Get started

Cryptomarketcap

⚡ TOTAL Market Analysis ⚡📊 Market Overview: Recent Movement: The TOTAL cryptocurrency market capitalization faced rejection at $2.70 trillion and is now retracing to test lower support levels. Current Situation: The next major support is anticipated in the range of $2.05 trillion to $2.20 trillion. Alts Potential: There is a belief that altcoins will experience a significant bounce once the market finds support. 📈 Trading Strategy: Observation: Anticipate potential support levels for entry opportunities in altcoin trades. Preparation: Prepare trades in advance to capitalize on the expected bounce in altcoins. Entry Plan: Look for confirmation of support in the TOTAL market before executing trades in altcoins. Risk Management: Set stop-loss levels to manage downside risk in case of unexpected market movements. 🌐 Note: Stay vigilant for signs of market stabilization and consider factors such as volume, market sentiment, and overall trend direction before initiating trades. Adjust your strategy based on evolving market conditions to optimize trade outcomes.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by Richtv_official
MARKETS week ahead: March 18 – 24Last week in the news Previous week brought back inflation fears on financial markets. The US equities and tech companies ended the week under pressure considering investors fears that the Fed might take a bit more time until the first rate cut, due to persistent inflation. US Treasuries also reacted on the same issue, ending the week one more time higher by 22 basis points. Price of gold and USD remained relatively stable during the week, however, with some volatility. Bitcoin reached its new all time highest levels, but still, ending the week a bit lower, above the $65K. Inflation continues to be the number one concern for investors on financial markets. During several prior months, it has been on a clear down path, however, the latest data are showing that the Fed`s targeted 2% is going to be a bit harder to achieve. The latest figures for February are showing that the inflation in the US reached 3.2% on a yearly level, which was modestly above market estimate of 3.1%. At the same time, core inflation was standing at 3.8%, also higher from market estimate of 3.7%. Also, it should be considered that the PPI index was higher by 0.6% for a month, which points to a potential for further growth in inflation figures in the coming period. February inflation data were a bit concerning for investors, considering that it might mean that the Fed might take a bit longer time for the first rate cut during the course of this year. What Fed`s opinion on the latest inflation data will be better known during the week ahead, when the FOMC meeting is scheduled, as well as FOMC economic projections. The Bitcoin frenzy continued during the previous week, with BTC reaching its new all time highest level at $73.4K. Although it finished the week around $66K, the MicroStrategy founder, Michael Saylor, announced a new debt issuance in order to collect additional $525 million with the aim of purchasing additional BTCs. It is currently estimated that MicroStrategy holds 205.000 BTC. For the last several years, Bitcoin was named by the crypto enthusiasts as a digital gold. The latest analysis is showing that investors are currently almost equally investing in both gold and BTC, but are not transferring funds from one asset to another. As per research report conducted by JPMorgan, the conclusion is that there are no funds flows from BTC funds to gold, or vice versa, but it is rather that investors are just equally buying both gold and BTC. Among buyers are mainly speculative institutional investors and partially retail investors. The report concludes following: “We believe the debt-funded bitcoin purchases by MicroStrategy add leverage and froth to the current crypto rally and raise the risk of more severe deleveraging in a potential downturn in the future”. CoinDesk is reporting that El Salvador`s President Bukele posted on the X platform that this country stored $400 million worth of Bitcoin into a cold wallet “in a physical vault within our national territory”. The post also included the picture of a wallet holding 5.689,68 BTC. Crypto market cap At the beginning of the week, the crypto market had its bull run continued, when the highest market capitalization reached $2.7 trillion. However, the second part of the week brought surprising US inflation data, as well as sort of market exhaustion, considering forthcoming BTC split and disappointed inflation data in the US, so the market entered into correction, ending the week with a total market cap of $2.4 trillion. News are reporting that over $800 million was wiped out from the futures market in forced liquidation. Analysts involved in the matter noted that historically highest levels were the trigger for liquidations in profit taking moves, and that some further moves to the downside are possible in the coming days. Whether this will be the case the market will decide, however, as there are sellers, there are also buyers, like for example MicroStrategy, who prepared a new round of debt securities in order to make new BTC purchases. Regardless of a new all time highest levels, total crypto market capitalization is ending the week around 2% lower from the week before, decreasing it by $62B. Daily trading volumes remained at relatively higher levels, moving around $252B on a daily basis. At Friday`s trading session, daily trading volumes reached the levels of around $400B. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $819B, which represents a 50% surge from the beginning of this year. Although the majority of coins finished the week in red, there were several altcoins which continued to perform in a positive manner. Bitcoin had a positive start of the week, however, it ended it with a cap decrease of almost 2%, where $26.7B was wiped from its capitalization. ETH had a higher drop of $38B in value, which was a decrease of 8.1% on a weekly level. Several other coins with a significant weekly drop in value were Dogecoin, with a drop of $3.7B in value or 15.4%, Cardano lost $2.3B, or 9% in value, Polkadot decreased its cap by $1.1B or almost 8%, while Uniswap lost $1.25B or 14.6% in value. On the opposite side were several coins with quite good performance. Solana completely outperformed the crypto market, with a surge in value of 25% within a single week, adding $16.3B to its market cap. Binance Coin should also be mentioned with an increase of $14.5B in value or almost 20%. Maker managed to gain during the week 9.3% in value, which is an additional increase from 15.9% two weeks ago. When it comes to coins in circulation, the increased activity still holds. Filecoin added an additional 0.5% of new coins on the market, while Cardano, Solana, Stellar and Polkadot added 0.2% of new coins each. It should be mentioned that Tether still continues to strongly add new coins on the market, increasing the number by 1.7% during the previous week. Crypto futures market Despite a significant drop in the value of BTC on the spot market, the BTC futures market managed to catch only a small drop on a weekly basis, related to short term futures. In this sense, futures maturing in March and April this year ended the week by 1.19% lower from the end of the previous week, while the longer term ones were traded higher from the week before. BTC futures maturing in December this year were last traded at level of $74.880 or 1.47% lower on a weekly basis, while those maturing in December 2025 were traded at $79.235 or 2.19% higher from the week before. At the same time, ETH futures experienced a drop on a weekly basis for all maturities. ETH short term futures were traded lower by more than 7.5%, while the longer term ones were down by more than 4%. ETH futures maturing in December this year are still holding modestly above $4K level, but were down by 3.7% on a weekly basis. Futures maturing in December next year closed the week at price $4.183 or 4.03% lower from the week before.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: March 11 – 16Last week in the news Another week since the beginning of this year with markets reaching new all time highest values. The US equity markets continue to be driven by tech companies and expectations of the first Fed's rate cut. During the previous week Bitcoin also breached its highest level from November 2021, reaching shortly the level of $70K. Gold continues to reflect expectations on the future rate cuts and hence, weakening of the USD, reaching also an ATH at $2.185. Even US Treasury prices are rising, bringing yields to the lower grounds. The only asset which lost some of its value was the US dollar. There have been several important topics during the previous week which drove the markets to the higher grounds, but all of them correlate to only one point – rate cuts are expected during the course of this year. Fed Chair Powell testimony before the Senate Banking Committee during the previous week revealed Powell`s and Fed`s expectations that the rate cuts are likely to occur at “some point” during this year. This was in line with market expectations but also Fed`s forecasts. The second weekly topic was related to the release of jobs data in the US, which showed a modestly increased unemployment rate from 3.7% up to 3.9% in February. Since Fed's decisions are data driven, it was a clear sign for the markets that rate cuts are coming. Current odds, of around 80%, show expectations that the first rate cut might occur in June. As markets are in a hype mood over AI and BTC ETF, economists are pointing to emerging evidence on a potential new wave of inflation. January inflation in the US of 3.1% y/y came above market expectations. A well known economist, Nouriel Roubini stressed once again a potential for stagflation, especially after elections in the US, as of the end of this year. Stagflation represents the state of an economy dominated by high inflation and low economic output. JPMorgan analysts have also recently pointed to a higher potential for stagflation in the coming period, comparing it with the one experienced during the 1970s. Fed Chair Powell testimony during the previous week brought to the light another interesting information for the crypto community. Namely, he answered a question related to potential introduction of the central bank digital currency in the US, where he clearly stated that the Fed is not going to recommend any digital dollar in the near future, and that the Fed does not have interest for any kind of system which would provide a view in user`s data to officials. News is reporting that BlackRock, the largest asset manager in the world, has filed SEC company's plans to make purchases of bitcoin exchange traded products for its Global Allocation Fund. The ETPs also include its own exchange traded fund, IBIT. Crypto market cap Although Bitcoin accomplished another milestone for this year with a new all time highest level, the total crypto market capitalization is still on the way to this target. The highest market capitalization reached $3 trillion in November 2021, while current level of capitalisation stands at $2.5 trillion. Investors' interest for placement of funds into riskier assets was certainly supported by the approval of the first BTC ETF, but also by expectations of Fed's first rate cut during the course of this year. Developments in the macro segment during the previous week, in terms of Fed Chair Powell testimony in which he noted a “at some point” move toward the decrease of interest rates, as well as increase in unemployment rate in the US in February, increased investors confidence over the future course of the US economy. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 11% on a weekly level, with total inflow of $255B. Daily trading volumes remained elevated, reaching their highest weekly level at $495B on Wednesday`s trading session. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $881B which represents a 54% surge from the beginning of this year. There have been two milestones accomplished on the crypto market during the previous week, related to major coins. First Bitcoin reached its all time highest level, by reaching the level of $70K, while the second milestone is related to ETH, which managed to surge till the level of $4K. When it comes to performance in a relative terms, ETH outperformed BTC during the week, by increasing its market cap by 14.5%, while BTC was up by 10.6%. However, in nominal terms, BTC added $129B to its total value, while ETH`s surge in cap was around $60B. Majority of other altcoins also had excellent performing week. DOGE gained $4.5B in value, increasing it by 23%. Solana is still gaining investors attention, with an increase of $8.5B in value or almost 15% on a weekly basis. Binance Coin should also be mentioned as an excellent weekly performer with a surge in value