A Closer Look at BTC Cycle StagesI've already posted a chart on the 4-year cycle for Bitcoin (link below). This is a more detailed look at it. At first glance, the previous cycle looks different from the current cycle except for some very basic framework, but upon closer examination, they are in fact essentially the same even at the specific parts. It's intriguing enough that it's hard to be a bear right now.
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Cycle
BTC 4 Year Cycle - UpdateThis is my projection for the next few and final months of the BTC cycle.
If the consistent and precise cadence of the BTC 4 year cycle remains in tact, November will be the bottom of this cycle, but the details of how we arrive there, if indeed we do, are highly speculative. I'm just throwing this out there for bragging rights in case I'm right.
In any case, regardless of how it this actually plays out, my long strategy will start in November and last until the next cycle top in Oct 2025: dollar cost average, accumulate, leverage the lows, de-risk the highs.
I linked to my original idea regarding the cadence of the 4 year cycle below.
Bitcoin dominance defined in JanuaryBitcoin dominance defines the market capitalization of BTC versus the total crypto market capitalization.
When the dominance of BTC goes up, it means that the price of BTC performs better than altcoins.
Otherwise, when it goes down, altcoins perform better.
According to vertical lines, January is a definition month.
The red lines indicate when there has been a decline in dominance, and the green lines when there has been a rise.
In the last month of January, we have an indication of a rise.
The question is whether in January 2023 dominance will continue to rise or decline.
Crude Oil. Its dynamic/ Astro cycle. 11/ August/22 “Crude” Oil. The “mother/father” of “all” inflations probably on its last “leg up” soon @ around 87.98 toward around 118..So..So..All stocks/equities market will probably “end” its crashes ONLY around last quarter of 2022. P/S Crude Oil movement is “governed” by planet Saturn and Neptune. The Purple 7, 8 ( dynamic cycle ) are based on “cycle” counts with “statistics “...
Time to start a new cycleToday we get some notable signals:
+ BTC price surpasses MA200W;
+ We have the first green histogram after 5 correction waves of MACD;
+ We are in the 17th month after the official peak of the previous cycle (Apr 2021);
I think we are really entering a new cycle with an uptrend that lasts until 2025.
Wyckoff still playing out on BTCI have only been in the market 18 months, and have tried/tested many indicators. The only one that has remained consistently true up until this day, is the Wyckoff Distribution Schematic #1. It hasn't really faltered at all since people started drawing the comparison early 2021. If it remains true, we will hit ATH before the cycle is done, sometime around the end of June. That said, 18 months is not a long time. I just know what I know, and I know Wyckoff has been freaky accurate since I entered the market.
Iron ore miners to Bull hard Hey guys,
Good time to load up on iron ore miners who have been sold off recently but i dont see prices falling below that major long term support line it has bounced off.
This chart is part of my thesis on the Inflation cycle to calm down over the next few months but as commodities like iron ore, copper, Oil etc start to bull again as people still have cash at hand to deploy as prices come back down. The Bullwhip effect has certainly started with retailers increasing stock by +25% while sales Revenue only increases by 3% something that confirms prices have started to fall but Major support being hit here and in other commodity showing people are back to buying and the commodities will lead the way back up starting the next wave of inflation that will hit a higher peak then current levels.
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Jul-22 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 2 out of 5.79
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 100.99-96.52
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 51.10%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.07
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±6.76
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±14.07
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 23 out of 5.68
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 1834.9-1783.4
🛸Buy UFOs: 1652.8-1624.4
3️⃣Options IV: 18.71%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±20.29
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±44.67
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±92.99
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 4 out of 5.36
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 105.440-104.405
3️⃣Options IV: 12.04%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.81
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.79
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.72
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 6 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 31732.5-29432.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 20832.5-18922.5
3️⃣Options IV: 86.43%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1279.88
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±2817.53
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±5865.17
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Jul-21 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 1 out of 5.79
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 105.24-100.89
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 47.54%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±2.84
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±6.24
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±13.00
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 22 out of 5.68
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 1744.3-1704.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 1652.8-1624.4
3️⃣Options IV: 19.26%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±20.38
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±44.87
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±93.41
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 3 out of 5.36
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 105.440-104.405
3️⃣Options IV: 12.48%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.84
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.85
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.85
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 5 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 31732.5-29432.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 20832.5-18922.5
3️⃣Options IV: 86.79%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1257.06
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±2767.29
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±5760.57
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Jul-20 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 1 out of 6.75
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 105.24-100.89
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 48.77%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.04
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±6.69
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±13.92
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 21 out of 5.68
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 1744.3-1704.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 1652.8-1624.4
3️⃣Options IV: 18.63%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±20.06
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±44.16
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±91.93
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 2 out of 5.36
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 105.440-104.405
3️⃣Options IV: 12.58%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.85
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.86
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.87
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 4 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 31732.5-29432.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 20832.5-18922.5
3️⃣Options IV: 84.36%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1266.10
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±2787.20
