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Bitcoin to $100KOverview Bitcoin is the best litmus test for the crypto market. Whenever I can't get a read on a particular token, I refer back to Bitcoin. After reviewing the chart I believe Bitcoin is on route to $100K. Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if it rockets pass this price and hits the next key Fibonacci level around $150K but that is months down the line. For now I'd like to stick with a March '24 prediction. Trading Patterns Bitcoin appears to be setting up for an Inverse Head & Shoulders or a Cup & Handle pattern. While both are bullish signals it does imply there will be a temporary dip in the price before further buying volume ensues and takes it to new highs. Scenario 1 (Inverse H&S) An Inverse H&S could result in a correction back to $35K-42K if it comes to fruition. Scenario 2 (Cup & Handle) A Cup & Handle could result in a correction to the same range with a more likely price target near 42K. Supporting Theory You may be wondering what the white vertical line is in both of the trading pattern scenarios. It marks the next FOMC meeting which occurs on 19-20 March 2024. I believe a significant correction is going to occur within the equity market following this meeting and while its timing in relation to the development of these trading patterns could be coincidental, I believe it supports the idea that the crypto market may also experience a drawback. Now I think it goes without saying that I don't believe these corrections will be a market reversal back into a crypto winter. I just believe the FOMC is going to finally make changes regarding the Fed Rates and that, when it does, regardless of whether they are increased or decreased the large investors are going to withdraw for two reasons: 1) Realize profits 2) To get a feel for the direction of the market moving forward Once the second condition has taken place then I believe both the equity and crypto markets will continue their rallies as the "whales" reinsert their liquidity. March Price Prediction Everything aside, I believe Bitcoin will continue to grow for the next week or two. While there is not much room left before the prior trading patterns would need to see a correction, I believe that Bitcoin could reach 69K before the next FOMC meeting.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Shepherd_Investor
1
$0.000015 In Sight?Shiba Inu token has been grabbing momentum as of late. On the 1W and 1D charts, a distinct W is beginning to form with us being a little above the second trough at the time of this idea. I drew a crude Fibonacci retracement -- it is crude because I am not 100% that I am using the retracement tool accurately BUT there are three fibonacci retracement levels that show strong correlation to prior resistances and supports -- 78.6%, 50%, and 23.6%. If Shiba Inu's price can break through the resistance presented at 23.6% then the next major resistance appears to be at the 50% Fibonacci level, then the 78.6%, and then finally arriving at a bountiful price target around $0.00001587. According to the chart's timeline, this could take up to three months to complete at its current pace which presents two possibilities: Bitcoin ETF gets rejected and the crypto market experiences a news-propelled crash. Corrections will be inevitable in any market but, in my opinion, the Bitcoin ETF getting rejected could send us back to prior lows or at least close to it. Bitcoin ETF gets approved and the prior price target of $0.000015 may arrive sooner as well as be too conservative. Traders should remain cognizant of macroeconomic news and Bitcoin ETF updates as they can render a trading pattern invalid at any moment. However, should everything remain status quo and the market outlook remain positive, it is my personal opinion that this trade can benefit both short and medium term holders. Traders should practice good habits by increasing Stop-Losses with market gains and watching the volume to avoid entering or exiting a trade too soon. COINBASE:SHIBUSD
COINBASE:SHIBUSDLong
by Shepherd_Investor
BITCOIN - March Highier Timeframe Breakdown - 01/03/24'Hello everyone, lets jump in.. So bellow you can find screenshots, with every relevant timeframe to be looked at, to make a better educated guess at least in my opinion. First of all, I need to say, that this Idea DO NOT have to play out immediately, IF ALL! BUT Since Highest Timeframe we operating with is 3Month, there is still like 60Days window in which this CAN play out. 3M 2M 1M 15D 10D 5D So this Whole IDEA, is Based on 3M candle/timeframe (basically quarter outlook), which still follow my Q1+FED outlook as next.. --> In which I ment there is higher chance of continuing Higher with time UNTIL FED start cutting Interest Rates... and in the mean time we Rallied.. BUT since we are reached Price targets close to ATHs' I think is needed to be even more carefull.. and this due to --> If we take a look at 3M chart, we can see that prior times in History, when we reached Closing price of 3M candle, IT WAS THE TIME WHEN WE PEAKED WITH PRICE FOR PROLONGED PERIOD OF TIME. (And we already did it!) but there is still almost 2month to next FED meeting.. So Main Question is IF we will go Above ATHs' in this period of time, or We will follow what happend prior Cycles and thats correction... AND My honest answer is that