CYBR (Long) - Cybersecurity charts are too good right nowFundamentals
I have recently published a trade idea for another cybersecurity stock ( NASDAQ:QLYS ) and seems to have become a theme. The cybersecurity sector is rallying on the back of geopolitical tensions and some stocks, like NASDAQ:CYBR have put some lovely technical setups
The fundamentals here are not as pristine as in the case of NASDAQ:QLYS , but they are still robust
The revenue growth is strong and has remained robust and consistent; the sales have grown nearly 1500% in the past decade, from 47m to $700m
The company has a healthy balance sheet with a reasonable level of debt
The valuation is elevated , but that is to be expected for stocks with a lot of momentum. However, here I am attracted more to the technical setup
Technicals
Anyone who has seen my other trade ideas knows that a solid base with a high-volume breakout is a vital part of my analysis. Here, we have a base which has been forming over a three-year period . Usually, the longer the period, the more robust the base.
Last week, the base broke on a release of strong earnings followed by a higher-than-average volume, and most importantly, we have seen follow-through in price, suggesting the breakout likely has legs
Other indicators suggest continuing momentum and the overall sector is also remaining strong and in support of the rally
Trade
The price is a bit far off from the breakout point, so it currently does not offer the most ideal entry point. I would probably suggest waiting for a pullback or at least a consolidation as the stock is slightly extended on the daily.
However, for someone with a more long-term outlook , this price represents an entry as good as any
Suggested stop-loss is at the breakout point. A caveat would be if the stock fell back and through the breakout point.
One should also watch for the performance of the overall industry . For that, I can recommend the cybersecurity ETF AMEX:HACK
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Cybersecurity
QLYS (Long) - Ideal time for a cybersecurity betFundamentals
With the Israel/Ukraine situation developing, countries and companies will certainly not mind some extra cybersecurity spending. Hence, companies like NASDAQ:QLYS are well-positioned to benefit
Any company making new all-time highs during a challenging time in the markets should catch your interest. This one just did it on impressive earnings and with a substantial buying volume.
I wish you could see the chart of revenue, which has grown by a consistent 20% year after year for the past decade (just a straight line up). Margins are fabulous with an 80% gross margin and a 23% profit margin .
The firm is incredible at handling its own capital with an ROCE of 41.7% (the industry average is 8.9%). The ROCE figure means that the firm has grown 309% over the last 5 years while using the same amount of capital - highly efficient
The firm has no debt (!) and earnings are expected to grow 10% next year.
I could go on and on, but I know that you all degenerates are here for the charts. Just to say, if you are thinking about something longer-term, this is a perfect pick
Technicals
What else to say than to just to look at the chart setup
Clean break on an earnings announcement. The base could be slightly better, but I do not feel like letting this one run away.
RSI pointing higher, good volume, relative strength is high and the industry is driven by various robust tailwinds
Strong growth, solid fundamentals and a lovely chart - William O'Neill would be proud
Trade
I entered the stock today; I wanted to wait for a better base, but I do not think this one will be waiting
However, the weakness in the market might drag it down a bit and offer a better entry
For the stoploss , I would suggest that if the stock falls back down back to the black line and below, that would be a clear sign of a failed breakout.
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If you like my content, Please leave a like, comment or a donation, it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
POSI - Russian leader in cybersecurity The actuality of cybersecurity for Russia in the absence of global brands becomes even sharper and provides unique opportunities for the best local provider to capture growing market share.
Stock price technical perspective still illustrates strong up-trend, with some caution signals to be mindful about if one decides to trade it.
On a weekly time-frame, price is solidly supported above the 10w MA, that is crucial for me to consider trading the upside of any stock. Although, I cautious about important fibonacci resistance levels at 2500 area. I price will not be able to follow-through its recent break-out attempt from 5 weeks flat base and move above 2500 zone, than I have hard times considering wave 4 finished, and will expect more deep and long correction (probably to 2070-1850 support zone).
That being sad, in my trading, I try not to forecast, but to follow the price and volume dynamics. And when the set-up is favourable and I have positive traction in my personal portfolio, I will take it without any hesitation.
Thesis : Above 2415 line and I expect price to follow-through and move towards 2600-2800 resistance zone. Below this line and I am out, and wait either for more tight entry set-up or stepping on the sidelines at all.
CrowdStrike going up!A bit unusual for me to try and make a idea about a specific stock, but here goes!
Crowdstrike has always been a darling for me and I have been in-and-out of the stock a couple of times, but this time im in it for the long run!
Clear upwards trend, with a nice couple of close support/resistance levels.
