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ETH: Buying in the DipCME: Micro Ether Futures ( CME:MET1! ), #microfutures On May 22nd, #Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of $111,814. The king of cryptos rallied as bullish sentiment built up behind the most pro-crypto U.S. administration. As of last Friday, bitcoin realized a one-year return of +90.8%. For comparison, holding S&P 500 only yields 11.8% for a year, even after the US stock index made its ATH last week. Meanwhile, #Ethereum, second only to Bitcoin in the cryptocurrency world, experienced a dramatic decline in 2025. ETH is currently trading around $2,500, down 40% since December. It is a far cry from its ATH of $4,815 on November 9, 2021. Why Is Ethereum (ETH) Falling? The most significant challenge facing Ethereum is the proliferation of Layer 2 scaling solutions. Networks such as Arbitrum, Base, and Optimism were developed to address Ethereum's scalability issues, but they've created a revenue problem for the main chain. When users conduct transactions on these Layer 2 networks, transaction fees flow to third-party organizations rather than to the Ethereum network itself. Revenue diversion has weakened Ethereum's economic model. Ethereum could counter the revenue erosion by implementing a fee on Layer 2 transactions. However, it would undermine the very purpose of these networks. Layer 2 solutions were designed specifically to reduce transaction costs by processing operations off-chain and submitting only batched results to the main network. Adding fees would increase costs and diminish their competitive advantage. Increased competition in the blockchain space has further eroded Ethereum’s dominance. Investors have been withdrawing funds from Ethereum and redirecting them to competing projects with potentially better returns or technological advantages. Future Outlook Ethereum’s path forward appears challenging. While the platform still hosts thousands of decentralized applications and maintains a large developer community, its economic model is under pressure from multiple directions. Without finding new ways to generate value, Ethereum may continue to lose market share to more nimble competitors. The platform’s supporters point to upcoming technical improvements and the maturation of the proof-of-stake consensus mechanism as potential catalysts for recovery. The recent approval of staking enabled ETF for Ethereum in Hong Kong is one of the ways forward. However, with increasing competitive pressures, Ethereum faces an uphill battle to reclaim its former status as the undisputed leader in smart contract platforms. While the future remains challenging, Ethereum still has upside potential at the current price level. As ETH dropped below $1,500 in April, bargain hunters came in to scoop it up. As a result, ETH had a spectacular rebound of 70% in the last three months, outrunning Bitcoin’s 25% gain for the same period. There are over 17,000 cryptocurrencies in existence, according to Coin Gecko. However, only a handful of them have proven to have a lasting investment value. We could refer to Bitcoin and Ethereum as the digital form of Gold and Silver. Historical trend shows that the spike in gold prices would likely prompts investors to buy silver at a lower cost, helping maintain a stable Gold/Silver price ratio. The same could be true for the BTC/ETH relationship. For extensive reading, please refer to my Editors’ Picks, The Gold-Silver Ratio Explained, published on TradingView on April 28th. Recent regulations on #stablecoins in the US and Hong Kong are good news to the crypto space. It legitimates crypto offerings from mainstream financial institutions. Bitcoin is positioned for another big lift as investors reallocate assets into cryptos. On July 4th, President Trump signed into law the “Big and Beautiful Bill”. Above all, this massive package funds deficit spending and raises the national debit by $5 trillion. While we will carry the debt burden for many years, in the short run, injecting huge liquidity into the economy and the financial market would pop up asset prices. The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that, as of June 24th, the total open interest for Micro Ether futures are 128,500 contracts. • Leverage Fund has 94,167 in long, 112,442 in short, and 1,854 in spreading • The long-short ratio of 0.84 does not provide a good indication of what the “Smart Money” views about Ethereum. In summary, I hold the view that ETH may regain ground above 3,300 before year end. Investors sharing this bullish view could explore CME’s Micro Ether Futures ( NYSE:MET ). Long Futures with Stop Loss Last Friday, the August Ether Futures contract (METQ5) was settled at 2,518. Each contract has a notional value of 0.1 ETH, or a market value of $251.8. To buy or sell 1 contract, a trader is required to post an initial margin of $84. The margining requirement reflects a built-in leverage of 3-to-1. It’s cost-effective to invest with CME MET futures, vs. buying ETH from the spot market. Let’s use a hypothetical trade to illustrate how the long futures with stop loss strategy would compare