00 on May 7, 2025, approximately 19,861,268 BTC have been mined, accounting for about 94.58% of the total supply, with a total market capitalization of approximately $2.034 trillion. Compared to the previous halving cycle in 2020, when about 18,385,031 BTC had been mined (approximately 87.5% of the total supply) and the total market capitalization was about $161.8 billion, the market cap has increased by approximately 1,236% over five years. In the next four years, the annual inflation rate will be only 0.782%. Fig.2 Comparison of Inflation Rates in Major Countries (2019-2025) In 2019, China's inflation rate was about 2.9%, and the United States' was 2.3%. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and subsequent stimulus measures, it was predicted that the U.S. would experience significant inflation from 2020 to 2022. Indeed, the U.S. inflation rate reached a high of 8%, later decreasing to around 2.2% by 2024 due to Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. China's annual inflation rate is about 0.2%, effectively controlling inflation among major countries. Most developed countries have an inflation rate of around 2.5%, but the actual experience of currency devaluation may be more pronounced than statistical data suggests. At this time, the latest Bitcoin halving will further reduce BTC's inflation rate to a new historical low of 0.782%. A lower inflation rate is generally beneficial for any asset, as it increases scarcity. However, this does not necessarily mean the asset's value will increase by 100% in the short term, but it is an important factor in resisting devaluation. ii.Comparative Analysis of Market Performance After Four Bitcoin Halvings Since Bitcoin's inception, each block reward halving has had a profound impact on BTC's market price. From 2012 to 2024, the four halving events exhibit relatively consistent cyclical characteristics. This paper compares market price trends before and after each halving to extract valuable patterns. History never repeats exactly, but before reaching peaks or nearing destruction, similar patterns often emerge. Fig.3 BTC Value Changes Across Four Halving Cycles The chart in Fig.3 summarizes BTC's trend data six months before and one year after each halving, as well as the highest point within the corresponding cycle. It shows that after each halving, Bitcoin's price experienced significant increases. Using the closing price on the halving day as a baseline: 2012 halving: over 8,000% increase within one year 2016 halving: approximately 286% increase 2020 halving: approximately 475% increase 2024 halving: approximately 31% increase within one year (as of now), with a peak increase of 68.75% ($109,588) 1.Significant Price Increases Six Months Before Halving Reviewing the four halving events, Bitcoin typically enters an upward trend six months prior to halving. For example: ●2012 halving: 141.03% increase compared to six months prior ●2024 halving: 118.88% increase compared to six months prior This phase often corresponds to the market gradually pricing in the "halving expectation," serving as a strong preparatory signal. 2.Core Explosion Period 6–12 Months After Halving, Not Necessarily the Peak Historical data shows that the 6–12 months following a halving are typically the main growth phase for Bitcoin: ●2012: 8,181.51% increase within one year ●2016: 286.29% increase ●2020: 475.64% increase ●2024: Currently, 31.18% increase, with a peak of 68.75% ($100.9k) Especially in 2012 and 2020, the structure showed "consolidation within six months, followed by an explosion." After one year, the market entered the most significant growth phase, reaching new historical highs. As the 2024 halving has just passed one year, if history repeats, the real explosion window may open between 2025 and Q1 2026. 3.First-Year Post-Halving Trends Provide Preliminary Reference After the 2024 halving, Bitcoin increased by 10.02% within a month but then experienced two months of fluctuation and correction, remaining in the accumulation phase. By October 2024 (six months post-halving), the price had only slightly increased by 6.30% compared to the halving day, far from entering the main growth phase. However, this is not uncommon historically, as both 2016 and 2020 saw significant price movements starting six months after the halving. 4.Bull Market Peaks Typically Occur 6–12 Months After Halving Based on data from the first three cycles, the highest prices relative to the halving day's closing price occurred in the mid-term before the next halving: ●2012: 9,237.15% increase ●2016: 2,825.84% increase ●2020: 700.28% increase In the current 2024 halving cycle, a peak of $109,588 has been observed, representing a 68.75% increase from the halving day, but it has not yet entered an exponential growth phase. This pattern applies only to the current cycle; if Bitcoin reaches values as high as $300,000–$500,000 or even $1 million, its valuation will be enormous. Unless there is significant devaluation of reference assets or further expansion of applications, such as interstellar exploration, it will be challenging to achieve multiple-fold growth in the next halving. Chart Summary: Bitcoin's historical halving cycles exhibit a highly consistent three-phase rhythm: Accumulation and price increase (six months before halving) Stable fluctuation (six months after halving) Main growth explosion (6–18 months after halving) As the 2024 halving approaches its one-year mark, the market may still be accumulating energy for the later explosion phase, similar to the prelude to 2017, coinciding with the early period of Trump's presidency. The Stock-to-Flow chart also indirectly supports the view that Bitcoin is still in a phase of accumulating strength. However, historical data and patterns are only for reference and should not be blindly followed; independent judgment and thorough research (DYOR) are essential. Fig.4 Bitcoin Price Stock-to-Flow Chart III. Scientific Attributes of Bitcoin's Long-Term Value The value of an asset stems from both consensus and intrinsic worth. Long-term consensus, in particular, must be grounded in the asset’s inherent advancement, scientific underpinnings, and irreplaceable first-mover advantage. Bitcoin (BTC) is not merely a crypto asset — it is the culmination of breakthroughs in technology, economics, mathematics, cryptography, and more. Its long-term value is not sustained by market speculation alone, but rather built on a rigorous, verifiable, and manipulation-resistant system design. 1. Scarcity As previously discussed, Bitcoin has a fixed total supply of 21 million coins, encoded in its protocol by Satoshi Nakamoto. Through a programmed halving mechanism, block rewards are reduced approximately every four years, with all coins expected to be mined by around the year 2140. Unlike fiat currencies which can be printed infinitely, Bitcoin’s deflationary nature supports its long-term appreciation from a supply-demand perspective. Scarcity is the cornerstone of Bitcoin’s inflation resistance and lays the foundation for its status as "digital gold". 2. Decentralization: Neutrality Guaranteed by Consensus Mechanism Bitcoin’s decentralized Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism relies on computational power. Any node can verify transactions and participate in ledger maintenance. This structure avoids issues found in traditional financial systems such as central points of failure, power abuse, or systemic control. Its globally distributed nature significantly reduces the likelihood of a 51% attack. 3. Deflationary Model vs. Fiat Currency Devaluation As shown in Fig.2 (not included here), Bitcoin's built-in deflationary issuance model starkly contrasts with the inflationary nature of global fiat currencies. Since 2020, central banks around the world have launched large-scale QE programs, resulting in currency overflows. Bitcoin has increasingly demonstrated its role as a hedge against fiat depreciation and asset bubbles. It is becoming a safe haven for capital in an era of diminishing trust in fiat money. 4. Technological Attributes: Advanced Cryptography + P2P Network Design Bitcoin integrates multiple cutting-edge technologies: ●ECDSA (Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm): Ensures account security and private key signatures. ●SHA-256 Hash Algorithm: Guarantees data immutability. ●Merkle Tree Structure: Enables efficient verification of transactions within a block. ●Peer-to-Peer Network (P2P): Facilitates global value transfers without intermediaries. These technologies make Bitcoin a robust and unforgeable value transmission network, with infinite scalability potential — laying the groundwork for second-layer expansions like the Lightning Network and future applications. Bitcoin is not only an asset but also a masterpiece of cryptographic engineering. Future quantum-resistance updates are also worth watching. 