Currencytrading
2023.7.14 USD has fallen below the 100 integer mark2023.7.14 USD has fallen below the 100 integer mark
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, July 14th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index has fallen below the 100.00 integer level, coming near the daily level of 610MA!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold has been trading at the bottom against the 2.000 level of the gold split in the past two trading days, and it is also the highest point on February 2, 2023 ($1959.69), engaging in long short competition! Then, we can continue to use this position as an important Bitwise operation in the day later today! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil yesterday broke through the bottom of the bullish 1.618 and daily level 233MA, and today's low hit the daily level 233MA ($76.35)! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro rose sharply against the US dollar again yesterday, with the next strong pressure at 1.12800! Then, in the future, we can use today's opening price (1.12228) as the Bitwise operation of the day's important point! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound has reached a strong pressure level against the US dollar: the bottom is at 2.382 (around 1.31300) above the golden section! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Friday, and all important data for this week has been released. The weekly line will close tonight, and it is likely that there will be a pullback trend. Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
How to avoid the loss of funds in the transaction?Regardless of experience, every trader needs a plan. The key factors that can help the transaction become safer, they are the necessary strategic minimum requirements to ensure stable income and avoid unpredictable losses.
Why Do Traders Fail?
Let's take a look at the top reasons why traders lose money:
Trading is a complex process. Trading strategies require discipline and precision. Even with the best ideas, some traders can forget to act systematically.
Traders can be reckless. They give up doing market analysis, don't bother with stop loss orders, and forget about the rules of risk management. These all lead to mistakes and bad deals.
So how to avoid the loss of funds in the transaction?
1 Don't build positions with huge volume
If you are unsure of market movements, focus on at most one or two trades in a session. In the case of a small order volume, it is more controllable to track and find out various opportunities.
Please note that some factors, such as slippage (the difference between the expected price of the order and the actual execution price of the order), are unsolvable and cannot be considered in advance before the transaction is opened).
2Using Stop Loss and Take Profit
To reduce the risk of losing your money, you can use a stop loss order. They protect you from losing more money than you can afford. As for take profit, the principle is similar -- it will automatically close the order when the price target is reached, thereby locking in the profit. Therefore, taking profit will help you get out of the market immediately when the market price is right, so as to maximize your profits.
3Use reasonable leverage
By setting a wider and reasonable stop loss, smaller leverage will allow each trade to have more breathing room, thereby avoiding higher capital losses. High leverage will blow up your trading account faster when the market trend goes against your expectations, because a larger lot size will make you face higher losses.
4. Pay attention to important news
The market can change its trend at any time due to news or even rumors. Staying informed is key. All traders need to follow up all kinds of news throughout the trading hours. Let's say you realize that a news release will affect the direction of your position, but you're not sure which direction it will be. In such cases, you should provide maximum protection for the position you open (set stop loss, take profit, and in extreme cases, close the position before the release of the expected news).
5 Don’t Trade During Low Liquidity Hours
You need to be aware that illiquid trading instruments tend to have wider bid-ask spreads, higher volatility and, thus, higher risk for the trader. Therefore, trading in a cycle with little liquidity will face the possibility of high capital losses.
6 View multiple metrics
It is best to make your long/short decision based on several technical indicators. Indicators and other tools in technical analysis need to corroborate each other. Combine two or three different types of indicators. Your trading strategy can also rely on candlestick and trend chart patterns, as well as the use of golden section tools. In this way, the system will provide you with signals with a high probability of success. If you use such a strategy, combined with a stop loss and the correct risk/reward ratio, then you can avoid losing money in your trades.
7 Control Your Emotions
The most successful trading comes from confidence and calm. Your fear of losing money, or your desire to make money with your trading instruments in the precarious state of big news, can get in the way. Make sure you keep your emotions in check and use tools like stop loss and take profit orders to make objective trading decisions.
If it helps you, please like and follow.
2023.7.11 GBPUSD accelerates its rise2023.7.11 GBPUSD accelerates its rise
USD continues to be weak, the pound accelerates its rise, and US crude oil fluctuates slightly!