with buying spot ETH. Hypothetical Trade: • Buy 1 METQ5 contract at 2,518, and set a stop loss at 2,400 • Trader pays $84 for initial margin High Price Scenario: Ethereum rises to $3,000 • Futures gain will be $48.2 (= (3000-2518) x 0.1) • Futures return will be +57.4% (= 48.2 / 84) • This compares to a 19.1% for investing in spot ETH. (= (3000 /2518) – 1) Low Price Scenario: Ethereum drops to $2,000 • Futures stop loss at 2,400, and the maximum loss is $11.8 (= (2518-2400) x 0.1) • Futures return will be -14% (=11.8 /84) • This compares to a 20.6% loss for investing in spot ETH. (= (2000 /2518) – 1) The above scenarios show that • When ETH goes up, futures will have higher returns due to its leverage nature. • When ETH falls, the stoploss will kick in to reduce losses. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME:MBT1!Long
by JimHuangChicago
XAU/USD Double Bottom Breakout Bullish Momentum Incoming!XAU/USD Double Bottom Breakout 💥 | 🚀 Bullish Momentum Incoming! Analysis: 🟡 Double Bottom Pattern: Two clear lows have formed around the $3,340 support, signaling a potential reversal. 🟦 Accumulation Zone: The price consolidated in a range, indicating strong buying interest before the breakout. 🟣 Bullish Momentum: Recent aggressive bullish candles show strong buying pressure. 📈 Breakout & Retest Zone: If the price holds above $3,370, a bullish continuation toward $3,409 and possibly $3,445 is expected. 🧭 Target Area: Marked with a blue box, the upside potential is clearly projected. Conclusion: A successful retest of the breakout level may lead to a strong bullish run. Keep an eye on $3,370 as the pivot zone. 🎯
OLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
Wings of Opportunity: LINK’s Harmonic Setup Unfolding🦋 Title: A Butterfly on the Edge – But Only with Confirmation On the 2H timeframe, a Bullish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is unfolding. The wave structure (X → A → B → C → D) aligns closely with harmonic principles, and point D lies above X, within the 1.27 to 1.618 Fibonacci extension of XA — reinforcing the pattern’s validity. 📌 No entry has been triggered yet. We are currently waiting for price to break and hold above the key resistance at 13.60 to confirm the bullish scenario. 🔹 Bullish Scenario (our primary and preferred outlook): Given the strong reaction around the 12.74 demand zone and the harmonic structure completion, we are primarily focused on a long opportunity, if and only if confirmation is achieved above 13.60. 📥 Entry Zone: 13.05 – 13.65 🎯 Target 1: 17.94 🎯 Target 2: 18.76 🛑 Stop-Loss: Below 12.74 (structural invalidation) 🔻 Alternative Bearish Scenario: If price fails to break 13.60 and instead loses the 12.74 support, the bullish setup becomes invalid, and the market could enter a deeper correction phase. Potential downside targets in that case: 📉 11.80 📉 10.90 – 10.30 (if bearish momentum continues) 📊 Risk Management Notes: Position sizing should not exceed 1% of total capital Avoid early entries before confirmation Prefer partial entries after breakout and retest Stick to the invalidation level strictly 📈 While both scenarios are on the table, we are currently favoring the bullish setup, as long as price action supports it. Discipline and patience are key — confirmation first, trade second.
by TrendShot
Crypto Market Completes A Correction Within Bullish TrendGood morning Crypto traders! We got a nice bounce and recovery in the Crypto market along with stock market rally after US President Donald Trump announced that Iran and Israel had agreed to a ceasefire, calling the conflict “The 12-Day War.”. Crypto TOTAL market cap chart now shows that correction is completed, support is in place and bulls back, so more upside can be seen in upcoming days/weeks, just be aware of short-term intraday pullbacks.
CLong
by ew-forecast
Bitcoin Is Looking For A Bullish ContinuationMorning all! Bitcoin has impulsive characteristics on 4h time frame, and we can clearly see five waves up that can send the price even higher after recent projected ABC correction. With the current impulsive recovery back above 106k area, it confirms that bulls are still here and we should be aware of further rally in July, especially if breaks above channel resistance line near 110k area. Seems like it's in wave (1) of a new five-wave bullish impulse, so after current wave (2) pullback, we can expect more gains within wave (3).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ew-forecast
USDT.D Showing Signs of Bounce – Altseason at Risk?USDT Dominance is still moving within a rising parallel channel, holding just above the nearest support zone. After a brief dip, price is now showing signs of recovery from the lower boundary of the channel. However, the key resistance zone near the top of the channel has proven tough to break — it rejected price on the last attempt. Until we get a clear breakout or breakdown from this channel structure, the market may remain choppy. A breakout above 5.00% could signal risk-off sentiment (bad for alts), while a drop below the support zone may trigger altcoin momentum. Stay cautious — the market is still undecided.
