Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis & Trade Setup Market Structure & Key Levels:
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart displays a descending channel breakout, followed by a range-bound consolidation phase.
Key Support Levels:
$78,000 - $77,320: A strong demand zone where buyers have previously stepped in.
$80,000: Psychological support level.
Key Resistance Levels:
$84,340: Short-term resistance currently being tested.
$85,996: Next major resistance level.
$89,363: Target resistance level if a breakout occurs.
$92,331: A higher timeframe resistance level.
Chart Pattern & Price Action:
Descending Channel (Early March)
Price was in a downtrend, forming a descending channel pattern.
The breakout from this channel led to a shift in momentum.
Range Consolidation (Current Pattern)
After the breakout, BTC entered a sideways accumulation phase (marked by the red box).
Price is bouncing between $82,000 - $84,500, showing low volatility and indecision.
Breakout Possibility (Bullish Bias)
A break above $84,500 could confirm a bullish move towards $85,996 and beyond.
The next major target is $89,363, which aligns with previous resistance.
Support Retest (Bearish Risk)
If BTC fails to break resistance, we might see a retest of $80,000 or even $78,000.
A break below $77,320 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Cryptotrading
DOT/USDT: Consolidation Expected After Recent Bounce The DOT/USThe DOT/USDT market has recently rebounded from a previously tested level from November. Following this bounce, the price appears to be forming an ABC pullback, moving towards the channel boundary.
Historical price action shows that the market has consistently respected the resistance zone, reinforcing the prevailing bearish trend. Given this setup, the market is likely to enter a consolidation phase, with price stabilizing within the 4.88 to 4.00 range. The next key target lies at the support zone around 4.100
A possible scenario for Bitcoin over next 2 monthsI do think this has a Strong possibility of happening
MARCH will close as a RED Candle and the statisical expectation is that April will close GREEN and yet there are many reasons why Bitcoin Cannot rise a lot in April to make that Green
SO, We may see March drop down to the 74K area to end the month
This Gives PA the ability to Rise, hit that trend line and still Close the month GREEN and then take off in May.
Why May ?
Because that descending trend line perfectly matches the Weekly MACD decent and the date is when MACD reaches Neutral. Begining of May.
This is also why PA will likely be rejected from the Trend line before MAY
Should PA remain where it is now, it doesn't give a lot of room for April to close Green.
This really is just an Idea so we just need to see if it happens.
I do have a SPOt buy order sitting at 74779 just in case lol
BTCUSD: This isn't the Top by any meansBitcoin remains slightly bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.137, MACD = -3097.700, ADX = 33.471) as even though it appears its trading on a macro bottom, just over the 1W MA50 (1W RSI = 45.068), it hasn't broken out yet. The market undoubtedly took a psychological hit with February's drop but despite the voices calling for a new bear market, we are here to show you why this Cycle hasn't topped yet and is still far from doing so.
This metric measures BTC's temporary stops/ tops during a Bull Cycle. It is a Halving-to-Halving method, starting on the most recent Halving and ending on the next one. Stop 1 is where the starting Halving takes place and the market pulls back. Stop 2 is the next pullback on the 0.236 Time Fibonacci level. The 0.382 Fib prices Stop 3 and basically the Cycle Top. This has been happening on both previous Cycles exactly as described and on the 2012-14 Cycle it just had to be adjusted a little before the 1st Halving due to the Cycle being much shorter since it was the earliest. Nevertheless, it fits the Stop points perfectly.
Note also that distance from the Halving (Stop 1) to Stop 3 has always been 76/78 weeks. This suggests the we can have a new Cycle Top by October 20th 2025 the latest.
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FIL/USDT Breakdown – Is a Major Drop Coming? Yello, Paradisers! FIL/USDT has just broken below the EMA 50, and that’s a big red flag for bulls. This level had been acting as strong dynamic support, and now that it’s lost, the bearish momentum is strengthening. If buyers can’t reclaim it soon, the market could be gearing up for a deeper move to the downside.
💎The price is struggling around the major Supply Zone at $2.90 - $3.00, and the failure to hold above this level combined with the EMA 50 breakdown increases the likelihood of a drop toward the next Support Area at $2.467 - $2.209. With the EMA 50 now acting as resistance, any retest is likely to face heavy selling pressure.
💎The EMA 200 remains a key dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish bias. Unless FIL/USDT reclaims the EMA 50 and breaks convincingly above $3.306 with strong volume, the downward trend remains intact.
