VIXY longvolume trend indicates;
-75% chance this stocks volume will increase positively starting tomorrow
-25% chance this stocks volume will increase negatively starting tomorrow
Bar trends indicates;
-a short term upward trend
-67% chance of increasing in price over the next 10 days
-33% chance of decreasing in price over the next 10 days
Volume with Bar trends indicate;
-71% chance of increasing in price over the next 10 days
-29% chance of decreasing over the next 10 days
Curves
NNVC - bearish short term (3 days), bullish long term (30 day)after a pattern analysis;
NNVC short-term has:
a 75% chance of falling to 9.20$ by March 11 at 9:30am open
a 25% chance of rising to 12.60$ by march 9 at 1pm and then falling to a price of 11.35$ by open on March 11 at 9:30am
chances of rising short term are actually inflated by a few percentage points because of the virus
NNVC long-term has:
67% chance of rising after March 11 AT 9:30am until march 17 at 9:30am. PT 16.50$ by March 17 at 9:30am
33% chance of falling after March 11 at 9:30am until March 17 at 9:30am. PT 10.85$ by March 17 at 9:30am
Chances of falling are actually inflated long term because of a down trend volume
NNVC
Bitcoin log chart with growth curves and fractal projectionHere is a long term growth curve of Bitcoin. The coloured curves inside the white lines are set to Fibonacci values. The purpose of this chart is to help long term Bitcoin investors clearly identify different phases of the market cycle.
Most importantly:
Euphoria - when price approaches the top white line.
Capitulation - when price returns to the bottom white line.
Accumulation and re-accumulation - when price ranges between the green curves and bottom white line.
Happy investing!
Long Term BTC trend analysis Hello everyone, my name is CombJelliesAreCool, lets get to brass tacks.
Lets start off with the red and green curves i have surrounding the entirety of the price action for BTC, i started off with the first high and low back in Oct 2010 and connected the green curve with every subsequent rally high and connected my red curve with every subsequent rally low. Doing this, its clear to see that touching either of these curves is a trustworthy indicator for the end or beginning of a sustained uptrend. Due to the inherent volatility of the bitcoin market, its entirely possible for a downtrend to occur inside of an uptrend of vice versa. However, if your uptrend doesn't touch the green curve or the downtrend doesn't touch the red curve then the trend has not completed. This indicator has played out without fail for almost 10 years now and can be seen in action with the rallies of 2011 and 2013 and the down trends of 2014 through early 2015 and i posit for the downtrend of 2018 through the rest of 2019.
On this indicator i took my inspiration from @MagicPoopCannon but I came to a different conclusion on the shape of the curves, he posits that as time goes on the price of bitcoin will eventually stabilize, although I agree with him that price action will eventually stabilize as the market gets saturated, I highly doubt stability is coming anywhere in the near future with the increasing adoption and exponential amounts more money that's coming into the market so my bands increase in width as time goes on as opposed to decreases.
Lets move on to the SMA cross, it looks like there's an impending deathcross on the horizon coming to confirm this downtrend we've been in for two months, with this harsh of a downtrend in the past week I assume its coming sooner than later, especially looking at the shape of the 50 SMA up close.
Now for the NVT analysis, I noticed that the shape of the nvt during late 2012 through mid way 2014 has a lot of confluence with the NVT of mid 2017 through now. I first noticed that a new end of the downtrend wasnt confirmed until the NVT for a green oversold signal, one that we didnt have, even during out catastrophic drop in Nov 2018. If you look at the red lines you can see that the shapes of the NVT are basically symmetrical. You see a gradual rise into a steep rise followed by a monster of a dropoff, boom, green oversold signal, a gradual rise and plateau followed by yet another steep rise and another, albeit ever so slightly less of a dropoff than the previous, this takes us into the mid 70s of the NVT, we plateua, chop for a couple months than a decent uptrend and a very gradual drop off of the third red peak of the NVT, and finally our second green on the NVT since out first red peak and a touch of the red curve to signify the end of the downtrend. A majority of this trend is confirmed including the steepness of the angles and the timing of the plateaus in the trend. I would assume this would indeed be the case if we had good NVT data for our very first bull and bear cycle.
