Currencytrading
USD/JPY - YES, Another quick Scalp for 10OANDA:USDJPY
A good start to the week.
Quick scalp for 10 hard pips TP, before it hit PWL (previous weeks low).
I tune out the nay sayers that scalping doesn't work, and that I should maximize the trade, which is actually a very smart and profitable strategy when executed properly with trade management.
But I do LOVE scalping and enjoying the rest of my day not being stressed, LOL.
Both techniques work, the key is Trade Management.
Trade well....
USDJPY Long Setup, looking strongGood morning fellow Traders!
I have been tracking the YENUSD pair with great interest in recent weeks as we have been rebounding from its local low. The pair has a beautiful long-term trend on the higher timeframes, setting the direction I have been looking to trade.
We are currently sitting in a sweet spot, the price has been consolidating around 130-137, however, as soon as we have left this range in the past, volatility has kicked in, both ways. We have broken through the high of 137 two days ago, making the idea very plausible and easy to understand.
This is my Game Plan:
- Clean push above 137
- Pullback onto 137 area, preferably seeing a pullback down to 136.8
- Consolidation on the red line, smooth prices needed here
- No big slippage into the box, staying around the red line
- Trigger signal once price starts to recover between 137 to 137.2
- Entry upon jumping out of the box
This trend setup looks very strong because the higher timeframes support the direction we are trading in.
Make sure to follow my Tradingview for more ideas and check out my BNB short post, we are in profits!
Thanks for tuning in and let me know if you liked the video in the comments below.
Many thanks.
TraderCH
USD/JPY - Not This Time UJOANDA:USDJPY
Of course the DXY dollar index bias is to the downside, thanks to our friend Chair Powell.
And so comes USD/JPY to follow.
Took a short on pure price action, leading the indicators, and wanted that quick 10 pip scalp heading into the 8:30am est (UTC-5) mark.
Got a pump in my direction on both the DXY and the USD/JPY
Trade management
Trade smart
Trade well...
EURD/USD - I Give Up, YOU Win Mr PowellOANDA:EURUSD
Arrrgggghhhhhhh
I wanted a short, price action was so bad going into the close Sidney.
Just moved my stop to BE +0.3 pips
I guess we will wait until Fed Chair speaks his mind tomorrow.
Hawkish? Dovish?
Whatever that means, LOL
Trade management was the key tonight for me.
With out it, I would had been rekt (maybe, haha)
Trade well
EURUSD Long term targeting 1.1900The EURUSD crossed over the Falling Resistance of 2009 in January and though it got rejected on the 1week MA100, the 1month MACD made a Bull Cross. 4 out of 5 Bull Crosses since 2009, extended the initial rallies.
The closer long term Resistance for the pair is the Falling Resistance of February 2018. We target below it at 1.1900 by the end of the year.
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EURUSD Targets 1.2200 if this level holdsEURUSD is grounded inside the MA50 (1D) and MA100 (1D).
As long as the MA100 (1D) is holding, then the rise that started in September can be sustained long term in a similar way as the downtrend of 2021-2022 was.
The 2021-2022 Bear Cycle was confirmed after the MA50 (1D) crossed under the MA100 (1D). Similarly on December 7th we had the MA50 (1D) crossing over the MA100 (1D) to confirm the new Bull Cycle.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.2200 (close to the -0.786 Fibonacci extension, the same target the Bear Cycle had). This is a long term trade.
Tips:
1. The RSI (1D) is proportional to what it was at the start of the Bear Cycle.
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AUDUSD retests 4H support after CPI dropHi, traders and TradingView community. Today we saw the AUDUSD retreat after Australian CPI data came in at 7.4, well below the 8.1% that had been expected. Unexpected data almost always has more impact on the market than expected, as it has shock effect.
7.4 is still a very firm number for inflation, and you might think, why is that a good thing? The drop is good, and it shows the RBA’s policy is working, and it also starts to put some doubt on the current rates outlook. But we’re wondering just how good it is. Yes, this could have an impact on the current rates policy, but we still feel that rates will have to continue higher to cut this figure back further.
The AUDUSD continues to fight back after testing .6700. Price at this point remains in its 4H consolidation pattern. Could the market be thinking it’s a good drop, but work still has to be done?
Will we see a retest of .6700 in tonight’s LON session? Buyers have .6752 resistance to beat, and sellers have .6700 to break. These are the 4H levels we are watching on the AUDUSD, and if one of them can be beaten, we will look to see if a new leg can develop.
What are your thoughts? Good trading.
GBPUSD: Buyers pushing a new breakout? Hi traders and TradingView community, today we are looking at the GBPUSD as price has started to show signs of a new breakout.
Looking at the GBPUSD, buyers continued to hold at the demand and support area with multiple saves. Sellers made their last push yesterday before buyers flooded back, forcing an engulfing type of candle and halting the minor downtrend.
After yesterday’s close, we could see a descending triangle start to form. These patterns can be reversal-type patterns, but as always, we need to see confirmation with a new move out of the pattern.