5. A Challenger to the Global Financial Order: A Non-Sovereign Asset Amidst Dollar Transition The world is witnessing a wave of de-dollarization, with international settlements shifting toward local currencies, gold, and decentralized assets. With its non-sovereign neutrality, global accessibility, and scarcity, Bitcoin has become a crucial channel for capital transfer and value storage, especially in emerging markets and unstable regions. It offers an alternative financial model coexisting with — yet independent from — the dollar and gold: a neutral system of consensus-based currency. In times when national creditworthiness is questioned, reliance on algorithmic credibility could become a strategic moat. Of course, this will require further regulatory oversight to prevent illegal activities. 6. A Potential Financial Infrastructure for Interplanetary Civilizations (Speculative Idea) Bitcoin is the only current value protocol not reliant on any country, bank, or internet entity. Its ledger can exist across planetary nodes — as long as electricity and computing power are available, the network can be maintained. This structure makes it naturally suitable for future space exploration scenarios, such as on Mars or the Moon, where fast and direct usage would be advantageous. While human space exploration is still in its infancy, with no major breakthroughs in stable planetary settlement, this idea remains speculative. However, from a 30–50 year perspective, initial interplanetary applications may not be entirely implausible. Bitcoin (or credit-like tokens) could serve as the base-layer token of human digital civilization. Summary: BTC's Scientific Foundation ●Supply Ceiling (Scarcity) + Consensus Strength (Decentralization) ●Real-World Context: Weakening trust in fiat currency and expanding debt bubbles ●In the face of future uncertainty, Bitcoin's "anchor-like properties" become increasingly prominent. 4. Summary of BTC’s Long-Term Value Trends Through the analysis of Bitcoin's halving cycles and scientific fundamentals, the following conclusions can be drawn: Bitcoin’s four halving cycles to date have demonstrated a consistent market rhythm: price rises in anticipation before each halving, followed by short-term consolidation, then a major rally. Post-2024 halving, Bitcoin’s annual inflation rate has dropped to 0.78% — lower than gold for the first time — reinforcing its role as a scarce asset. Against the backdrop of persistent global fiat inflation, expanding credit, and growing fiscal deficits, Bitcoin’s deflationary model and decentralized structure are attracting increasing attention and allocation from traditional capital. Although short-term volatility remains and black swan events cannot be ruled out, Bitcoin's long-term value logic is becoming clearer: it is not just a cryptocurrency, but a new type of asset based on cryptographic trust and decentralized consensus. In future cycles, Bitcoin's value potential, inflation-hedging ability, technical uniqueness, and expanding ecosystem will continue to empower it, building the essential value moat of a true “digital gold”. Disclaimer on Perspectives: Some people dismiss Bitcoin due to market speculation or scam-like projects. However, equating it entirely with such phenomena is an unobjective approach. Projects that rely solely on hype — such as many memecoins — tend to lack sustainability. Risk Warning: This article serves only as educational research and does not constitute investment advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and make independent judgments. Never blindly follow anyone — DYOR (Do Your Own Research). BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
by OuChiBoy
MARKETS week ahead: May 5 – 11Last week in the news Two major events during the previous week shaped the market sentiment. One is related to the Chinese government which noted a consideration to start the negotiations in order to relax currently imposed trade tariffs, while the other is related to stronger than expected US jobs market. The US equities finished the week higher, where S&P 500 closed the week at the level of 5.686. The US Dollar also gained strength on positive news. Inversely, the price of gold was traded at the lower grounds, ending the week at the level of $3.240. The US 10Y yields reacted on a strong jobs data, diminishing the potential recession in the US, where yields closed the week at the level of 4,30%. BTC was also among weekly gainers, where the level of $ 98K has been tested. The previous week was full of currently important US macro data, which brought back higher volatility on financial markets. The week started with jobs opening data. Posted JOLTs showed 7.192M jobs open in March, which was modestly below market expectation of 7,48M. Fed's favourite inflation gauge, the PCE Price Index, was standing at the level of 0% in March, same as core PCE. On a yearly basis, the PCE was 2,3%. However, the star of the week were the Non-farm payrolls, which increased by 177K in April, which was much better than anticipated 130K. This figure brought a relief to market participants, as it seems that the US economy is not entering into a recession. On the opposite side are some analysts who are noting that it is too early in time for trade tariffs to be reflected on the US economy and jobs data. Still, the GDP Growth rate preliminary for Q1 came as a surprise at the level of -0,3% for the quarter. The market was expecting to see the figure of +0,3%. Analysts are in consensus that such a surprising drop in the output of the US economy is a reflection of trade tariffs imposed by the US Administration in the previous period. A lot of investors' attention took the Assembly meeting of Berkshire Hataway, held on Saturday in Omaha, US. As announced, its founder and CEO Warren Buffet will step down from his CEO position as of the end of this year. His place will take Greg Abel, vice chairman of Berkshire Hataway for non-insurance operations. Reflecting on trade tariffs, Warren Buffet strongly criticized, noting “Trade tariffs are an act of war … trade should not be a weapon”. The FOMC meeting is scheduled to take place on May 6-7th. This meeting will be closely watched by markets, as it is expected that the Fed will provide their current view on the current state of the economy as well as potential negative implications of imposed trade tariffs. As per current market expectations, based on the CME FedWatch Tool, the first rate cut during this year is postponed for July this year, amid currently strong jobs data. CRYPTO MARKET The crypto market had another relatively positive week. News related to the potential relaxation of the US-China trade tariffs as well as better than expected US jobs data, left their positive market also on the crypto market. BTC was for one more time in the focus of market participants, however, the majority of other coins was not left behind. Total crypto market capitalization gained 1% compared to the week before, adding $35B to its total market cap. Daily trading volumes were modestly decreased to the level of $106B on a daily basis, from $166B traded the week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -9%, with $283B outflow of funds. The leader of the market during the previous week was BTC. This coin managed to gain more than 2% on a weekly basis, adding total $ 39B to its market cap, but also to the total capitalization of the crypto market. ETH also had a relatively good week, considering gain of 1,15% in value adding $2,5B to its market cap. One of the significant weekly gainers was Monero, with a surge in market cap of 24%, adding $ 1B to the total value. On the opposite side were coins which did not manage to finish the week in green. Market favourite Solana lost 1% in value on a weekly basis, while BNB was last traded down by 1,4%. This week Uniswap ended with a loss of 11,8% on a weekly basis, while Algorand and Filecoin were traded down by around 8%. There has been sort of increased activity when coins in circulation are in question. Filecoin managed to increase its coins in circulation by 0,4%. IOTAs total coins on the market surged by 0,5%, while Stellar and DASH marked an increase of 0,2%, same as XRP. This week Maker decreased its number of circulating coins by 1,4%. Crypto futures market The positive market sentiment continues to be reflected in the crypto futures. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded higher during the previous week. BTC futures gained in value around 1,5% for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year managed to pass the $100K level, ending the week at $101.305. At the same time, futures maturing in December next year closed the week at $107.390. ETH futures were traded higher by around 2% for all maturities. December 2026 ended the week at $1.938. Futures maturing a year later managed to pass the $2K level, closing the week at $2.084.