Topping up #AR9. Seems to be finding a base here.Topping up here
TA,
- Trend line support
- 20EMA daily
- Ascending triangle
- RSI relatively oversold
- Short term resistance at 0.6 show by high volume. Good place to take some profits if you intend to.
Concerns,
- Recent earnings and 50% loss in operating revenue. However, the earnings reaction was neutral which shows strong hands holding this.
- If negative momentum continues, could see 0.35 in the short term. Should bounce there(first touch rejection 90% of the time)
FA,
Fundamentally, I am betting on the the team and the trust they've developed over the last 1.5 decades
It's quite obvious that the next decade will be dominated by data,cloud and IoT. Cyber security is the back bone for this next paradigm and it is highly unlikely governments will outsource data security to a non-Australian company. AR9 has built this trust over the last 1.5 decades. Trust is hard to replicate on balance sheets.
Cybersecurity
Pop-N-LokWe've been in this and just doubled up today. First initiation was back on July 13th but the Oct 19's. This morning we also bought the Oct 21's looking for an additional aggressive move to the upside with it flagging again. Options are stupid cheap.
LTO long : Ascending triangleTA,
-MA crossover
-MACD crossover
-broke .685 level = new support
-clean ascending triangle
FA,
- Hybrid blockchain for securing, verifying and exchanging business-critical information
- Protect data
- Issue accreditations for your business
- P2P data exchange
Entry : .691
Exit : .763
SL: .667(thesis invalidated if major support is broken)
RR 1:1
FSLY- When the momentum stock loses its momentumTrend line is temporarily broken and there was no strong bounce back after the price crashed to the confluence zone of POC, 50 SMA and fib 38.2 level, indicating a weak demand at this lvl. There is little sign of decreasing selling pressure at this moment.
If FSLY doesn't get back above the resistance and supply zone of 90 convincingly in the next days, party may indeed be over.
Generally speaking, when you see the momentum stock decline significantly after the positive earning, this should be your first warning sign that investors are disappointed that the stock fails to live up to their lofty expectation. This is especially true for momentum stocks with lofty valuation.
Market tops are often made when stocks react negatively to positive earning or when stocks stop going up on positive news.
It is possible though that the short-term negative sentiment is caused by the TikTok news, but it is undeniable that the growth of enterprise clients for FSLY has slowed down recently.
The overall macro is still good for Fastly though as E-commerce is still thriving. I am also bullish on the cybersecurity industry as whole and another market-leading CDN in the edge computing space you can capitalize on is NET.
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$AR9 with significant tailwindsTA,
-MACD daily golden cross
-Upper-level exhaustion (known as cup and handle in TA culture)
- Bullish Moving averages
FA,
- Geopolitics
- War on data. Data is the new currency. Protecting data comes with big rewards.
- Management team
- Top government contracts: MOAT
- Good financial health
- Insider ownership: 17%
- Recurring revenue
- TAM 2.8B in AUS and 7.7B worldwide
(-)
- Massive run-up since March lows so there could be some Profit-taking
- RSI overbought
- Dependent on a few big customers
- Price/sales=120
Don't usually buy into overbought stocks, but success comes from doing things differently
$FEYE Cyber-security FTW. Fireye will save us from the hackersFalse breakdown and a larger uptrend beginning. This is one to watch.
Cyber Security has become essential for all"Because of the rise of remote working, cyberattacks have grown exponentially in recent months, with the FBI reporting a 400% increase in complaints in April versus March, as attackers hope to expose weaknesses in an organization's business continuity strategy"
Fundamental difference between some of the biggest cyber-security companies:
CrowdStrike's (CRWD) endpoint protection uses resource-friendly security agents to inform its crowdsourced cloud about any potential threat anomalies. All customers are protected based on a single threat found, and its technology is supported by having renowned threat remediation and hunting capabilities.
OKTA disrupted the identity access and management market with its cloud-based technology that has a large number of application integrations that make controlling who has access to what much simpler for security teams. In a perimeterless security world, the importance of identity is becoming paramount.
Zscaler's (ZS) secure web gateways delivered via its cloud locations provide customers a safe route to cloudbased resources. Branch and remote users can go directly to their applications instead of going through a centralized data center, decreasing lag for the end user and alleviating traffic bottlenecks for IT teams.
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is an attractive option for investors. In our view, its cloud transition springboarding growth off its firewall leadership, upselling and cross-selling prospects via its security platform, and strong cash flow and balance sheet are being overlooked for the pure cloud-based companies.
MIME entry: Fundamental and Technical analysisFundamental metrics
- Gross margin > 70%
- Just entered profitability with a net margin of 0.04%
- Revenue growth 25.4%
- Rule of 40 = 0.04+0.04 = 25.4
- Free cash flow growing slowly
- The net revenue retention rate of 111%. Existing customer base alone has added 11% of revenue for the year ended 2019. 1100 new customers which is about a 30% increase
- Financial health is a concern with a current ratio of only 1.04, interest coverage of 1.04 and a Debt/equity of 0.82
- Structural tailwinds due to growing adaption of cloud services and network hacking.
