Cryptonews
Bitcoin: Hodlers VS Cruisers VS TradersAnother very outside-the-box trend that I discovered while going down an INTOTHEBLOCK rabbit hole was the Holders' Composition by Time Held leading into the parabolic phase. These CRYPTOCAP:BTC Coin balances are a metric powered by INTOTHEBLOCK that shows ownership distribution over time.
What is a Hodler Balance?
They are address balances that have held CRYPTOCAP:BTC over a period of one year or longer. These are long-term investors. An increase in this metric shows long-term bullish sentiment.
What is a Cruiser?
They are address balances that have held CRYPTOCAP:BTC over a period of one - twelve months. These addresses are what we would consider swing traders. The transfer from Cruiser balance to Trader balance can be seen as bearish sentiment and the transfer from Trader to Cruiser can been seen as bullish sentiment.
What is a Trader?
They are address balances that have held CRYPTOCAP:BTC less than one month. These are short term balances of day traders, bot trading, etc. An increase in this metric would indicate volatility and a potential bearish sentiment in the market.
With that being said about the Trader Balance, on 10/22/20 we can see a (+6%) uptick in Trader balances and a (-2%) down in Cruiser Balances showing investors taking profits and trading into the volatility.
On 4/20/24, the Trader Balance crossed the Cruiser Balance solidifying this accumulation period.
They started closing in on each other at the end of July, Post-Bitcoin Conference w/Trump speech + JPY reverse-carry trade unwinding + Mega Tech FC. Now they have returned the their early July numbers.
KEY TAKEAWAY:
You will see a flow into TRADERSBALANCE, out of CRUISERSBALANCE AND HODLERSBALANCE when the market has officially accepted we have entered the parabolic phase of this bull cycle.
Look for a flow change and TRADERSBALANCE | CRUISERBALANCE cross between 10/8 & 10/22.
XRPUSDT / REMAIN BELOW ASCENDING CHANNEL - 4HXRPUSDT - 4H
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , prices is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level at 0.58 .
The prices are currently trading below the ascending channel and are likely to attempt a retest to reach the turning point at 0.58 before beginning a decline toward the support level at 0.54, with a further drop expected down to 0.52.
However, if the 0.58 level is broken and a 4-hour candle closes above it, the price may rise toward the first resistance level at 0.62, and potentially further to 0.65
KEY LEVELS :
Turning Level : 0.58 .
Resistance Levels : 0.62 , 0.65 .
Support Levels : 0.54 , 0.52 .
Imminent rebound for BTC in the next 24 hours! A strong sun will shine over Bitcoin in the next 24 hours, signaling bullish market conditions! ☀️ The price of Bitcoin rose 1 percent to $57,277 over the past 24 hours and still has the potential to go up.
The 12 spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) listed in the US have posted outflows totaling almost $800 million dollar over the past six trading days, data from Sosovalue shows.
Investors now await cues from the upcoming US job figures being released tomorrow. Analysts expect 160,000 jobs to have been created outside the US farming sector in August, up from 114,000 jobs in July.
Yet, over a one-week time horizon, drizzle will linger over Bitcoin, signaling downside potential. 🌧
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BTC to rebound - bullish potential for the next 24 hours The price of Bitcoin fell more than 6 percent to $59,290 over the past 24 hours, trading as low as $58,564 over this period, Trading View’s Bitcoin chart shows.
Yet, a strong sun will shine over Bitcoin in the next 24 hours, signaling bullish market conditions. ☀️
“Today's drop is intriguing and presents a potential opportunity for those looking to capitalize on a tactical rally. Entering at $59,000 with a tight stop at $58,000 might seem overly cautious to some, but tactical opportunities like this are rare in a market lacking a clear bullish trend,” the crypto intelligence firm 10xResearch said in its daily note.
The number of Bitcoin millionaires increased by 111 percent last year and exceeded 85,000 people, Henley & Partners annual Crypto Wealth Report 2024 shows. Eleven persons hold more than $1 billion in Bitcoin. The CEO of MicroStrategy Michael Saylor, the CEO of Coinbase Brian Armstrong and Binance’s founder, currently serving a prison term in the US for money laundering violations, Changpeng Zhao (CZ) are part of this exclusive club.