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: April 28– May 4Last week in the news The market is currently perceiving that there is sort of relaxation in the US-China trade war. This was the major premise which boosted US equity markets. The S&P 500 gained around 4,6% on a weekly level. A positive market sentiment and short relaxation on uncertainty brought the price of gold lower by 2% on Friday, ending the week at the level of $3.318. On the same premise reacted the US Treasury bond market. The 10Y US benchmark closed the week lower, at the level of 4,25%. The crypto market was also part of the positive sentiment, as BTC managed to make a break-through from previous levels and reach levels above the $95K. The US-China trade war continues, however, with a softener rhetoric, which brought market sentiment to the positive side. Still, it remains quite confusing, where the majority of analysts are not sure what the final deal would look like. Actually, it seems that nobody knows, even the US Administration. The latest comment from the US President on the topic is that eventually tariff rates will “come down substantially, but it won't be zero”. Also, the US President commented that he has no intention of “firing Powell”. The Financial Times posted an article in which the journal noted that Apple was planning to shift all Iphones assembly to India. Analysts, involved in the matter, reacted to this news with arguments that such a move is highly questionable, both from the logistic side and from a tariffs side. The federal Reserve withdraws crypto guidance for banks. The Federal Reserve revoked its 2022 and 2023 guidance that required banks to notify or get approval before engaging in crypto or stablecoin activities. As Reuters reported during the previous week, based on six sources, the ECB is considering further cutting of its policy rates at the June meeting. The relaxing inflation and drop in the economic outlook ECB members see as a good reason to further decrease their reference interest rates. China is targeting the supremacy in the AI industry and development in comparison to its US counterparts. As news reported, the China President Xi Jinping called during the previous week for a “self-reliance and self-strengthening” in China within artificial intelligence. This now represents a key strategic area for China when it comes to their US counterparts. JPMorgan published the results of a survey among investors over their perception of the US economy in the future period. There has been a consensus on a high potential of stagflation, while the majority of participants perceive the weak US Dollar during this year. The major risk is coming from the ongoing trade war, which will have a negative impact on the US economy, as per survey. Crypto market cap The crypto market is in green again. After several weeks of struggling, the crypto market finally made its final break-through and increased the value of the total market capitalization. This move was supported by the relaxation of rhetoric of the US Administration in an US-China trade war. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 10% on a weekly basis, increasing its total value by $262B. Daily trading volumes almost doubled from the week before, trading around $166B on a daily basis. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -10%, with $318B outflow of funds. The major coins which drew the total crypto market to the higher grounds was BTC. The coin added $183B to its market cap, increasing it by more than 10% on a weekly basis. ETH also performed well, with an weekly inflow of $ 23B, which increased its market cap by 12%. Other major coins also performed well during the week. Solana added $5,4B to its market cap, which was an increase of 7,5%. DOGE surged by 14,8%, adding $3,4B to its market cap. Among higher gainers was IOTA, with a surge in value of 27,3%, LINK was traded higher by 15%, Algorand gained around 19% w/w. The majority of other coins gained above 10% on a weekly basis. This week there were almost no losers on the crypto market. As for coins in circulation, this week Polkadot and Filecoin added 0,6% of new coins to the market, same as EOS. Maker made a significant increase of 0,8% within a single week. Stablecoin Tether increased its number of coins by 1,7%, which was one of the highest increases for this stablecoin within this year. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market also reacted on a positive sentiment caused by relaxation in rhetoric regarding trade tariffs. BTC futures were traded higher by more than 12% for all maturities. The positive development is that the long term futures returned to the levels above the $100K. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $99.770, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $105.755. Similar situation is also with ETH futures. Positive is that the long term maturities reached levels above the $2K. In this sense December 2026 was closed at price $2.043, while futures maturing in December this year were last traded at round $1,9K.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: April 21 – 27 | XBTFXLast week in the news Tariffs and inflation continue to be the major two words on the financial markets, shaping investors sentiment. The S&P 500 tried to start the week with a positive sentiment, but the two scary words spoiled the game, so the index ended the week almost flat, at the level of 5.282. On the other hand, the word “tariff” continues to strongly support the price of gold, which reached a fresh new all time highest level at $3.354. The US yields are showing a different sentiment, when it comes to potential negative impact on tariffs on the US economy, and especially, Fed's decision to make two rate cuts during the course of this year. The 10Y US benchmark yields dropped during the week, ending it at the level of 4,33%. The crypto market was left a bit behind investors' spotlight. BTC was testing the $85K resistance during the whole week, and was traded in a relatively short range. The news of the week was that the ECB cut its reference interest rates for one more time by 25bps. In an after-the-meeting speech, ECB President Lagarde put trade tensions at the central point and that further restrictiveness of the monetary policy is meaningless. She also noted that a potential cut of 50 bps was also on the table during the ECB meeting. The high uncertainty of potential impact of trade tariffs remains a concern not only for investors on the US markets, but also for the ECB. The ECB President Lagarde urged the introduction of the digital euro in Europe, during the press conference. She called for swift action on the legislative groundwork which will support the introduction of digital euro in the near future. She thinks that such a move is necessary in the current geopolitical environment, which will make the Euro economy more productive, competitive and resilient. There has been a discussion in the news during the previous week, if China is offloading its holdings of US assets. It was based on the news that the largest sellers of US Treasuries two weeks ago were Japan and China. As per analysts involved in the matter, China is still holding around 50% of its foreign portfolios in the US assets. However, referring to recent Chinese sale of US Treasuries, analysts are noting that it might be rather a way to stabilize the renminbi-dollar exchange rate, then actual offloading of US assets. It is also noted that a strong sale of US assets could make renminbi quite stronger, which is not in the best interest of China at this moment. The Canary Capital investment fund has filed with the SEC a proposal for a spot ETF which will track the price of Tron. The investment fund will also offer an extra yield through staking. As Cointelegraph is reporting, one of the largest retailers in Europe, German Spar, is testing payments in Bitcoin at its store in Zug in Switzerland. This is by far the major crypto retail trial in Europe. Crypto market cap CRYPTO MARKET The crypto market was relatively calm during the previous week. There has been a relatively smaller volatility compared to two weeks ago, which was part of markets focus on traditional markets and the word “tariffs”. There have been both weekly gainers and losers, while BTC managed to end the week flat compared to the week before. Total crypto market capitalization also remained flat on a weekly basis, with only a modest funds outflow of around $13B. Daily trading volumes were significantly decreased, to $73B from $130B traded two weeks ago. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, still holds at -18%, with $580B outflow of funds. There have been both gainers and losers among altcoins on a weekly basis. The major coin, BTC remained relatively flat w/w, without significant changes. ETH continues to lose in value. Last week the coin lost 1,5% in value or around $3B. XRP was also on a losing side, decreasing its cap by 2,5% w/w, or $3B. Some of the significant weekly losers include Theta and ZCash with weekly losses of around 10% each, while DOGE was down by 10,6%, followed by ADA, with a drop in value of 9%. On the opposite side was Solana, with a weekly gain of 6% or $4B. Filecoin was traded higher by 3%, and Ethereum Classic ended the week higher by 2,5%. This week Filecoin had a much stronger weekly increase in coins on the market or 1,2%, which was significantly higher from average of 0,3% w/w. DOGE, Solana and Algorand had a weekly increase of circulating coins of 0,1%. Crypto futures market Crypto futures were also traded in a relaxed mode during the previous week. BTC futures were traded higher by around 1,2% for all maturities. BTC futures maturing as of the end of this year reached the last price at $88.895, while those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $94.205. ETH short term futures price levels were increased by around 1,3% on a weekly basis, while the longer ones were traded higher by 0,9%. ETH futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at the level of $1.667, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $1.796.