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±5802.02
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Jul-19 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 13 out of 5.78
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 105.24-100.89
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 49.66%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.05
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±6.71
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±13.96
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 20 out of 5.68
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 1744.3-1704.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 1652.8-1624.4
3️⃣Options IV: 19.42%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±20.99
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±46.20
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±96.17
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 1 out of 5.36
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 105.440-104.405
3️⃣Options IV: 12.92%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.87
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.90
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.96
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 3 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 31732.5-29432.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 20832.5-18922.5
3️⃣Options IV: 84.93%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1194.81
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±2630.25
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±5475.30
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Jul-18 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 12 out of 5.78
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 105.24-100.89
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 51.77%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.15
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±6.94
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±14.45
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 19 out of 5.68
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 1744.3-1704.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 1652.8-1624.4
3️⃣Options IV: 19.27%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±20.86
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±45.91
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±95.57
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 14 out of 4.94
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 107.615-106.530
3️⃣Options IV: 12.84%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.87
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.91
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.97
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 2 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 31732.5-29432.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 20832.5-18922.5
3️⃣Options IV: 84.30%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1185.95
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±2610.74
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±5434.68
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
Gold. I’m reholding bigger cup’s handle tighter. 16/July/22.Gold. I’m “ re- holding” my bigger golden cup’s handle ideas “tighter” with 2 reason at chart. Sorry unlike Conventional Technical Analysis e.g RSI, MACD, MA or support/resistance, today I gonna talk about the ideas/ concepts of cycle on charts which is the x- axis of any charts. just to “find” the “probability “ of gold’s next “moves”..
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Jul-15 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 11 out of 5.78
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 105.24-100.89
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 53.03%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.20
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±7.05
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±14.68
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 18 out of 5.68
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 1834.9-1783.4
🛸Buy UFOs: 1652.8-1624.4
3️⃣Options IV: 19.60%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±20.98
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±46.19
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±96.16
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 13 out of 4.94
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 107.615-106.530
3️⃣Options IV: 13.70%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.93
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±2.06
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±4.28
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: NO
🎯Stats: 1 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 22452.5-21237.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 14347.5-13027.5
3️⃣Options IV: 78.94%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1044.90
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±2300.24
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±4788.33
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice
BTC/USD cycle bottom found - time to celebrate?This analysis is not intended to be a piece of financial advice.
It is affirmative to believe that Bitcoin Cycle Bottom is technically formed and found. The market may show some rally, as well as a reversal to retest the Cycle formation so the swings will benefit. Markets may anticipate some relief as the labor report is above expected numbers. The next interest rate may likely be not 75 basis points; instead, it is likely that Fed may reconsider going for 50 basis points that will help sustain the Bottom Formation. Still not a time to go Long. If one should, setting a limit of 18.8k can prove to be a wiser move.
Daily Checklist Before The Market Opens | Jul-14 2022Hello and thank you if you are a regular reader 🖖 Welcome if you are new to my daily publication... 👍
Publishing this post on a daily basis helps me avoid distractions and sets my focus to be fully in line with the now in the marketplace.
Knowing you read me keeps me accountable and forces me to be objective in my analysis which helps with my own trading emotions and temptations 😉
This selfish moment may also serve you well 😁 as my findings may guide you into understanding the markets better, or may simply act as a second opinion after you have performed your own analysis 👏
The rationale of my analysis is detailed on the chart itself so you don't need to look up and down.
Below you will simply find the results of my process applied to other four relevant markets I always check before I trade.
Trade well!
OIL: NYMEX:CL1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 10 out of 5.78
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 105.24-100.89
🛸Buy UFOs: 80.47-77.83
3️⃣Options IV: 51.76%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±3.06
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±6.73
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±14.00
GOLD: COMEX:GC1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 17 out of 5.68
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 1834.9-1783.4
🛸Buy UFOs: 1652.8-1624.4
3️⃣Options IV: 18.36%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±19.77
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±43.53
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±90.60
DOLLAR: ICEUS:DX1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: UP
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 12 out of 4.94
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: -
🛸Buy UFOs: 107.615-106.530
3️⃣Options IV: 12.70%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±0.87
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±1.91
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±3.98
BITCOIN: ICEUS:BTM1!
1️⃣Market CLIMATE
🎯Current: DOWN
🎯Confirmed: YES
🎯Stats: 3 out of -
2️⃣Buy and Sell UFOs
🛸Sell UFOs: 22452.5-21237.5
🛸Buy UFOs: 14347.5-13027.5
3️⃣Options IV: 83.11%
🚀Daily Expected Move: ±1046.69
🚀Weekly Expected Move: ±2304.19
🚀Monthly Expected Move: ±4796.56
I believe now you know why UFO and 3D are part of my name…
Feel free to private-message me and share more about your trading style if you are too attracted by those UFOs 💪
*This daily post is not intended to be used as financial advice