Cycle
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week,
Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been green for 34 days and is about 12.9% wide. It has widened and is now flat. The various lines indicate a general uptrend situation with a momentum of long-term laterality and a short-term retracement The price today touched the Tenkan and in less than 2% could touch the Kijun.
The Kijun Trend indicator is looking for long positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirmed with today's candle a retracement.
Supports and resistances:
- 32150.00 Fibonacci
- 30350.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 30000.00 Psychological threshold
- 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 27950.00 Fibonacci
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the flat zones of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish after crossing the psychological threshold of 30000.00 and it is now in a retracement.
It is possible to find a sideways ABC pattern indicating the following levels: V 23400, E 25215, N 29015, NT 32815.
It is important to evaluate the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 30387.00
- Bearish/Lateral: 29400
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Increased.
- BTC Dominance: Decreased.
- Price of BTC: Increased.
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Strong growth.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
🔥 Comparing Bear Markets: This Time Is NOT DifferentIn this analysis I want to shed some light on the fact that the 2-week is an amazing tool to determine the start and end of Bitcoin trading cycles.
In this specific example, I'm comparing all three previous bear-markets. Note that the MACD has performed in a very similar fashion. The first bearish cross confirms the bear-market, and the first bullish cross confirms the next cycle.
Keep in mind that 2022 got another cross because of the July-Nov pump. In my view, crypto "topped" in March of 2021 because that's when all the technicals and on-chain analytics topped as well. Furthermore, the November 2022 top didn't make a new MACD high, making it a bearish divergence.
Looking at the chart, I think we can confirm that a new cycle has started. Sure, we will see bullish and bearish times for the foreseeable future, but I highly doubt whether we're going to make new lows from here onwards.
Share your thoughts 🙏
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week,
Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been green for 28 days and is about 10.8% wide. It has widened and is looking upward. The various lines indicate a general uptrend situation.
The Kijun Trend indicator indicates looking for long positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirms the bullish momentum with no shadows below. This points us to some market strength.
Supports and resistances:
- 32150.00 Fibonacci
- 30350.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 30000.00 Psychological threshold
- 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 27950.00 Fibonacci
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the flat zones of Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish after crossing the psychological threshold of 30000.00.
It is possible to find a bullish ABC pattern indicating the following levels: NT 27892.34, N 29876.78, V 31169.78 and E 31867.22.
It is important to assess the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 30387.00
- Bearish/Lateral: 29300
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Increased.
- Dominance of BTC: Increased.
- Price of BTC: Increased.
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Decreased.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
Bitcoin Market Cycle Idea 3 - 65K Triple TopTriple top at 65K - Potential For bitcoin to continue the massive range between 65k and 30k, racing to 65k leaving people behind, 100k feels imminent once again during the consolidation, at which point alts get a chance to rally but it's cut short by macro once again. Alts get absolutely rekt and return to the lows while btc returns to 30k. Market bottoms on bitcoin halving.
$BTC New Solar Cycle & Bull MarketAccording to this pattern, the uptrend has already begun and will continue until the end of the 2023/2024 solar cycle (Fall 2024) with a very likely possible extension into Spring 2025 and maybe as late as Fall 2025. Solar cycles coincide with major bull markets, while lunar cycles contain bear markets. The green vertical lines are the solar eclipses and the red ones are the lunar eclipses. It shows the correlation between lunar/solar cycles and BTC bear/bull markets and is based on research by Bokeb (2019), Mikula (1995) and Gann (1951). Shoutout @Asli123456798 on Twitter for sharing this. twitter.com . Also, 2026 --> 2028 looks extremely bullish. We just have to survive the small bear market of 1 year in 2025/2026..
How the Crypto market is controlled!! (Artificial Intelligence)How we know the crypto market is controlled by AI (Artificial Intelligence). This becomes evident when you study the cycles and patterns in market behaviour. For example Friday 8pm it turns off for the weekend, leaving just retail investors left, hence why the volume is always lower on weekends. The AI wakes up again Sunday evening, 6pm EST. Bringing back the volume and with it either a pump or dump. Again, it’s evident when observing the 56-58 day cycle low. These patterns couldn’t possibly occur without a force controlling and influencing the market.
It’s highly unlikely, likely that everyone invested in cryptocurrencies sells at the same time or buys at the same time in order to dump or pump the market.
In order for the market to maintain equilibrium, there has to be a governing force that is able to stabilize and control it. The influence this has on the market is the ability to liquidate shorts or longs, as well as pump the pockets of the elite and institutions, banks and corporations.
The AI will automatically make trades that are beneficial to those that created it and control it. It will exchange various new world order coins in order to control the market and to strike fear into the heart of the retail investors. So many people are liquidated by it in order to remove public interest, so the real gains can be made by those with governance.