Today we have seen a rejected move lower from sellers that has now turned into a test/break of the pattern. This is a good sign and could be the beginning of a new breakout for the GBPUSD. We want to see buyers hold the break and close out today’s session outside the pattern, and that could tell us that buyers are looking to start a new upleg.
If price closes back inside the pattern, that could be seen as a false break, and we would need to see a new move to confirm a break. It’s also a small warning that buyer strength is not as strong as first thought.
If we do see a new upswing on the GBPUSD, 1.2170 and then key resistance are the possible areas that could test buyer strength.
Good trading.
EURUSD: This pullback is the last macro buy opportunityEURUSD on the monthly chart is inside a Falling Wedge pattern that basically started after the 2008 crisis. The monthly technicals are just turning neutral (RSI = 44.604, MACD = -0.024, ADX = 52.083) for the first time since September 2021 but perhaps the most important indicator is the 1M MACD that formed a Bullish Cross.
In the past 20 years at least, every 1M MACD Bullish Cross extended a rally that had already started. The 1M MA50 is our first macro target (TP = 1.1200) with the top of the Falling Wedge being the second (TP = 1.1600).
If we were to make a 5 year projection, then the pair should approach at some point the 1M MA200, as it is the Resistaicen since mid 2014, while being the Support prior for 10 straight years. It is therefore a macro pivot level. Falling Wedge patterns tend to break to the upside and that can match its 10 years of the 1M MA200 as Resistance, and break aggressively to the upside, possibly to 1.3000 and beyond.
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AUD/JPY - 2nd Time's a CharmOANDA:AUDJPY
Since this pair gave me an easy small scalp last Asian session, tried for a hard 15TP short play before NY FX & NYSE open, chopped down to about +10pips before pulling back to my tight SL at break even. Tried again, and chopped a little until an hour into NYSE, then gave me my 15pips.
Trade well..
🐻 AUDUSD Bearish Trend 📉📉 AUDUSD has been showing a bearish trend, with price action indicating a potential downward movement. Technical indicators support the bearish view, with the RSI and MACD both showing a bearish divergence. 📉 Traders may want to consider short positions with appropriate risk management strategies in place.
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USDJPY looks to be topping out - Goin Short! USDJPY was pumping last week.... now looks to be taking a break.
DXY is way over bought and is already heading down... <---
Love the Forex markets!
If you can successfully trade this market then other markets like Crypto look interesting!
Not Financial Advise! LOL!
Lets have a good week!
Good Luck Out There!
DXY 1 HR was left in a rising wedge. Where will it go now?DXY has been on a tear and looks to head lower. some good resistance at 105.5 or so that can deflect it down to 104.669 (1st stop) next stop is 103.682
Markets open soon. Remember, DXY falling will be better for Risk On (Bitcoin and Stocks) <---
Keep your head in the game! Eyes on the game! LOL!
Super Tip for Traders: Always keep DXY chart open to help you build an edge on the moves!
Good Luck Out There!
Watching divergence on USD indexUSD index has formed divergence.
Looking at the daily chart, we can see a familiar pattern forming between price and the 10 CCI. This pattern is called regular divergence, which can tell us that a possible reversal could develop.
In today’s analysis, we have run over the divergence pattern we are watching and Friday’s price action, which might give it more substance. From here, we would like to see a new move by sellers that breaks last Friday’s low, and this could confirm that sellers are in control and could look to take price back down to the moving averages.
103 could offer some resistance if reached by sellers, as it was a previous level of consolidation before the last breakout. Focus now will be on sellers and if they can back up Friday’s move with a new push lower.
The US has a bank holiday today, which could also be another factor for short-term volatility.
Good trading
EURUSD Bearish short term but strong buys lie below.The EURUSD pair is under the 1D MA50 for the third straight day, turning oversold on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 40.326, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 27.225). This is adding extra sellig pressure on the price with S1 being the first support on its way to lower trading levels.
The Fibonacci retracement levels are particularly useful on this price action and assuming the pattern is a Channel Up since the September bottom, we reach the conclusion that a crossing under S1, will push the price to 0.236 Fibonacci and S2 where the 1D MA100 will offer relief and potentially the first wave of buyers. The second wave will be seen if S2 breaks, on the 1D MA200, that happens to be on the exact bottom of the Channel Up. We will buy heavily on those levels (1.0500 and 1.03500) assuming the 1D RSI turns oversold at 30.000, targeting R1 (TP = 1.0800) and then the upper Rs can follow.
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EURUSD: Scalping opportunityThe EURUSD pair turned neutral technically both on the 4H timeframe (RSI = 51.027, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 32.294) and 1D (RSI = 48.083, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 32.045) and that creates the conditions for sideways trading.
Though the short term pattern may be a Channel Down, we will use the range provided by the Double Top and Double Bottom 1.07900 - 1.0670 to scalp for the rest of the week. This is more or less the 4H Bollinger Bands.
Our buy trigger is a break of R1 (1.0800) and we will TP = 1.09150 and sell trigger the bottom of S1 (1.05740) and TP = 1.0500.
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