of more than 19%, adding around $11.7B to its cap. In nominal terms Theta gained $ 1B, however, it represented almost 47% increase in its market capitalization. Filecoin managed to add almost 30% to its value during the week. There have been only a few losing coins, few of which were Tron with a modest drop in value of 3.2%, while LINK was down by 5.7%. Interestingly, XRP also managed to decrease its value by 0.96% w/w. Increased activity with coins in circulation continues. During the previous week Filecoin gained 0.7% of new coins on the market, while Miota`s increase in coins was 0.6% on a weekly basis. Tether continues with a strong increase of the circulating coins, adding 2.4% during the previous week (1.3% a week before). Interestingly, Polkadot decreased its circulating coins by -1.9% on a weekly basis, after it had an increase of 2.3% two weeks ago. Crypto futures market There was another week in a row with significant moves on the crypto futures market for both BTC and ETH futures. In line with the BTC`s reach of new all-time highest value, the short term futures followed this path, finishing the week around the $70K level, which was an increase of around 8.7% on a weekly level. Longer term BTC futures surged between 9% and 14.6%. BTC futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price $76K, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $77.535 on the CME. This week ETH futures gained more in relative terms from BTC futures. ETH short term futures were traded around 14% higher from the week before, while the longer term ones were traded above 15% higher for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at $4.164, and those maturing in December next year, ended the week at $4.363.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: March 4 – 9Last week in the news There have been a lot of developments on financial markets during the previous week. Positive sentiment is still holding among investors. Previous week was the one which marked a higher level for Bitcoin and the crypto market, crossing the $2 trillion market cap. At the same time, easing inflation in the US has pushed yields lower, in expectations of the first Fed's rate cut in this cycle. The same sentiment pushed the S & P 500 to new all time high levels, reaching 5.137 as of the end of the week. The USD lost some of its value, supporting the price of Gold to push its price toward the almost new all time high at 2.082. The US equity market moved to higher grounds after the latest published economic figures showed that the inflation is on the decreasing track. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge, the PCE Price Index reached 2.4% in January, which was fully in line with the market expectations. At the same time, the core PCE Price Index was standing at a level of 2.8% on a yearly basis, also in line with the market forecast. The latest figures are showing that the inflation in the US continues to slow down, which supported market optimism that the Fed might cut interest rates during the second half of this year. While markets are concentrated on a potential positive future earnings, some economists are arguing that the US debt increase is accelerating at the fastest pace from the previous period. As estimated, it is increasing around $1 trillion every 100 days. Last year Moody's Investors Service Agency decreased the rating of the US Government from stable to negative, amid concerns whether it will be able to service its debt obligations when they come due in the future period. As per currently available data, the US Government debt accounted for 124% of the US nominal GDP in December last year. As the US economy is supporting market optimism, the Euro Zone economy is struggling with missed targets in an earning season. CNBC is reporting that a half of EU companies have missed earnings expectations, which were already lowered due to the environment of high interest rates, and high energy prices. This represents one of the worst earning seasons for the EU companies since the start of the pandemic. As Sharon Bell, who holds a position as a senior European strategist at Goldman Sachs, noted in a CNBC interview, there is an increasing trend among EU companies of buying back their own shares. In this way, the companies are trying to sustain the price level for their shares. However, it has been noted that sectors like technology and utilities have outperformed forecasts with their quarterly results. News is reporting that the cash outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) continued during the previous period, with a spike on Thursday last week. Namely, as reported, the outflow of funds from the fund reached $600 million on Thursday only. The analysts involved in the matter are assuming that this sale was related to the court approval of Genesis to sell 35 million of GBTC shares. On the other hand, inflows into BTC exchange traded funds continue to increase, with BlackRock leading the market with an asset under management exceeding $10 billion. Crypto market cap What a week on the crypto market! This could be the short summary of the developments on the crypto market during the previous week. Total market capitalization reached levels above $2 trillion, while the majority of coins managed to gain somewhere between 15% and 50%. Several of them gained even above this percentage within a single week. This could be treated as a sort of postponed effect after the relatively calm market on the news that the first BTC ETF has been approved. However, it should be noted that the majority of investors were reluctant to start investing into riskier assets, considering unclear macroeconomic indicators and the question whether inflation is on the path toward the 2% target, or maybe not. This question was relevant in terms of whether the Fed will cut interest rates or maybe it will be postponed for the end of this year. Still, relatively solid inflation data, which is on a clearly down path supported the investors’ confidence during the previous week. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 19% within a single week, adding $360 billion into the value of the market. Although this is still not the highest market cap that the crypto market historically reached, still, it represents a significantly close level, which might be breached in the future period. Daily trading volumes remained high during the week, moving around $ 90B on a daily basis. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $626B which represents a 38% surge from the beginning of this year. Bitcoin was again leading the market during the previous week`s surge. The coin gained 21.5% in value, adding more than $215B to its market cap. Ether was following the move of the BTC, with a slower pace, but still a high $56B in market cap which was almost 16% surge in the value. During the week, Solana had an extraordinary performance adding almost $12B to its value, increasing it by 26% on a weekly basis. Previous week XRP added $4.7B to its cap, surging by almost 16%. Bitcoin Cash was following the path of BTC, adding $3.4B to the cap, which was a surge of incredible 65% for this coin. DOGE increased its value by $7.6B or 62.5%, another excellent weekly performer. ADA was up by $5.2B in value, or 25%. The surprise of the week was certainly Theta, who reached a price of $2.13, which was an increase of 55.5% on a weekly basis. Theta is not a coin which is known for its sharp moves in price. Among coins which did not have an excellent performing week, like other altcoins, were Maker, with an increase in value of “only” 3.17% and Uniswap with an increase of 3.8%. Sharp moves with market prices imposed significant activity among coins in circulation. Here Tether should be especially mentioned, as the coin managed to add 1.3% of new coins on the market, while increasing its cap for this value. Polkadot and Polygon were among highest gainers on the market during the previous week, where Polkadot added 2.9% of new coins on the market, while Polygon`s coins increased by almost 3% during the single week. Filecoin added 0.9% of new coins, while the majority of other altcoins increased their circulating coins by 0.1%. Crypto futures market In line with the spot market developments, the previous week was an incredible one also on the crypto futures market. By following investors' optimism from the spot market, the future prices were traded at significantly higher levels. BTC futures were increased by some 20% on average for all maturities, while ETH futures were traded higher by 13% on average, also for all maturities. BTC`s short term futures ended the week around 22% higher from the week before, while futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price $66.305. At the same time, it should be mentioned that futures maturing in December 2025 ended the week at $71.276, which could be treated as a new all time highest value for BTC. ETH short term futures were traded above 16% higher from the week before. At the same time, futures maturing in December this year were last traded 13.85% higher, and finished the week at price $3.601. Those futures maturing in December 2025 reached the price of $3.774.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
Pepe: Bull Run Price Target ($0.000059)Overview Pepe is one of those speculative assets that I treat like a first date. I go in with the hopes that it could be an absolute winner but my expectations are that it will be a bust. Because of this I couldn't invest too heavily in the up and coming meme coin but I could invest just enough that if I lost it, I wouldn't be bothered. But if it becomes a winner then my insignificant investment just became a significant gain. Let's crunch price targets. There's not many technical indicators that I feel are reliable enough to go off of so I am solely using Fibonacci retracement levels and theoretical market caps. As the anticipated crypto bull run begins to warm up, it's a good practice to begin setting price targets so that when the market cools again all of those gains don't get flushed down the drain. With any bull run, especially in the crypto market, it's not a matter of IF but WHEN the rally will end. At a token price of $0.000011375 the market cap would be a measly $4.7B which is practically nothing to an established cryptocurrency. This price level reflects the 2.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Further climbs would need to be supported by significant volume but let's continue forward as if those requirements have been met. At a market cap of $25B, the Pepe token value would be $0.000059 which is a whopping 1,375% gain. In crypto, this isn't unheard of. While I'd like to keep running numbers with growing market caps, I don't want to feed into FOMO which is extremely present during rallies so I will leave the cap at a $25B ceiling. This means that a theoretical investment of $100 at today's value ($0.0000040) would be worth $1,475 if Pepe can maintain its steam to the $25B market cap. As I said before, I treat Pepe like a first date. I don't invest too much into it but just enough that I maintain the opportunity of being pleasantly surprised.
CRYPTO:PEPEUSDLong
by Shepherd_Investor
What can we expect in the cryptocurrency market in 2024-2026Today we have a rather interesting article with a lot of food for thought Let's talk about the total capitalization of the crypto market. In 2021, when the BTC price peaked at $ 69K, the total capitalization of the crypto market was $3 trillion Yesterday, the BTCUSDT price touched $ 64K, almost reaching ATH, and the total capitalization of the crypto market is $2.25 trillion, which means that it is roughly speaking "behind" by 30%. This can only mean that altcoins are just beginning to "break out" and the real "Bull run" is still ahead. We have been in the cryptocurrency market since the end of 2016 and have "survived" many cycles in the market, and believe me, there will come a time when altcoins will shoot 30-50-100% per day in dozens, not just a few as it is now, and your eyes will run away in not understanding what to buy next, because everything is growing) Now we are just warming up. What can happen next? Further, the price of BTC can, for example, go into a broad consolidation in the range of $30-70k. The "small money" will say wow, consolidation with a corridor of 100+%, and the "big money" will meanwhile take Bitcoin from the "weak hands" on fluctuations and accumulate their reserves. Since the big money will not sell their BTC, they have a very effective tool to pump coins - buying altcoins in pairs with BTC. At this point, the price of altcoin/usdt will skyrocket exponentially. If we look at the chart of the total capitalization of the crypto market, you can clearly see one pattern: from the moment of BTC halving to the maximum value of the total capitalization of the crypto market, 183 3-day candles pass. That is, roughly speaking, a confident bull