The current one we are at now from 168-169. Should go higher, based on their incredible earnings.
TP 1 - just above the 180-level, should be reached start-mid November and should hold that support.
TP 2 and 3 will be commented later!
Follow and keep track of the stock!
Good luck!
BB: Is at the PCZ of a Bullish Gartley and a Bullish Deep CrabBlackBerry is attempting a spring-and-back-test-of-spring at the bottom of the range that it's been trading within since 2012, and the level happens to align with the PCZ of a huge Bullish Deep on the left, to which it has reacted once before, and on its way to testing the zone a second time and back testing the spring. It's also formed a smaller, more localized Bullish Deep Gartley with some hidden Bullish Divergence on the MACD. If it manages to get back above $5 and stay above $5 in the active session, we would then have room to see it pump all the way up to $24.89 really fast as that is the next major level above and near the 200-Month SMA, but if things really want to get serious, we could see BB complete a Full Measured move of this range which would take it all the way up to the 50% retrace up at around $45.39
PANW Palo Alto Networks Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PANW`s Double Bottom here:
or before the earnings here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PANW Palo Alto Networks prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $7.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Fortinet FTNT Overreaction - What now?Slightly after earnings Fortinet Gapped down. Which are my favorite kind of stocks to trade because 9 times out of 10 Gaps close.
Fortinet had many analyst reiterate Bullish price targets some up to $70. I'm looking for a retest at $60.
Forecasting out to nov 2nd. The next earnings should be interesting.
Williams, MACD, & RSI are all showing Oversold in this situation. This could be a solid entry for someone to start a small position.
This is not financial advice.
Trade Responsible,
#TradeTheWave 🏄🏽♂️🌊
CSCO - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹POSITIVE signals rectangle formation with breakout at 52.14 resistance, next resistance at 55.
🔹RSI bearish diverges against the price, indicating downward reaction.
🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
NET - Horizontal Trend Channel🔹Rectangle formation between support at 40.60 and resistance at 68.20.
🔹Support 52 and next resistance 130.
🔹Technically NEUTRAL for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
ZS - Falling Trend Channel [MID TERM]
🔹Broken the ceiling of the falling trend in the medium long term,
🔹Support at 142
🔹Volume has previously been low at price tops and high at price bottoms.
🔹Technically neutral for medium-term long-term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
CRWD - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]🔹CRWD is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹Next resistance 160.
🔹Weakening rising trend signals potential break early.
🔹Overall assessed as technically neutral for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
PANW - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]🔹FTNT is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹Supports at 192 in negative reaction.
🔹Short-term momentum is positive with RSI above 70.
🔹Technically positive for medium-term long-term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
FTNT - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]🔹FTNT is in a rising trend channel in the medium long term.
🔹FTNT surges after double bottom formation break through resistance at 57.16.
🔹supports at 69.50 for negative reaction.
🔹Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
ZS Zscaler and the U.S. Gov Agencies Hit By CyberattackIf you haven`t bought ZS here:
Then you should know that Zscaler provides cloud-based security solutions, including web security, data loss prevention, and cloud application security.
In light of the recent news regarding cyberattacks on multiple U.S. government agencies, it is reasonable to expect an increased focus on cybersecurity measures, which could potentially benefit cybersecurity stocks in the market. These attacks highlight the vulnerabilities present in the software systems used by government entities, underscoring the urgent need for robust cybersecurity solutions.
The fact that the U.S. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency is actively investigating the breach indicates the seriousness of the situation and the government's commitment to addressing these security threats. As such, there may be a heightened emphasis on strengthening cybersecurity infrastructure and investing in advanced technologies to defend against future attacks.
The reported involvement of a Russian-speaking hacking group known as CLOP in previous attacks serves as a reminder of the persistent and evolving nature of cyber warfare. This continuous threat landscape necessitates ongoing innovation and investment in cybersecurity.
Considering these factors, cybersecurity stocks have the potential to experience an upward trajectory. Companies specializing in threat intelligence, network security, endpoint protection, and data encryption could be in high demand as organizations and governments seek to fortify their defenses against cyber threats.
My Price Target for ZS is $185 by the end of the year.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
Artificial intelligence: signs of acceleration in 2023“One final investment area that I’ll mention, that’s core to setting Amazon up to invent in every area of our business for many decades to come, and where we’re investing heavily, is Large Language Models (“LLMs”) and Generative AI. Machine learning has been a technology with high promise for several decades, but it’s only been the last five to ten years that it’s started to be used more pervasively by companies. This shift was driven by several factors, including access to higher volumes of compute capacity at lower prices than was ever available. Amazon has been using machine learning extensively for 25 years, employing it in everything from personalised ecommerce recommendations, to fulfillment center pick paths, to drones for Prime Air, to Alexa, to the many machine learning services AWS offers (where AWS has the broadest machine learning functionality and customer base of any cloud provider). More recently, a newer form of machine learning, called Generative AI, has burst onto the scene and promises to significantly accelerate machine learning adoption.”
Amazon.com CEO Andy Jassy1
When Amazon’s CEO makes such a statement, we pay attention. In 1997, Amazon.com had revenues of $147.8 million; in 2022, this figure was $434 billion for Amazon’s consumer business. Amazon Web Services was conceptualised in 2003, with the first services launched in 2006 and, in 2022, generated $80 billion in revenues.
Elsewhere, The Stanford AI Index Steering Committee, Institute for Human-Centered AI (one of the best annual resources on artificial intelligence), have also just released a new report. Artificial intelligence (AI) is, undoubtedly, a big topic in 2023, and this report provides an excellent resource for understanding how it is progressing. The full piece is almost 400 pages, but we wanted to highlight some key points.
ChatGPT was not the only big AI development of 2022
On November 30, 2022, ChatGPT was launched, but the Stanford AI Index report helps us remember other notable events in 2022. Our 5 favourites:
February 16, 2022: DeepMind trained a reinforcement learning agent to control nuclear fusion plasma in a tokamak2. While this doesn’t mean that fusion powerplants are immediately around the corner, it does show a notable use case for AI to help scientific research in a very, very difficult area.
April 5, 2022: Google released its PaLM large language model with 540 parameters. This was an important step, showing that one avenue to improve the performance of these models was to simply train them on more data. As of this writing, we do not know how this figure compares to the number of parameters in use for OpenAI’s GPT-4.
May 12, 2022: DeepMind showcased Gato, which is a model that can generalise across such activities as: robotic manipulation, game player, image captioning, and natural language generation.
June 21, 2022: GitHub makes Copilot available as a subscription-based service for individual developers. Copilot is a generative AI system that can turn natural language prompts into coding suggestions across multiple languages.
July 8, 2022: Nvidia uses reinforcement learning to design better-performing GPUs, accelerating the performance of its latest H100 class of GPU chips.
Insights on global corporate investment
AI has been one of the hottest areas for corporate investment, but Figure 1 shows the total level of investment shifted downwards, from $276.14 billion to a level of $189.59 billion in 2022 with the market volatility.
The two biggest categories comprising the level of AI investment recently has been ‘Merger/Acquisition’ and ‘Private Investment.’ Both of these categories dropped significantly from 2021 to 2022, but this is not surprising in that both of these would be expected to slow in a less certain economic environment with the US Federal Reserve quickly raising the cost of capital.
One of the most informative charts in the 400-page report is the specific focal areas of investment, and how they have changed.
‘Medical & Healthcare’ was the biggest focal area in 2022, after being second biggest in 2021, trailing only ‘Data Management, Processing and Cloud.’
‘Cybersecurity, Data Protection’ was the fourth biggest investment area in 2022 and the largest that saw an acceleration in investment, meaning investment in 2022 was actually larger than in 2021. The Russia/Ukraine conflict in 2022 created a big focus on cybersecurity.
There is little question, the first four months of 2023 have seen a massive focus on AI, and a massive focus usually leads to at least some hype and some risk of near-term overvaluation. Sometimes this is the nature of thematic investment—we all want something to get excited about, especially if economic growth and geopolitics are less positive. What is emphasised in the letter from Amazon.com CEO, Andy Jassy, and then measured in the 2023 Stanford AI Index report, is that the AI megatrend is continuing to grow and increase in its impact on society and on businesses.
Sources
1 Source: aboutamazon andy-jassy-2022-letter-to-shareholders
2 A tokamak, put simply, is somewhat of a doughnut in shape and is a device used to contain the plasma in a fusion reaction.
CRWD: Bullish setup points towards $240-270CRWD sits at the convergence of two mega trends: Cyber security and AI. Strong impulsive move off the low combined with a 3 wave pull back and subsequent break of the W1 high implies a low-risk entry point ahead of earnings. Ultimately expect CRWD to reach quadruple digits over the next few years.
RPD Rapid7 Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain of W Wayfair prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 50usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-5-19,
for a premium of approximately $3.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
PANW Palo Alto Networks Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PANW here:
Then Analyzing the options chain of PANW Palo Alto Networks prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 190usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-6-16,
for a premium of approximately $8.75
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.