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Currencytrading

DXY: Under the 1W MA50 indicates a long term selling opportunityThe U.S. Dollar Index closed last week under the 1W MA50 for the first time since August and that signals the bearish extension of the decline that started on the October High. Naturally, the 1W technical outlook has turned bearish (RSI = 42.067, MACD = 0.190, ADX = 46.054) but the 1D is oversold (RSI = 29.749) and calls for a rebound in order to harmonize this state near neutral numbers. That matches very accurately the behavior of DXY after every 1W MA50 bearish breach (circles on your chart) as after the break it always consolidated with a small rebound and then resumed the sell to extend to a new Low. In May 2016 that stopped on the S1 level but in the next two occassions, it made two new Lows on the LL trendline. Consequently our long term target is the S1 (TP1 = 99.550). Then as long as the price doesn't cross over the 1W MA50, we will resell on the bounce and target the LL trendline (TP2 = 96.450). See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:DXYShort
by InvestingScope
$USDJPY Short (Short-Term)Technical Analysis Report: USDJPY Trading Opportunity Overview: At the current juncture, USDJPY is positioned at 149.450, showcasing discernible indications of a bearish reversal. Notably, a bearish RSI divergence signals a misalignment between price action and relative strength, suggesting potential vulnerability in the prevailing uptrend. Technical Indicators: Further substantiating the bearish sentiment, the MACD remains entrenched in negative territory, underscoring the prevailing bearish momentum. Additionally, insights derived from our proprietary probabilities indicator on w.aritas.io illuminate a notable surge in selling pressure. Trade Setup: The proposed strategy entails a prudent SHORT position initiation, contingent upon the confirmation of a breakdown at 150.690. This entry point is strategically chosen to align with the identified technical weaknesses in the current market structure. Risk Management: To mitigate potential downsides, a meticulous risk management strategy has been devised. The Take Profit (TP) objective is judiciously set at 145.450, offering a favorable risk-reward profile. Simultaneously, a well-calibrated stop-loss order is positioned 0.83% above the Yearly resistance, providing a defined exit strategy. Market Context: Contextualizing the trade within the broader economic landscape, the prevailing conditions suggest an advantageous environment for a resurgent greenback. This perspective is fortified by the observation of a gradual uptrend in the EURUSD, further reinforcing the anticipation of a prolonged USDJPY upswing. Future Outlook: In alignment with our comprehensive analysis, we posit that the current correction is a precursor to an imminent bullish resurgence in USDJPY. Our projections point towards a potential retest of yearly resistance levels in the first quarter of 2024. Conclusion: This meticulously curated analysis seeks to present a comprehensive view of the current USDJPY scenario, substantiating a compelling SHORT position opportunity. However, it is incumbent upon traders to exercise prudence, maintain vigilance, and adapt to evolving market dynamics. As always, thorough risk assessment and adherence to a disciplined trading strategy are paramount. Disclaimer: Trading involves inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It is advised to consult with financial experts and undertake independent analysis before making trading decisions.
Short
by wikitrades
2
USDJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: USDJPY Pattern – HL Continuation Support – 149 - 149.15 Resistance – 151.80 - 149.65 Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at USDJPY on the daily chart. Today's video asks if USDJPY has further to fall or if we will see buyers continue to find some support from 149- 149.15. For now, price continues to trade below the last fast trend, but we haven't seen a new move back to the next trendline. Traders will watch this week's FOMC meeting minutes to see if it continues to guide the USD lower as previous data and Fed comments have done. Good trading.
by Eightcap
AUDJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: AUDJPY Pattern – HL Continuation Support – 96.10 Resistance – 97.52 Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the AUDJPY on the daily chart. Today's video asks if the AUDJPY will continue its continuation pattern. We have run over the price action that drew us to this setup and what we want to see to give us confirmation. We have also run over warnings from price that could invalidate the setup. If we see buyer confirmation, we will then look for a test or break of 97.52 resistance. This could suggest that the current upleg is becoming a new short-term trend. Good trading.
Long
by Eightcap
Can The Dollar Push Higher? Hey traders, welcome back. The dollar is increasing heavily to the upside as I make this video. Now we don't know how price will close but it is important to watch how she closes today. If price continues this could affect the major currency pair market in a mighty way. All Base dollar pairs could continue to increase while Quote dollar pairs could continue to decrease. It's a patience game right now, but may be one to play if you have the right hand.
TVC:DXYLong
by ShaquanLopez
2
USDJPY: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: USDJPY Pattern – Ascending Triangle Break (BoJ Intervention?) Support – 149.28 - 148.43 Resistance – 149.90 - 150.16 Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the USDJPY on the daily chart. Speculation continues as to whether we will see intervention from the BoJ as the USDJPY continues to trade above 150. Currently, the breakout of an ascending triangle pattern yesterday continues to confirm today as buyers continue the run above 149.90 resistance and 150. Pricewise, things look firm on the buyer side, but will we see any surprises today with BoJ intervention? Last time price was above 150, we saw a 1.75% decline. Could another round be on the cards if prices contnue to push higher? Good trading.
