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Is 73k a possible top?? Confluence is showing this possibilityAfter breaking the ATH it is evident that this is no longer an ABC correction as it had finished at 28.8k as a likely Wave 4 on the macro. Now a possible ending 5 Wave on the macro or a possible newer Wave 3 is in play. While trying to look for a new target there is a lot of confluence in both the 1W time frame and the 4H time frame that points to the 73k area. An explanation to what I'm showing: - The top-left chart shows the diminishing return logarithmic curve that has been show by many and has proven over the history of bitcoin and is currently its strongest resistance. The price is approaching this area again and if hits before this Weekly candle or the next it will hit around 73k. - This to me is the strongest example of thinking 73k could be a top just because this log curve has the longest history of all shown here. - The bottom-left chart shows the current macro Elliot Wave (I currently think after breaking the ATH today we are in Wave 5 now) and a possible fractal that shows the current target. - Wave 5 could possibly be over now as the 0.618 has been hit, but for me when I do Elliot Waves I always will believe the 0.786 to be the MAX target for a 5 wave - What is interesting here is the similarities of the 42k -> 28.7k -> 58.4k move of the past compared to the current move from 53k -> 39.6k to our current price now. It does show a bit better on a Daily chart. - Pulling out a fractal of the past and matching with with the present as shown does target the 73k area as well. This is between the 0.618 & 0.786 so have to believe this as a possibility as well - The top-right chart shows the current 4H Elliot Wave. Though this could be interpreted differently, it does appear to me that we are in Wave 5 on that time frame and it as well has a target of ~73k which is the golden pocket area. - The bottom-right chart shows the 4H on a log chart. I have created a log curve of the entire 53k retrace to 39.6k and the current move up. I look to this as a possible timing as to when approx. the 73k top may occur and the start of the possible fallout that may be following but is pure speculation. I do these curves as they are good at finding reversals. If this is true then bitcoin will be due for a very long-term bear market as a large A,B,C style correction will be likely to follow. I do not have targets yet as I rather see this play out first, especially because breaking the ATH changes all my prior targets. What would invalidate what I am showing here is a break of 77k (a Weekly close not a wick) which would break the 0.786 of the Wave 5. If that happens then my opinion would be we are in Wave 3 of a new bullish impulse and a higher ATH will come. I myself am bearish towards the 100k narrative so I feel this is quite probable. I do believe though that a new possible ATH at 73k will take some time for any long-term bearish target to hit as this current move that started at 29k will take time to distribute. Plus, looking on the Daily RSI it shows no bearish divergences as of yet, even broke 75 which has been resisting for some time now. I would say a bounce from an initial drop would be above or around 50k and then we would have to re-evaluate once we see what the next move is as even a 73k top could be a possible Wave 3 too. Would not be surprised to see a new Wyckoff distribution happening also, even if this is a Wave 3. Always have to be mindful of that as this is the type of scenario where they can trap a lot of bullish retail buyers in the end. Either way things have gotten far more interesting for bitcoin in the coming weeks and months... ***Disclaimer: I am not a financial professional/expert and all ideas from me are all speculation based off of my own research. Please do your own research as well as I am not responsible for others when it comes to their financial decisions.***
BNC:BLX
by WITSIT
2
The Bear-inatorThe Bear-inator or Bear market curve is a new theory i've been building upon while waiting for BTC to moon ! The general basis of this curve is the identification of similarities in each bull run and the potential indication that it points too . I spent a while educating myself on the previous runs and noticed big wicked gaps creating a gapped like approach to each run. I had also noticed that most runs ended with a retest of resistance before plummeting to a low. I now identified similarities between runs however i had no way of linking these two ideas until ... I discovered that pulling a curve from the 'pre-run gap' gave an indication to the current conditions to the market while also giving an indication as to where the marjor resistance may lie in the future. While this theory is yet to be tested in the future , it has been backtested on all previous runs ( par the black swan event ) and the same gap like features gives similar results. Now while this is a good indicator in hindsight , we have started to follow the same pattern of gapping and ive noticed a few more similarities between this run and a previous run ! The 2018 run and the 2017 run both start with a wider distance from the curve and both result in a parabolic like leg. This gives me hope to a very bullish future while also potentially highlighting areas to watch for the future . I will continue to monitor this idea and update it monthly while i continue to expand my knowledge - Oliver :D
by ollie_oz
4
CRV/USD - $3 conquered, next is $4! CRV has done a fantastic recovery on this new leg up, breaking our resistance just under $3 dollars and quickly making it support! This is extremely bullish and gives us confidence that we can easily reach $4 which is our next major resistance. The indicators favor this bias particularlyy MACD and volume which are both bullish on this price ascent. Volume increased as we went up = very bullish and MACD did a bullish cross two days ago, this will last for at least a week or two. The only time to be concerned is once we approach $4 resistance because we had several rejections at that level as indicated by the lovely yellow hammers. :) For now, longing this is a nice risk/reward entry. However, be mindful of a possible re-test of our current support, that may provide a better entry, if offered. For now CRV could just pump to $4 without looking back. What can I say, the bears were left behind on this train. :) Like and follow if you liked this idea!