💎If the decline continues with increasing volume, sellers are firmly in control, making a deeper drop more likely. On the other hand, a weak move lower with low volume could indicate exhaustion, potentially leading to a short-term bounce or consolidation.
This is not the time to chase trades blindly. Patience and discipline always win in the long run, Paradisers. Stick to your levels and execute only high-probability setups. Stay sharp.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
ETH/USDT: Testing Key Support with Potential for ReboundThe ETH/USDT pair continues to decline, approaching a key support level last tested in October 2023. Historically, similar price movements were observed in 2021, when the price dropped from the 4,300 level before rebounding from the 1,700 support zone, ultimately leading to new all-time highs.
Currently, the price has broken above a downward trendline that had served as a resistance throughout the month. Looking ahead, the market may remain in a sideways phase over the coming weeks, with a potential upward push if buying pressure emerges from the support level. The next key target is the resistance zone around 2,190
Ethereum (ETH/USD) - 4H Analysis & Trade Setup
Market Overview:
ETH/USD is in a downtrend, forming a descending channel.
Price is currently trading around $1,915.23, showing signs of consolidation near resistance.
Technical Analysis:
Trend: Bearish
Resistance Level: $2,028.43
Support Level: $1,760
Target: $1,555.96
Pattern: Descending Channel
Trade Idea (Short Setup):
🔴 Sell Zone: Around $2,028.43 (Resistance)
✅ Target: $1,555.96 (-22.50%)
⛔ Invalidation: A breakout above $2,028
Conclusion:
Ethereum is respecting the downward channel structure.
A rejection from resistance at $2,028 could confirm further downside.
Traders may consider short positions targeting $1,555.96, provided the trend remains bearish.
📉 Bearish bias remains intact unless price breaks above resistance.
Tue 18th Mar 2025 BTC/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a BTC/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
1INCHUSDT: The Invisible Forces Driving Price Right Now - 1inch◳◱ Ever seen the Bollinger Band Breakout Super Trend on a chart? It's exciting to watch! With the price hovering around 0.2093, there's potential for a breakout above 0.2203 | 0.2433 | 0.2859. Support at 0.1777 | 0.1581 | 0.1155 provides confidence for bulls.
◰◲ General Information :
▣ Name: 1inch
▣ Rank: 199
▣ Exchanges: Binance, Kucoin, Huobipro, Gateio, Mexc, Hitbtc
▣ Category / Sector: Financial - Decentralized Exchanges
▣ Overview: The 1inch Network unites three separate decentralized protocols, aggregating liquidity from a variety of decentralized exchanges to facilitate cost-efficient transactions.
Its native token, the 1inch token (1INCH) serves two primary purposes: As a governance token granting voting rights towards the 1inch DAO and as a utility token, where it is used as a connector to achieve high-efficiency routing in the 1inch Liquidity Protocol. It will also be used in the tokenomics of all future protocols developed by the 1inch Network.
◰◲ Technical Metrics :
▣ Current Price: 0.2093 ₮
▣ 24H Volume: 3,767,156.011 ₮
▣ 24H Change: 3.358%
▣ Weekly Change: 4.06%%
▣ Monthly Change: -21.88%%
▣ Quarterly Change: -56.72%%
◲◰ Pivot Points :
▣ Resistance Level: 0.2203 | 0.2433 | 0.2859
▣ Support Level: 0.1777 | 0.1581 | 0.1155
◱◳ Indicator Recommendations :
▣ Oscillators: NEUTRAL
▣ Moving Averages: BUY
◰◲ Summary of Technical Indicators : BUY
◲◰ Sharpe Ratios :
▣ Last 30 Days: -3.94
▣ Last 90 Days: -4.16
▣ Last Year: -0.69
▣ Last 3 Years: -0.39
◲◰ Volatility Analysis :
▣ Last 30 Days: 0.79
▣ Last 90 Days: 0.78
▣ Last Year: 0.93
▣ Last 3 Years: 0.87
◳◰ Market Sentiment :
▣ News Sentiment: N/A
▣ Twitter Sentiment: 0.53 - Bullish
▣ Reddit Sentiment: 0.60 - Bullish
▣ In-depth BINANCE:1INCHUSDT analysis available at TradingView TA Page
▣ Your thoughts matter! What do you think of this analysis? Share your insights in the comments below. Your like, follow, and support are greatly valued and help sustain high-quality content.
◲ Disclaimer : Disclaimer
The content provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. Use of the information is solely at your own risk.
