Cryptotrading
Mon 3rd Mar 2025 BTC/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a BTC/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Coinbase at a Decision Point | A Make-or-Break Moment?Hi again,
Coinbase stock has once again returned to retest the neckline of a bullish chart pattern, the Inverted Head and Shoulders. This is the second time it has revisited this level, with the first retest occurring in January. While this pullback is slightly deeper, it aligns with strong technical criteria that make it a valid support for me.
Key Technical Criteria:
1. Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern is Valid
The pattern became valid after a strong bullish weekly close above the neckline in November 2024.
2. Round Number Support at $200
The $200 price level is starting to act as a support zone, adding further strength to this setup.
3. Pullback with Strong Technical Confirmation. This pullback is supported by two solid technical signals:
Equal Waves Formation
The price hasn’t dropped in a single wave but rather in two equal-sized waves.
This structure helps price land more softly in the potential support area.
Channel Projection
As often said: Price moves in channels.
The price is currently respecting a channel structure, and the fourth touch within this channel could bring added volatility—especially as it aligns with other criteria.
A Healthy Uptrend
4. Since 2023, Coinbase has consistently printed higher lows, confirming a strong uptrend.
The current pullback is still inside this trend structure, which keeps the bullish bias intact.
5. Possible Inclusion in the S&P 500
Coinbase is one of the candidates for inclusion in the S&P 500, which could attract more investor attention and provide an additional boost.
Final Thoughts
The combination of a valid bullish pattern, strong support, structured pullback, and overall trend health makes Coinbase an interesting stock to watch at current levels. The reaction from this area will be crucial in confirming further upside potential.
Some fundamental "facts": COIN at $200 sits below analyst targets ($290-$325 average) but above conservative fair values ($74-$150), with risks tied to crypto volatility and regulation. It’s an interesting support zone with reversal potential—definitely worth watching.
Insiders have been more active on selling. The ratios at $200 are decent, neither screamingly cheap or outrageously high.
So, quite mixed, technically it is okay, fundamentally mixed. What is your take?
Cheers,
Vaido
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Bitcoin: Wave 4 or Wave goodbye...to this variantIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bitcoin Wave 4?: Key Levels & Critical Juncture
Bitcoin’s recent price action has put traders on edge, as we continue to push into the deeper reaches of the Wave 4 territory. The market rejected 99-100K, aligning with expectations, but it took a deeper path than my bullish outlook preferred. While I caught the correct direction, this move is now at a critical juncture where bulls need to step up—this is their last chance to hold this count as a probability and regain momentum, IMO.
Losing Ground on This Count
A clean break above 99K never materialized, reinforcing bearish sentiment and increasing the likelihood of further downside. The bulls have struggled to gain control, and without a strong push, this count risks full invalidation. At this stage, I remain cautious, knowing that sticking to weak counts is a losing game.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 86.6K – Immediate obstacle for bulls to reclaim 📈
🔹 92K – The real test; a reclaim here would suggest bullish intent 🎯
🔹 75K – Next major support if bulls fail to hold structure ⚡
What Comes Next?
If this variant is going to stay on the probability list, it has to prove itself now. It was cautiously at the top of the list, but has broken the key levels and ideal price action I was looking for to keep it there.
Bitcoin is at a make-or-break moment—will it find strength, or are we heading for a deeper correction? Let me know your thoughts in the comments. 🚀
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
#QNT Ready For Bullish Rally Despite Bearish Market Sentiment Yello, Paradisers! Is #QNTUSDT About to Break Out, or Will Bears Keep It Trapped? Let's check the latest setup of #Quant and see what might happen next:
💎#QNT has been trapped inside this wedge for months, making lower highs and lower lows. #QNTUSD is showing signs of a potential breakout, but there’s one key resistance level above that could decide everything.
💎Bulls need to break above $115, which has been a major rejection point. A clean breakout here could trigger a rally towards $140-$160, where the next strong resistance zone is waiting. The MACD is showing higher highs while price made lower lows, a classic bullish divergence. This signals that momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.