run in the crypto market has already lasted for 550 days twice. You might say that we can't compare these periods because big money is now entering the cryptocurrency market, and they will continue to drive the market. But most likely, you have not been in the crypto market for long and do not remember what the narratives were in the previous cycles: - In 2017, the market was mainly "rocked" by ICOs and pioneering venture capital funds entered the crypto market. If I'm not mistaken, ETH was sold at ICOs at either $0.30 or $0.50, and today it has reached $3500 - and this is probably the "most tenacious" project from this period. - The entire 2018-2019 Internet space was teeming with reports that Bakkt would enter the cryptocurrency market and revitalize the crypto market and push for ATH updates. But no!) The crypto market was revived only in 2020, and then at the expense of retail buyers, at the expense of cash payments to the population to combat Covid-19. By the way, check out the movie Dumb Money, which reflects the events of the time when retail buyers punished hedge funds that were shorting the growing market! As they say, you can't go against the masses) - Then in 2020-2021, there were the narratives of IEO, Defi, NFT, Elon Max with tokens and tweets that drove the market. There was something else, please add to the comments. - And now it's 2023 and a new growth cycle with the main narrative at the moment - BTC ETFs and the entry of large funds like BlackRock into the crypto market. By the way, at the end of 2022, we released the two ideas that this is probably the bottom and it is definitely worth buying: 1. How much can the Crypto market capitalization grow by 2025 at Nov. 2022 2. Bitcoin & Cryptocurrency results of 2022 and plans for 2023-2025 at 30.12.2022 Despite the mega rise in the price of BTC in 2024, Google trends suggest that the peak rush for search queries like in 2017 and 2021 is still very, very far away. We also have a personal gut feeling, comparing to previous periods, that "strong hands", as they like to call themselves, who have sat for 2 years with a mega deposit drawdown of -60-80% and are now selling their assets at entry points. And the "fresh and new money" is still "little" in the cryptocurrency market, perhaps it is already expensive? Also, it's been a long time since the market has been nightmarized by news like possible large sales of BTC: Silk road, which was confiscated by the United States, MT Gox payments, FTX payments, and so on. As they say, let's be careful!) If we believe the blue fractal that we have depicted on the idea's chart, the cryptocurrency market may soon begin to correct with a decline in the total capitalization of the crypto market. But not super deep, only -30% to $1.5-1.6 trillion . Moreover, this does not mean that the entire crypto market will fall "like a stone down." Alternatively, the price of BTC, which now accounts for more than half of the crypto market capitalization, may show the largest proportional correction. Meanwhile, altcoins will adjust quite adequately in price, and then may be sharply "pumped" by pouring BTC or ETH into them. Also, according to this fractal, this time the growth cycle may take longer than 550 days and last until the end of summer 2026. Well, write in the comments what you think will happen to the crypto market in the coming months? You can also put "like" the idea to subscribe to it and watch it develop together. And we will write our comments as the price moves.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by P_S_trade
22
MARKETS week ahead: February 26 – March 2Last week in the news The earnings of the US tech companies were driving the S&P 500 index to new highs, reaching a level of 5.100 during the week. The question about timing of the first Fed's rate cut is still the main occupation of the investors, which is the reason why Treasury benchmark yield of 10Y reached levels above 4.3%. The price of gold and USD remained relatively flat compared to the week before, as well as Bitcoin. When it comes to the crypto market, the star of the previous week was Ether, reaching the $3K level. NVDA was the company which was most discussed in the news during the previous week. That came with a reason, considering that it managed to reach a total capitalization of above $2 trillion on Friday. The surge in its stock prices came after the fourth quarter earnings report, and revenues of $22.10 billion, above the expected $20.6 billion. With the latest results, Nvidia`s revenues are higher by 265% from the same period a year ago. Analysts continue to be optimistic about this company and its prospectus for further growth in the following years, considering significant development within the AI industry. Based on the NVDA price development, it seems that investors also share the same opinion. FOMC meeting Minutes were released on Wednesday last week. Although there has been optimism among Fed officials that the monetary measures are giving results in the real economy and fight against inflation, still, the question regarding the first potential rate cut is still left uncertain. Such a move was postponed until there is a “greater confidence” that the inflation is clearly heading toward the targeted 2%. On a positive side is their confidence that further rate hikes are most probably over. Treasury yields reacted on Minutes with a modest increase in yields, where the 10Y benchmark reached levels above 4.3%. During the week there has been a lot of attention to the Ether coin, in expectation of the forthcoming approval of the first ETH exchange traded fund, probably in May this year. As per analysts involved in the matter, the market is currently positioning for such a decision, where the price of ETH reached levels above $3K during the previous week. However, analysts are noting that there should not be expected any sort of “explosive” jump in the price of ETH, but rather a sustained one. At the same time analysts from S&P Global warned about the possibility of a concentration risk which might occur in the Ether ecosystem after the approval of the exchange traded fund. The European Union brought up a decision to set up a new Anti-Money Laundering Authority, which will be established in Frankfurt, Germany. The main goal of this new Authority would be to oversee potential AML activities within the crypto transactions in the EU. Currently, the EU AML limit is set at 10.000 euro for cash payments. Crypto market cap