I DONT KNOW, BUT if I HAVE TO pick one, I REMAIN EXTREMLY CAUTIOUS, since Right Now I see this more as "fake bull market" BECAUSE , and this "Because" have two aspects- Micro/Macro economy and then what Charts are saying.. Firstly, if we check out Charts, we can see on EVERY SINGLE ONE, that we reached with Closing Price close to where ATHs Closes are, BUT we dont Close above them.. Which In my understanding of Market Increasing chances for revisiting Lower prices "when correct time come" BUT, in the meanwhile, there is still "TREND" which I would say is still "bullish" and for that Reason we can "be trying" to reach or break ATH.. and only "time shows and chart tell" if we will go there.. BUT , as I ment.. there is other factor and thats.. Micro/Macro economy outlook at things, And I would say.. "ITS NOT THE BEST ONE"! --> Inflation is STILL HIGH (due to FED) and it looks like it slowly starting to elevate again, Unemployment is STILL relative close to all time Lows, and Interest Rates are STILL HIGH.. on top of that, from last reports it looks like economy start Slowing down a little bit BUT Markets still looks like "they dont care". Which In my opinion is BIG Mistake, and for that reason, Im trying to evaluate things on Daily basis when New Important Market/Economy News happen.. especially, in time "Where people believe only way of going is Highier!"... AND THATS BECAUSE - if we again, come back to our 3M chart, we can see there is 30D left on it.. and in those 30days market can change a LOT, AND We already reached price where In history was our "turning point" chart wise.. So, in my opinion, being a buyer right now is more risky then being seller.. , but I still label this IDEA as Neutral, since there is still lot of time remaining for Price to behave irational. Hopefully, this helps some of you with your perception of market. If YES, please consider liking or sharing this post, it would mean a lot for me. Thanks Joe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptocapitaltrading
BITCOIN - 27/02/24' - Weekly Update Hello everyone, hope you guys doing great.. Firstly I would like to adress something from *Last update*, since some of you may been confused.. When I ment in update, that I expecting *Bearish Sentiment for 0-48hours* - IT MEAN, I EXPECT BEARISH SENTIMENT FOR 0-48 - Not for 5D, Week, Month etc.. and as far as Im concern, thats exactly what happend, before market continued remaining bullish to this day.. Secondly, since is close to end of month, and I would like to break down Market from Top to Bottom, I decided to wait With Update till Friday, when Monthly and other Highier time frame candles will close.. Meanwhile, I would just like to point out THAT --> Previously, when we reached closing price of 3M candle(either went slightly above or under), both times after that in upcoming days to weeks to MONTHs, we got some type of correction.. I will get deeper to it Friday... Until then, be carefull guys, and dont forget to use PROTECTION while you wildin out there ^^ Joe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptocapitaltrading
ETHUSD | Market outlookCRYPTOCURRENCY MARKET REVIEW The cryptocurrency market resumed active growth: BTC is trading around 30900.00 (+10.0%), ETH is at 2120.00 (+14.3%), USDT is around 1.0003 (+0.05%), BNB is at 335.00 (+7.1%), and USDC – around 0.9988 (+0.02%). The total market capitalization has grown to 1.288B dollars, and the share of BTC was 46.34%. The quotes are supported by expectations of correction of the US Federal Reserve's monetary rate after the publication of US data on inflation for March, which recorded a greater slowdown in price growth in the country than experts expected. Thus, the consumer price index was 0.1% instead of the forecasted 0.2% MoM and 5.0% instead of 5.2% YoY, strengthening investors' hopes that regulator officials will soften the «hawkish» rhetoric in May or June. In this case, the pressure on the country's economy may weaken, and the demand for risky assets may increase. In this regard, the founder of Galaxy Digital, Mike Novogratz, predicted the price of the world's first cryptocurrency to rise to 40.0K dollars after the start of lowering interest rates, which will not be possible until the end of the year. The growth leader was ETH, which was additionally supported by the launch of the Shapella (Shanghai-Capella) update on the main Ethereum network. The fork took place on April 13 at block 194048 and activated the EIP-4895 function, which allows investors to withdraw coins previously blocked on the network. Contrary to the fears of some experts, this did not lead to a mass sale of the token and a fall in the cryptocurrency rate. Indeed, some stakers have chosen to withdraw their assets but so far their number is insignificant. According to Glassnode experts, the current momentum could lead to the sale of about 170.0K unlocked ETH within seven days of the fork activation, which is less than 1.0% of the total volume (18M ETH). Among other news of the week, it is worth highlighting the launch by the social network Twitter of the opportunity to trade various assets, including cryptocurrency. Thanks to the partnership between the network and the eToro platform, clients of the site will now be able to see the price charts of digital assets and stocks, as well as buy and sell them, which will further popularize cryptocurrencies. The London Stock Exchange (LSE) has announced the launch of BTC futures and options trading. To ensure this, it has entered into a partnership agreement with the Global Futures and Options (GFO-X) cryptocurrency trading platform. It is assumed that trading in futures and options on BTC will become available in the UK from the fourth quarter of this year and for EU citizens later. In general, the situation in the cryptocurrency market is improving, and the enthusiasm of investors associated with the possible suspension of the US Federal Reserve cycle of raising interest rates supports the strengthening of prices.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by DynamicCapital-FX
