BTCUSD: Bollinger squeeze paving the way for $160k.Bitcoin remains marginally neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 46.017, MACD = 2013.300, ADX = 45.410) and started last week a Bollinger Bands squeeze process. This squeeze has been present inside the 2.5 year Channel Up every time after it bottomed. Only July-August 2024 made a slightly lower low because the squeeze process turned out to be longer. Even in the event, what follows all Bollinger squeezes is an expansion rally, especially after a 1W STOCH RSI Bullish Cross and the pattern shows that by this September, we can reach $160,000.
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Cryptotrading
BTC/USDT: Range-Bound Movement with Rebound Potential from Key SThe BTC/USDT market recently tested last week’s high but pulled back after encountering resistance near the 89,000 level. On the daily timeframe, the latest candle formed a doji, signaling weakening selling pressure.
The price has reached the two-week low, where underlying liquidity may trigger a bounce—especially around the psychological 80,000 level. With the market consolidating after recent sell-offs, a move toward the 85,000 area is possible. A monthly doji close is also anticipated, reflecting the broader indecision. The next upside target is the resistance zone around 84,000
"ETH/USD: Breakout Incoming? Buy Signal from Falling Wedge!"It illustrates a downward trend with a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal pattern.
Key Observations:
Falling Wedge Pattern:
The price has been trading within a downward-sloping channel.
The wedge pattern suggests a potential breakout to the upside.
Breakout Opportunity:
The price is currently near the lower boundary of the wedge, suggesting a potential buying opportunity.
A buy signal is indicated at a key support level.
Target Price:
The chart has a target zone around $2,531 – $2,562, which suggests an expected upward move.
Technical Indicators:
The price is currently around $1,815, indicating a possible bottom formation.
A bullish move from this level is expected.
Trading Idea:
Entry: Buy near the current price ($1,815).
Target: $2,531 – $2,562.
Stop-Loss: Below $1,723 for risk management.
This analysis suggests a bullish reversal with a potential breakout from the falling wedge. However, traders should confirm with volume and other indicators before entering a trade.
Chaos to Clarity: Mastering the Discipline Mindset5min read
Looking back on my journey as an investor, I can see how much my mindset shaped my path. When I first started, I was a mess—chasing every hot tip, jumping into trades without a plan, and letting my emotions call the shots. I’d feel a surge of excitement when price spiked, but the moment it dipped, I’d panic and sell, locking in losses. It was a chaotic rollercoaster, and I was losing more than I was gaining. I knew something had to change, but I wasn’t sure where to begin.
One day, I took a step back and really looked at myself. I realized the market wasn’t my biggest problem—I was. I was reacting to every little fluctuation, letting fear and greed drive my decisions. I started paying close attention to how I felt when I made trades. Was I anxious? Overconfident? I began noticing patterns. When I was stressed, I’d make impulsive moves that almost never worked out. But when I was calm and focused, my choices were better, and I’d often come out ahead. That was my first big revelation: my state of mind was the key to everything.
I decided to get serious about controlling my emotions. I started small, setting strict rules for myself. I’d only trade when I was in a good headspace—calm, clear, and ready to stick to my plan. If I felt off, I’d step away from the screen, no exceptions. It was tough at first. I’d catch myself itching to jump into a trade just because everyone else was talking about it. But I learned to pause, take a deep breath, and check in with myself. Over time, I got better at staying steady, even when the market was a whirlwind.
I also realized how much my beliefs were holding me back. I used to think I had to be in the market constantly to make money. If I wasn’t trading, I felt like I was missing out. But that mindset just led to burnout and bad calls. I started to change my thinking—I told myself it was okay to sit on the sidelines if the conditions weren’t right. I began to see that success wasn’t about being the busiest; it was about being the smartest. I focused on quality over quantity, and that shift made a huge difference. My wins started to outnumber my losses, and I felt more in control than I ever had.
One of the toughest lessons came when I stopped blaming external factors for my failures. If a trade went south, I’d point the finger at the market, the news, or even the system I was using. But deep down, I knew that wasn’t the whole truth. I had to take responsibility for my own actions. I started treating every loss as a chance to learn. What was I feeling when I made that trade? Was I following my rules, or did I let my emotions take over? By owning my mistakes, I began to grow. I became more disciplined, more aware of my own patterns, and better at sticking to what worked.