Long
by DU09
6
Edge to Edge move in play for CRVHas happened in the past, I dont see why it cannot happen again. I am not particularly excited about DeFi post EIP 1559, because the upgrade favors staking ETH instead of staking DeFi tokens. For example, you should do much better using a Lido-Crv-cvx staking mechanism over staking UNI. Remember lower ETH fees mean lower staking rewards for a lot of token holders. CRV is one of the few DeFi projects I am invested in because its a part of the ETH staking mechanism. Also as Convex finance went live, I expect a decline in emissions. Given the FA, the TA here should play out.
Long
by brotoshee
4
What's happening with Gold?Loads of people were demoralised on Friday 6th August 2021, when Gold took an amazing dip south. That was part of a 30 min trend switch. But - as I always say look higher. Now strangely, I am actually bearish on Gold in the long run. However, the technical picture is showing something different on the 1D time frame. And there are conflicting trends on lower time frames e.g. The 4H is saying south is the probability. The point is that you gotta pick a trend on a time frame and stick with it, win or lose - just make sure your losses are affordable. So - the 1D time frame is showing a lovely theory of curves (TOC). This usually creates a probability on that time frame only for further movement in the leading edge of the curve (which is for the north). How far? How would I know? I don't own the future. If price falls out of the TOC and continues south on the 2h and 4h, then Gold could be in real trouble. This is also possible because watch the ATR trend switch on the Daily which is sharp and bearish. The 2h and 4h time frames live within it. Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which has a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Captain_Walker
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in CRVUSD". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (1.788). . if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets." Technical analysis: . CRVUSD is in an uptrend, and the continuation of the uptrend is expected. . The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support. . The RSI is at 73. Take Profits: TP1= @ 2.041 TP2= @ 2.324 TP3= @ 2.849 TP4= @ 3.522 TP5= @ 4.261 SL= Break below S2 ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button, . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! ❤️ Your support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️ 💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, ❤️ ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
Long
by ForecastCity
5
The yield curve is supporting a crypto rallyCrypto started rallying after the halving, which coincided with long interest rates rising as the COVID-19 pandemic appeared in March 2020. By injecting massive amount of liquidities, the Fed was also sowing the seed for higher inflation. From mid-April 2021 to mid-July 2021, the rates took a break mid-way thru it's cycle. Lower interest rates means that the inflationnary pressuretook a pause, which manifested itself with the crypto market suffering a mid-cycle correction that we have seen since mid-May 2021. However, the crypto bull market is set to resume for the second half of 2021. Higher upcoming inflation expectations, along with higher interest rates is very bullish for crypto in general and should manifest itself with the pink squiggle I drew. I would expect the yield curve to touch the upper bound in the next couple months while crypto keeps rising in tandem. The yield curve will start inverting when the Fed will proactively raise the short interest rates and this is when the crypto bubble will peak / burst. But while central banks sleep on the switch and keeps inflation unchecked, this is very positive for crypto. Subscribe for more updates!
TVC:US10YLong
by quantmaven
2
$CRV Fire Sale!Back with another $CRV chart lol. As you may know, price action looks pretty awful, especially for alts. I expect $BTC to break to the downside of it's current range and proceed to nuke the entire market with it. Although this unfortunate in the short-term, this will create some amazing buying opportunities for alts, especially those with good fundamentals. In this chart, I display the previous levels (orange box) which should serve as support as we head for further downside. I also show similar support levels (green box) that correspond to fibonacci ratios in accordance to the 5 leg elliott wave impulse for confluence. Knowing these levels, I plan on taking advantage of this buying opportunity at the $0.67 and $0.44 levels primarily, with some hail mary bids at $0.33. These levels should at the least provide a significant bounce to the upside imo. Regardless of the outcome, I am a long-term $CRV hodler as I believe the token is extremely undervalued, and still believe it will reach prices listed on my previous $CRV charts. As for the bullrun itself, although I may be overly optimistic, I do not believe it is over. Comparing previous bullruns, this being the end doesn't make sense to me, and instead I believe we are having a mid cycle correction/shakeout before resuming but only time will tell.
by DanielDimes
2