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Monthly Candle Close numbers & sequence This is the TOTAL version of the Bitcoin chart I post every month It is not always the same but, on average, it has the same Candle colour but not always the same Size, due to influences of ALT coins. But what I want to draw your attention to is where that arrow is pointing. We have just had a RED Febuary and March candle close. This has only ever happened ONCE before. Late 2019 - Early 2020 Infact, in 2019 we had Dec RED, Jan GREEN, Feb RED, March RED And currently we have Dec RED, Jan GREEN, Feb RED, March RED, The 2020 March RED was the Covid dive, that was swiftly recovered Currently we have the "Trump Tariff Dive" In so many ways, we are repeating the early 2020 Sequence in the TOTAL Cap The Bitcoin Chart however, seems to be repeating the 2017 Sequence. In 2020, TOTAL market Ca [pApril and May both closed GREEN. while en-route to a New ATH in March 2021. A New cycle ATH in early 2026 is entirely possible though it would be Very Much out of sequence. Things are different in many way with Crypto now...We are under new Regimes.. Discount Nothing Interesting days indeed
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by Orriginal
MARKETS week ahead: April 13 – 18Last week in the news Tariffs rollercoaster continued also during the previous week, with a glimpse of improved market sentiment. However, analysts are now questioning whether optimism is sustainable at this moment? The US Dollar significantly lost in value during the week, bringing the price of gold to its fresh, new all time highest level at $3.240. The US Treasuries had a strong reaction, where the 10Y benchmark yields continued to surge, ending the week at 4,49%. The US equities had another rollercoaster week. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 had an upside move of around 10%, which is extremely rarely seen on the equity markets. The index closed the week at the level of 5.363, after reaching its lowest weekly level at 4.845. The crypto market was also affected with the negative sentiment at the beginning of the week, but still, as of the week-end BTC managed to test the $85K resistance. All macroeconomic news are put aside at this moment, as the market is looking only at word “tariffs”, which is currently the most popular word also among world leaders. The US Administration said that they will put tariffs on hold for the majority of countries for the next 90 days, except for China. Another news is related to decreased tariffs to 10% which will now be imposed on the majority of countries in the world. However a tariffs-war between the US and China continues. At this moment, the latest news is that the US is imposing tariffs of 145% to China, while China is imposing tariffs of 125% on goods imported from the US. Whether this is going to be the final tariff outcome, no one knows. As per comments from China officials, they are not ready to back up. The Chinese finance minister commented “Even if the U.S. continues to impose higher tariffs, it will no longer make economic sense and will become a joke in the history of the world economy”. Many analysts agree with the absurdity of such high tariffs, while there are few who still believe in the “Art of the deal”. Negative effects of tariff war are already reflected on the US supply chain. Majority of goods imported from China cannot be distributed further to retail stores, as companies are not sure which tariffs to apply. On the other side are mortgage loans, which surged to the level of 7% for the period of 30 years. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment results were posted during the previous week, with surprisingly lower figures from expected one. Certainly, currently most important are inflation expectations of US consumers, which surged to the level of 6,7% from 5% expectations in March. The recession fears are again among investors. The famous US investor and CEO of BlackRock, Larry Fink, noted during the previous week in an interview his opinion that the US is “very close, if not in, a recession now”. Regardless of the current sentiment, he thinks that “megatrends” in the US economy, like artificial intelligence, would persist. Crypto market cap CRYPTO MARKET Two weeks ago the crypto market was left behind investors' view during the general sell off on traditional markets, however, the situation changed during the start of the previous week. Some optimism came at the week-end, bringing another highly volatile week on the crypto market. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 2% on a weekly basis, mostly due to the surge of BTC at Saturdays trading session, bringing additional $ 44B to the market cap. Daily trading volumes remained relatively stable compared to the week before, moving around $130B on a daily basis. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -18%, with $567B outflow of funds. Previous week was generally the volatile one, with almost equal numbers of coins which ended the week in red, and those with a green weekly gain. BTC gained mostly at Saturday's trading session, where it managed to end the week with a 2,3% weekly gain in market capitalization, bringing almost $ 40B to its market cap. On the opposite side was ETH, which lost significantly during the week, decreasing its market cap by 8,1% or almost $18B. At the same time, XRP was traded flat during the week, same as BNB. Among significant gainers was Solana, with a surge in market cap of more than 10%, or $6,3B. Maker was up by 5,3%, while Algorand surged by 4,5%. Among weekly losers were Monero, with a drop of more than 3%, Theta was down by 2,6%, same as Stellar. This week Uniswap and Stellar also closed the week in red, with a drop of around 5%. With respect to coins in circulation, this week, both XRP and Stellar increased their number of coins on the market by 0,2%. Solana also had an increase in the number of coins of 0,3%, while Filecoin, traditionally is increasing its circulating coins, this week by 0,4%. Crypto futures market The negative sentiment from the spot market was also reflected in the crypto futures. This week was different for BTC futures, as there has not been evident the same level, linear drop in the value of futures for all maturities. The short term futures had a modest weekly decrease of around 0,5%. At the same time December 2025 ended the week by 1,3% lower, at the level of $87.695. Longer maturities had a larger weekly drop in the value of futures of more than 4%. In this sense, December 2026 closed the week at $93.115, or 4,7% lower. On a positive side is that longer term maturities are still managing to hold above the $90K levels. ETH futures had a linear decrease in the value of future contacts by more than 13% for all maturities. December 2025 ended the week at the level of $1.650, while December 2026 was last traded at $1.778.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
Pi Network has began to soar?Previously, Pi Network was keep on silent with the pioneers getting frustrated with declining prices. Just get reminded that Pi core team already mention that keep posted any NEWS coming. They are getting more working hours more than we had. So, pioneers just keep on what your doing daily, let the team core doing their part. Global payments company BANXA has made a big splash by purchasing over 30.5 million Pi Coins, worth around $19 million. But this isn’t just another crypto deal—it’s a clear sign that major players are starting to take the Pi Network seriously as a future leader in digital payments. With this move, BANXA now lets users buy Pi directly on its platform and send it straight to their wallets. This makes it much easier for users to access Pi, especially as the community keeps growing. BANXA’s purchase isn’t just about owning Pi—it’s a vote of confidence in the entire Pi Network. It shows that Pi is no longer just an experiment, but a growing digital economy with real-world potential. By supporting direct purchases and improving infrastructure, BANXA is helping Pi shift from a mined-only coin to one that has real value in the market. This is a new steps in the crypto digital payment to all nation wide, with uncertain economy crashing today lots of countries are seeking the safest way to sustain economy. The traditional way of economy has getting older and slower. My personal opinion is, Trump's crypto team now silently work closely with Pi core team to develop a new bond tie of digital economy, and will makeing a huge and powerfull worm hole of economy, that may suck any all kind of economy into it. Looks like a Si-Fi movie.. Lol.. The chat can be automaticly updated in every two hours, and I try to keep a new updates regarding Pi Coin , for the sake of Pi Pionners movement and Pi coin awarensess. Keep watch closely until th cup and handle chart pattern completed.