💎Strong support is around $80-$85, where buyers have stepped in multiple times. Losing this level would lead to a drop to $61-$55, the next major support zone. The Bulls have defended both of these levels before, so they will probably do so this time, too.
💎However, if the bears drag the price below the $55-$61 support level, the bullish setup will be invalidated. In such a case, the bears will drag the price to down levels further.
Stay focused, patient, and disciplined, Paradisers🥂
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Long Entry Signal for SUNDOG/USDT Based on the daily chart for SUNDOGUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Exception: There is no 200-period SMA available to guide us on the long-term trend, so proceed with caution.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Thank you !
Long Entry Signal for AGLD/USDTBased on the daily chart for AGLDUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period SMA (red), supporting a long-term bullish trend.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price, price above SMA 200), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Long Entry Signal for GRASS/USDT Based on the daily chart for GRASSUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Exception: There is no 200-period SMA available to guide us on the long-term trend, so proceed with caution.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price), you might consider entering a long position.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or for potential profit-taking opportunities.
Thank you!
OL/USDT Long Re-entry signal
On February 15th, we received an entry signal when the PSAR turned bullish. On February 18th, the PSAR was hit, signaling an exit. On February 22nd, the day closed above the initial entry level from February 15th. This gives us a potential opportunity to enter again since we had a close above the original entry signal. You can enter now or wait for the daily close; it’s your choice.
However, there is no 200-period SMA available to guide us on the long-term trend, so proceed with caution.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or potential profit-taking opportunities.
Thank you!
Long Signal Entry for ACH/USDT
Based on the daily chart for ACHUSDT on Bybit, here's a concise analysis:
MLR vs. SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), indicating a bullish trend.
MLR vs. BB Center: The MLR is above the BB Center Line (orange), suggesting bullish momentum.
PSAR: The PSAR dots (black) are under the price, confirming a bullish trend.
Price vs. SMA 200: The price is above the 200-period SMA (red), supporting a long-term bullish trend.
Current Strategy: Since all entry conditions for a long position are met (MLR above SMA, MLR above BB Center, PSAR under price, price above SMA 200), you might consider entering a long position. You can enter now or wait for the close of the day, depending on your availability. Waiting for the close of the day would be preferred to confirm the trend.
Stop Loss (SL): Set the stop loss at the current level of the PSAR dots to manage risk.
Monitor My Idea: Keep monitoring my idea for any changes in trend or potential profit-taking opportunities.
LITECOIN ($LTC)—$130 SPIKE FLAGS BIG TRADELITECOIN ( CRYPTOCAP:LTC )—$130 SPIKE FLAGS BIG TRADE
(1/9)
Good afternoon, TradingView! Litecoin ( CRYPTOCAP:LTC ) is buzzing, up 25% to $ 130 in 2 days 💰 ETF hype swirls, let’s unpack this crypto sleeper! 🌍
(2/9) – PRICE POP
• Surge: $ 106 to $ 130, 25% jolt 📈
• Avg: $ 114.98 since Dec ‘24 💡
• Rank: Top weekly gainer 🌟
CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s flexing, dino coin roars!
(3/9) – TRADE SETUP
• Range: Bouncing at $ 114.98 🚗
• Gain: 25% in 48 hrs—swift climb 🌞
• Past: Steady over a decade 💪
CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s brewing, short-term juice flows!
(4/9) – ETF BUZZ
• Odds: 80% for LTC ETF nod 📊
• Impact: Institutional cash looms 🌍
• Vs BTC: Digital silver shines 💎
CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s gearing up, big bets ahead!
(5/9) – RISKS IN PLAY
• BTC Shade: King’s glare dims ⚠️
• Volatility: Swings sting quick 🐻
• ETF Wait: Regs lag, hope wobbles 🔒
CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s hot, can it dodge the fade?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Stay: Decade strong, legit cred 💪
• Pop: $ 130 spike, 25% zip 🏋️
• Base: Steady $ 114.98—tough nut 🌱
CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s gritty, silver’s got guts!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: BTC’s shadow looms 🙈
• Opportunities: ETF buzz, trader zing 🌏
Can CRYPTOCAP:LTC vault past the pack?
