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MARKETS week ahead: January 6 – 12Last week in the news Markets used the first trading week in this year to slowly gear up for the coming period. The US equity markets had a copy-paste from the last week of December, where the week started in a negative sentiment, but Friday brought optimism. The S&P gained on Friday, ending the week at the level of 5.942. The US Dollar continues to gain in strength, bringing some volatility to the price of gold, which ended the week at $2.638. The US Treasuries are still digesting US macro data in expectation of the January FOMC meeting, bringing the 10Y US benchmark to the level of 4,62%. The crypto market started the new year in an optimistic manner, bringing BTC back to levels of $98K. Previous week was relatively calm when it comes to the release of currently significant macro data in the US. However, the largest US companies started to release their business plans for the year 2025. One of the most important news came from Microsoft, which noted that the company plans to spend at least $80 billion on construction of data centers which could be able to sustain a heady workload of AI-powered systems. For some time now, analysts have been noting that AI is the next “big thing” and that companies involved in the AI ecosystem would gain the most funds from investors. After this news the US equity market regained optimism bringing tech-heavy indexes to the higher grounds on Friday. CNBC made an interesting analysis based on officially published data in China, related to imports of phones into this country. Namely, as per CNBC, foreign mobile phone shipments in China dropped by 47% y/y in November. Considering that the majority of foreign phone shipments in China comes from Apple, CNBC is noting that Apple's market share in China might be under pressure in the coming period, considering strong competition from local smartphone producers. Interesting news published by Reuters at the beginning of the previous week, states that a local group of Swiss cryptocurrency advocates started an initiative proposing to the Swiss National Bank to hold Bitcoin, in a sense of national reserves. The initiators now have the task to collect 100.000 signatures in order for the initiative to reach a public referendum in Switzerland. At the start of the new year, analysts from investment company Goldman Sachs published their view and forecasts on the economic developments in the US, EU and China. The economic growth is expected to continue in the US, around 2,7%, while the EU should accelerate at a modest pace of 0,8%. The EU economy will continue to stand a hit from higher energy prices and also from high competition from China. Their expectations are that the EU will further cut interest rates to the level of 1,75%. Analysts from Goldman are noting geopolitical risks as ones to prevail in the 2025, as well as risks for the US economy if a new US administration imposes tariffs on goods from China. Crypto market cap The crypto market used the first trading week in a year to gear up for the rest of the year, and set the sentiment for the future. Major event that is ahead relates to the inauguration of the new US administration on January 20th, which was generally crypto-friendly during the pre-election period. The market expects positive developments for the crypto industry in the next four years. Whether there will be challenges on that road, is to be seen. After a bumpy year-end, the market set the positive sentiment during the previous week, where total crypto market capitalization gained 5% during the week, adding $160B to its market cap. Due to holidays, daily trading volumes remained relatively lower, moving around $158B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization during the year 2024 was increased by 97%, while during the first trading week in 2025 the market gained 5%, or $160B. Majority of crypto coins gained during the previous week. BTC, the leader of the market, increased its market cap by 3,5% or $65B. Ether was also on a winning side, adding $ 29B to its market cap, increasing it by 7,3% w/w. Some other notable gainers were DOGE, with an increase in the market cap of 19,3%. ADA also significantly gained, a 21% increase w/w. Market favorite Solana was up by “only” 11%, while Algorand was traded higher by 20% w/w. Stellar should also be mentioned, as the coin managed to gain a significant 26% in value. Only a few coins ended the week in red, among which were ZCash, with a weekly decrease in value of 4%, while Tether decreased its coins in circulation and its market cap by 1,2%. As for coins in circulation this week Solana managed to increase the number of its coins on the market by 0,7%, followed by Filecoin`s increase by 0,5% of circulating coins. In line with its significant increase in the value, Stellar managed also to increase the number of circulating coins by 0,2%. Crypto futures market The market optimism is back not only on a spot market, but also on the crypto futures market. The long term futures prices are expressing currently strong sentiment for BTC of investors. BTC futures were traded higher by more than 4% for all maturities. The major development is with longer term futures which are holding at levels above the $100K. In this sense, futures maturing in December 2025 ended the week with the price of $107.460, while futures maturing in December 2026 reached for the first time the level of $116.750. The ETH futures were traded higher around 8% on average. It is important for ETH that longer term futures crossed for one more time the level of $4K. Futures maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $3.885, while those maturing in December 2026 closed the week at $4.172.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
Crypto Market to Hit $5 Trillion in 2025?The crypto market added an astonishing $1.58 trillion in 2024, and projections for 2025 are even more bullish, with a potential market cap of $5 trillion. While most altcoins are still down over 50%, the next altcoin rally could be the catalyst for explosive growth. Institutional investors are also predicting Bitcoin to hit $150K, further fueling market optimism. The combination of increasing adoption, institutional interest, and potential altcoin recovery makes this goal achievable. Prepare for the next big wave by identifying undervalued projects and managing your risk effectively. 2025 could be the year of exponential growth—stay ahead of the curve!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by GreenCryptoTrades