If this fractal plays proportionally our eventual low will likely be the high 2000s or low 3000s and our rally high in 2023 will be around 250000 - 300000 dollars per BTC. Shes going down boys.
Thank you for reading, Im open to ideas and criticisms.
GOING FOR GOLD!This is an update on Gold with a new curve showing probability broadly for the north. See my previous video on a smaller curve.
The Theory of Curves is based on exploiting patterns in Chaos. Read up on Chaos Theory. The markets are pure chaos so it is every proper trader's business to know about it.
STRAT/BTCBTC bottom has not been confirmed yet, but by looking at the market in the past few days we saw substantial gain by BTC.
It this price maintained and we won't see a huge sell off, the BTC power gained need to be divided to other Crypto Coins.
A lot of Coins such as STRAT are experiencing their lowest value compare to BCT ever. If BTC is picking up the step, Coins like STRAT would be the first in the line to gain!
For day trading this might not be a good option.
EURUSD (4H) - Theory of curves plus double bottomEURUSD (4H) is flashing both a double bottom and a curve. Both together suggest greater probability of a move north on this time frame only. Expand chart for a better view . This is not a prediction.
Supplemental: if EURUSD moves north expect the DAX to head south - this is the general rule, but can fail.
Catching the curve (educational)This is shared experience, on how curves can be exploited. It requires much experience timing and trading management.
Curves don't rule the markets - obviously. The markets will do their own thing. Generally though, there are some probabilities that emerge, which can be exploited.
ETHUSD : 2 PATHS FOR 1 FUTUREIs the future of ETHUSD and other cryptocurrencies is bright or not?
I decided to make that chart analysis to clarify the situation and draw an approximation of the different paths we would follow for the end of May and during June. In that chart you could find all resistances, support and pivot zone that I calculated according to two assumptions:
1) We follow the green path in which we are now, forming a cup&handle.
Higher point May = 835
Close point May = 800
Lower point May = 627
2) We follow the red path that brings the market to retest the pivot of 2018.
Higher point May = 835
Close point May = 580
Lower point May = 627
Calculation formulas:
Pivot = (H + B + C) / 3
S1 = (2 x Pivot) - H
S2 = Pivot - (H - B)
R1 = (2 x Pivot) - B
R2 = Pivot + (H - B)
We still are in a bullish market as we can see on the RSI. If we break the 40, we would enter in a bear market and follow the red path to retest our annual pivot at $536. That solution is possible as we have a great bearish divergence.
However, all cases are possible, we could see a new rally from our $657 support 1 of this week. The weekly pivot around $700 could be retested soon. On the other chart analysis that I've done, we can see that we have a symmetrical triangle with an ABCDE correction that followed the previous impulse wave.
At that time, we didn't really break the triangle, we should wait the end of the day !
I wanted to make that educational chart to practise some tools and share with you my point of view about the future of the market. If you don't use Pivot Standard Points tool, you should do because it's one of the mostly used tool by traders. And that could change your Moon or hell mindset in a more analytic one.
Thanks for reading, if you think it's an interesting analysis, push the agree button! Comment whatever you want to share something about that topic and follow me if you want to see more about my analyses.
Have a nice week!
Ripple still struggling under MA(100) 1$ resistance.Hello everyone, since short, but fast bearish trend from 2018-02-20, which decreased price of XRP coin by 25cents, Ripple still struggling under heavy resistance of MA(100). Momentum is calming down which could signify a big move in the near future. If Ripple will break resistance of 1$ and bad news won't get to the surface, we could expect big things in XRP market in March.
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***This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.***
[Parabolic view] $20,000 BTC - Feb 2018As BTC price is currently exponential I believe that using curves is more accurate. So I combined both curves and lines following the main tops & dips of 2017.
We get a price prediction of +$20,000 / BTC for february 2018.
Feel free to share constructive comments below.
Happy trading / hodling.