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Tuesday, July 11th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index shows a continuous release of short momentum, with the strongest support at the opening price of 101.43 on May 11, 2023!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold reached its peak today at daily level 144MA (1939.21 US dollars)! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil competed between long and short positions at last month's bearish starting point, which was the opening price of June 5, 2023 ($73.41)! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro has reached its highest point against the US dollar last month, and it is also at the bottom of the 2.618 level (1.10115) on the gold split! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, after the pound hit the daily level of 21MA against the US dollar yesterday, the daily closing line showed a long downward shadow and a small positive line. Today, it rose and fell back, which is the beginning signal of the standard high contraction triangle consolidation! Then in the future, we can take today's opening price (1.28633) as an important Bitwise operation in the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Tuesday, and the impact of last Friday's big non agricultural data market has disappeared. The expected market trend of tomorrow's CPI data market has started to affect, please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.7.7 USD is falling, gold is weak !2023.7.7 USD is falling, gold is bearish and weak, and US crude oil is in a deep V shape!
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, July 7th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index rose and fell yesterday, returning to the daily line near 144MA, but its upside space has been opened!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold has been falling down for two consecutive days, but yesterday's daily closing line showed long up and down shadows, indicating intense competition between long and short positions! Then, the opening price of this month ($1919.4) will be taken as the Bitwise operation of the day later today! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil showed a deep V reversal pattern yesterday, with a likely slow upward oscillation rate! Then, in the following time today, we can take today's opening price ($71.79) as the important Bitwise operation of the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, yesterday's daily positive line of the euro against the US dollar completely engulfed the previous day's negative line! Then in the future, the daily line 21MA (1.09043) will be taken as an important Bitwise operation in the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound against the US dollar is accelerating its rise as previously predicted! Then in the future, we can use today's opening price (1.27410) as the Bitwise operation of the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is July 7th (Friday). There is a big non Farm Employment Change data market tonight! Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
USD/CAD Prediction on 06.07.2023The current market conditions indicate that the USD/CAD pair continues to exhibit a bullish trend. The US dollar has been demonstrating strength against the Canadian dollar, leading to an upward trajectory in the exchange rate. Several factors contribute to this bullish sentiment.
Firstly, the US economy has shown resilience and robustness, bolstering the appeal of the US dollar as a safe haven currency. Strong economic indicators, such as GDP growth, employment figures, and consumer confidence, have fueled investor confidence in the US dollar's stability.
Secondly, geopolitical factors have also played a role in the bullish outlook for USD/CAD. Global events, such as trade tensions, political uncertainties, or geopolitical conflicts, have a significant impact on currency pairs. As traders seek refuge in safer currencies like the US dollar, it often leads to an increase in its value relative to other currencies, including the Canadian dollar.
Additionally, monetary policy divergence between the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada has influenced the bullish sentiment. The Federal Reserve's monetary tightening measures, including interest rate hikes or tapering of quantitative easing, can attract foreign investments, driving up demand for the US dollar. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada may adopt a more dovish stance, keeping interest rates lower to support economic recovery, which can put downward pressure on the Canadian dollar.
However, it is important to note that the foreign exchange market is dynamic and subject to various factors that can influence currency movements. Therefore, it is crucial for traders and investors to continuously monitor market conditions, economic indicators, and geopolitical developments to make informed decisions regarding the USD/CAD pair
2023.6.30 Daily European Perspective USDX broke up again !2023.6.30 Daily European Perspective
USDX broke up again !
USD continues to strengthen, with non US currencies and precious metals stepping back on key support, and USoil bulls feeling weak!
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, June 30 2023.
Now it's 16pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index broke up again yesterday, back above the daily 21MA and 144MA, and hit the daily 165MA!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the lowest point of gold yesterday hit the 1.618 level (around $1890) above the bottom of the gold split! Then, in the following days today, we will continue to use the integer gate of $1900 as an important Bitwise operation operation! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, the daily pattern of US crude oil in the past three trading days has shown a state of continuous bullish accumulation, ready to exert upward force! Then, in the future, we will continue to use the integer pass of $70 as the important Bitwise operation operation in the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro/US dollar hit its daily low of 21MA yesterday and today, rebounding upwards at any time! Then in the future, the daily line 21MA (1.08600) will be used as the Bitwise operation of the important point in the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound US currency has been vying for long and short positions near the daily line 21MA in the past three trading days! Then in the future, the daily line level of 21MA (1.26600) will be taken as the Bitwise operation of the important point in the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, today is Friday. As it is the last trading day of June, the weekly, monthly, quarterly, and first half year lines of 2023 will be closed tonight! Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
2023.6.29 Daily European Perspective 2023.6.29 Daily European Perspective
Gold is clearly accelerating its decline and is about to test the integer level of $1900!