Total Crypto Market Capitalization prediction for 2025The basis for the analysis in today's idea about the future of the total capitalization of the crypto market is our idea from 2 years ago, where we assumed that the “bottom” has already been reached and that we will continue to see strong growth. Read it 👇 Since then, the total capitalization of the crypto market has grown 4 times from $800 billion to $3.2 trillion. This is mainly due to the growth of the CRYPTOCAP:BTC price from $16k to the current $95k and its BTC.Dominance index from 39% to the current 58%. Many altcoins are still depressed, many of them failed to update their ATH, so let's assume that there hasn't been a real altseason yet) And here's how the capitalization of other financial assets has changed approximately over 2 years: end of 2022👉end of 2024 SP500 - $33 trillion 👉 $45 trillion Gold - $11 trillion👉 $18 trillion Silver - $1 trillion 👉 $1.8 trillion Cryptocurrencies - $800 billion 👉 $3.2 trillion Crypto rules, at least in terms of growth!) In addition, two fundamental events have taken place since then: BTC ETFs and ETH ETFs are gateways for the infusion of large institutional money into the crypto market, but also flags for the regulation of the crypto market. And then, only modeling in the mix with our fantasies and desires for 2025) 1️⃣ Previous cycles of rapid growth of the crypto market lasted 550 days after the #Bitcoin halving, so we assume that the current one will last at least until the end of October 2025. 2️⃣ The “growth power” of the total capitalization of the crypto market decreased by 6 times with each cycle, which means that in the current cycle it should reach at least $7-8 trillion 3️⃣ But this time, we have a “dark horse” - ETFs, and who knows how many more of them will be approved in the future and how this will affect the crypto market. Moreover, the number of cryptocurrencies is no longer thousands or tens of thousands, but millions. Memecoins are created in 30 seconds and rolled out to a multi-million dollar capitalization in weeks) And it is still commonly believed that the “naive and hungry” retailer with the eternal FOMO syndrome, who buys anything at any price, has not returned to the crypto market. 4️⃣ Therefore, purely hypothetically, simply based on fractal analysis and a combination of fibo levels, we assume that the crypto market can “swing” up to a cosmic $53 trillion 5️⃣ Further, according to the same fractal analysis, the current correction of prices on the crypto market and its total capitalization should not be very long, well, at most another -10% from the current $3.2 trillion to $2.85 +|- 6️⃣ Everything is very fantastic and promising, doesn't it?) Then let's put the icing on the cake and go to celebrate the New Year 2025. According to our forecast from 2 years ago, the OKX:BTCUSDT price has every chance of reaching $355,000 by the end of 2025 👇
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by P_S_trade
6
MARKETS week ahead: December 30 – January 5Last week in the news The Holiday season on the Western markets made its impact on lower trading volumes and lower volatility for US Dollar, the price of gold and the crypto market. As for US equities, the previous week was influenced by shifts in US Treasury yields. The 10Y US benchmark yields reached the level of 4,629% after considering Feds narrative over the future course of rate cuts in 2025. The price of gold ended the week relatively steady at the level of $2.621, while BTC had a modestly volatile week, but still testing the $95K to the downside. The week ahead brings another short Holiday, celebrating the end of 2024 and the beginning of 2025, when a relatively calm week should be expected. Without any significant news from the Western markets, the Japan monetary authorities were in the spotlight during the previous week. Namely, the Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato noted that the rate increase is still on the table for the BoJ meeting in January. The excessive movements in Yen during the previous period is not welcomed by Japanese monetary authorities, in which sense, an increase in interest rates would support its stabilization. However, the Ministry must take a cautious approach, considering a trajectory from the US economy. A potential hike would make borrowing in Yen more expensive, in which sense, some carry trading positions would have to be closed, which would at the bottom line have a negative impact on the US markets. Based on analysts' opinion, the big seven companies in the tech industry are going to be in the focus of market interest also in the future. Increasing demand for the AI ecosystem will further support businesses within the tech industry. The so-called “Magnificent seven” stocks are ending this year almost 180% higher, with market capitalization exceeding $3 trillion. During the year, Nvidia became the second most valued company in the US. Central bank moves in terms of further cut of interest rates is going to be in the market focus also during the year 2025. High inflation was put into control, based on which, both Fed and ECB made their cuts of reference interest rates during 2024. The trend is expected to continue also during 2025, however, at a lower pace. Fed Chair Powell noted at December's FOMC meeting expectations of further 50 bps cut of rates during 2025. On the other side is the European Central Bank, holding onto actual macro data in order to make a further decision on rate cuts. As inflation in the Euro Zone slowed down, a lower rate cut is also expected during 2025. Crypto market cap Although December was a tight month for the crypto currencies market, still, it should be considered that crypto coins had one extremely good year, with a few milestones reached. The year 2024 will be marked as the year when the first BTC spot exchange traded fund has been officially approved and started trading on traditional markets. The second important milestone for BTC was its $100K target. BTC is also ending this year with the all-time highest level reached during the year at $107,8K. Turning to the previous week, total crypto market capitalization was decreased by additional 1%, decreasing the cap by $30B. With the start of the Holiday season on Western markets, total daily trading volumes were significantly decreased to the level of $131B on a daily basis, from $397B traded the week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $1.592, which represents a 97% surge from the beginning of this year. BTC closed the previous week at 3% lower from the week before, losing $58B in the market cap. This week ETH was flat, while the rest of altcoins were traded in a relatively mixed manner, as there were both gainers and losers. DASH gained almost 14% in value, while Theta and ZCash increased their market cap by more than 10%, each. This week the value of XRP dropped by 3,3%, LINK was last traded down by 4,7%, while the value of Maker decreased by 6,9%. As it comes to coins in circulation, few altcoins had a higher increase, including IOTA, with a surge in circulating coins of 0,5%, while XRP increased the number of its circulating coins by 0,3% on a weekly basis. For the second week in a row the number of Tether coins on the market decreased, this week by 0,6%. A drop in the number of coins also had Polygon of 2,2% on a weekly basis. Crypto futures market During the previous week both BTC and ETH futures were traded lower compared to the week before. BTC futures were down by more than 2% for all maturities. Futures maturing in December 2025 reached the last price at $103.410, while December 2026 closed the week at the level of $111.930. On a positive side is that investors still perceive positive development for the value of BTC in the future period. ETH futures were traded lower around 4% for all maturities. Futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at the level of $3.601, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $3.837. The ETH is still struggling to sustain the $ 4K level on a long run.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