While one part of the market is concerned over timing of the first Fed's rate cut in the coming period, the crypto market turned their attention to potential approval of the first ETH exchange traded fund. This was one of the major topics for investors, during the previous week. The price of ETH reached levels above $3K during the previous week, as market participants are positioning for a potential positive reply from the SEC, probably in May this year. The price of ETH outperformed BTC`s weekly performance, which is relatively rare on the crypto market. While, on one side, frenzy over the first ETH ETF slowly taking place on the market, on the other side, there is an emerging question over BTC`s performance after the halving announced for April this year. Analysts are divided on this question. While, on one side there are those who note that halving will decrease supply, and within an environment of high demand, it should positively impact the price of BTC. Still, there are those who are noting that it might impact a drop in the price of BTC, considering decreasing reward for BTC mining. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 1%, during the previous week, adding total $22B of cash inflows. Total market cap is slowly nearing the level of $2 trillion, which was last time marked in April 2022. Daily trading volumes continue to be elevated, with weekly turnover of $116B on a daily basis, which is a modestly lower from the $130B traded two weeks before. Total crypto market capitalization increase from the end of the previous year, currently stands at $266B which represents a 16% surge from the beginning of this year. Ether was the star of the previous week, where the coin managed to add around $21B to its market cap, increasing it by 6.2% on a weekly basis. Bitcoin was on a losing track on a weekly basis, as the coin is ending the week 1.5% lower from the end of the week before, decreasing its market cap by $15B. With other altcoins it was a mixed trading week. Binance coin had a very good performance, surging by more than 6% in value, adding $3.3B to its market cap, after the announcement of the forthcoming cross-chain airdrop of gaming project Portal. At the same time, Uniswap surged by an incredible 57% on a weekly basis, adding $2.9B to its cap, which was influenced by the announcement that UNI holders will be rewarded with a distribution of protocol fees after the system upgrade. Both ZCash and Theta have excellent weekly performance, with an increase in value of 25% and 22% respectively. There are several coins which finished the week in red, like Solana, which lost 6.5% in value, LINK was also traded lower by 6.3%, while Bitcoin Gold lost some 8.3% in value, following a decrease in the value of BTC on a weekly basis. A relatively increased activity with coins in circulation continues. During the previous week Filecoin added 0.7% more coins on the market, while IOTA had a surge of 0.6%. Tether increased its value by 0.3% on a weekly basis, by increasing its circulating coins by this percentage. Polkadot`s circulating coins were up by 0.2%, while several other altcoins increased coins on the market by 0.1% w/w. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market was generally following developments on the spot market, for short term maturities. In this respect, BTC short term futures were traded around 2% lower from the week before, while ETH futures were last traded higher around 6.5%. BTC longer term futures remained relatively flat compared to the week before, while on a positive side is that prices withhold relatively higher levels reached two weeks ago. BTC futures maturing in December this year were last traded at price $55.495, while those maturing a year later reached the price of $59.595. In line with expectations of the approval of the first ETH ETF, Ether`s long term futures were traded around 6.3% higher for all maturities. In this respect, futures maturing in December this year closed the week at level of $3.163, while those maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $3.343.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: February 12 – 18Last week in the news The S&P 500 continued with gains for the fifth straight week in a row, surpassing the 5.000 level. Investors continue to be optimistic regarding the performance of the US economy and expectations on the forthcoming rate cuts. This week, Bitcoin was also in a positive territory, increasing its value by 10%, and reaching shortly the $ 48K level. Treasury yields remained relatively stable during the week. Gold shortly reached $2.050, however, ended the week lower following strengthening of the US Dollar. Previous week was relatively calm when fundamentals are in question, but with ongoing positive sentiment which impacts developments on financial markets. The released figure for the US inflation in December, as published by the Labor Department Bureau of Labor Statistics, reached 0.2%, lower from previously reported 0.3%. This represents another sign that inflation is clearly on the path of its return toward the 2% target in the coming period, however, Treasury yields did not react much to this news. The 10Y Treasury benchmark continued to move above the 4%. The analysts are noting market concerns that there might be fewer rate cuts during the course of this year, as the Fed is taking the precautionary stance of not cutting too soon. On the other side, within the week ahead, the US January inflation data will be published, on which the market is more focused on. As per news reports, CEO of OpenAI, Sam Altman, is getting ready to address the problem of supply and demand of chips for AI. The Wall Street Journal published the information that Sam Altman would need between $5 and $7 trillion for such a project, but the information has not been officially confirmed by the OpenAI. Instead, there is only a call from Sam Altman on the social network X (ex Twitter) for more infrastructure around the AI. He noted that “building massive-scale AI infrastructure, and a resilient supply chain, is crucial to economic competitiveness”. BTC ETF`s are still gaining market attention. Although the inflows into these funds slowed down a bit in the last two weeks, the situation changed after BTC managed to break the $43K level. As per news reports, the third largest daily net inflow of funds, of around $400 million, occurred on Thursday, which increased a holding of BTC`s by exchange traded funds to 9.260 