Cybersecurity
T-minus 7 days till FEYE reaches apex of pennantGo long FEYE. It appears to be building significant strength. Hopefully, this launches past resistance within the next 7 days. A shortened trading week this week will hopefully result in pent-up trading demand being unleashed. Don't forget there is still somewhere around $5 trillion dollars in money market funds waiting to be deployed in the stock market.
Telos Corp, a buy option It has a support level at $34 and resistance at $40, currently trading around $ 37.
Touching its 55-period EMA.
In uptrend since December.
Belonging to a sector with future potential (cybersecurity).
With low volume waiting for a strong movement.
It can hit the $50-60 range during this quarter.
Among its main customers are the Department of Defense, Department of Homeland Security, Department of State, FedEX, Citi, Amazon, Salesforce, Microsoft, among others.
Backed by institutional investors like BlackRock, Vanguard, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.
"Telos Corporation is a provider of cyber, cloud and enterprise security solutions for the security-conscious organizations. Telos Corporation is based in ASHBURN, Va."
* It will report fourth quarter and full year 2020 financial results after the market close on Thursday, March 4, 2021
NASDAQ:TLS
Buy FEYE on this weaknessEarnings didn't entirely please analysts so it has been trading down ever since but that's folly in my opinion.
Fire-Eye is the best cybersecurity play in the Small-Mid cap range; Crowdstrike has gotten too far ahead of itself for me to be comfortable buying at those levels.
Go long FEYE
Short-term Price Target: $25
Mid-Point: $30. (sell half)
Long-term Price Target: $35
$ZS - Bullish Exploration of even more ATH'sRevisiting $ZS after our incredible first trade on it.
Now that we've established new highs, this opens some further targets for continuation.
Trend looks healthy - but I would like to see a pop above the pitchfork midline 👍
TG1: 226.38
TG2: 237.69
TG3: 244.68
Invalidation under: 208.08
Leave some feedback below if you have any!
And don't forget to like and follow if you'd like more 👍
CRWD- One of the leaders in cloud endpoint securityCybercrime is expected to cost the world $10.5 trillion by 2025, making it the 3rd largest economy.
Recent SolarWinds attack reminds us that cybersecurity will continue to be one of the most important concerns federal govt, SMB and big enterprise pay attention to. Federal budgets devoted to cybersecurity will likely to increase and CAGR of the cybersecurity's TAM is likely to accelerate in the foreseeable future as well.
CRWD has outperformed many of its competitors recently and will likely pursue more partnership alliance and acquisition down the road. It is one of the leaders in cloud endpoint security, a niche area within cybersecurity space, and will likely remain so as it continues to expand product offers outside strictly endpoint/workload protection.
Start of the Bull Run for Cyber Security stocks?In the early Dec 2020, FireEye, a top cyber security firm, said it was hack. About a week later, Solarwinds NYSE:SWI , an IT firm that provides software for companies like the Fortune 500 and the US government was also reported being hacked. The series of the hacking events stir up huge interest back to the cyber security stocks.
Is the rally for cyber security stocks sustainable? Or is it just for swing trading by tapping into the hacking news as catalyst? How about position trading (aka investing) for this sector? To answer these questions, let's take a closer look by analyzing the top 4 ETFs such as AMEX:HACK , AMEX:IHAK , NASDAQ:BUG , NASDAQ:CIBR and some of the outperforming stocks like NYSE:NET , NASDAQ:ZS , NASDAQ:CRWD , NASDAQ:OKTA , NASDAQ:TENB , NASDAQ:VRNS , NYSE:CALX , NASDAQ:ALRM , NSE:SAIL , NASDAQ:RPD , NASDAQ:FEYE and NYSE:PANW .
FireEye Rally on SolarWinds HackFireEye, CrowdStrike and Other Security Stocks Rally on SolarWinds Hack
Security-software stocks were flying high Friday, as investors anticipated a pickup in spending in response to widespread damage
FireEye, U.S. Agencies Affected By Cyber Attack On Solar Winds Software
The security-software firm said a “global intrusion campaign” is making use of a tainted update to SolarWinds IT-management software.
Continue reading from the cyberattacks on SolarWinds believed to have been orchestrated by Russia.
SolarWinds (ticker: SWI) has said that close to 18,000 customers were left vulnerable in the incident that has affected a range of U.S. government agencies as well as commercial clients.
That means cybersecurity spending could be “poised to accelerate” on intrusion and containment fears
The incident was first identified last week by FireEye (FEYE), a victim of the attack. While FireEye shares initially tumbled on the news as investors worried that the hack could severely impact its business, the stock has since reversed course and rallied almost 32% on Friday. Other security software stocks are also trading higher, with substantial gains for CyberArk (CYBR), Fortinet (FTNT), Mimecast (MIME), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), Proofpoint (PFPT), Qualys (QLYS), Rapid7 (RPD), Tenable (TENB), Varonis Systems (VRNS) and Zscaler (ZS).
www.barrons.com
FEYE over 15.29Nice IH&S setup with a big move that didn't hold, may need to find support before trying again.
$PLTR Earnings Call Announcements is Crucial (Potential $20)Palantir will report its first earnings report since the IPO on Thursday Nov 12th.
Analysts expect the company to report $279.32M in revenue and $0.03 EPS.
Before it went public, Palantir guided Q3 revenue of $278-280M, up 46-47% Y/Y, and operating income of $60-62M.
For the year, PLTR forecast $1.05-1.06B in revenue (+41-43%) with operating income of $116-126M.