Will Ethereum reach $8500 ?Ethereum (ETH) has been a focal point in the cryptocurrency world, drawing both admiration and skepticism. As Q4 unfolds, Ethereum has shown remarkable resilience, staying on its intended path despite market fluctuations. This article explores Ethereum's journey, its current standing, and the potential for it to reach the ambitious target of $8,500. Everyone criticizing Ethereum should take note: ETH is still on track and hasn't deviated from its course. In Q4, Ethereum was never expected to reach new all-time highs (ATH). Despite performing better than anticipated, ETH remains steadfast on its intended path. It exhibited a bearish pattern, forming higher lows and lower highs before stabilizing. It then marked a higher low, established a bear market high, broke through this high, retested it just before Q4, and began its upward trajectory. Here's how the forecasted ETH pattern looks—believe me, we're still on track. 📈 Ethereum's chart demonstrates a clear path forward, with key indicators suggesting sustained growth. The technical analysis points towards Ethereum reaching significant levels, with the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level being a crucial milestone. I believe $8,500 is a realistic target for Ethereum, corresponding to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level. The Fibonacci extension tool is commonly used in technical analysis to predict future price movements based on past price trends. The 2.0 Fibonacci extension level suggests that the price could potentially double from its previous move. In this case, reaching $8,500 fits within the expected range of this extension level, making it a plausible target. When ETH's price reaches the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level, its market cap will be approximately $625 billion, reflecting a 155% increase. If the price continues to rise and reaches the 2.618 Fibonacci extension level, the market cap would soar to around $859 billion, marking a 214% increase. These levels are calculated based on today's price. To all the Ethereum doubters out there: Keep talking while ETH keeps building. 📈 Your doubts fuel our progress. Watch and learn! 💪🔥 Ethereum's journey is far from over, and its resilience in the face of criticism only strengthens its position. As it continues to build and innovate, ETH is poised to reach new heights, potentially hitting the $8,500 mark and beyond. Ethereum's path is filled with potential, and the signs are pointing towards significant growth. With the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level serving as a realistic target, $8,500 is within reach. Whether you're an investor or a skeptic, keeping an eye on Ethereum's progress is essential, as it continues to defy expectations and carve its path in the crypto world.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by Eaglizer
1
MARKETS week ahead: December 16 – 22Last week in the news The ECB cut euro reference rates by 25 basis points, which the market expects also for Fed at their FOMC meeting on December 18th. Markets were traded in a relatively mixed manner during the previous week, positioning as per expectations for the forthcoming rate cut. The S&P 500 tested for one more time the recent ATH, however, ended the week a bit lower, at the level of 6.051. The price of Gold reverted a bit during the week, on US Dollar strengthening, closing the week at the level of $2.647. The US Treasuries were reacting on inflation data, in expectation of the forthcoming rate cut, where the 10Y benchmark yields returned shortly back toward the 4,4% level. The crypto market had a relatively mixed week, with BTC shortly tested the $95K support line, but ended the week above the $100K level. The European Central Bank cut interest rates for another 25 basis points, as expected. The ECB is for some time struggling to achieve the inflation within the targeted level of 2%, and to sustain the Euro Zone economy which was hit by the environment of high interest rates. The ECB President Lagarde tried to stay optimistic, and pointed to the better-than-expected growth in Q3 and that “the economy should strengthen over time”. The latest ECB economic projections were also optimistic. It projects a growth of 1,1% in 2025, while inflation should move around targeted 2%. Still, it should be mentioned that these projections do not include effects of potential moves from the US newly elected President. The company Broadcom was highly discussed in the news during the previous week. It was in the market stoplight due to the company's surge in the price of shares by 24% for the week, after the company published that its revenue generated through AI products soared by an incredible 220% for the quarter. At the same time, the company reached a $1 trillion club. At the moment analyst opinions are divided regarding the future prospects for this company. On one side, there are those who strongly support the opinion that the company's value will only grow amid increasing demand for AI chips, while on the other side are those who noting that it is a heavy field for one company to stay competitive to NVDA. The US Nasdaq index, which follows the 100 largest US companies, announced that it is planning to include MicroStrategy in its latest yearly rebalancing of the index. Analysts are noting that this move will be positive for Michael Saylor`s company, as it will increase the demand for shares originating from exchange traded funds. News is reporting that one of largest banks in France, Societe Generale has successfully conducted the first Repo transaction with the National Bank of France. Bonds were deposited on Ethereum blockchain, in exchange for the central bank digital currency. Crypto market cap During the previous week the crypto market was traded in a mixed manner. One of the supporting notes for BTC came from CEO of the BlackRock investment fund, Larry Fink, who noted his opinion that a diversified portfolio should contain up to 10% exposure in BTC. A strong demand for BTC still holds on the market, which helped this coin to return toward levels above the $100K, after modestly reverted to $95K. Still, total crypto market capitalization decreased by modest 2% during the end of the week, losing some $80B in value. Daily trading volumes also eased, reaching $279B on a daily basis, which is a drop from $405B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $1.862B, which represents a 114% surge from the beginning of this year. Most of the crypto coins were traded with a negative sentiment during the previous week. Still, the market was driven by BTC, in which sense, total weekly loss eased due to inflow in BTC of $ 26B, increasing its value by 1,3% on a weekly level. On the opposite side was ETH, with a weekly loss in the market cap of $19B or 3,95%. DOGE was also on a losing side, with a drop in value of $9,5B or more than 14%. ADA dropped by 12,2%, decreasing cap by $ 5B, while BNB ended the week down by 5,8%, losing $$6,2B. Among the highest losers in relative terms were coins like Bitcoin Gold, which dropped by 41% w/w, DASH, EOS, IOTA, DOT lost more than 20% in value, while the majority of other coins lost somewhere between 6% and 20%. Tether was one of rare coins which increased its market cap by 1,65%, increasing by this percentage the number of its coins on the market. Increased activity within the field of circulating coins continues. The highest weekly increase came from SOL, which increased the number of circulating coins by 0,6%, and was followed by IOTA, with a surge of 0,5%. Thai week Filecoin increased the number of coins by 0,4%, while the majority of other coins had an increase of 0,1%. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market reflected the sentiment from the spot market as of the end of the previous week. BTC short term futures were holding relatively flat compared to the previous week, while the longer term ones just modestly dropped by around 0,5%. However, futures maturing in December 2025 were traded almost flat to the week before, with closing price of $111.685, and $114.090 for maturity in March 2026. ETH futures which are maturing as of the end of the year had a significant drop of 18% on a weekly level. The longer maturities had a lower weekly drop of around 3,5%. Futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at the level of $4.242, while those maturing in March 2026 were last traded at $4.320.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: December 9 – 16Last week in the news A positive sentiment still holds on financial markets, but a star of the previous week was BTC. The value of BTC managed to cross the $100K level for the first time in history of this coin. The US equity markets also traded in a positive sentiment for the third consecutive week, with the S & P 500 reaching a fresh new all time highest level at 6.090. The US Dollar weakened a bit during the week, while the price of gold was traded sideways. The US mixed November jobs data supported market expectations over another 25bps Fed's rate cut, in which sense, the 10Y Treasury yields were traded to the downside, ending the week at 4,17%. The US Non-farm Payrolls and unemployment data were the main macro data posted for the week. The results were pretty mixed as defined by the majority of macro analysts. The US added 227K new jobs in November, which was modestly above the market expectation. At the same time, unemployment reached 4,2% in November, a bit higher from 4,1% posted previously. The analyst described figures as “not too hot and not too cold”. Still, it did not change the current sentiment regarding the expectation over a 25 bps Fed's rate cut. As per CME FedWatch Tool, currently there are 85% odds that the Fed will cut at their December meeting, scheduled for December 17-18th. The news that pushed BTC to the levels above the $100K target was a nomination of Paul S. Atkins as a new leader of the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Atkins previously served in the SEC, under the Bush administration, and is known as a supporter of free-market principles. He is also known as a supporter of Chamber of Digital Commerce, which supports bringing up the clear regulation in the US regarding the crypto currencies. In a recent interview with CNBC, a CEO of MicroStrategy, Michael Saylor, noted that the company wants to take Treasury function for BTC holders. As the company already is providing bonds, convertible bonds, notes, options, backed with crypto assets, they indeed might take a higher role in the further development of the BTC market in the US. At the same time, at his X account, Michael Saylor posted that the company bought another 15.400 BTC at the price of $95.976, bringing it to total holdings of 402.100BTC. The European Central Bank issued a second progress report on the digital Euro preparation phase. The report notes an update of the single rulebook with comments from consumers and business and also calls for applications to select potential external providers of the service. Crypto market cap The previous week was a significant one for the crypto market. The long awaited $100K target for BTC has been reached. Actually the new all time highest level for BTC currently stands at $103.813. The news that hit the market and also the crypto market to the upside was the announcement of the nomination of Paul S. Atkins as the new SEC Chair under the Trump administration. Atkins is known in the business circles as a person who supports a clear regulation of the crypto market, in which sense, the crypto investors are expecting some positive developments under his presidency. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by additional $ 230B, or 7% on a weekly basis. Daily trading volumes were again increased to the level of around $405B on a daily basis, from $320B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $1.942B, which represents a 119% surge from the beginning of this year. The majority of coins ended the week in green. Although BTC was certainly a star of the week, still, the altcoins were for one more time in the center of investors attention. Despite the new ATH, BTC ended the week by 2,8% higher from the week before, adding $55B to its market cap. ETH was another star of the week, as the coins managed to touch the $ 4K level, bringing its market cap higher by 7,3%, adding $ 33B to it. XRP continues to shine for the third week in a row. This week, XRP managed to add an additional 30% to its cap, increasing it by $33B. BNB had an excellent week, where its market cap increased by more than 14% or almost $14B. This week, Tron should be mentioned as the coin surged by 54% w/w, adding to its market cap $9,7B. Extraordinary week on the crypto market, where the majority of other altcoins managed to add somewhere between 15% and 30% in value. Developments with circulating coins continue. This week Polygon should be especially mentioned, as it decreased the number of its coins in circulation by 12% w/w. On the opposite side were the majority of other altcoins. Tether had another good week, where the number of coins increased by additional 2,8%, increasing its market cap by this percentage. Filecoin had a surge of coins in circulation by 0,5%, while Maker had an increase of 0,4%. Crypto futures market Same as the spot market, the crypto futures market was quite happy with the nomination of Paul S. Atkins as a new SEC Chair. BTC short term futures were traded higher by 3%, while the longer term ones by more than 4%. Current structure of futures prices looks pretty positive, with December 2024 last traded at $101.580, and above the $100K target. December 2025 closed the week at the level of $111.715. ETH futures had a stronger weekly push in the value of futures, which were traded by more than 12% higher from the week before. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at the level of $4.068, the first time after many weeks, the price was closed above the $ 4K target. This level holds for other maturities, so December 2025 was last traded at $4.388.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
$ETH Price Finally Hit $4000 and Take Profit 3 Done, See chartBINANCE:ETHUSDT Finally Price Hit $4000 and Take Profit 3 Done, See chart Disclaimer: Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.
