AXSUSD: 1D MA50 rejection within the Channel Down. Bullish aboveAXSUSD is testing now the 1D MA50, which is sitting a little under the top of the prolonged Channel Down pattern that began at the start of the year. The 1D technical outlook is neutral (RSI = 46.158, MACD = -0.240, ADX = 38.786) meaning that a crossing over the top of the Channel Down will turn the trend bullish but as long as the price stays inside it, it is bearish.
This might be a rejection similar to May 17th, which dropped to a Fibonacci 2.0 Lower Low. For now we are bearish, targeting the respective Fibonacci 2.0 (TP = 3.1500). If on the contrary it breaks above the Channel Down we will buy and target the 1D MA200 (TP = 6.3500).
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Cryptos
Polkadot (DOT) Falls to Lowest Weekly Close Since 2020Polkadot (DOT) recently experienced a significant breakdown as it fell below the crucial $4.20 support level, marking its lowest weekly close since 2020. This decline has raised concerns among investors and analysts alike.
DOT has been following a bearish trajectory since reaching its yearly high of $7.90 in February 2023. It slid below the $4.20 support level, which had held since the beginning of the year. Such breakdowns from long-standing support levels often trigger substantial declines.
The conjunction of this support area and a descending resistance line has formed a descending triangle, a bearish pattern that underscores the breakdown and hints at the possibility of further losses.
Potential scenarios
If the downtrend persists, DOT's price could potentially drop by another 50%, reaching the $2 horizontal support area, aligning with its all-time lows from August 2020.
However, if DOT manages to reclaim the $4.20 area and break free from the descending resistance line, it could trigger an impressive 85% price surge toward the $7.50 resistance area.
The weekly Ultimate Oscillator, a momentum indicator used to determine overbought or oversold conditions, supports the prevailing downtrend, with readings below 50 and a declining trend considered bearish signals.
Bottom Line: Despite the bearish predictions for DOT, a potential breakout from the channel and the $4.40 area could pave the way for an 85% surge toward the $7.50 resistance region.
BTCUSD: Is the new rally to +30k about to start?Bitcoin is on the second green 1D candle in a row trading on neutral 1D technicals (RSI = 46.543, MACD = -510.500, ADX = 23.740) despite being at the bottom of the 2 month downtrend, almost on S1 (24,800), which was the June 15th low.
There is a significant bullish divergence on the 1D RSI being on HL as opposed to the candles being on an LL trendline. This is an early buy opportunity that will be confirmed when the price closes the first 1D candle over the 1D MA50 (hasn't done so since August 1st). As you can see, this structure is very symmetrical to May-June.
We will buy the breakout and target the HH trendline (TP = 32,500).
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KASUSD: Above the 1D MA50, confirmed new rally.KASUSD crossed over the 1D MA50, which has been the Resistance last week, and on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.474, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 30.066) is extending the rise after making on September 5th a bottom on the long term Channel Up. The technical target is the 2.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 0.10500).
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ETHUSD Oversold and at the bottom of the Channel Down. Bullish.Ethereum is technically oversold on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 27.808, MACD = -41.850, ADX = 34.405) and is approaching the bottom of the Channel Down pattern since April. This is a strong buy opportunity, with the upward reach potentially able to extend to a +24.90% rise from the bottom. Buy and TP = 1900.
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BTCUSD Buy a break above the 1hour MA200.Bitcoin / BTCUSD has been consolidating since the Greyscale pump.
The pre pump Support is still holding and the Fibonacci retracement levels offer a strong sense of the Resistance levels.
The 1hour RSI displays the same Bullish Divergence on a Rising Support as the pre Greyscale pump.
Buy when the price crosses over the 1hour MA200 and target 28000.
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Is BTC Headed to 2019 Bear Market Lows - SHORT -85%?In this video analysis, we dive deep into the current state of Bitcoin's price action. We'll explore the critical M formation that emerged in June 2021 and how Bitcoin is currently resisting its lower boundary. We'll also discuss the ongoing corrective b-wave within the larger wave C, examining potential upside targets.
Join us as we analyze key support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracements, and Elliott Wave Theory to provide insights into where Bitcoin might be headed next. Our target zone of interest? The 2019 bear market lows, situated between $3,000 and $4,900, which aligns with the 1.618 to 1.272 Fibonacci levels of the preceding wave a.
Stay ahead of the cryptocurrency market trends with our in-depth technical analysis. Don't miss this opportunity to gain a comprehensive understanding of Bitcoin's potential price movements and make informed trading decisions.