CLong
by unichartz
OTHERS data points to biggest ALT-Season Good Day Investors and traders, This the OTHERS on the weekly and I have taken some measured moves in what could be expected in time and price. The OTHERS chart in my opinion is the last form of the higher risk curve which generally happens at the very end of cycles The others does not include the top ten crypto, so it a very good form of risk on. I have been looking at the OTHERS chart fairly often of recent times because this is the time for it to really outshine Bitcoin and lead the market with fairly explosive gains. I have marked a couple of possible time lines that could occur and both seem to be lining up in sort of way or another. From what I can see, others has one big wave remaining, and it’s the one you don’t want to miss The Indicators Fibonacci retracement I have placed a potential take profit zone from the 1.272 to the 1.618 levels and anywhere in between. I have added an up trending channel that OTHERS would have to hold to stay somewhat relevant or then could be susceptible to adjustment. 2.RSI I have measured the first breakout of the RSI from the 2015-17 and 2019-21 bull runs along with this one so far. The one more relevant to us is 2015-17 as this is the cycle we are more closely following. There seems to be a recurring trend of 90 plus bars before a top to OTHERS. One more thing that really stands out to me in the RSI this the first time it has shown a very strong bearish divergence. normally it seems to maintain or gain strength. right to the very end. time will reveal the real issue here. 3. ISO The average sentiment oscillator to also show very consistent data for us. I have two measurements. The one points to late July and the the other late October. To me this could be the potential ALT-season time frame from July as it fizzles in the October time frame. My suggestion to you is follow what you have been taught so far, do not get greedy, take profits when they are there and trust your game plan and stick to it. ALT- SEASON can you a lot of money, or lose you a lot of money. By design, its there to take any profits you have may have, or catch any late coming stragglers. Don’t get caught up in the hoopla. Once again, I ask you for you input, I really want to hear from you. Check my bio for more links and information Kind regards, WeAreSat0shi
CLong
by WeAreSat0shi
5
Stablecoins will Supercharge Cryptos AdoptionCME: Micro Bitcoin Futures ( CME:MBT1! ), #microfutures On June 5th, Circle Internet Group ( NYSE:CRCL ), issuer of the #USDC #stablecoin, debuted its initial public offering at $31 per share. By June 23rd, NYSE:CRCL prices peaked at $298.99, up nearly ten folds in just 13 trading days. At Friday's closing of $180.43, Circle has a market cap at $40.2 billion. Wall Street gave a mindboggling price earnings ratio of 234, based on Circle’s $0.77 earnings per share. How to Invest in Stablecoins Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies that aim to maintain price stability. Both USDC and #USDT (issued by #Tether) peg their value to the US dollar. Paying $1 for 1 stablecoin, you will get exactly $1 back in one month, one year, or ten years. Unlike buying Bitcoin, there is no investment return for holding stablecoins. So why would anyone want them? Because stablecoins are not investment instruments, instead, they are payment methods. Like PayPal and Apple Pay, USDT and USDC enable users to move money fast and cheaply globally, but now in the crypto world. How do stablecoin issuers make money? They generate revenue through interest on reserves, transaction fees, lending, and partnerships with financial institutions. • The biggest source of revenue is interest income. When it comes to stablecoin issuers, size matters, and the Fed matters. • Based on a study by Artemis, Castle Island Ventures, and Dragonfly on May 29th, USDT and USDC have a combined market capitalization of over $214 billion. • With the Fed Funds rate averaging above 5% last year, the $214 billion reserve investing in Treasury and other high-quality bonds could yield at least $12 billion between Tether and Circle. • Tether reported 2024 profit of $13 billion, while Circle generated $1.68 billion