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Unlock a wide range of financial analysis tools, data, and features to elevate your trading experience. Take a tour and see the possibilities. If you decide to upgrade your plan, you can receive up to $30 back. Discover more here - affiliate link -
DOGEUSD: This is why it can go to $2.00Dogecoin is bearish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 41.068, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 51.882) as it's trading under the 1W MA50. It did find however support on the 1W MA100 and that reminds us of the August-September bottoming period, which served as accumulation for the market, giving way to the post U.S. election rally. This chart shows DOGE's three Phases of Growth of the current Cycle. As the 1W MA100 holds, we have succesfully completed Phase 2 and have started Phase 3, which is technically the most bullish. The last Phase 3 topped a little over the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of Phase 1 bottom. This implies that a $2.00 TP by the end of Q3 is a technically achievable price.
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BTCUSD: TSI shows that this is the LAST BEST BUYBitcoin is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 46.997, MACD = 3171.400, ADX = 55.280) as it found support on the 1W MA50 last 3 weeks and is trying to capitalize on this with a bullish reaction. The rebound is closer than ever and in our opinion based on the True Strength Index (TSI), this may be the last best buy opportunity of this Cycle before it tops. The 1W TSI is now on its long term Buy Zone, last time it was there was on the August 5th 2024 bottom.
The TSI basically marks bottoms and tops on the last 3 Cycles in particular. More specifically, it makes 5 tops in total, every time it approaches 1.00, it is a signal to sell and wait for it to approach -1.00. We are now as mentioned the closest we've been to -1.00 in 7 months and we came here from Top 4. The Cycle technically has one more Top (5) to give so practically the current levels are the last best buy opportunity of the Cycle.
From top-to-bottom, the 2014-2017 Cycle lasted 1470 days, the next one (2018-2021) 1430 days, so if there is a declining rate of 40 days on each passing Cycle, we can start expecting a new Cycle Top by September 2025. The price can be at least 130k be then.
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BTCUSDT Upside potentialThe BTC/USDT market is currently consolidating above the 80,000 level after breaking below February's low. Recently, a large weekly doji candle has emerged, signaling ongoing sideways movement. At present, the price remains within this week's trading range.
From a broader perspective, price action appears to be narrowing, forming a falling wedge pattern. With the market consolidating just below the downward trendline, a potential breakout above this level could signal further upside momentum. If the price manages to close above last week's high, it could lead to the formation of a solid inverse head and shoulders pattern, reinforcing the possibility of an upward extension. The next key target lies at the resistance zone around 88,000
Is #XLM Setting Up for a Bull Trap Before a Major Drop?Yello, Paradisers! Is XLMUSD gearing up for a breakout, or is this just a classic liquidity grab before the next major dump? Let’s break it down.
💎Right now, #XLMUSDT is testing a minor resistance at $0.28464, a level where price has repeatedly struggled to push higher. While there is a possibility of a breakout, the presence of strong liquidity around the unmitigated supply zone at $0.31917 suggests that any move higher could be a trap before a significant drop. If price does manage to break above this resistance, traders should be cautious it’s likely just a liquidity grab before a larger move to the downside.
💎Once the price reaches the unmitigated supply zone, a rejection is expected, leading to a downward move toward the key support zone at $0.22699. This level has historically been a strong demand area where buyers could step in, potentially causing a temporary bounce or consolidation before any further downside.
💎As CRYPTOCAP:XLM moves lower, it’s crucial to watch volume activity. If the decline happens with high volume, it will confirm strong selling pressure and increase the likelihood of a deeper drop. However, if the price approaches $0.22699 with low volume, it could indicate a lack of seller conviction, leading to a short-term bounce before resuming the downtrend.
💎The EMA 200 continues to act as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook. As long as price fails to hold above $0.28464 or gets rejected from the supply zone, the bearish setup remains intact. In that case, a move toward $0.22699 and potentially even $0.19151 becomes highly probable. Watching volume reactions at these key levels will be essential to confirm the next move.
💎The only scenario that could invalidate this bearish setup is a strong close above $0.36172 with high volume. That would signal a potential shift in market structure and could indicate renewed bullish momentum.