I’m not going to pretend I’m perfect now—I still make mistakes, plenty of them. At the beginning of this week, I came into trading loaded with personal problems from real life. I didn’t even pause to clear my head; I just dove straight into the charts and started opening long positions without much thought. By Friday, I realized what I’d done—I’d let my distracted, emotional state drive my decisions. So, I closed all my positions except one, cutting my losses quickly and stepping back to reassess. That’s what’s changed: I recognize those mistakes almost immediately now. I don’t hang on to them or let them spiral. I catch myself, fix the problem fast, and move on without beating myself up. That ability to pivot quickly has been a game-changer. I’m not stuck in the past anymore—I’m focused on getting better with every step.
Over time, I learned to tune out the noise and focus on what I could control. I stopped worrying about what other people were doing and started trusting my own process. I’d remind myself that investing isn’t just about the numbers—it’s about the person behind the trades. The more I worked on my mindset, the more consistent my results became. I learned to stay present, keep my emotions in check, and approach every decision with a clear head. That’s what turned me into the investor I am today—someone who’s not just chasing profits, but building a sustainable, successful approach to the markets, mistakes and all.
HPOS10IUSDT.P : Bullish Setup Brewing (Daily Chart)Timeframe: Daily
Analysis:
MLR Nearing SMA: The MLR (blue) is below but approaching the SMA (pink), hinting at a potential bullish crossover.
MLR > BB Center: MLR exceeds the Bollinger Bands Center Line (orange), signaling growing bullish momentum.
PSAR: PSAR dots (black) are below the price, supporting an uptrend.
No SMA 200: SMA 200 unavailable - proceed with caution.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Consider a long position at the daily close.
Stop Loss: Place SL at yesterday’s PSAR level to limit downside risk.
Follow Me: Follow me for exit or profit-taking opportunities.
Outlook: MLR is poised to take SMA, which could confirm a bullish surge alongside PSAR and BB support. Stay vigilant for the crossover or reversal signals.
Risk Warning: Not financial advice, trade at your own risk.
DEEPUSDT.P | Bullish Setup Brewing (Daily Chart)Timeframe: Daily
Analysis:
MLR Nearing SMA: The MLR (blue) is below but approaching the SMA (pink), hinting at a potential bullish crossover.
MLR > BB Center: MLR exceeds the Bollinger Bands Center Line (orange), signaling growing bullish momentum.
PSAR: PSAR dots (black) are below the price, supporting an uptrend.
No SMA 200: SMA 200 unavailable - proceed with caution.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Consider a long position at the daily close.
Stop Loss: Place SL at yesterday’s PSAR level to limit downside risk.
Follow Me: Follow me for exit or profit-taking opportunities.
Outlook: MLR is poised to take SMA, which could confirm a bullish surge alongside PSAR and BB support. Stay vigilant for the crossover or reversal signals.
Risk Warning: Not financial advice, trade at your own risk.
Long Entry Signal for DGB/USDT DigiByteMLR Nearing SMA: The MLR (blue) is below but approaching the SMA (pink), hinting at a potential bullish crossover.
MLR > BB Center: MLR exceeds the Bollinger Bands Center Line (orange), signaling growing bullish momentum.
PSAR: PSAR dots (black) are below the price, supporting an uptrend.
Price > SMA 200: Price is above the 200-period SMA (red), indicating long-term bullish strength
Trade Idea:
Entry: Consider a long position at the daily close.
Stop Loss: Place SL at yesterday’s PSAR level to limit downside risk.
Follow Me: Follow me for exit or profit-taking opportunities.
Outlook: MLR is poised to take SMA, which could confirm a bullish surge alongside PSAR and BB support. Stay vigilant for the crossover or reversal signals.
Risk Warning: Not financial advice, trade at your own risk.
FARTCOIN Long Entry Signal for FARTCOIN / USDT 3Day Time FrameTicker: FARTCOINUSDT
Timeframe: 3D
Analysis:
MLR > SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), signaling a bullish trend.
