EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 28, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading session, the Eurodollar gyrated back and forth between our Mean Res 1.074 and Mean Sup 1.067. Currently, it is performing a dead cat rebound back to the completed Mean Res 1.074 target; However, the possibility of a sudden downturn to the first designated extension, termed as the completed Inner Currency Dip at 1.060, cannot be discounted.
Currencytrading
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 31, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's trading, the Eurodollar bounced off our Mean Res 1.089 and 1.086, respectively, to our Mean Sup 1.081, with a swift and aggressive rebound back to Mean Res 1.086. On the downside, the currency is prone to hitting the Mean Support level of 1.080 once again and targeting a well-established price level of 1.075.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 24, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar bounced off last week's established Mean Resistance level of 1.089 and reached our specified lower target of the Mean Support level of 1.082. The likelihood of revisiting the Mean Resistance level of 1.089 and reaching the Inner Currency Rally level of 1.091 is slim. On the downside, the currency is prone to hit the Mean Support level of 1.081 and target a well-established price level of 1.075.
USD/JPY Market Analysis: Downside CorrectionThe USD/JPY has been a tricky customer in the past few weeks.
We have attempted a few shorts which did not work out, the price persisted to the upside eventually breaking key structures that hold the downside.
The Bullish breaks confirm the Longer-term trend (Bullish) has resumed, however, the current rally is losing steam and we can capture a strong reversal to reset the trend.
Overview and breakdown
Current Trend: UP-Trend
Next Expectation: Downside Correction (Secondary Trend) to discount the rally for a reset of the Up-trend and to offer a lower price discount.
Area of target: Target 1: 156.28 & Target 2: 155.23 These areas represent the key structural points. The second target is the most technical point that represents the last untested structure. This point is the safety point for the buyers that enter the bullish trend at a later date. In most cases, the price correction (Secondary trend) will get here.
Another important thing to note with the 2nd Target is that; it corresponds nicely with the Fibonacci Buy-Zone measured from the Low of the entire rise to the High.
Risk and Stop Loss: Price 157.25; Technical Stop above the Momentum High.
Currency State Of Play - Midweek Portfolio Selection**Sorry about the sound**
Today, I'm looking at the Major Indices to determine the current state of play of the currency market and what we should expect for the remainder of the trading week.
The current 4HR wave structure analysis of the Indices is as follows:
DXY: +ve
EXY: Neutral
AXY: Neutral
SXY: +ve
JXY: +ve
BXY: -ve
CXY: -ve
ZXY: -ve
BUY PAIRS: No High probability Pairings based on the Indices
SELL PAIRS: GBPUSD, GBPJPY, CADJPY, NZDUSD,NZDJPY, CADCHF,GBPCHF
EurUsd - How long will Risk-On sentiment last?Hello traders.. For EurUsd we observed a very nice swing to the upside over the previous day of trading as decent Eur data beat Usd data for services and manufacturing PMI. We saw initial upside with the Eur data shortly after London open and this was followed by a pullback. Only until more data was released during NY session , we were to see another bounce to the upside. Risk on sentiment was the name of the game today as the Dollar index sold off with the Bad USD data. This was also coupled with a descending Vix and rising U.S. stock indexes leading up to and with the Bad USD data. The monthly candle is currently pulling back up. The weekly candle has shot past the previous weekly high by about 15-20ish pips. The Daily candle closed strongly bullish today, suggesting some more upside moving into this next day of trading.. we have no news in the upcoming session. Asian has pushed up slightly to begin the day. Key prices to watch in the upcoming session 1.0701, 1.06936
AUD-USD LONG CALL (ONE HOUR TIME FRAME)AUD-USD forex pair right now is moving in a bearish direction. However, the pair has tested its support several times. In addition there is a clear bullish divergence. Therefore, this trading signal is designed to grab the LONG Trade oppurtunity on this forex pair. If the Entry Level mentioned in the trade breaks, there are clear chances that this forex pair will hit TPs.
GBP-USD LONG CALL (ONE HOUR SETUP)Based on the one-hour GBP-USD forex pair technical analysis, it apperas that this forex pair may take a bullish run if it breaks its reisstance at 1.27600. RSI is not showing any sign of over bought or over sold. However, this trade is not for short-term trading ideas.
GBP-USD SHORT SETUP ONE HOUR TIME FRAMEAfter a bullish movement of GBP-USD forex pair, there is a presence of overbought of this currency pair observed as a presence of bearish divergence. Therefore, it appears that this currency pair will move in bearish direction. For this, a short trade setup is designed to grab the trade oppurtunity for this forex currency pair. Time hour is set as one hour.
