Smart Money Positioned to LONG Cotton - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Cotton (CT)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CT if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold
Extreme Positioning: Commercials around max long of last 3 years - bullish. Small specs around max short of last 3 years - bullish.
OI Analysis: "Bubble Up" of positioning happening between commercials and large specs = bullish.
COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal
Supplementary Indicators: UO & Momentum (not yet confirmed)
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
CT
Upside Ahead for Cotton - COT Strategy BuyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Cotton (CT)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CT if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Extreme Positioning: Commercials more long than they've been in 3 years = bullish.
OI Analysis: We are seeing a "Bubble Up" between Commercials & Large Specs. This is a sign of a significant bottom being formed.
Valuation: Undervalued VS Gold
COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal
Supplementary Indicators: %R Buy Signal
Remember, this is not a "Buy Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
NNOX Bull Run on FDA Clearance ( Med Tech)NNOX on the 15 minute chart is on a 100% move due to FDA clearance of its new 3D technology for Xrays. This will revolutionize Xrays for the
medical field like MRIs did when they come out compared with CT Scan. This is an Israeli company whose technology will be inexpensive and will
potentially be adapted globally. The market is measured in multiple billions $$$. The chart is self evident. Notable, is the volume spike
corresponding to the price action.
I will buy a large quantity of call options DTE about 90-120 and scale out gradually and unrealized profits are shown.
Cotton Long Trade IdeaCotton has been in a range for a long time. Currently, we see a reversal. The drought in the USA and Asia has significantly influenced the supply side, which is noticeable in the price. Also, seasonally, an upward trend is expected. However, the COT data from the COT report do not confirm the buy signal. Nevertheless, I still anticipate an upward trend if the fundamental situation in the market fully prevails
FTM/USDT Shorting this liquidity grabFTM has reached resistance, invalidation at ~ $2.95. This is caused by hype on social media and you can make money by shorting this in this zone right now.
Make sure not to overleverage as the value of the coin is small and the volatility & market cap require you to have a good plan and breathing space in order to execute this trade right.
let's try that again, $btc parabolic sar buy/sell chart #btcthanks to
@igjulb
for showing me parabolic sar , here is a buy/sell chart im gonna test w a bot, but can be used manually as well $btc
link to copy chart to trading view tradingview.com
bottom
Price volume trend (red/green)
rsi div
red( bearish div )
pivot (blue)
green( bullish div )
Function Sine Wave
Volume
top
custom modified EMA to MA cross
TeddyClep's Ichi cloud
3 functional polynomial regressions (1000,250,10)
zoomed in $btc 1hr #crypto #bitcoin #btctesting out my customized ema trend indicator with
bottom
Price volume trend (red/green)
rsi div
red( bearish divergence)
pivot (blue)
green( bullish divergence )
Function Sine Wave
Volume
top
modified EMA to MA cross
TeddyClep's Ichi cloud
3 functional polynomial regressions (1000,250,10)
multipanel test for $btc $eth $uni $fil #crypto #cttesting out my customized ema trend indicator with
bottom
Price volume trend (red/green)
rsi div
red(bearish divergence)
pivot (blue)
green(bullish divergence)
Function Sine Wave
Volume
top
modified EMA to MA cross
TeddyClep's Ichi cloud
3 functional polynomial regressions (1000,250,10)
BTC - 4 Hour chart update.- Price is downtrending in the 4 hour chart and is now trading into some demand.
- Price violated the low at 7199 and formed a minor supply from the move down.
- Price is retesting the minor supply and could continue down from here.
- Bearish until price breaks 7135 unless price forms another high that is then violated.
How do you know if you are emotionally attached to Bitcoin?How do you know if you are emotionally attached on Bitcoin?
Have you ever wondered how to gauge personal emotion in the markets?
Would it be nice if you could check a meter on your emotion levels to stop yourself from making bad choices?
I asked myself how I would find a good gauge for this many times... and over the years I have learned the only thing you need to check is so simple... but many people still miss it.. or try to get around this LAW of trading..
So I am going to give it to you for free today..
THE BIG SECRET IS..................................... CHECK UR DAMN POSITION SIZE / LEVERAGE.................................................................................
If you are over leveraged (margin) you are being too emotional!
If you are using more than a few % of your account per Altcoin trade then you are being too emotional!
If you are 100% in the market and you have 0% USD / USDT / USDC then you are being too emotional!
if you don't have at least 15% USD / USDT / USDC then you are being too emotional!
If you are less than 30% Bitcoin (the most stable crypto asset that isnt stable coin) then you are being too emotional!
If you are checking your computer every hour paranoid about prices then you are being too emotional!
.................................................................................................................................................................................................
So that's the secret if you are wondering about you emotions check on these simple things..
with that being said Bitcoin is looking very bullish especially if we get this 8 day candlestick to close bullish & neckline breakout at 11k
Staying long based on my previous analysis -
Tezos is a Altcoin I am watching on the shorter time frames.. it finally looks good after a long downtrend
Stay profitable out there! Happy Monday
CT overbought. Looking for sideways to take a breatherTechnically overbought. New highs made with declining volume. Not an indicator for continued strength. Overall uptrend is intact, but we are near upper end of trend channel. On top of that market is overbought based on BB, RSI and Stochastik.
Targets:
1. Middle bollinger Band
2.Upsloping red shorter term trendline
3. Longer term red trend line, and 100 day MA and lower BB (all similar area). --> big support
4. 200 day MA (yellow)
Cotton Ascending Triangle BreakoutCotton Ascending Triangle Breakout
Long on 40-50% pullback from breakout line
CT#11 still bearish long term - possible reversal aheadHere is my contribution to the nice ichimoku analysis done by Kumowizard and posted at www.tradingview.com
The wave count on the weekly chart reinforces the idea that bears will keep control on the mid/long-term. At this point in time it is pretty safe to assume that intermediate-3 is consolidated retracing the full 2.618 ratio and suggesting this would be an extended 3. Wave 4 retraces nicely at 0.236 times wave 3 and the AWE oscillator indicates that a 3-5 divergence is possible. Wave 5, when 3 is extended, can develop between 1 times wave 1 (equality to wave 1), 0.618 times wave 1 or (less likely in this case) 1.618 times wave 1.
On the daily chart, a couple of alternate count is possible; however, my preferred count would the one shown in orange with minor wave 3 under development.
Like Kumowizard mention in his analysis, an upward (most likely brief) movement could be possible as part of lesser degree wave count (not shown on chart above) suggesting a corrective wave 4 would be under way.
Takeaways: If the ongoing Intermediate 5 and Minor 3 materialize, it could lead us into a more consistent upward move/correction, but then again, alternate counts are possible therefore feel free to contribute.
Cotton (CT) Bottoming on Daily/Weekly ChartIn the first few hours following NFP on Friday, CT showed some hesitation before finally seeing an upside spike right in the closing hour, breaking it above downchannel resistance on the 4hr chart. In the daily chart, the symmetrical triangle CT finds itself in is edging closer towards resolution. Given that CT's RSI, Stochastics and MACD on the daily and 4hr charts are all sloping up, the symmetrical triangle will likely resolve to the upside. Just above the symmetrical triangle resistance is a horizontal resistance line I`ve drawn which served as a pivot a number of times over the last three months. Once broken, the next key upside target will likely be at roughly the 66.5 horizontal resistance and followed by another horizontal resistance line drawn near 68.
Feel free to visit stks.co for today's technical analysis on $CT_F, $USDJPY, $EURUSD, $GBPUSD, $VIX_F, $ES_F, $NQ_F, $AUDUSD, $DX_F, $NG_F, $CL_F.
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