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TONCOIN: Possible "Head-Shoulders" under construction?!TONCOIN: Possible "Head-Shoulders" under construction?!
Detection of a possible chart pattern "Head-Shoulder" = "SUMMER" in Daily"
Monitor the " Nech line", and the Fibonacci and ICHIMOKU levels, as well as the 50 and 200 exponential moving averages on higher time units if necessary.
The downside targets are indicated on the chart.
We could return to the levels before the "Bull run"!!
Following the arrest of Pavel Durov, CEO of the company "Telegram Messenger", this news could accelerate the downward movement sharply!
Be careful!!
DOTUSDT ( BREAKOUT CHANNEL ) (4H)DOTUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level at 4.949
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 4.949 , so until the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 5.532 and 5.958 , in order to see this zone the price need breaking turning level at 4.949 , breaking this price indicates an increase and reaching the resistance level (1) at 5.532 , then stabilizing above resistance level (1) likely to reach of a resistance level (2) at 5.598 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 6.532 , selling have already increase in this zone .
SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 4.012 & 3.595 , until the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 4.012 , by open 4h or 1h candle below support level (1) , it indicates to reaching support level (2) around 3.595
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 4.949, before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 5.532 , 5.958 , 6.532 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 4.012 , 3.595 .
BTC Eyes 60K: Will It Trigger a Pump or Dump?GM Crypto Bro's, sorry for missing yesterday’s market update. This morning, the fear and greed index stands at 37 (fear), and the stoch RSI is starting to enter the overbought zone.
In terms of price action, if BTC manages to close the daily above 60K, the possibility of a dump to 53K will start to decrease, and the probability of a pump to 64K-65K will increase.
But keep in mind, the market is dynamic—don’t be caught up in FOMO, stay safe, keep calm, and always remember that anything can happen in the crypto market.
Always manage your risks, and as always, that’s all for today’s crypto update. I’m Akki, signing off. Have a nice day.
LTCUSD ( INSIDE DESCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )LTCUSD
HELLO TRADERS
inside sensitive area between two turning level , currently it will be attempt to reach turning level (2) .
Tendency, the price inside sensitive are between two turning level around 61.61 and 55.90 .
Upward Zone : in order see increase , if the price corrective turning level (2) and stabilizing above this level should be trying to reach turning level (1) at 61.61 , to confirm up trading , the price will be breaking turning level (1) to reach resistance level (1) at 65.88 , after by closing 4h candle above it reach a resistance level (2) at 68.41 .
Downward Zone: by breaking turning level (2) at 55.90 , the price should be trying to reach support level (1) 49.77 , after stabilizing below this level could further support to reach of as next level at 47.45 .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 65.88 ,68.41 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 49.77 , 47.45 .
DOGEUSDT ( REMAIN ABOVE TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )DOGEUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
in the last chart as mentioned if the price breaking turning level active the upward trending , currently price remain above a turning level .
Tendency, the price trading above turning level at 0.099, this makes the upward direction active.
Upward Zone : currently the price remain turning level at 0.099 , until the price trading above this level we can see strong upward trending to reach resistance level (1) at 0.115 , then by closing 4h candle above it reach resistance level (2) at 0.128 .
Downward Zone: by breaking turning level around 0.099 , the price dropping to reach a support level (1) at 0.091 , to confirm downward , the price need breaking 0.091 by open 4h candle below it to reach a support level (2) at 0.080 .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.0115 , 0.128 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.091 , 0.080 .
BTCUSD ( UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE ) ( 4h )BTCUSD
HELLO TRADERS
after the price of bitcoin breakout the support trendline, currently again likely towards to reach this trend line , know trading above turning level around 58,152 .
Tendency, the price is under bullish pressure , until trading above turning level around 58,152
Upward Zone: As long as the price stays above the turning level at 58,152 , bitcoin is likely to rising towards resistance level (1) at 62,212 . If a 4-hour candle closes above this level , it could push further to 65,753 . Once the price stabilizes above the resistance level (2) around 65,753, we might witness to reach resistance level (3) at 69,500 .
Downward Zone: by breaking turning level around 58,152, it suggests a decline towards support level (1) at 54,665, confirming a downward trend. If the price stabilizes or stays below this level, there is a strong likelihood of reaching the support level (2) around 51,260 or possibly even lower .
CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at
58,152 before rising .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 62,212 , 65,753 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 54,665 , 51,260 .
Trading Analysis and Prediction for BTCUSD at $60,736### Trading Analysis and Prediction for BTCUSD at $60,036
**Current Market Overview:**
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $60,036, experiencing a robust upward momentum as it continues to recover from recent market fluctuations. The cryptocurrency market is seeing renewed interest from institutional investors and increased adoption in various sectors, contributing to the ongoing bullish trend.
**Technical Analysis:**
The BTCUSD pair has successfully broken through key resistance levels at $58,000 and $59,500, signaling strong buyer interest. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 70, indicating that Bitcoin is in overbought territory, but not yet showing signs of a significant reversal. Moving averages (MA) on the 50-day and 200-day charts are showing a bullish crossover, further supporting the continuation of the upward trend.
**Support and Resistance Levels:**
- **Immediate Support:** $58,000 - A break below this level could signal short-term bearishness, potentially leading to a dip towards $55,000.
- **Immediate Resistance:** $61,500 - This level has been tested multiple times and may act as a psychological barrier. A decisive break above could lead to a swift move towards $65,000.
**Anticipated Trading Direction:**
Given the current technical indicators and market sentiment, BTCUSD is likely to continue its bullish trajectory, with potential short-term corrections. The market is expected to test the $61,500 resistance in the coming days. If the price breaks above this level with high volume, the next target would be $65,000.
**Objective Trading Strategy:**
1. **Long Position:** Traders should consider entering a long position around the current price level ($60,036), with a stop-loss set slightly below the $58,000 support level. The target for this trade would be $65,000, with a potential extension to $68,000 if market conditions remain favorable.
2. **Risk Management:** It's crucial to monitor the RSI and volume closely. If RSI begins to diverge negatively or if there’s a significant drop in volume, traders should consider tightening stop-loss orders or taking partial profits.
3. **Alternative Strategy (Short-Term Correction):** In case of a failure to break above $61,500, traders may look for short-term bearish setups. A short position could be considered if the price drops below $58,000, targeting $55,000, with a tight stop-loss around $59,000 to manage risk.
**Conclusion:**
Bitcoin is currently positioned for continued growth, but traders should remain vigilant of key resistance levels and potential short-term corrections. Employing a strategic approach with well-placed stop-losses and considering both bullish and bearish scenarios will provide the best opportunities for capitalizing on the current BTCUSD market trends.
NOTUSDT ( INSIDE DESCENDING CHANNEL ) (4H)NOTUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price inside two turning level at 0.013 & 0.015 .
TURNING LEVEL (1) : the price of this level at 0.015 , so if the price breaking this level reach a resistance level (1) .
TURNING LEVEL (2) : the price of this level at 0.013 , so if the price breaking this level reach a support level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : this level around 0.017 , for reach this resistance level the price need breaking a turning level (1) .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 0.020, for reach this level it will be breaking by open 4h or 1h candle above resistance level (1)
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : this level around 0.009, for reach this support level the price need breaking a turning level (2) .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : support level at 0.005 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : currently price 0.1353 , have two scenario , first corrective 0.15, before dropping to touch a 0.13 , then 0.009, second corrective 0.013 to reach a 0.015 , then breaking this level reach a resistance level (1).
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.017 , 0.020 ,
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.009 , 0.005 .
XRPUSDT ( BETWEEN TWO TURNING LEVEL ) (4H)XRPUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
price of BINANCE:XRPUSDT inside sensitive area between two turning level , currently it will be attempt to reach turning level (2) .
Tendency, the price inside sensitive are between two turning level around 0.5822 and 0.6184 .
Upward Zone : in order see increase , if the price corrective turning level (2) and stabilizing above this level should be trying to reach turning level (1) at 0.61844 , to confirm up trading , the price will be breaking turning level (1) to reach resistance level (1) at 0.6508 , after by closing 4h candle above it reach a resistance level (2) at 0.6939 .
Downward Zone: by breaking turning level (2) at 0.5822 , the price should be trying to reach support level (1) 0.5595 , after stabilizing below this level could further support to reach of as next level at 0.5144 .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.6508 , 0.6939 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.5595 , 0.5144 .
DOGEUSDT ( STABILIZING BELOW TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )DOGEUSDT
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level at 0.102 .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of this level at 0.102 , so until the price trade below this level indicates likely to reach a support level (1) , but if the breaking by open 4h candle above this level reach a resistance level (1) .
RESISTANCE ZONE : this zone between 0.115 and 0.128 , in order to see this zone the price need breaking turning level at 0.102 , breaking this price indicates an increase and reaching the resistance level (1) at 0.115 , then stabilizing above resistance level (1) likely to reach of a resistance level (2) at 0.128 , after breaking this zone it will be attempt to reach resistance level (3) at 0.141 , selling have already increase in this zone .
SUPPORT ZONE : this zone between 0.091 & 0.080 , until the price trading below turning level or stabilizing below this level indicates to reach of a support level (1) at 0.091 , by open 4h or 1h candle below support level (1) , it indicates to reaching support level (2) around 0.080
CORRECTIVE : the price corrective at 0.102, before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.56 , 0.61 , 0.65 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.44 , 0.39 .
BTCUSD: 60K Drop! Fear Index at 34 - What's Next?GM guys, happy weekend... or not, as BTC dropped to 60K. This morning, the fear and greed index is still in the fear zone at 34, and the stoch RSI is still in the oversold area.
BTC has finally revisited the 60K area as I mentioned in yesterday’s market update. My personal market outlook suggests a low probability of BTC dropping below 60K, but in the crypto market, anything is possible, so a deeper drop is still on the table.
However, as usual, when the fear and greed index is in the fear zone, it usually doesn’t take long for the market to pump again, at least until the index reaches neutral before possibly dumping again, or continuing to pump until it hits greed.
Keep in mind the market is dynamic. Don’t be FOMO, stay safe, keep calm. Remember, nothing is impossible in the crypto market right now. Anything can happen, even the impossible. Always maintain risk, and as always, that’s the crypto update for today.
I’m Akki, one chart. Have a nice day.
SOLANA/USD Bearish in a bullish Consolidation:War+RecessionAs the Russians and Ukr. are facing to end the war,another war, in the middle east is starting:Irand vs Israel As well strategically as economically and politicially this zone of our planet is ruling all economies around the world:Oil,Gas,International trades and very important strategical zones:The survival of the world is dependent on the middle east.The middle east is the heart and ouls of the world.
Also the very negative NFP last Friday confirming that recission will come.And All this factors will increase the pain and suffer of the stock markets,FOREX and ofcourse Crypto currencies.
As Solana is now for many months in a big consolidation range we can use this situations to generate profitable situations with high probabilities:The markets tend to consolidate 70% of times. The probability the we will have an uptrend is 15%,and bear trend also 15%.So why not to use the 70% probabilitiy?
As the trend is currently long,meaning the ranges are stepping higher, the dangerouse zone for the bulls is the,,negative CRV Target,,,in green colour!
There the Bulls will face the increased risk,to add postions, or the profit portential of holding long trades is nealy zero,becuaz the bears take control.
This stage is high potential Short entry for the bears,but also taking profit area optimally for the bulls.
As we can see eachtime the market met this zone, many false breakouts (white circles) have been generated, the bears started to ride down the trend to ,,Target Negative CRV,,,in ORANGE: There the bears closed their positions and took profits,or also the bulls who hedged their positions short at around 190-205 clsoedtheir hedge positions and added more long positions at around 117-124.
The current stage of the market ,Close below FBA,, is where we are right now. The bears still in control,the market closed below that zone and opened immediately lower.The probabiliy that the bears will force solana to 120 zone is increasing.
Remember we are bearish in a bullish trend!
Where do the bulls lose total control?
This will happen,if the market closes 3Days in row below 117,and a bullish impulse or pullback to 117 or above 117 will not be successfull:That means if the bear immediately react and send down Solana forcefully below 117.This is ultimate confirmation that Bearish trend has started and Solana will fall very deep.
If the impulse overcomes 117 and continues above 125+Close,then Solana will go back to 190-208 area again.As long as Solana can saty above 180.85 Solana will try to break above this range.Once it falls back, the game repeats