(8/9) – CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s $ 130 pop, what’s your vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish, $ 150+ stacks up 😎
2️⃣ Neutral, Holds, risks linger 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish, $ 100 dip looms 😕
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
CRYPTOCAP:LTC ’s $ 130 spike and ETF buzz spark zing, silver sleeper 🪙 Steady grit, risks lurk, gem or bust?
LTC/USD Secondary trend (part). 09 12 2023Logarithm. Time frame 1 day. Part of the secondary trend. Channel to work, price consolidation in its lower part. A high probability of an upward exit from it. Key levels are shown by arrows. Percentages for clarity and target orientation similarly.
This is how it looks like on a line chart without "market noise". .
Double bottom with a flat top in an accumulation channel. Post-halving time.
A local uptrending channel that has a double bottom with a flat top. This is a strong bullish pattern that says price is (this accumulation zone) at the lows of the trend initiation. The last cycle after the capitulation (end of the participation phase) of all liquid instruments (this is important) began with this structure, which is a display of the actions, first of all, of large market participants that have an impact on pricing (holding). For example, look at the bitcoin 2020 chart and this structure. Similar to what happened on LTC a few months after the halving.
Major trend. Cycles. Super profits.
LTC is a cryptocurrency that has survived many cycles and has not depreciated completely, although it can be seen that the capitalization and leadership positions are not able to compete with the new 2 cycle HYIP giants.
From the position of the cycle before last (distributions, i.e. highs) 2017, this cryptocurrency is on a big super profit. There are very few cryptocurrencies in the crypto market that are in their main trend in an uptrend and are on super profits relative to previous cycles. LTC is one of them. As a rule, the opposite is true. It is clear that the main major holders in most cases for such a long period of existence in the crypto market, LTC has already been repeatedly changed. But with this logic of the price chart, which is displayed on a long history and on a large time frame, should be considered and taken into account in its risk management.
Major trend. Time frame 1 month.
LTC/USD Main trend. Halving. Cycles The psychology of repetitionMain trend. The graph is logarithmic. The timeframe is 1 month. This idea is relevant both for understanding the secondary trend work and as a training in simple cyclic, logical manipulation processes. Note also the halving of the LTC and the designated time zones between cycles.
The primary trend is an uptrend in which a huge butterfly is forming (forming part 2)
Secondary trend is a downward channel.
Local trend in the secondary trend is a wedge.
Coin in the coin market : Litecoin
The chart is taken from the Bitfiniex exchange, I used it because of the long price history (the coin has been traded on this exchange for a long time). Of course, the chart is relevant for all exchanges with liquidity. The coin and the pair are liquid, it is acceptable to set large positions. The price behavior is predictable. Ups/Downs are similar. Let's consider them below.
Everything is unpredictable only for absolutely predictable people, it always was, is and will be.
Same time frame on a line chart (no market noise, pure trend direction)
A close-up of this area on the line chart.
And this area on the candlestick chart.
What matters is the average buy/sell. Approach the market regardless of the size of your deposit as a major market participant. Stop thinking like a "hamster". You don't need to guess, you need to know and be prepared for any outcome, even unlikely scenarios.
Psychology of behavior in the market.
Expectation. Reality. "Stop-loss resets. Cyclicality of predictable behavior. .
Predictable price behavior. "Knockouts" of obedient (acting by the rules) and naughty (acting on emotion) fools are as logical and predictable as anything else everywhere else. Increase your knowledge and experience, and it won't affect you.
Remember, theory without practice is nothing. Real trading is very different from theory, you should understand that. That's why all "programmed traders" lose money or their earnings are quite modest.