MLR > BB Center: MLR exceeds the Bollinger Bands Center Line (orange), showing strong bullish momentum.
PSAR: PSAR dots (black) are below the price, reinforcing the uptrend.
Price > SMA 21: Price is above the 21-period SMA (GREEN), indicating mid to long-term bullish strength for the 3Day time frame.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Consider a long position at this bar close.
Stop Loss: Place SL at the last PSAR level to limit downside risk.
Follow Me: Follow me for exit or profit-taking opportunities.
Outlook: All indicators align for a bullish move. Stay alert for reversal signals or trend shifts.
Risk Warning: Not financial advice, trade at your own risk
BTCUSD: Such consolidations end up very well for Bitcoin.Bitcoin just turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.578, MACD = -918.200, ADX = 29.021) and with 1W still neutral, we are again on strong long term buy levels. Today's chart is yet another illustration of the market dynamics and the similarities with the previous Cycle. The market is well on its way towards the 1.618 Fibonacci extension target, which now translates to $175,000. Unless the 1W MA50 support breaks, BTC is a buy opportunity on every pullback.
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XRPUSD: The 5 year Channel Up is targeting 6.500XRP is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 53.399, MACD = 0.310, ADX = 41.023) as since the Jan 13th High, the uptrend took a pause and turned into a sideways consolidation. As long as the 1W MA50 is intact, the Bull Cycle will be supported and since the dominant pattern is a 5 year Channel Up, we are on the latest bullish wave. As a matter of fact we have technically entered the last year of the bullish wave, which is so far identical to the March 2020 - April 2021 wave (also on RSI count). The market is currently (March 2025) on a consolidation much like March 2021. We estimate a similar +1,648% rise (TP = 6.500).
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TON/USDT: Bullish Continuation Builds Above Key Breakout ZoneThe TON/USDT market is maintaining its upward momentum after breaking out of a consolidation phase, currently testing the psychological level of 4.00. Although a pullback toward the support level and upward trendline remains possible, the breakout and close above the consolidation zone suggests that this area may now act as support.
On the daily timeframe, a bullish engulfing candle has formed, reinforcing the presence of strong buying pressure. If the market retests and holds above the breakout zone, further upside is likely. The next key target is the resistance zone around 4.40, with potential to extend toward the 4.50–4.80 range
ALTSEASON: Is it really just around the corner?The Crypto Total Market Cap (excluding the Top 10) seems to agree. And it's simply because the price has already broken past the Cycle's Triangle and despite the correction, remains supported on the HL bottom trendline. According to the 1W CCI we are currently well in line with the previous two Cycles and even though the market is unlikely to reproduce the strong returns of especially the first Cycle, it does suggest that there is one last (All Time) High left. A mere 1.382 Fibonacci extension test, will give us the much sought 1 Trillion USD target.
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BTCUSD: What if it's just a Channel Up to $175k?Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.175, MACD = -714.800, ADX = 31.665) as it is stuck between the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 but it's the wider timeframes that are particularly critical right now and more specifically the 1W, which is causing the current rebound on the 1W MA50. We can argue that the pattern since the Dec 2017 Top is a Channel Up, even though the last Bear Cycle bottom didn't make exact contact with its bottom.
We can equally however assume that the new Cycle High won't make direct contact with the Channel's Top either. And that's also backed up technically by the Fibonacci levels of the previous Cycle, which saw BTC making a Top just over the 1.618 Fib extension. Consequently we can assume the new Top to hit at least $175,000 (Fib 1.618 currently). The bullish wave is also a direct Channel Up since the November 2022 bottom after all. Even on the previous Cycle, if we exclude the COVID crash price distortion, the bullish wave was a Channel Up as well.
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Mastering Compulsiveness: Volatile Coins Like TRUMP Are a Trap My Take on Dealing with Compulsiveness in Trading: Lessons with TRUMPUSDT.P
Estimated Reading Time: Approximately 5 minutes
I chose to focus on TRUMPUSDT.P for this idea because its extreme volatility makes it a perfect example of how compulsive trading can spiral out of control. TRUMPUSDT.P, a perpetual futures contract tied to the TRUMP token, often swings 20-30% in a day, driven by political news and social media hype, which can easily tempt traders into impulsive decisions and overtrading.