Long
by SL-Trades
1
SOL/USDT Wedge Breakout (08.04.2025)The SOL/USDT pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 120.60 2nd Resistance – 130.63 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
27
MARKETS week ahead: April 6 – 12Last week in the news A completely new dance is currently on the world stage, called the Tariff-economics. The US Administration shocked the world and financial markets with implementation of trade tariffs for almost all countries in the world. China was the first to respond, dragging down all financial markets globally. This was one of the worst trading weeks for US equities since the pandemic lockdown in 2020. Only on Friday, the S&P 500 lost almost 6%, and about 10% for the week. The price of gold dropped in a response to the margin calls from other markets, ending the week at the level of $3.037. In a fear of recession in the US, the 10Y US benchmark yields responded with a strong move toward the 3,87%, but ended the week at 3,99%. The price of BTC was relatively steady compared with other financial markets, but the question that is currently pending the answer was if this was actually good or maybe the bad news? The US Administration decided to start trade-war with the rest of the world. This was an action which shocked both markets and almost all governments in the world. The global sell-off in equities was triggered in a fear of recession and the impact which trade tariffs might have on global growth during this year. The situation was much worse when China announced implementation of 34% tariffs on all goods imported from the US. Other governments worldwide are expected to announce countermeasures in the weeks to come. Investors worldwide are currently very unhappy with actions from the US side, calling it the “biggest policy mistake in 95 years”. The US President Trump is not giving up from persuading Fed Chair Powell to cut interest rates. Last week President Trump said that the Fed Chair should “stop playing politics” and that now is the perfect time for an interest rate cut. Fed Chair Powell clearly noted at the last FOMC meeting that he will not publicly comment on any topic from the US Administration. When asked to comment on the impact of trade tariffs during the previous week, Powell shortly noted that they are “significantly larger than expected”. With respect to potential rate cuts during this year, the market is currently projecting four 25 bps cuts till the end of this year, regardless of the latest FOMC projections of only two rate cuts. Banking professionals are also cutting their initial projections of the equity markets developments for this year. The RBC analysts are now projecting the S&P 500 level of 4.200 for this year in case of the stagflation macroeconomic scenario. In the case of full recession, their revised projections for the index currently stand between 4.500 and 4.200. Crypto market cap Traditional markets had a very turbulent week and the worst one since the pandemic lockdown in 2020, however, the crypto market was moderately left behind the market attention. Considering developments with other financial assets, it could be noted that the crypto market had a relatively solid week. There had been both weekly losers but also gainers. Total crypto market capitalization dropped by 1% on a weekly basis, losing a minor $19B in cap. Daily trading volumes remained relatively stable on a weekly level, without a significant change of previous $132B. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -19%, with $611B outflow of funds. Generally BTC had a relatively stable week, with a minor weekly gain of 0,2% and with an inflow of $4B. ETH was standing on an opposite side, with a weekly loss of 3,5% in the market cap, or $8B. BNB was traded with a modest negative sentiment, with a weekly loss in market cap of $ 2B, or 2,4%. Market favorite Solana dropped by 5,2%, erasing $3,3B from the market cap. EOS was one of rare coins with an extreme market gain of 40% on a weekly basis. XRP was also traded a bit higher, gaining 0,3% for the week. Tron and ZCash also ended the week in positive territory, around 1,5% higher from the week before. Other altcoins were traded in a mixed manner, with a losing side prevailing. The majority of altcoins lost somewhere between 2% and 9%. One of the highest weekly increases of coins in circulation during the previous week had Solana and IOTA of 0,5% w/w. Algorand and Filecoin increased their circulating coins by 0,2%. Thai week, Tether had a drop in total number of coins on the market by 0,1%. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market had a relatively calm week, in line with developments on the spot market. BTC futures were traded higher from 0,1% to 0,4% for various maturities. BTC futures maturing in December this year closed the week by 0,4% higher, at the level of $88.850. Those maturing in December 2026 closed the trading day at $97.705, almost flat from the week before. ETH futures were traded lowr above the 3% for all maturities. ETH futures maturing in December 2025 ended the week at $1.914, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $2.060.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: March 31 – April 6Last week in the news Trade tariffs and inflation were the most watched words during the previous week, which shaped the market sentiment. Although US equities tried to express some shy positivity, the University of Michigan consumer Sentiment on inflation expectations put a shadow on a positive sentiment. The US equity market was traded sharply to downside on Friday, where the S&P 500 lost 1,97% in value, ending the week at the level of 5.580. On the opposite side was the price of gold, which reached the fresh, new all time highest level at $3.080. The 10Y US Treasury benchmark yields also reacted strongly to increased inflation expectations, dropping on Friday to the level of 4,25%. The crypto market followed the general negative sentiment, where BTC ended the week modestly above the $82K. The US macro data published during the previous week, strongly impacted market sentiment. The PCE for February showed further modest increase in inflation, as the index reached 0,3% for the month and 2,5% on a yearly basis. Core PCE continues to be elevated, with an increase of 0,4% in February and +2,8% compared to the previous year. However, the highest surprise came from the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment, final for March, where inflation expectations for this year were elevated to the level of 5,0%, a jump from previous 4,3%. At the same time, there has been an increase in inflation expectations for the next five years, which reached the level of 4,1% from previous 3,5%. The increased inflation expectations in line with news regarding trade tariffs put the negative sentiment among investors, where the US equity markets dropped sharply during Friday's trading session, as well as US Treasury yields. Another tech company above the $ 1B valuation is free for trading on the NASDAQ from the previous week. The company in question is CoreWawe, under ticker CRWV. The company is a seller of artificial intelligence in the cloud, and is a supplier of OpenAI. CoreWave is better known as one of the companies with the highest initial public offering of $1,5B. The achieved price at the first trading day on Friday was $40 per share. Analysts from Bank of America noted on Friday that, in their opinion, the equities in the US are still very expensive. The exact wording that was used is that the market “remains statistically expensive on almost every measure we track”. However, they acknowledged the recent correction, but remain cautious on the policy uncertainty. As news is reporting, Grayscale, the US based investment fund, filed with SEC for the approval for their first spot Avalanche exchange traded fund to be listed on NASDAQ. Grayscale for some time is managing the Avalanche Trust, which carries 2,5% yearly fee. If approved, the ETF will provide for a wider range of investors exposure toward AVAX token. Crypto market cap CRYPTO MARKET Markets were not happy with increased inflation expectations, while further rhetoric regarding new trade tariffs from the US Administration and other world governments are not providing any sort of confidence to investors. Market reacted in a negative manner during the previous week, dragging the crypto market toward the downside. Total crypto market capitalization was decreased by additional 3% or total $72B on a weekly basis. Daily trading volumes were modestly increased to the level of $132B on a daily basis, from $92B traded a week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -18%, with $592B outflow of funds. General negative market sentiment pulled the crypto market toward the downside, but not all altcoins ended the week in red. BTC had the highest decrease in market cap of $28B, decreased its value by 1,7% w/w. ETH lost $16B in value or 6,8%. Other major coins ended the week in a negative territory. XRP had a weekly drop in value of 10,7%, with a loss of FWB:15B in market cap. BNB was down by 3,1%, market favourite Solana decreased its value by 2,5%, while ADA dropped by 4,5%. Few coins finished the week with a positive weekly result. ZCash managed to add to its value almost 18%, Maker ended the week higher by 8,5%. With respect to coins in circulation, some of the highest weekly gains were marked with stablecoin Tether, with an increase in the number of coins by 0,5%. Solana`s coins in circulation were higher by 0,3%, while Polkadot increased the number of coins on the market by 0,6% w/w. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market was also in a negative mood during the previous week. Although BTC lost around 1,7% in value on a weekly basis, its futures decreased much less, around 0,5% for all maturities. Still, for the last three weeks, BTC long term futures fell below the $100K level but are still holding above the $90K. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $88.500, which was a drop of around 1% w/w, while futures maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $97.570 or 0,44% lower w/w. ETH futures had a higher drop on a weekly basis, of more than 5%. In this sense, futures maturing in December 2025 achieved the last price at $1.983, and those maturing in December 2026 ended the week at $2.133.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