You should not ask anyone where to buy/sell this or that crypto-asset. You should initially know yourself under what conditions you will buy and under what conditions you will sell.
Past "stop-losses" before secondary trend reversals .
Secondary trend reversal zones and "takeout" before pullbacks in 2019 (+450 average) and 2021 (+900% average).
Candlestick chart. 3-day timeframe. Fear peak zones.
Line chart. Three-day timeframe. Fear peak zones. (without market noise).
As we can see, this "fear peak" on the line chart evaporates, all these local "super resets" have no effect on the trend. It's just the "death of hamsters." The capitulation of human stupidity and greed. You can add predictability and submissiveness to this. The train always leaves without such marketable characters.
Such always sell (fear) at the lowest prices, shortly before the trend reverses. It is worth adding that they buy at the highest prices "at the behest" of the pump to get fabulously "rich. This makes the cryptocurrency market super profitable. Such fuel is the basis of profit. "Market fuel flows" lend themselves to cycles.
Price management is the psychology and manipulation of people's minds through basic instincts through price values. All of this is real and as old as the world. A foolish person keeps stepping on the same rake, each time telling himself that this is the last time, or this is a special case.
This "last case" must be repeated systematically, but in different conditions that you create. Your effectiveness depends on how masterful you are at forming such obsessive thoughts in the mind of such market characters.
Fundamentals of Trading. Trading strategy. Capital management. Price forecasting.
It is your trading strategy and money management, based on your experience, that is the basis of trading, not guessing the price. But guessing is what most people want. Such people should have no money. As a rule, such people in real life are very poor, do not have their own business, go "to work" (do not want to take responsibility).
They think real life doesn't give them many resources, but market speculation will quickly make them fabulously rich. Rather the opposite is true. Total impoverishment regardless of the direction of the trend due to the reinforcement of destructive qualities of a person with financial instruments. The behavior of such people in the market is a projection of what they are like in real life.
The behavior of people in financial markets is a projection of what they are in real life. That is, their positive and negative psychological qualities. You can't run away from yourself. A stupid person will be overtaken by his own stupidity, a greedy person by greed, an intolerant person by intolerance, an indecisive person by indecision, an irresponsible person by irresponsibility.
Such will be punished by their own destructive qualities. The main thing is that the victim draws conclusions from this and it is an incentive to correct the root cause and basis of the failures, rather than looking for the culprit of his own stupidity in "random events" and other people.
You guessed once, second time, third time zeroed in and hit your own self-confidence with your own stupidity and predictability. Consequently, all your previous guesses at the distance equals zero.
Trading is a probability game. It is impossible to guess everything because of the many components of pricing. It is possible not to guess, but to know the more and less potentially realizable probabilities because of certain market conditions.
No one knows the exact future, there is only an assumed more likely future and the work that leads to it.
The basis of profit/loss is what you are in the here and now. Your knowledge and experience are projected onto the chart. The symbiosis of these two parameters makes or loses money in practice.
Read these 6 points carefully:
1) The first problem most marketers have is that everyone wants to get a lot of money in the moment and, most importantly, without effort. That's what most people want, so it's not rational or dangerous to satisfy their desires.
2) The second problem is that they can't be "out of the market" until they find a good entry point. "Fear of missing out" does its destructive work.
3) The third problem is, of course, the disease from "childhood," which manifests itself in adulthood. People begin to collect various crypto coins, endowing them with different values according to their beliefs and, above all, their desires.
4) The fourth problem is greed, insatiability combined with inexperience. People don't want to protect their profits, they want more and more and more and more and more, eventually from greed and inexperience they completely (more greedy) or partially (less greedy) nullify themselves.
5) Lack of knowledge and experience. Lack of desire to develop and learn. The less experienced a market participant is, the more confident he is in his competence and "screams text".
6) The sixth most serious problem - laziness. It manifests itself in the fact that few people want to work, everyone wants to have.
Under ideas are captured my trading ideas for this trading pair over the past 3 years. Most of them are previously closed trade ideas. There are 3 learning ideas that I have shown on this trading pair (based on publicly published simple trading ideas) .
