XRPUSDT: Turning Bullish, Chart Signals +20% Upside PotentialHey Realistic Traders!
Is XRPUSDT Gearing Up for a Major Bull Run or Just Faking Us Out Again? Let’s Break It Down...
XRPUSDT has finally broken out of its bearish channel, and price action is holding strong above that zone. This is a solid indication that bulls are gaining control. Shortly after the breakout, a smaller falling wedge formed, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern.
What adds further interest to this setup is that the falling wedge appears to be developing during what may be Wave 4 of the Elliott Wave cycle. While Wave 4 is usually corrective, it can occasionally take the form of a wedge or triangle-like pattern. If this interpretation holds, it would suggest that a bullish Wave 5 may follow, often the final impulse leg in the trend.
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, a fresh breakout has just occurred, further strengthening the bullish case. Adding to this, the MACD has printed a golden cross, a classic momentum signal that supports the outlook for continued gains.
With all these factors aligning, the first target is set at 2.5454. A minor pullback could occur at that level before price continues its move toward the second target at 2.8535. Both targets have been calculated using Fibonacci extension levels from the current bullish wave.
This outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the stop-loss level at 2.0355.
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Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Ripple.
Crytotrader
XRP/USDT I Reverse Short Squeeze Alert! Resistance at 2 USDTHey Traders after the success of my Previous trade this month on NASDAQ:HOOD hitting Target 1 & 2 in 2 days more than 16%+
With a Similar Trade setup But Crypto I bring you today
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Short opportunity
- Market structure
- Head and shoulder pattern
- Currently will be trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal which is taking place as we speak- 4 Hour TF.
- Breakdown and retest
- Risk Aversion Dynamics in Cryptocurrency Markets
PROTIP/-
Entry on Bearish candle stick pattern on Current Levels
Stop Loss : 2.2292
Target 1 : 1.4707
Target 2 : 1.0507
Technical View
The orange circle marks a double top within the supply zone, acting as the shoulders of a larger head and shoulders pattern, suggesting strong resistance.
Bearish Trendline
breakdown + Retest
Risk Aversion Dynamics in Cryptocurrency Markets
Fundamental View - How Current Affairs can effect this pair!
The proposed imposition of significant tariffs, such as the 60% levy on Chinese imports suggested by former U.S. President Donald Trump, could trigger a chain reaction across global markets. This scenario would likely amplify risk aversion among investors, potentially catalyzing a sell-off in risk-sensitive assets like XRP (Ripple) in favor of perceived safe havens such as the U.S. dollar (and by extension, Tether/USDT). Below, we analyze the mechanics of this relationship and its implications for the XRP/USDT trading pair.
1. Tariff Escalation and Its Macroeconomic Consequences
1.1 Direct Impact on China’s Economy
A 60% tariff on Chinese exports to the U.S. would directly reduce China’s export competitiveness, potentially lowering its GDP growth by 1.5–2.5 percentage points annually, according to UBS economists. This slowdown would exacerbate existing vulnerabilities in China’s economy, including a property market crisis, weak domestic demand, and deflationary pressures (June 2024 CPI: 0.2% YoY). Reduced economic activity in China—the world’s second-largest economy—could dampen global trade volumes and commodity prices, indirectly affecting risk sentiment in financial markets.
1.2 Global Spillover Effects
The UBS analysis highlights that retaliatory measures by China or other nations could amplify trade fragmentation, further destabilizing supply chains and corporate earnings. For example, the April 2025 announcement of 25% U.S. tariffs on automotive imports triggered a 2.9% drop in the S&P 500 and a 5–7% decline in major Asian equity indices. Such volatility often precedes broader risk aversion, as investors reassess exposure to growth-dependent assets.
2. Risk Aversion Dynamics in Cryptocurrency Markets
2.1 Flight to Safety and USD Appreciation
During periods of economic uncertainty, capital typically flows into safe-haven assets like U.S. Treasuries and the dollar. Tether (USDT), a stable coin pegged 1:1 to the USD, often benefits from this dynamic as crypto traders seek stability. For instance, Bitcoin’s role as a “weak safe haven” for the USD in acute crises suggests that stable coins like USDT could see increased demand during tariff-induced turmoil, while altcoins like XRP face selling pressure.
2.2 XRP’s Sensitivity to Risk Sentiment
XRP, unlike Bitcoin, lacks established safe-haven credentials. Its price action in Q2 2025 exemplifies this vulnerability: a 7.5% decline over 30 days (peaking at 2.57 USDT on March 19 and bottoming at 1.64 USDT on April 7). This volatility aligns with broader patterns where altcoins underperform during risk-off periods. A global slowdown would likely intensify this trend, as retail and institutional investors reduce exposure to speculative crypto assets.
3. Mechanism: From Tariffs to XRP/USDT Price Decline
3.1 Investor Behavior in Risk-Off Environments
Tariff Announcements → Equity Market Sell-Off: The April 2025 auto tariffs caused a 6–7% drop in Asian equities, signaling growing risk aversion.
