High Potenzial Invest Flow/EurAfter years and month of downtrend, now the important volume comes in and also the trendline broke through with this massiv volumen. In my eyes a no brainer, now investing some money and in the next month to years in combination with the industry / german / europe crisis it´s a very good way to diversify your money. The potenzial is up to x 40 maybe a new higher high x 70, but with a easy attitude and a realistic mind first realization from x8 - x10 because the volatility of crypto assets and then buying back with cost average. gl & hf
Crysis
XPTUSD - BULLISH SENTIMENTXPTUSD - has been ascending solidly with minor exceptions in a bullish channel since the beginning of February 23. Due to some uncertainties around the mining crisis in SA, one of the largest producers of the precious metal the price tag by BofA is set around $1400-$1500 by year-end, which makes a 40%-50% anticipated surge in the next 7-9 months.
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USDC(Stablecoins)👉🏻 Bankfalls 👉🏻FED Regulation 👉🏻 CBDCUSDC
USDC - US, peg lost
Price is recovering and is now $0.95
This happened because Silicon Valley has a big problem, i will not go into details of this problem and how much collateral is lost.
The fact is that the price of USDC was dropping to $0.86 and the price has not recovered yet to 1$
I am writing this post on Sunday because tomorrow is Monday and there will be an emergency FED meeting and the most interesting
Scenarios :
1. the USDC is recovering and all is well, but confidence in this stablcoin is lost. Because, I will note so far the price has not recovered, ok there is a liquidity gap in steiblocoin pairs, but here is a different situation.
2. What if the price doesn't recover
What to do?
-Where to move to USDT?
There is a scenario, when most of people go to USDT and then collapse the exchange rate of USDT (apocalypse Scenario).
- Go to cash
- Speculative option (not financial advice)
Short USDCUSDT using Bitcoin Inverse contract with 1x leverage. The underlying asset for collateral will be BTC and the trading pair will be to the dollar.
Of course you will pay a funding.
If BTC goes down, we will have a profit from the short that will compensate for the downside movement. If it goes up, and since the underlying asset is BTC, then at closing the position the price in dollars will be exactly the same.
We can look at the chart of the UST
The decline to 0.65, recovery to 0.92 and then you see what happened.
Of course, these are two different companies, different approaches, different backgrounds.
USDC is much more serious
But if you have some large part of the USDC you decided to speculate and earn 10%+ and you are not calm,
shouldn't you just get rid of that asset without putting your deposit at great risk.
Any Stablecoin is now a risk you take on yourself.
Considering perfect storm scenarios.
And where it all goes, and the direction this CBDC is headed .
As the
FED says it doesn't see any advantage in digital assets
Why the Fed hates cryptocurrencies and especially stablecoins
www.cnbc.com
Required reading👆🏻
Many banks involved in cryptocurrency transactions were caught
twitter.com
What's next
This is probably the first time you will see this company
FedNOW - is a service developed by the Federal Reserve for depository institutions in the United States. It will allow individuals and businesses to send instant payments. Banks will be able to create products based on the FedNow platform. FedNow is scheduled to launch between May and July 2023.
In this case you don't need banks when you have a FED _federal reserve system account
FedNOW will provide the end user wallet in FED
"A dollar in CBDC form is a liability of the central bank. The Federal Reserve has to pay you back."
The plan became clear?
This is all to finish off both banks and most of the crypto market will be the regulation of the cryptocurrency market
I'm all about regulation in this article 👇🏻
The show must go on
Tomorrow is Monday, opening of U.S. markets, urgent Fed meeting, it will be fun.
I want to add a positive, if there will be a collapse, and it will happen sooner or later, we will see on the market will be inefficiencies on which arbitrage teams, and other market participants will be able to make big money. Our team has been tracking some inefficiencies since 2019 the result was on the falls in March 2020 and May 2021.
What will happen to bitcoin. We can see that when the USDC went down the price of bitcoin relative to it became higher than to the pair USDT. Bitcoin is digital gold, at the beginning of the digital age.
Crisis is always a time of opportunity.
Best regards EXCAVO
The most terrible thing is to see clear logic in all thisIn the early days, it seemed that the whole situation was pure madness, from which everyone would lose: the oligarchs and top officials in both countries of the conflict would be deprived of a luxurious life; the population will once again become poorer; politicians will receive reputational damage - some allowed the war, others unleashed it; EU countries will fall into a crisis due to energy prices, and will lose a large sales market; etc... And, it would seem, what is all this for? For the sake of restoring historical borders or salvation from the Nazis? Not! There is a completely banal reason, which they are trying to hide behind pathos speeches. This is money.
But everyone lost... In fact, not all! A week after the start of hostilities in Ukraine, the beneficiaries became obvious to me.
USA.
For an empire to thrive, it must siphon resources from the colonies. If the empire instead sends resources to the periphery, then it ends up as the USSR. Someone has to pay for a banquet with inflating bubbles in the financial markets during the period of financialization, in the terminal stage of the existence of the current world-system. The US has huge problems with inflation and debt. And rates cannot be raised so as not to bring down the stock market and not to disperse unemployment. Any tightening of monetary policy will lead to the loss towards China in the race for leadership. And there is only one way to solve this problem - you need to ensure a rapid outflow of capital from the periphery to yourself. And capital does not run away from anything so quickly as from war. So the States will put the wave "3" in the S&P index.
EU.
The next victim of the hegemon will be the European Union. Prices for energy resources are not only a very high communal apartment, which will inevitably lead to protests of the population; but also, more importantly, the cost of production. Cars, trains and planes will rise in price, so they will begin to lose in the competition to "partners" from the United States. The accumulated contradictions will lead to a series of crises in the EU and the bankruptcy of the peripheral members of the union - Greece, Portugal, the Baltic states and others. The semi-peripheries of Britain, Germany and France will shift their costs to the satellites. This is the wave "5" in the S&P index, the end of the hegemon's dominance.
China.
When capital is exhausted in all colonies, peripheries and semi-peripheries, then the decline of the empire will happen. But the end of the US dominance cycle will not be herbivorous at all, as we are now seeing. The same was observed by our ancestors at the beginning of the last century, when Britain was replaced by America. And their ancestors saw the same at the time of the change of leader from Holland to Britain. And before that, in capitalism there was also the Genoa cycle. Pablo Escobar once said that there can only be one king. And he was deadly right.
But why China? Due to the fact that the leadership in the brave new world is provided by the industrial revolution, to which the PRC is now closest.
Russia.
The "progressive elite" has an opinion that "everything is bad in Russia, and it will get even worse." But did you know that Russia is the only country in the world, apart from the USA, that has its own processor architecture? There is also the British ARM, but it is only nominally British. This is important in the sense that without access to microelectronics, which are the brains of everything from phones and cars to machine tools and servers, China will not be able to overtake the US. In many ways, this is why China is supporting Russia in this mess. Well, wood, wheat, military technology, oil and gas at reasonable prices in the appendage.
And what about Russia itself? In the flow of news about the bombing of peaceful Ukrainian cities and the flight of capital from the Russian Federation and Ukraine, the news about the nationalization of companies in Russia passed by many.
In simple terms, $10 billion was allocated to buy up depreciated securities, primarily export and technology companies. These companies in dollars fell at the time of the suspension of trading by 3-5 times. This means that the state will receive 5 or more stocks at the price of one outside the exchange, gold reserves are not stored in rubles. By the way, the gold reserves themselves in the NATO countries are approximately equivalent to the amount of corporate debt of depreciated companies, which means that debts can be mutually nullified. The stocks were bought at an unprecedented low cost, and dividends on foreign exchange earnings will now remain in the country. There is no point in taking them abroad - the yacht will not be sold and arrested. This means that they will have to be spent in Russia, which will serve as a multiplier growth of the economy in 5-10 years, when economic agents recover from the shock. Yes, when it seems that everything is lost, the Russian Federation will begin decades of economic growth. Buy when there's blood on the streets, even if it's yours! :o)
Those who play in long will get more in the end than they have now lost. But you can't bring back the dead...