BTCUSD: This MA Cross may be a bottom signal. $32k target.Bitcoin has been on an almost 20 day consolidation (excluding the Greyscale bounce) with the 1H technicals neutral (RSI = 50.047, MACD = -22.300, ADX = 23.021) during most of this time. This is an excellent framework for short term scalping while on the long term potentially hints to a bottom formation on the HL trendline of the long term Channel Up pattern.
Additionally, the 1D MA50/100 Cross that was formed four days ago, was a bottom signal last time it was formed (June 15th). Keep a tight SL below the Channel Up and target near the top of the pattern (TP = 32,000).
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LPT/USDT will move to 7.70-7.90 Soon.Based on the Price Action Analysis, BINANCE:LPTUSDT has a Target to go to 7,70-7,90 Ranges in the upcoming days. I have done the analysis myself, and we are now still in the correction Area, once it's done, we will reach the target in an impulsive way.
Inshallah.
Possible Bottoming pattern forming It is very much possible that Bitcoin is forming a bottom as we speak , we have just had that distribution uptrust after a big move down where everyone thinks its going to reverse and then it comes back into range then everyone panics its going lower.
But really what happens is far more boring , we go back into a range for a breakout later when everyone been rekt both ways.
This bottom pattern appears in many different time frames , the larger the timeframe the bigger the move.
If we do breakdown further , CME gap at 20k is likely to close
Ethereum is eyeing $1500 support with A-B-C dropETHUSD made a nice bullish run this year from 1063; a move that can be counted in five waves so we will be expecting more gains after a pullback that is still underway after current intraday drop below 1600. We see ETH now in a downward complex correction; ideally, a flat meaning there can still be a recovery from the near-term support. 1500 area certainly looks very interesting for completion of a five-wave drop in (C) wave, so more short-term weakness is possible after a current rally in subwave four. A rise above 1798 will invalidate the current bearish impulse for C, but on the other hand it will confirm the bullish turn.
Strong support is at 1500.
GH
Ethereum Update on 05/08/2023There will be a buy/long opportunity for ETH. Focus on buy zone and 200 DMA.
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Trading Lesson 👨🏫#2 - Understanding Consolidations in CryptoIn today's lesson I will explain the difference in consolidations.
Some of you are new to the market and are probably wondering what's happening exactly when it's not moving in price and when it's moving down more than up but would later return to the last price it was.
Well to best answer that question.
It's called consolidation:
It's a thing that happens in the crypto market where waves of prices fluctuate up and down calculating the sells and buys of the market until it meets a point of exit - after consolidating the actual price of the market you're in, and only has two places it can go.
There are two types of consolidation.
The first is where it does a price correction where you have rapid 📉drops or rapid 📈rises.
An lastly is a repeated wave🏄🏼♀️ that can run in the same location for a few hours, sometimes days, give or take how many orders were made within the past few minutes - hours - days - weeks or months.
Consider it like a balloon🎈 being blown into until it 💥pops!💥
Now this is where the problem begins - we don't know where it may go once it's done, could go up or down and when that balloon has popped it's rapidly going there. We could see the 0.00002000 - range within a few hours or just see 0.00000900 range within a few minutes, depending on the orders made for shib and the rest of the market as a whole, this can last for days, weeks depending on the amount of buys or sells.
Also note these are when you get the same surprise jumps like we did in 2021. It started off from the 850's and jumped to the 0.00001300 within a day.
However; right behind it, is a price correction waiting for a peak in the returns to meet its end. Once that happens it'll just fall or rise back to where the price actually suppose to be and starting the process all over again.
You may not know it but there are all forms of consolidations on ever chart from 1 minute to 4 hours to 1 day to 12 months.
You're in a consolidation right now and you don't even know it. Like the ones that occur on a weekly chart, This is what I call "a Seasonal Trend" the day, week, or month, is in a seasonal consolidation and is trending high or low.
But note anything can stop a seasonal trend and disrupt the flow of it, but it will continue the process as long as the damage done was not to bad such as major crashes in a seasonal up trend due to outside interferences such as massive sell-offs, regardless it'll still attempt to rise back because it's in a wave that's trending up-word, if the wave was trending down then it would do way more damage than expected.
But the worst thing to do in a consolidation day - is to sell while it's consolidating, the price may not go no higher or no lower, and if you sell while at a low price in a consolidation you will likely lost position and will have to wait for it to finish to get more shares let alone the original shares, that's if it drops, so best to hold while in a consolidation day, at least until closing.