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Thursday, June 29 2023.
Now it's 16pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index broke above the daily line of 55MA yesterday and hit 21MA and 144MA!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold is clearly accelerating its decline and is about to test the integer level of $1900! Then, in the following days today, we can use the integer gate of 1900 dollars as the important Bitwise operation of the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil recovered its previous day's decline yesterday, but is still below the integer level of $70! Then, in the following time today, we can take the integer pass of $70 as the important Bitwise operation operation in the day! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, yesterday's decline of the euro against the US dollar gave up the previous day's gains, and today's lowest point hit the daily bottom of the gold split at 2.382! Then, in the future period of this day, take today's opening price (1.09144) as the important Bitwise operation of the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound US currency fell below the daily limit yesterday, reaching below the 2.000 level of the gold split at the bottom of the daily level, and broke through the daily level of 21MA! Then in the future, the daily line level of 21MA (1.26510) will be taken as the Bitwise operation of the important point in the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder,Today is Thursday, as this week is the last trading week of June, the monthly line for this month will be closed by the end of this week! Please pay attention to the risks!
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
GBPUSD: Could the FOMC set up a resistance break?Today's focus: GBPUSD
Pattern – HH HL continuation
Possible targets – 1.2683, 1.2980
Support – 1.2305, 1.2493
Resistance – 1.2640, 1.2660
Today’s focus is on the GBPUSD after buyers made another strong move higher on Wednesday. That move continues the series of HLs and HHs this is a good thing to see in the current short-term uptrend. As discussed in today’s video, our attention is now on key resistance that has stood since May 22.
Could a dovish tone from the Fed set the USD up for more downside? We did see a fightback after the CPI data and the Core remained high at 0.4%. If the Fed hold rates and hint more towards the dovish side in the statement, could that set the GBPUSD up for a new test or break of resistance, setting off a new trend continuation?
For now, the GBPUSD, despite its short-term bullish move, remains consolidation bound.
Will JPY momentum carry forward and set off further selling?Today's focus: JPY AUDJPY GBPJPY
Pattern – Fade Resistance holds
Possible targets – AUDJPY 92.50/92.30 GBPJPY 173.39/172.95
Support – AUDJPY 92.30 GBPJPY 173.15
Resistance – AUDJPY 93.30 GBPJPY 174.20
Today’s update focuses on JPY strength, that we have seen picking up since yesterday’s US session. We have looked at the AUDJPY and GBPJPY in detail. Are we seeing a turn in momentum? Both of these markets showed strength in the short term or sit in uptrends.
After seeing the fades yesterday and today combined with resistance, could this be of sellers gaining control?
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
USD buyers ready to test resistance again?Today's focus: USD Index
Pattern – Continuation
Possible targets – 105.60
Support – 103.40
Resistance – 104.20
Today’s update is on the USD index. Do we have a new uptrend? For us, we want to see resistance beaten. If we can see a break, this could set up a new move to 105.60 and a break of that level take price out of its consolidation range and gets an uptrend going. For now, we have a short-term up trend, but buyers have more work to do to confirm it overall.
If we see a new retracement, we want to see support hold. A move back to 102.70 is a worry if you’re on the short-term bull side. With momentum back in the buyer’s court, will we see a break of resistance?
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
EURGBP: Near its bottom. Long term Buy.EURGBP is consolidating under the 1D MA200 for the 11th consecutive day which keeps the 1D time-frame near neutrality, despite the marginally red technical indicators (RSI = 43.260, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 36.781). This is a standard bottom formation and since the 1D RSI is rising after hitting the Channel's bottom, the signal gets stronger.
The standard rally inside this Channel Up that extends for more than 1 year, is +5.00%. We are extending our downside tolerance, assuming a potential bottom on the HL of the Channel Up, so taking a +5.00% rise from there gives us a bullish Target marginally over the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Our TP is 0.90200.
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