Long
by SUBROOFFICIAL
MARKETS week ahead: December 2 – 8Last week in the news Regardless of a Thanksgiving Holiday in the US during the previous week, markets ended November with a positive sentiment. The US equity market ended its one of best months in the year, with the S & P 500 reaching its new all-time highest level at 6.040. Decreased geopolitical risks and strengthening of US Dollar, impact the price of gold to slow down a bit during the week, ending it around $2,670 level. In expectation of further Fed's rate cuts, the 10Y US Treasury yields dropped to the level of 4,17%. The crypto market remained with a positive post-election sentiment, where BTC tried for one more time to break the $100K level. From the US macro perspective, there were two major events during the previous week, which impact market sentiment prior to Holidays. Fed's favorite inflation gauge was released, as well as FOMC Minutes from their November's meeting. The PCE data were in line with market expectations. The PCE price Index increased by 0,2% in November, reaching the yearly level of 2,3%. Core PCE remained smoothly elevated at the level of 0,3% for the month. At the same time, Personal Income was higher by 0,6% for the month, while Personal Spending was up by 0,4% for the month. The FOMC meeting minutes revealed conclusions of Feds members at their November meeting that if inflation continues further to slow down and if labour data continue to move in line with their expectations, this would be a solid case for further rate decrease. Current odds for 25 bps interest rate cuts stands at 66%, as per CME FedWatch Tool. Another event that was closely watched by investors during the previous week is a shopping-holiday popularly called the Black Friday. First estimations showed that the spending of US customers climbed by 3,4% on a yearly basis. This year total e-commerce sales over the internet increased by an incredible 14,3% year-over-year, which shows a clear change of customer habits for incline purchase instead of shopping in stores. Analysts from Morgan Stanley gave their projection of equities in China for the year 2025. As per their analysis, China can expect a relatively volatile equity market, with major threats mentioned “earnings pressure, geopolitical risks and potential tariffs”. At the same time, analysts see that exports will hold, due to competitive pricing, however, the housing market is expected to stay under pressure. In an interview with CNBC, a VettaFi representative said that the next year belongs to small cap companies, in which sense, a small-cap index Russel 2000 could benefit the most. The environment of lower interest rates would be beneficial for further growth of these companies. Such sentiment started from November, where the index Russel 2000 gained 11%, and total 35% during the course of this year. Crypto market cap Although BTC was the star of the crypto market in the after-election period, still, the previous week belongs to altcoins, since now they are the ones to drive the total crypto market capitalization to the upside. Total crypto market capitalization increased by 2% on a weekly basis, where mostly altcoins managed to add some $70B. At the same time, daily trading volumes remained elevated, around $320B on a daily basis, modestly decreased from $412B traded two weeks ago. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $1.712B, which represents a 105% surge from the beginning of this year. During the previous week BTC was on a net losing side, decreasing its market cap by modest $ 20B or 1% on a weekly basis. Another altcoin that was driving the market to the downside was market favourite Solana, with a drop in value of 6% or $7.4B. ETH and XRP were coins which gained the most in nominal terms. ETH managed to add $34.8B to its market cap, increasing it by 8.4%. XRP continues to drive market attention, with this week's surge of 28.7%, adding another $24.5B to its market cap. ADA was another altcoin with solid weekly performance, with an increase in its cap by $ 1B or almost 3%. THETA should be especially mentioned this week, as the coin gained 62% on a weekly basis, and was traded at the level of $3.11. Such an increase was rare to see previously with THETA. In relative terms, market attention was standing with Algorand, which increased its value by 53.3%, Filecoin was up by 32%, Uniswap was traded higher by 17%, while Maker gained 12% w/w. Increased activity with circulating coins continues. This week Polygon was on a negative side, with a decrease of total coins on the market by 3.9%. On the opposite side was Filecoin, with an increase by 0.8%, IOTAs number of coins increased by 0.5%, while Stellar added 0.2% of new coins. Tether should be especially mentioned, as this week stablecoin increased its number of coins by 1.4%, same as its market capitalization. Crypto futures market As of the end of the previous week, the crypto futures market eased a bit for BTC, in line with the spot market developments. BTC futures were traded more than 2% lower for all maturities. During the week, futures maturing in December 2024 reached the level of $100K, however, they are ending the week at $98.540. However, futures from February 2025 are holding above $100K, where December 2025 closed the week at $107.120. On the opposite side were ETH futures which were traded in green by more than 8% for all maturities. December 2024 ended the week at the level of $3.631, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $3.894. It is important to note that futures maturing in March 2026 are nearing toward the $ 4K level, while the closing price was $3.966.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: November 25 – December 1Last week in the news The crypto and gold markets were in the spotlight of the markets during the previous week, considering that there has not been much significant US macro data posted. Investors' positive sentiment for BTC continues to hold, where BTC reached levels quite close to the $100K mark. Despite US strengthening, the price of gold returned to the levels above the $2,7K considering ongoing geopolitical risks. The US Treasury yields are waging current macro data, searching for a clue whether the Fed will skip rate cut in December. The 10Y benchmark yields modestly eased till the level of 4,4%. The US equities were also traded with a positive sentiment, but the investor attention is currently switched from tech giants toward the industrials and consumer sectors. The S&P 500 ended the week at the level of 5.969. The news that spotted the most market attention during the previous week is that SEC Chair Gensler will step down from his current position on January 20th. In an official statement by the SEC, Gensler noted that during his mandate “the SEC has met our mission and enforced the law without fear or favor”. The crypto market reacted positively to this announcement. On the other hand, news from Saturday is that a new US President elected Donald Trump nominated Scott Bessent as a new Treasury Secretary in his administration. As a reasoning, Trump commented on Bassent as “one of the world's foremost international investors and geopolitical and economic strategists”. The latest BTC rally toward the $100K certainly spotted market attention. However, there is an emerging number of analysts who are pointing toward the risks of investments in the crypto market, as they are pointing out that some investors might be confused by treating BTC in the same manner as gold. State Street Global Advisors are the latest to point to this distinction, pointing out that BTC does not offer stability as gold, calling the crypto narrative “manipulative”. Tesla shares continue to gain, as well as the wealth of Elon Musk. Reuters reported that the US judge rejected the request from the US SEC to sanction Elon Musk for not appearing at the court-order