LINK/BTC - Bearish for short term - Bull for LongWith the recent market move this might sounds unrealistic!!
Curve
S&P 500, Yeild Curve, Recessions, and BitcoinThe chart below shows the yield spread between the 10yr and 3mo and 10yr and 2yr. When the spread is below 0 (colored in red), the yield curve is inverted. This has been an indicator for coming recessions. The red areas on the SPX are the recession periods.
As you can see we saw an inversion last month (march). The next recession is just around the corner and this one is going to be big. With the Fed experimenting with interesting rates and propping the stock market up, and tech stocks, FANG, and the Get Big Fast strategies startups are using, the market is extremely overvalued.
I think with the awareness of bitcoin now and the upcoming halving, money could pour into cryptos when stocks start to fall. The confluence of all this makes me think bitcoin will moon. The timing of the halving with a possible market crash is amazing to me. I feel excited for cryptos. I want to buy gold and bonds, safe places for my money, but the prospect of HUGE gains from the crypto market is to enticing. Either bitcoin goes to zero and I lose all my money (all the money I can afford to lose, not my savings or monthly spending) or I become much richer than my parents. Lol.
Let me know what your take is on all this!
BNB/BTC - Two Possibility There are two possibility for BNB in the next few days.
With the recent BTC jump, more likely it would be the green one!
See my previous BNBBTC charts.
Good Luck!!!
CMT/BTC, is it a time for the dragon to wake up?Altcoins are going to experience a huge jump if BTC keep the momentum that gained during the last couple of weeks.
CMT is definitely experience one of the worst days ever (Bottom).
NEO/BTC next move! Testing Fib 32%NEOBTC has a lot to gain before start the main move.
Just to test its Fib 0.32 (if we have already passed the bottom) is going to be around 400% gain from today's price.
[EURCAD] Buy spotEURCAD is following this curve trend and Ichimoku looks great too. Maybe a good moment to buy with stoploss at about 1.49
ETHEREUM could be backThis screencast shows a strange curature, which I relied on.
There is a trend change on the 4H time frame which is usually significant.
Spread national US bund 3 and 5 years, medium signal An inverted yield curve means a market situation in which the yields offered, for longer maturities, are lower than the yields of the short-term portion of the curve (in this case the "short" is usually considered as the rates up to 2 years). This is a situation that is at first sight counter-intuitive. Those who have studied Finance will certainly remember the mantra for which 1 euro today is better than 1 euro tomorrow; an inverted curve, instead, says exactly the opposite: better 1 euro tomorrow. This means that investors, on average, are moving towards long-term investments, despite lower yields than short-term investments.
Amazon trend until yield curve inversionAmazon could stay in the uptrend (green line) until yield curve inversion (10yr - 2yr Treasuries spread becomes negative) and then crash (red line).
Current news about yield curve inversion of 5yr - 3yr Treasuries is premature. That indicator was 4 years early in 1964, 3 years early in 2005, and usually was 2 years early.
Imminent yield curve inversionNot much arbitrage play for Financiers with this yield, which one of the many reasons I am short Banks.
Ichimoku not showing any signs of relent.
USD/JPY will hit 115.000 soon
Curving Trendline
Support & Resistance Areas
Monthly Trendline Analysis
Moving Avarage
Fundamental
BTC last resort for CRYPTO FUTURESo before I was joking around posting my 1 support line on btc and publishing, as more of a knee jerk to all the TA I have seen in the tradingview community. I decided to publish a real TA on BTCUSD to share my thoughts. Be sure to watch the video to learn more, but I see 3k as the last support for BTCUSD and if it goes past that, I don't see a crypto future as that will be the final dump. Be very careful both ways as bitcoin has been very volatile in the past If your decision to long or short. I do feel it's safe to short after 4k if you missed the initial one from 5k.
USDJPY (1D) - I'm out.I'm not entering long or short on this time frame. I explain why. I could well be wrong as I am around 60 to 70% of the time.
I may look for a trend on a lower time frame that is favourable, but I'm not hunting for one as I have enough positions open at the moment.
Market IndicatorLooking at forward indicators against the SPY including Copper price, SOX semi-conductor ETF, ADR and Yield curve.
Anticipating yield curve inversionYield curve inversions preceded recessions and stock market declines (by 3-22 months). fred.stlouisfed.org
Yield curve inversion and Morgan Stanley predictionMorgan Stanley predicted end of economic cycle in 2021. www.morganstanley.com
And it looks like a yield curve inversion will occur in 2019 or 2020. fred.stlouisfed.org
I combined the above ideas and drew a green line staying in the current bullish trend channel. I drew a red line showing a delayed bearish reaction after a yield curve inversion. Recessions usually follow 3-22 months after a yield curve inversion. The red line shows a drop to a support line by 2021 and then a rally in anticipation of a new economic cycle.
Four possibilities after yield curve inversionIf yield curve inverts in 2019, there are four likely outcomes.
10/2018 Bitcoin Logarthmic - Curved Out AlreadyLooks like curved out to me and just rising faster now.
From what I learned when studied crypto, price does not matter.
Its the chain and tech
#doggonacci
BTC 10th OCT 2018 - Signs For Bullish MoveHuge move for bitcoin expected. Those are my main TA sign for a bullish move
1. Double Dip in RSI & $ price ($5750-$6000).
2. Consolidation, BTC went almost stable.
3. Curve trend movement, correction seems done.
_________________________________________________________
Very buy, because expecting it would go much lower, might be the new wishful thinking in this.
Stay positive, buy the future, dont see it as an investment only.
_________________________________________________________
#doggonacci
BEAR WITH BITCOIN WHILE IT SEARCHES ITS SOULWe’re at the end of an eleven month pattern where Bitcoin has continued to disappoint and shed bullish sentiment.
I expect the chart is self explanatory. The lower highs and higher lows will meet each other this holiday season and, with that, cause Bitcoin to learn what it is and how it will be for the next six to twenty six months.
There is no insight I could provide that couldn’t be easily refuted but there is one thing that can be said with any certainty: the price will never move left.