NASDAQ - The second wave has begun!As we can see on the chart we have broken through the upward channel and we are ready for a correction. The correction on theory should have the TP1 target, but I think there is something else that could be going on. I have the following fundamental reasons for thinking that we will see much deeper drop:
- The elections are comming in America and this creates a lot of uncertainty, because of the different policies that could get implemented if whoever gets elected. This makes investors worried and they could pull their invesments out till all of this has cleared.
- The second wave of the virus has officialy started already in some countries like South Korea and also in Europe we see huge increase in new confirmed cases. There are many theories about a second wave in September which would be even stronger and this could scare investors aswell and pontetially close lead to closing down businesses which would triger even lower bottom.
- The stimulus packages are not going to last forever! They actually helped people through unemployment and also gave a little economy boost, but once it is over, people won't spend money and the economy will slow down again.
- There are many tenants who can't pay their rent and the landlords won't be able to recieve that rent, which they need to most likely pay for their mortgage, so this will lead to a chain reaction which will again slow down the economy and most likely cause housing crash.
- There are many people who can't repay their loans, because they don't have a job or stable income, so there would be a higher default rate on loans.
- The small businesses were damaged heavily by the virus and many of them won't recover, so this will hurt the economy and the people.
- The gains we saw in the market are unrealistic and right now everyone is just buying in without good fundamentals, so this is bound to fall sharp at one point or another, because the banks have to take out their profits. When this happens and it is most likely happening right now, the market will fall and wipe out as aways the retail investor.
My advice is don't short the economy just yet, rather be well diversified and reduce the risk! Make sure you have some money on the sidelines and be ready to buy into the market if we fall. Aways invest for the long-term and just be ready to buy more. Leave your comments bellow, if you like the idea give it a like!
Is it going to jump off again? Waiting for take off.Sliding on the support, MACD and RSI looking promising. Let's see what happens next.
What will happen? If it exits the triangle next monday, it will be quite good position for playing long here.
Spy - Going for wave 5Hello everyone, as we can see we have huge unemployment numbers in America, because of the virus, so we will most likely see that number increase. This means that we will most likely see another wave down. We have made perfect 4 waves, so now we have the perfect set-up for wave 5 down. We have also just bounced from the bottom of the channel that we have formed, so all those 3 signs lead me to believe we will drop to around 200.
SPX - Huge unemployment = huge dropHello everyone, as we can see we have huge unemployment numbers in America, because of the virus, so we will most likely see that number increase. This means that we will most likely see another wave down. We have made perfect 4 waves, so now we have the perfect set-up for wave 5 down. We have also just bounced from the bottom of the channel that we have formed, so all those 3 signs lead me to believe we will drop to around 2000.
DAX30 - Trade the breakout of the flagHello everyone, as we saw yesterday we had a giant selloff to about 15% and today we saw expected bounce of 7%. This was just a deadcat bounce, the fundamentalls haven't changed and the virus and the crysis is getting worse in Europe, since many countries are closed from the world, closed workplaces so selling makes a lot of sense. Safest tradeing is to wait for a breakout of the flag, which hopefully turns out to be AB=CD
Brace yourselves - WB IndicatorGrosso Modo Disclaimer
I aynt no financial adviser bla bla....
So the Warren Buffet indicator is based on total stocks capitalization divided by USA GDP multiplied by 100.
Basically if the STOCKS market capitalization is greater then USA GDP, its close to a bubble (see the tops white-ish rays), if its lower there is money in the market to invest and a great time to get into it.
26/09/2017 AVH AnalysisDue to the continuation of the pilot strike and the cancellation of many flights, the trend continues to bearish.