Humanode ($HMND): decentralized biometric Human nodeThe blockchain industry is constantly growing and evolving. More and more new and innovative projects are emerging this year. Today we introduce Humanode (HMND), a Layer 1 that fuses artificial intelligence, decentralization, and biometric data with the goal of creating a democratic and transparent blockchain, trying to solve problems related to the concepts of PoS (Proof Of Stake) and PoW (Proof Of Work). What is Humanode ? Humanode (HMND) is a substrate based standalone Layer 1 where sybil-resistance is provided through private decentralized biometric verification of human existence and uniqueness instead of PoW and PoS. The key is that a validator Human node can only deploy one node and that all nodes are equal in terms of validation and voting power, or how we usually put it "1 human = 1 node = 1 vote. What makes it unique ? The uniqueness and liveness of humans behind nodes is checked by an AI which determines whether a person is unique and whether he is alive through a multitude of facial recognition modules. The biometric processing is conducted in a private and decentralized way so that there is no Personal Identifiable Information or biometric data that can be reverted back into its original state. What is the main goal ? The main goal of Humanode is to create a truly distributed, democratic and sybil-resistant blockchain Layer 1 owned by millions of human nodes in an equal share. As described within their whitepaper, Humanode offers an alternative solution to PoS and Pow issues. "... Issuance and commission in PoW blockchains In PoW blockchains, the protocol acts as the emitting entity. Most PoW coins have set the emission and max supply. For example, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSD ) has a max supply of 21 million coins. At the time of the creation of this paper, its circulating supply is 18.8 million. With emission set in every block and the halving that happens every four years, it will take approximately 120 years to mint everything. Emission is received by miners not in the form of a loan, but directly. However, only miners receive it. Ordinary users and even financial entities that hold large chunks of Bitcoin get nothing. Miners either decide to hold onto the emitted money or sell it on the market. This system does not sell debt to the agents at its bottom, but devaluation of non-miner agents’ assets, even if ridiculously small, still happens, as the emission is received only by miners. Another thing is that supply is not balanced with value creation, meaning that the limited supply does not line up with the growth of value in the system. That makes it deflationary, which on a nation-sized scale makes economies unhealthy and can even lead to a crisis." " ... Issuance and commission in PoS blockchains As in PoW, in PoS the protocol acts as the issuance entity. In most cases, PoS have some kind of a governing entity that decides upon emission; it can be either pre-set as in Bitcoin or it can be flexible with many different methods of realization. Commonly there is a DAO that sets the emission. As in PoW, validators receive issuance directly from the protocol, but in delegated PoS, they also redistribute it across their Delegators. Protocol users get nothing from emission and DAO can set emission at any level. Sometimes devaluation is very strong because validators accumulate minted tokens and sell them on the market to cover expenses and for profit—at the same time, their networks are not as big as Bitcoin, which counterweighs the devaluation effect." " ... Fath on Humanode The emission of tokens in Fath behaves differently from the systems mentioned above. One of the hypotheses that are the basis of Fath is that it is possible to mitigate the long-term effects of devaluation by the proportional distribution of emission. Emission is delivered to every single member of the network directly from the protocol, regardless of whether a person is a validator or not. The amount of emission is defined by the Fath protocol algorithm, which calculates the difference between real value creation (Gross Network Product; GNetP) in two different time periods. If GNetP in the second period is different from GNetP in the first then the algorithm calculates the difference and changes the monetary supply by the same percentage. We consider the HMND token first of all to be a transaction-processing as well as a biometric network, which is why GNetP in the first implementation of Fath will be calculated based on the fees spent by participants of the network. If the amount of commission received by human nodes in the second period is different