The company expected 2021 revenue growth above 30%.
Palantir shares are up 1.9% to $14.95 and have popped 39% in the past week on a potential tailwind from the Biden administration, which could lead to a cut in defense spending and send those clients towards lower-cost alternatives like Palantir software.
(Source: Seeking Alpha)
With the recent news of Palantir supporting not only the United States but the United Kingdoms as well in tracing COVID-19, along with Tracking COVID-19 vaccines for the DOD... Palantir continues to show its importance to the public along with attracting even more investors.
If Palantir exceeds earnings expectations this could cause the stock to continue to spike massively... potentially reaching $20.
But keep in mind, with the way the market has been reacting to earnings calls... don't be surprised with a minor pullback back.
Either Way... We are at a crucial pivot point for Palantir. If you truly believe in the company.. you know what you have...
Bull and bear cases To go long: I would want to see it first over this trend line, then over the major (march low to recent high) .786 fib, then preferably over the VPOC in red and .618 minor fib (Recent high to low) in black. The alternate bull case is a cup and handle with a run into earnings, bullish accumulation/distribution as shown below.
CrowdStrike Has Pulled BackOne of the main features of the market lately has been a rotation to non-megacap technology names. Zoom Video Communications, Twilio, Roku, Snap, Pinterest, Zendesk, Etsy, Match, Digital Turbine, Appian, Fiverr and others (including solars) have all shot to new highs lately. Meanwhile the biggest names like Amazon.com and Apple have drifted since the Nasdaq-100’s overbought top in early September.
CrowdStrike could be a member of the “new name” club because it only went public in June 2019. The cybersecurity stock rallied along with other software companies between March and September and has been consolidating since.
Four potential patterns are now appearing on its chart.
First, CRWD’s stochastics have dipped to their most oversold levels since March.
Second is the price zone around $130-131. It served as resistance at the top of a bullish triangle September 4-18. CRWD then broke through it and bounced above it on September 24. Prices have now returned to that same area.
Third, CRWD has pulled back to its rising 50-day simple moving average (SMA).
Fourth, momentum has been bearish over the last two weeks. But recent candlesticks show several potential reversal patterns: inside day on October 23, outside day/spinning top on October 26 and another inside day on October 27. Is it trying to stabilize, potentially allowing the longer-term uptrend to continue?
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Topping up #AR9. Seems to be finding a base here.Topping up here
TA,
- Trend line support
- 20EMA daily
- Ascending triangle
- RSI relatively oversold
- Short term resistance at 0.6 show by high volume. Good place to take some profits if you intend to.
Concerns,
- Recent earnings and 50% loss in operating revenue. However, the earnings reaction was neutral which shows strong hands holding this.
- If negative momentum continues, could see 0.35 in the short term. Should bounce there(first touch rejection 90% of the time)
FA,
Fundamentally, I am betting on the the team and the trust they've developed over the last 1.5 decades
It's quite obvious that the next decade will be dominated by data,cloud and IoT. Cyber security is the back bone for this next paradigm and it is highly unlikely governments will outsource data security to a non-Australian company. AR9 has built this trust over the last 1.5 decades. Trust is hard to replicate on balance sheets.
Pop-N-LokWe've been in this and just doubled up today. First initiation was back on July 13th but the Oct 19's. This morning we also bought the Oct 21's looking for an additional aggressive move to the upside with it flagging again. Options are stupid cheap.
LTO long : Ascending triangleTA,
-MA crossover
-MACD crossover
-broke .685 level = new support
-clean ascending triangle
FA,
- Hybrid blockchain for securing, verifying and exchanging business-critical information
- Protect data
- Issue accreditations for your business
- P2P data exchange
Entry : .691
Exit : .763
SL: .667(thesis invalidated if major support is broken)
RR 1:1
FSLY- When the momentum stock loses its momentumTrend line is temporarily broken and there was no strong bounce back after the price crashed to the confluence zone of POC, 50 SMA and fib 38.2 level, indicating a weak demand at this lvl. There is little sign of decreasing selling pressure at this moment.
If FSLY doesn't get back above the resistance and supply zone of 90 convincingly in the next days, party may indeed be over.
Generally speaking, when you see the momentum stock decline significantly after the positive earning, this should be your first warning sign that investors are disappointed that the stock fails to live up to their lofty expectation. This is especially true for momentum stocks with lofty valuation.
Market tops are often made when stocks react negatively to positive earning or when stocks stop going up on positive news.
It is possible though that the short-term negative sentiment is caused by the TikTok news, but it is undeniable that the growth of enterprise clients for FSLY has slowed down recently.
The overall macro is still good for Fastly though as E-commerce is still thriving. I am also bullish on the cybersecurity industry as whole and another market-leading CDN in the edge computing space you can capitalize on is NET.
Thank you for reading through my analysis! Don't forget to click the like and follow me :)
$AR9 with significant tailwindsTA,
-MACD daily golden cross
-Upper-level exhaustion (known as cup and handle in TA culture)
- Bullish Moving averages
FA,
- Geopolitics
- War on data. Data is the new currency. Protecting data comes with big rewards.
- Management team
- Top government contracts: MOAT
- Good financial health
- Insider ownership: 17%
- Recurring revenue
- TAM 2.8B in AUS and 7.7B worldwide
(-)
- Massive run-up since March lows so there could be some Profit-taking
- RSI overbought
- Dependent on a few big customers
- Price/sales=120
Don't usually buy into overbought stocks, but success comes from doing things differently