CVNA Carvana Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CVNA here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CVNA Carvana prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 25usd strike price in the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $3.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
CVNA
shorts again?Five historical downward waves were created from the highest peak to the lowest bottom, after which only three upward corrective waves were formed, not a motive, and correspond to wave 4 of Elliott’s law. It is now possible that five more waves will be made to re-test the historical bottom of the currency, including the termination of wave C
CARVANA Signs of a PULLBACK Evident and TARGET AREASHi guys, this is a technical Analysis on Carvana (CVNA) on the 3 Day Timeframe.
We've had a MASSIVE rally in CVNA, from MAY till reaching our current MAJOR RESISTANCE ZONE indicated by the GREEN RECTANGLE with RED borders.
We've reached it and got rejected from it on July 19th. We've made our way back up however and are currently forming a LOWER HIGH. Note however, our current 3 DAY candle closes on the 9th of August. Make sure to pay attention.
Friday we had a 12% sell off, where currently our price action is below the 0.786 FIB Level. If we close below on the 9th, the other FIB levels become more probable to reach. Becoming BUY ZONES and Potential PRICE BOUNCE areas.
Our MASSIVE RALLY occurred due to 2 TA reasons:
1. MASSIVE BULLISH ENGULFING CANDLE that blew past MAJOR REISTANCE TREND LINE from BLOW OFF TOP (BLACK line)
2. GOLDEN CROSS, where the 21 EMA CROSSED ABOVE 50 D SMA
However in my Opinion this rally, is NOT sustainable. Notice how SLOPED it is, indicated by this sharp upward channel in BLACK.
I believe something is going to give, especially now that we hit this MAJOR RESISTANCE RECTANGLE ZONE.
I also believe we have not created strong MARKET STRUCTURE, we just went PARABOLIC. This has weak foundation and is probable for a price correction.
Our direction i believe is to fall to the various TREND lines, MOVING AVERAGES and FIB Zones i drew, put on charts and highlighted, respectively.
Notice the trendline our current PRICE ACTION is resting on, if we BREAK this, look to the LOWER SUPPORT TRENDLINE of the UPSLOPING CHANNEL.
I am also looking to the 0.618 FIB and 0.5 FIB Levels as BUY ZONES and areas we test, especially if we CONFIRM BELOW the 0.786 FIB level.
AND Note: It is also likely that when we TEST the FIB levels as SUPPORT, PRICE can move up. Remember that if we don't reclaim or CONFIRM as SUPPORT ABOVE the previous FIB level we broke down from, it is likely price falls again.
I am also looking at the 21 EMA (ORANGE Moving Average) as another area i believe we may test as SUPPORT in the days to come. I Use this EMA alot to indicate BULL TRENDS and BEARISH TRENDS.
When PRICE is ABOVE = BULLISH, or BELOW = BEARISH.
Another interaction that occurs is that sometimes when stocks move up in PRICE, it usually comes back down to TEST the 21 EMA as SUPPORT.
Which WE HAVE NOT YET SEEN a test of SUPPORT on 21 EMA since we went PARABOLIC. This adds to evidence of WEAK Market Structure.
If & When we TEST IT, we bounce off, thats healthy and sustains the BULL RUN, but IF we breakdown confirming as RESISTANCE, WE can test the GREEN Moving Average, the 50 D Moving Average as SUPPORT.
NOTICE: SUPPORT CONVERGENCE of the 21 EMA, BLACK TREND LINE and the 0.5 FIB level. This area could be an AREA we can have a potential bounce from. When many support zones meet, it becomes a powerful support level.
Also NOTICE: BLACK TREND LINE meets at 0.618 FIB level
EMA will also continue upwards, provided price stays above the EMA.
If all FIB LEVELS FAIL, which is always possible but for now not as PROBABLE, LOOK to the MAJOR SUPPORT RED HORIZONTAL LINE as our life line.
This could be our base for sideway or range bound action. Keeping that to the back of your mind can give you perspective of the possibilities of where PRICE can go.
But lets take it ONE STEP AT A TIME.
Now lets look to the RSI, Notice how we've been hanging around at the OVERBOUGHT ZONE since early JUNE. Longer we stay up it becomes more likely we come down, once we do it indicates SELL OFF. One pattern i like to use is watching how the ORANGE RSI LINE interacts with the Moving Average i added to my RSI. If we CROSS below the Moving Average, it usually indicates that we have SELLING and a DOWN TREND. Notice the PREVIOUS EXAMPLES 'ive highlighted.
Now Notice the STOCH RSI. We are getting close to a BEARISH CROSS below the 80 level, indicating BEAR MOMENTUM and SELL OFF. Also focus in on the BLACK HORIZONTAL LINE, watch for any bounces back up. This could give way to BULLISH Momentum coming back into CVNA.