Liquidity Reallocation: Investors exit equities and crypto (including XRP) to hold cash or cash equivalents like USDT.
USD/USDT Demand Surge: Increased demand for USD lifts USDT’s relative value, pressuring XRP/USDT downward.
3.2 Technical and Fundamental Pressure on XRP
Supply-Demand Imbalance: As sellers dominate XRP markets, the token’s price in USDT terms declines. The 14.56% 90-day volatility in XRP/USDT suggests heightened sensitivity to macroeconomic shocks.
Liquidity Crunch: A broader crypto market downturn could reduce trading volumes, exacerbating price swings.
4. Historical Precedents and Limitations
4.1 Bitcoin’s Mixed Performance as a Hedge
While Bitcoin has shown limited safe-haven properties for the USD in short-term crises, its decoupling from altcoins like XRP during stress periods is well-documented. For example, Bitcoin’s 40% rebound post-COVID crash contrasted with XRP’s prolonged slump in 2020–2021.
4.2 Mitigating Factors
Stimulus Measures: If China implements aggressive fiscal stimulus, as UBS posits, a partial recovery in risk appetite could cushion XRP’s decline.
Crypto-Specific Catalysts: Regulatory clarity or Ripple-related developments (e.g., SEC case resolutions) could counteract macro-driven selling.
5. Conclusion: Bearish Outlook for XRP/USDT in Tariff Scenario
In a tariff-driven slowdown, the XRP/USDT pair faces downward pressure due to:
Risk Aversion: Capital rotation from crypto to stable coins.
USD Strength: USDT demand surges as a proxy for dollar safety.
Altcoin Underperformance: Historical precedent of XRP lagging during macro stress.
People interested should monitor China’s policy response and U.S. tariff implementation timelines, as these factors will determine the severity of XRP/USDT’s downside. A breach below the April 7 low of 1.64 USDT could signal prolonged bearish momentum.
This analysis synthesizes macroeconomic triggers, market psychology, and cryptocurrency-specific dynamics to outline a plausible pathway for XRP/USDT depreciation amid escalating trade tensions.
Not An Investment Advise
BTCUSD - Top Down AnalysisStarting with the 1 hour timeframe, price-action is currently trading in a wedge formation below the 200 Simple Moving Average (SMA) RSI is also below 50 suggesting that bears are currently stronger.
Let's take a look at the 4hr.
With the 4hr timeframe we can get a better view of the wedge. RSI is below 50, and it appears price action wants to pullback to the 200 SMA.
Lastly let's take a look at the daily, the timeframe that really matters the most.
This timeframe convinces me that price action is likely to drop back down to the ascending trendline. However I believe on another retest, that ascending TL very well could break is we get strong bearish momentum. If PA breaks the ascending TL, expect 50k to be the next level of support in the days/weeks ahead.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe
BTC got a dandruff problem?If you find this info inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better!
Head and shoulders ideas. Dont have to use all that fancy stuff... some times, some times, the old school stuff will work out too.
Cheers.
Buy Ocean Now Now On Supportocean Usdt = Buy FromGreen Line Support And Sell On Resistance It Can Now Pump From Here
Buy Your Own Risk It's just My Research
SOL: Preparing to open a short orderWe have a expanded target at around $257.
Two options for a short order:
1. We'll wait it goes down $241 and open a short order with TP at $220 and SL $245. This is a safer option.
2. We'll open a short order when it surge above trend line with the same TP's option 1 and SL at $258.
The diagonal wave is a chance to take huge profit.
Wait and see
I ANALYZE FOR YOUR COMFORT - DOGENeutral prediction, with declining trends for DOGE, who seems to have been abandoned by his "father". Musk announces the suspension of payments in Bitcoin for Tesla, and thus gives a push down the entire Crypto sector. Patience and tobacco for now .....
If my analysis is useful to you, press Like and follow. If you want other assets to be analyzed, leave the symbol in the comment, and in a maximum of one hour I will publish the analysis. Everything is green !!
BTCUSD: Sell Limit - Go onHi, my name is Shooter_Forex .
BTCUSD After retest at exactly 59000. If a return of 59000 creates a signal, you can sell. A strong or weak force must see the signal is created then.
I use the following methods:
1. Price Action
2. Supply Demand Zone
3. Risk management: Investment capital (4% / deal)
Bitcoin Signal Is Doing WellGood day guys! I am updating you all on this trade. We are still holding this buying signal, since last week. Make sure to push your SL into profit. I would say around the .786 fibonacci level or 57934.30 price level. This trade turned out to be tremendous for us and those who took the signal. We do see more bullish momentum to the upside, however, a good pullback could come. Remember to secure your bag. Be sure to like and leave a comment below. We appreciate you for checking out our post and remember, we will see you on the other side.
Rodrick (CEO)
Third Eye Traders