Bitcoin Breakout Confirmed, Aiming for $160K Chart Analysis: Bitcoin has just confirmed a major breakout above a key resistance zone, signaling a strong bullish continuation. Let’s dive into the details: 1.Ascending Triangle Breakout: BTCUSD had been consolidating within an ascending triangle pattern since late 2024, with the upper resistance around $80,000 and a rising support trendline (highlighted in yellow). The breakout above $80,000 on strong volume confirms the bullish pattern, which is typically a precursor to significant upward moves. 2. Accumulation Zone: Before the breakout, Bitcoin spent several months in an accumulation zone between $53,837 and $80,000. This phase allowed buyers to build positions, setting the foundation for the current rally. 3.Price Targets: The measured move of the ascending triangle (height of the pattern) projects a target around $160,000. The height of the triangle is approximately $26,163 (from the base at $53,837 to the resistance at $80,000). Adding this to the breakout point ($80,000 + $26,163) gives a target of ~$106,163. However, considering Bitcoin’s historical tendency to overshoot during bull runs and the psychological significance of $160,000 (as noted on the chart), this level seems like a realistic target. 4. Support Levels: The previous resistance at $80,000 now acts as strong support. If BTC pulls back, this level should hold to maintain the bullish structure. Additional support lies around $70,000, aligning with the lower boundary of the recent consolidation range. 5. Momentum Indicators: While the chart doesn’t display specific indicators like RSI or MACD, the sharp upward move suggests strong momentum. Traders should monitor for overbought conditions on RSI (above 70) as BTC approaches higher levels, which could indicate a potential pullback. Trade Idea: Entry: Current price around $84,599.61 (post-breakout confirmation). Stop Loss: Below $78,000 (to account for minor pullbacks while staying above the breakout zone). Take Profit: $160,000 (primary target based on the pattern projection and psychological level). Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:12, making this a high-probability setup. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $100,000 (psychological), $120,000, $160,000 (target). Support: $80,000 (new support), $70,000 (secondary support). Market Context: Bitcoin’s breakout aligns with a broader crypto market uptrend, potentially fueled by positive fundamentals such as institutional adoption, favorable regulatory developments, or macroeconomic factors like inflation concerns driving demand for BTC as a store of value. Ethereum’s recent breakout (as seen in similar charts) also supports the bullish sentiment across the crypto market. Conclusion: BTCUSD has broken out of a multi-month consolidation pattern, confirming a bullish trend with a target of $160,000. The $80,000 level should now act as strong support, and any pullbacks to this zone could offer additional buying opportunities. Stay cautious of overbought conditions as BTC approaches higher resistance levels. Let’s see how far this rally can go!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by sohaibfx
Buy BTC,it still has the potential to reboundBTC experienced a sharp short-term decline, breaking lower; however, the downward momentum has significantly slowed. Importantly, the recent pullback has not disrupted the broader upward consolidation structure, with the 84500-83500 zone continuing to provide strong support. Once the bearish sentiment fully subsides, I anticipate a relief rally or a technical rebound. Therefore, this pullback could present an excellent opportunity to go long on BTC. Consider entering long positions around the 84500-83500 support zone, targeting an initial upside move toward the 86000-86500 range. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Long
by Trader_Marvin
CRAIUSDT - An interesting coin!CRAI token is a part of Cryptify AI project Cryptify AI uses AI and blockchain to analyze influencer performance on social media, helping businesses make more accurate and transparent marketing decisions using the CRAI token. A strong and interesting project with a unique idea. On the chart, it has formed a descending channel, and the 0.236 resistance has been broken on the 3-day chart. The price movement is expected as shown in the chart Best regards Ceciliones🎯
by ceciliones
1
MARKETS week ahead: March 24 – 30Last week in the news The Fed held interest rates unchanged during their FOMC meeting held the previous week, and stuck to its previous plan of two rate cuts during the course of this year. Still, uncertainties regarding moves from the US Administration are strongly interfering investors decisions, in which sense, markets are still in a wait-and-see mood. The S&P 500 modestly gained during the week, ending it at the level of 5.667. The US Treasury yields remained relatively quiet, finishing the week at 4,25%. The price of gold reached a fresh, new all time highest level at $3.050. The crypto market was also traded in a mixed mood, with BTC ending the week above the $84K. The most important event during the previous week was the FOMC meeting. Fed officials decided to leave interest rates unchanged, as was highly expected by market participants. Current economic sentiment, under the influence of trade tariffs are perceived as “uncertainty around the economic outlook has increased” so the risks have aroused around both sides of Fed's dual mandate. The GDP projection for this year was corrected by 0,4% to the level of 1,7%. Despite uncertainties, the Fed is still on the track of a 0,5 percentage point decrease in interest rates during this year, which would account for two rate cuts. The Fed noted in its policy statement rising uncertainties around economic outlook caused by radical decisions of the new US Administration, while companies are starting to project their corrected earnings and growth for the future period. In this sense a company Nike noted expectations on decreased earnings originating from drop in sales due to trade tariffs. Shares of a consulting firm Accenture dropped by 7,3%, affected by the measures taken by the US DOGE amid cuts in spending. Some good news for Ripple and its four years long battle with the SEC. As per news officially posted during the previous week, the SEC officially dropped the lawsuit against Ripple over its XRP token. As this was positive news, XRP coin jumped in value by 11%. During the previous week Reuters published the news that the United Arab Emirates committed to the US Government to make $1,4 trillion investments into the US economy. The investments would be in the field of AI infrastructure, semiconductors industry, energy and local manufacturing. The investment is set for a period of next 10 years. MicroStrategy finalized the sale of a series of preferred stocks, in total value of $711M. The fresh funds will be used for purchase of BTC, and is expected that the company will then hold a total 500.000 BTC tokens. Crypto market cap The uncertainty is currently the main word on financial markets, which influence the sentiment of investors. After turbulent last few weeks, the crypto market relatively calmed down. During the previous week, it was traded in a relatively shorter range, with almost equal number of altcoins with both positive and negative end of the week. Total crypto market capitalization remained flat during the previous week, with an modest outflow of $ 10B on a weekly basis. Daily trading volumes were further decreased to the level of around $92B on a daily basis, from $102B traded a week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -16%, with $520B outflow of funds. Regardless of short move toward the higher ground, BTC ended the week flat on a weekly basis, without a significant change in its market cap. On the opposite side was ETH, who managed to modestly increase its value by 2,3%, adding $5,5B to its capitalization. Other altcoins were traded in a mixed manner. On a positive territory was EOS, with a weekly gain of almost 9%, Tron was traded higher by 5,8% w/w and Maker was higher by 3% on a weekly basis. Uniswap gained the most with an increase of more than 12% in value. Market favorite Solana dropped in value by 4,3%, losing $ 3B in cap. ADA was down by 6%, erasing $1,6B in its value. The highest weekly move in circulating coins had Uniswap, who not only increased its market cap by 12%, but also increased circulating coins by 4,6%. This was one of the largest increases of circulating coins for Uniswap in the recent period. IOTA also had an increase in coins on the market by 0,5% w/w, while Solana`s number of coins surged by 0,2%, same as Algorand and Filecoin. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market was aligned with the spot market during the previous week. BTC futures were traded lower by more than 1% on a weekly basis. BTC futures maturing in December this year ended the week at the level of $89.355, while December 2026 was last traded at $98.005. ETH futures ended the week in a positive territory, around 2% higher from the end of the previous week. ETH futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $2.095, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $2.252.