by Eightcap
AUDUSD: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: AUDUSD Pattern – Support hold Support – .6285 Resistance – .6425 Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at the AUDUSD on the daily chart. Currently, we are watching price from 6285 support; if this level can hold and the USD continues to push lower, we will look for further upside from the AUDUSD. If buyers can get a mini run going, we see 6425 as the first resistance. If sellers can break today's rally and move below support, this could set up a new leg lower that could test lower 6200 areas if seller momentum can get going. Let's see if buyers can continue to hold 6285 support. Good trading.
by Eightcap
USDPLN Breakthrough: Rally Ahead or Resistance at Play?The rising USD against PLN has finally broken through its descending trendline. This strength in the dollar can be attributed to rising bond yields (amid an unmoved Federal Reserve) and the prevailing economic challenges in Poland and the European Union (recessions). On a technical note: The USDPLN pair has successfully broken out of a descending trendline on the daily timeframe that was evident since October 2022. Post breakout, a retest of this trendline occurred and the pair has since persisted in its upward journey. When zooming in to the 4-hour chart, the upward trend remains unblemished. However, a key observation here is our current position relative to the 'overbalance' level, which stems from February's bullish correction phase. Should the USDPLN manage to breach this overbalance threshold, we could be looking at potential resistance in the 4.27 - 4.33 region. This zone not only houses the 200-day moving average but also coincides with January's previous low and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. #USDPLNAnalysis #ForexTrends #BondYieldImpact #TechnicalBreakout #FiboWatch #CurrencyTrading #EuropeanEconomyInsights
Long
by formaaaa
DXY with a brief consolidation. What is next?We witnessed DXY tap the weekly Volume Gap it had towards the downside. and immediately spring up with an internal market structure shift. is it enough? Price is consolidating here in this area and tho it might seem that further downside is in play we must tread carefully since there are looming wars and conflicts around the world. what does this mean for DXY? The US Dollar being the current International currency in times of turmoil, most flock towards its perceived safety. Do not be surprised if out of nowhere Dollar springs up. Just keep a close eye since this will affect currency pairs and equities alike.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by JP_Tru
GBPAUD: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: GBPAUD Pattern – LH Trend continuation Support – 1.8935 Resistance – 1.9185 Hi, and thanks for checking out today's analysis. The GBPAUD daily is today's focus. What has our attention is the possible continuation that's setting up. This looks to be a bearish continuation at this point, but we want to see price hit a new lower low for the week to show seller strength. The moving average is sloping down, and the RSI trading below 50 supports sellers, but we still need to see price confirm the move. If buyers can close the above 1.9185, this starts to cancel out this short idea. If sellers can get the move going, we will look to 1.8951 as a potential key resistance area (buyer support). Good trading.
Short
by Eightcap
USDCHF: The top isn't in most likely. 1D MA200 ahead.USDCHF has been rising non-stp since the July 18th bottom on 0.85555 (S1). The 1D outlook is on straight bullish technicals (RSI = 61.656, MACD = 0.005, ADX = 40.729) and as the 1D MA50 has been turned into Support, we expect the rally to peak within the 1D MA200 and the inside LH trendline. That would be as close to the top of the twelve month Channel Down as possible. We will wait until a LH trendline is formed on the 1D RSI, which preceded every sharp selling and was the ideal short signal. Target S1 (TP = 0.85555). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
by InvestingScope
2
CADCHFNot too long ago I had published an idea about the $FX:CADCHF. Go check it out! However, I never took my eyes off of it, and due to that it made me dig deeper from a higher perspective... I came to the conclusion that this particular pair recently experienced something that's more than likely going to shift it's momentum for some time. My reasoning.. Daily: 1. P.A. swept EQ highs 2. V shape pattern (bull's favor) 3. Bullish market structure Weekly: 1. Strong bullish momentum after lowest point in the market. 2. Demand formed (untouched) 3. P.A. is set to reclaim a previous key level to the upside. 4. Triple key lows swept (liquidity grab) Monthly: 1. After break of current L.H. (0.6898) the trend flips. 2. P.A. hit lowest levels in the market a couple months ago. For these reasons I am bullish. Even though this isn't a currency pair I track & trade, this is me making an exception. I am publishing this for me, personally, but feel free to tag along if you like! P.S. If ever curious about anything, ask.
Long
by ChrisJTradesFX
2
EURUSD: Oversold RSI at the bottom of the Channel Down.EURUSD reached the bottom of the six week Channel Down, completed a -2.70% decline such as the previous one and turned the 1H RSI extremly oversold (RSI = 17.487, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 31.778). This is a low risk chance to take a short term buy to the top of the Channel Down. Our target is, as with the previous rebound, the 0.618 Fibonacci level (TP = 1.08250). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
2
GBPUSD: Analysis and ThoughtsToday's focus: GBPUSD Pattern – LH low test Support – 1.2456 Resistance – 1.2510 Thanks for checking out today’s update. Today, we have run over the GBPUSD, breaking down the overall price picture and levels and incorporating moving average and RSI into the analysis. The GBPUSD continues to push lower after yesterday’s session. Price created a new LH and has moved back down to a minor level of support and started to test that area today. Sellers could be looking at a new leg lower if they can clear that area with a firm close lower. The RSI has moved lower and remains below the 50 point. The moving average also backs up seller momentum with its current slope. If buyers can reject a push lower with a failed low, that’s a worry for seller strength. To show sellers are in control, we would like to see a new firm low and further selling, possibly testing 1.2365. Have a great day and good trading.
Short
by Eightcap