CONCLUSION:
Cavana has had an explosive run, where in my opinion it is not sustainable for the time being. Especially so that we've hit a MAJOR RESISTANCE ZONE. A pullback is inevitable. Ive highlighted some ZONES and Support convergences that, in my opinion can be areas of POTENTIAL BOUNCES and BUY ZONES to observe. When thinking about price dropping, its important to look at it ONE STEP AT A TIME. Example -> Look to the 0.786 FIB level first, if we close & CONFIRM below, look to the next TREND line or FIB level or other ZONES highlighted above and be level headed. This is ABSOLUTELY NOT A TIME TO BUY in my opinion. Alot of signs show overbought conditions especially in the RSI and STOCH RSI. Wait and observe to see what happens for the next 3 day candle close.
Hope this helped. Please support my ideas and my effort by boosting, following and commenting! Thank you for taking the time to view of work.
Any questions, reach out.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. When trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Is CVNA setting up a short trade with its pop?CVNA on the 2H chart appears to be retesting the resistance zone established by a head and
shoulders pattern over the middle of June. Additionally, on the stochastic RSI it is at a level
from which it reversed on May 25th as well as the pivot highs associated with the H & S.
While volume is above the running average, it is not a spike and so without high significance.
I see CVNA as reversing now or very soon. I will monitor this on a lower time frame and look
for an entry. Once I see some indecision HA candles and their color change from green to red
accompanied by some volume and/or volatility possibly confirmed by a bearish divergence
downtrend on the RSI I will take a short trade and potentially a put option as well.
I think short sellers will be stepping in here with volume after the price spike CVNA just
completed. I will be among them.
CVNA - Bulls Are Just BeginningCarvana is setting up for quite the run. Despite seeing a quick increase in price from $15 a share all the way to $26, this Elliot wave count presents a sizeable 3rd wave extension.
Right Now
It looks like we've completed a minute 3rd wave extension, price is looking to move in a serious pullback. The $15.20 range is a big aggressive! If bulls are impatient or a short squeeze is primed, the minute c wave may barely past the a wave.
Ahead?
We need to see more price action before getting more specific price targets, but in the short term (next 2 months) I am eyeing the $30-32 price range before our next major pullback.
CVNA - Retracement UnderwayCVNA in the past couple of trading sessions had a 20 % move and then reversed downward.
As shown on the 1 hour chart, price is below the demand/ resistance zone and sitting on the
POC line of the multisession volume profile where volatility is often at its highest. The
anchored VWAP indicator shows the bands are nearly flat. Price is in the fair value zone and
falling towards VWAP. RSI is near 60 and dropping.
I see this as a decent short setup.
The first target is before the VWAP at 11.20 while the second target is at 10, the confluence
of the bottom of the high volume area and the first VWAP band below the mean. the stop
loss is near to the first VWAP band above the mean at 12.55.
Fundamentally, CVNA has a decent earnings report but is subject
to an impending recession where consumers may be not inclined to make big purchases such
as cars.
$CVNA-Regular Divergence Indicates Potential Bearish OpportunityCarvana ( NYSE:CVNA ), the innovative online used car retailer, has recently shown signs of a regular bearish divergence on its chart, indicating a potential reversal in its current trend. With an identified entry, stop loss, and take profit points, we could be looking at a shorting opportunity here.
Technical Indicators:
The regular bearish divergence, circled in yellow on the chart, suggests a weakening in the current uptrend. This pattern is often a sign of a potential upcoming bearish phase, making it an opportunity for short sellers.
Trade Setup:
Here's a potential trading setup based on the current technical indicators:
- Entry Price: 12.56
- Stop Loss: 13.70
- Take Profit 1: 10.77
- Take Profit 2: 9.13
This setup offers a good risk to reward ratio. The stop loss is set above the recent swing high, limiting potential losses if the price unexpectedly rises. The two take profit points allow for managing the trade more efficiently, taking some profit at the first target and letting the rest run if the price continues to move favorably.
Options Play:
For those interested in options, a Put option expiring on May 19th with a strike price of $10 could be a potential play. This would gain value if NYSE:CVNA stock price decreases, aligning with the bearish divergence.
NYSE:CVNA current technical setup suggests a potential bearish opportunity. However, as always, it's essential to manage risk effectively and ensure the trade aligns with your overall trading strategy.
*Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Always do your own research and consult with a professional advisor before making investment decisions.*
$SNOW Setting up It is essential to exercise patience and caution in your trading strategies. One such approach is to **allow the market price to come to you, instead of chasing after it impulsively.**
In the case of NYSE:SNOW ,
**puts below the 135 zone
and
calls above the 148 zone.**
However, it is imperative to exercise restraint and not rush into any day trades or swings without proper candlestick confirmation. (1-3)
It is crucial to note that impulsive trading decisions can lead to costly mistakes and result in unnecessary losses. As a trader, you must have a clear understanding of the market trends, indicators, and risk management techniques. Patience and discipline are the keys to success in the trading game, and it is essential to develop and maintain these qualities.
Additionally, having a solid trading plan in place and sticking to it can help you stay focused and avoid making impulsive decisions. This includes having well-defined entry and exit points, stop loss orders, and profit targets based on your analysis and risk tolerance.
Remember, trading is not a get-rich-quick scheme, but a long-term game of skill and strategy. With the right approach, mindset, and tools, you can become a successful trader and achieve your financial goals. Stay patient, stay disciplined, and stay focused on your trading plan, and success will surely follow.