last year. Investing in stablecoins means buying Circle stock, not converting cash into USDC. The difference is like buying Apple stock vs. adding money in your Apple Pay account. Headwinds and Tailwinds On June 17th, the US Senate passed the GENIUS Act of 2025. It establishes a regulatory framework for the $250 billion market for stablecoins. “Stablecoins are a paradigm-shifting development that can bring our payment system into the 21st century", declared Sen. Bill Hagerty of Tennessee, who introduced the bill. With regulatory certainty, real-world utility and adoption will quickly follow. The future for stablecoins is very bright, and I expect the market size to double soon. However, market leaders Tether and Circle both face strong headwinds going forward. • Real world utility brings in fierce competition. Big banks and credit card issuers will create their own stablecoins to keep customers on the book. This will slow down Tether’s and Circle’s efforts to attract mainstream financial investors. • I expect the Fed to cut interest rates by a lot during the remaining 3-1/2 years of the Trump Administration. Some cuts will happen under the current Fed Chair. A lot more will come by his successor beginning June 2026. Lowering interest rates by 100-200 basis points will cripple stablecoin issuers’ main income. In my opinion, the high dependency in growth and interest rate policies make NYSE:CRCL a very risky investment at the current lofty valuation. Bullish Signal for Bitcoin In the past, stablecoins were mainly used by crypto investors. Going forward, mainstream investors will find compelling offerings from their banks, stockbrokers and credit card companies. When mainstream financial intermediaries begin making serious inroad into cryptos, there will be a paradigm shift. In my opinion, the new development in stablecoins will supercharge the growth of crypto market size. Bitcoin, being well established as a Digital Gold, will benefit the most from the global asset reallocation to cryptocurrencies. An investor sharing a bullish view on bitcoin could explore the CME Micro Bitcoin Futures ( LSE:MBT ). Last Friday, the August MBT contract (BTCQ5) was settled at 108,640. Each contract has a notional value of 0.1 bitcoin, or a market value of $10,864. To buy or sell 1 contract, trader is required to post an initial margin of $2,598. The margining requirement reflects a built-in leverage of 4-to-1, which is more cost-effective that buying bitcoins from any ETF fund. A long MTC strategy with a stop-loss would enhance the returns while limiting the potential losses. Below is a hypothetical trade for illustration purposes only: On Day T+0, buy 1 BTCQ5 at 108,640 and set a stop loss at 105,000 • The portfolio value is 10,864 • Upfront margin is $2,598 Rising Bitcoin Scenario: On Day T+N, Bitcoin goes up 20% to $130,368 • Futures gain will be $2,172.8 (= (130368-108640) x 0.1) • Investment return will be +86.6% (= 2172.8 / 2598), excluding transaction fees • This compares to a 20% gain with bitcoin ETF, with no leverage Falling Bitcoin Scenario: On Day T+N, Bitcoin drops 20% to $86,912 • With a stop-loss at 105,000, losses will be capped at $364 (= (108640-105000) x 0.1) • Investment return will be -14% (= -364 / 2598) • This compares to a 20% loss with bitcoin ETF, with no stoploss provision Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME:MBT1!Long
by JimHuangChicago
BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Weekly Elliott Wave StructureIn this video, we analyze the weekly chart of Bitcoin ( BYBIT:BTCUSDT ) using Elliott Wave theory. The current structure suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse (waves 0, 1, and 2) following a clearly completed and technically correct corrective phase. We explore potential impulsive scenarios starting from wave 2, using Fibonacci extensions to project possible targets and identifying key support zones and invalidation levels. This analysis aims to provide a macro perspective based on price action, helpful for traders and investors following BTC from a medium- to long-term technical view. 🛑 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Each user is responsible for their own trading decisions.