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: March 17 – 23Last week in the news Tariffs-on, tariffs-off continues to shape market sentiment. The US equity markets tried to cover some weekly losses, where S&P 500 ended the week at the level of 5.638, after the index reached its lowest weekly level at 5.508. Considering uncertainty, the price of gold reached another all time highest level at $3K. The US Dollar continues to lose in strength, while US Treasuries are digesting latest inflation data and Michigan Consumer Sentiment with higher inflation expectations. The 10Y US benchmark is ending the week at the level 4,32% and is preparing for the forthcoming FOMC meeting on March 19th. The crypto market had a mixed week, with a lower start and an attempt to close the week higher. BTC passed the $80K resistance, ending the week above the $84K. The US inflation data for February was in the spotlight of the market during the previous week. Inflation of 0,2% for the month was in line with market expectations, bringing the inflation to the level of 2,8% when compared to the previous year. On a positive side were also jobs figures, where a total of 7,74M new jobs were opened in February, above market expectations of 7,63M. However, surprising figures came from the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index, which was much lower from the market forecast. Preliminary figure for March was standing at 57,9, lower from estimated 64,7. At the same time, inflation expectations were increased to the level of 4,9%. The FOMC rate decision is scheduled for March 19th, when Fed officials will also discuss the current market conditions and forecasts. The integration of the crypto market into the mainstream markets continues through new exchange traded funds, which large investment fund managers are currently filling for with the SEC. As per news published during the previous week, VanEck, a large US investment firm, has filed with SEC a launch of the exchange traded fund which will follow the Avalanche avax coin. Previously, Franklin Templeton, another investment firm, filed a launch of the ETF which will follow the price of XRP, while in February this year, the fund also filed a launch of an ETF following Solana`s spot price. BTC related convertible bonds are now available to retail investors through the REX exchange traded fund. The convertible bonds of Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy represent the majority of funds assets. Other holdings include convertible bonds from several crypto miners. The REX ETF was launched on NASDAQ (BMAX), with 0,85% expense ratio and total AUM of $25M. Crypto market cap Tariffs-on, tariffs-off were the major driver of the sentiment on financial markets during the previous period. The crypto market was also driven by the generally negative mood of investors which were trying to position for the uncertain future developments. The fear of potential negative effects of imposed tariffs is embedded into current positioning of investors. The crypto market continued with the downtrend during the start of the previous week, but then tried to recover as the week passed on. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by a modest 2% on a weekly basis, losing total $50B in value. Daily trading volumes were also modestly increased to the level of $129B on a daily basis, a shy increase from around $102B traded a week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -16%, with $510B outflow of funds. The crypto market was traded in a mixed manner during the previous week. Some altcoins managed to recover from losses incurred from the start of the week. In this sense, BTC managed to close the week in a red territory with a minor loss of around 1,5% on a weekly basis, where its total cap was decreased by $25B. ETH had a stronger weekly loss of more than 10%, where $ 26B was wiped out in its market value. Polygon and Uniswap were both down by around 10% in value during the week, while Algorand and Maker ended the week more than 8% lower. On the opposite trading side was XRP, who managed to add to its value 4% w/w, increasing its cap by $5,5B. BNB was also one of coins with a solid week, as it increased its market cap by 5,7% or $4,77B. OMG Network should be specially mentioned, as the coin increased its value by more than 13% during the week. There has been a modest development with coins in circulation of certain altcoins. Tether had an increase of its value and also its circulating coins by 0,5% w/w. LINK made an increase of its coins on the market by 3%, while Solana, Algorand and Filecoin had an increase of 0,2%, each. On the opposite side was Maker, with a decrease of -0,5% of its total coins on the market. Crypto futures market Although Friday's trading session brought some positive sentiment to the crypto market, still, futures did not manage to catch up with a positive territory. Both BTC and ETH futures ended the week in red compared to the end of the previous week. BTC futures were traded lower by around 2,8% for all maturities. In this sense, December 2025 was closed at the price of $90.950, and December 2026 closed the week at $98.945. ETH futures had a stronger drop in value compared to the previous week, between 10% and 11%. ETH futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $2.057, and those maturing a year later closed the week at $2.211.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: March 10 – 16Last week in the news The February US NFP data were below market expectations, however, the market sentiment is still highly under the influence of US trade tariffs. The US equity market had a correction during the previous week, with S&P 500 closing the week at the level of 5.770. The weakening of the US Dollar stopped further surge in the price of gold, but it still ended the week with a weekly gain, reaching the level of $2.909. The US Treasury yields reversed after reaching the lowest weekly level at 4,1%, ending the week at 4,30%. BTC is still in a roller coaster mood, testing the $90K, but still ending the week around the $86K. The US Nonfarm payrolls data for February came a bit lower from the market forecast. The US economy added 151K new jobs, while the market was expecting to see a figure of around 170K. At the same time, the unemployment rate for February was modestly increased to the level of 4,1%, from 4,0% posted previously. Regardless of a weaker than expected jobs data in February, the major concern of investors continues to be trade tariffs of the US Administration toward the main trading partners, including Mexico, Canada, China and the European Union. The trade war started by the US Administration is spilling its effects on other countries. As per latest news, China is planning to impose sanctions on some Canadian goods, including agriculture and oil products, from 100% to 25%, depending on the goods. Tariffs are scheduled to come into force on March 20th. At the same time, Canada imposed 100% tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, which came into force in October last year. “We do not need to be in a hurry, and are well positioned to wait for greater clarity” said Fed Chair Powell at a Policy forum during the previous week. This comment was made on the latest trade tariffs of the US Administration, noting that the combination of measures in the sphere of tariffs, immigration, fiscal policy and regulation will have a combined effect on the US economy. During the previous week, the US President signed an executive order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a US Digital Asset Stockpile. The BTC market had only a mild reaction to this news. UBS analysts are noting in their research that China might experience its own “GPT moment”. They noted that Chinese start-ups are rapidly innovating and integrating AI technology. The bank emphasized a product called Monica.ai Manus as a standout example of a program capable of doing many tasks including data analysis and coding. Crypto market cap The crypto market was following general sentiment on financial markets during the previous week. The correlation with the US equity market continues as the crypto market entered the mainstream. The US President signed the executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, however, the market reaction was relatively mild. Total crypto market capitalization remained relatively flat during the previous week, regardless of a higher volatility within the week. Daily trading volumes were also relatively flat compared to the week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -14%, with $460B outflow of funds. BTC had a relatively volatile week, however, it managed to close the previous week relatively flat compared to the week before. ETH had a modest drop in the market cap of 2,2%, with an outflow of $ 6B in funds. Other major altcoins also had a relatively negative week. DOGE was traded down by 8,4%, decreasing its total market cap by $2B. Solana had also a modest drop of 2,3% w/w, decreasing its cap by $1,6B. BNB was down by 3%, with a decrease in the value of $1,6B. On the opposite side was ADA, who managed to end the week in positive territory, with a surge in value of 22% or $5,1B. Tron also had a good week, increasing its value by 13,6%, or $2,7B. Other altocins were traded in a mixed manner. During the previous week Tron had an increase in the market value, but it also increased its coins in circulation by 10% on a weekly basis. This was one of the highest weekly increases for this coin. Stablecoin Tether is back on a positive territory, with an increase of circulating coins of 0,3% this week. Solana and IOTA also had an increase in the number of coins on the market by 0,3% each. Crypto futures market The general market sentiment impacted the crypto futures market to trade in a mixed manner during the previous week. Although BTCs spot market remained flat, still, its futures market gained above 3% for all maturities. In this sense, futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $93.550 and those maturing a year later were last traded at $101.800. On the opposite side were ETH futures which closed the week around 3% lower from the week before. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded around 3,2% lower, at $2.298. At the same time, futures maturing in December 2026 were traded lower by 2,7%, closing the week at $2.470.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