By utilizing the same systems that have been around since the beginning of time (Astrology, lunar cycles, numbers and dates) the AI is able to plot its coordinates to create cycles and patterns that are there for interpretation. This is how I’ve been able to make calls months in advance by understanding these ritualistic cycles
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week,
Let us analyse at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
The Kumo has been green for 13 days and is about 6.40% wide. It has widened and is stable. The various lines indicate an uptrend momentum with a sideways bias in the long term and medium term. In the short term, however, the price is on the Tenkan, indicating a potential bounce or downtrend.
The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for long positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirm bullish momentum and net of one red candle, the rest are green and away from the Tenkan.
Supports and resistances:
- 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 23300.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 21200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 19100.00 Fibonacci
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B flat zones on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish/lateral, given also the proximity of the psychological threshold of 30000.00.
Hosoda's N wave of the ABC pattern identified several analyses ago has been centred and is acting as the resistance. It is possible to find two other ABC patterns: one bullish indicating a first level at 31134.30, another indicating a sideways movement where the N wave is at 24417.14 and the NT wave at 33736.10.
From a fundamental point of view, it continues to be interesting to see more distressed banks and instead the strength of Cryptos, born precisely out of distrust in the traditional market. In general however, the FED continues to raise rates while the market is responding with a rebound in the stock market.
It is important to assess the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 28700
- Bearish/Lateral: 25000
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Increased.
- Dominance of BTC: Increased.
- Price of BTC: Increased.
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Decreased.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
March 31 - BTC, SPX, DXY31st of March has consistently been either: a sharp turning point, a spike in trend action or a calling for a long-term trend reversal. S&P 500 and Nasdaq have followed this odd tendency correspondingly. For a few significant reasons below, I anticipate this year's 31st of March will astonish many of us.
Distinct Timing:
Alignment with KEY economic data readings:
--> Core PCE Price Index (MoM) is the reading. CNN on this index: "PCE, specifically the core measurement, is the Fed’s favored inflation gauge, since it provides a more complete picture of costs for consumers." Currently, it is undeniably the most significant factor which will drive markets to new equilibriums. Factors including: markets' indecisiveness (particularly large institutions); consistent past increases in the core PCE; and unexpectedly high most recent inflation reading in the UK (actual 10.4 vs expected 9.7) - do not make the next reading seem promising for bulls.
--> Eurozone inflation level will be vital, partly due to the mentioned recent surprise from UK's inflation reading. As this could potentially clarify whether the unexpected reading arose from global or solely UK-related factors.
Date Alignment:
1/ Last day of the month
2/ Last day of the working week (Friday)
3/ And of course, the day is March 31st :)
If you have been following my channel you know how much I love spread graphs. Check out the spread chart's indicators (including 50 SMA, 50 EMA, 200 SMA, and 200 EMA) and its formula below.
Same graph (W):
Same graph (M):
The formula:
CRYPTOCAP:BTC*(TVC:GOLD*((TVC:US30Y-TVC:US10Y)*(TVC:US10Y-TVC:US02Y)+10))^-1
Thanks for your time guys! If not for some comments in my last post, I wouldn't have found an error in the formula! So, please comment with any questions, ideas and opinions.
BTC Long Term view for this CycleAccumulation and distribution (tops) marked on BTC's history. By this logic there could be a $180k btc in Jan 2025 (28 months from now). Let's hope!
-RSI marks tops and bottom pretty well, same sort of level each cycle
-According to this logic 17k was the bottom for bitcoin, but we don't know how it fairs in a recessionary environment. I will probably bid in September as that tends to be the worst month for ES.
Bitcoin Log Curve Intersection as Macro Top IdeaBitcoin Log Curve Intersection as Macro Top Idea - Another idea to see how it goes, general premise being the top for this cycle will be an underside retest of the log growth curve indicator that failed in this current bear market. Or maybe multiple tops.
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week,
Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been green for 6 days and is about 0.7% wide. It changes abruptly but is currently widening. After the bounce on the Kumo and the Kijun Weekly now the situation is generally bullish and the Kijun Daily is on the Tenkan Weekyl level.
The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for long positions, as anticipated the change was very likely and now the price is very far from the Kinun.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirms the rebound and strong bullish momentum.
Supports and resistances:
- 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan.
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 23300.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 21200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 19100.00 Fibonacci
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B flat zones on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish.
Considering the current pattern with point B at March 10 and calculated with point C at March 14, we have 28773 (NT) as an interesting level.
From a fundamental point of view, it's interesting to see several banks fail and respective central bank bailouts. In general BTC was born as a response-in the times to-similar issues, this could be the motivation for the price increase.
It is important to evaluate the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 28700
- Bearish/Lateral: 25000
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle, we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Increased.
- Dominance of BTC: Increased.
- Price of BTC: Increased.
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Decreased.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
BTC/USD Just comparing % with the fall in 2013-2015I just compared the % with the fall in 2013-2015.