EURJPY: Bullish on a 4H MA50 rebound.EURJPY has turned bullish on the 4H timeframe (RSI = 65.893, MACD = 0.220, ADX = 54.338) as the 4H MA50 held and supported a new 2 day rally since Friday. The dominant pattern is a 3 month Channel Up, which makes a HH on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. The 4H MACD is identical to the pre-High consolidation of the past bullish waves. We are bullish (TP = 166.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Understanding the Differences Between Stock Market and Forex P1Get ready for an exhilarating adventure as we unveil the intriguing disparities between two titans of the financial world: the Stock Market and the Forex Market. These dynamic arenas captivate the attention of traders and investors alike, each offering a unique tapestry of opportunities and challenges. Join us on an exhilarating exploration of 27 key differences between these powerhouse markets, igniting your curiosity and empowering you to master your investment journey with flair. Let's dive in and discover the secrets that set these markets apart!
1. Trading Hours:
The stock market adheres to specific opening and closing times, such as the US stock market's operational hours from 9:30 AM to 4:00 PM Eastern Time. Conversely, the forex market operates round the clock, 24 hours a day, five days a week, providing unparalleled accessibility and flexibility. Thus, in terms of availability, the forex market takes the lead.
2. Days in the Week:
While both markets are open for trading five days a week, the stock market observes government holidays, leading to occasional closures. In contrast, the forex market remains operational throughout the year without interruption, offering continuous trading opportunities. Hence, the forex market excels in terms of consistency and accessibility.
3. Instruments Traded:
The stock market boasts a diverse range of instruments, including shares, derivatives, bonds, and more. In contrast, the forex market primarily deals with currency pairs, such as EUR/USD or USD/INR, offering a narrower scope of trading options. Therefore, the stock market holds an advantage in terms of instrument variety.
4. Trade Volume per Day:
The forex market stands as the largest financial market globally, with an impressive daily trading volume exceeding trillions of dollars. In comparison, the stock market's trade volume pales in comparison, highlighting the immense liquidity and opportunity present in forex trading.
5. Market Volatility:
While both markets exhibit liquidity, the forex market boasts even greater liquidity, making it highly conducive to swift and efficient trading. With increased liquidity comes enhanced market stability and reduced slippage, positioning the forex market as the preferred choice for many traders.
Before we delve deeper into the distinctions, let's familiarize ourselves with the fundamentals of forex trading:
1) Base Currency: The base currency is the first currency listed in a currency pair. It is the currency against which the exchange rate is quoted. For example, in the currency pair EUR/USD, the euro (EUR) is the base currency.
2) Quote Currency: The quote currency is the second currency listed in a currency pair. It is the currency in which the exchange rate is quoted in relation to the base currency. Using the same example, in the currency pair EUR/USD, the US dollar (USD) is the quote currency.
So, in summary, the base currency is the currency being bought or sold, while the quote currency is the currency used to express the value of the base currency. In forex trading, the exchange rate indicates how much of the quote currency is needed to purchase one unit of the base currency.
Let continue:
6. Manipulation:
In the stock market, instances of manipulation may occur at a smaller scale, potentially impacting individual stocks or sectors. Conversely, manipulation in the forex market tends to be more macroscopic and infrequent, providing traders with a more transparent and fair trading environment.
7. Leverage:
Forex trading offers significantly higher leverage compared to the stock market, allowing traders to amplify their positions with relatively small capital outlays. While leverage can magnify profits, it also heightens risk, necessitating prudent risk management strategies.
8. Capital Required:
Unlike the stock market, which often demands substantial capital investments to yield significant returns, the forex market offers the flexibility of trading with smaller initial capital. This accessibility is further augmented by the availability of leverage, albeit with associated risks.
9. Stocks/Pairs:
The stock market boasts a vast array of individual stocks available for trading, providing investors with diverse investment opportunities. In contrast, the forex market primarily revolves around trading currency pairs, limiting the variety of assets available for trading.
10. Regulatory Body:
Regulatory oversight plays a crucial role in maintaining market integrity and protecting investors' interests. In the stock market, entities like SEBI oversee regulatory compliance, whereas The forex market is largely decentralized, but it's still subject to regulation in many countries. Regulatory bodies such as the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the United States and the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the United Kingdom oversee forex brokers and ensure fair trading practices.
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GBPJPY: Key Resistance in Focus This Week - Breakout Potential?GBPJPY faces a critical juncture this week, with a formidable monthly resistance level at 193.659 coming into view. If the pair can surmount this hurdle, it could unlock a significant upside move towards 214.005, with limited resistance in the way.