Bitcoin Goes "Red Days Again" since "Relief Rally" Has Been NullBitcoin's price has experienced significant fluctuations over last "Intl Women's Day" weekend, reflecting the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market. To understand these movements, it's essential to consider both the broader economic context and specific events that have influenced investor sentiment. Background: Economic and Political Factors In recent weeks, Bitcoin's price has been heavily influenced by economic indicators and political announcements. The U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, particularly comments from Jerome Powell, has been closely watched by investors. Political factors have also played a crucial role. For instance, Donald Trump's re-election and his proposals related to cryptocurrency, including the creation of a "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve," have contributed to market optimism and price increases. However, these developments also introduce uncertainty, as regulatory environments and geopolitical tensions can quickly shift investor confidence. Recent Price Movements As of the last weekend, Bitcoin's price has shown a decline of nearly 5%. This decrease is part of a larger trend where Bitcoin's price has struggled to maintain consistent gains, often experiencing sharp drops followed by rebounds. For example, on March 9, 2025, Bitcoin's price was noted to be choppy, trading around $81,500. Bitcoin's price initially dropped but then rebounded slightly. This rebound was likely driven by renewed optimism in the altcoin market and strategic purchases by entities like Metaplanet, which has been actively buying Bitcoin. However, the overall sentiment remains cautious due to ongoing economic uncertainties and the potential for further interest rate hikes. Key Events Influencing Price Mt. Gox Bitcoin Movement: The recent transfer of over $1 billion worth of Bitcoin from Mt. Gox to an unmarked address has raised concerns about potential market impact. Such large movements can lead to increased volatility as investors speculate about the intentions behind these transactions. Regulatory and ETF Developments: The ongoing efforts to establish a U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF have seen mixed results, with periods of significant outflows followed by brief moments of positive inflows. These developments can influence investor confidence and, consequently, Bitcoin's price. Global Economic Conditions: Trade tensions and economic stimulus measures, particularly those involving China, have also played a role in shaping Bitcoin's price. As investors seek safe-haven assets, Bitcoin's performance relative to traditional assets like gold can impact its value. Technical challenge The fluctuations in Bitcoin's price over the last weekend reflect the complex interplay of economic, political, and market-specific factors. As investors continue to navigate these uncertainties, Bitcoin's price is likely to remain volatile. The influence of major economic data releases, political announcements, and strategic investments will continue to shape the cryptocurrency's trajectory in the coming days and weeks. The main technical 1-day resolution graph indicates that Bitcoin Goes "Red Days Again" since recent "relief rally" has been Null. Ahead of upcoing week our "super-duper" @PandorraResearch Team is Bearishly calling to numbers between $30 000 to $50 000 per Bitcoin, that is correspond to major current support of 200-week SMA. Conclusion In summary, Bitcoin's price movements are a testament to the dynamic and speculative nature of the cryptocurrency market, where sentiment can shift rapidly based on a wide array of factors. As the market continues to evolve, understanding these influences will be crucial for investors seeking to navigate the volatile landscape of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. -- Best 'Jojoba oil' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
by PandorraResearch
1
MARKETS week ahead: March 2 – 8Last week in the news Markets continue to be in an uncertain mood, impacted by geopolitics, trade tariffs, inflation and interest rate levels. A major correction occurred during the previous week, where the majority of financial assets ended the week with a stronger weekly loss. The US equity markets finished the week in red, with S&P 500 losing 1,4% since the beginning of February, ending the month at the level of 5.954. Funds from equity markets fled toward the US Treasury bonds, where the 10Y US benchmark reached the 4,2% level. Although the US Dollar modestly gained in strength, still, the price of gold entered into a major short term correction, reaching the level of $2.856. As BTC is now part of the mainstream, a major break toward the downside occurred on the same grounds as with other financial assets. BTC shortly touched the $78K, but ended the week around the $85K resistance line. The major macro data for the US released during the previous week was the PCE data for January, however, were left in a shadow of geopolitical developments. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge came with no significant surprises from market expectations. The PCE was increased by 0,3% in January, leading to yearly increase of 2,5%. The core PCE was also at the level of 0,3% for the month. The personal income was higher by 0,9% for the month and personal expenditures decreased by -0,2% in January, compared to the previous month. These figures were in line with market expectation, in which sense, there has not been much market movements on the release of data. However, the stronger impact came from geopolitics. Recently the word “tariffs” became the spookiest word on financial markets. Although it is still unclear whether the US Administration will indeed introduce trade tariffs toward Canada, Mexico, China and Europe, markets are strongly reacting to any news related to this topic. During the previous week, Reuters published the news. Officials from Mexico proposed to introduce a 10% import tariffs on goods from China in order to match the US tariffs. At the same time, the US President noted that he might double current tariffs to China, which means a total of 20% tariffs on imported goods from China. The Intel company was in the spotlight of the market during the previous year, when the company missed the opportunity to catch up with the increasing AI demand, causing its shares to suffer almost 60% loss in value. Since then the company is trying to correct the past mistake, with plans to open a chip manufacturing facility in Ohio. However, the latest news is showing a potential delay in construction, so that a $100 billion complex would most probably start operating in 2030. Amid pre-election promises, the US President Donald Trump will host the first crypto roundtable at the White House on March 7th. As noted in the White House release, “attendees will include prominent founders, CEOs and investors from the crypto industry, as well as members of the President's Working Group on digital Assets”. Crypto market cap A major break toward the downside occurred during the previous week. Although, charts look painful with such a significant drop, still, for the crypto market historically it represents necessary consolidation for the future move toward the upside. These situations occur several times in the past, and will most certainly, occur also in the future period. The most important is that the crypto market managed to become part of mainstream markets, which was the historical win for the crypto market. However, it also means that the crypto market will react to any news which affects the traditional mainstream markets. This is exactly what happened during the previous week, where the total crypto market capitalization decreased by additional 12% on a weekly basis, erasing a total $370B from its market cap. Daily trading volumes also decreased to the level of $144B on a daily basis, from $239B traded a week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -14%, with $450B outflow of funds. During the previous week the majority of crypto coins lost in value, only a few managed to finish the week in green. BTCs value significantly dropped during the week, where the largest crypto coin lost over $216B in value, decreasing its market cap by 11,3%. For BTC, this represents a significant correction. ETH was also in the red group, with a loss of $ 68B or even 20,5% w/w, which is also a significant correction for this coin. Among market favourites, Solana dropped its market cap by almost $ 13B or 15,3%, BNB was down by $ 9B or 9,3%, DOGE lost more than $ 6B in value or 16,8% and XRP was down by 13% losing $19,7B in value of its market cap. At the same time, two coins which actually managed to post a significant increase in value were ZCash with an weekly increase in value of 10,6% and Maker who managed to add almost 8% to its value. There has also been an increased development when coins in circulation are in question. In this sense, Solana had a weekly increase of 3,9% of new coins on the market. Filecoin continues to increase its circulating coins each week, adding this time 0,6% of new coins. Crypto futures market In line with the spot market developments, the crypto futures market also experienced some major correction during the previous week. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded significantly lower compared to the week before. BTC futures ended the week above 11% lower for all maturities. There has also been some significant correction for longer term futures, which all dropped below the $100K target. In this sense, futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $90.650, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $98.695. Similar situation was with ETH futures who ended the week by more than 15% lower, dropping below the $3K target for longer maturities. ETH futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $2.374, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $2.540.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX