CrowdStrike (CRWD) Analysis Market Leadership:
CrowdStrike NASDAQ:CRWD , a global cybersecurity leader, is experiencing increased spending from existing clients, with 64% of customers using five or more cloud modules as of January 31, 2024. This customer loyalty drives CrowdStrike toward its target adjusted subscription gross margin of 82% to 85%.
Investor Confidence:
Prominent investors, including Ken Griffin of Citadel Advisors and Israel Englander of Millennium, are accumulating positions in CRWD, indicating strong confidence in its future prospects.
Advanced Technology:
CrowdStrike's Falcon platform, a cloud-native solution utilizing AI and machine learning, oversees trillions of events weekly. This advanced technology has boosted retention rates from below 94% to a steady 98% over seven years, showcasing high customer trust.
Leadership Insight:
CEO George Kurtz emphasizes the company's appeal: "Customers favor our single platform approach. CrowdStrike is cybersecurity's consolidator of choice, innovator of choice, and platform of choice to stop breaches."
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on CRWD above the $295.00-$300.00 range.
Upside Potential: With a target set at $485.00-$490.00, key drivers include increasing customer spending, advanced technology adoption, and strong investor confidence.
📊🛡️ Monitor CrowdStrike for promising investment opportunities! #CRWD #Cybersecurity 📈🔍
Cybersecurity
$S Potential H2 2024 Breakout After Extended Basing Period$S:1D
HH VWAP (highest high): yellow: 22.87
LL VWAP (lowest low): pink: 19.74
Major Fibs: left side
Minor Fibs: right side
After an extended, multi-year basing period NYSE:S appears ready to breakout to the upside over the remainder of 2024. That being said, the road to a breakout could be a bit rocky in the near term.
The stock has suffered a 29% peak to trough decline from YTD peak of 30.76 achieved on February 14, 2024. More recently, down guidance in mid-March of 2024 has led to a subsequent dip in analyst earnings forecasting for Q1, 2024, essentially having an attenuating effect on the potential for upside impulsivity to emerge.
I view the analyst 'down forecast' for Q1 2024 as 'isolated' given the steady increase in future earnings forecasting from Q2 2024 onward. Current quarterly earnings forecasts includes the potential for a milestone 'first' positive earnings print for Q3 2024 which could serve as the catalyst for a move to the upside. Increasing quarterly revenue forecasts appear undaunted by the potential for a down earnings quarter in Q1 of 2024 and continue to move 'up and to the right'. (see below)
Steadily increasing quarterly revenue streams are often indicative of a company expanding market share within their industry but can be the product of an expanding market within the industry itself resulting in a particular company increasing their revenues without increasing their actual market share. In order to meaningfully expand market share NYSE:S would need to begin taking share from its industry competitors in a more accelerated and aggressive manner.
Signal is currently resting slightly above the HH VWAP (yellow) at 22.87 and remains above the RET 0.5 (20.52) from early November 2023 lows but has yet to reach an 'oversold' state of 30 or below on the 1D RSI which could, theoretically, be achieved with a downward move to below the LL VWAP (pink) at 19.74. Volume flows as measured by OBV (bottom indicator) have fallen below the 50 day simple moving average but remain positive and seem to be finding potential support slightly above prior resistance which peaked in early June of 2023.
Upside target to reach before EOY 2024, is the RET 1.382 (35.43) level which is roughly 51.99% above the current price of 23.31. Trade would invalidate with a 3 bar, 'body close below the line' of the RET 0.236 (17.43) level on the 1D time frame.
Chart is in log scale and Fib levels are based on log scale.
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE
Blackberry 2024Ladies and Gentlemen,
Today, we stand on the brink of a remarkable transformation, driven by a company that has redefined itself with vision and resilience. That company is BlackBerry. Once known for its iconic smartphones, BlackBerry has boldly transitioned into new territories, emerging as a leader in cybersecurity, the Internet of Things (IoT), and advanced automotive technology. This journey is nothing short of inspiring, and it sets the stage for a bright and prosperous future.
BlackBerry’s story is one of relentless innovation and strategic reinvention. By shifting focus from hardware to software, BlackBerry has positioned itself in the heart of two booming industries: cybersecurity and IoT. In a world where cyber threats are ever-evolving, the demand for robust, intelligent security solutions has never been higher. BlackBerry, with its acquisition of Cylance, is at the forefront of this battle, delivering AI-driven cybersecurity solutions that protect organizations worldwide. This commitment to security not only safeguards data but also builds trust and confidence among customers and partners.
Moreover, BlackBerry’s QNX software is revolutionizing the automotive industry. As we move towards a future of connected and autonomous vehicles, QNX stands as a cornerstone of this technological evolution. From in-car systems to advanced driver-assistance systems, BlackBerry’s software ensures safety, reliability, and innovation on the roads. This isn't just about technology; it's about shaping the future of transportation and making our roads safer for everyone.
The Internet of Things represents a vast landscape of opportunities, and BlackBerry is ready to seize them. With the proliferation of IoT devices across various sectors—healthcare, industrial automation, smart cities—BlackBerry’s secure solutions are essential for managing and protecting these interconnected systems. The growth potential here is immense, and BlackBerry is uniquely positioned to lead the charge.
Financial strength and strategic acquisitions have further solidified BlackBerry’s foundation. These moves are not just about expanding capabilities; they are about investing in a future where BlackBerry continues to lead and innovate. Partnerships with technology giants like Amazon Web Services enhance our technological prowess and market reach, driving us forward into new frontiers.
As we look ahead, the future shines brightly for BlackBerry. The expanding cybersecurity market, the evolution of autonomous vehicles, the explosive growth of IoT, and the increasing need for enterprise security all point to a horizon filled with promise and potential. BlackBerry’s unwavering commitment to innovation and excellence ensures that we are not just keeping pace with change but driving it.
So, let us embrace this journey with confidence and determination. Let us celebrate BlackBerry’s resilience and vision. Together, we are part of a story that continues to inspire and innovate, a story that promises a brighter, safer, and more connected future. With BlackBerry leading the way, the possibilities are boundless, and the future is ours to shape.
Thank you.
Study of Dark Pool Buy Zones: CRWDNASDAQ:CRWD reports out of season, June 4th. When outlined to eliminate the extreme price action, there is a clear sideways trend. This is a Dark Pool Buy Zone. When the stock moves outside of that zone, it recovers quickly back into the zone.
The huge Black candle was a gap up by HFTs on the last earnings report, followed by pros taking profits. Along with a lack of accumulation at that level, the stock whipsawed back down. The black candles thereafter were smaller funds selling on each bounce. Notice the tiny white candles that follow the black candles (see the orange arrows), patterns that reveal controlled, incremental buying against the selling.
This is a longer sideways trend with stronger support and more definition of the buy zone despite heavy interference from small funds selling in the past couple of months.
#CYBER/USDT#CYBER
We have a bullish trend pattern on a 4-hour frame, the price moves based on it and adheres to its limits well
We have a tendency to stabilize above moving average 100
We have an uptrend on the RSI indicator that supports the price higher
Entry price is 8.80
The first goal is 9.67
The second goal is 10.96
the third goal is 12.03
We Like The StockBullish on ANET for a pre-earnings run up. Breakout level = 297 . I am buying any dip over the next day or so in the 284-287 range (buy zone). If it breaks above 297 I'll chase.
*Initial target range = 306-313 by 4/19
**Goal Target = 335 by 4/26
- Stop Loss = sustained break below 285, if this occurs it will form a "spring" in its re-accumulation phase in the 270s before breaking out end of Apr. rather than in the coming week.
Swing Into Potential Crash - Pt. 2PANW has traded in a boring range since I last posted my original idea (linked below). Here are the dynamics that have unfolded, and my forecast from here:
- The main factor we need to determine is if the recent consolidation is accumulation or re-distribution (I'm leaning toward re-distribution with a UTAD upcoming - meaning one more pop before major drop).
- There is a ton of overhanging supply, but at the same time a major gap above to fill
- Overall market is nearing a top (but still some gas left in the tank), so if we assume PANW won't completely disregard the rest of the market, then the re-distribution with a UTAD scenario makes sense ( for traders this means swing long currently, and then swing short based on
my updated forecast, below)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Forecast/Predicted price action:
A) Needs to clear 281.71 to give a new signal to enter long (I want to see a close above that level this week). If it gets rejected again at 281.71 then it will see another pullback along the thick red arrow on chart.
B) If we clear 281.71 then it will test 287.79 minimum , so I'll be looking at Apr 26 285 or 286 calls. Once it tests 287.79 , I'll sell half of my calls ITM and then wait for the major test (i.e. rejection at 287-288 or breakout above that level)
- If rejected then I will exit remaining calls but not switch to puts just yet, would need more confirmation. It would likely pullback along the 1pt red arrow if rejected
- if breaks above then I will hold my calls for target scenario (C)
C) If we get to scenario (B) and get the breakout above 287.79, then I'm expecting continuation higher to 298 - 300 ( my initial target = 299.20 by 4/19/2024 ).
- after it hits initial target then it will pullback to retest 287-288 for support before making one final run into the 300s. Don't short until this makes it into 300s to test the gap. It will crash later in 2024 so shorts will have their day soon. I'll send an update once this makes it to 299, but until then I gave you everything you need to trade this.
~Not financial advice. I'm not currently in a position, but will enter calls if we get the sustained break (or close) above 281.79.
Swing It Into A Potential CrashIn summary, if you are in (or considering buying) shares, this is Mid-term bearish. I would highly recommend against entering or adding shares here. You will likely have a better chance to exit/sell in the 330s around March 11-12th.
For those playing options, I can share my strategy - you'll have to be nimble to swing this for profits, but very do-able since I know the path it will take from here.
The smarter strategy is to wait until this confirms a higher low and then short it around March 12th-13th, But if you like making real money on weekly options with high risk here is what to do. Not Financial Advice.
To follow this chart, just pay attention to the thick black arrow - that is my forecast/path that price action will take. The thick red and green arrows align with the black arrow. Read below to see the exact levels and pivot dates I am looking for.
- PANW will likely pullback some more to 276-290 (-4% to -9% from current price: 302.40). This will happen fast - by March 5th End of Day (3/5/2024). So IF it doesn't gap down Monday, I'll be buying a few Mar 8 295 puts for ~3.40 and then looking to sell for over 7.00 Tuesday 3/5 before the close . But if it gaps down Monday 3/5 (which is possible), I'll be holding off on this swing and waiting for my chance to swing long. Hard stop loss will be a break above 306 at any point, if it breaks above 306 that is first near-term bullish signal, if it breaks above 315 it will confirm it has started next bullish leg.
- After the small pullback to expected range of 276-290, PANW will make its last bounce to around 327-338 (depending on where it bottoms in current down leg, this is a possible +16% to +22% bounce coming). Once I sell my Mar 8 puts on 3/5 before close, I will immediately buy Mar 15 300 calls - the premiums should be around 3.00-5.00 at this point but it will depend on where it bottoms exactly. The bounce will last through 3/11-3/12, so I will be looking to sell half my calls at 327 (for at least 27.00) and then sell the other half around 338 (for at least 38.00)
*** After this bounce to 327-338, the real downside will begin. I will send an update with my precise target when we see how this plays out and at what levels it bottoms and tops in this path/forecast, but my estimate target is 210-240 by end of March to Early April (Potential for a 100 point drop!!). I'll be going big on April 19 puts when this bounces to the 327-338 range.
Stay tuned for updates along the way.
Ideal Bullish SetupQLYS has one of my favorite re-accumulation patterns that is setting up for a 40% rally over the next few months.
Breakout level = 172.49 (it should complete the breakout on 3/12 -3/13)
*Initial Target = 175 by 3/14/2024
** Target 1 = 184 by 3/22
Target 2 = 192
~Initial Target and Target 1 will hit on the first leg up following this breakout, Target 2 might not hit until the second leg up after a pullback to form higher low.
Expected path/forecast is the black arrow, summary:
- run to 184-192 by end of March 2024 (as early as 3/22), sign of strength
- Pullback to test 172-175 for support, backup/retest
- If that holds it will begin markup to 245 (this could take until August-November of 2024)
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Options Play:
QLYS Apr 19 2024 185.00 calls for around 3.35
Not financial advice
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QLYS trades similar to the rest of the cybersecurity names, so this will be a great supplement play to my main cyber longs PANW and CRWD. QLYS just has more affordable call premiums and can buy more time. Its setup is also more stable to support a more sustained run.
Cloudflare $Net - Will it swing into a 150%-200% move?Cloudflare NYSE:NET - Will it swing into a 150%-200% move? Cloudflare has a long way to run if it gets back to the all-time high. Price it trading above the EMAs even though we are in a pullback. If it pulls back into the EMAs, it could swing into a 150% - 200% move back to the all-time high. Cyber security will always be a concern. If Cloudflare can continue to solve those problems, especially with the quantum computing threat, Cloudflare will be relevelent.
FTNT: Dark Pool Buy Zone SupportNASDAQ:FTNT is a good example of a stock that had a big gap down that immediately filled due to falling below its fundamental level and a Dark Pool Buy Zone.
This and the sideways trading range developing on the long-term trend creates strong support for weathering any sympathy moves from other cybersecurity stocks that have been over-speculated.
Sideways action is likely to continue for a time, but AI-driven cybersecurity will only become more important in the years ahead and this stock is still at a decent price.
PSN Engineering Consultants /Design LONGParsons reports in 2 days. This multinational engineering firm thrives on infrastructure projects
like highways and bridges, airport runways and other engineering issues such as cybersecurity
walware attacks, election interference, DOS wars, dams, irrigation projects, 100-year storm
assessments and FEMA related work. I am very familiar with this multinational firm that
someday will be consulting on the rebuilt of Ukraine and the Gaza Strip. It is a stable
company with a bright and prosperous future.
The chart shows investors reacting to the impending earnings report and taking positions.
Volatility was extreme last Thursday one week before earnings. I will be adding to my long
position in PSN. This is a slow and steady wins the race type of stock best suited to long term
investors or traders with options strategies.
OKTA - 2x Potential OKTA has been in a tight range for a long time.
Got rejected many times at 92 level.
If this breaks and holds above 92 level, go long.
Long above 92
Stop loss - 80
Target #1 120 (30%)
Target #2 184 (96%)
and after some pullback
Target #3 220 (135%)
Above 130, this doesn't have much resistance until 220.
SentinelOne's Strategic Acquisition of PingSafe: A Gamechanger
In a groundbreaking move in the realm of cybersecurity, SentinelOne ( NYSE:S ), a leading player in AI security, is set to acquire Bengaluru-based PingSafe for a whopping $100 million. This deal marks the largest acquisition in the Indian cybersecurity startup space and is poised to have a significant impact on both companies and the broader industry. Let's delve into the details of this strategic move and explore the fascinating journey of PingSafe's founder, Anand Prakash, from a small village in Rajasthan to the forefront of the cybersecurity landscape.
The Acquisition:
The acquisition of PingSafe by SentinelOne ( NYSE:S ) is a strategic move aimed at bolstering the latter's capabilities in cloud security. The deal, a combination of stock and cash, is expected to close in the first quarter of FY25, positioning SentinelOne ( NYSE:S ) as a dominant force in safeguarding enterprises across endpoints, identities, and clouds. With nearly 12,000 customers already under its belt, the acquisition propels SentinelOne ( NYSE:S ) into a new echelon of cybersecurity prowess.
The Journey of Anand Prakash:
At the heart of this acquisition is Anand Prakash, the visionary founder of PingSafe. Hailing from an agricultural family in Bain village, Rajasthan, Prakash's journey is nothing short of inspirational. The 30-year-old, the first engineering graduate in his family, initially navigated the world of cybersecurity with a computer purchased during his IIT-JEE coaching days in Kota. His introduction to hacking, spurred by a friendly challenge, set the stage for a career marked by innovation and expertise.
Prakash's early experiences, from paying Rs 10 per hour at a cyber center to hacking an Orkut account, laid the foundation for his deep understanding of cybersecurity. After pursuing a degree in computer science from Vellore Institute of Technology, he embarked on a career that included a stint as a cybersecurity intern with Haryana Police and a position as a security engineer at Flipkart.
The Birth of PingSafe:
Prakash, driven by a passion for cybersecurity, co-founded AppSecure with his brother. His commitment to the field and reputation as a top white hat hacker led to bug bounty programs for major companies like Meta, Uber, Twitter, Tinder, and Salesforce. In 2017, Forbes recognized Prakash in its "30 under 30" list for enterprise technology in Asia, solidifying his status as a cybersecurity luminary.
The Technical Outlook:
As the acquisition unfolds, the technical outlook for SentinelOne's stock appears robust. The approximate horizontal trend channel has been broken, indicating strong development. SentinelOne ( NYSE:S ) is positioned for further growth, reflecting the market's positive response to the strategic move.
Conclusion:
SentinelOne's acquisition of PingSafe not only redefines the landscape of Indian cybersecurity but also highlights the remarkable journey of Anand Prakash. From a small village in Rajasthan to the forefront of cutting-edge cybersecurity, Prakash's story is a testament to the transformative power of innovation and determination. As the industry watches the integration of PingSafe's expertise into SentinelOne's portfolio, it becomes evident that this acquisition is more than just a business transaction – it's a pivotal moment in the evolution of cybersecurity on a global scale.
"CYBER/USDT Long Trade Alert 🚀: Bull Flag Breakout and Retest A"CYBER/USDT Long Trade Alert 🚀
CYBER broke out of a Bull Flag Pattern and is currently retesting.
Entry: Current Market Price (CMP). Add more if it drops to $7.548.
Targets: $8.7, $9.45, $10.2, $11.5, $13.
Stop Loss (SL): $7.075 to limit potential losses.
Leverage: Use 5x to 10x cautiously.
R:R (Risk-Reward Ratio): 1:6 (Lucrative).
Use leverage wisely and be conservative to manage risks.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research). This is not financial advice. #CYBER #USDT #CryptoTrading"
CIBR: Cybersecurity Stocks Surge Into Year EndIt has been a record year... for cyber extortion. Orange Cyberdefense data, detailed in a Bloomberg article this week, reveal that there have been four straight quarters of increased corporate victims of hacks and financial blackmails. Major recent cyberattacks include those on MGM Grand, Clorox, Boeing, and China’s ICBC just this year alone. It is all good news for companies engaged in protecting against the increasing threat of large-scale ransomware attacks, among other tech-based crimes.
While shares of CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks have been strong lately, investors can play the trend at a higher level through the First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR). The $5.9 billion fund has a moderate 0.60% expense ratio, and it pays a modest 0.3% dividend yield. The issuer notes that the portfolio’s price-to-earnings ratio is lofty at 27.7x, but Morningstar reports that the ETF’s long-term earnings growth rate is respectable near 10%. To boot, you also get some semiconductor chip exposure, too.
For traders, CIBR’s momentum has been off the charts lately. Up seven weeks in a row, the basket of cybersecurity names has risen from the low $40s to the mid- FWB:50S as we head into 2024. A key thematic play, with fundamental strength (see CrowdStrike’s earnings late last month), I see the potential for CIBR to continue to rally, though shares have historically consolidated over the first 10 weeks of the year. As it stands, I see support between $47 and $48 with another layer of potential buying activity coming into play at $43. On the upside, keep your eye on the November 2021 all-time high just shy of $57.
The ETF successfully held its rising 200-day moving average earlier this quarter, and the breakout through $47 projects a measured move price objective to $58 based on the rounded bottom formation from Q2 this year to the December near-term breakout. With a daily RSI north of 86, we could see CIBR cool off, but the broader trend remains constructive in my view, and new all-time highs are certainly in play over the coming weeks.
#CTK/USDT 1D (ByBit) Descending wedge on supportShentu (a.k.a. CertiK) looks likely to reverse after printing that morning star with a dragonfly doji at the bottom.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) also bounced back on oversold territory, revisiting 100EMA resistance would make sense.
⚡️⚡️ #CTK/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT, Binance Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (3.0X)
Amount: 5.4%
Current Price:
0.4665
Entry Zone:
0.4628 - 0.4384
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 0.5175
1) 0.5678
1) 0.6181
Stop Targets:
1) 0.3947
Published By: @Zblaba
$CTK #CTKUSDT #Shentu #CertiK #BSC shentu.technology
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +44.5% | +78.0% | +111.5%
Possible Loss= -37.2%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-3 months
www.shentu.technology
CRWD - US cybersecurity play If this market will find traction and have a follow-through day, I will bet on CRWD being one of the next up-cycle leaders.
IBD 94 Relative strength and 99 Composite and EPS ratings are markers of a superb company. The industry group is 35 out of 197. High double and triple quarter earnings growth and stable 40+ sales growth for 3 qrts in a row; with stable 35+ ROE; Up/Down volume of 1.5; double digits analyst estimates of 24/25 EPS growth and increasing number of institution last qrt... all these make me call this stock a perspective leader.
From the technical perspective, notice how well the stock price holds and builds the high-handle close to 2023 highs, while general index (line above) is in a downward momentum being almost 10% of the highs. Unfilled gap-up on 31Aug (green circle) is also a sign of strength to me.
I want the price to subside more in volatility to the right side of the handle, creating a tight 3-4% risk pivot and maybe an inside day before breaking out above 172 pivot. That would signal and ideal entry point for my strategy with very tight risk. Although if price decides not to wait and will proceed with definite move above 172 pivot with supportive volume and will be hesitant to buy/add to the position, expecting the price to move to next resistance 194-206 target area.
Trading thesis is wrong if price moves bellow: 157 area
CYBER/USDT upward momentum? 👀 🚀 CYBER Today analysis💎Paradisers, turn your attention to CYBERUSDT as it showcases intriguing dynamics, especially after facing resistance, hinting at a heightened likelihood of a bullish resurgence.
💎 After recently breaking free from a descending channel, CYBERUSDT embarked on a bullish trajectory, only to face a hurdle at the resistance level of 6.518. Two potential outcomes lie ahead: Firstly, should it surpass this resistance, there's a strong probability it will approach the supply zone.
💎 Alternatively, the asset might harness bullish momentum from the demand level at 5.112. However, if it breaches this demand level, the scales tip towards increased downward potential, where the price might gravitate towards the support zone.