from the first, then the algorithm applies the same difference in percentage to supply and rebalances every single wallet that exists. Two types of rebalances occur, inFath and outFath: If the amount of commission paid out in the second period of time exceeds the commission paid out in the first period, then inFath occurs and emission is distributed across every wallet proportionally If the amount of commission paid out in the second period is smaller than in the first, then outFath occurs and the protocol proportionally burns excessive supply throughout every single wallet as well" Tokenomics The total supply of HMND token is capped. The HMND token has a max supply fixed at 400,000,000 tokens. At the time of writing this analysis, there are 31,905,741 HMND tokens in circulation, less than 10% of the total supply. The project was officially listed to the public in April 2023 on KuCoin with a launch price set at $0.2589. Minting process New HMND tokens are minted through a mechanism called the Fath hypothesis. The main idea behind the Fath hypothesis is a full-reserve system that calculates the amount of goods and services sold in equal periods of time. If the value created in the new period is greater than the value in the previous one by 1%, the Fath protocol issues 1% of the supply and delivers it to every single wallet in the network, depending on the account balance (savings). If the wallet holds 1% of the supply during the emission, it gets 1% of the minted tokens directly from the protocol. Any person in the world, no matter where they are from or who they are, can become a human node, as long as that person has access to devices that can conduct biometric processing (for example, a smartphone with a camera and biometric processing applications for recognition) or other verified hardware. The system delivers the equality of every single human node by deriving only one node from one biometric identity and mitigates any disproportion of power due to reward equality of individuals. As the system implements the Fath hypothesis, which negates the effect of devaluation on agents of the system, this narrows gaps between the users of the network as the emitted value is distributed proportionally to every participant. Key Features Layer 1 focusing on AI and biometric data Fath Hypothesis Mechanism : an alternative consensus mechanism offered as an innovative solution to classic consensus models. Open source Ethereum EVM Compatible Capped supply Humanode seems offering a better solution to PoW and PoS consensus mechanisms by incentivizing network nodes in a more democratic way. The project is certainly ambitious and innovative, so we think is right to explore it. Will be interesting to see how this new blockchain project will grow in the crypto space. Currently the market capitalization for this project is about 10 million. We can assume that with growth in the entire crypto sector and future adoption, this asset can reach a market cap of 50-100 million within 3 years. If the team deliver on its promises, HMND could increase the price by 5x to 10x the current value. The price valuation could be boosted by the scarcity of tokens in circulation. Write what you think about this project, and what strategies you have used to integrate this crypto asset within your investment portfolio.
Long
by ScrimpleAI
XRP Downside Risks 24h & 3D ☁️; Price Recovery in 7 Days? ☀️John Deaton, a pro-crypto lawyer, confirmed that he will run as Republican Senate candidate in Massachusetts against the incumbent Senator, Democrat Elizabeth Warren. “I’m excited for the opportunity to fight for change, and for the people of Massachusetts in the United States Senate,” he said. Deaton represents over 75,000 XRP holders as amicus counsel in the ongoing court battle between Ripple Labs and the Securities and Exchange Commission. The price of XRP fell 3.3 percent to 54 cents over the past 24 hours. Trading conditions for XRP are going to be mixed over the next couple of days. Further downside is forecasted by ATTMO for the next 24 hours and 3 days, with some returning over a one-week horizon. Follow us for more crypto weather reports!
Short
by ATTMO
ETH Upside Potential in the Next 3D & 1W, $3K & Up? Galaxy Digital acquired 26,000 Ethers on Tuesday, worth around $76 million at today’s price, on-chain data from Lookonchain shows. This pushed the price of Ether above the $3,000 threshold for the first time since April 2022, before falling back. “$3,000 for Ethereum. To be honest, it’s still undervalued to #Bitcoin. Given the valuation of Bitcoin at $52,000, it would be normal to have a valuation of $3,800 per $ETH. The upside is gigantic,” said the CEO of MN Trading Michaël van de Poppe. “The Ethereum rally is supported by the March Dencun upgrade but, more importantly, by the expectation that a) the Bitcoin halving is bullish for crypto and b) that Ethereum ETFs will be approved by the SEC” in May, the Head of Research at 10x Research, Markus Thielen, said in a research note. Ether rose 0.5 percent to $2,943 over the past 24 hours. A bullish sun shines over both Bitcoin and Ether over the course of the next 3 days and week, indicating upside potential. Binance Coin and Dogecoin should also profit from this bullish trend, ATTMO shows. Follow us for more crypto weather reports!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by ATTMO