testimony related to regulators probe over his takeover of Twitter. A so-called Black Friday, a holiday shopping season is nearing, so investors used the previous week to open positions with companies in the retail sector. As the consumer sector showed signs of strength, the retailers revised their earnings forecasts for the end of this year. Analysts are certain that this year Black Friday might provide the real picture of actual strength of consumer spending in the US. Crypto market cap An interest in the crypto continues to hold investors on the market. A new record was reached during the previous week, where the total crypto market passed the value of $3 trillion for the first time in the history of this market. Actual value of the market as of the weekend stands at $3.28 trillion which represents an increase of 10% on a weekly basis, where there has been added a fresh new $285B to its value. Daily trading volumes also reached new historically highest values with a turnover of around $412B on a daily basis, which is a surge from $351B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $1.642B, which represents a 100% surge from the beginning of this year. During the previous week all coins gained in value, with some significant fund inflows in both major coins but also in other altcoins. BTC led the market with a surge in value of 7.7% on a weekly basis, adding a new $138B to its market cap. ETH followed the path, with an increase of 8.6% w/w in value or $32.8B. XRP continues to gain market attention since last week, with an increase from this week of 28% or $18.6B. ADA is among significant gainers, with a weekly gain in value of 39.8% or $10.6B. Market favourite Solana surged by 19.4% or $19.8B. During the previous week the absolute weekly winner was XRP, however, this week Stellar surged by an incredible 142.8% on a weekly basis, which was the highest weekly gain for this coin ever. Incredible weekly returns go on, where coins gained somewhere from 8% up to 20% or 30%. There has also been increased activity when circulating coins are in question. First, Tether should be mentioned, as this stablecoin added 3.7% of new coins on the market, increasing by this number its total market cap. This week Solana added 0.6% of new coins to the market, while Filecoin and Maker number of coins surged by 0.4%. Crypto futures market Increased optimism from the spot market was evident also on the crypto futures market. Both BTC and ETH futures continued to gain for all maturities. Some new ATHs are evident with BTC long term futures. BTC futures were traded by 8.5% on average higher. December 2024 ended the week at the level of $100.815, which is the first time that this maturity passed the level of $100K. At the same time futures maturing in December 2025 also reached their historically highest levels at $109.570. This is quite a positive sign for BTC over market expectations in the future period. This week ETH futures also gained considerably, around 7% on average for all maturities. December 2024 ended the week at the level of $3.364, while futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $3.585. On a positive side for ETH is that all maturities managed to pass the $3K psychological level.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
When the next altseason might happen?One usually refers to altcoins and mems flying high when talking about big profits and pumps. So, when the next alt season could happen? To answer this question, analysts usually examine ETH and the Crypto Total Market Cap (excluding BTC and ETH) charts to make a prediction. Moreover, I think it is worth analyzing the Dominance of altcoins (excluding BTC and ETH) as well. I already analyzed the ETH before and updating it periodically, so let's look at the Crypto Total Market Cap. When looking at the Total Market Cap chart, it is evident that there was a downtrend in which lower lows were made one after another. Recently, in March 2023, a higher high and a higher low were made; a sign of a possible reversal. But, two higher highs and two higher lows are needed, at least, for the reversal confirmation. Furthermore, the value/price of the Total Market Cap must not breach the recent higher low. Based on the technical analysis, two possible scenarios can play out that are drawn on the chart.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by SaeedSalehinia
7
ALT Season? Not Even CloseWhen we exclude Bitcoin from the total crypto market cap, it becomes clear that we’re far from the conditions needed for an ALT season. Here’s a breakdown: First Resistance: $1.28T (Excluding BTC) The last high was in March 2024, with the market cap reaching $1.28T. At that time, BTC dominance was around 52%. Second Resistance: $1.71T (Excluding BTC) This was the peak during the ALT season in November 2021, with the market cap hitting $1.71T. Back then, BTC dominance had dropped to just 42%. Current Situation BTC dominance is now sitting at 60%, which is far too high for a typical ALT season to start. Historically, ALT seasons tend to begin when BTC dominance falls below 50% or even lower. Conclusion The altcoin market has a long way to go before reaching the conditions for a true ALT season. We need BTC dominance to decline significantly and the altcoin market cap to break through key resistance levels at $1.28T and $1.71T. What’s your outlook? Are altcoins still in Bitcoin’s shadow, or is a shift coming? Let’s discuss!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by BitcoinForecast
MARKETS week ahead: November 18 - 24Last week in the news The Fed “is not in a hurry” was the sentence which marked the previous week on financial markets and impacted its sentiment. The US Dollar continued to gain for the second month in a row, pushing the price of gold to the lower grounds. Gold ended its worst week within the last three years at the level of $2,56K. The US equity markets dropped during the week, both on news that the Fed might postpone interest rate cuts and on the nomination of a new administration in the US. The S&P 500 dropped to the level of 5.870. The US Treasury yields continue to eye higher grounds, ending the week at 4,44%. The only market which continues to perform with strong surplus is the crypto market. BTC reached another ATH, during the week, marking the $92K. The Fed Chair Powell's speech at Dallas during the previous week was the most important for financial markets during the previous week, as the Chair noted strong US economic growth, based on which, the Fed is not “in a hurry to lower interest rates”. Market reacted to this statement, by bringing equities lower and Treasury yields to the higher grounds. As for US macro data posted during the previous week, the Inflation figures for October showed core inflation at 3,3% y/y and inflation rate at 2,6% y/y, which was in line with market expectations. The Retail Sales further surged in October by 0,4%, while the Industrial Production dipped by -0,3%y/y in October. Palantir, a company developing software for military use, spotted the most market attention during the previous week. The stock is currently trading some 45% higher from the moment the company posted much better than expected quarterly results. On the other hand, the company officially published that it will change its listings to Nasdaq, on November 26th. Analysts are estimating that a switch to Nasdaq would increase stocks availability to retail investors. The news that hit the aluminium market during the previous week came from China. Namely, China officials announced that the Government will cut its export tax rebate policy on aluminium, starting from December 1st. The purpose of these tax rebates was to make China's products more competitive on the global market, making China's products more cheaper. China is by far the largest producer of aluminium, with an yearly output of 40 