A structure that is currently being formed on a large time frame in a secondary trend. Logarithmic graph.
Percentages are retained for clarity, as in 2014-2015.
Earn money in the market does not allow banal greed. Almost everyone suffers from this disease. Therefore, your freedom from greed gives an unthinkable superiority over the patients of the “devil”.
Secondary downtrend. 2013 – 2015
Percentage price reduction from key areas. "Removal of Passengers"
Secondary downtrend of 2013-2015 and super “takeaways” in it. Then the pedestrian goes sideways (accumulation)—with similar “discharges of extra passengers." Pay attention to the % reduction and zone. The “terrible prices” of which after the cycle were the price of dreaming of "more than one stream of hamsters."
The market shapes people's behavior. What is displayed on the price chart.
Never try to catch highs or lows, work in parts. Disconnect from the majority controlled mindset of society.
Main trend. Line chart. Logarithm. Term 1 month
BTC/USD Secondary trend cycles and BTC halvings.
The same, but on a candlestick chart.
BTC/USD Main trend. % Secondary Trend Highs
Secondary trend (part). Work zone.
BTC/USD Secondary trend (part). Local work.
The basis of profit/loss is who you are here and now. Your knowledge and experience are projected onto the graph. The symbiosis of these two parameters, implemented in practice, will earn or lose money.
Weekly Analysis BTC via Ichimoku Good start to the week,
Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been red for 4 days and is about 0.7% wide. It has turned red since the last analysis and is now very thin again and may cross again. It is interesting in general to see the bounce exactly on the Kumo and the Kijun Weekly Continued uncertainty as from the past week. In general, short term is bullish and bearish-lateral on the medium and long term.
The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for short positions, but today's candle has outperformed by a lot, so in two days it may return to looking for long situations.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirms the rebound
Supports and resistances:
- 29800.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 23300.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 21200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 19100.00 Fibonacci
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B flat zones on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish/lateral.
Hosoda waves calculated last week on a bearish ABC pattern were touched: 22750 (NT), 21472 (N), 21444 (V), 20194 (E).
Considering the current pattern with point B on March 10, we have 16376 (NT), 20827 (N), 25278 (E), and 28450 (V) as further levels.
From a fundamental point of view, it is problematic the liquidation of Silicon Valley Bank, of the Fed's reassurances about it, as well as
It is important to assess the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 24400.00-24800.00
- Bearish/Lateral: 24000.00-22200.00
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Increased.
- Dominance of BTC: Increased.
- Price of BTC: Increased.
- Alt Cycle Expectation: Decreased.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance
Weekly Analysis BTC via IchimokuGood start to the week,
Let us analyze at a glance the daily chart of BINANCE:BTCUSDT with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo. We use the traditional settings. There are other indicators in the analysis. We have developed and released them Open Source.
Trend:
Kumo has been green for 65 days and is about 2.5% wide. It has risen since the last analysis but has shrunk a lot. The situation is getting more and more uncertain: price has entered the Kumo and in the short term there is a sideways/ bearish momentum while in the long term there is still an uptrend.
The Kijun Trend indicator now indicates looking for short positions.
Heikin-Ashi:
The Heikin-Ashi confirms the bearish movement of the past week.
Supports and resistances:
- 29800.00 Chikou cusps and Kijun and Tenkan flat zones.
- 25000.00 Fibonacci
- 24800.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24400.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 24200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 23300.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 21200.00 Chikou cusps and flat areas of Kijun and Tenkan
- 20200.00 Chikou cusps and flat zones of Kijun and Tenkan
- 19100.00 Fibonacci
For static price levels, the lower right chart plots the Tenkan, Kijun, Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B flat zones on different timeframes, and the Chikou for the daily time frame.
For dynamic price levels, the Ichimoku lines can be observed: the Tenkan Sen (short term), the Kijun Sen (medium term) as well as the Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B (long term).
Conclusions:
The situation is bullish/lateral.
Hosoda waves calculated on a bearish ABC pattern, shows the following price levels on the waves: 22750 (NT), 21472 (N), 21444 (V), 20194 (E).
From a fundamental point of view, it is interesting to note that-despite the moment of uncertainty-U.S. equities closed the week on the upside while crypto-related assets are doing the opposite and are now on an important level for a retracement or continue the downtrend, also influenced by the liquidation of the Voyager fund.
It is important to assess the price close during the week on the following price structures:
- Bullish: 22750.00
- Bearish/Lateral: 22000.00-21200.00
Altcoin Cycle:
For Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Cycle we can consider the weekly variation:
- Total cryptocurrency market capital: Decreased.
- Dominance of BTC: Decreased.
- Price of BTC: Decreased.
- Alt cycle expectation: Stable.
Thanks for your attention, happy to support the TradingView community.
Indicators used:
Analysis Tool
Kijun Trend Indicator
Ichimoku Support and Resistance
Chikou Support and Resistance