- An organization would spend more funds on ensuring cybersecurity, detecting threats and protecting data. Remember, data is the new oil.
TA,
- Lower Bollinger band accumulation
-4H/Daily RSI buy
- 5EMA trending up
- 0.5 Fib support
- Daily level support
- Ascending wedge?
Cybersecurity Stock Increases EarningsCybersecurity Stock Increases Earnings
Go to Invest2Success Blog and or Contact Me for the Details
NASDAQ:CRWD
NASDAQ:MSFT
NASDAQ:FEYE
$CRWD #crowdstrike $MSFT #microsoft $FEYE #fireeye #technology #semiconductors #coronavirus #financialforecast #stocks #stockstowatch #stockmarket #wallstreet #nyse #sp500 #investing #investors #trading #traders #elliottwave #markets #finance #economy
Cybersecurity massive volume!On a minute chart, there was a buy trade for 266,069 shares; creating the biggest volume spike in this ETF's short history. (check volume candles on chart).
As we see the volume spike on a specific minute (10:48am ET), we can assume the trade was made by probably 1 institution/person. This means this individual created a position of 5 million dollars with a single trade into BUG.
10sma towards the $19 range shows short-term support.
Top-10 Portfolio holdings by weight:
OKTA (8.4%)
FTNT (8%)
ZS (6.93%)
Trend Micro Inc (6.09%)
CHKP (5.69%)
NLOK (5.63%)
QLYS (5.61%)
PANW (5.23%)
AVST (4.89%)
PFPT (4.79%)
Total % weight: 61.26%
CYBERARK SOFTWARE: The Underdog of the CybersecurityCyberArk is a smallcap security company offering Privileged Account Security ( e.g. financial services, energy, retail, healthcare).
Cause of the Covid19-Crash the Cybersecurity section crushed down to -33% but we are seeing fast recovery in the Cyber Sector recording to the First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (Blue Line).
I expect that Cyberark is going to have a big bound upwards. Your Christian S.
FireEye Tries to Bounce Following Golden CrossCybersecurity innovator FireEye has been trying to stage a turnaround in the last few months.
The stock went through years of weakness after a high-profile IPO in 2013, but new products have helped drive growth more recently.
Takeover speculation initially lifted FEYE in early October. This was followed by an apparently promising analyst day on October 10 and a decent earnings report on October 29.
FEYE rallied at the time, lifting its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) above the 200-day -- a "Golden Cross" chart pattern. It's now pulled back to the 50-day SMA and held its July peak above $16. Some traders may want to watch those levels for risk management.
FEYE may also appeal to some investors on a valuation basis because it trades for less than 5 times revenue, far below the multiples of most software companies.
Palo Alto Networks - buying dip?FUNDAMENTAL
PANW earnings guidance lagged its forecast, creating a 12% decline after hours.
Palo Alto said that it has agreed to acquire Aporeto, a machine identity-based micro-segmentation firm, for $150 million in cash. The company said its earnings projections include net expenses related to the proposed acquisition.
TECHNICAL
Both the 50sma and 200sma are working as support after the earnings report took PANW 12% after hours.
The 50sma is also looking to break the 200sma. Crossing of the 50sma over the 200sma could be a bullish confirmation of a healthy uptrend.
Will enter position if we can stay above the SMA's and enter the channel, formed by the most recent gap.
**Next short-term resistance area --> $228-$230.
VMware breaking its 200sma - beware...I am looking to enter a position in VMW, as it just crossed the 200SMA with good volume, and an uptrend RSI and OBV.
They report earnings November 26th, 2019; after hours. So be aware of the event. We will get a better understanding of how much it will move closer to earnings.
CIBR, which is an ETF of cyber-security is trending higher.
Analysts have a bullish fair value around $194.
***
The $COMPX (Nasdaq Composite) has strong technical RSI and OBV as well, but there was a bearish flash warning called the Hindenburg Omen, activate recently. Basically it means, that while there are many stocks near all-time-highs, there are also as many at all-time-lows, which is seen as a bearish indicator.
So I recommend a balance between tight stop-limits as well as selling at least 50% when we reach the first profit-exit goal.
Cybersecurity ETF - Huge volume spike Technical Analysis:
CIBR had a volume spike of 850,000+; which is 80% higher than usual, yesterday November 12th 2019.
The 50sma (yellow line) is bouncing back, trying to cross the 200sma (red line), and after it must cross 100sma (blue line) for it to continue being bullish.
10sma is short-term support - $29.3
All time highs is short-term resistance - $30.7
CIBR top holdings:
VMW - 6.64%
PANW - 6.63%
AVGO - 6.15%
CSCO - 6.03%
OKTA - 5.12%
FEYE - 3.50%
FFIV - 3.32%
SPLK - 3.18%
JNPR - 3.18%
PANW - Cyber Security, One of the Best in BreedI’m watching Palo Alto networks for a breakout. My stop will be a close below the .618 fib, double bottom, and trend line support. This company is one of the best out there and like my other idea on $CYBR, the need for cyber security is NOT going away anytime soon.
Be sure to drop a like and a follow for more ideas!