TDC Double Cup & Handle?! Strong case for breakoutOver the past year and a half TDC has formed what looks like a double cup and handle, where the handle for the first cup&handle formation is the cup for the 2nd cup&handle.
Supporting Information:
- Formation began with a large gap down from $36.12 to $33.03 on 8/6/15
- A strong resistance/support line (currently support) at about $30.70, which also constitutes a 38.2% fib retrace from TDC's high on 2/9/17 at $33.32
- From TDC's low of $21.98 in January of last year, the stock pulled back then bounced nicely after retracing 61.8 % (fib)
- Both Stoch and CCI are currently in oversold territory
- Since TDC began consolidating on 2/13, volume has been lower on down days and higher on up days, most recently showing declining volume as the stock has dropped
- 50 day MA could provide additional support when it catches up to the stock
I would recommend waiting until there is a clear breakout of this small pullback, preferably on strong volume (at least higher than average) with a close at or near its daily high . If this happens I would expect the stock to retest its high (between $33.00-$33.30), probably consolidating just under resistance until it finally breaks out. After a breakout above $33.30, next resistance would be after the stock closes the gap created on 8/6/15, with resistance between $35.80 and $36.12
And as always, make sure you have a stop loss in place, which I would place below current support between $30.50 & $30.30 and adjust up if the breakout occurs.
Cup-handle
NGAS - potential cup & handle play on the daily chartI suggest the chart is self-explanatory. If the pattern turns out to be a cup indeed, there should be a pull back to form some shape of a handle (often times as a falling flag/triangle), then the price would sharply break out the resistance of the recent high at the cup’s edge level and would head Northbound (or more precisely – North-East).
Obviously, the exact moves are my biggest speculation to-date, but they are all based on the prior action and the resulting logic of the chart. However, regardless of the exact moves, if, again, it’s truly a cup, the eventual target is measured and is typically equal the depth of the cup.
Also, notice that should the price reach its target, another cup might shape out with the new target above NGAS’ previous all-time high.
The last but not the least, please note that this is not a trading advice but an exclusively theoretical exercise with a prohibitive level of uncertainty. Should you decide to take any positions along these lines, it is imperative (solely for your own good) that your trades are based on your OWN analysis.
Cup & Handle Bullish Medium TermWe can see the reliable bullish chart pattern of the Teacup Saucer Bottom (aka Cup & Handle) provides a strong bias to the upside. The similar hammer candles indicate continuation to the upside, post retracement. A break above the saucer high with a confirming close above this price level for a few days, would demonstrate the probability of a move to test the 143.23 July 15 high (the beginning of the pre-saucer consolidation pattern). Stay tuned.
Always feel free to leave me a comment. I love critique, as it challenges my bias and pre-conceptions; go ahead, make me uncomfortable. Then we can all benefit!:)
Cup and Handle This looks like it could be a gigantic cup and handle forming for Coca Cola. The top from 1998 ($44) was recently hit again forming the cup. Right now some consolidation is happening and forming the handle. The handle looks kind of sloppy to my, but regardless, if this break up above $45 I see a %50 - %100 rise playing out .
Inverted Cup and Handle Top or Descending Broadening Wedge?As many of you know United States and Japan's diplomats have been working on the Trans-Pacific Trade Agreement TPP. Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is an ambitious plan for a free trade agreement among 12 countries which, if realized, could cover 40 percent of global GDP. It is a key plank in President Obama's foreign policy, and an effort to anchor the US firmly to a region that is increasingly feeling the pull of Beijing's mighty economy. But huge sticking points remain, with the US and Japan -- the world's first and third largest economies -- fighting to protect important domestic industries. Washington and many of the other parties to the talks -- which also involve Chile, Mexico, Canada and several Asian countries -- say Japan's unwillingness to open its lucrative agricultural market is a deal-breaker.
Below is a news brief on the situation.
"US Trade Representative Michael Forman and his Japanese counterpart Akira Amari said 18 hours of discussions had done little to reduce the "distance" between them, especially on farm and auto products. We agreed today that our negotiators will continue until the end of the week (with) the discussion on agriculture and autos"
Gridlock between Japan and United States has shaped the charts in a unique way.
Chart Pattern
Near Term
Descending (Falling) Broadening Wedge
For the past few weeks, as many of you know from Trading View’s message board, I have posted the descending (aka falling) broadening wedge pattern. The pattern has worked perfectly and looks to be ending soon. As you can see on our chart, the falling wedge has kept closer to inside descending support line in recent weeks. This could mean that we will react in opposite manner, and the falling pattern would elongate to our upper resistance (thick black descending line) shaping a handle, or the pattern is breaking down and will speed up to the downside. I posted likely key support area's using a Fibonacci extension from important tops and bottoms from the descending wedge pattern.
Big Picture
Cup and Handle Top Pattern (6 month Cup)
Neckline 84.00 (horizontal) to 83.00 (following descending support; 0 to -2.5 degrees)
Possible Secondary Deeper Neckline at 83.00 to 82.00 (following descending support; -2.5 to -6 degrees)
Measured Target(s) 79.13 , 77.33 and 76.06
If we look at our related event between Japan and U.S. that is triggering the pattern we have shaped, and with an optimistic outcome next week, we should see our bottom somewhere near those necklines I posted above. I would also expect a possible breakout above the handle(s) I charted, rendering the cup and handle a busted pattern and the broadening wedge as a breakout. However, without a deal between the U.S. and Japan next week. I would think the market could quickly turn negative and we could fulfill the measured targets I mentioned above, measured target(s) 79.13 , 77.33 and 76.06