Technical Analysis:
GBPJPY has been in a strong uptrend since the beginning of the year, gaining over 17%.
The pair is now approaching a key monthly resistance level at 193.659.
A break above this level could signal further bullish momentum, with a potential target of 214.005.
There is limited resistance between 193.659 and 214.005, suggesting that the pair could make a significant move if it breaks above the resistance level.
Fundamental Factors:
The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to raise interest rates at its next meeting in March.
This could support the pound sterling against the Japanese yen.
The Japanese economy is facing headwinds from rising inflation and a weak yen.
This could weigh on the Japanese yen and support GBPJPY.
Conclusion:
GBPJPY is poised for a significant move this week. A break above the key resistance level at 193.659 could signal further bullish momentum, with a potential target of 214.005. Traders should closely monitor GBPJPY's price action around the 193.659 level this week. A breakout above this resistance could indicate further bullish momentum, while a rejection could indicate a potential pullback.
Additional Information:
The pair has already broken the monthly pivot and pulled back to it, which could be a bullish signal.
The RSI indicator is also showing bullish momentum, with a reading of 65.
The MACD indicator is also bullish, with a crossover above the signal line.
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
USDJPY H4 4 March 2024USD/JPY, H4
USD/JPY experiences uncertainty due to mixed monetary policy statements from Bank of Japan
members. While Hajime Takata signals a potential exit from ultra-loose policy with the inflation
target in sight, Governor Kazuo Ueda provides a contradictory view, emphasising the need for
confirmation in a positive wage-inflation cycle. This mixed sentiment continues to fuel uncertainty for the USD/JPY pair.
USD/JPY is trading lower following the prior retracement from the resistance level. Suggesting the pair might extend its losses since the RSI stays below the midline.
Resistance level: 150.80, 151.70
Support level: 149.40, 147.60
EURUSD: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: EURUSD
Pattern – Continuation (Bullish)
Support – 1.0794
Resistance – 1.0855, 1.0896
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the EURUSD on the daily chart.
Will we see the EURUSD set off on a new continuation higher? Bulls have broken the downtrend and formed a higher low. We have a trigger bar, but we still need to see confirmation with a break of resistance.
The USD also plays a part in this story, and we have some news that could aid and hurt the EURUSD picture this week.
Good trading.
Will TRY Continue to Fly or Will it Hold the 30 and Say GoodbyePrice has been pushing higher and higher and climbed thousands and thousands of PIPs since 2021. But with the increased interest rates (42.5%), will this be enough to prevent price from higher? Potentially. There needs to be more confidence in the Lira, which could be happening. Pimco and Vanguard (US Investment Companies), are investing in Turkey, which could be a good sign. If companies are starting to invest in Turkey, this could help their currency issues. What could also help and maybe is helping currently, is the TRY is a good carry trade, especially if there is a halt to the rapid depreciation in the Lira. The CBRT will likely hold rates at his high lvls for a while as they work to break the upward trajectory. Additionally, if analyst, traders, and investors are correct, and the FED reduces rates, this will assist price on pushing lower. Furthermore, when economic data is released, if inflation starts taking a hit to the downside (currently above 61%), this could bring in that confidence that is needed also and start pushing the TRY lower. If all these factors do improve the Lira, I am thinking price might even be able to hit the 27 lvl.
For now, I got a small position on this pair, collecting a decent amount of positive rollover. I will build up as price pushes higher. I am able to sustain if price pushes 10,000 pips against me. Price is currently over 7,000 pips against me, with a manageable floating loss, and I am still looking to build a larger position.
Manage your risk and do your own due diligence before placing any trades.
ETDUSD (W) is poised to approach the $30K in the near futureBINANCE:ETHUSD ETDUSD (W) is poised to approach the $30K in the near future
ETDUSD (W) is poised to approach the $30K price threshold in the near future. The distinct bullish response within Fibonacci extension zone 1 ( GETTEX:29K -$32K) is evident. However, the sudden surge in price has activated a cautionary signal from the RSI indicator, suggesting a potential correction.
RSI divergence has materialized, prompting a corrective response in the recent period. The recent uptrend lacks substantial volume, particularly observed within a candle featuring a prominent upper wick.
Therefore, for holders of this digital currency, a prudent strategy involves establishing a secure stop-loss level to preserve existing profits and setting a take-profit target within the GETTEX:29K -$30K price range.