million tonnes. There is no need to specifically mention that the BTC price surged to the levels above the $90K in a post-election, however, the surge in XRP price deserves special attention. Namely, during the previous week a news came that the State Attorneys and the DeFi Education Fund made charges against the SEC for unconstitutional overreach in terms that the SEC overstepped its boundaries when it comes to its actions against digital asset exchangers. Although the lawsuit is not directly connected to Ripple, still, a positive outcome will have implications on SEC`s pending appeal against Ripple, which is a company standing behind the XRP token. Crypto market cap A crypto-friendly new US administration pushed further the value of the crypto market during the previous week. Total crypto market capitalization is nearing $3 trillion, ending the week at the level of $2.995. This represents an 11% increase just for this week, with a total cash increase of $304B on a weekly basis. Daily trading volumes also increased to the level of $351B on a daily basis, which is a surge from $278B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $1.357B, which represents a 83% surge from the beginning of this year. BTC was the coin that was driving the market, however, this week XRP deserves special attention. During the week, XRP gained an incredible 100% increase in value, which could be treated as sort of never-seen result within the one week on the crypto market. What happened? As per news reports, US State Attorneys and the DeFi Education Fund sued SEC for overstepping its legal boundaries with actions against digital asset exchangers. Although this lawsuit does not relate directly to XRP, still, a positive outcome will have positive consequences for this coin and its founder, a Ripple company. Market reaction was immediate, bringing XRP 100% higher, adding $ 33B to its market capitalization. Aside from this event, BTC was generally the coin which gained the most in nominal terms during the week. Total BTC market capitalization was increased by $202B or 12.7% on a weekly basis. On the other side ETH remained relatively flat during the week, with a modest loss of $2.2B of its market cap. A Elon Musk related coin - DOGE, continued with strong gains second week in a row, adding a new $13.6B to its market cap, increasing it by an additional 33.6%. This week Cardano was also among significant gainers, with an market cap increase of $6.2B or 30.4%. Solana was also on the list of gainers, however, its weekly gain was relatively modest compared to other coins, with a surge of $2.1B in the market cap, or 2.1%. Stablecoin Tether also had a good week, as it increased the number of coins on the market by 3.36% w/w, adding $4.14B to its total market cap. Polygon was one of rare coins which actually lost in value during the previous week. The coin dropped by 4.23%, but at the same time decreased the number of circulating coins by 9.3% w/w. Maker and Stellar increased its number of coins on the market by 0.3%, while Filecoin and Polkadot added 0.2% new coins, each. Crypto futures market During the last two weeks the crypto market spotted the most attention from investors, while the crypto futures market followed, with some quite interesting developments during the previous week. In line with the spot market, both BTC and ETH futures gained during the week for all maturities. BTC futures were traded higher by some 19% on average, where December 2024 ended the week at price $93.130. Still, the major development was with BTC futures maturing in December 2025 which finished the week at the level of $101.175. This is the first time in the history of the crypto futures market that BTC passed the level of $100K. Certainly, investors are more than convinced that BTC has a bright future. ETH futures were traded some 4.5% higher on average for all maturities. December 2024 ended the week at the level of $3.129, while futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $3.367. These developments are also marking some positive sentiment among investors, considering that ETH futures finally managed to pass the level of $3K for one more time.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: November 11 - 17Last week in the news Regardless of the FOMC meeting and rate cut for another 25 bps, still the major event during the week was related to the US Presidential elections. It seems that investors were more than satisfied with the American votes, as almost all markets finished the week in green, few of them with fresh new all time highest levels. Equity markets were the first to react to election results, by pushing the S&P 500 to new ATH at the level of 6.010. Another market which significantly gained with the election was the crypto market. BTC passed the level of $80K, reaching another all-time highest level. On news that a new US President might influence peace negotiations in the Middle East, the price of gold slowed down and reverted back toward the $2,65K level. The US Treasury bonds were the only to stay resilient, and waited for the FOMC decision in order to return back toward the 4,30 level. The FOMC members cut interest rates by another 25 bps at their meeting held on Thursday. Speaking about the state of the economy, Fed Chair Powell noted that “The Committee judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance”. This sentence summarizes the current view of FOMC members on the state of the US economy. Although this was an expected move, still the after-the meeting speech of Fed Chair Jerome Powell was marked with a question whether he will resign if newly elected US President Trump requests from him such a move. He clearly stated that he will not resign and soon after closed the Q&A session. Another topic that is emerging among Fed Governors is what will happen if the US imposes high tariffs on imported goods, as newly elected President Trump was mentioning in his presidential campaign? This question was commented by the Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari, who noted that such an action could worsen a long term inflation outlook. Economists are noting that such a course of action might impact the Fed to increase interest rates again, if inflation needs to be kept under control. While the Western news are speaking about future potential import taxes for foreign goods, which might be implemented by the new US government, China continues to stay focused on its own economy. News have reported that the China government is planning a five-years package around $1,4 trillion in yuan equivalent. The aim with the latest measure is to tackle the Government debt, while there has been announcements that more of aid for the economy might come during the following year. The package should be released mainly through a debt-swap program, however, investors did not perceive such an approach to the current Government problems. The IShares China Large Cap exchange traded fund, was down by nearly 5% on the news. Crypto market cap After the US Presidential elections during the previous week, it seems like there is a new dawn for the crypto market. Namely, as newly elected President Trump was highly pro-crypto during the presidential election, so the markets are currently expecting that the crypto ecosystem will finally have full support from the US government for its further expansion. The market reacted in line with this sentiment, pushing the crypto market and BTC to the new historically highest levels. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 18% during the whole week, adding more than $412B to the market value. Daily trading volumes were more than doubled from the week before, where it was traded around $278B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $1.053B, which represents a 64% surge from the beginning of this year. It was one of the best weeks on the crypto market, certainly not recently seen. All coins gained during the week, with BTC leading the market. Incredible gains were also part of this weekly story. BTC gained the most of all coins, adding more than $222B to its market cap, increasing it by 16.1%. During the week, BTC also recorded a new all time highest value above the $80K. ETH was in second place with an inflow of $82.6B to its market cap, increasing it by 27.5%. ETH managed to cross the $3K psychological level. DOGE was a surprise of the week, with an increase in the market cap of $17.1B or 73%. More than $ 8B in value managed to add ADA and BNB, where ADA increased its market value by 66.2% while BNB surge was 10.2%. A market favorite Solana should also be mentioned as the coin increased its market cap by $22.1B or 28.44%. The list of gaining coins could continue, as weekly gains were quite significant between 20% and 30%. Only rare coins managed to add below or up to 10% during the week. Coming to coins in circulation, the situation was relatively stable with the exception of a few coins with higher gains and decrease of circulating coins. Maker gained the most new coins as they were increased by 0.7% on a weekly basis. Filecoin, Polkadot, Solana and Stellar added 0.2% of new coins, each. Tether increased the number of coins on the market by 2.2%, increasing by this percentage its total market cap. On the opposite side was standing Polygon, which decreased its number of circulating coins by 1.9%, while Algorand pulled 0.8% of coins in circulation. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market fully reflected developments on the spot market during the previous week. Both BTC and ETH futures significantly gained during the week. BTC futures gained more than 10% for all maturities, while ETH futures surged by around 17%. BTC futures maturing in December this year ended the week at $77.935, while those maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $85.020. March 2026 was closed even higher, at $86.835 which is the highest ever level reached for BTC. Similar situation was with ETH futures, where almost all maturities crossed the psychological $3K line. In this sense, December 2025 closed the week at $2.993, still 17.19% higher from the week before, while December 2025 was last traded at $3.207.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
LINKCrypto market has erupted from its sideways period. Bitcoin pushing all-time high and many altcoins following the trend. Almost all coins are having significant move. LINK can be one of many altcoins with solid fundamental. It covers some of trending crypto narratives that include Defi and RWA. LINK is also operating through many collaboration around the globe. Price action wise, it is pretty simple. Breaking out from its trend line with supporting volume. Watch $30. SEND IT
Long
by HandyLim
3
MARKETS week ahead: November 4 - 10Last week in the news During the previous week a mixed US macro data and disappointing NFP data shaped the market sentiment. The US Dollar gained in strength as of the end of the week, pushing the price of gold toward the level of $2.735, after it reached the fresh new ATH supported by geopolitical tensions. The US Treasury yields continue to test higher grounds in a wake of the FOMC meeting in a week ahead, where 4,3% for 10Y US benchmark has been tested. The S&P 500 reverted a bit to the downside, closing the week at the level of 5.728. The weekly best performer was BTC, which was testing the level of $ 73K during the week. The US Non-farm payrolls of 12K in October were the surprise of the week for the markets. Such a weak performance and a significant drop, analysts are contributing to the hurricane and syndicate strikes in the US during October. Still, the question is pending how this figure will affect the FOMC rate decision, scheduled for November 7th. At this moment, markets continue to expect a further 25 bps rate cut. The final FOMC perception of the macro developments will be known after the FOMC meeting on Thursday. CNBC is reporting that the most famous investor, Warren Buffet continues to stockpile cash, which is currently estimated to be $325 billion. This was an increase in Q3, from $276 billion in Q2. The news is reporting that Berkshire Hathaway continues to sell stocks, first place Apple and Bank of America. There are also no buybacks of sold stocks, which might be repurchased when Buffet “believes that the repurchase price is below Berkshire's intrinsic value, conservatively determined.”. News are reporting that the New York Stock Exchange announced plans to extend equities trading on Arca to 22 hours per day, five days a week. The NYSE came to this proposal considering a “growing demand for our listed securities around the world”. It is still under question whether this proposal will be adopted by NYSE. NVIDIA will replace Intel stock in the Dow Jones Industrial Average index on November 8th. Nvidia shares surged by 170% during 2024, while the company surpassed $3,3 trillion in the market cap. In its research, JPMorgan analysts noted that BTC daily mining revenue dropped in October for a fourth consecutive month. Analysts noted that BTC miners earned on average $41.800 per exahash per second of hashrate, which was 1% lower than in September. On a positive side is that transaction fees spiked to 60%. Crypto market cap Although BTC had its rally toward the higher grounds, overall the crypto market had a pretty mixed week. The forthcoming Presidential elections pushed the major coins to higher grounds, however, other altcoins did not perform in the expected manner. Total crypto market capitalization ended the week 2% higher from the week before, where a total $ 46B has been added to the crypto market cap. Daily trading volumes were increased to the level of $140B on a daily basis, from $99B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at $641B, which represents a 39% surge from the beginning of this year. BTC was the major coin which was driving the market to higher grounds. From a total market cap increase of $ 46B w/w, BTC added to its market cap a total $48B. This indicates that some other coins were driving the market cap to lower grounds. ETH was also traded with a positive weekly sentiment, adding to its cap almost $ 3B, increasing it by 1%. DOGE was another coin traded in a positive territory, increasing cap by $3.2B or 16.2%. From other altcoins Maker had solid performance, where the coin was traded higher by 11.7% w/w. Interestingly, Solana was traded with a negative sentiment, where $4.2B has been erased from its market cap, which decreased by 5.1%. BNB had a negative week, where its market cap dropped by $2.9B or 3.4%. Other altcoin lost somewhere between 1% and 5%. There has been significantly increased activity with coins in circulation. BNB decreased the number of coins on the market by 1.3%. On the opposite side were Polygon, with an increase of circulating coins by 0.8% w/w, OMG Network increased the number of coins by 0.6%, while Filecoin and Maker added 0.4% new coins to the market. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market ended the week at a positive territory for both BTC and ETH. BTC short term futures were traded higher by 3.5%, while longer term ones were up by 3.6%. BTC futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $70.195, and those maturing a year later closed the week at $76.850. It should be noted that March 2026 was last traded at $78.490 which was its highest price in history. ETH futures were traded around 1.6% higher for all maturities. Futures maturing in December closed the week at $2.554, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $2.744. March 2026 closed the week at $2.794. This shows that investors are still not perceiving ETHs price above the $3K target.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX