Currencytrading
Clear Short on EURUSDThe chart you are looking at is 1Hour candles shown inside Daily candles. As you can see, price has approached and rejected a significant level. This is the first (and second) failed retest of this area since it was first broken with strong momentum just over a month ago on 5 July 2022. After the recent rejections, it is expected that price will fall offering an easy 4:1 Reward Risk ratio.
Could we see a new move lower on the EURUSD?Hi all, welcome to Wednesday’s update. Focus today is on the EURUSD daily chart as we continue to watch the current consolidation after buyers failed to clear resistance and sellers took back control in yesterday’s session.
Price remains in its downtrend, and we continue to see price hold its pattern of trend with LLs and LHs. Sellers just moved through the short-term uptrend yesterday, but buyers are active today, and we are seeing some higher movement holding the consolidation pattern. History could be on the seller side as we have seen two previous moves lower from points of consolidation. To signal a sell, we want to see today’s buying fail and a new decent break of yesterday’s low.
If we see a higher close today and a new move back to the top of the consolidation range, this may indicate that seller strength is not as strong as thought yesterday.
Thanks for tuning in, and we wish you all the best for the rest of the day.
Good trading.
CADJPY Triangle Gives Us Clear Entry for a BuyTriangles are always a treat to find on the charts. This is because the pattern provides an entry signal that is clear and easy to execute.
In Elliott Wave Theory, a triangle pattern consists of 5 internal subwaves, ABCDE. When those subwaves are complete, a break of the triangle is expected in the direction of the trend that occurred prior to the triangle. In this case, we are expecting a thrust to the upside, now that wave (e) is potentially complete.
Triangles always come before the final move in the larger term wave sequence. In CADJPY, this means we are expecting one more wave to the upside before price corrects to the downside. The triangle pattern gives us everything we need to catch that final bull move. Price must remain above the invalidation level of 103.34 for this interpretation to remain valid.
At minimum, we expect a move to the previous highs. We are targeting the 108.00 handle as our initial profit target. There is a good reason for this too... comment below if you want to learn how Elliott Wave Theory can help you find high probability targets as well.
At Parallax, we focus on wave analysis and 1-on-1 education to build a foundation of skills that give our clients the edge.
We trade Crypto, Forex (FX), and equities. We keep our analysis simple, clear, and easy to execute. Comment below if you would like to see more trade ideas, Elliott wave analysis, and market updates
USDCAD setting up for a new leg lower?Hello to all our subscribers and to the TradingView community, thanks for tuning in for today’s update. Today we are looking at the USDCAD off the daily chart as sellers look to be pushing at a new leg lower.
Yesterday sellers put to bed a quick recovery rally from buyers by not only killing the candle but by also breaking below 1.2855 support. This could be significant as that support level has stood for buyers since June. On top of the support break, we can also see a trend break and a new LH with the moving averages crossing and sloping downwards. The OBV indicator is also sloped down and has set two LHs.
Today price has run lower after a brief attempt to fight back, and we are looking for sellers to break the final point of demand at 1.2820. A close below that point could set of a new leg lower. Also supporting sellers at this stage is a higher oil price. So far, USOUSD is 1.58% higher. Normally when oil is higher, the USDCAD is lower as the CAD is a commodity currency and rallies with oil.
If we see a reversal and close back above 1.2855 that would be a worry for the current idea. Thursday mornings (AEST time) FOMC meeting could also have an impact on this picture. The market expects a rate increase to 2.50% from the FED this week.
Teaching My Son How To Trade USDJPYIt's such an amazing joy that my son wants to learn how to trade. He sat by me this morning said, " mom I see higher highs and higher lows." We conversed a bit and this is our conversation from this morning.
I am a forex mom who loves trading. I love my children more. This is a skill that I'm grateful to pass down to them. I pray you do the same.
EURUSD, buyers starting to set up a new continuation? Welcome to Thursday's update. So far today, we have been watching the EURUSD as buyers have started to fight back after some demand crept in yesterday.
We are watching the current price to see if a new continuation can confirm on the 4H chart as price continues to sit on its new fast uptrend. We can see the latest trend forming after buyer's first leg higher broke the last downtrend, but we still need to see price confirm with a new push higher from this point.
We would like to see a test of 1.0250 resistance, and a break of that level could confirm that we have a new trend underway. The ECB meets later today, and rates are expected to increase by 25 basis points. This is a special occasion as rates have not moved in the EU for some time now. Attention will always be on the statement and if there are hints of more to come. Will this give the EUR a short-term boost?
We want to see price continue to trade firm until the decision. If we see a break of the current trend or a move below 1.0155 this could be a bad sign for buyers on the short term.
Ensure you tune in for today's ECB meeting at 8:15 am EST. Enjoy the rest of you your day and good trading.
USDJPY Rally Slowing Down; Get Ready to Go ShortThe USDJPY rally has a bit more gas in the tank than we first thought. But the 5 wave impulse that we were tracking is developing nicely, and still appears to be running out of steam.
Here is our updated analysis on the lower time frames: we have a 5 wave impulse that is nearing completion (at multiple wave degrees). And even better: what pattern appears to be developing? Another triangle! If you saw our previous post on this pair, you know that we love to see triangles on the chart, as they are indicative of a trend change.
So in this case, we are expecting a small wave up to new highs, after which a swift reversal should occur. Price must remain above 138.56 for the triangle interpretation to remain valid.
If this wave count plays out, we will have significant opportunities to go short this pair. Let us know what you think!
At Parallax, we focus on wave analysis and 1-on-1 education to build a foundation of skills that give our clients the edge.
We trade Crypto, Forex (FX), and equities. We keep our analysis simple, clear, and easy to execute. Comment below if you would like to see more trade ideas, Elliott wave analysis, and market updates
4 Hour Short Sell Completed on AUDUSDHi Purpose traders! I'd like to give shoutouts to my clients when they take amazing trades. Today, I am highlighting Jacobi who took a beautiful sell on AUDUSD the beginning of this week and it reached profit yesterday.
She used my TMP strategy that led her to saying yes to the trade.
All she needed to know was what was the trend, where she wanted to enter the trade, exit the trade, and that's it!
Congrats to you Jacobi, and anyone else who entered the trade.
Have questions? Comment them below and let's chat.
USDJPY Rally Slowing Down; Get Ready to Go ShortUSDJPY has seen an impressive rally from the lows in late May. But there are cracks in the armor: we see strong momentum divergences in both the MACD and the RSI. We also have a nearly complete 5 wave sequence (the wave count inside the circles), with a triangle as wave ((4)).
This is very telling from an Elliott Wave point of view. Why? The triangle pattern ALWAYS precedes the final move in the larger term sequence. So, if we have a triangle pattern in wave ((4)), this suggests that we need a final wave ((5)) up (which price is tracing out now), after which the trend will shift to the downside.
How exactly you enter this position is up to you. You could wait for price to break through the support shelf around 134.30-134.80. Or if you practice Elliott Wave theory, you could wait for a smaller time frame impulse wave to the downside to confirm the new trend. Either way, we believe that the best trades in USDJPY will be to the downside.
At Parallax, we focus on wave analysis and 1-on-1 education to build a foundation of skills that give our clients the edge.
We trade Crypto, Forex (FX), and equities. We keep our analysis simple, clear, and easy to execute. Comment below if you would like to see more trade ideas, Elliott wave analysis, and market updates
Stop Chasing Reversals | Wait For This SignalIf you have a hard time spotting reversals it's because you've yet to be taught how to see them. It has nothing to do with structure, but the exchange rate itself. In this video, I will share with you how I help my clients spot reversals and the next step we use to find where price can go next.
USDCAD set to stall at or break key resistance?Hello to our subscribers and the TradingView community welcome to Wednesday’s update. With oil tumbling and the USD jumping, we can only think of one pair that benefits from those two moves. The USDCAD is highly driven on both fronts, and the CAD is a commodity currency that generally tracks oil’s fortunes. The USD, well yeh enough said.
Last night we saw key moves on oil and the USD. Oil shed up to 10% and briefly traded below the $100 level. The USD shot higher, the index trading above 106.50.
Looking at the daily USDCAD chart below, we can see that price continues to trade in a new fast trend after buyers took control on the 8th of June. Since then, we have seen one reaction that set up demand and an HL late in June. Buying has continued into July, with traders retesting key resistance and supply areas that have stood since May.
The recent resistance and supply lines up with a longer-term level of supply /resistance that runs back to November 2020. This is our line in the sand that buyers must break to continue the current trend. If we see a break above these levels, it could be game on with 1.31 and 1.32 or higher a possibility. Fail, and we would look for a new move to possibly retest the 1.2850 area.
It’s really up to buyers and mainly USD momentum to continue to drive the current buyer move. The Fed minutes are due out today at 04:00 am AEST, and they could play a role in the current short-term USD pulse.
Good trading.
New Highs For The Dollar New Lows EUROThe dollar has made new highs while EURUSD has made new lows. This means it's time to adjust and analyze the next trade setup. In this video, I am sharing who I'm quickly updating my eyes to trade EURUSD.
Remember, I'll be live here on Tradingview today at 12:00 pm EST to uncover the 3 Steps to Making Price Action Trading Easier. See you soon.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For July 1, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar market pushed the 1.04 mark on Friday - Our Key Sup 1.038 was the primary show stopper. The market appears to be likely to fall to an Inner Currency Dip of 1.031, and an ultimate Outer Currency Dip of 0.9765 is in the making.
The price of Tron will reach 0.072.Hello.
According to the analysis, the Tron currency will fall in the resistance point "Re 1" and then with the price falling on one of the support points "Su 1" or "Su 2" its price will return to the point " Re 1 "arrives.
So according to the analysis we have to keep our price up to 0.072 Tron and then sell it so that the Tron currency reaches one of the support points.
First resistance point: Re 1
First support point: Su 1
Second support point: Su2
Thank you very much for your valuable time.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For June 24, 2022Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar market has been trading under our Mean Res 1.077 and is possibly poised to move higher to the Inner Currency Rally 1.0678. The top Key Res 1.077 is the main show stopper. However, the Inner Currency 1.031 and ultimate Outer Currency Dip 0.9765 is in the making.