POPCAT due for a rallyOnce the most pumpy of memes, has fallen from grace... but I believe a big rally is on the horizon..
Testing high timeframe trendline, macro 786..
Falling wedge pattern forming..
And bullish divergence on 4h and 12h timeframe.. Selling volume decreasing...
This is in the process of bottoming out in my honest opinion..
ARBUSDT at a Crossroads: Breakout or Rejection Incoming?Yello, Paradisers! Is ARBUSDT gearing up for a breakout, or will it face rejection? Let’s break it down.
💎#ARBUSD is currently testing a major descending trendline while hovering above key support zones at $0.4246. Buyers are showing strength, but the resistance ahead could dictate the next move.
💎If #Arbitrum breaks out and closes above the trendline and 200 EMA with strong volume, it will confirm a bullish push toward the supply zone at $0.4604 - $0.4946. This would signal a shift into a markup phase, with momentum favoring the bulls.
💎 If the price consolidates or struggles at resistance with weak volume, it could indicate hesitation. In this case, sideways movement or a rejection could follow, meaning it's best to wait for clearer confirmation before entering a trade.
💎If #ARB fails to break the descending resistance and closes below the demand zone at $0.4047, the bullish setup is invalidated, and further downside becomes the next likely scenario, aligning with the broader downtrend.
Discipline and patience win the game, Paradisers! If the breakout happens with strong volume, we strike. If hesitation or rejection appears, we wait. No need to force trades we move when the market moves.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
COINBASE ($COIN) Q4—CRYPTO CASH PILES UPCOINBASE ( NASDAQ:COIN ) Q4—CRYPTO CASH PILES UP
(1/9)
Good evening, TradingView! Coinbase ( NASDAQ:COIN ) just dropped a Q4 banger 💰 $ 2.27B revenue, up 138% YoY 🌍 Full ‘24 hits $ 6.29B—let’s unpack this crypto hauler!
(2/9) – REVENUE SURGE
• Q4 Take: $ 2.27B 🌟 138% leap from ‘23
• Full ‘24: $ 6.29B 💼 115% climb
• Subs: $ 2.3B 📈 64% jump
NASDAQ:COIN ’s raking it in—trades and fees soar!
(3/9) – EARNINGS POP
• Q4 EPS: $ 4.68 🏆 beats $ 2.11 guess
• Net: $ 1.3B 🌞 300% YoY surge
• EBITDA: $ 3.3B 💪 two years of green
NASDAQ:COIN ’s cash flow hums—profit’s real!
(4/9) – BIG MOVES
• Global Cut: 19% Q4 from overseas 🌐
• Next Up: Derivatives, USDC push 📊
• Stock Dip: Flat post-earn 🤔 profit grabs?
NASDAQ:COIN ’s stretching wide—crypto’s workhorse!
(5/9) – RISKS ON DECK
• Crypto Swings: Price drops sting 🕸️
• SEC Suit: Regs loom ⛔ costs nip
• Rivals: Binance lurks ⚡ tight race
Hot streak—can it sidestep the traps?
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Haul: $ 2.27B Q4 🚛 volume beast
• Subs: $ 2.3B 💡 steady stream
• Profit: $ 3.3B EBITDA 🏋️ cash stack
NASDAQ:COIN ’s hauling freight—built tough!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Trade lean 🌫️ thin ice
• Opportunities: Global reach 🌏 reg wins
Can NASDAQ:COIN outpace the bumps?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:COIN ’s $ 2.27B Q4—what’s your take?
1️⃣ Bullish—$ 350+ in sight 😎
2️⃣ Neutral—Good haul, risks linger 🤷
3️⃣ Bearish—Crypto dips drag it down 😕
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
NASDAQ:COIN ’s $ 2.27B Q4 and $ 6.29B ‘24 pile up big—crypto hauler 🪙 High P/E, but cash flows—gem or jinx?