Paradisers, patience and precision are key in this market. Let the levels guide you, trade strategically, and stay disciplined. Avoid emotional decisions this market punishes the impatient and rewards those who stay focused.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
BTCUSD: Phase 4 of Bull Cycle just started.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.562, MACD = -3343.000, ADX = 34.423) as it is making a big 1W comeback on this week's candle following a nearly perfect touch of the 1W MA50. Every test of the 1W MA50, as well as every test of the S1 1W RSI level, has been a straight buy opportunity inside the Bull Cycle's Channel Up since the very begining of the November 2022 bottom.
As first the price action was concentrated on the lower half of the Channel Up (green zone) but since February 2024 it has been primarily on the upper half (blue zone) as the rallies got more aggressive, with the only exceptions being the 1W MA50 tests such as the current one (green Arcs). Every bottom rebound has increased by at least +98.76%, so that gives us a peak estimate of TP = 150,000. An temprary high around 120k and pullback to 100-90k is a possible scenario based on all previous rallies/ Phases. Phase 4, which should technicall be the final of the Bull Cycle, has just started.
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ETHUSD: Cyclical Pivot can slingshot it to at least $6,000Ethereum is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.473, MACD = -206.770, ADX = 45.110) but this 1W candle is rebounding on the P1 trendline, which is the Pivot that started from the November 2021 ATH and already caused the a bounce on the August 5th 2024 contact. A similar P1 trendline was present during the 2018-2021 Cycle and its final contact was the March 2020 COVID crash, which kickstarted the insane rally. All similar rallies have hit at least the 1.5 Fibonacci extension and in some occasions the 2.0 Fib. Consequently we are confident enough to aim for at least the 1.5 Fib (TP = 6,000). Risk seekers can attempt a 9,000 test but more cautiously.
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Bitcoin Weekly LINEAR chart shows possible re run of 2021 2X ATHI was just looking at this Linear chart and spotted a couple of things.
So many people Use LOGARITHMIC charts.
In summery, A logarithmic chart is a graphical representation that uses a logarithmic scale, which differs from the conventional linear scale. In a logarithmic scale, the distance between values is not constant but increases by a factor, making it useful for datasets with a wide range of values. This approach helps in presenting numerical information more efficiently and allows for a better visualization of rates of change or percentages rather than absolute values.
A LINEAR chart however, shows you the REAL rate of change.
And on This Linear chart, I have noticed that PA is creating a very Similar Top to the MARCH ATH of 2021
I do not think we will follow it perfectly, as that drop in 2021 was over 50% and that would take us down to 52K, which I think is not a real possibility. But, being open to ALL possibilities, that trend line that was used by PA to bounce to the Nov ATH currently sits around 65K But the longer we wait, it heads higher, towards the 1 Fib ext around the Old 2021 ATH near 70K ( 69300)
Also note, how once PA had Dropped in March 2021, it levelled out and slide sideways for around 7 weeks.
So if we come over to Today, we have just dropped around 30% and seem to have found a Floor around 76K
We HAD to drop out of that Upper range box - It would have been December before we found support on the rising Trend line that has been the trigger for moves higher since 2023
And so, we have dropped to a Lower Range Box ( hopefully ) and this box hits the Rising trend line around June.
This has confluence with a number of other charts
And if we do range sideways, around this level, it is similar to that Range after the drop in 2021.
In 2021, after that range, PA rose by around 122%
I am not to sure we would see that but................
So now we wait to see if we stay in this range or not, with a top around 90K
We could See wicks out of this Range, down to the 70K mark maybe, with swift recovery.....
We may also see further Drop....
there is abcolutly NO guarentee that we will even head higher again.....
We have to wait and see and have plans and stick to them..for both BULl and BEAR
#VIRTUAL Ready For Another Leg Down Before Bullish Reversal Yello, Paradisers! Is #VIRTUAL gearing up for a full-blown collapse, or will the bulls fight back at critical support? Let’s break down #VirtualsProtocol:
💎#VIRTUALUSDT has already broken below the falling wedge, confirming that sellers remain in full control. The breakdown from this pattern signals that the expected bullish reversal has failed, and the trend remains decisively bearish. The price action is also clear—momentum is heavily bearish, and unless something shifts fast, we could see much lower levels ahead.
💎The previous major support zone at $0.60 - $0.65 has flipped into resistance, making it a crucial level to watch. Any short-term bounce into this area is likely to face strong selling pressure from sellers of #VIRTUALUSD. Only a break above $0.935 would invalidate this bearish outlook and signal a shift in momentum.
💎If the rejection plays out, the next downside target sits at $0.40, with a high probability of further decline toward the major support zone at $0.31 - $0.07. This is where buyers must step in—otherwise, a much deeper drop could follow.