Long
by Zky17
Buying Reploy AI (RAI) Today Is Like Buying Bitcoin at $345Buying Reploy AI (RAI) Today Is Like Buying Bitcoin at $345—Or Even $3.45 Imagine going back in time to 2016 and buying Bitcoin at $345. Most people didn’t believe in it. They thought it was too risky, too early, or just plain irrelevant. Today, Bitcoin is trading in the six figures. The opportunity was historic. Now, there’s another chance brewing—and it’s quietly sitting in front of us. That opportunity is Reploy AI ($RAI). 🚀 What is Reploy AI? Reploy AI is a micro-cap artificial intelligence (AI) project focused on decentralizing the compute layer that powers AI training and inference. It’s building a distributed AI network that connects GPU resources with developers and businesses in need of scalable AI infrastructure. Think of it as the decentralized AWS + OpenAI — built from the ground up for speed, accessibility, and equity. It’s early. But the fundamentals, vision, and market positioning are explosive. 💰 Let’s Talk Numbers: The Bitcoin Comparison Right now, Reploy AI ($RAI) trades at a tiny market cap—roughly $3 million at the time of writing. If $RAI hits a $1 billion market cap, that’s a 31,000% return. Yes, 31,000% — not a typo. That’s a 310x gain. That would be like buying Bitcoin at $345, before it ran to over $100,000. If $RAI grows into a $10 billion AI ecosystem, it would be like snagging Bitcoin at just $3.45. Let that sink in. 🌐 Why This Could Actually Happen AI Is the Next Internet The world is undergoing an AI revolution. But centralized giants (like OpenAI and Google) dominate access. Reploy offers a decentralized, censorship-resistant alternative — and the market desperately needs it. Micro Cap = Maximum Asymmetry Unlike hyped-up billion-dollar AI tokens, Reploy is still undiscovered. Small caps like this can explode with just one partnership, listing, or viral catalyst. Strong Tokenomics & Ecosystem Design RAI has a deflationary supply structure, utility-driven demand, and real infrastructure use cases tied to decentralized compute, developer tooling, and enterprise deployment. It’s Not Just Hype. It’s Being Built. Reploy isn’t vaporware. The team is shipping code. The platform is live. And the network of compute contributors is growing. ⚠️ Of Course, This Is Risky Yes, it’s still early. Yes, micro-cap tokens carry real risk. But so did Bitcoin when it was $345. So did Ethereum when it was $7. The difference is this: most people only see opportunity when it’s already gone. This isn’t financial advice. But if you’ve ever wished for a second shot at catching a generational trend early—this might be it. 🧠 Final Thought In crypto, the biggest returns come from spotting the future before it’s obvious. Buying $RAI at today’s price could be your version of buying CRYPTOCAP:BTC at $345—or even $3.45. The only question is: will you see it in time? 📈 DYOR. Stay sharp. Think long-term. And don’t miss what might be the next breakout in AI + crypto.
Long
by DanOxAm
2
Bitcoin Bounced Right Where It ShouldBitcoin continues to respect the script — breakout, clean retest, and now holding strong. The 50 EMA has been a reliable dynamic support throughout the entire uptrend, and once again, it helped catch the recent dip. Price has now successfully retested the breakout zone and is starting to bounce. Structure looks healthy, momentum is building, and unless the support fails, the next leg up could be just around the corner. Simple setups. No noise. Just trend. DYOR, NFA
Long
by unichartz
7
Major Move Ahead for ADA – Breakout or Breakdown? 🔍 ADA/USDT Analysis – Dual Scenario Setup (BUY & SELL) Currently, ADA is ranging between major supply and demand zones. Two clear scenarios are in play depending on how price reacts to key levels: 📈 Bullish Scenario (Long): Entry: On breakout and confirmation above $0.6027 Target: $0.869 (major resistance zone) Stop Loss: Below $0.523 Trigger: Break of descending trendline and solid structure above $0.6027 📉 Bearish Scenario (Short): Entry: Around $0.5120 (rejection from supply zone) Target: $0.315 (strong demand zone) Stop Loss: Above $0.6027 Trigger: Failed breakout and rejection from $0.5120 level, with confirmation below it 📌 Based on the descending channel structure, this might have been the final leg of the downtrend, and a reversal to the upside could be underway. However, for confirmation, we prefer to wait for stronger price action signals before fully committing. 🛑 Always use risk management. Market remains bearish until proven otherwise.
by TrendShot
BTC 120K READY ???BTC 4H Chart Update 📉📈 Bitcoin is still trading inside a descending channel, but bulls are now testing the upper trendline for a potential breakout. Price is consolidating just below $107K, showing strength after the recent bounce from the bottom of the channel. 🔹 Structure: Descending Channel 🔹 Current Resistance: $107K–$110K zone 🔹 Break & close above = bullish breakout confirmation 🔹 If breakout and close above 110k than this target possible 🔹 Target after breakout: $112K-120K+ ⚠️ Rejection = pullback likely toward $103K–$104K support 📊 Breakout or breakdown — decision time is near! #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutSetup
Long
by arztraderofficial
SatochiTrader Expecting a huge BTC CRASH AFTER This..BTC Market Update by SatochiTrader EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND. Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash. This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well. We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections. A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone. Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't. The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview. This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC. Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
Short
by SatochiTrader
1