For those observing from the sidelines, exercise caution, refrain from succumbing to FOMO during this period, and await signals from the impending correction.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar experienced a decline during this week's trading session. It crossed our Mean Support level of 1.074 and Inner Currency level of 0.075 before quickly bouncing back to the Mean Resistance level of 1.079. Currently, the currency is in a primary downward trend and is expected to continue until it reaches the Inner Currency Dip of 1.065 via Mean Sup 1.071. However, an intermediate price trading at Mean Res 1.079 may cause a potential extension to 1.084.
EUR-CAD: SHORT SETUP (ONE HOUR TIME FRAME)EUR-CAD currency pair is moving in a Bearish direction. Based on technical analysis, it is evident that the price action will remain to continue to move in the bearish direction on one hour time frame. Therefore, this trade setup is for SHORT SETUP for this forex currency pair.
Note: If you are interested to take trade on this idea then move your SL to breakeven if the Tp1 hits.
USD-JPY: LONG CALL: ONE HOUR TIME FRAMEUSD is clearly moving in a bullish direction against the JPY. Thus this trade can be a good opportunity for a LONG trade at One hour interval. NOTE: If you are planning to take this trade then do not forget to put your SL. Once the TP1 hits, bring your SL to Breakeven.
Best of Luck.
USDCAD 4 HR | Bearish Trend ContinuationUSDCAD could fall 138 pips if it can stay below 1.35342
Why 1.35342?
Let's just round it and say $1.353 Canadian dollar. The exchange price for the United States Dollar is decreasing which means Canadians are able to buy the Dollar at a cheaper price.
Evidence
High(H) & Low(L)
Per the 4 our timeframe, price is declining. The current falling price of the Dollar price per the Canadian Dollar has been 1.34152(L), 1.35342(H), and 1.34136(L).
We can see the high and low prices are decreasing hence what is called LOWER LOWs and LOWER HIGHs.
Actions
The best action to take is to sell since currently the trend is down. That is what the chart per this timeframe is showing.
The best price to sell below as stated above is 1.35342. The entry price is between 1.35207 and 1.35342. This range equates to 13 pips.
This means if you enter at market order, you can wait for price to enter the range and provide evidence price can decrease.
Or, if you set a pending order , you can set a pending order at 1.35207 with a TP down to the low or further.
Why do I believe price can fall 138 pips? This is a Reward to risk drop from the pending order price of 1.35207 based on my stop loss placement.
Sidenote:
Your Reward to Risk will vary from mine analyzing this trade using your own risk management strategy and trading plan.
What can invalidate this trade?
If price pushes higher than 1.35342, showing evidence buyers have taken control, the trade in invalidated. Or, price could continue to drop from here which means we'd have to update the sell idea.
What would this mean?
If you entered the trade and price went higher than 1.35342 you'd be stopped out. However, if price were to continue lower without pushing past the highs, you'd be in profit.
Should you trade this?
If this fits how you trade, yes.
If not no.
Let's keep it that simple.
I hope you enjoyed this analysis.
Like this post and share it if you did.😁
Many blessings,
Shaquan
EURAUD 4 HR | Bearish ContinuationGBPAUD could fall 225 pips if it can stay below 1.65699.
Why 1.65699?
Let's just round it and say $1.657 Australian dollar. The price for the EURO is decreasing which means Australians are able to buy the Euro at a cheaper price.
Evidence
High(H) & Low(L)
Per the 4 our timeframe, price is declining. The current falling price of the Euro price per the Australian Dollar has been 1.65700(H), 1.62723(L), 1.65699(H), 1.64281(L).
We can see the high and low prices are decreasing hence what is called LOWER LOWs and LOWER HIGHs.
Actions
The best action to take is to sell since currently the trend is down. That is what the chart per this timeframe is showing.
The best price to sell below as stated above is 1.65699. The entry price is between 1.65350 and 1.65699. This range equates to 35 pips.
This means if you enter at market order, you can wait for price to enter the range and provide evidence price can decrease.
Or, if you set a pending order , you can set a pending order at 1.65350 with a TP down to the low or further.
Why do I believe price can fall 225 pips? This is a Reward to risk drop from the pending order price of 1.65350 based on my stop loss placement.
Sidenote:
Your Reward to Risk will vary from mine analyzing this trade using your own risk management strategy and trading plan.
What can invalidate this trade?
If price pushes higher than 1.65699, showing evidence buyers have taken control, the trade in invalidated.
What would this mean?
If you entered the trade and price went higher than 1.65699 you'd be stopped out. However, if price were to continue lower without pushing past the highs, you'd be in profit.
Should you trade this?
If this fits how you trade, yes.
If not no.
Let's keep it that simple.
I hope you enjoyed this analysis.
Like this post and share it if you did.😁
Many blessings,
Shaquan