XAU/USD | Gold has been a good journey, next month however...I will try to keep this one short..
Hi everyone, it has been some time (7 months) since I posted my first idea stating Gold's potential. Gold reached the target 2700$ last week. However, during this week or next week possibly, I am expecting a solid change in direction that will start a short-term consolidation phase. Don't get me wrong, Gold is extremely bullish on the long-term, forming this cup & handle like formation. But throughout the next month, I believe gold will fall around ~2600$, in the worst case around ~2500$.
My reasoning is as follows,
Looking at the Monthly Chart, Gold's bullish rally carried Gold above the approximately 10-year trend, this is expected to some extent, because Gold has a lot more buying power than it had years before and there is literally a war going on, this too puts pressure on bull side.
However, one thing especially caught my attention, RSI is again over 80, which indicates Gold is overbought. In most of the cases where a stock is overbought a consolidation phase is inevitable. Looking at Gold's history, when RSI pushed these levels, in every single case, price dropped.
I've added a view that shows the whole history of Gold. And I think this view also suggest sell pressure around the current price. Note that blue marked zone is an approximation because not any information from the past is present.
To be able to keep track, I've added this view of the last 4 years. This view also indicates a lot of sell pressure for the short-term. I will update this view from time to time as Gold plays out.
Overall, lots of indications, RSI being the most solid one, show that Gold is looking for a consolidation before moving forward with the bull rally. My only concern right now is, Is gold going to push more before consolidation starts? To be honest, It is not easy to comment on that. Least we can do is wait until a solid reversal on a hourly chart. I wouldn’t suggest shorting in situations like this without waiting for confirmation...
Please do your own analysis before taking risks, Stay safe...
Cup And Handle
SOLUSDT Cup and Handle Pattern Suggests Potential Bullish MoveSOLUSDT Technical analsysi uopdate
SOLUSDT has formed a cup and handle pattern on the weekly chart over the past 1080 days, which is a bullish signal. The price is currently forming the handle, and once it breaks above the handle's resistance, we can expect a strong upward move, signaling the continuation of the long-term uptrend.
Regards
Hexa
Honestly, I don't feel like explaining, the chart says it all !!SOLUSDT is in the ascending phase by the cup and handle.
SOL is in a large C&H if it follows these pattern, the price will have a nice rally.
⭐The pattern increases the price by the amount of the measured price movement (AB=CD).
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
[C&H] TRON is creating base for move up higherKRAKEN:TRXUSD seem to have broken out of a cup and handle pattern and in process of retest/consolidation. It might retest the breakout zone around 0.143 before a move up higher. Note that all time highest close (higher green line) would likely act as resistance but if we manage to break past it then we should see 0.41 levels as per the height of C&H pattern.
From Elliott wave perspective though, it looks much more bullish with a potential target of 1.12 in medium term. Will share the counts in a separate post.
Semiconductor stock near breakoutSemtech Corp designs analog and mixed-signal ICs used in mobile phones, computers, telecom networks
The price is near 52-week highs 2 years after it gapped down for a -27% loss
Is showing volatility contraction as is forming a big cup & handle with pivot buy around $49
The relative strength ratio with NASDAQ:SMH is also near breaking out and the IBD RS rating is 97, confirming that the stock is a market leader
IBD Quote
NuScale Power (SMR) - Cup and Handle Breakout, Target $25 - $40Overview:
NuScale Power Corporation (NYSE: SMR) is showing a bullish Cup and Handle pattern, a classic setup that often precedes a significant upward move. The cup has formed over the past few months, and the stock is currently in the handle formation, signaling a potential breakout.
Technical Setup:
Pattern: Cup and Handle
Breakout Level: ~$20.31 (current resistance area)
Target Zone: $25.37, $33.65, and $40.57 (potential targets based on previous resistance levels and measured move)
Handle Formation: The current consolidation in a descending channel within the handle adds to the potential breakout strength.
Price Action:
A breakout above the $20.31 level would confirm the cup and handle pattern, with the first target around $25.37 and higher targets up to $40.57.
The price could continue to consolidate within the handle for the next couple of weeks before making a decisive move, making now a good time to watch for a breakout.
Risk Management:
A drop below the $18 level would negate the setup, suggesting further consolidation or a potential reversal.
Catalysts:
Watch for upcoming earnings and other news that could act as a catalyst for the breakout.
Nat Gas: Heating Up into the WinterBrief Overview on Natural Gas
Natural Gas is a commodity generally traded on the premise of weather forecasts indicating cooler or warmer seasons. This allows traders to speculate on demand for the product as it generally trades higher with cooler temperatures. Today we are looking at the weekly chart.
Thesis: Technical Analysis Pointing to a Bounce
This analysis is mainly focused on the lasting demand zone that Natural Gas time and time again respects and typically bounces from. The weekly chart points to the likelihood that the R/R is favorable for a long position at these levels in the 2.20's. Not only do we see NG tap back into this heavy demand zone, but we also can see a Cup & Handle on the weekly chart signaling potential greater upside.
Demand Zone offers strong R/R as it dips back in to these levels.
Cup & Handle can represent even further upside, but will rely on the initial rebound to prompt the possibility of it playing out.
There is also a trendline (not pictured) that is supporting the current bounce we are seeing today from the 2.18/2.19 level. It is important to note that the commodity has been seeing higher lows since the Spring.
Lastly, a tap of fundamentals play into this idea as well. Though winter demand is always priced in, this year forecasts have repeatedly painted the picture that this winter will be historically mild. Due to these forecasts implying less seasonal demand for Nat Gas, a shift in the shorter-term and more accurate models as we approach the winter season will sharply move the price of Nat Gas and represents that the current price is truly pricing in a very mild winter. This basis supports the idea of great R/R on this LONG trade idea.
Disclosure
I am currently in a long position in Natural Gas after entering on the Friday (10/18) Close
My position includes: AMEX:UNG Credit Spread 13/12P , AMEX:BOIL common shares
If this thesis holds up, I would plan to roll my credit spread contracts into further expirys
Thanks for reading!
Not Financial Advice
Called out $SOFI before it's epic move! Where is it going next? Posted about this massive trade setup on NASDAQ:SOFI over a week ago. Hopefully you got on this train. Now that we've had a parabolic move on this name lets go to the charts and see what's going on with the name and where it will go next.
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IDUSDT: Bullish Breakout or Panic-Inducing Breakdown?Yello, Paradisers! Are you ready for a major move on IDUSDT? If you’ve been keeping an eye on this one, you might be in for a game-changer!
💎IDUSDT is approaching the resistance trendline, forming a classic Cup & Handle pattern—and we’ve got a bullish divergence in play.
💎If IDUSDT breaks and closes a candle above the resistance zone, it will confirm the Cup & Handle pattern, significantly increasing the odds of a bullish reversal. This could be your signal to ride the wave up!
💎Now, if we get a pullback, don’t panic. We’re eyeing a bounce off the support zone. But for a safer bet and higher probability in our favor, we need to see a bullish I-CHoCH in lower timeframes for confirmation.
💎On the flip side, if the price breaks down and closes candle below the support zone, that’s a red flag. It will invalidate our bullish scenario altogether.
Be patient, wait for the right confirmation, and avoid emotional decisions. Smart trading is about following the strategy and never rushing the market. Stay sharp and disciplined, Paradisers! 💪
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
WE GOT A 5/5 TRADE SETUP ON $SOFI! Cup n Handle about to BUST! NASDAQ:SOFI
🖐️WE GOT A 5/5 TRADE SETUP ON SOFI
My trading strategy consists of 5 Indicators:
1.) A clear and clean Charting pattern setup.
✔️ For this chart that is a CUP N HANDLE pattern which is about to breakout.
2.) A Volume Gap to fill and strong buying area.
✔️ Volume gap up to $13.
3.) The MACD up trending. Crossing Zero line = Bullish ✔️ We have crossed the Zero line and up trending beyond it at this time.
4.) RSI rising and making higher lows.
✔️ Up trending and just crossed the Upper RSI band. Higher lows are being made on this chart.
5.) Weekly Stochastic Up Trend. Most bullish once it crosses up through lower band or bearish once it crosses down through upper band.
✔️ Clearly are up trending on this charts stochastic and just crossed upper stoch band.
Short🎯 $11.70
Long🎯 $15.83
Bonus: Bullish sentiment behind the name and lots of catalysts.
Hope you enjoyed!
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Not financial advice.
STETHUSDT on the Brink of a Breakout or Breakdown?Yello, Paradisers! Are we about to witness a massive breakout on STETHUSDT, or is a retracement in the cards? Let’s dive into the key levels and patterns to watch closely 👇
💎STETHUSDT has recently flashed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), along with forming a Cup & Handle pattern, and is now approaching the crucial resistance trendline. This setup hints at a potential bullish move, but the critical question is: Will it break through, or reverse?
💎If STETHUSDT breaks the resistance trendline and resistance zone, it would significantly increase the probability of a strong bullish move.
💎On the flip side, if we see a retracement, we can expect a bounce from the support zone. However, we will need confirmation through a bullish Internal CHoCH (I-CHoCH) to stack the odds in our favor before considering a long position.
💎If there's a breakdown and a candle closes below the support zone, it will invalidate our bullish outlook. In that case, it’s better to sit tight and wait for clearer price action before making any moves.
🎖Trade smart, Paradisers. Discipline and patience are key here. Wait for confirmation before diving in, and always play it safe when the market shows uncertainty. Stay focused and let the setup come to you. This is how pros make it in the long run!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
ZKUSDT Bullish Cup and handle PatternZKUSDT technical analysis update
ZKUSDT price has formed a cup and handle pattern on the 4H chart and is currently forming the handle. Once the price breaks the cup and handle neckline, we can expect a strong bullish move.
Buy Level: after breakout confirmation 4H chart, above $0.155
Stop Loss: $0.140
Regards
Hexa
PAGEIND NSE RBC BO 1Y 2W Positional, Trend Line BO SwingSTOCK Analysis
PAGEIND RBC BO
TRADE PLAN
ENTRY -42400
SL -42100
TARGET --01-42900 Swing , TGT01--45500 TGT2-49700
Hold For a Year or TGT 2
Chart Pattern :
STOCK has recently broken out of Bearish Subtrend after hitting a LTH, Now its close to Forming a 1Y-2W RBC on the DTF/WTF. Targets for Swing and Positional Marked on chart
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 20EMA, and 20EM crossed above 50EMA in June in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently aligned in a ascending order 200 to 20 indicating a bullish Trend on DTF/WTF.
FIBO E :
NA
Volumes: Not Very Significant currently
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk apetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
LTH -LifeTime High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
20VMA -20Volume Moving Average
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
Is HOOKUSDT Preparing for a Big Move? Don't Miss This Key MomentYello Paradisers! Have you noticed HOOKUSDT broken out of the resistance trendline recently? This could be the setup we've been waiting for 👀
💎HOOKUSDT has broken out of its resistance trendline, and after a consolidation, it's showing signs of a Cup & Handle pattern, with bullish divergence strengthening the case for a potential upward move.
💎If HOOKUSDT breaks out and closes a candle above the resistance zone, this will validate the pattern, significantly increasing the probability of a bullish reversal from here.
💎However, in case of a retracement, a bounce from the support zone is likely, but to increase our probability, we’d want to see a bullish I-CHoCH (Internal Change of Character).
💎If the price breaks down and closes candle below the support zone, it will invalidate our bullish setup. In that scenario, it’s better to wait for clearer, stronger price action before making any moves.
🎖Patience is key here. Whether we see a breakout or breakdown, it’s important to follow the strategy and wait for high-probability setups. Consistency, not impulse, is how you succeed in this game.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
LCRX RETURNS TO THE SEEN OF THE CRIMENASDAQ:LRCX returning to the seen of the CRIME! ☕️
LCRX is retesting the Cup N Handle BREAKOUT FROM 2023! 🤯
LRCX has already tested and bounced off of its Cup n Handle breakout from 2023 twice and is forming the right shoulder of a shorter-term inverse H&S pattern!
Will it bounce again?! Drop a comment below.
The risk/reward ratio on this one is crazy good, IMO! It's going to take something drastic for that CupnHandle breakout support to bust!
My Short Term PT for this chart is: 🎯$80
My Long Term PT for this chart is: 🎯$107
Not financial advice! 🖖
Potential Correction in XAU/USD After Recent Bull RunThe price of XAU/USD has experienced a significant upward rally from $2,605 on October 10, 2024, to $2,741 as of October 21, 2024. This impressive bull run has been largely driven by market euphoria surrounding expectations of interest rate cuts. Investors have flocked to safe-haven assets like gold in anticipation of a looser monetary policy, boosting its appeal and driving prices higher.
However, despite the ongoing bullish sentiment, there are signs that a potential correction may be on the horizon. When analyzing the recent movement using the Fibonacci retracement tool, the golden ratio (61.8%) suggests a key level of potential support around $2,695. This level could act as a corrective target for profit-taking or a temporary pullback before the next leg higher. A retreat to $2,695 would align with the natural ebb and flow of price action after an extended bullish phase, providing an opportunity for the market to consolidate gains before resuming its upward trend.
In the 15-minute chart, XAU/USD is currently forming a bearish rising wedge pattern, a technical signal often associated with potential downward movement. This formation indicates that the recent bullish momentum may be losing steam, suggesting a reversal could be imminent. The narrowing price range within the wedge hints at weakening buying pressure, setting the stage for a possible breakdown.
Given the recent extended rally, traders may begin to take profits in the near term, especially as the upward momentum in XAU/USD shows signs of exhaustion. This could lead to increased selling pressure, amplifying the likelihood of a short-term correction.
If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the wedge, it would confirm the bearish signal, increasing the chances of a move towards key support levels, such as the previously mentioned $2,695 level. Traders looking to capitalize on this setup should closely monitor the price action for a clear breakdown, as it could offer strategic entry points for short positions or profit-taking opportunities for long traders.
Traders and investors should keep a close eye on this level, as a confirmed correction could present buying opportunities for those seeking to enter the market at a lower price. Conversely, if the price holds above key support levels, the bull run could continue, especially if macroeconomic factors such as additional rate cuts or geopolitical tensions further fuel gold's allure.
In conclusion, while the recent rally has been impressive, prudence suggests being prepared for a potential correction, especially with $2,695 emerging as a key technical level to watch.