After years of trading and studying trading psychology, I’ve learned how dangerous compulsiveness can be in the markets. I used to think being a good trader meant always being in the game, but I’ve seen how that mindset can lead to disaster. Compulsiveness is when you’re driven by the need to act—chasing the thrill of trading instead of focusing on steady profits. It’s a trap that can lead to overtrading, emotional exhaustion, and serious financial losses, not to mention the strain it puts on your life outside of trading.
From my experience, compulsiveness often unfolds in three stages. First, you get a taste of winning, and it makes you feel unstoppable, so you keep pushing for more action. Then, when losses start piling up, you enter a losing phase where you trade recklessly to get back what you lost. Before you know it, you’re in a desperation phase, completely consumed by the need to recover, which often leads to even bigger losses. I’ve been through this cycle myself, and it’s a tough one to break.
One thing that really helped me was learning how to spot compulsive behavior. I came across a set of questions from Gambler’s Anonymous that can help you figure out if you’re showing signs of compulsiveness—like feeling the urge to trade after a loss or letting trading take over other parts of your life. It’s a simple way to check in with yourself and see if you’re heading down a risky path.
Over time, I’ve picked up some strategies to keep compulsiveness in check and build better discipline. The biggest one is to only trade when I have a clear, logical reason—like a price reaching a key support or resistance level on the daily chart of TRUMPUSDT.P—otherwise, I stay out of the market, no matter how much I feel the itch to jump in. I’ve also learned to pay attention to my emotional state and recognize when I’m trading out of impulse rather than focus. Shifting my mindset to care more about the process of trading well, rather than the excitement of being in a trade, has made a huge difference. I make sure to take breaks when I feel the urge to overtrade, set strict limits on how much I’m willing to risk, and always take time to reflect on why I’m making a trade in the first place.
What I’ve come to understand is that trading isn’t about constant action—it’s about mastering your mind. Compulsiveness can ruin your trading if you let it take over, especially with a volatile ticker like TRUMPUSDT.P, but with self-awareness and discipline, you can get past it. For me, it’s all about trading with intention, keeping my emotions in check, and focusing on long-term consistency instead of short-term thrills.
If you found this helpful, keep following me for more educational materials on the psychology of trading. I’ll be sharing more insights and strategies to help you master your mindset and become a more disciplined trader.
Bitcoin Looking Bullish on 4 hour - printing a bull FlagBitcoin is certainly looking Bullish on the lower time frames and, in my opinion, continur to fall in the Flag till we get near that lower Trend line of Ascending channel we been making since the Low around 76K
The 4 hour MACD is falling Bearish and support the idea of a continues Drop to lower Trend line
I think the Margins are too tight to do any day trading
Just Sitting, waiting.
Longer term, I am still prepared to see another Drop Lower but maybe not to the 76K range again.
The Monthly candle for March is currently Green off an expected RED.
It has Long wicks above and Below, showing a good fight between Bulls and Bears.
The Body of this candle is not Big but it would take a serious drop out of range to turn it red
So, RELAX
We should be OK
Long Entry Signal for ACH/USDT - Bullish Setup (Daily Chart)
Symbol:
Timeframe: Daily
Analysis:
MLR > SMA: The MLR (blue) is above the SMA (pink), signaling a bullish trend.
MLR > BB Center: MLR exceeds the Bollinger Bands Center Line (orange), showing strong bullish momentum.
PSAR: PSAR dots (black) are below the price, reinforcing the uptrend.
Price > SMA 200: Price is above the 200-period SMA (red), indicating long-term bullish strength.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Consider a long position at the daily close.
Stop Loss: Place SL at the current PSAR level to limit downside risk.
Follow Me: Follow me for exit or profit-taking opportunities.
Outlook: All indicators align for a bullish move. Stay alert for reversal signals or trend shifts.
Risk Warning: Not financial advice, trade at your own risk