BTC. Analysts who are closely following developments on the crypto market noted that ETFs are now holding 192.255 Bitcoins, which is around 2.000 higher from holdings of MicroStrategy. Considering high stakes of few participants on the market, there is currently a discussion if there might be a high concentration of BTC`s within several entities, which might lead to potential full control over the BTC market. Markus Levin, a head of operations at California tech start-up XY Labs, commented on this topic to CoinDesk, noting that the bitcoin network is still a distributed network and that “ the concentration of coins held by these entities is not a risk to the Bitcoin Network”. Crypto market cap The market optimism since the beginning of this year continues to hold on financial markets. For several weeks investors were more oriented toward the equity markets, while the prior week brought breakthroughs on the crypto market. Bitcoin finally broke the $43K level, which was a reflection of around $400 million of new funds inflow from several exchange traded funds on this market. It seems that investors are highly optimistic regarding the state of the US economy and are currently positioning for the expected Fed's rate cuts during the course of this year, seeking for more riskier assets in expectation of higher returns. As for current state of the US economy, figures are showing further relaxation in inflation and relatively stable economic output, however, the exact timing of the rate cuts, as well as, the number of it during this year, remains still unknown considering statements of some Fed officials, that Fed is concerned regarding cutting rates too soon. Total crypto market capitalization increased by 8% during the previous week, adding $133B on a weekly basis. The majority of these funds was added through the demand for Bitcoin. Daily trading volumes were also significantly increased from the week before, moving around $110B, which is a jump from $ 69B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization turned into the positive territory from the end of the previous year, currently adding $ 95B or 6% increase since the beginning of this year. During the previous week almost all coins gained in value, except a few who finished the week in the red. Bitcoin was the coin with highest demand, which increased its market cap by 9.5% or $80B on a weekly basis. BTC was followed by ETH, who managed to add $21B to its value or 7.6% during the week. Among significant gainers in nominal terms was Binance Coin, with a jump in value of almost $ 3B or 6.5%, while Solana managed again to be in the spotlight of investors, with an increase in value of $4.5B or 10.5%. In relative terms, some of the gainers above 5% in value were Bitcoin Gold, NEO and Tron, while Polygon and Uniswap gained above 7% each. Only a few coins finished the week in red, among which the biggest loser was Monero. Drop in value of almost 30% came after news that the Binance exchanger will delist this coin from its exchange, since the coin “no longer meets this standard”, as announced by the Binance. There has been some relaxed activity with coins in circulation compared to the week before. The highest change in coins on the market had Miota, who added 0.6% more coins compared to the week before, and Filecoin added 0.5% of coins. Solana and Polkadot had an increase of 0.2% of circulating coins, while Tether had a drop of 3.1% for the first time after a long period of the increasing trend. Crypto futures market The crypto futures market reflected increased investors optimism from the spot market. The crypto futures for both BTC and ETH ended the week higher from the week before for all maturities. For the first time in many months BTC long term futures crossed the $50K level, exposing the investors’ confidence about the future price of this coin. BTC short term futures ended the Friday`s trading session more than 10% higher from the week before in line with the spot market developments. Still, the major move was within longer term futures, where futures maturing in June 2025 crossed the $50K level, ending the week at price $50.530. At the same time, futures maturing in December 2025 were last traded at $52.345. These developments send a positive signal regarding the expectations on the future price developments of BTC. ETH futures were also traded higher from the end of the previous week. Short term futures were traded higher by some 8% on average, while long term ones ended the week higher by more than 5%. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at price $2.556, while those maturing a year later were last traded at $2.701.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
CRYPTO TOTAL MARKET CAP: Low VolatilityThe Crypto Total Market Cap on the weekly timeframe still has low volatility, which is shown by this Mean Absolute Deviation Percentile Indicator, which is a measure of volatility. If volatility itself remains extremely low, like it still is, then that means it only has room to expand, which means that the variation in returns is higher, which means bigger moves in the upcoming future. While volatility itself isn't directional, a big move will most likely occur soon, and you would want to bet on the side that gives you more returns, which is clearly towards the upside in the weekly timeframe.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by Traders_Endeavors
MARKETS week ahead: January 29 – February 4Last week in the news A new week and a new ATH for the S&P 500 during the first trading month in a year. Positive market optimism continues to be supported with expectations on forthcoming Fed rate cuts. On the other hand, the ECB meeting held during the previous week revealed potential for April`s rate cuts in the Euro Area. At the same time, USD, US Treasuries and Gold were holding relatively steady, while the crypto market increased its weekly volatility. Bitcoin ended the week with a bounce above the $ 41K, after shortly testing the $38K support. The market optimism which is reflected in the value of US equity indices continues to be supported by relatively solid US economic data. The preliminary US GDP growth rate for Q4 of the previous year reached 3.3% for the quarter, which was still above forecasted 2.0%. A drop in inflation has fueled consumer spending, supporting the economic output of the county. Although figures are showing improvement of the economy, there are analysts who are pointing to potential