💎RSI remains weak, and volume is declining, confirming the lack of strong buying interest. As long as this continues, the bearish pressure is likely to persist.
The market rewards discipline and patience—trade smart, Paradisers!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
ATOMUSDT Nearing a Breakdown – More Pain Ahead?Yello, Paradisers! Is ATOMUSD gearing up for a deeper decline, or can the bulls pull off a breakout reversal? The latest price action suggests a major move is coming let’s break it down.
💎#ATOMUSDT remains in a strong downtrend, repeatedly rejecting from the key resistance trendline and the 200 EMA. The latest attempt to break above the supply zone $4.445 was firmly rejected, reinforcing bearish control. Sellers continue to dominate, keeping the price below the $4.445 supply zone, making ATOM vulnerable to further downside. Until this level is reclaimed, the trend remains bearish.
💎The next key downside target is the $3.740 support zone, where a temporary relief bounce could occur. However, if selling pressure persists, ATOM could drop further toward the $3.482 major support, a historically strong buying area.
💎For the bulls to regain control, #ATOM must break above $4.445 and push beyond the 200 EMA near $4.80. However, a true trend reversal will only be confirmed if ATOM closes above $5.90, invalidating the bearish setup.
Stay patient, Paradisers! The market rewards discipline. If we see confirmation, we take action. If not, we wait. Trade smart, not fast!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success 🌴
Reasons for and against a Push higher by Bitcoin SOON sin November 2022, PA has almost become predictable.
Running on a Pattern of Steps and Always paying attnetion to the Weekly MACD
I have posted in detail about the weekly MACD in other posts so I will not expain much now but here is the chart again, It explains itself really.
We are, once again, Waiting for the weekly MACD to reset to Neutral, were we hope it will bounce again. BUT, as you can see, a 3rd bounce would be unusual but , on this occasion, Highly probable
On the main chart, we can see that PA began running on a Rising trendline and, after ranging for a while, it bounced off it in Mid October 2023. It has Never returned to that line.
PA began Ranging again in March 2024. Note that date on the MACD chart. MACD Peaked and began turning Bearish and fell till it hit neutral in Sep.
At that same moment, in Sep 2024, PA bumped into the 50 week SMA ( RED) and bounced up to a New ATH in Dec 2024
So, we had 2 bounces after ranges, seemingly unconnected - until you look at the day count of each range.
1st -April 2023 to Sep 2023 - 196 days
2nd - March 2024 to Sep 2024 - 189 days
Now also note the Double Tops and then the retrace on Both those Range dates AND on the current Range
And so NOW, Currently, we are in a Range, again, MACD Peaked High and is falling Bearish
But this Range began in DECEMBER 2024
So why do we have a possibility of a push higher soon ?
Look where that RED 50 week SMA is - Just below PA.
Could PA Bounce of it if we bump into it ?
We have come VERY Close in recent days. The 50 is around 75500 - PA got to 76500
If PA touches it, I am sure we will bounce Higher
And so This leads us to why we may NOT bounce soon
I think the Bulls are trying to keep PA off the 50 till MACD is reset. If true, that 50 will level out.
PA will have to touch it BEFORE it begins to fall or PA will have to drop below 70K to reach it.
And THIS Leads us to what I think could Very well happen
IF PA were to have a bounce higher soon , maybe to Top of Range, around 109 ( but probably Lower) this would give PA room to drop back to Bottom of Range while MACD continues to Fall. A Quick push up , say over 10 days, would hardly effect the MACD reset but gives PA room to move without loosing to much more value, Keeping Market CAP stable and Sentiment happy
MACD is expected to reach neutral, at current rate of descent, around May / June.
And Look..that happens to be around 189 days since range began. The same approx day count as the previous 2 ranges this cycle.
We may see a drop lower this month, nothing is for sure but if we fall below that 50 SMA, I will be changing my Bullish Tune and Screaming CAUTION
All to play for in the next few months
BTCUSD: Last 1W MA50 rebound to the top of the CycleBitcoin remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.004, MACD = -3484.800, ADX = 36.461) but today we see the first recovery attempt. The technical reasoning behind it is that the market is testing its 1W MA50 and in due time it will price the new HL of the Bull Cycle and form the bottom that will hold for the rest of the year until the cycle's very top. This is no different than the last two Cycles, the 1W RSI is even rebounding on its S1 level. Based on that pattern we are looking at a potential Cycle peak between 150k - 200k.
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