So I hope this answers anyone question as to why your crypto stock of choice is not moving anywhere, it may not move for hours or even days. you'll just have to wait for closing hour to see if it will pop - hopefully on a positive outcome.
So Happy Trading Everyone
Total Crypto Cap Idea For The Rest of the MonthUsing CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL as a guide for the rest of the market, this is what I'm keeping in mind over the next 2 weeks.
On the weekly timeframe we are currently Under the 200 MA which is right around 1.08T
It's highly Likely we close under that on Sunday.
Next week we will look to find support in the range of 1.024T and ~1T.
To the upside I have set an alert at 1.038T
I don't expect too much price action over the weekend.
But in the coming days watch for the death cross(21 and 200) and potential bearish retest on the Daily timeframe.
Waiting game now.
Keeping in mind Super Moon (Bullish) at the end of this month may signal some bullish price action. If that is the case price should bottom over over the next week or so.
Where is Bitcoin going?BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin after the formation of wave C, which passed 138% of wave A, we have to wait for an upward movement, and I have the range of 32000 to 33000 to start in my mind! After that, we will again experience a short downward correction and return to 29900, and after that, I am considering a small upward movement to the final range of 36000, and finally we will go for a semi-heavy fall to... (this is just one It is one of the scenarios in my mind and will be updated if needed)
Bitcoin (Gann Fan Update)Its a very important time for Bitcoin in my opinion , within the next 8-10days we will get a large move above or below the 1/1 Gann , for weeks now we have been holding just under it.
Here is a zoomed in view on the daily.
As you can see we reach this apex 24th of August 2023 , of course its also possible we trickle sideways above the 1/1 but historically breaking the 1/1 on Bitcoin during this part of the cycle we get some type of action.
2015
If we go back and take a look on how price reacted to the 1/1 we can see a lot of violent swings ranging from 25-40%.
2019
This year was had way more reactions to the 1/1 and almost everytime it resulted in fairly large swings , this time ranging 45-60%.
2023
So for this year we have touched 1/1 once and it was the local high of the year , candle closed right on it.
2/1 Gann and Time
The bull market doesn't start until we break and hold support the 2/1 , the last two cycles it has taken about the same time 640days .
So if it repeats Bitcoin would be somewhere around 36500 during this period.
We also know it takes about 750 days from cycle low to reach previous cycle high.
So that would be Bitcoin back at 69k sometime in December 2024.
Conclusion
If the cycle repeats the Bull market will start sometime August 2024 at 36500 and Bitcoin will reach previous cycle high at 69k December 2024 which would then make a new cycle high October 2025.
$ONE Performing Falling wedge in 1D Keep eye on Breakout Falling Wedge
The falling wedge can either be a reversal or continuation signal.
As a reversal signal, it is formed at a bottom of a downtrend, indicating that an uptrend would come next.
As a continuation signal, it is formed during an uptrend, implying that the upward price action would resume. Unlike the rising wedge, the falling wedge is a bullish chart pattern.
In this example, the falling wedge serves as a reversal signal. After a downtrend, the price made lower highs and lower lows.
Notice how the falling trend line connecting the highs is steeper than the trend line connecting the lows.
If we placed an entry order above that falling trend line connecting the pair’s highs, we would’ve been able to jump in on the strong uptrend and caught some pips!
A good upside target would be the height of the wedge formation.
If you want to go for more pips, you can lock in some profits at the target by closing down a portion of your position, then letting the rest of your position ride.
BTCUSD - Still on vacation - Weekly chartSince June, Bitcoin has not been pampering us with its volatility. The bulls slowed down at the first resistance of a very strong supply zone of $31,580 - $35,900 .
It consists of 50% Fibonacci from the downtrend in March 2022 supported by the Price Action zone from May-June 2021. The upper band of this zone is 38.2 Fibonacci measured from the ATH in November 2021 supported by the Price Action from January-February 2022.
The bulls will need a strong impulse to overcome this zone - it will also be a marker for me for the near future how to play the market on lower time frames.
More about this in my next analyses, where I will take a closer look at this situation.
CKB fully control in Buyer
#ckb genuine Chinese goods in the first phase of the year pumped to x4 after 3 months of crawling. Then there was 1 continuous break
It must have entered a rally now, consider this coin it doesn't pump strongly CRYPTOCAP:CKB likes the gentleness of the bulls 😊
Descending Channel Formation in Weekly Timeframe...
In Case of Upside Breakout Expecting Massive Bullish Wave📈