risks that might impact the economic output in 2024, which are related to geopolitical issues and potential other supply-chain disturbances which might trigger another surge in inflation and slow-down of economic growth. Still, considering a new ATH of the S&P 500 it seems that the market is currently not pricing any of these potential risks. The European Central Bank held a meeting during the previous week, where it left Euro rates unchanged, at 4,5%. In an after the meeting speech of ECB president Lagarde, market expectations were heated regarding the ECB`s possibility for its first rate cut from April this year. This was supported by the positive outlook for the EU economy, as perceived by ECB members. However, President Lagarde did not comment on any potential rate cuts for the moment. First data related to the BTC ETF show that BlackRock's ETF is currently the first one to reach $2 billion in value of assets under management. Total tokens held by the IBIT is currently around 50.000. The fund is followed by Fidelity's ETF (FBTC), which already reached $2 billion in value of assets. As per available data, the Grayscale`s ETF currently manages $30 million value of funds, after experiencing high outflow for the last two weeks. Analysts from Bloomberg Intelligence are reporting a net outflow of funds from all BTC linked ETFs by $158 million on Wednesday. As reported, the inflows of funds are modestly weakening during the last couple of days. The SEC`s approval of the first ETH Ethereum is still pending, and will be so for some time in the future period, based on SEC`s response to BlackRock`s and Fidelity`s filings. Namely, the SEC officially published that it needs a longer period of time and cannot provide an accurate answer at this moment. The date mentioned in SEC`s official letter, published on their website, is March 10th 2024, as the date of the final decision for the first ETF Ethereum. Crypto market cap While the US stock market continues to rally, the majority of crypto investors are asking what is going on with the crypto market after the approval of the first BTC ETF. There are several issues related to BTC`s increased volatility during the previous weeks. On one side it should be considered speculative money which strongly flowed to the BTC market on the first news that an ETF might be approved. These funds are now moved from the crypto market, after the collection of short term profits. The second topic which should be considered is that investors, who wanted to have an exposure toward crypto, already had an opportunity for that through BTC-linked ETF`s and other derivative products. Predictions of several analysts prior to the SEC`s approval were quite positive, noting that the price of BTC will skyrocket. However, the reality check showed that BTC entered into the mainstream, and is there to stay, in which sense, it cannot be expected in the future the same behavior as BTC did in the past. The higher adoption by the mainstream means a higher inflow of funds, higher availability of coins which all decreases the potential for higher fluctuations in the price of BTC. Same like with the FX market, if someone wants to make a significant move in this market, it will need to have a substantial amount of funds to make a difference in price. At the bottom line, that means huge institutional investors or central banks. Instead of some huge movements in the price, small investors and crypto enthusiasts should expect a lower BTC volatility in the future period, which is actually, the best thing which could happen to the BTC. Total crypto market capitalization decreased by 1% on a weekly basis, with an outflow of $21B in the value of the market. This week`s decrease was led by ETH, and not BTC. Daily trading volumes further decreased to the level of around $85B on a daily basis, from $99B traded two weeks ago. Total crypto market capitalization decrease since the beginning of this year stands at 4%, with a total $ 70B lost in value of the market. BTC was not the coin which led the total crypto market value decrease during the previous week. It was actually ETH, with a loss of $24B or 8% on a weekly basis. The SEC issued an official letter that the decision on the approval of the first ETH ETF is postponed for March this year, which impacted market sentiment for this coin. Regardless of a drop in the price during the week, BTC ended it by 0.8% higher from the end of the week before, adding $ 6B to its market cap. Other altcoins were traded in a mixed manner. Highest gainers in a relative terms were Miota, with an increase of more than 10% in value, Maker was up by 4% on a weekly basis, while Bitcoin Gold and Bitcoin Cash were traded higher by 2.6% and 2.3% respectively. Among altcoins which lost in value during the week were Litecoin, with a drop of 5.14%, LINK was down by around 10%, Uniswap decreased its value by 8.8%, while ZCash was traded lower by 5.3%. Increased activity with coins in circulation continues from the start of this year. Tether gained 1.0% during the previous week, increasing its total value by this percentage. Miota also continued to increase the number of coins in circulation by 0.6% during the course of the previous week, while Filecoin`s coins increased by 0.5% w/w. Litecoin was one of rare coins on the market which decreased its circulating coins by 4.0% compared to the week before. Crypto futures market Although usually the crypto futures market reflects developments on the spot market, during the previous week ETH short term futures experienced higher drop in prices from the actual developments on the spot market. One of the reasons could be found in the fact that the SEC made an official postponement of its decision for the first ETH ETF. ETH short term futures ended the trading week less than 10% lower from the week before. Long term futures also dropped by more than 9%, for all maturities. Regardless of a drop, futures maturing in December this year are still holding above $2K level, with last traded price at $2.341. Futures maturing in December 2024 were last traded at price $2.474. In line with the spot market, short term BTC futures ended the week 0.9% higher from the week before, while long term futures experienced a drop in prices by more than 2% for all maturities. December 2024 futures were last traded at price $42.700, while December 2025 continues to hold above $45K, with last traded price at $45.870.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX